Zach Eflin
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 6" 220LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2012 | Rd: C-A, #33, San Diego Padres | Hagerty HS (FL)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 5 4.37 13 13 0 68.0 56 1.19
7 Seasons 36 45 4.53 120 115 0 651.2 543 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 13 3-5 4.37 68.0 56 1.19
7 Seasons 120 36-45 4.53 651.2 543 1.30

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 22 992 223 15 6.7 5.5 88.8 112.3 15.8 35.9 .286 .495 .345 .350 .373 36.3 11.4 6.3 5.54 5.31
2017 23 1020 228 19 8.3 6.8 88.4 111.5 12.2 30.3 .292 .530 .373 .366 .398 35.7 12.5 4.3 6.16 6.00
2018 24 2040 385 22 5.7 4 87.4 113.1 14.0 30.6 .236 .382 .318 .293 .351 33.2 22.4 6.8 4.36 3.60
2019 25 2571 522 36 6.9 5.1 88.2 112.1 12.0 30.1 .248 .415 .325 .307 .347 32.8 18.3 6.8 4.13 4.14
2020 26 913 159 12 7.5 4.9 87.4 116.5 7.9 27.0 .226 .366 .325 .283 .367 32.7 28.6 6.1 3.97 3.35
2021 27 1615 324 22 6.8 5 87.9 116.1 11.9 33.0 .257 .416 .325 .303 .375 39.2 22.4 3.6 4.17 3.87
2022 28 1091 210 14 6.7 4.9 85.2 111.1 10.6 33.3 .233 .381 .308 .292 .335 31.9 19.6 5.3 4.37 3.48
Player 10242 2051 140 6.8 5 87.7 116.5 12.4 31.4 .252 .420 .329 .310 .361 34.5 19.6 5.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 33.0 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Eflin relies on 6 pitches.
Sinker
(38.4%) ,
Curveball
(19.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(16.7%) ,
Cutter
(14.6%) ,
Changeup
(6.8%) ,
Slider
(3.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 37.2 26.9 28.3 7.6 31.8 40.8 27.4 2.7 29.6 29.1 24.2 6.7 6.7 5.5
2017 45.6 26.3 20.6 7.5 38.6 39.0 22.4 3.1 32.9 25.4 22.4 4.8 8.3 6.8
2018 42.9 25.7 24.4 7.0 35.3 36.6 27.8 3.9 29.4 28.3 26.0 4.4 5.7 4.0
2019 46.0 23.2 23.9 6.9 37.2 38.7 24.1 4.0 35.4 25.9 21.6 4.4 6.9 5.1
2020 48.4 27.0 22.6 1.9 37.7 35.2 27.0 3.1 38.4 25.8 22.6 1.9 7.5 4.9
2021 43.5 24.7 25.3 6.5 42.6 35.2 22.2 4.6 31.5 24.4 25.6 6.8 6.8 5.0
2022 44.3 29.5 22.4 3.8 40.0 35.2 24.8 7.6 33.8 29.5 17.1 4.8 6.7 4.9
Player 44.0 25.6 24.1 6.3 37.6 37.4 25.0 4.1 32.8 26.8 23.1 4.9 6.8 5.0
MLB 44.9 23.0 25.0 7.1 36.7 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider PHI R 42 85.5 32.2 -3.4 -9 3.9 -1.8 -31
2022 Sinker PHI R 419 92.6 24.4 2.2 10 16.9 2.3 16
2022 Cutter PHI R 159 89.9 22.3 3.3 13 0.8 -3.1 -134
2022 Curveball PHI R 215 78.2 49.7 -5.1 -9 11.7 2.2 23
2022 4-Seamer PHI R 182 93.1 17.6 -2.2 -14 10.5 3.4 47
2022 Changeup PHI R 74 87.0 27.8 -1.5 -5 13.9 0.0 0
2021 Slider PHI R 389 87.6 26.5 -6.2 -19 2.0 -2.3 -54
2021 Curveball PHI R 174 77.6 51.3 -4.1 -7 10.5 0.3 3
2021 Sinker PHI R 672 92.4 24.5 2.5 11 16.9 2.2 15
2021 Changeup PHI R 173 85.3 30.7 -0.2 -1 14.5 0.6 4
2021 Cutter PHI R 7 89.6 22.0 3.8 15 3.3 -5.4 -262
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 200 93.1 17.6 -2.2 -14 10.2 2.8 37
2020 Changeup PHI R 48 87.8 27.8 -1.2 -4 14.6 1.4 11
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 88 94.3 17.1 -2.1 -14 10.8 3.2 42
2020 Curveball PHI R 120 79.0 50.7 -2.3 -4 11.4 1.3 13
2020 Slider PHI R 185 88.5 28.8 -3.1 -10 1.5 -2.4 -61
2020 Sinker PHI R 472 93.7 23.3 2.4 11 16.8 2.4 17
2019 Sinker PHI R 562 93.1 23.4 1.7 8 16.2 1.7 12
2019 Changeup PHI R 203 86.7 27.9 -1.1 -4 14.1 0.3 2
2019 Curveball PHI R 138 77.9 53.2 -2.8 -5 10.6 0.3 3
2019 Cutter PHI R 13 89.6 23.5 2.0 8 0.5 -2.1 -132
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 865 93.8 17.7 -2.1 -14 9.3 1.7 22
2019 Slider PHI R 790 87.1 29.8 -3.4 -10 3.7 0.0 0
2018 Changeup PHI R 228 86.6 29.4 -0.3 -1 14.1 0.4 3
2018 Curveball PHI R 116 77.6 55.4 -1.4 -2 10.9 1.7 18
2018 Sinker PHI R 241 93.0 23.8 2.2 10 16.5 2.1 14
2018 Slider PHI R 508 85.9 34.1 -0.6 -2 4.4 0.1 3
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 947 94.6 16.2 -1.1 -8 9.1 1.6 22
2017 4-Seamer PHI R 310 93.1 14.9 -0.6 -4 10.2 2.6 35
2017 Curveball PHI R 117 77.4 52.1 -2.3 -4 11.8 3.1 36
2017 Slider PHI R 130 85.5 29.9 -3.6 -11 3.1 -0.5 -15
2017 Sinker PHI R 383 92.3 20.4 0.0 0 15.3 0.9 6
2017 Changeup PHI R 76 86.1 24.9 -2.7 -10 13.1 -0.2 -1
2016 Sinker PHI R 215 92.3 19.5 0.5 3 16.6 2.3 16
2016 4-Seamer PHI R 397 93.3 14.7 -1.2 -9 10.4 2.3 28
2016 Changeup PHI R 75 87.1 24.0 -2.0 -8 14.2 1.0 7
2016 Curveball PHI R 26 75.7 57.0 -1.7 -3 8.0 -0.1 -1
2016 Slider PHI R 274 84.1 35.1 0.6 2 1.3 -1.8 -59
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 419 38.4 121 .316 .509 .379 12.6 10.7 15.1 .265 .433 .324 35.3
2022 Curveball -1.1 -2 215 19.7 54 .157 .255 .205 45.1 48.1 24.8 .164 .208 .192 16.0
2022 4-Seamer -2.2 -4 182 16.7 49 .178 .289 .227 22.6 18.4 13.6 .183 .366 .258 27.0
2022 Cutter 4.2 7 159 14.6 35 .379 .724 .486 18.7 17.1 18.8 .316 .586 .421 45.8
2022 Changeup -2.2 -2 74 6.8 21 .100 .150 .169 10.0 9.5 6.9 .214 .284 .271 33.3
2022 Slider -0.6 0 42 3.8 4 .250 .250 .225 25.0 0.0 0.0 .272 .303 .252 0.0
2021 Sinker -0.6 -4 672 41.6 202 .254 .386 .313 14.2 21.8 22.0 .269 .432 .308 46.1
2021 Slider 0.1 0 389 24.1 87 .321 .607 .394 28.9 25.3 22.0 .216 .355 .251 33.3
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -1 200 12.4 43 .263 .421 .341 31.5 25.6 17.7 .221 .325 .289 37.0
2021 Curveball 0.2 0 174 10.8 49 .255 .447 .315 35.8 34.7 23.3 .257 .468 .323 40.0
2021 Changeup 1.3 2 173 10.7 58 .309 .545 .396 19.8 8.6 9.1 .301 .468 .351 26.0
2021 Cutter 1.7 0 7 0.4 1 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2020 Sinker 0.6 3 472 51.7 125 .310 .469 .378 18.6 25.6 26.0 .239 .370 .302 35.4
2020 Slider 0.2 0 185 20.3 50 .306 .633 .400 18.4 20.0 20.4 .263 .465 .314 33.3
2020 Curveball -2.2 -3 120 13.1 41 .100 .125 .135 43.9 48.8 33.9 .123 .141 .132 20.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.8 -1 88 9.6 20 .167 .556 .333 33.3 30.0 21.4 .215 .551 .357 41.7
2020 Changeup 1.2 1 48 5.3 9 .375 .375 .378 32.0 22.2 16.7 .363 .412 .379 16.7
2019 4-Seamer 0.6 5 865 33.6 233 .248 .442 .350 21.7 20.6 16.7 .239 .450 .324 38.4
2019 Slider -1.5 -12 790 30.7 192 .260 .390 .304 22.0 17.7 14.5 .251 .391 .299 31.0
2019 Sinker -0.2 -1 562 21.9 184 .267 .471 .366 13.7 16.3 19.1 .234 .369 .285 31.0
2019 Changeup 1.1 2 203 7.9 58 .339 .518 .384 17.9 13.8 17.0 .277 .450 .309 30.6
2019 Curveball 1.4 2 138 5.4 28 .308 .654 .423 35.6 28.6 33.3 .292 .478 .349 16.7
2019 Cutter 1.4 0 13 0.5 5 .400 .600 .430 20.0 20.0 16.7 .373 .721 .454 25.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.2 -2 947 46.4 248 .255 .441 .331 19.7 26.2 19.9 .231 .410 .307 40.1
2018 Slider -0.4 -2 508 24.9 136 .238 .354 .288 28.0 23.5 21.5 .230 .318 .256 24.2
2018 Sinker 0.3 1 241 11.8 72 .265 .500 .354 19.4 4.2 13.0 .261 .475 .336 29.2
2018 Changeup 1.5 3 228 11.2 70 .338 .523 .407 33.1 22.9 23.5 .246 .348 .290 30.6
2018 Curveball 0.5 1 116 5.7 18 .188 .313 .228 31.3 38.9 25.0 .205 .283 .248 50.0
2017 Sinker 0.0 0 383 37.5 121 .330 .477 .369 10.4 12.4 16.3 .304 .459 .351 32.0
2017 4-Seamer 0.5 2 310 30.4 77 .275 .638 .390 13.6 11.7 10.1 .290 .581 .379 39.7
2017 Slider 3.1 4 130 12.7 29 .360 .760 .463 27.8 10.3 7.1 .357 .770 .499 47.8
2017 Curveball 4.8 6 117 11.5 30 .333 .700 .433 27.6 26.7 19.0 .253 .583 .347 31.8
2017 Changeup -1.2 -1 76 7.5 22 .227 .227 .214 10.0 0.0 0.0 .220 .379 .252 31.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 48 87.8 99 16.7 2:00 2:15 -15
2020 Curveball 120 79.0 68 15.1 8:15 7:45 30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 86 94.3 91 17.2 1:30 1:15 15
2020 Sinker 456 93.7 88 18.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2020 Slider 184 88.5 46 6.1 12:15 11:15 60
2021 Changeup 171 85.3 98 16.2 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Curveball 170 77.6 64 13.8 8:15 7:45 30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 200 93.1 89 17.0 1:30 1:15 15
2021 Sinker 637 92.4 86 18.8 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Slider 386 87.6 47 8.7 12:30 11:30 60
2022 Changeup 74 87.0 96 16.5 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Curveball 215 78.2 67 14.3 8:15 8:00 15
2022 Cutter 159 89.9 60 10.7 1:00 12:00 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 182 93.1 90 17.4 1:45 1:15 30
2022 Sinker 410 92.6 87 18.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Slider 42 85.5 39 7.7 11:45 10:30 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 271 989 3 -1 6 2 10
2017 279 1,016 3 -5 9 3 10
2018 544 2,040 0 -16 10 6 0
2019 700 2,571 -14 -10 13 7 -3
2020 245 913 0 -3 2 1 0
2021 440 1,615 1 -13 6 4 -2
2022 284 1,091 0 -6 3 4 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 992 53.3 65.6 88.5 26.8 73.4 42.1 61.8 47.5 13.8 8.0 75.9
2017 1,020 50.8 69.0 89.6 29.0 71.7 43.5 63.9 49.3 15.1 7.6 76.6
2018 2,040 51.7 67.9 81.3 28.3 60.2 43.7 64.9 48.8 23.7 9.1 75.8
2019 2,571 48.7 66.2 84.7 30.3 67.4 45.1 68.4 47.8 20.2 6.3 80.1
2020 913 47.9 63.6 86.7 34.5 57.3 43.4 63.7 48.4 24.0 6.2 68.4
2021 1,615 51.5 68.4 81.7 30.4 63.9 48.4 66.1 49.9 22.6 6.4 78.8
2022 1,091 50.0 65.9 83.3 29.5 64.6 46.9 65.6 47.8 22.1 5.3 75.9
Player 10,242 50.5 66.9 84.4 29.8 65.0 44.9 65.5 48.5 20.7 7.1 76.7
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 12 6 4 7 29 49 32 41 32 2 75 1 24 54 37 75
2017 5 5 3 3 30 37 9 19 28 3 98 2 66 49 33 31 79
2018 67 55 54 51 73 33 65 75 68 51 74 42 55 75 34 40 83
2019 57 44 49 51 60 10 52 61 79 16 71 12 63 57 24 35 86
2020 76 63 65 64 84 13 44 66 76 74 80 31 94 64 14 30 87
2021 61 25 39 50 78 36 63 71 45 41 99 22 74 39 13 20 86
2022 66 56 53 45 76 42 63 95 88 29 87 25 53 29 17 32 83
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.5 12 13.4 -1 2 9 6 50.0
2017 22.2 16 16.6 -1 6 8 10 62.5
2018 23.2 16 11.0 5 8 11 3 18.8
2019 22.3 28 21.4 7 14 17 9 32.1
2020 23.2 8 7.0 1 3 5 4 50.0
2021 22.6 15 14.0 1 3 12 6 40.0
2022 24.9 8 7.8 0 5 5 4 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 12 14 15 13 13 12 12 15 13 11 14 13 12 14 13 14 14 14 12 13 16 12 12 15 14 13 15 13 12 13 16
2017 16 15 21 17 18 17 17 16 18 16 18 16 14 14 18 19 14 16 14 17 20 16 15 17 17 17 17 13 16 15 19
2018 16 12 14 11 10 14 9 14 9 10 10 10 7 4 10 11 5 13 9 13 12 12 11 11 13 15 13 9 12 12 15
2019 28 26 22 20 22 17 22 30 22 17 22 24 14 15 17 24 18 29 15 19 22 19 20 21 23 22 29 18 25 21 27
2020 8 7 8 6 7 8 0 7 8 8 8 7 4 5 5 8 8 8 5 6 8 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 8 6 9
2021 15 15 15 13 12 18 12 15 15 15 11 13 10 9 11 16 15 17 14 14 15 14 13 14 14 15 16 13 14 14 17
2022 8 9 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 7 6 6 7 8 7 10 10 8 10 7 8 7 8 8 9 7 8 7 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93 92.6 -0.4 94.3 1.7 93.5 -0.8 93.8 0.3 92.6 -1.2 92.1 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 87.1 86.1 -1 86.6 0.5 86.7 0.1 87.8 1.1 85.3 -2.5 87 1.7
Breaking Velocity 83.4 81.7 -1.7 84.4 2.7 85.7 1.3 84.8 -0.9 84.5 -0.3 79.4 -5.1
Exit Velocity 88.8 88.4 -0.4 87.4 -1 88.2 0.8 87.4 -0.8 87.9 0.5 85.2 -2.7
Launch Angle 15.8 12.2 -3.6 14 1.8 12 -2 7.9 -4.1 11.9 4 10.6 -1.3
Barrel % 6.7 8.3 1.6 5.7 -2.6 6.9 1.2 7.5 0.6 6.8 -0.7 6.7 -0.1
Hard Hit % 36.3 35.7 -0.6 33.2 -2.5 32.8 -0.4 32.7 -0.1 39.2 6.5 31.9 -7.3
Sweet Spot % 35.9 30.3 -5.6 30.6 0.3 30.1 -0.5 27 -3.1 33 6 33.3 0.3
xBA .286 .292 0.006 .236 -0.056 .248 0.012 .226 -0.022 .257 0.031 .233 -0.024
BA .269 .309 0.04 .261 -0.048 .268 0.007 .263 -0.005 .276 0.013 .251 -0.025
xwOBA .35 .366 0.016 .293 -0.073 .307 0.014 .283 -0.024 .303 0.02 .292 -0.011
wOBA .345 .373 0.028 .318 -0.055 .325 0.007 .325 0 .325 0 .308 -0.017
xSLG .495 .53 0.035 .382 -0.148 .415 0.033 .366 -0.049 .416 0.05 .381 -0.035
SLG .514 .551 0.037 .433 -0.118 .452 0.019 .447 -0.005 .461 0.014 .414 -0.047
K% 11.4 12.5 1.1 22.4 9.9 18.3 -4.1 28.6 10.3 22.4 -6.2 19.6 -2.8
BB% 6.3 4.3 -2 6.8 2.5 6.8 0 6.1 -0.7 3.6 -2.5 5.3 1.7
Swing % 47.5 49.3 1.8 48.8 -0.5 47.8 -1 48.4 0.6 49.9 1.5 47.8 -2.1
Whiff% 13.8 15.1 1.3 23.7 8.6 20.2 -3.5 24 3.8 22.6 -1.4 22.1 -0.5
In Zone % 53.3 50.8 -2.5 51.7 0.9 48.7 -3 47.9 -0.8 51.5 3.6 50 -1.5
Out of Zone % 46.7 49.2 2.5 48.3 -0.9 51.3 3 52.1 0.8 48.5 -3.6 50 1.5
Out of Zone Swing % 26.8 29 2.2 28.3 -0.7 30.3 2 34.5 4.2 30.4 -4.1 29.5 -0.9
First Pitch Swing % 28.7 32.9 4.2 32.5 -0.4 33.4 0.9 30.2 -3.2 34.6 4.4 31.9 -2.7
First Pitch Strike % 61.8 63.9 2.1 64.9 1 68.4 3.5 63.7 -4.7 66.1 2.4 65.6 -0.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 270 .346 140 10 7.1 130 14 10.8
2017 278 .376 118 11 9.3 160 42 26.3
2018 544 .318 298 31 10.4 246 101 41.1
2019 700 .325 384 23 6.0 316 94 29.7
2020 245 .325 129 26 20.2 116 46 39.7
2021 440 .325 229 44 19.2 211 56 26.5
2022 284 .308 138 41 29.7 146 94 64.4

Pitch Tempo