P | San Diego Padres
Bats/Throws: L/L | 5' 8" 165 lbs | Age: 30
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 4 2 3.73 64 0 0 62.2 69 1.16
2025 3 1 3.98 61 0 1 63.1 61 1.36
2026 3 1 2.25 36 0 0 48 50 1.15
3 Seasons 10 4 3.41 161 0 1 174 180 1.23
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 64 4-2 3.73 62.2 69 1.16
2025 61 3-1 3.98 63.1 61 1.36
2026 36 3-1 2.25 48 50 1.15
3 Seasons 161 10-4 3.41 174 180 1.23
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 28 1049 161 11 6.9 4.3 88.5 112.4 18.2 30.4 .201 .335 .283 .271 .327 37.3 26.8 10.5 3.73 2.94
2025 29 1063 177 16 9.0 5.9 88.5 113.8 20.6 30.5 .228 .397 .318 .313 .353 37.3 22.4 12.1 3.98 4.07
2026 30 790 115 10 8.8 5.1 86.7 108.9 27.2 27.0 .169 .322 .275 .282 .302 30.4 25.6 14.4 2.25 3.30
Player 2902 453 37 8.2 5.1 88.1 113.8 21.4 29.6 .203 .355 .294 .290 .331 35.5 24.9 12.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Matsui relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.6%) ,
Slider
(30.1%) ,
Split Finger
(25.4%) ,
Sweeper
(3.9%) ,
Sinker
(2.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.9 62.1 31.1 20.5 10.6 49.1 29.8 21.1 23.0 11.8 3.1 26.1 18.0 18.0
2025 32.2 67.8 36.7 19.8 11.3 42.4 32.8 24.9 18.1 11.9 2.3 24.3 20.9 22.6
2026 33.0 67.0 29.6 16.5 20.9 38.3 30.4 31.3 15.7 15.7 1.7 22.6 14.8 29.6
Player 34.4 65.6 32.9 19.2 13.5 43.7 31.1 25.2 19.2 12.8 2.4 24.5 18.3 22.7
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.1 26.7 34.8 23.0 5.6 6.9 4.3
2025 4.0 22.0 38.4 21.5 5.1 9.0 5.9
2026 7.0 20.0 43.5 13.9 6.1 8.8 5.1
Player 4.4 23.2 38.4 20.1 5.5 8.2 5.1
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball SD L 297 91.9 13.2 2.5 4.5ARM -2.3 19.3 3.7 4.5ARM -3.5
2026 Sinker SD L 23 91.1 20.5 -3.2 12.2ARM -2.4 12.5 -4.9 12.2ARM -3.1
2026 Sweeper SD L 31 81.1 44.5 2.5 14.1GLV -0.1 -2.7 3.3 14.1GLV 0.4
2026 Slider SD L 238 85.3 33.6 -3.0 4.3GLV 0.8 3.8 -2.3 4.3GLV -0.2
2026 Split-Finger SD L 201 83.4 36.1 0.5 8.5ARM -1.5 3.3 0.9 8.5ARM -0.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball SD L 420 92.1 12.9 2.7 4.5ARM -2.7 19.6 3.7 4.5ARM -3.6
2025 Slider SD L 169 86.6 29.6 -5.2 2.9GLV -0.5 6.9 -4.8 2.9GLV -1.1
2025 Split-Finger SD L 342 84.0 35.5 -0.4 9.2ARM -1.6 3.6 2.5 9.2ARM -0.5
2025 Sweeper SD L 114 81.4 43.2 1.1 12.9GLV -1.4 -1.4 2.4 12.9GLV -0.1
2025 Curveball SD L 2 74.8 67.6 7.7 7.0GLV -3.6 -17.9 8.2 7.0GLV -0.8
2025 Sinker SD L 16 91.5 18.9 -5.6 13.6ARM -1.3 14.0 -6.5 13.6ARM -1.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 297 37.6 73 .268 .500 .381 24.6 16.4 15.6 .211 .414 .359 41.3
2026 Slider 2.8 7 238 30.1 50 .089 .111 .135 41.4 26.0 28.9 .151 .248 .212 21.2
2026 Split-Finger 0.2 0 201 25.4 58 .143 .306 .243 47.8 37.9 21.6 .137 .270 .238 24.1
2026 Sweeper -2.9 -1 31 3.9 5 .200 .800 .400 27.3 60.0 17.6 .238 .668 .376 100.0
2026 Sinker 1.5 0 23 2.9 7 .000 .000 .200 0.0 0.0 0.0 .115 .133 .277 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -5 420 39.5 105 .235 .529 .393 17.9 14.3 15.6 .231 .486 .369 46.5
2025 Split-Finger -0.2 -1 342 32.2 102 .223 .394 .290 44.9 35.3 26.5 .194 .311 .248 32.2
2025 Slider 1.0 2 169 15.9 38 .273 .364 .285 22.8 5.3 8.0 .322 .458 .342 38.2
2025 Sweeper 1.7 2 114 10.7 22 .056 .056 .168 43.6 36.4 23.5 .162 .282 .282 10.0
2025 Sinker -3.8 -1 16 1.5 3 .667 .667 .600 22.2 0.0 0.0 .517 .590 .495 0.0
2025 Curveball 2.7 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- 50.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 296 91.9 95 19.4 11:15 11:30 -15
2026 Split-Finger 176 83.4 71 9.9 10:15 9:30 45
2026 Sinker 23 91.1 88 17.3 11:15 10:30 45
2026 Slider 238 85.3 26 6.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Sweeper 31 81.1 44 15.8 4:30 3:30 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 414 92.1 94 19.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2025 Split-Finger 286 84.0 75 10.6 10:15 9:30 45
2025 Sinker 16 91.5 91 19.4 11:15 10:30 45
2025 Slider 168 86.6 36 7.3 12:15 1:00 -45
2025 Sweeper 113 81.4 39 14.4 4:15 3:30 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 253 1,049 8 9 -5 -4 8
2025 270 1,063 7 2 -7 -4 -2
2026 193 790 3 10 -4 -3 6
Player 716 2,902 17 21 -16 17 12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,049 44.2 72.2 80.0 33.2 47.4 41.0 59.4 50.4 31.9 7.1 78.4
2025 1,063 46.1 71.8 79.5 29.5 49.1 43.3 57.4 49.0 30.3 6.5 82.6
2026 790 42.7 67.7 75.0 32.0 47.6 38.4 65.3 47.2 35.7 7.2 70.2
Player 2,902 44.5 70.9 78.6 31.5 48.0 41.1 60.3 49.0 32.3 6.9 77.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 73 59 79 70 90 21 90 58 90 90 77 19 68 62 24 11
2025 32 18 73 46 43 16 86 69 65 84 48 5 39 75 7 7
2026 67 39 89 57 79 14 84 88 65 97 70 2 28 94 8 5
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 25.62 8 7.1 1 1 5 4 50.0
2025 24.74 10 10.3 0 6 9 4 40.0
2026 23.49 6 6.8 -1 2 6 2 33.3
Player 24.72 24 24.2 0 9 20 10 41.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 8 5 5 6 7 7 8 6 6 6 7 9 7 7 6 5 6 6 7 9 8 8 9 8 6 7 8 9 8 9 8
2025 10 11 9 11 12 11 9 10 10 8 9 14 9 16 11 8 12 9 9 13 8 11 13 12 8 8 9 13 10 9 8
2026 6 8 6 5 7 8 7 6 7 8 6 6 5 8 6 8 8 6 7 9 6 8 6 8 6 5 6 8 9 6 5
Player 24 24 20 22 26 26 24 22 23 22 22 29 21 31 23 21 26 21 23 31 22 27 28 28 20 20 23 30 27 24 21
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .169 -.058 .227 +.023 .204
xBA .169 -.059 .228 +.027 .201
OBP .292 -.029 .321 +.037 .284
xOBP .298 -.024 .322 +.038 .284
SLG .325 -.091 .416 +.035 .381
xSLG .322 -.075 .397 +.062 .335
ISO .156 -.033 .189 +.012 .177
xISO .153 -.017 .170 +.036 .134
BABIP .193 -.066 .259 +.011 .248
wOBA .275 -.043 .318 +.035 .283
xwOBA .282 -.031 .313 +.042 .271
wOBAcon .292 -.068 .360 +.014 .346
xwOBAcon .302 -.051 .353 +.026 .327
BACON .235 -.066 .301 +.015 .286
xBACON .243 -.059 .302 +.017 .285
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 30.4 -6.9 37.3 0.0 37.3
Avg Exit Velocity 86.7 -1.8 88.5 0.0 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 27.0 -3.5 30.5 +0.1 30.4
Barrel % 8.8 -0.2 9.0 +2.1 6.9
Avg Launch Angle 27.2 +6.6 20.6 +2.4 18.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 -0.1 72.0 +0.3 71.7
Attack Angle 13° 13° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.9 +1.0 53.9 -1.8 55.7
Attack Direction -7° -7° -1° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° +1° 32°
Swing Length 7.6 +0.1 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.9 -0.1 92.0 -0.2 92.2
Breaking Velocity 84.8 +0.4 84.4 -0.3 84.7
Offspeed Velocity 83.4 -0.6 84.0 -2.6 86.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 10 -6 16 +5 11
Popup % 20.9 +9.6 11.3 +0.7 10.6
Flyball % 29.6 -7.1 36.7 +5.6 31.1
Line Drive % 16.5 -3.3 19.8 -0.7 20.5
Groundball % 33.0 +0.8 32.2 -5.7 37.9
Pull % 38.3 -4.1 42.4 -6.7 49.1
Straight Away % 30.4 -2.4 32.8 +3.0 29.8
Opposite Field % 31.3 +6.4 24.9 +3.8 21.1
Weak Contact % 7.0 +3.0 4.0 +0.9 3.1
Pull Airball % 22.6 -1.7 24.3 -1.8 26.1
Topped Contact % 20.0 -2.0 22.0 -4.7 26.7
Under Contact % 43.5 +5.1 38.4 +3.6 34.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 13.9 -7.6 21.5 -1.5 23.0
Solid Contact % 6.1 +1.0 5.1 -0.5 5.6
HR/FB % 17.6 +2.2 15.4 -0.6 16.0
Popups 24 +4 20 +3 17
Flyballs 34 -31 65 +15 50
Line Drives 19 -16 35 +2 33
Groundballs 38 -19 57 -4 61
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 42.7 -3.4 46.1 +1.9 44.2
Out of Zone % 57.3 +3.4 53.9 -1.9 55.8
Edge % 38.4 -4.9 43.3 +2.3 41.0
Zone Swing % 67.7 -4.1 71.8 -0.4 72.2
Out of Zone Swing % 32.0 +2.5 29.5 -3.7 33.2
In Zone Contact % 75.0 -4.5 79.5 -0.5 80.0
Out of Zone Contact % 47.6 -1.5 49.1 +1.7 47.4
Whiff % 35.7 +5.4 30.3 -1.6 31.9
First Strike % 65.3 +7.9 57.4 -2.0 59.4
First Pitch Swing % 32.6 -2.2 34.8 -2.6 37.4
Swing % 47.2 -1.8 49.0 -1.4 50.4
Meatball Swing % 70.2 -12.4 82.6 +4.2 78.4
Meatball % 7.2 +0.7 6.5 -0.6 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 25.0 +4.5 20.5 +0.5 20.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 52.4 +1.5 50.9 -1.7 52.6
In Zone 337 -153 490 +26 464
Out of Zone 453 -120 573 -12 585
Edge 303 -157 460 +30 430
In Zone Swings 228 -124 352 +17 335
Out of Zone Swings 145 -24 169 -25 194
In Zone Swing & Misses 57 -15 72 +5 67
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 76 -10 86 -16 102
Basic
Pitches 790 -273 1,063 +14 1,049
PA 195 -77 272 +15 257
AB 160 -73 233 +7 226
Hits 27 -26 53 +7 46
Singles 14 -17 31 +6 25
Doubles 7 -3 10 0 10
Triples 0 -2 2 -1 3
Home Runs 6 -4 10 +2 8
Walks 28 -5 33 +6 27
Strikeouts 50 -11 61 -8 69
K% 25.6 +3.2 22.4 -4.4 26.8
BB% 14.4 +2.3 12.1 +1.6 10.5
HBP 2 +1 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 115 -62 177 +16 161
Fastball Percent 40.5 -0.5 41.0 -0.1 41.1
Offspeed Percent 25.4 -6.8 32.2 +7.7 24.5
Breaking Percent 34.1 +7.3 26.8 -7.6 34.4
Number of Fastballs 320 -116 436 +5 431
Number of Offspeed 201 -141 342 +85 257
Number of Breaking 269 -16 285 -76 361
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 246 .281 153 5 3.3 93 46 49.5
2025 Shades 270 .318 156 0 0.0 114 98 86.0
2026 Shades 193 .275 90 20 22.2 103 67 65.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 275 19.3 1.5% 0.7% 143 22.0 0.0% 2.1%
2025 239 20.0 0.0% 1.7% 196 22.6 0.0% 1.5%
2026 204 20.1 0.5% 6.4% 118 22.2 0.0% 3.4%

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Pitch Distribution