P | Toronto Blue Jays
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 4" 180 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 14, No. 411, Miami Marlins | Pepperdine University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 8.10 6 0 0 6.2 7 2.10
2024 1 0 10.80 8 0 0 11.2 10 2.23
2025 3 3 6.66 6 5 0 24.1 23 1.52
3 Seasons 4 3 8.02 20 5 0 42.2 40 1.80
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 6 0-0 8.10 6.2 7 2.10
2024 8 1-0 10.80 11.2 10 2.23
2025 6 3-3 6.66 24.1 23 1.52
3 Seasons 20 4-3 8.02 42.2 40 1.80
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 26 148 24 1 4.2 2.9 89.5 104.5 16.8 41.7 .272 .450 .396 .341 .396 45.8 20.0 11.4 8.10 5.00
2024 27 246 41 2 4.9 3.3 89.3 105.9 16.2 31.7 .258 .369 .402 .344 .342 36.6 16.4 14.8 10.80 5.07
2025 28 438 73 8 11.0 7.4 91.2 111.7 17.4 37.0 .279 .529 .348 .370 .434 43.8 21.3 11.1 6.66 6.00
Player 832 138 11 8.0 5.4 90.3 111.7 17.0 36.2 .272 .469 .373 .357 .400 42.0 19.6 12.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lucas relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(49.8%) ,
Changeup
(21.0%) ,
Slider
(12.1%) ,
Sweeper
(9.8%) ,
Cutter
(7.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 37.5 62.5 16.7 37.5 8.3 50.0 29.2 20.8 20.8 12.5 4.2 29.2 16.7 16.7
2024 39.0 61.0 36.6 17.1 7.3 39.0 26.8 34.1 17.1 14.6 7.3 22.0 12.2 26.8
2025 34.2 65.8 31.5 26.0 8.2 53.4 26.0 20.5 20.5 9.6 4.1 32.9 16.4 16.4
Player 36.2 63.8 30.4 25.4 8.0 48.6 26.8 24.6 19.6 11.6 5.1 29.0 15.2 19.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 0.0 25.0 25.0 29.2 16.7 4.2 2.9
2024 0.0 29.3 31.7 29.3 4.9 4.9 3.3
2025 0.0 32.9 31.5 20.5 4.1 11.0 7.4
Player 0.0 30.4 30.4 24.6 6.5 8.0 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Changeup TOR L 92 87.4 28.6 -2.3 13.6ARM -0.6 7.4 -2.2 13.6ARM -0.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball TOR L 218 93.8 14.0 0.5 5.1ARM -1.8 17.4 1.6 5.1ARM -3.0
2025 Cutter TOR L 32 91.5 23.3 0.7 1.5GLV -0.6 9.4 1.5 1.5GLV -0.4
2025 Slider TOR L 53 86.4 34.9 0.3 3.4GLV -0.6 1.8 0.2 3.4GLV -0.7
2025 Sweeper TOR L 43 81.1 40.6 -0.8 11.5GLV -2.9 1.5 -0.5 11.5GLV -1.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball TOR L 131 94.3 13.7 0.9 6.8ARM -0.4 17.2 1.5 6.8ARM -1.3
2024 Sweeper TOR L 44 82.7 36.1 -3.0 12.0GLV -1.7 4.4 -3.3 12.0GLV -2.2
2024 Cutter TOR L 52 90.5 24.1 1.0 1.9GLV -0.5 9.2 2.0 1.9GLV -0.1
2024 Slider TOR L 5 85.2 31.5 -4.6 4.4GLV -0.5 6.5 -5.0 4.4GLV -0.4
2024 Changeup TOR L 14 86.7 28.1 -2.9 11.2ARM -2.9 8.4 -2.5 11.2ARM -2.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 2 218 49.8 61 .245 .388 .321 27.1 24.6 18.3 .247 .489 .356 51.4
2025 Changeup -1.8 -2 92 21.0 15 .267 .467 .373 25.0 6.7 5.6 .333 .541 .374 28.6
2025 Slider -4.2 -2 53 12.1 17 .333 .733 .476 20.0 23.5 16.7 .384 .831 .531 54.5
2025 Sweeper -3.5 -2 43 9.8 7 .429 .857 .543 11.8 28.6 14.3 .212 .371 .247 40.0
2025 Cutter 2.0 1 32 7.3 8 .167 .167 .200 13.3 12.5 11.1 .229 .260 .255 16.7
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 0 131 53.3 29 .261 .391 .369 16.7 20.7 14.3 .228 .332 .337 35.3
2024 Cutter -1.4 -1 52 21.1 18 .375 .563 .397 13.3 11.1 20.0 .248 .401 .313 40.0
2024 Sweeper -3.3 -1 44 17.9 10 .286 .286 .390 26.3 20.0 11.1 .224 .282 .365 20.0
2024 Changeup -8.5 -1 14 5.7 2 .500 .500 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .426 .472 .395 50.0
2024 Slider -24.5 -1 5 2.0 2 1.000 1.500 1.075 0.0 0.0 0.0 .630 .747 .597 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 91 87.4 96 15.7 10:15 9:45 30
2025 Cutter 32 91.5 55 9.0 11:45 12:30 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 217 93.8 92 17.6 11:00 11:30 -30
2025 Slider 51 86.4 25 4.7 1:45 3:00 -75
2025 Sweeper 43 81.1 36 12.6 3:45 3:00 45
2024 Changeup 13 86.7 95 13.9 10:00 10:00 0
2024 Cutter 52 90.5 53 8.7 11:45 12:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 131 94.3 93 18.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2024 Sweeper 44 82.7 32 13.5 3:00 2:30 30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 34 148 0 -2 -2 0 -4
2024 61 246 0 2 -5 -1 -5
2025 108 438 -5 7 -3 -2 -3
Player 203 832 -6 7 -10 -6 -11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 148 47.3 71.4 80.0 25.6 65.0 35.1 61.8 47.3 24.3 6.8 90.0
2024 246 47.2 74.1 88.4 28.5 73.0 44.3 62.3 50.0 16.3 8.1 75.0
2025 438 50.2 74.5 80.5 28.4 64.5 40.9 68.5 51.6 23.9 6.2 74.1
Player 832 48.8 73.9 82.7 27.9 67.2 40.9 65.5 50.4 21.7 6.9 77.2
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 43 16 57
2024 54 39 55
2025 41 29 35
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 25.50 1 1.0 0 1 1 0 0.0
2024 22.61 1 0.8 0 3 1 0 0.0
2025 22.44 5 5.1 0 0 3 4 80.0
Player 22.90 7 6.9 0 4 5 4 57.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
2024 1 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 1 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1
2025 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 7 5 5 4 4 6 6 4 5 6 6 5 4 5 5 6 5 6
Player 7 6 8 6 6 7 7 7 6 5 7 11 6 9 6 6 5 5 8 9 6 7 9 8 6 5 7 7 8 6 7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .272 -.068 .340 +.017 .323
xBA .279 +.021 .258 -.014 .272
OBP .343 -.100 .443 +.043 .400
xOBP .351 -.029 .380 +.025 .355
SLG .478 -.002 .480 -.068 .548
xSLG .529 +.160 .369 -.081 .450
ISO .207 +.067 .140 -.086 .226
xISO .250 +.138 .112 -.066 .178
BABIP .294 -.106 .400 +.009 .391
wOBA .348 -.054 .402 +.006 .396
xwOBA .370 +.026 .344 +.003 .341
wOBACON .402 -.028 .430 -.045 .475
xwOBACON .434 +.092 .342 -.054 .396
BACON .342 -.073 .415 -.002 .417
xBACON .355 +.034 .321 -.031 .352
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.8 +7.2 36.6 -9.2 45.8
Avg Exit Velocity 91.2 +1.9 89.3 -0.2 89.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 37.0 +5.3 31.7 -10.0 41.7
Barrel % 11.0 +6.1 4.9 +0.7 4.2
Avg Launch Angle 17.4 +1.2 16.2 -0.6 16.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 +0.8 71.1 +0.4 70.7
Attack Angle +3° -3° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 58.0 +5.7 52.3 -2.1 54.4
Attack Direction +5° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° +1° 31° -2° 33°
Swing Length 7.2 +0.2 7.0 -0.3 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.5 +0.3 93.2 +0.6 92.6
Breaking Velocity 84.1 +1.1 83.0 +0.5 82.5
Offspeed Velocity 87.4 +0.7 86.7 +0.9 85.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 8 +6 2 +1 1
Popup % 8.2 +0.9 7.3 -1.0 8.3
Flyball % 31.5 -5.1 36.6 +19.9 16.7
Line Drive % 26.0 +8.9 17.1 -20.4 37.5
Groundball % 34.2 -4.8 39.0 +1.5 37.5
Pull % 53.4 +14.4 39.0 -11.0 50.0
Straight Away % 26.0 -0.8 26.8 -2.4 29.2
Opposite Field % 20.5 -13.6 34.1 +13.3 20.8
Weak Contact % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pull Airball % 32.9 +10.9 22.0 -7.2 29.2
Topped Contact % 32.9 +3.6 29.3 +4.3 25.0
Under Contact % 31.5 -0.2 31.7 +6.7 25.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 20.5 -8.8 29.3 +0.1 29.2
Solid Contact % 4.1 -0.8 4.9 -11.8 16.7
HR/FB % 21.7 +15.0 6.7 -18.3 25.0
Popups 6 +3 3 +1 2
Flyballs 23 +8 15 +11 4
Line Drives 19 +12 7 -2 9
Groundballs 25 +9 16 +7 9
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.2 +3.0 47.2 -0.1 47.3
Out of Zone % 49.8 -3.0 52.8 +0.1 52.7
Edge % 40.9 -3.4 44.3 +9.2 35.1
Zone Swing % 74.5 +0.4 74.1 +2.7 71.4
Out of Zone Swing % 28.4 -0.1 28.5 +2.9 25.6
In Zone Contact % 80.5 -7.9 88.4 +8.4 80.0
Out of Zone Contact % 64.5 -8.5 73.0 +8.0 65.0
Whiff % 23.9 +7.6 16.3 -8.0 24.3
First Strike % 68.5 +6.2 62.3 +0.5 61.8
First Pitch Swing % 43.5 +2.5 41.0 +5.7 35.3
Swing % 51.6 +1.6 50.0 +2.7 47.3
Meatball Swing % 74.1 -0.9 75.0 -15.0 90.0
Meatball % 6.2 -1.9 8.1 +1.3 6.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 19.5 +7.9 11.6 -8.4 20.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 35.5 +8.5 27.0 -8.0 35.0
In Zone 220 +104 116 +46 70
Out of Zone 218 +88 130 +52 78
Edge 179 +70 109 +57 52
In Zone Swings 164 +78 86 +36 50
Out of Zone Swings 62 +25 37 +17 20
In Zone Swing & Misses 32 +22 10 0 10
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 22 +12 10 +3 7
Basic
Pitches 438 +192 246 +98 148
PA 108 +47 61 +26 35
AB 92 +42 50 +19 31
Hits 25 +8 17 +7 10
Singles 16 +3 13 +8 5
Doubles 4 +2 2 -2 4
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0
Home Runs 5 +4 1 0 1
Walks 12 +3 9 +5 4
Strikeouts 23 +13 10 +3 7
K% 21.3 +4.9 16.4 -3.6 20.0
BB% 11.1 -3.7 14.8 +3.4 11.4
HBP 0 -1 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 73 +32 41 +17 24
Number of Fastballs 250 +67 183 +82 101
Number of Offspeed 92 +78 14 +3 11
Number of Breaking 53 +48 5 -4 9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 34 .396 21 0 0.0 13 5 38.5
2024 Shades 61 .402 38 5 13.2 23 18 78.3
2025 Shades 108 .348 81 8 9.9 27 10 37.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 28 14.9 50.0% 0.0% 41 20.6 0.0% 2.4%
2024 46 15.7 43.5% 0.0% 55 19.5 0.0% 0.0%
2025 122 16.8 7.4% 0.0% 50 19.5 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution