Brandon Bielak
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 11, #331, Houston Astros | Notre Dame
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 3 4 4.50 28 2 1 50 46 1.38
2022 0 0 3.65 5 0 0 12.1 12 1.22
2023 5 6 3.83 15 13 0 80 62 1.53
4 Seasons 11 13 4.54 60 21 1 174.1 146 1.50
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 3-4 4.50 50 46 1.38
2022 5 0-0 3.65 12.1 12 1.22
2023 15 5-6 3.83 80 62 1.53
4 Seasons 60 11-13 4.54 174.1 146 1.50
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 24 597 103 9 8.7 6.1 87.7 110.4 14.1 35.9 .294 .540 .411 .397 .442 39.8 17.6 11.5 6.75 7.22
2021 25 835 148 7 4.7 3.2 87.2 117.4 10.4 33.8 .246 .369 .314 .309 .343 34.5 21.1 9.6 4.50 4.03
2022 26 226 35 4 11.4 7.4 88.7 111.0 10.9 14.3 .215 .392 .322 .319 .352 40.0 22.2 7.4 3.65 4.25
2023 27 1388 250 26 10.4 7.4 90.5 115.6 8.8 30.0 .266 .453 .357 .352 .383 48.4 17.6 10.2 3.83 5.34
Player 3046 536 46 8.6 6.0 89.0 117.4 10.4 31.2 .262 .441 .353 .346 .381 42.4 18.9 10.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bielak relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(30.5%) ,
Changeup
(24.9%) ,
Sinker
(21.7%) ,
Slider
(11.8%) ,
Curveball
(11.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 36.9 28.2 28.2 6.8 35.0 38.8 26.2 4.9 30.1 20.4 22.3 12.6 8.7 6.1
2021 46.6 21.6 26.4 5.4 35.8 34.5 29.7 6.8 35.8 25.0 23.6 4.1 4.7 3.2
2022 51.4 37.1 5.7 5.7 37.1 34.3 28.6 5.7 34.3 25.7 20.0 2.9 11.4 7.4
2023 51.2 22.4 22.0 4.4 43.6 36.8 19.6 4.0 34.4 20.4 24.4 5.6 10.4 7.4
Player 47.2 24.3 23.3 5.2 39.4 36.4 24.3 5.0 34.0 22.0 23.5 6.3 8.6 6.0
MLB 44.7 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider HOU R 163 82.0 46.2 5.5 14 12.1 4.4 57
2023 Curveball HOU R 155 79.5 58.9 5.9 11 5.8 1.3 30
2023 4-Seamer HOU R 423 92.1 18.7 -3.0 -19 3.9 -3.0 -44
2023 Changeup HOU R 345 87.1 31.0 0.9 3 15.0 0.6 4
2023 Sinker HOU R 301 92.1 25.3 3.5 16 13.4 -0.5 -3
2022 4-Seamer HOU R 79 93.4 13.9 0.5 4 7.3 0.5 7
2022 Slider HOU R 32 82.8 41.7 2.0 5 11.6 5.3 83
2022 Curveball HOU R 32 79.8 58.4 5.7 11 5.7 0.0 0
2022 Sinker HOU R 55 93.2 21.9 0.4 2 16.2 1.7 12
2022 Changeup HOU R 28 87.3 28.8 -0.9 -3 16.2 2.2 16
2021 Sinker HOU R 132 93.2 20.6 -1.3 -6 13.5 -1.1 -7
2021 Cutter HOU R 44 90.0 25.4 0.1 0 2.5 0.2 11
2021 Changeup HOU R 96 88.2 27.6 -1.6 -6 16.5 2.0 14
2021 Slider HOU R 141 83.0 40.0 1.5 4 9.8 4.0 68
2021 Curveball HOU R 87 80.3 59.0 7.3 14 6.6 -0.1 -2
2021 4-Seamer HOU R 335 94.0 15.8 -1.0 -7 5.2 -1.7 -24
2020 Slider HOU R 67 83.4 38.5 0.8 2 8.2 3.3 69
2020 Cutter HOU R 80 88.9 27.5 -1.4 -5 3.8 1.7 77
2020 4-Seamer HOU R 295 93.2 15.3 -0.2 -1 8.4 1.6 23
2020 Curveball HOU R 50 79.7 59.2 6.6 13 6.5 0.0 -1
2020 Changeup HOU R 104 86.4 30.1 0.0 0 16.2 2.5 18
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -1.7 -7 423 30.5 117 .276 .510 .415 16.0 16.2 17.4 .262 .496 .383 54.4
2023 Changeup 1.0 3 345 24.9 95 .227 .352 .292 33.2 26.3 22.1 .263 .406 .318 41.3
2023 Sinker -0.8 -2 301 21.7 77 .333 .470 .425 13.4 3.9 7.9 .270 .388 .340 48.4
2023 Slider -2.1 -3 164 11.8 41 .333 .722 .463 35.5 22.0 18.0 .291 .669 .436 44.4
2023 Curveball -0.8 -1 155 11.2 23 .217 .217 .196 30.2 26.1 12.0 .238 .298 .235 52.9
2022 4-Seamer 1.2 1 79 35.0 20 .278 .500 .368 18.6 20.0 21.1 .238 .417 .325 50.0
2022 Sinker -3.0 -2 55 24.3 14 .364 .636 .486 19.0 14.3 18.2 .313 .590 .453 44.4
2022 Curveball -0.6 0 32 14.2 8 .286 .286 .313 15.4 12.5 7.7 .149 .173 .214 16.7
2022 Slider 1.6 1 32 14.2 5 .000 .000 .140 33.3 60.0 27.3 .043 .043 .173 0.0
2022 Changeup 6.3 2 28 12.4 7 .000 .000 .000 23.1 28.6 16.7 .168 .433 .256 40.0
2021 4-Seamer 0.1 0 335 40.1 78 .295 .393 .382 23.8 17.9 13.6 .260 .395 .353 50.0
2021 Slider -4.1 -6 141 16.9 36 .265 .676 .386 35.9 33.3 24.0 .212 .526 .313 30.4
2021 Sinker 0.6 1 132 15.8 41 .250 .306 .305 10.0 7.3 16.7 .303 .359 .324 23.5
2021 Changeup 3.9 4 96 11.5 27 .192 .231 .206 31.3 25.9 20.6 .248 .303 .258 15.8
2021 Curveball -0.1 0 87 10.4 24 .182 .227 .223 32.4 29.2 29.2 .152 .185 .194 46.7
2021 Cutter -2.8 -1 44 5.3 12 .300 .300 .342 22.2 25.0 27.3 .267 .297 .322 14.3
2020 4-Seamer -1.1 -3 295 49.4 64 .327 .712 .480 15.4 7.8 7.8 .345 .634 .461 47.9
2020 Changeup 1.6 2 104 17.4 38 .125 .188 .224 43.9 28.9 24.4 .164 .218 .252 14.3
2020 Cutter -3.5 -3 80 13.4 18 .471 .824 .561 30.4 11.1 9.5 .382 .797 .505 40.0
2020 Slider 0.1 0 67 11.2 18 .333 .556 .403 35.9 22.2 14.8 .301 .541 .358 35.7
2020 Curveball -7.9 -4 50 8.4 10 .444 .778 .540 26.7 40.0 21.1 .276 .659 .416 80.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 340 87.1 88 16.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Curveball 155 79.5 85 19.1 7:00 6:30 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 419 92.1 75 13.7 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 301 92.1 74 15.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2023 Slider 164 82.0 42 14.8 7:15 8:00 -45
2022 Changeup 28 87.3 92 18.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 Curveball 32 79.8 83 18.9 6:45 6:30 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 77 93.4 85 18.7 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Sinker 55 93.2 81 19.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2022 Slider 31 82.8 38 13.1 7:30 8:30 -60
2021 Changeup 95 88.2 92 18.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 87 80.3 84 20.4 7:00 6:45 15
2021 Cutter 44 90.0 46 7.9 12:15 11:15 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 335 94.0 81 15.6 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 132 93.2 76 17.4 1:00 1:45 -45
2021 Slider 141 83.0 35 11.1 7:45 8:45 -60
2020 Changeup 96 86.3 91 18.0 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 Curveball 47 79.7 87 19.9 6:45 6:45 0
2020 Cutter 75 88.8 33 7.4 12:00 10:45 75
2020 4-Seam Fastball 275 93.1 91 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Slider 66 83.4 32 9.5 8:00 9:00 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 148 596 -3 3 -5 -4 -8
2021 218 835 2 10 -9 -5 -2
2022 54 226 2 3 -1 -2 1
2023 353 1,388 9 0 -13 -7 -11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 597 44.7 67.4 79.4 28.5 58.5 43.6 56.8 45.9 27.4 5.2 77.4
2021 835 48.9 68.6 83.9 26.2 50.0 42.5 52.3 46.9 25.3 8.7 76.7
2022 226 53.5 63.6 87.0 18.1 52.6 40.3 51.9 42.5 19.8 8.8 80.0
2023 1,388 45.6 66.7 84.1 26.8 59.9 40.6 51.3 45.0 23.7 6.8 73.7
Player 3,046 46.9 67.1 83.4 26.4 56.7 41.7 52.7 45.5 24.6 7.2 75.8
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 3 6 5 7 5 28 29 61 31 14 22 54 58 48 66 35 4
2021 54 40 65 82 32 92 92 82 81 31 32 43 31 55 85 56 4
2022 40 78 2
2023 12 20 19 23 12 33 14 12 2 14 24 33 23 20 75 36 2
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.4 9 7.8 1 4 4 4 44.4
2021 22.1 5 4.9 0 2 5 1 20.0
2022 24.5 2 2.1 0 0 2 1 50.0
2023 23.3 12 11.6 0 5 7 6 50.0
Player 22.9 28 26.4 2 11 18 12 42.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 9 8 7 9 9 8 8 7 8 7 6 9 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 10 9 8 5 6 9 9 9 9 6
2021 5 7 3 6 5 5 6 6 1 3 4 7 5 4 5 7 5 5 5 6 4 4 8 5 4 3 6 5 4 5 4
2022 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 2 1 3 3 2 2
2023 12 10 10 10 14 12 13 9 12 10 11 12 12 11 13 12 13 10 11 14 10 13 15 14 8 10 12 13 11 12 10
Player 28 27 22 27 29 26 29 24 22 21 22 29 28 25 28 30 28 24 26 29 25 29 35 30 20 21 28 30 27 28 22
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.3 93.5 1.2 93.3 -0.2 92.1 -1.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 88.2 1.8 87.3 -0.9 87.1 -0.2
Breaking Velocity 81.8 81.9 0.1 81.3 -0.6 80.8 -0.5
Exit Velocity 87.7 87.2 -0.5 88.7 1.5 90.5 1.8
Launch Angle 14.1 10.4 -3.7 10.9 0.5 8.8 -2.1
Barrel % 8.7 4.7 -4.0 11.4 6.7 10.4 -1.0
Hard Hit % 39.8 34.5 -5.3 40.0 5.5 48.4 8.4
Sweet Spot % 35.9 33.8 -2.1 14.3 -19.5 30.0 15.7
xBA .294 .246 -0.048 .215 -0.031 .266 0.051
BA .305 .254 -0.051 .234 -0.020 .277 0.043
xwOBA .397 .309 -0.088 .319 0.010 .352 0.033
wOBA .411 .314 -0.097 .322 0.008 .357 0.035
xSLG .540 .369 -0.171 .392 0.023 .453 0.061
SLG .578 .381 -0.197 .383 0.002 .460 0.077
K% 17.6 21.1 3.5 22.2 1.1 17.6 -4.6
BB% 11.5 9.6 -1.9 7.4 -2.2 10.2 2.8
Swing % 45.9 46.9 1.0 42.5 -4.4 45.0 2.5
Whiff% 27.4 25.3 -2.1 19.8 -5.5 23.7 3.9
In Zone % 44.7 48.9 4.2 53.5 4.6 45.6 -7.9
Out of Zone % 55.3 51.1 -4.2 46.5 -4.6 54.4 7.9
Out of Zone Swing % 28.5 26.2 -2.3 18.1 -8.1 26.8 8.7
First Pitch Swing % 27.0 24.8 -2.2 14.8 -10.0 25.5 10.7
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 52.3 -4.5 51.9 -0.4 51.3 -0.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 148 .411 67 15 22.4 81 57 70.4
2021 Shifts 207 .313 121 24 19.8 86 75 87.2
2022 Shifts 54 .322 31 10 32.3 23 21 91.3
2023 Shades 353 .357 197 7 3.6 156 84 53.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 170 16.6 25.3% 0.6% 94 22.1 0.0% 4.3%
2021 234 18.7 9.0% 2.6% 136 22.3 0.0% 6.6%
2022 65 16.5 24.6% 3.1% 47 20.2 0.0% 2.1%
2023 389 14.8 55.0% 0.0% 246 17.3 11.4% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution