Michael Kelly
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 185LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2011 | Rd: C-A, #48, San Diego Padres | West Boca Raton (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 0 2.25 4 0 0 4 4 1.00
2023 1 0 3.78 14 0 0 16.2 16 1.32
2024 3 2 2.59 28 0 0 31.1 22 1.18
3 Seasons 4 2 2.94 46 0 0 52 42 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 4 0-0 2.25 4 4 1.00
2023 14 1-0 3.78 16.2 16 1.32
2024 28 3-2 2.59 31.1 22 1.18
3 Seasons 46 4-2 2.94 52 42 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 29 64 10 1 10.0 6.3 83.5 102.1 29.5 30.0 .251 .372 .328 .324 .378 10.0 25.0 6.3 2.25 4.40
2023 30 272 46 0 0.0 0.0 88.7 106.1 12.3 32.6 .249 .324 .265 .304 .333 34.8 22.5 12.7 3.78 3.87
2024 31 470 93 3 3.2 2.3 85.2 107.5 18.4 40.9 .234 .362 .294 .296 .315 20.4 17.2 7.8 2.58 3.57
Player 806 149 4 2.7 1.9 86.2 107.5 17.2 37.6 .240 .351 .287 .301 .325 24.2 19.5 9.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelly relies on 4 pitches.
Sweeper
(54.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(31.9%) ,
Slider
(13.2%) ,
Sinker
(0.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 20.0 30.0 30.0 20.0 20.0 30.0 50.0 0.0 10.0 40.0 40.0 0.0 10.0 6.3
2023 39.1 21.7 32.6 6.5 21.7 50.0 28.3 2.2 30.4 28.3 32.6 6.5 0.0 0.0
2024 39.8 33.3 19.4 7.5 31.2 37.6 31.2 7.5 24.7 34.4 22.6 7.5 3.2 2.3
Player 38.3 29.5 24.2 8.1 27.5 40.9 31.5 5.4 25.5 32.9 26.8 6.7 2.7 1.9
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker OAK R 4 92.1 24.6 0.9 14.5ARM -0.1 7.8 -0.5 14.5ARM -0.3
2024 Sweeper OAK R 254 83.2 43.5 3.9 16.8GLV 2.9 -3.7 5.3 16.8GLV 2.5
2024 Slider OAK R 62 88.3 33.0 0.2 7.0GLV 3.5 2.1 -0.5 7.0GLV 1.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 150 95.1 17.0 -2.8 5.7ARM -1.8 13.2 -2.5 5.7ARM -1.8
2023 Slider CLE R 45 88.2 33.9 1.1 6.1GLV 2.0 1.0 0.5 6.1GLV 0.8
2023 Sinker CLE R 20 94.6 20.6 -0.7 12.6ARM -2.4 10.0 -2.4 12.6ARM -2.4
2023 Sweeper CLE R 145 83.3 42.2 3.1 17.7GLV 4.0 -2.6 4.1 17.7GLV 3.6
2023 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 62 95.0 17.7 -3.3 4.2ARM -3.2 12.4 -3.4 4.2ARM -3.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sweeper 1.9 5 254 54.0 85 .227 .293 .262 23.2 15.3 15.9 .231 .356 .287 20.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 0 150 31.9 29 .192 .192 .228 23.3 27.6 15.7 .177 .236 .232 5.6
2024 Slider -3.9 -2 62 13.2 11 .444 1.222 .682 16.7 9.1 100.0 .409 .789 .540 50.0
2024 Sinker -36.0 -1 4 0.9 2 .500 1.000 .625 0.0 0.0 0.0 .300 .319 .270 50.0
2023 Sweeper 2.1 3 145 53.3 38 .156 .219 .271 21.7 23.7 16.7 .203 .275 .284 21.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball -3.2 -2 62 22.8 19 .294 .353 .329 26.1 31.6 19.4 .299 .388 .340 72.7
2023 Slider 4.2 2 45 16.5 12 .182 .182 .208 26.1 8.3 16.7 .299 .368 .323 20.0
2023 Sinker -2.7 -1 20 7.4 2 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .273 .329 .249 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 4-Seam Fastball 150 95.1 74 14.1 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Slider 61 88.3 31 7.9 10:30 9:15 75
2024 Sweeper 254 83.2 69 18.7 7:45 8:30 -45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 62 95.0 77 12.8 12:45 12:45 0
2023 Sinker 20 94.6 83 16.0 1:15 1:45 -30
2023 Slider 42 88.2 34 6.8 10:00 9:00 60
2023 Sweeper 145 83.3 74 19.3 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 71 272 4 2 -3 -1 2
2024 127 470 2 5 -3 -3 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 64 53.1 64.7 77.3 26.7 62.5 43.8 75.0 46.9 26.7 7.8 60.0
2023 272 48.5 62.1 82.9 27.1 63.2 43.4 69.0 44.1 23.3 10.7 86.2
2024 470 51.1 65.0 85.3 29.6 57.4 42.6 66.1 47.7 22.3 8.1 71.1
Player 806 50.4 64.0 83.8 28.5 59.6 42.9 67.8 46.4 23.0 8.9 76.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 67 38 27
2024 65 74 11
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 19.7 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
2023 -- 0 0.2 0 1 0 0 --
2024 21.8 2 2.7 -1 0 1 2 100.0
Player 21.1 3 3.9 -1 1 1 3 100.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2023 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2024 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 2
Player 3 5 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.3 94.9 1.6 95.0 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 83.1 84.5 1.4 84.2 -0.3
Exit Velocity 83.5 88.7 5.2 85.2 -3.5
Launch Angle 29.5 12.3 -17.2 18.4 6.1
Barrel % 10.0 0.0 -10.0 3.2 3.2
Hard Hit % 10.0 34.8 24.8 20.4 -14.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.0 32.6 2.6 40.9 8.3
xBA .251 .249 -0.002 .234 -0.015
BA .214 .210 -0.004 .241 0.031
xwOBA .324 .304 -0.020 .296 -0.008
wOBA .328 .265 -0.063 .294 0.029
xSLG .372 .324 -0.048 .362 0.038
SLG .429 .258 -0.171 .357 0.099
K% 25.0 22.5 -2.5 17.2 -5.3
BB% 6.3 12.7 6.4 7.8 -4.9
Swing % 46.9 44.1 -2.8 47.7 3.6
Whiff% 26.7 23.3 -3.4 22.3 -1.0
In Zone % 53.1 48.5 -4.6 51.1 2.6
Out of Zone % 46.9 51.5 4.6 48.9 -2.6
Out of Zone Swing % 26.7 27.1 0.4 29.6 2.5
First Pitch Swing % 43.8 35.2 -8.6 29.9 -5.3
First Pitch Strike % 75.0 69.0 -6.0 66.1 -2.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 16 .328 8 3 37.5 8 6 75.0
2023 Shades 71 .265 44 0 0.0 27 11 40.7
2024 Shades 126 .289 74 0 0.0 52 32 61.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 23 17.9 0.0% 0.0% 7 22.2 0.0% 0.0%
2023 72 15.0 50.0% 1.4% 50 18.0 18.0% 0.0%
2024 123 15.1 49.6% 0.0% 83 17.8 10.8% 2.4%

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Pitch Distribution