P | Tampa Bay Rays
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 220 lbs | Age: 31
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 8, No. 231, San Diego Padres | Santa Clara University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 2 3.91 52 0 0 53 57 1.17
2024 1 6 5.71 40 0 0 34.2 34 1.59
2025 2 2 3.42 59 0 2 55.1 51 1.30
4 Seasons 8 12 3.86 201 1 3 196 195 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 52 1-2 3.91 53 57 1.17
2024 40 1-6 5.71 34.2 34 1.59
2025 59 2-2 3.42 55.1 51 1.30
4 Seasons 201 8-12 3.86 196 195 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 27 874 138 10 7.2 4.7 87.6 113.7 26.0 33.3 .182 .306 .277 .263 .292 35.5 24.8 9.3 3.06 2.83
2023 28 938 132 11 8.3 5.0 87.2 110.4 27.7 28.8 .184 .343 .289 .285 .317 33.3 26.0 12.3 3.91 3.38
2024 29 623 100 12 12.0 7.4 86.6 110.5 26.2 34.0 .246 .438 .347 .352 .395 31.0 20.9 16.0 5.71 5.35
2025 30 974 165 9 5.5 3.7 89.6 114.9 24.9 35.2 .235 .372 .296 .299 .336 36.4 21.2 9.1 3.42 3.72
Player 3409 535 42 7.9 5.0 88.0 114.9 26.1 32.9 .210 .359 .299 .296 .331 34.4 23.3 11.4
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Wilson relies on 4 pitches.
Sweeper
(58.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(33.4%) ,
Changeup
(7.3%) ,
Cutter
(1.0%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 23.9 76.1 34.8 25.4 15.9 34.8 33.3 31.9 13.0 5.1 5.8 21.7 28.3 26.1
2023 25.8 74.2 34.1 19.7 20.5 43.9 28.0 28.0 13.6 8.3 3.8 30.3 19.7 24.2
2024 26.0 74.0 37.0 23.0 14.0 49.0 23.0 28.0 12.0 8.0 6.0 37.0 15.0 22.0
2025 26.1 73.9 36.4 26.7 10.9 42.4 34.5 23.0 13.3 9.1 3.6 29.1 25.5 19.4
Player 25.4 74.6 35.5 23.9 15.1 42.1 30.5 27.5 13.1 7.7 4.7 29.0 22.8 22.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 8.0 18.1 42.0 16.7 8.0 7.2 4.7
2023 2.3 20.5 47.0 15.9 6.1 8.3 5.0
2024 10.0 10.0 37.0 27.0 4.0 12.0 7.4
2025 0.6 18.8 42.4 25.5 7.3 5.5 3.7
Player 4.7 17.4 42.4 21.1 6.5 7.9 5.0
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Cutter CWS R 10 90.7 20.0 5.0 5.4GLV 3.3 13.0 4.7 5.4GLV 3.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 325 93.9 12.4 2.3 6.2ARM -0.9 18.9 3.1 6.2ARM -1.4
2025 Changeup CWS R 71 84.9 31.5 -2.1 12.9ARM -1.7 6.3 -2.2 12.9ARM -1.5
2025 Sweeper CWS R 568 82.1 41.2 1.3 15.2GLV 1.0 -0.3 1.4 15.2GLV 1.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 248 93.5 13.1 2.3 6.4ARM -0.9 18.3 2.6 6.4ARM -1.2
2024 Sweeper CWS R 319 82.3 33.7 -5.3 12.0GLV -1.8 6.7 -5.2 12.0GLV -2.1
2024 Cutter CWS R 6 86.6 25.0 4.4 0.2ARM -2.9 11.5 3.2 0.2ARM -2.9
2024 Changeup CWS R 50 81.7 32.2 -3.8 15.9ARM 1.5 8.7 -3.8 15.9ARM 1.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Sweeper 0.9 5 568 58.3 149 .215 .338 .280 26.6 17.4 16.6 .236 .384 .305 27.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 5 325 33.4 65 .196 .250 .255 20.8 27.7 20.0 .229 .317 .289 56.4
2025 Changeup -11.2 -8 71 7.3 22 .500 .950 .623 29.4 27.3 23.1 .252 .466 .339 50.0
2025 Cutter -1.2 0 10 1.0 3 .333 .333 .300 14.3 33.3 16.7 .199 .227 .181 50.0
2024 Sweeper -0.9 -3 319 51.2 84 .222 .472 .339 30.4 26.2 24.2 .224 .378 .300 26.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 -5 248 39.8 64 .245 .510 .406 16.5 17.2 17.2 .264 .530 .420 37.5
2024 Changeup 0.2 0 50 8.0 9 .143 .143 .200 26.7 11.1 6.7 .344 .415 .374 28.6
2024 Cutter -1.7 0 6 1.0 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 70 85.0 99 14.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Cutter 10 90.7 60 13.5 11:45 11:15 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 325 93.9 92 19.5 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Sweeper 568 82.1 51 16.3 7:45 8:45 -60
2024 Changeup 50 81.7 98 18.2 1:45 2:15 -30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 248 93.5 90 19.0 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Sweeper 314 82.3 43 14.3 9:00 9:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 214 874 4 7 -4 -3 3
2023 218 938 10 8 -7 -5 7
2024 157 623 0 2 -6 -4 -8
2025 239 974 12 2 -7 -5 2
Player 828 3,409 26 19 -24 26 4
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 874 47.6 69.5 80.3 27.1 50.8 43.6 61.2 47.3 28.6 7.0 72.1
2023 938 48.9 67.1 78.6 22.3 57.9 43.6 58.3 44.2 26.7 7.2 82.4
2024 623 50.4 69.4 79.8 22.7 61.4 39.3 51.6 46.2 24.7 7.9 73.5
2025 974 51.7 69.2 79.7 24.5 61.7 45.7 55.2 47.6 24.8 6.5 81.0
Player 3,409 49.7 68.8 79.6 24.2 57.5 43.4 56.9 46.3 26.3 7.1 77.6
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 87 96 90 72 85 78 50 71 70 64 30 71 24 71 83 90
2023 81 99 84 50 74 74 41 84 85 71 7 56 2 56 84 91
2024 39 90 83
2025 63 61 63 66 52 89 89 42 82 39 30 48 8 43 91 74
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.42 8 8.4 0 3 6 4 50.0
2023 24.78 7 4.6 2 4 3 3 42.9
2024 22.47 8 8.1 0 3 7 3 37.5
2025 23.83 7 7.1 0 5 4 3 42.9
Player 23.76 30 28.2 2 15 20 13 43.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 8 6 7 9 8 9 8 7 8 7 8 10 8 7 10 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 13 9 5 7 10 12 9 8 9
2023 7 5 4 5 6 5 5 3 5 3 5 6 3 3 5 7 5 3 5 5 4 5 6 5 3 3 5 5 5 4 4
2024 8 5 7 8 9 10 9 7 9 6 10 11 6 5 9 6 7 7 11 10 8 8 10 11 6 8 8 10 8 8 7
2025 7 7 4 9 9 7 7 7 8 5 8 9 6 10 7 7 7 7 7 9 6 5 8 7 7 5 7 8 5 8 6
Player 30 23 22 31 32 31 29 24 30 21 31 36 23 25 31 30 27 25 31 33 26 26 37 32 21 23 30 35 27 28 26
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .239 +.012 .227 +.042 .185 -.006 .191
xBA .235 -.011 .246 +.062 .184 +.002 .182
OBP .311 -.051 .362 +.065 .297 +.020 .277
xOBP .311 -.071 .382 +.086 .296 +.024 .272
SLG .373 -.096 .469 +.115 .354 +.008 .346
xSLG .372 -.066 .438 +.095 .343 +.037 .306
ISO .134 -.108 .242 +.073 .169 +.015 .154
xISO .136 -.056 .192 +.033 .159 +.035 .124
BABIP .272 +.036 .236 +.012 .224 +.001 .223
wOBA .296 -.051 .347 +.058 .289 +.012 .277
xwOBA .299 -.053 .352 +.067 .285 +.022 .263
wOBACON .332 -.055 .387 +.063 .324 +.009 .315
xwOBACON .336 -.059 .395 +.078 .317 +.025 .292
BACON .303 +.004 .299 +.034 .265 +.002 .263
xBACON .303 -.028 .331 +.067 .264 +.009 .255
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 36.4 +5.4 31.0 -2.3 33.3 -2.2 35.5
Avg Exit Velocity 89.6 +3.0 86.6 -0.6 87.2 -0.4 87.6
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.2 +1.2 34.0 +5.2 28.8 -4.5 33.3
Barrel % 5.5 -6.5 12.0 +3.7 8.3 +1.1 7.2
Avg Launch Angle 24.9 -1.3 26.2 -1.5 27.7 +1.7 26.0
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 +0.4 71.0 -1.1 72.1 -- --
Attack Angle 12° +1° 11° 12° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.2 -1.0 55.2 +6.8 48.4 -- --
Attack Direction -5° +2° -7° -8° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 31° 31° -- --
Swing Length 7.4 0.0 7.4 0.0 7.4 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.8 +0.4 93.4 -0.9 94.3 -0.8 95.1
Breaking Velocity 82.1 -0.2 82.3 +1.3 81.0 -1.2 82.2
Offspeed Velocity 84.9 +3.2 81.7 -3.2 84.9 -0.2 85.1
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -3 12 +1 11 +1 10
Popup % 10.9 -3.1 14.0 -6.5 20.5 +4.6 15.9
Flyball % 36.4 -0.6 37.0 +2.9 34.1 -0.7 34.8
Line Drive % 26.7 +3.7 23.0 +3.3 19.7 -5.7 25.4
Groundball % 26.1 +0.1 26.0 +0.2 25.8 +1.9 23.9
Pull % 42.4 -6.6 49.0 +5.1 43.9 +9.1 34.8
Straight Away % 34.5 +11.5 23.0 -5.0 28.0 -5.3 33.3
Opposite Field % 23.0 -5.0 28.0 0.0 28.0 -3.9 31.9
Weak Contact % 0.6 -9.4 10.0 +7.7 2.3 -5.7 8.0
Pull Airball % 29.1 -7.9 37.0 +6.7 30.3 +8.6 21.7
Topped Contact % 18.8 +8.8 10.0 -10.5 20.5 +2.4 18.1
Under Contact % 42.4 +5.4 37.0 -10.0 47.0 +5.0 42.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.5 -1.5 27.0 +11.1 15.9 -0.8 16.7
Solid Contact % 7.3 +3.3 4.0 -2.1 6.1 -1.9 8.0
HR/FB % 11.7 -9.9 21.6 +6.0 15.6 +1.0 14.6
Popups 18 +4 14 -13 27 +5 22
Flyballs 60 +23 37 -8 45 -3 48
Line Drives 44 +21 23 -3 26 -9 35
Groundballs 43 +17 26 -8 34 +1 33
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.7 +1.3 50.4 +1.5 48.9 +1.3 47.6
Out of Zone % 48.3 -1.3 49.6 -1.5 51.1 -1.3 52.4
Edge % 45.7 +6.4 39.3 -4.3 43.6 0.0 43.6
Zone Swing % 69.2 -0.2 69.4 +2.3 67.1 -2.4 69.5
Out of Zone Swing % 24.5 +1.8 22.7 +0.4 22.3 -4.8 27.1
In Zone Contact % 79.7 -0.1 79.8 +1.2 78.6 -1.7 80.3
Out of Zone Contact % 61.7 +0.3 61.4 +3.5 57.9 +7.1 50.8
Whiff % 24.8 +0.1 24.7 -2.0 26.7 -1.9 28.6
First Strike % 55.2 +3.6 51.6 -6.7 58.3 -2.9 61.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.9 +2.5 26.4 -3.0 29.4 +1.4 28.0
Swing % 47.6 +1.4 46.2 +2.0 44.2 -3.1 47.3
Meatball Swing % 81.0 +7.5 73.5 -8.9 82.4 +10.3 72.1
Meatball % 6.5 -1.4 7.9 +0.7 7.2 +0.2 7.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.3 +0.1 20.2 -1.2 21.4 +1.7 19.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 38.3 -0.3 38.6 -3.5 42.1 -7.1 49.2
In Zone 504 +190 314 -145 459 +43 416
Out of Zone 470 +161 309 -170 479 +21 458
Edge 445 +200 245 -164 409 +28 381
In Zone Swings 349 +131 218 -90 308 +19 289
Out of Zone Swings 115 +45 70 -37 107 -17 124
In Zone Swing & Misses 71 +27 44 -22 66 +9 57
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 44 +17 27 -18 45 -16 61
Basic
Pitches 974 +351 623 -315 938 +64 874
PA 241 +78 163 -56 219 +5 214
AB 209 +81 128 -61 189 +1 188
Hits 50 +21 29 -6 35 -1 36
Singles 36 +22 14 -3 17 -4 21
Doubles 7 0 7 -4 11 +3 8
Triples 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 7 -1 8 +1 7 0 7
Walks 22 -4 26 -1 27 +7 20
Strikeouts 51 +17 34 -23 57 +4 53
K% 21.2 +0.3 20.9 -5.1 26.0 +1.2 24.8
BB% 9.1 -6.9 16.0 +3.7 12.3 +3.0 9.3
HBP 3 0 3 0 3 0 3
Batted Balls 165 +65 100 -32 132 -6 138
Number of Fastballs 335 +81 254 -95 349 -107 456
Number of Offspeed 71 +21 50 +20 30 -19 49
Number of Breaking 0 0 0 0 0 -90 90
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 214 .277 136 2 1.5 78 46 59.0
2023 Shades 211 .266 125 3 2.4 86 38 44.2
2024 Shades 157 .347 86 13 15.1 71 20 28.2
2025 Shades 239 .296 149 2 1.3 90 34 37.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 246 21.8 0.4% 4.5% 148 25.0 0.0% 12.8%
2023 261 18.3 2.3% 0.8% 184 22.2 0.5% 2.2%
2024 158 18.3 1.9% 0.0% 109 20.5 0.0% 3.7%
2025 230 19.1 0.0% 0.4% 183 21.4 0.0% 2.2%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution