P | Boston Red Sox
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 250 lbs | Age: 23
Draft: 2024 | Rd. 2, No. 50, Boston Red Sox | TCU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 0 1 6.06 7 3 0 16.1 19 1.59
2026 5 6 3.14 14 14 0 80.1 80 1.07
2 Seasons 5 7 3.63 21 17 0 96.2 99 1.16
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 7 0-1 6.06 16.1 19 1.59
2026 14 5-6 3.14 80.1 80 1.07
2 Seasons 21 5-7 3.63 96.2 99 1.16
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 22 304 47 3 6.4 4.1 88.5 111.9 15.2 36.2 .253 .426 .377 .333 .407 38.3 25.7 10.8 6.06 4.67
2026 23 1206 220 15 6.9 4.6 87.5 112.3 19.3 31.4 .213 .340 .272 .274 .324 34.1 24.5 7.4 3.14 3.08
Player 1510 267 18 6.8 4.5 87.7 112.3 18.6 32.2 .220 .356 .292 .285 .339 34.8 24.8 8.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Tolle relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(48.2%) ,
Sinker
(22.8%) ,
Cutter
(17.7%) ,
Curveball
(8.0%) ,
Changeup
(3.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 31.9 68.1 25.5 36.2 6.4 29.8 36.2 34.0 12.8 17.0 2.1 17.0 19.1 31.9
2026 34.5 65.5 30.0 22.3 13.2 39.5 32.3 28.2 19.1 11.4 4.1 20.5 20.9 24.1
Player 34.1 65.9 29.2 24.7 12.0 37.8 33.0 29.2 18.0 12.4 3.7 19.9 20.6 25.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 6.4 21.3 23.4 31.9 10.6 6.4 4.1
2026 6.4 23.2 37.3 20.5 4.5 6.9 4.6
Player 6.4 22.8 34.8 22.5 5.6 6.8 4.5
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Sinker BOS L 275 94.9 21.3 -0.9 17.0ARM 1.4 9.2 -1.7 17.0ARM 1.6
2026 Changeup BOS L 40 88.5 34.2 2.3 10.7ARM -2.9 0.6 4.0 10.7ARM -3.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball BOS L 581 96.0 14.4 -0.3 9.6ARM 1.2 15.3 -0.3 9.6ARM 1.5
2026 Cutter BOS L 213 88.2 28.4 -1.0 3.1GLV 0.9 6.6 -0.9 3.1GLV 1.0
2026 Curveball BOS L 97 82.4 45.1 -5.8 7.0GLV -1.6 -5.0 -5.1 7.0GLV -1.2
2025 Cutter BOS L 42 89.5 24.5 0.3 2.7GLV 1.3 9.5 1.7 2.7GLV 0.8
2025 Changeup BOS L 20 89.8 32.9 2.4 8.0ARM -6.7 0.8 4.4 8.0ARM -6.2
2025 Curveball BOS L 18 83.0 45.1 -5.3 5.4GLV -1.9 -5.6 -4.1 5.4GLV -2.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS L 195 96.7 12.7 0.7 6.8ARM -0.8 16.7 0.8 6.8ARM -1.3
2025 Slider BOS L 29 88.6 31.1 -1.4 0.9GLV -2.4 3.8 -1.7 0.9GLV -3.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 6 581 48.2 151 .162 .287 .247 28.0 33.1 23.5 .172 .296 .243 31.8
2026 Sinker -0.4 -1 275 22.8 86 .299 .416 .381 10.9 5.8 15.6 .290 .413 .346 38.9
2026 Cutter 1.5 3 213 17.7 48 .244 .378 .295 24.0 18.8 16.7 .249 .353 .287 27.8
2026 Curveball 0.6 1 97 8.0 30 .172 .345 .233 44.7 46.7 26.9 .148 .280 .197 40.0
2026 Changeup 2.1 1 40 3.3 11 .091 .364 .182 25.0 18.2 14.3 .214 .485 .296 33.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -2 195 64.1 53 .283 .565 .420 28.3 26.4 23.3 .252 .423 .342 28.1
2025 Cutter -3.8 -2 42 13.8 5 .500 1.250 .720 33.3 20.0 50.0 .206 .597 .404 100.0
2025 Slider 4.2 1 29 9.5 9 .125 .125 .100 33.3 22.2 18.2 .230 .333 .258 28.6
2025 Changeup -5.9 -1 20 6.6 3 .667 1.000 .717 44.4 33.3 11.1 .354 .648 .422 100.0
2025 Curveball 1.9 0 18 5.9 4 .000 .000 .000 16.7 25.0 7.7 .285 .312 .258 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 36 88.5 92 11.4 9:45 9:00 45
2026 Curveball 97 82.4 49 10.2 3:30 4:30 -60
2026 Cutter 213 88.2 39 6.7 11:45 1:00 -75
2026 4-Seam Fastball 578 96.0 94 17.9 10:30 10:45 -15
2026 Sinker 271 94.9 92 19.6 10:30 9:45 45
2025 Changeup 15 89.7 67 9.1 10:15 9:00 75
2025 Curveball 18 83.0 45 9.4 4:00 4:45 -45
2025 Cutter 42 89.5 54 9.3 11:30 12:45 -75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 195 96.7 92 17.7 11:00 11:15 -15
2025 Slider 29 88.6 29 3.5 1:00 1:00 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 74 304 -2 2 -2 -1 -3
2026 326 1,206 11 11 -9 -4 9
Player 400 1,510 9 13 -11 9 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 304 56.9 78.6 75.0 20.6 44.4 42.1 62.2 53.6 30.1 12.5 92.1
2026 1,206 53.8 73.0 80.8 33.0 60.9 41.8 63.8 54.6 24.8 8.6 78.8
Player 1,510 54.4 74.2 79.5 30.7 58.8 41.9 63.5 54.4 25.8 9.4 82.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2025 86 67 99
2026 82 88 55 69 86 69 41 23 74 75 48 62 67 60 79 14 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.67 5 3.1 2 2 3 1 20.0
2026 24.00 8 7.7 0 5 6 4 50.0
Player 24.26 13 10.8 2 7 9 5 38.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2025 5 2 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 3 5 2 5 3 3 4 2 2 5 2 3 5 3 3 2 3 5 3 3 2
2026 8 8 8 9 9 8 6 6 9 9 5 9 6 9 7 11 8 6 7 11 4 7 11 9 6 5 5 7 11 7 9
Player 13 10 11 12 12 12 9 8 11 11 8 14 8 14 10 14 12 8 9 16 6 10 16 12 9 7 8 12 14 10 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .208 -.069 ↓ .277
xBA .213 -.040 ↓ .253
OBP .271 -.080 ↓ .351
xOBP .276 -.060 ↓ .336
SLG .342 -.196 ↓ .538
xSLG .340 -.086 ↓ .426
ISO .134 -.128 ↓ .262
xISO .127 -.046 ↓ .173
BABIP .256 -.054 ↓ .310
wOBA .272 -.105 ↓ .377
xwOBA .274 -.059 ↓ .333
wOBAcon .321 -.156 ↓ .477
xwOBAcon .324 -.083 ↓ .407
BACON .283 -.100 ↓ .383
xBACON .291 -.067 ↓ .358
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 34.1 -4.2 ↓ 38.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.5 -1.0 ↓ 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.4 -4.8 ↓ 36.2
Barrel % 6.9 +0.5 ↑ 6.4
Avg Launch Angle 19.3 +4.1 ↑ 15.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 -0.8 ↓ 72.7
Attack Angle 7° 0° ↑ 6°
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.4 +1.4 ↑ 45.0
Attack Direction 1° -2° ↓ 3°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° ↓ 32°
Swing Length 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.2 -1.2 ↓ 95.4
Breaking Velocity 82.4 -4.1 ↓ 86.5
Offspeed Velocity 88.5 -1.3 ↓ 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 15 +12 ↑ 3
Popup % 13.2 +6.8 ↑ 6.4
Flyball % 30.0 +4.5 ↑ 25.5
Line Drive % 22.3 -13.9 ↓ 36.2
Groundball % 34.5 +2.6 ↑ 31.9
Pull % 39.5 +9.7 ↑ 29.8
Straight Away % 32.3 -3.9 ↓ 36.2
Opposite Field % 28.2 -5.8 ↓ 34.0
Weak Contact % 6.4 0.0 6.4
Pull Airball % 20.5 +3.5 ↑ 17.0
Topped Contact % 23.2 +1.9 ↑ 21.3
Under Contact % 37.3 +13.9 ↑ 23.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 20.5 -11.4 ↓ 31.9
Solid Contact % 4.5 -6.1 ↓ 10.6
HR/FB % 12.1 -29.6 ↓ 41.7
Popups 29 +26 ↑ 3
Flyballs 66 +54 ↑ 12
Line Drives 49 +32 ↑ 17
Groundballs 76 +61 ↑ 15
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 53.8 -3.1 ↓ 56.9
Out of Zone % 46.2 +3.1 ↑ 43.1
Edge % 41.8 -0.3 ↓ 42.1
Zone Swing % 73.0 -5.6 ↓ 78.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.0 +12.4 ↑ 20.6
In Zone Contact % 80.8 +5.8 ↑ 75.0
Out of Zone Contact % 60.9 +16.5 ↑ 44.4
Whiff % 24.8 -5.3 ↓ 30.1
First Strike % 63.8 +1.6 ↑ 62.2
First Pitch Swing % 37.1 -6.1 ↓ 43.2
Swing % 54.6 +1.0 ↑ 53.6
Meatball Swing % 78.8 -13.3 ↓ 92.1
Meatball % 8.6 -3.9 ↓ 12.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 19.2 -5.8 ↓ 25.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 39.1 -16.5 ↓ 55.6
In Zone 649 +476 ↑ 173
Out of Zone 557 +426 ↑ 131
Edge 504 +376 ↑ 128
In Zone Swings 474 +338 ↑ 136
Out of Zone Swings 184 +157 ↑ 27
In Zone Swing & Misses 91 +57 ↑ 34
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 72 +57 ↑ 15
Basic
Pitches 1,206 +902 ↑ 304
PA 326 +252 ↑ 74
AB 298 +233 ↑ 65
Hits 62 +44 ↑ 18
Singles 39 +28 ↑ 11
Doubles 14 +12 ↑ 2
Triples 1 +1 ↑ 0
Home Runs 8 +3 ↑ 5
Walks 24 +16 ↑ 8
Strikeouts 80 +61 ↑ 19
K% 24.5 -1.2 ↓ 25.7
BB% 7.4 -3.4 ↓ 10.8
HBP 2 +2 ↑ 0
Batted Balls 220 +173 ↑ 47
Fastball Percent 88.6 +10.6 ↑ 78.0
Offspeed Percent 3.3 -3.3 ↓ 6.6
Breaking Percent 8.0 -7.5 ↓ 15.5
Number of Fastballs 1,069 +832 ↑ 237
Number of Offspeed 40 +20 ↑ 20
Number of Breaking 97 +50 ↑ 47
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 74 .377 59 0 0.0 15 8 53.3
2026 Shades 326 .272 226 14 6.2 100 3 3.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 75 15.6 36.0% 0.0% 45 17.9 0.0% 0.0%
2026 280 14.3 57.5% 0.7% 152 18.6 1.3% 2.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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