Carl Edwards Jr.
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 165LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2011 | Rd: 48, #1464, Texas Rangers | Mid-Carolina (SC) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 11.12 7 0 0 5.2 6 2.47
2022 6 3 2.76 57 0 2 62 56 1.23
2023 1 3 3.69 32 0 2 31.2 24 1.52
9 Seasons 16 14 3.54 295 0 7 280 328 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 7 0-0 11.12 5.2 6 2.47
2022 57 6-3 2.76 62 56 1.23
2023 32 1-3 3.69 31.2 24 1.52
9 Seasons 295 16-14 3.54 280 328 1.20
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 72 12 1 8.3 5.3 82.8 99.1 9.1 41.7 .222 .335 .267 .311 .321 16.7 21.1 15.8 3.86 3.99
2016 24 623 72 5 6.9 3.6 85.9 109.4 10.0 37.5 .190 .319 .203 .260 .373 29.2 37.7 10.1 3.75 2.80
2017 25 1129 125 5 4.0 1.9 82.7 110.1 12.5 29.6 .169 .263 .238 .266 .326 25.8 35.9 14.9 2.98 2.99
2018 26 946 123 5 4.1 2.3 85.2 108.2 19.4 39.8 .201 .296 .268 .282 .333 26.8 30.2 14.4 2.60 3.32
2019 27 346 45 6 13.3 7.7 87.5 110.5 20.5 42.2 .249 .457 .304 .362 .413 31.1 24.4 16.7 8.47 6.00
2020 28 56 10 0 0.0 0.0 91.6 101.3 12.4 10.0 .110 .151 .206 .152 .188 50.0 35.3 5.9 1.93 1.03
2021 29 111 22 2 9.1 6.7 89.5 106.4 22.3 31.8 .270 .491 .516 .338 .398 50.0 20.0 6.7 11.12 4.92
2022 30 1014 174 8 4.6 3.1 87.7 111.0 12.2 32.8 .213 .340 .291 .284 .315 35.6 21.9 9.8 2.76 3.31
2023 31 565 100 4 4.0 2.8 86.3 112.9 10.1 33.0 .264 .355 .309 .316 .331 29.0 16.9 12.0 3.69 4.21
Player 4862 683 36 5.3 3.1 85.9 112.9 13.8 34.4 .207 .323 .271 .286 .336 30.6 28.2 12.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Edwards relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(63.4%) ,
Changeup
(23.5%) ,
Curveball
(12.4%) ,
Sinker
(0.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 58.3 8.3 33.3 0.0 50.0 8.3 41.7 8.3 50.0 8.3 25.0 0.0 8.3 5.3
2016 51.4 18.1 25.0 5.6 19.4 37.5 40.3 1.4 38.9 20.8 27.8 1.4 6.9 3.6
2017 46.4 26.4 20.8 6.4 35.2 38.4 26.4 12.0 27.2 27.2 24.8 4.0 4.0 1.9
2018 32.5 29.3 28.5 9.8 29.3 35.8 35.0 4.9 23.6 33.3 30.1 3.3 4.1 2.3
2019 26.7 28.9 31.1 13.3 22.2 37.8 40.0 4.4 20.0 31.1 26.7 4.4 13.3 7.7
2020 60.0 20.0 10.0 10.0 40.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 30.0 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0
2021 22.7 40.9 22.7 13.6 27.3 36.4 36.4 4.5 13.6 36.4 31.8 4.5 9.1 6.7
2022 48.3 24.7 20.1 6.9 29.9 46.0 24.1 2.9 35.1 29.3 21.3 5.7 4.6 3.1
2023 45.0 23.0 28.0 4.0 36.0 44.0 20.0 5.0 32.0 23.0 34.0 2.0 4.0 2.8
Player 43.0 25.3 24.3 7.3 30.5 40.3 29.0 5.3 30.3 27.8 26.6 3.8 5.3 3.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 358 93.6 15.7 -1.3 -9 2.8 -8.6 -149
2023 Changeup WSH R 133 89.9 24.8 -1.9 -7 12.8 -2.0 -14
2023 Sinker WSH R 4 95.1 12.0 -7.7 -39 2.3 -12.2 -84
2023 Curveball WSH R 70 79.5 55.5 1.2 2 7.5 0.0 0
2022 Curveball WSH R 228 80.2 52.7 -0.1 0 7.9 0.6 9
2022 Sinker WSH R 14 95.0 11.8 -7.7 -39 2.6 -11.7 -82
2022 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 672 94.6 14.2 -0.7 -5 1.8 -7.9 -130
2022 Changeup WSH R 98 90.7 23.3 -2.7 -10 12.2 -2.3 -16
2021 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 70 94.2 15.1 -1.2 -9 1.2 -7.6 -118
2021 Curveball TOR R 41 79.4 54.2 -0.1 0 7.7 0.6 8
2020 Curveball SEA R 19 78.9 52.7 -2.9 -5 8.5 0.6 8
2020 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 37 93.3 15.6 -1.0 -7 0.6 -7.4 -109
2019 Curveball SD R 77 79.2 56.4 1.9 3 9.2 1.0 12
2019 4-Seam Fastball SD R 257 93.9 14.8 0.1 1 1.0 -8.0 -115
2019 Sinker SD R 11 91.2 20.8 -1.6 -7 9.8 -4.1 -30
2019 Changeup SD R 1 87.8 28.6 0.2 1 12.7 -1.1 -8
2018 Curveball CHC R 227 80.2 54.7 1.5 3 10.6 3.1 41
2018 Changeup CHC R 1 89.5 20.3 -6.0 -23 10.6 -3.4 -24
2018 Sinker CHC R 1 92.3 20.8 -0.7 -3 6.6 -7.5 -53
2018 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 717 94.5 14.6 0.0 0 1.6 -8.5 -123
2017 Sinker CHC R 1 91.1 23.2 2.0 10 13.9 -0.4 -3
2017 Curveball CHC R 337 81.4 50.5 0.7 1 8.8 1.6 22
2017 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 786 95.2 12.4 0.4 3 0.7 -6.8 -91
2016 Changeup CHC R 1 92.3 30.1 3.5 13 18.7 4.5 32
2016 Curveball CHC R 152 81.2 53.8 2.0 4 12.5 3.1 33
2016 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 447 95.8 14.9 -0.3 -2 1.0 -7.6 -115
2015 Curveball CHC R 23 79.1 60.0 5.3 10 10.4 0.0 0
2015 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 44 93.9 16.3 -1.0 -6 0.3 -6.8 -105
2015 Changeup CHC R 1 87.9 26.5 -2.2 -8 16.4 4.1 34
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -4 358 63.4 89 .312 .468 .395 15.7 14.6 12.0 .296 .393 .351 26.6
2023 Changeup 2.0 3 133 23.5 34 .188 .188 .226 32.3 23.5 19.5 .210 .280 .242 25.0
2023 Curveball 5.2 4 70 12.4 17 .067 .133 .156 32.1 17.6 16.7 .214 .321 .285 50.0
2023 Sinker 5.8 0 4 0.7 -- -- -- 33.3 -- -- -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 4 673 66.4 175 .224 .342 .307 21.6 22.9 19.6 .198 .320 .282 35.4
2022 Curveball 0.1 0 229 22.6 43 .220 .463 .306 35.6 25.6 16.7 .203 .410 .281 40.0
2022 Changeup 2.9 3 98 9.7 37 .206 .235 .249 24.5 13.5 25.0 .276 .330 .294 33.3
2022 Sinker -7.6 -1 14 1.4 1 1.000 1.000 .900 20.0 0.0 0.0 .674 .798 .651 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball -1.6 -1 70 63.1 21 .421 .737 .481 26.5 19.0 28.6 .322 .563 .377 50.0
2021 Curveball -10.9 -4 41 36.9 9 .375 1.125 .717 35.7 22.2 22.2 .148 .320 .250 50.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.8 1 37 66.1 13 .167 .417 .273 31.3 23.1 75.0 .130 .182 .185 55.6
2020 Curveball 5.6 1 19 33.9 4 .000 .000 .000 62.5 75.0 60.0 .050 .058 .045 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -4 257 74.3 61 .188 .396 .360 19.4 21.3 17.8 .295 .563 .419 38.9
2019 Curveball -2.5 -2 77 22.3 15 .231 .231 .273 48.0 40.0 16.7 .110 .134 .185 0.0
2019 Sinker 3.2 0 11 3.2 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .023 .030 .025 0.0
2019 Changeup -5.4 0 1 0.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 4 717 75.8 178 .220 .327 .312 30.0 25.3 22.6 .230 .347 .317 29.2
2018 Curveball 1.0 2 227 24.0 43 .077 .077 .131 50.6 51.2 23.7 .088 .096 .141 11.8
2018 Sinker 0.0 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2018 Changeup -2.8 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 9 786 69.6 172 .163 .244 .282 30.7 28.5 20.9 .211 .320 .324 25.0
2017 Curveball 2.1 7 337 29.8 86 .087 .212 .165 49.2 52.3 36.9 .093 .157 .147 25.7
2017 Sinker 23.5 0 1 0.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .587 1.152 .717 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 109 90.0 79 15.8 12:45 2:00 -75
2023 Curveball 65 79.5 86 16.7 6:45 7:00 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 333 93.6 68 15.1 12:00 11:30 30
2022 Changeup 96 90.7 86 16.0 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 Curveball 226 80.2 81 15.2 6:45 7:15 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 666 94.6 70 15.8 12:15 11:45 30
2022 Sinker 14 95.0 78 18.2 12:15 12:15 0
2021 Curveball 41 79.4 81 15.9 6:45 7:00 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 70 94.2 66 15.0 12:15 11:45 30
2020 Curveball 16 78.9 76 14.1 7:00 7:15 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 23 93.2 64 15.7 12:15 11:45 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 163 725 6 9 -1 -3 11
2017 281 1,232 17 19 -12 -8 16
2018 221 946 11 5 -6 -4 6
2019 78 346 2 0 -5 -3 -6
2021 30 111 1 -4 -1 -1 -6
2022 256 1,014 13 7 -9 -5 6
2023 140 565 7 3 -5 -2 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 72 52.1 45.9 76.5 26.5 55.6 39.4 63.2 36.1 30.8 7.0 80.0
2016 623 44.5 66.8 70.8 32.1 43.2 41.4 56.5 47.5 39.2 5.8 61.1
2017 1,129 46.0 62.3 71.7 31.1 50.8 42.6 57.7 45.3 35.4 8.0 65.6
2018 946 46.3 67.6 73.3 28.5 51.7 40.0 60.6 46.6 33.6 7.7 83.6
2019 346 50.0 67.1 83.6 27.2 59.6 35.3 51.3 47.1 23.3 10.1 68.6
2020 56 50.0 57.1 75.0 28.6 25.0 30.4 41.2 42.9 41.7 8.9 80.0
2021 111 45.0 72.0 80.6 19.7 41.7 34.2 40.0 43.2 29.2 6.3 100.0
2022 1,014 48.4 67.0 83.6 30.2 57.6 44.0 61.3 48.0 24.4 9.2 82.8
2023 565 45.3 68.4 84.0 30.1 65.6 45.0 61.4 47.4 21.6 7.3 68.3
Player 4,862 46.7 65.8 77.2 29.8 53.2 41.6 58.3 46.6 30.6 7.9 74.3
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 87 100 59 95
2017 90 99 99 97 65 93 86 100 96 97 1 97 82 82 100 53 89
2018 79 90 94 95 41 94 90 98 97 89 1 93 57 74 100 42 86
2019 60 99 25 86
2021 64 99 80
2022 71 78 77 67 67 87 89 69 69 43 24 40 57 63 98 8 88
2023 42 99 14 80
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.7 4 3.3 1 0 2 2 50.0
2017 22.1 7 6.9 0 2 6 2 28.6
2018 21.7 2 2.5 -1 1 2 1 50.0
2019 24.1 3 2.8 0 0 2 1 33.3
2021 24.7 3 2.4 1 1 2 1 33.3
2022 23.7 8 6.9 1 1 5 3 37.5
2023 22.7 1 1.1 0 2 1 0 0.0
Player 23.1 28 26.0 2 7 20 10 35.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
2017 7 6 7 5 7 8 8 6 6 5 7 7 7 7 7 8 6 6 8 7 9 6 8 8 8 6 6 9 8 7 5
2018 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3
2019 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2
2021 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3
2022 8 8 5 7 7 7 7 7 5 6 7 7 9 7 8 7 7 8 6 7 7 7 9 7 5 6 8 8 8 6 5
2023 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 0 0 1 1 3 1 1
Player 28 27 23 22 27 28 29 24 21 21 26 26 27 24 28 26 25 25 26 27 27 25 34 29 23 22 28 31 29 27 23
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.1 95.8 1.7 95.2 -0.6 94.5 -0.7 93.8 -0.7 93.3 -0.5 94.2 0.9 94.6 0.4 93.6 -1.0
Offspeed Velocity 87.9 92.3 4.4 0.0 0.0 89.5 0.0 87.8 -1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.7 0.0 89.9 -0.8
Breaking Velocity 79.1 81.3 2.2 81.4 0.1 80.2 -1.2 79.2 -1.0 78.9 -0.3 79.4 0.5 80.2 0.8 79.5 -0.7
Exit Velocity 82.8 85.9 3.1 82.7 -3.2 85.2 2.5 87.5 2.3 91.6 4.1 89.5 -2.1 87.7 -1.8 86.3 -1.4
Launch Angle 9.1 10.0 0.9 12.5 2.5 19.4 6.9 20.5 1.1 12.4 -8.1 22.3 9.9 12.2 -10.1 10.1 -2.1
Barrel % 8.3 6.9 -1.4 4.0 -2.9 4.1 0.1 13.3 9.2 0.0 -13.3 9.1 9.1 4.6 -4.5 4.0 -0.6
Hard Hit % 16.7 29.2 12.5 25.8 -3.4 26.8 1.0 31.1 4.3 50.0 18.9 50.0 0.0 35.6 -14.4 29.0 -6.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 41.7 37.5 -4.2 29.6 -7.9 39.8 10.2 42.2 2.4 10.0 -32.2 31.8 21.8 32.8 1.0 33.0 0.2
xBA .222 .190 -0.032 .169 -0.021 .201 0.032 .249 0.048 .110 -0.139 .270 0.160 .213 -0.057 .264 0.051
BA .188 .123 -0.065 .134 0.011 .190 0.056 .190 0.000 .125 -0.065 .407 0.282 .224 -0.183 .250 0.026
xwOBA .311 .260 -0.051 .266 0.006 .282 0.016 .362 0.080 .152 -0.210 .338 0.186 .284 -0.054 .316 0.032
wOBA .267 .203 -0.064 .238 0.035 .268 0.030 .304 0.036 .206 -0.098 .516 0.310 .291 -0.225 .309 0.018
xSLG .335 .319 -0.016 .263 -0.056 .296 0.033 .457 0.161 .151 -0.306 .491 0.340 .340 -0.151 .355 0.015
SLG .250 .246 -0.004 .230 -0.016 .275 0.045 .349 0.074 .313 -0.036 .852 0.539 .351 -0.501 .355 0.004
K% 21.1 37.7 16.6 35.9 -1.8 30.2 -5.7 24.4 -5.8 35.3 10.9 20.0 -15.3 21.9 1.9 16.9 -5.0
BB% 15.8 10.1 -5.7 14.9 4.8 14.4 -0.5 16.7 2.3 5.9 -10.8 6.7 0.8 9.8 3.1 12.0 2.2
Swing % 36.1 47.5 11.4 45.3 -2.2 46.6 1.3 47.1 0.5 42.9 -4.2 43.2 0.3 48.0 4.8 47.4 -0.6
Whiff% 30.8 39.2 8.4 35.4 -3.8 33.6 -1.8 23.3 -10.3 41.7 18.4 29.2 -12.5 24.4 -4.8 21.6 -2.8
In Zone % 52.1 44.5 -7.6 46.0 1.5 46.3 0.3 50.0 3.7 50.0 0.0 45.0 -5.0 48.4 3.4 45.3 -3.1
Out of Zone % 47.9 55.5 7.6 54.0 -1.5 53.7 -0.3 50.0 -3.7 50.0 0.0 55.0 5.0 51.6 -3.4 54.7 3.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.5 32.1 5.6 31.1 -1.0 28.5 -2.6 27.2 -1.3 28.6 1.4 19.7 -8.9 30.2 10.5 30.1 -0.1
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 25.4 -0.9 27.7 2.3 31.2 3.5