Dane Dunning
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 1, #29, Washington Nationals | Florida

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 8 4.46 29 29 0 153.1 137 1.43
3 Seasons 11 18 4.43 63 61 0 305.0 286 1.40
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 29 4-8 4.46 153.1 137 1.43
3 Seasons 63 11-18 4.43 305.0 286 1.40

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 25 571 92 6 6.5 4.2 87.8 107.5 7.8 29.3 .224 .351 .268 .295 .340 32.6 24.6 9.2 3.97 3.66
2021 26 1909 347 28 8.1 5.5 89.2 118.5 6.7 31.4 .265 .419 .336 .333 .390 43.5 22.3 8.4 4.51 4.76
2022 27 2548 460 41 8.9 6.1 87.9 114.4 5.4 30.0 .250 .400 .344 .327 .366 38.0 20.4 9.2 4.46 4.49
Player 5028 899 75 8.3 5.7 88.4 118.5 6.2 30.5 .253 .402 .333 .326 .373 39.6 21.6 8.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dunning relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(40%) ,
Slider
(27.9%) ,
Changeup
(20.2%) ,
Cutter
(11.9%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(0.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 44.6 19.6 27.2 8.7 46.7 33.7 19.6 7.6 34.8 25.0 21.7 4.3 6.5 4.2
2021 54.2 18.4 22.5 4.9 35.2 37.8 27.1 6.3 36.3 15.0 28.0 6.1 8.1 5.5
2022 52.8 21.3 22.8 3.0 43.3 37.8 18.9 6.3 39.1 17.4 22.6 5.7 8.9 6.1
Player 52.5 20.0 23.1 4.3 40.5 37.4 22.1 6.5 37.6 17.2 24.6 5.7 8.3 5.7
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Cutter TEX R 302 87.1 26.6 2.0 7 1.0 -1.7 -64
2022 4-Seamer TEX R 3 86.9 25.8 -4.7 -22 4.3 -4.2 -49
2022 Sinker TEX R 1,019 89.5 28.8 3.3 13 15.6 0.7 4
2022 Changeup TEX R 513 84.0 34.7 1.5 4 17.2 2.9 21
2022 Slider TEX R 710 78.7 48.6 5.3 12 7.5 -5.6 -43
2021 Curveball TEX R 80 78.2 59.7 5.4 10 7.8 -2.4 -23
2021 Slider TEX R 421 79.7 48.5 5.5 13 4.7 -6.3 -57
2021 Cutter TEX R 153 85.8 30.7 -0.7 -2 2.2 -0.4 -14
2021 4-Seamer TEX R 8 90.0 26.6 -9.4 -55 6.5 -0.8 -10
2021 Sinker TEX R 998 90.4 27.0 2.8 11 14.5 -0.2 -2
2021 Changeup TEX R 249 84.5 32.1 0.0 0 17.4 3.3 23
2020 Changeup CWS R 61 85.5 28.0 -2.5 -8 15.4 2.1 16
2020 Sinker CWS R 242 91.9 24.5 2.0 9 14.3 -0.4 -2
2020 4-Seamer CWS R 105 91.8 17.7 -1.7 -10 6.1 -0.8 -12
2020 Slider CWS R 124 81.5 45.8 4.7 12 2.9 -4.8 -62
2020 Curveball CWS R 39 78.6 62.6 8.6 16 6.1 -3.3 -35
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker 0.1 1 1,019 40.0 307 .298 .450 .382 13.1 14.3 20.4 .274 .432 .358 44.1
2022 Slider 0.8 5 710 27.9 136 .202 .435 .289 38.3 35.3 18.8 .204 .378 .292 36.7
2022 Changeup -0.2 -1 514 20.2 159 .262 .455 .338 28.3 20.1 23.5 .251 .388 .304 31.9
2022 Cutter 1.3 4 302 11.9 69 .293 .397 .377 20.2 18.8 22.4 .242 .332 .322 26.7
2022 4-Seamer -1.6 0 3 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Sinker -0.5 -5 998 52.3 286 .278 .425 .350 12.6 17.5 22.8 .291 .456 .363 50.5
2021 Slider 0.9 4 421 22.1 103 .240 .420 .302 38.6 43.7 22.3 .194 .332 .238 36.4
2021 Changeup 1.2 3 249 13.0 74 .290 .493 .359 32.4 20.3 21.4 .269 .426 .324 33.3
2021 Cutter 1.1 2 153 8.0 35 .370 .407 .427 18.2 2.9 4.2 .262 .382 .372 26.9
2021 Curveball 1.1 1 80 4.2 13 .182 .182 .315 30.4 23.1 15.8 .310 .409 .372 37.5
2021 4-Seamer -0.7 0 8 0.4 -- -- -- 33.3 -- -- -- -- -- --
2020 Sinker -1.6 -4 242 42.4 64 .200 .255 .284 15.2 17.2 18.6 .302 .444 .374 34.1
2020 Slider 2.1 3 124 21.7 39 .135 .405 .245 43.5 43.6 33.3 .116 .265 .186 25.0
2020 4-Seamer 1.7 2 105 18.4 23 .316 .368 .372 37.8 21.7 19.2 .169 .232 .267 42.9
2020 Changeup 0.2 0 61 10.7 10 .300 .400 .305 30.8 20.0 22.2 .278 .409 .295 37.5
2020 Curveball -1.2 0 39 6.8 6 .000 .000 .150 8.3 0.0 0.0 .263 .315 .259 16.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 56 85.6 98 18.1 2:00 2:00 0
2020 Curveball 39 78.6 99 22.1 6:45 6:30 15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 98 91.8 85 15.3 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Sinker 219 91.9 83 16.6 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Slider 121 81.5 40 8.6 6:15 6:45 -30
2021 Changeup 247 84.5 99 19.0 2:15 2:30 -15
2021 Curveball 80 78.2 98 19.5 6:45 6:45 0
2021 Cutter 151 85.8 36 6.2 12:15 11:00 75
2021 Sinker 973 90.4 78 16.2 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 417 79.7 60 9.5 7:00 7:00 0
2022 Changeup 513 84.0 99 18.4 2:30 2:45 -15
2022 Cutter 298 87.1 49 8.6 12:45 11:45 60
2022 Sinker 983 89.5 80 16.9 1:30 2:30 -60
2022 Slider 702 78.7 61 10.7 7:15 7:30 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 146 586 2 -8 4 3 0
2021 511 1,909 -3 -13 10 10 4
2022 671 2,547 -5 -16 16 15 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 571 45.9 67.2 85.8 23.9 40.5 42.7 56.3 43.8 27.6 8.9 90.2
2021 1,909 48.9 64.1 83.6 29.3 59.4 42.5 63.4 46.3 23.2 7.3 75.0
2022 2,548 43.7 62.4 84.1 30.5 59.7 41.9 59.6 44.4 24.4 6.0 63.6
Player 5,028 45.9 63.6 84.1 29.3 57.8 42.2 60.7 45.0 24.3 6.9 72.2
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 67 65 71 74 60 46 57 58 78 55 43 56 18 35 19 65
2021 26 19 36 54 21 27 45 38 15 39 47 27 64 11 12 7 72
2022 24 34 35 40 20 6 22 63 50 32 30 40 61 6 10 76
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 21.5 4 3.3 1 2 4 1 25.0
2021 22.9 13 13.7 -1 7 11 7 53.8
2022 23.6 20 21.8 -2 14 14 10 50.0
Player 23.1 37 38.9 -2 23 29 18 48.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 4 5 2 2 2 3 0 2 2 5 5 3 2 2 2 4 3 5 2 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 5 6
2021 13 15 15 9 15 15 12 16 14 12 13 15 8 13 11 16 16 15 14 12 17 12 12 14 13 14 16 11 16 13 18
2022 20 25 28 22 22 24 23 16 22 20 26 16 18 18 19 23 25 24 21 21 30 18 20 20 22 22 21 18 25 16 30
Player 37 45 45 33 39 42 35 34 38 37 44 34 28 33 32 43 44 44 37 37 52 34 35 37 39 39 40 31 44 34 54
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.8 89.8 -2 88.9 -0.9
Offspeed Velocity 85.5 84.5 -1 84 -0.5
Breaking Velocity 80.8 79.4 -1.4 78.7 -0.7
Exit Velocity 87.8 89.2 1.4 87.9 -1.3
Launch Angle 7.8 6.7 -1.1 5.4 -1.3
Barrel % 6.5 8.1 1.6 8.9 0.8
Hard Hit % 32.6 43.5 10.9 38 -5.5
Sweet Spot % 29.3 31.4 2.1 30 -1.4
xBA .224 .265 0.041 .25 -0.015
BA .197 .275 0.078 .268 -0.007
xwOBA .295 .333 0.038 .327 -0.006
wOBA .268 .336 0.068 .344 0.008
xSLG .351 .419 0.068 .4 -0.019
SLG .315 .427 0.112 .443 0.016
K% 24.6 22.3 -2.3 20.4 -1.9
BB% 9.2 8.4 -0.8 9.2 0.8
Swing % 43.8 46.3 2.5 44.4 -1.9
Whiff% 27.6 23.2 -4.4 24.4 1.2
In Zone % 45.9 48.9 3 43.7 -5.2
Out of Zone % 54.1 51.1 -3 56.3 5.2
Out of Zone Swing % 23.9 29.3 5.4 30.5 1.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.2 28 -0.2 28.3 0.3
First Pitch Strike % 56.3 63.4 7.1 59.6 -3.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 142 .268 71 15 21.1 71 36 50.7
2021 511 .336 285 34 11.9 226 133 58.8
2022 671 .344 338 102 30.2 333 204 61.3

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 188 16.1 37.2% 0.0% 98 22.5 0.0% 19.4%
2021 593 16.6 28.5% 1.7% 287 23.2 0.0% 15.0%
2022 767 16.5 31.0% 2.5% 442 23.5 0.0% 11.1%
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Pitch Distribution