Zach Eflin
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 220LBS | Age: 30
Draft: 2012 | Rd: C-A, #33, San Diego Padres | Hagerty HS (FL)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 5 4.04 20 13 1 75.2 65 1.12
2023 16 8 3.50 31 31 0 177.2 186 1.02
2024 10 9 3.59 28 28 0 165.1 134 1.15
9 Seasons 62 62 4.17 186 174 1 1,002.1 872 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 20 3-5 4.04 75.2 65 1.12
2023 31 16-8 3.50 177.2 186 1.02
2024 28 10-9 3.59 165.1 134 1.15
9 Seasons 186 62-62 4.17 1,002.1 872 1.22
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 22 992 223 15 6.7 5.5 88.8 112.3 15.8 35.9 .286 .495 .345 .350 .373 36.3 11.4 6.3 5.54 5.31
2017 23 1020 228 19 8.3 6.8 88.4 111.5 12.2 30.3 .292 .530 .373 .366 .398 35.7 12.5 4.3 6.16 6.00
2018 24 2040 385 22 5.7 4.0 87.4 113.1 14.0 30.6 .235 .382 .318 .293 .351 33.2 22.4 6.8 4.36 3.60
2019 25 2571 522 36 6.9 5.1 88.2 112.1 12.0 30.1 .247 .415 .325 .307 .347 32.8 18.3 6.8 4.13 4.14
2020 26 913 159 12 7.5 4.9 87.4 116.5 7.9 27.0 .226 .366 .325 .283 .366 32.7 28.6 6.1 3.97 3.35
2021 27 1615 324 22 6.8 5.0 87.9 116.1 11.9 33.0 .257 .415 .325 .302 .374 39.2 22.4 3.6 4.17 3.84
2022 28 1194 228 14 6.1 4.5 85.3 111.1 10.5 31.6 .227 .363 .295 .281 .327 31.1 20.8 4.8 4.04 3.24
2023 29 2577 490 44 9.0 6.3 87.5 115.5 9.1 29.2 .221 .378 .276 .270 .350 35.1 26.5 3.4 3.50 3.02
2024 30 2447 523 39 7.5 5.7 88.1 115.3 13.3 30.0 .249 .405 .297 .297 .353 36.1 19.6 3.5 3.59 3.67
Player 15369 3082 223 7.2 5.3 87.7 116.5 12.0 30.7 .245 .409 .313 .300 .357 34.8 20.8 5.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Eflin relies on 7 pitches.
Sinker
(28.3%) ,
Cutter
(28.2%) ,
Curveball
(18.8%) ,
Sweeper
(9.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(8.9%) ,
Changeup
(6.0%) ,
Slider
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 37.2 26.9 28.3 7.6 31.8 40.8 27.4 2.7 29.6 29.1 24.2 6.7 6.7 5.5
2017 45.6 26.3 20.6 7.5 38.6 39.0 22.4 3.1 32.9 25.4 22.4 4.8 8.3 6.8
2018 42.9 25.7 24.4 7.0 35.3 36.6 27.8 3.9 29.4 28.3 26.0 4.4 5.7 4.0
2019 46.0 23.2 23.9 6.9 37.2 38.7 24.1 4.0 35.4 25.9 21.6 4.4 6.9 5.1
2020 48.4 27.0 22.6 1.9 37.7 35.2 27.0 3.1 38.4 25.8 22.6 1.9 7.5 4.9
2021 43.5 24.7 25.3 6.5 42.6 35.2 22.2 4.6 31.5 24.4 25.6 6.8 6.8 5.0
2022 45.6 28.1 21.5 4.8 39.5 36.8 23.7 7.0 35.1 29.4 17.5 4.4 6.1 4.5
2023 50.4 22.0 20.2 7.3 42.2 35.9 21.8 6.3 36.1 21.2 21.6 5.5 9.0 6.3
2024 43.4 26.4 22.6 7.6 42.3 34.0 23.7 5.9 31.9 27.9 21.2 5.4 7.5 5.7
Player 45.0 25.1 23.1 6.7 39.1 36.7 24.2 4.8 33.3 26.1 22.5 5.1 7.2 5.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball BAL R 218 92.4 19.4 -3.4 8.7ARM 1.4 12.6 -3.2 8.7ARM 1.2
2024 Sinker BAL R 693 91.7 28.2 4.1 15.8ARM 1.0 4.5 2.8 15.8ARM 1.0
2024 Cutter BAL R 691 88.2 26.4 1.3 1.4GLV -1.6 8.5 0.2 1.4GLV -1.3
2024 Sweeper BAL R 231 79.7 40.6 -1.6 13.2GLV -1.3 2.7 -1.1 13.2GLV -1.1
2024 Slider BAL R 5 80.8 33.8 -7.5 4.1GLV -3.5 8.0 -6.4 4.1GLV -1.0
2024 Curveball BAL R 461 78.8 50.6 -3.4 11.2GLV 2.0 -6.5 -3.4 11.2GLV 1.8
2024 Changeup BAL R 148 85.6 34.4 2.8 15.2ARM 1.1 3.0 1.9 15.2ARM 1.0
2023 Changeup TB R 131 86.4 32.0 1.9 15.8ARM 1.6 4.7 0.7 15.8ARM 1.4
2023 Curveball TB R 679 79.1 51.4 -2.7 11.5GLV 2.7 -7.4 -2.5 11.5GLV 2.6
2023 Cutter TB R 672 88.5 26.3 1.4 2.4GLV -0.5 8.5 0.6 2.4GLV -0.2
2023 Slider TB R 7 84.1 38.2 0.8 5.8GLV 0.4 0.7 0.8 5.8GLV 0.5
2023 Sinker TB R 823 92.2 26.4 3.2 16.7ARM 1.7 6.0 1.6 16.7ARM 1.7
2023 Sweeper TB R 105 79.7 43.0 0.8 16.6GLV 1.6 0.5 1.0 16.6GLV 2.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 159 92.9 17.7 -2.1 7.8ARM 1.1 14.1 -1.7 7.8ARM 0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker 0.1 1 693 28.3 206 .293 .404 .329 13.3 16.0 19.6 .270 .387 .301 47.3
2024 Cutter 2.1 14 691 28.2 182 .214 .345 .276 22.3 20.9 25.5 .240 .423 .313 41.2
2024 Curveball -1.8 -8 461 18.8 128 .291 .472 .326 33.3 28.1 18.9 .256 .427 .293 20.7
2024 Sweeper 0.8 2 231 9.4 57 .236 .473 .313 20.3 12.3 12.7 .231 .388 .281 25.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 1 218 8.9 60 .236 .418 .302 24.8 31.7 18.6 .197 .382 .276 37.8
2024 Changeup -0.6 -1 148 6.0 49 .188 .354 .248 10.5 2.0 2.6 .262 .422 .294 25.0
2024 Slider 6.8 0 5 0.2 2 .000 .000 .000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .103 .103 .104 0.0
2023 Sinker 1.4 12 823 31.9 246 .259 .315 .295 13.2 25.2 26.2 .240 .343 .273 38.6
2023 Curveball 1.4 10 679 26.3 173 .185 .339 .241 35.1 37.0 25.0 .183 .298 .218 25.0
2023 Cutter -0.7 -5 672 26.1 163 .307 .588 .391 16.7 5.5 15.0 .278 .586 .372 39.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 2 159 6.2 50 .104 .208 .154 32.0 56.0 23.7 .139 .263 .190 55.0
2023 Changeup -0.5 -1 131 5.1 26 .192 .308 .250 28.3 15.4 11.8 .184 .301 .205 13.6
2023 Sweeper 1.0 1 106 4.1 39 .179 .333 .217 39.5 43.6 31.5 .168 .306 .201 18.2
2023 Slider -7.4 -1 7 0.3 5 .600 .600 .540 50.0 40.0 66.7 .341 .428 .331 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 140 85.6 93 16.3 2:15 2:45 -30
2024 Curveball 453 78.8 62 14.9 8:15 7:45 30
2024 Cutter 670 88.2 47 8.0 12:30 11:30 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 214 92.4 83 15.0 1:30 1:15 15
2024 Sinker 632 91.7 77 16.9 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Sweeper 212 79.6 52 14.3 8:30 9:00 -30
2023 Changeup 123 86.4 93 17.2 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Curveball 677 79.1 66 15.7 8:00 7:45 15
2023 Cutter 662 88.5 43 8.3 12:15 11:15 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 159 92.9 79 15.7 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 796 92.2 78 18.2 1:30 2:30 -60
2023 Sweeper 106 79.7 61 17.7 8:15 8:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 271 989 -3 0 -6 -2 -11
2017 279 1,016 -4 5 -9 -3 -10
2018 544 2,040 0 16 -10 -6 0
2019 700 2,571 14 10 -13 -7 4
2020 245 913 0 3 -2 -1 0
2021 440 1,615 -1 13 -6 -4 2
2022 357 1,368 4 6 -4 -4 2
2023 725 2,652 -3 29 -5 -5 16
2024 702 2,522 11 11 -6 -6 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 992 53.4 65.8 88.5 26.4 73.0 42.0 61.8 47.5 14.0 8.1 76.3
2017 1,020 50.8 69.0 89.6 29.0 71.7 43.5 63.9 49.3 15.1 7.5 77.6
2018 2,040 51.7 67.9 81.3 28.3 60.2 43.8 64.9 48.8 23.8 9.1 75.8
2019 2,571 48.7 66.2 84.7 30.3 67.4 45.2 68.4 47.8 20.3 6.3 80.1
2020 913 47.9 63.6 86.7 34.5 57.3 43.6 63.7 48.4 24.2 6.2 68.4
2021 1,615 51.3 68.4 81.8 30.4 63.6 48.3 66.1 49.9 23.2 6.4 78.8
2022 1,194 50.3 64.9 83.3 30.4 65.0 47.2 67.1 47.7 22.1 5.4 73.4
2023 2,577 52.1 64.4 82.8 34.0 60.5 46.2 65.7 49.9 24.1 6.8 76.7
2024 2,447 52.7 65.6 85.2 32.6 62.3 46.0 66.5 50.0 21.6 7.4 77.3
Player 15,369 51.1 66.2 84.3 31.0 63.7 45.4 65.8 49.0 21.6 7.1 76.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 12 6 4 7 28 49 32 41 32 2 75 1 20 51 37 74
2017 5 5 3 3 30 37 9 19 28 3 98 2 66 45 35 31 78
2018 67 56 54 52 73 33 65 75 68 51 74 42 54 72 37 40 81
2019 56 45 49 51 60 10 52 61 79 16 71 12 64 53 26 35 85
2020 75 63 65 64 83 13 44 65 76 74 80 32 94 59 16 29 86
2021 62 24 39 50 78 36 63 71 45 41 99 26 73 32 15 19 86
2022 76 62 61 56 81 58 73 96 94 37 91 21 59 32 17 32 84
2023 93 77 68 53 99 7 29 80 77 74 99 36 95 25 20 55 76
2024 63 34 37 39 86 11 54 71 73 23 98 17 88 18 20 46 69
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.5 12 10.7 1 4 9 4 33.3
2017 22.2 16 17.0 -1 4 9 10 62.5
2018 23.2 16 11.7 4 10 9 4 25.0
2019 22.3 28 22.3 6 11 16 12 42.9
2020 23.2 8 6.4 2 3 3 4 50.0
2021 22.6 15 13.0 2 2 12 5 33.3
2022 25.0 9 7.3 2 4 6 3 33.3
2023 23.5 21 21.0 0 10 18 8 38.1
2024 24.7 22 21.3 1 7 11 13 59.1
Player 23.2 147 130.6 16 55 93 63 42.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 12 13 7 11 11 10 11 10 11 9 11 13 11 10 10 11 9 9 12 13 11 8 13 13 10 10 11 13 11 10 9
2017 16 18 13 17 18 18 19 18 15 15 19 20 15 16 18 17 17 16 19 17 17 17 19 18 16 15 15 19 16 17 15
2018 16 14 11 11 10 10 11 10 6 8 11 14 13 11 10 14 12 12 11 15 14 12 16 16 12 10 7 13 15 13 9
2019 28 32 19 22 24 22 26 24 17 15 19 23 27 21 21 17 20 20 23 23 23 23 30 29 22 19 18 24 29 20 18
2020 8 7 6 7 6 7 7 7 5 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 5 7 7 6 6 6 6 7 5 5
2021 15 16 11 11 14 10 17 11 8 9 10 13 12 11 11 17 13 14 13 14 13 14 16 16 13 13 14 15 16 11 14
2022 9 7 6 4 7 7 8 6 5 6 6 5 9 7 8 8 7 8 6 8 8 8 10 9 7 8 6 9 9 7 9
2023 21 20 15 23 21 20 22 21 18 15 18 22 21 19 27 20 25 21 25 24 20 20 32 28 16 16 19 21 23 19 18
2024 22 19 21 24 22 22 24 21 20 19 21 26 17 20 21 20 18 20 22 25 22 21 27 24 17 19 23 20 20 22 21
Player 147 146 109 130 133 126 145 128 105 101 120 143 131 122 133 131 128 127 138 147 135 128 170 160 119 116 119 140 146 124 118
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.