P | Toronto Blue Jays
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 195 lbs | Age: 30
Draft: 2017 | Rd. 1, No. 27, Chicago Cubs | State College of Florida, Manatee-Sarasota
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 2 3.74 49 0 1 45.2 36 1.31
2025 4 2 3.03 79 0 1 68.1 91 1.36
2026 0 3 6.35 30 0 0 28.1 44 1.91
4 Seasons 5 8 4.09 159 0 2 143 171 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 49 1-2 3.74 45.2 36 1.31
2025 79 4-2 3.03 68.1 91 1.36
2026 30 0-3 6.35 28.1 44 1.91
4 Seasons 159 5-8 4.09 143 171 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 25 22 4 1 25.0 16.7 88.7 102.6 -3.5 25.0 .224 .579 .727 .458 .334 50.0 0.0 16.7 40.50 10.09
2024 27 696 137 8 5.8 4.1 87.9 111.6 -6.9 21.9 .250 .383 .309 .317 .352 38.0 18.7 9.8 3.75 4.11
2025 28 1240 157 10 6.4 3.4 89.7 112.4 1.4 30.6 .194 .291 .273 .286 .341 47.1 30.8 15.3 3.03 3.36
2026 29 552 63 4 6.3 3.0 90.0 111.1 -0.3 25.4 .184 .304 .377 .282 .355 41.3 33.3 18.9 6.35 3.32
Player 2510 361 23 6.4 3.7 89.1 112.4 -2.0 26.3 .210 .326 .310 .297 .348 42.7 27.3 14.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Little relies on 5 pitches.
Knuckle Curve
(28.3%) ,
Slider
(27.5%) ,
Sinker
(27.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(16.8%) ,
Cutter
(0.4%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 75.0 25.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 50.0
2024 72.3 27.7 10.9 14.6 2.2 45.3 40.1 14.6 35.8 30.7 5.8 9.5 9.5 8.8
2025 59.9 40.1 14.0 21.7 4.5 40.1 38.9 21.0 29.9 23.6 6.4 10.2 15.3 14.6
2026 60.3 39.7 19.0 17.5 3.2 39.7 42.9 17.5 28.6 25.4 6.3 11.1 17.5 11.1
Player 64.5 35.5 14.1 18.0 3.3 41.8 39.6 18.6 31.9 26.3 6.4 10.0 13.3 12.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 0.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 16.7
2024 5.8 52.6 7.3 25.5 2.2 5.8 4.1
2025 5.1 46.5 13.4 21.7 6.4 6.4 3.4
2026 3.2 44.4 17.5 23.8 4.8 6.3 3.0
Player 5.0 48.5 11.9 23.3 4.4 6.4 3.7
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter L 2 92.5 27.7 -4.6 1.0ARM -2.6 4.2 -3.5 1.0ARM -2.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball L 93 96.0 15.9 -2.4 6.9ARM 0.0 13.8 -1.7 6.9ARM -1.0
2026 Slider L 152 88.9 34.7 2.1 1.2GLV -1.6 -0.3 1.9 1.2GLV -3.3
2026 Sinker L 149 94.5 29.8 8.1 14.5ARM -0.6 1.0 6.7 14.5ARM -0.8
2026 Curveball L 156 86.6 47.8 2.7 2.9GLV -2.3 -11.3 1.2 2.9GLV -5.2
2025 Sinker L 572 93.4 33.5 9.1 14.6ARM -1.0 -1.9 9.4 14.6ARM -0.8
2025 Curveball L 571 87.0 43.9 0.4 2.3GLV -2.2 -7.5 -2.2 2.3GLV -5.5
2025 Cutter L 97 93.4 24.9 -1.6 1.3ARM -2.9 6.4 -1.4 1.3ARM -3.2
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Curveball -0.6 -1 156 28.3 41 .179 .308 .254 48.6 53.7 25.9 .136 .229 .182 52.9
2026 Slider -1.2 -2 152 27.5 30 .250 .500 .393 50.8 26.7 22.9 .136 .268 .277 25.0
2026 Sinker -3.2 -5 149 27.0 34 .448 .724 .555 22.0 14.7 27.8 .321 .504 .394 48.0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 0 93 16.8 21 .214 .357 .395 44.7 42.9 33.3 .117 .157 .313 20.0
2026 Cutter 0.8 0 2 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 Sinker -0.2 -1 572 46.1 127 .248 .366 .400 31.9 9.4 20.0 .266 .397 .370 49.4
2025 Curveball 1.3 7 571 46.0 141 .145 .185 .211 55.6 53.2 27.2 .127 .196 .208 48.1
2025 Cutter 1.1 1 97 7.8 23 .250 .350 .317 29.5 17.4 19.0 .252 .351 .316 31.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 93 96.0 82 14.9 10:30 11:00 -30
2026 Knuckle Curve 156 86.6 77 13.8 5:15 5:30 -15
2026 Sinker 141 94.5 75 15.3 10:15 9:00 75
2026 Slider 152 88.9 13 3.2 4:00 4:30 -30
2025 Cutter 97 93.4 41 5.8 10:15 11:30 -75
2025 Knuckle Curve 570 87.0 76 10.1 5:15 5:30 -15
2025 Sinker 493 93.4 71 15.7 9:45 8:45 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 6 22 1 -1 0 -1 -2
2024 191 696 2 5 -3 -4 -1
2025 291 1,240 10 9 -4 -8 7
2026 126 552 -5 2 -3 -2 -7
Player 614 2,510 7 15 -11 7 -3
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 22 40.9 55.6 100.0 15.4 100.0 36.4 66.7 31.8 0.0 4.5 0.0
2024 696 45.8 67.7 82.9 27.6 44.2 37.1 52.9 46.0 29.7 8.0 71.4
2025 1,240 36.4 59.0 80.5 30.0 29.5 35.5 56.7 40.6 43.5 5.3 62.1
2026 552 36.8 61.6 76.0 30.9 38.0 33.5 48.8 42.2 41.6 6.2 61.8
Player 2,510 39.1 62.3 80.6 29.5 35.3 35.5 54.0 42.4 38.7 6.3 65.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022
2024 56 12 4 2
2025 68 39 86 79 33 5 1 38 72 100 92 1 80 7 97 2
2026 60 7 2 10
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard
+ Compare To Other Players

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.82 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
2024 23.73 7 5.9 1 1 5 2 28.6
2025 24.18 4 4.8 -1 3 5 2 50.0
2026 23.89 5 4.4 1 1 3 2 40.0
Player 24.06 17 16.1 1 5 13 7 41.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Season HR
2022 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2024 7 7 4 7 6 6 7 7 6 4 6 6 5 5 7 5 6 7 5 8 5 4 8 7 5 6 5 6 5 6 5
2025 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 5 2 4 6 5 9 6 3 7 4 2 8 4 2 6 5 5 3 3 7 5 4 4
2026 5 5 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 5 4 4
Player 17 18 13 17 16 17 17 20 17 11 15 17 15 20 19 14 19 17 11 22 14 12 20 18 15 14 12 18 16 15 14
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .274 +.078 ↑ .196 -.042 ↓ .238
xBA .184 -.010 ↓ .194 -.056 ↓ .250
OBP .412 +.089 ↑ .323 +.005 ↑ .318
xOBP .308 -.010 ↓ .318 -.003 ↓ .321
SLG .472 +.199 ↑ .273 -.117 ↓ .390
xSLG .304 +.013 ↑ .291 -.092 ↓ .383
ISO .198 +.120 ↑ .078 -.073 ↓ .151
xISO .120 +.023 ↑ .097 -.036 ↓ .133
BABIP .421 +.122 ↑ .299 +.035 ↑ .264
wOBA .377 +.104 ↑ .273 -.036 ↓ .309
xwOBA .282 -.004 ↓ .286 -.031 ↓ .317
wOBAcon .546 +.229 ↑ .317 -.023 ↓ .340
xwOBAcon .355 +.014 ↑ .341 -.011 ↓ .352
BACON .468 +.160 ↑ .308 +.007 ↑ .301
xBACON .314 -.001 ↓ .315 -.001 ↓ .316
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.3 -5.8 ↓ 47.1 +9.1 ↑ 38.0
Avg Exit Velocity 90.0 +0.3 ↑ 89.7 +1.8 ↑ 87.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 25.4 -5.2 ↓ 30.6 +8.7 ↑ 21.9
Barrel % 6.3 -0.1 ↓ 6.4 +0.6 ↑ 5.8
Avg Launch Angle -0.3 -1.7 ↓ 1.4 +8.3 ↑ -6.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 -0.8 ↓ 72.6 +0.3 ↑ 72.3
Attack Angle 10° -1° ↓ 12° +2° ↑ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 49.5 -3.9 ↓ 53.4 -8.8 ↓ 62.2
Attack Direction -2° +2° ↑ -4° -4° ↓ 1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -2° ↓ 35° +2° ↑ 33°
Swing Length 7.4 -0.2 ↓ 7.6 +0.3 ↑ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.0 +1.6 ↑ 93.4 -1.0 ↓ 94.4
Breaking Velocity 87.7 +0.7 ↑ 87.0 +0.3 ↑ 86.7
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 -6 ↓ 10 +2 ↑ 8
Popup % 3.2 -1.3 ↓ 4.5 +2.3 ↑ 2.2
Flyball % 19.0 +5.0 ↑ 14.0 +3.1 ↑ 10.9
Line Drive % 17.5 -4.2 ↓ 21.7 +7.1 ↑ 14.6
Groundball % 60.3 +0.4 ↑ 59.9 -12.4 ↓ 72.3
Pull % 39.7 -0.4 ↓ 40.1 -5.2 ↓ 45.3
Straight Away % 42.9 +4.0 ↑ 38.9 -1.2 ↓ 40.1
Opposite Field % 17.5 -3.5 ↓ 21.0 +6.4 ↑ 14.6
Weak Contact % 3.2 -1.9 ↓ 5.1 -0.7 ↓ 5.8
Pull Airball % 11.1 +0.9 ↑ 10.2 +0.7 ↑ 9.5
Topped Contact % 44.4 -2.1 ↓ 46.5 -6.1 ↓ 52.6
Under Contact % 17.5 +4.1 ↑ 13.4 +6.1 ↑ 7.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.8 +2.1 ↑ 21.7 -3.8 ↓ 25.5
Solid Contact % 4.8 -1.6 ↓ 6.4 +4.2 ↑ 2.2
HR/FB % 41.7 +32.6 ↑ 9.1 -37.6 ↓ 46.7
Popups 2 -5 ↓ 7 +4 ↑ 3
Flyballs 12 -10 ↓ 22 +7 ↑ 15
Line Drives 11 -23 ↓ 34 +14 ↑ 20
Groundballs 38 -56 ↓ 94 -5 ↓ 99
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 36.8 +0.4 ↑ 36.4 -9.4 ↓ 45.8
Out of Zone % 63.2 -0.4 ↓ 63.6 +9.4 ↑ 54.2
Edge % 33.5 -2.0 ↓ 35.5 -1.6 ↓ 37.1
Zone Swing % 61.6 +2.6 ↑ 59.0 -8.7 ↓ 67.7
Out of Zone Swing % 30.9 +0.9 ↑ 30.0 +2.4 ↑ 27.6
In Zone Contact % 76.0 -4.5 ↓ 80.5 -2.4 ↓ 82.9
Out of Zone Contact % 38.0 +8.5 ↑ 29.5 -14.7 ↓ 44.2
Whiff % 41.6 -1.9 ↓ 43.5 +13.8 ↑ 29.7
First Strike % 48.8 -7.9 ↓ 56.7 +3.8 ↑ 52.9
First Pitch Swing % 20.5 -8.2 ↓ 28.7 -3.2 ↓ 31.9
Swing % 42.2 +1.6 ↑ 40.6 -5.4 ↓ 46.0
Meatball Swing % 61.8 -0.3 ↓ 62.1 -9.3 ↓ 71.4
Meatball % 6.2 +0.9 ↑ 5.3 -2.7 ↓ 8.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 24.0 +4.5 ↑ 19.5 +2.4 ↑ 17.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 62.0 -8.5 ↓ 70.5 +14.7 ↑ 55.8
In Zone 203 -248 ↓ 451 +132 ↑ 319
Out of Zone 349 -440 ↓ 789 +412 ↑ 377
Edge 185 -255 ↓ 440 +182 ↑ 258
In Zone Swings 125 -141 ↓ 266 +50 ↑ 216
Out of Zone Swings 108 -129 ↓ 237 +133 ↑ 104
In Zone Swing & Misses 30 -22 ↓ 52 +15 ↑ 37
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 67 -100 ↓ 167 +109 ↑ 58
Basic
Pitches 552 -688 ↓ 1,240 +544 ↑ 696
PA 132 -163 ↓ 295 +102 ↑ 193
AB 106 -139 ↓ 245 +73 ↑ 172
Hits 29 -19 ↓ 48 +7 ↑ 41
Singles 18 -17 ↓ 35 +6 ↑ 29
Doubles 6 -3 ↓ 9 +4 ↑ 5
Triples 0 -2 ↓ 2 +2 ↑ 0
Home Runs 5 +3 ↑ 2 -5 ↓ 7
Walks 25 -20 ↓ 45 +26 ↑ 19
Strikeouts 44 -47 ↓ 91 +55 ↑ 36
K% 33.3 +2.5 ↑ 30.8 +12.1 ↑ 18.7
BB% 18.9 +3.6 ↑ 15.3 +5.5 ↑ 9.8
HBP 0 -2 ↓ 2 +1 ↑ 1
Batted Balls 63 -94 ↓ 157 +20 ↑ 137
Fastball Percent 44.2 -9.8 ↓ 54.0 -14.2 ↓ 68.2
Offspeed Percent 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Percent 55.8 +9.8 ↑ 46.0 +14.2 ↑ 31.8
Number of Fastballs 244 -425 ↓ 669 +194 ↑ 475
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 308 -263 ↓ 571 +350 ↑ 221
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 6 .727 5 1 20.0 1 0 0.0
2024 Shades 189 .308 97 30 30.9 92 43 46.7
2025 Shades 291 .273 152 2 1.3 139 24 17.3
2026 Shades 126 .377 64 1 1.6 62 16 25.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 13 18.5 7.7% 0.0% 0 -- -- --
2024 200 17.6 12.5% 1.0% 108 18.3 7.4% 0.9%
2025 302 17.8 11.6% 1.0% 220 17.9 7.3% 0.9%
2026 123 18.0 6.5% 0.8% 113 19.4 5.3% 6.2%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution