AJ Smith-Shawver
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 205LBS | Age: 21
Draft: 2021 | Rd: 7, #217, Atlanta Braves | Colleyville Heritage HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 0 4.26 6 5 0 25.1 20 1.11
2024 0 0 0.00 1 1 0 4.1 4 1.15
2 Seasons 1 0 3.64 7 6 0 29.2 24 1.11
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 6 1-0 4.26 25.1 20 1.11
2024 1 0-0 0.00 4.1 4 1.15
2 Seasons 7 1-0 3.64 29.2 24 1.11
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 20 454 73 7 9.6 6.7 90.3 116.6 19.3 30.1 .206 .390 .301 .301 .318 35.6 19.0 10.5 4.26 3.79
2024 21 87 12 1 8.3 5.6 89.5 108.5 31.7 25.0 .200 .293 .225 .263 .279 50.0 22.2 11.1 0.00 2.66
Player 541 85 8 9.4 6.5 90.2 116.6 21.0 29.4 .205 .376 .290 .295 .313 37.6 19.5 10.6
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smith-Shawver relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(54.0%) ,
Changeup
(25.3%) ,
Curveball
(20.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 37.0 32.9 19.2 11.0 42.5 30.1 27.4 0.0 28.8 41.1 13.7 6.8 9.6 6.7
2024 25.0 33.3 25.0 16.7 33.3 8.3 58.3 8.3 8.3 41.7 33.3 0.0 8.3 5.6
Player 35.3 32.9 20.0 11.8 41.2 27.1 31.8 1.2 25.9 41.2 16.5 5.9 9.4 6.5
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 47 96.2 13.3 0.0 0 7.0 -0.2 -3
2024 Changeup ATL R 22 86.0 32.6 1.3 4 9.6 -4.7 -33
2024 Curveball ATL R 18 76.5 60.9 2.9 5 10.4 0.6 6
2023 Curveball ATL R 55 76.8 59.5 1.5 3 8.3 -0.7 -8
2023 Changeup ATL R 48 86.1 27.2 -3.2 -10 9.8 -4.3 -31
2023 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 245 94.5 12.9 1.4 10 6.6 0.0 1
2023 Slider ATL R 106 84.9 32.2 -4.5 -12 3.0 -2.0 -40
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 4.3 2 47 54.0 9 .111 .111 .100 15.4 11.1 7.7 .186 .326 .213 62.5
2024 Changeup -0.3 0 22 25.3 4 .250 .250 .225 37.5 50.0 13.3 .242 .278 .227 0.0
2024 Curveball -0.3 0 18 20.7 5 .333 .333 .460 22.2 20.0 12.5 .184 .213 .383 50.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 1 245 54.0 65 .196 .482 .367 12.0 10.8 11.1 .216 .436 .332 36.7
2023 Slider 0.3 0 106 23.3 18 .133 .333 .278 35.1 16.7 10.0 .165 .385 .305 33.3
2023 Curveball -4.8 -3 55 12.1 11 .364 .636 .427 25.0 27.3 13.6 .342 .471 .349 50.0
2023 Changeup 4.8 2 48 10.6 11 .000 .000 .000 50.0 63.6 33.3 .071 .086 .068 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 21 85.9 80 10.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 Curveball 18 76.5 97 20.0 7:00 7:00 0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 47 96.2 97 17.3 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Changeup 46 86.1 99 14.2 1:45 1:45 0
2023 Curveball 55 76.8 89 18.2 6:45 7:00 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 245 94.5 99 18.5 12:45 12:45 0
2023 Slider 106 84.9 42 5.5 12:15 10:45 90
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 117 507 3 3 -2 -4 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 454 45.4 68.9 83.8 25.8 65.6 39.6 46.7 45.4 21.8 8.6 79.5
2024 87 51.7 75.6 76.5 21.4 77.8 43.7 61.1 49.4 20.9 5.7 100.0
Player 541 46.4 70.1 82.4 25.2 67.1 40.3 48.8 46.0 21.7 8.1 81.8
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 58 39 20 57
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 22.4 10 7.3 3 3 6 3 30.0
2024 -- 0 0.2 0 2 0 0 --
Player 22.4 10 7.4 3 5 6 3 30.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 10 6 6 6 8 8 8 5 7 6 7 8 8 7 8 9 7 6 8 9 6 8 10 10 6 6 8 7 7 7 6
2024 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 10 6 6 6 9 9 9 5 7 6 7 10 8 7 8 9 7 6 8 9 6 8 10 10 6 6 8 7 7 7 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.5 96.2 1.7
Offspeed Velocity 86.1 86.0 -0.1
Breaking Velocity 82.1 76.5 -5.6
Exit Velocity 90.3 89.5 -0.8
Launch Angle 19.3 31.7 12.4
Barrel % 9.6 8.3 -1.3
Hard Hit % 35.6 50.0 14.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.1 25.0 -5.1
xBA .206 .200 -0.006
BA .183 .188 0.005
xwOBA .301 .263 -0.038
wOBA .301 .225 -0.076
xSLG .390 .293 -0.097
SLG .419 .188 -0.231
K% 19.0 22.2 3.2
BB% 10.5 11.1 0.6
Swing % 45.4 49.4 4.0
Whiff% 21.8 20.9 -0.9
In Zone % 45.4 51.7 6.3
Out of Zone % 54.6 48.3 -6.3
Out of Zone Swing % 25.8 21.4 -4.4
First Pitch Swing % 22.9 50.0 27.1
First Pitch Strike % 46.7 61.1 14.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 105 .301 46 13 28.3 59 32 54.2
2024 Shades 18 .225 10 0 0.0 8 4 50.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 150 15.3 47.3% 0.0% 52 19.0 3.8% 0.0%
2024 28 16.2 14.3% 0.0% 8 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution