Stephen Nogosek
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 6, #178, Boston Red Sox | Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 1 6.00 1 0 0 3 5 1.00
2022 1 1 2.45 12 0 0 22 21 1.23
2023 0 1 5.61 13 0 0 25.2 25 1.64
4 Seasons 1 4 5.02 33 0 0 57.1 57 1.50
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 1 0-1 6.00 3 5 1.00
2022 12 1-1 2.45 22 21 1.23
2023 13 0-1 5.61 25.2 25 1.64
4 Seasons 33 1-4 5.02 57.1 57 1.50
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 24 141 26 3 11.5 8.8 89.5 110.3 12.6 46.2 .304 .520 .431 .358 .415 30.8 17.6 5.9 10.80 5.85
2021 26 48 7 2 28.6 16.7 88.8 107.6 14.6 57.1 .230 .581 .408 .337 .577 28.6 41.7 0.0 6.00 4.89
2022 27 377 66 5 7.6 5.3 89.5 112.1 19.4 30.3 .238 .392 .306 .306 .357 37.9 22.1 7.4 2.46 3.89
2023 28 489 77 9 11.7 7.6 89.7 109.2 15.3 35.1 .253 .487 .382 .360 .407 42.9 21.2 11.9 5.61 5.66
Player 1055 176 19 10.8 7.3 89.6 112.1 16.4 35.8 .253 .461 .362 .339 .396 38.6 22.0 8.9
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nogosek relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(62.8%) ,
Sweeper
(17.0%) ,
Cutter
(14.5%) ,
Changeup
(4.1%) ,
Curveball
(1.4%) ,
Slider
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 38.5 19.2 34.6 7.7 26.9 50.0 23.1 3.8 23.1 23.1 30.8 7.7 11.5 8.8
2021 28.6 42.9 28.6 0.0 28.6 42.9 28.6 0.0 28.6 28.6 14.3 0.0 28.6 16.7
2022 34.8 33.3 19.7 12.1 36.4 37.9 25.8 0.0 25.8 34.8 25.8 6.1 7.6 5.3
2023 37.7 31.2 24.7 6.5 45.5 35.1 19.5 6.5 28.6 24.7 18.2 10.4 11.7 7.6
Player 36.4 30.7 24.4 8.5 38.6 38.6 22.7 3.4 26.7 28.4 22.7 8.0 10.8 7.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 4-Seam Fastball NYM R 307 94.2 12.6 2.2 2.7ARM -4.4 18.3 2.5 2.7ARM -4.7
2023 Slider NYM R 1 84.9 42.2 5.5 8.5GLV 3.5 -3.9 5.4 8.5GLV 3.2
2023 Curveball NYM R 7 78.4 58.5 3.6 9.5GLV 0.2 -13.4 3.5 9.5GLV 0.6
2023 Changeup NYM R 20 86.9 28.2 -2.2 12.9ARM -1.5 8.1 -2.7 12.9ARM -1.5
2023 Cutter NYM R 71 88.3 27.2 0.6 3.5GLV 0.7 7.8 -0.1 3.5GLV 0.9
2023 Sweeper NYM R 83 78.8 41.5 -1.8 16.7GLV 1.1 2.7 -1.2 16.7GLV 2.6
2022 Sweeper NYM R 36 80.3 39.7 -2.2 17.2GLV 1.7 3.3 -1.7 17.2GLV 3.3
2022 Curveball NYM R 7 75.8 54.9 -5.2 13.8GLV 3.6 -6.7 -3.2 13.8GLV 4.7
2022 Changeup NYM R 33 87.3 29.1 -0.3 12.5ARM -1.6 6.8 -0.9 12.5ARM -1.7
2022 Slider NYM R 26 83.0 39.8 1.0 5.8GLV -0.6 -0.1 1.9 5.8GLV 0.1
2022 4-Seam Fastball NYM R 156 95.0 11.7 2.3 2.7ARM -4.3 18.8 2.6 2.7ARM -4.6
2022 Cutter NYM R 118 89.1 27.6 -1.3 5.1GLV 2.6 6.9 -1.4 5.1GLV 2.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -2 307 62.8 82 .286 .500 .391 24.3 25.6 21.0 .258 .454 .354 46.0
2023 Sweeper -0.5 0 83 17.0 12 .182 .455 .300 19.2 8.3 4.8 .229 .711 .409 40.0
2023 Cutter -3.1 -2 71 14.5 18 .357 .857 .506 27.8 16.7 25.0 .303 .619 .415 50.0
2023 Changeup -0.3 0 20 4.1 5 .000 .000 .140 20.0 0.0 0.0 .076 .084 .198 0.0
2023 Curveball -2.4 0 7 1.4 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .151 .167 .136 0.0
2023 Slider -10.3 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 3 156 41.4 38 .156 .250 .258 24.0 31.6 23.5 .193 .350 .306 45.0
2022 Cutter -2.8 -3 118 31.3 31 .300 .700 .447 21.1 12.9 12.9 .277 .509 .370 53.8
2022 Sweeper 1.4 0 36 9.5 10 .200 .200 .270 10.5 10.0 6.3 .256 .294 .243 0.0
2022 Changeup 1.1 0 33 8.8 10 .111 .111 .160 42.9 40.0 21.1 .064 .074 .124 20.0
2022 Slider -2.2 -1 26 6.9 4 .500 .500 .450 25.0 0.0 0.0 .524 .755 .553 25.0
2022 Curveball -2.9 0 7 1.9 2 .500 .500 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .492 .510 .446 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 19 86.8 92 15.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Cutter 71 88.3 52 8.3 11:30 11:00 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 298 94.3 93 18.0 12:30 12:15 15
2023 Sweeper 81 78.9 56 17.6 8:15 9:00 -45
2022 Changeup 31 87.4 92 14.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Cutter 117 89.0 50 8.2 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 155 95.0 93 18.5 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Slider 26 83.0 41 6.8 9:00 8:30 30
2022 Sweeper 34 80.3 49 17.8 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 34 141 -1 0 -2 -1 -4
2022 95 376 5 -3 -1 -1 0
2023 118 489 -1 5 -5 -3 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 141 48.2 75.0 86.3 15.1 81.8 43.3 41.2 44.0 14.5 6.4 66.7
2021 48 52.1 64.0 75.0 34.8 62.5 35.4 91.7 50.0 29.2 6.3 100.0
2022 377 52.8 73.9 83.0 25.8 56.5 43.0 62.1 51.2 22.8 7.7 86.2
2023 489 45.8 67.4 80.1 20.0 64.2 38.2 50.8 41.7 24.0 8.6 71.4
Player 1,055 48.9 70.7 81.9 21.9 62.7 40.5 55.6 45.8 22.6 7.9 77.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 77 82 65
2022 70 65 52
2023 53 63 32
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 20.9 2 1.9 0 0 1 1 50.0
2021 23.4 2 1.3 1 0 2 0 0.0
2022 24.7 4 4.5 -1 0 4 2 50.0
2023 24.8 6 4.7 1 5 6 0 0.0
Player 24.0 14 12.3 2 5 13 3 21.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
2021 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2022 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 4 5 6 5 4 4 5 5 4 6 6 3 4 5 5 5 4 3
2023 6 3 3 3 5 4 6 5 4 3 5 7 3 4 6 5 6 3 6 6 5 5 7 7 3 3 4 7 5 4 3
Player 14 10 9 10 12 12 14 13 9 10 12 15 12 11 14 15 14 10 14 14 14 13 17 17 9 10 11 15 14 11 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.4 92.4 -1.0 93.1 0.7
Offspeed Velocity 87.3 87.3 0.0 86.9 -0.4
Breaking Velocity 83.3 80.9 -2.4 78.9 -2.0
Exit Velocity 88.8 89.5 0.7 89.7 0.2
Launch Angle 14.6 19.4 4.8 15.3 -4.1
Barrel % 28.6 7.6 -21.0 11.7 4.1
Hard Hit % 28.6 37.9 9.3 42.9 5.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 57.1 30.3 -26.8 35.1 4.8
xBA .230 .238 0.008 .253 0.015
BA .250 .230 -0.020 .280 0.050
xwOBA .336 .306 -0.030 .360 0.054
wOBA .408 .306 -0.102 .382 0.076
xSLG .581 .392 -0.189 .487 0.095
SLG .750 .402 -0.348 .530 0.128
K% 41.7 22.1 -19.6 21.2 -0.9
BB% 0.0 7.4 7.4 11.9 4.5
Swing % 50.0 51.2 1.2 41.7 -9.5
Whiff% 29.2 22.8 -6.4 24.0 1.2
In Zone % 52.1 52.8 0.7 45.8 -7.0
Out of Zone % 47.9 47.2 -0.7 54.2 7.0
Out of Zone Swing % 34.8 25.8 -9.0 20.0 -5.8
First Pitch Swing % 50.0 37.9 -12.1 22.9 -15.0
First Pitch Strike % 91.7 62.1 -29.6 50.8 -11.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 34 .431 21 2 9.5 13 3 23.1
2021 Shifts 12 .408 5 3 60.0 7 4 57.1
2022 Shifts 95 .306 50 17 34.0 45 19 42.2
2023 Shades 118 .382 67 1 1.5 51 25 49.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 39 16.9 23.1% 5.1% 29 20.0 6.9% 3.4%
2021 19 20.1 0.0% 5.3% 2 20.7 0.0% 0.0%
2022 108 19.9 2.8% 1.9% 55 21.2 0.0% 7.3%
2023 123 15.3 45.5% 0.8% 102 17.8 13.7% 1.0%

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Pitch Distribution