P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 185 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 8, No. 226, Boston Red Sox | Texas Tech
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 1 4.13 13 11 0 61 45 1.28
2026 1 0 2.77 3 1 1 13 14 1.31
2 Seasons 5 1 3.89 16 12 1 74 59 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 13 4-1 4.13 61 45 1.28
2026 3 1-0 2.77 13 14 1.31
2 Seasons 16 5-1 3.89 74 59 1.28
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 931 192 13 6.8 5.1 89.3 111.3 9.5 31.8 .241 .415 .310 .308 .345 41.7 17.6 6.6 4.13 3.93
2026 26 218 32 5 15.6 9.4 91.0 103.9 5.9 37.5 .262 .453 .298 .357 .438 50.0 26.4 13.2 2.77 5.31
Player 1149 224 18 8.1 5.8 89.5 111.3 9.0 32.6 .245 .422 .308 .317 .358 42.9 19.1 7.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dobbins relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.0%) ,
Slider
(18.8%) ,
Sinker
(13.8%) ,
Sweeper
(12.8%) ,
Split Finger
(11.0%) ,
Curveball
(10.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 48.4 51.6 19.8 25.5 6.3 33.3 34.4 32.3 22.4 19.3 6.8 10.9 15.1 25.5
2026 53.1 46.9 15.6 25.0 6.3 46.9 31.3 21.9 25.0 21.9 6.3 21.9 9.4 15.6
Player 49.1 50.9 19.2 25.4 6.3 35.3 33.9 30.8 22.8 19.6 6.7 12.5 14.3 24.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.2 34.9 20.8 24.0 8.3 6.8 5.1
2026 3.1 40.6 12.5 28.1 0.0 15.6 9.4
Player 4.0 35.7 19.6 24.6 7.1 8.1 5.8
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Sinker STL R 30 96.0 20.7 -0.2 13.0ARM -2.3 9.0 -1.3 13.0ARM -2.3
2026 Split-Finger STL R 24 89.6 29.7 -1.6 15.0ARM 2.6 4.4 -1.5 15.0ARM 3.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 72 95.9 14.4 -0.9 1.6ARM -5.7 15.2 -0.8 1.6ARM -6.2
2026 Slider STL R 41 88.6 30.9 -1.9 5.6GLV 2.2 3.8 -2.4 5.6GLV 1.6
2026 Curveball STL R 23 80.2 53.7 0.3 6.4GLV -2.1 -11.2 0.9 6.4GLV -2.9
2026 Sweeper STL R 28 82.8 37.9 -1.0 16.2GLV 2.0 2.1 -1.0 16.2GLV 2.3
2025 Sweeper BOS R 96 81.3 40.6 -0.1 14.7GLV 0.5 1.1 -0.2 14.7GLV 0.8
2025 Sinker BOS R 13 95.0 20.4 -0.8 14.3ARM -0.5 10.0 -2.6 14.3ARM -0.8
2025 Slider BOS R 252 87.7 34.5 1.2 6.4GLV 2.6 1.0 0.8 6.4GLV 2.1
2025 Split-Finger BOS R 81 90.5 28.4 -1.5 12.6ARM 0.4 5.1 -2.0 12.6ARM 1.3
2025 Curveball BOS R 112 78.7 55.9 0.6 7.0GLV -1.7 -11.5 1.3 7.0GLV -2.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 377 95.5 14.2 -0.5 2.1ARM -4.9 15.8 0.0 2.1ARM -5.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 0 72 33.0 17 .333 .417 .438 18.8 23.5 23.5 .328 .570 .476 50.0
2026 Slider -3.8 -2 41 18.8 4 .500 1.250 .725 22.2 25.0 14.3 .246 .627 .364 33.3
2026 Sinker 11.1 3 30 13.8 13 .000 .000 .000 27.8 23.1 42.9 .263 .303 .245 70.0
2026 Sweeper -0.4 0 28 12.8 6 .200 .200 .267 20.0 33.3 18.2 .209 .267 .286 0.0
2026 Split-Finger 5.3 1 24 11.0 8 .000 .000 .088 25.0 25.0 25.0 .183 .484 .331 60.0
2026 Curveball -3.2 -1 23 10.6 5 .600 .800 .610 44.4 40.0 20.0 .282 .565 .363 33.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 377 40.5 108 .316 .453 .398 11.9 12.0 15.3 .277 .480 .366 46.3
2025 Slider 0.3 1 252 27.1 66 .234 .422 .292 29.2 16.7 21.2 .293 .530 .360 52.8
2025 Curveball -0.5 -1 112 12.0 31 .258 .452 .302 38.2 35.5 20.0 .165 .332 .208 25.0
2025 Sweeper 0.3 0 96 10.3 30 .185 .222 .262 21.4 20.0 14.6 .139 .181 .196 14.3
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 0 81 8.7 19 .158 .263 .239 20.6 21.1 17.4 .164 .185 .155 33.3
2025 Sinker 1.8 0 13 1.4 1 .000 .000 .000 40.0 0.0 0.0 .067 .067 .064 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 23 80.2 64 15.3 7:30 6:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 72 95.9 76 14.8 12:30 12:15 15
2026 Split-Finger 24 89.6 79 16.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Sinker 30 96.0 83 15.9 12:45 2:00 -75
2026 Slider 41 88.6 39 6.8 10:15 9:45 30
2026 Sweeper 28 82.8 50 17.1 8:15 9:00 -45
2025 Curveball 112 78.7 66 16.0 7:15 7:00 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 377 95.5 77 15.4 12:15 12:15 0
2025 Split-Finger 71 90.5 86 14.2 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 Sinker 13 95.0 83 17.6 12:45 2:00 -75
2025 Slider 252 87.7 39 6.9 10:00 9:00 60
2025 Sweeper 95 81.3 48 15.7 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 255 931 3 4 -4 -4 0
2026 53 218 2 1 -1 -1 2
Player 308 1,149 5 5 -4 5 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 931 50.6 64.5 88.5 28.0 53.5 43.4 60.5 46.5 21.9 9.0 81.0
2026 218 50.9 66.7 83.8 23.4 52.0 37.6 60.4 45.4 24.2 6.4 78.6
Player 1,149 50.7 64.9 87.6 27.2 53.2 42.3 60.5 46.3 22.4 8.5 80.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2025 38 35 51 60 52 69 72 34 47 42 22 14 74 75 40 78 49
2026 73 56 38
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.54 6 6.8 -1 4 3 5 83.3
2026 23.38 1 2.5 -2 1 2 1 100.0
Player 23.52 7 9.3 -2 5 5 6 85.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2025 6 6 5 9 9 6 6 7 7 5 6 9 6 10 7 6 8 5 5 8 5 7 9 7 5 5 7 7 6 7 8
2026 1 4 1 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 3 4 2 1 2 2 4 2 1
Player 7 10 6 11 11 9 8 10 9 7 8 11 9 13 10 9 11 8 8 12 7 10 12 11 7 6 9 9 10 9 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .217 -.040 ↓ .257
xBA .262 +.021 ↑ .241
OBP .321 +.008 ↑ .313
xOBP .360 +.062 ↑ .298
SLG .326 -.075 ↓ .401
xSLG .453 +.038 ↑ .415
ISO .109 -.034 ↓ .143
xISO .191 +.017 ↑ .174
BABIP .290 -.006 ↓ .296
wOBA .298 -.012 ↓ .310
xwOBA .357 +.049 ↑ .308
wOBAcon .340 -.007 ↓ .347
xwOBAcon .438 +.093 ↑ .345
BACON .313 -.005 ↓ .318
xBACON .377 +.079 ↑ .298
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 50.0 +8.3 ↑ 41.7
Avg Exit Velocity 91.0 +1.7 ↑ 89.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 37.5 +5.7 ↑ 31.8
Barrel % 15.6 +8.8 ↑ 6.8
Avg Launch Angle 5.9 -3.6 ↓ 9.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.8 ↑ 71.2
Attack Angle 9° -1° ↓ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 52.7 +2.0 ↑ 50.7
Attack Direction -1° 0° ↑ -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° ↑ 31°
Swing Length 7.0 -0.3 ↓ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.9 +0.4 ↑ 95.5
Breaking Velocity 84.8 +0.7 ↑ 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 89.6 -0.9 ↓ 90.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -8 ↓ 13
Popup % 6.3 0.0 6.3
Flyball % 15.6 -4.2 ↓ 19.8
Line Drive % 25.0 -0.5 ↓ 25.5
Groundball % 53.1 +4.7 ↑ 48.4
Pull % 46.9 +13.6 ↑ 33.3
Straight Away % 31.3 -3.1 ↓ 34.4
Opposite Field % 21.9 -10.4 ↓ 32.3
Weak Contact % 3.1 -1.1 ↓ 4.2
Pull Airball % 21.9 +11.0 ↑ 10.9
Topped Contact % 40.6 +5.7 ↑ 34.9
Under Contact % 12.5 -8.3 ↓ 20.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 28.1 +4.1 ↑ 24.0
Solid Contact % 0.0 -8.3 ↓ 8.3
HR/FB % 20.0 +4.2 ↑ 15.8
Popups 2 -10 ↓ 12
Flyballs 5 -33 ↓ 38
Line Drives 8 -41 ↓ 49
Groundballs 17 -76 ↓ 93
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.9 +0.3 ↑ 50.6
Out of Zone % 49.1 -0.3 ↓ 49.4
Edge % 37.6 -5.8 ↓ 43.4
Zone Swing % 66.7 +2.2 ↑ 64.5
Out of Zone Swing % 23.4 -4.6 ↓ 28.0
In Zone Contact % 83.8 -4.7 ↓ 88.5
Out of Zone Contact % 52.0 -1.5 ↓ 53.5
Whiff % 24.2 +2.3 ↑ 21.9
First Strike % 60.4 -0.1 ↓ 60.5
First Pitch Swing % 24.5 -3.6 ↓ 28.1
Swing % 45.4 -1.1 ↓ 46.5
Meatball Swing % 78.6 -2.4 ↓ 81.0
Meatball % 6.4 -2.6 ↓ 9.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.2 +4.7 ↑ 11.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 48.0 +1.5 ↑ 46.5
In Zone 111 -360 ↓ 471
Out of Zone 107 -353 ↓ 460
Edge 82 -322 ↓ 404
In Zone Swings 74 -230 ↓ 304
Out of Zone Swings 25 -104 ↓ 129
In Zone Swing & Misses 12 -23 ↓ 35
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 12 -48 ↓ 60
Basic
Pitches 218 -713 ↓ 931
PA 53 -203 ↓ 256
AB 46 -191 ↓ 237
Hits 10 -51 ↓ 61
Singles 7 -33 ↓ 40
Doubles 2 -12 ↓ 14
Triples 0 -1 ↓ 1
Home Runs 1 -5 ↓ 6
Walks 7 -10 ↓ 17
Strikeouts 14 -31 ↓ 45
K% 26.4 +8.8 ↑ 17.6
BB% 13.2 +6.6 ↑ 6.6
HBP 0 -2 ↓ 2
Batted Balls 32 -160 ↓ 192
Number of Fastballs 102 -288 ↓ 390
Number of Offspeed 24 -57 ↓ 81
Number of Breaking 92 -368 ↓ 460
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 252 .306 130 19 14.6 122 81 66.4
2026 Shades 53 .298 26 0 0.0 27 12 44.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 265 13.4 75.1% 0.8% 151 17.2 13.2% 0.7%
2026 67 14.5 61.2% 1.5% 31 18.9 3.2% 6.5%

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Pitch Distribution

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