P | San Diego Padres
Bats/Throws: L/L | 5' 8" 165 lbs | Age: 30
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 4 2 3.73 64 0 0 62.2 69 1.16
2025 3 1 3.98 61 0 1 63.1 61 1.36
2 Seasons 7 3 3.86 125 0 1 126 130 1.26
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 64 4-2 3.73 62.2 69 1.16
2025 61 3-1 3.98 63.1 61 1.36
2 Seasons 125 7-3 3.86 126 130 1.26
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1049 161 11 6.8 4.3 88.5 112.4 18.2 30.4 .203 .326 .283 .268 .322 37.3 26.8 10.5 3.73 2.96
2025 29 1063 177 16 9.0 5.9 88.5 113.8 20.6 30.5 .231 .399 .318 .315 .356 37.3 22.4 12.1 3.98 4.16
Player 2112 338 27 8.0 5.1 88.5 113.8 19.5 30.5 .217 .363 .301 .292 .340 37.3 24.6 11.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matsui relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(39.5%) ,
Split Finger
(32.2%) ,
Slider
(15.9%) ,
Sweeper
(10.7%) ,
Sinker
(1.5%) ,
Curveball
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.9 62.1 31.1 20.5 10.6 49.1 29.8 21.1 23.0 11.8 3.1 26.1 18.0 18.0
2025 32.2 67.8 36.7 19.8 11.3 42.4 32.8 24.9 18.1 11.9 2.3 24.3 20.9 22.6
Player 34.9 65.1 34.0 20.1 10.9 45.6 31.4 23.1 20.4 11.8 2.7 25.1 19.5 20.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.1 26.7 34.8 23.0 5.6 6.8 4.3
2025 4.0 22.0 38.4 21.5 5.1 9.0 5.9
Player 3.6 24.3 36.7 22.2 5.3 8.0 5.1
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker SD L 16 91.5 18.9 -5.6 13.6ARM -1.4 14.0 -6.5 13.6ARM -1.8
2025 Split-Finger SD L 342 84.0 35.5 -0.5 9.2ARM -1.6 3.6 2.5 9.2ARM -0.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball SD L 420 92.1 12.9 2.7 4.5ARM -2.7 19.6 3.8 4.5ARM -3.6
2025 Slider SD L 169 86.6 29.6 -5.2 2.9GLV -0.8 6.9 -4.9 2.9GLV -1.2
2025 Curveball SD L 2 74.8 67.6 7.8 7.0GLV -3.6 -17.9 8.3 7.0GLV -0.8
2025 Sweeper SD L 114 81.4 43.2 1.2 12.9GLV -1.3 -1.4 2.4 12.9GLV -0.1
2024 Sweeper SD L 67 80.9 45.6 3.5 13.9GLV -0.6 -3.4 4.5 13.9GLV -0.3
2024 Sinker SD L 1 91.9 16.7 -7.7 8.8ARM -6.3 15.9 -7.7 8.8ARM -6.3
2024 Slider SD L 284 86.0 32.2 -3.1 4.3GLV -0.2 4.7 -3.2 4.3GLV -0.5
2024 Split-Finger SD L 257 86.6 31.3 -2.6 5.9ARM -4.6 5.2 1.3 5.9ARM -2.6
2024 Curveball SD L 10 74.9 66.2 6.3 7.1GLV -3.6 -16.4 7.9 7.1GLV 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball SD L 430 92.2 12.6 3.1 4.2ARM -2.9 19.8 4.1 4.2ARM -3.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -5 420 39.5 105 .235 .529 .393 17.9 14.3 15.6 .235 .483 .371 46.5
2025 Split-Finger -0.2 -1 342 32.2 102 .223 .394 .290 44.9 35.3 26.5 .197 .313 .250 32.2
2025 Slider 1.0 2 169 15.9 38 .273 .364 .285 22.8 5.3 8.0 .325 .472 .347 38.2
2025 Sweeper 1.7 2 114 10.7 22 .056 .056 .168 43.6 36.4 23.5 .166 .295 .288 10.0
2025 Sinker -3.8 -1 16 1.5 3 .667 .667 .600 22.2 0.0 0.0 .502 .567 .477 0.0
2025 Curveball 2.7 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- 50.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 430 41.0 112 .223 .447 .337 19.1 17.0 16.7 .235 .408 .330 40.3
2024 Slider 1.3 4 284 27.1 70 .197 .409 .269 45.1 37.1 33.8 .164 .291 .215 34.1
2024 Split-Finger 0.5 1 257 24.5 62 .193 .281 .233 41.1 35.5 18.6 .189 .240 .224 41.7
2024 Sweeper 0.7 0 67 6.4 7 .143 .143 .257 33.3 28.6 15.4 .289 .330 .271 0.0
2024 Curveball 2.8 0 10 1.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .083 .093 .076 0.0
2024 Sinker 3.6 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 414 92.1 94 19.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2025 Split-Finger 286 84.0 75 10.6 10:15 9:30 45
2025 Sinker 16 91.5 91 19.4 11:15 10:30 45
2025 Slider 168 86.6 36 7.3 12:15 1:00 -45
2025 Sweeper 113 81.4 39 14.4 4:15 3:30 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 420 92.2 94 19.8 11:30 11:30 0
2024 Split-Finger 244 86.7 60 8.1 10:30 10:00 30
2024 Slider 280 86.0 28 6.8 1:00 1:45 -45
2024 Sweeper 62 80.9 45 15.9 4:30 3:30 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 253 1,049 8 9 -5 -4 8
2025 270 1,063 7 2 -7 -4 -2
Player 523 2,112 15 11 -12 15 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,049 44.3 72.3 80.1 33.0 47.2 41.0 59.4 50.4 31.9 7.1 78.4
2025 1,063 46.2 71.7 79.5 29.5 49.1 43.3 57.4 49.0 30.3 6.5 82.6
Player 2,112 45.3 72.0 79.8 31.3 48.1 42.1 58.4 49.7 31.1 6.8 80.4
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 90 89 88 79 79 77 69 58 62 77 19 90 89 21 90 11
2025 40 64 44 27 30 59 39 69 75 48 5 84 65 16 86 7
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 25.62 8 7.1 1 1 5 4 50.0
2025 24.74 10 10.3 0 6 9 4 40.0
Player 25.15 18 17.4 1 7 14 8 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 8 5 5 6 7 7 8 6 6 6 7 9 7 7 6 5 6 6 7 9 8 8 9 8 6 7 8 9 8 9 8
2025 10 11 9 11 12 11 9 10 10 8 9 14 9 16 11 8 12 9 9 13 8 11 13 12 8 8 9 13 10 9 8
Player 18 16 14 17 19 18 17 16 16 14 16 23 16 23 17 13 18 15 16 22 16 19 22 20 14 15 17 22 18 18 16
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .227 +.023 .204
xBA .231 +.028 .203
OBP .321 +.037 .284
xOBP .325 +.040 .285
SLG .416 +.035 .381
xSLG .399 +.073 .326
ISO .189 +.012 .177
xISO .169 +.046 .123
BABIP .259 +.011 .248
wOBA .318 +.035 .283
xwOBA .315 +.047 .268
wOBACON .360 +.014 .346
xwOBACON .356 +.034 .322
BACON .301 +.015 .286
xBACON .307 +.020 .287
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.3 0.0 37.3
Avg Exit Velocity 88.5 0.0 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.5 +0.1 30.4
Barrel % 9.0 +2.2 6.8
Avg Launch Angle 20.6 +2.4 18.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 +0.3 71.8
Attack Angle 13° 13°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.4 -2.0 56.4
Attack Direction -7° -1° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32°
Swing Length 7.6 +0.1 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.0 -0.2 92.2
Breaking Velocity 84.4 -0.3 84.7
Offspeed Velocity 84.0 -2.6 86.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 +5 11
Popup % 11.3 +0.7 10.6
Flyball % 36.7 +5.6 31.1
Line Drive % 19.8 -0.7 20.5
Groundball % 32.2 -5.7 37.9
Pull % 42.4 -6.7 49.1
Straight Away % 32.8 +3.0 29.8
Opposite Field % 24.9 +3.8 21.1
Weak Contact % 4.0 +0.9 3.1
Pull Airball % 24.3 -1.8 26.1
Topped Contact % 22.0 -4.7 26.7
Under Contact % 38.4 +3.6 34.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.5 -1.5 23.0
Solid Contact % 5.1 -0.5 5.6
HR/FB % 15.4 -0.6 16.0
Popups 20 +3 17
Flyballs 65 +15 50
Line Drives 35 +2 33
Groundballs 57 -4 61
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.2 +1.9 44.3
Out of Zone % 53.8 -1.9 55.7
Edge % 43.3 +2.3 41.0
Zone Swing % 71.7 -0.6 72.3
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 -3.5 33.0
In Zone Contact % 79.5 -0.6 80.1
Out of Zone Contact % 49.1 +1.9 47.2
Whiff % 30.3 -1.6 31.9
First Strike % 57.4 -2.0 59.4
First Pitch Swing % 34.8 -2.6 37.4
Swing % 49.0 -1.4 50.4
Meatball Swing % 82.6 +4.2 78.4
Meatball % 6.5 -0.6 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.5 +0.6 19.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 50.9 -1.9 52.8
In Zone 491 +26 465
Out of Zone 572 -12 584
Edge 460 +30 430
In Zone Swings 352 +16 336
Out of Zone Swings 169 -24 193
In Zone Swing & Misses 72 +5 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 86 -16 102
Basic
Pitches 1,063 +14 1,049
PA 272 +15 257
AB 233 +7 226
Hits 53 +7 46
Singles 31 +6 25
Doubles 10 0 10
Triples 2 -1 3
Home Runs 10 +2 8
Walks 33 +6 27
Strikeouts 61 -8 69
K% 22.4 -4.4 26.8
BB% 12.1 +1.6 10.5
HBP 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 177 +16 161
Number of Fastballs 436 +5 431
Number of Offspeed 342 +85 257
Number of Breaking 171 -123 294
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 246 .281 153 5 3.3 93 46 49.5
2025 Shades 270 .318 156 0 0.0 114 98 86.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 275 19.3 1.5% 0.7% 143 22.0 0.0% 2.1%
2025 239 20.0 0.0% 1.7% 196 22.6 0.0% 1.5%

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Pitch Distribution