Stephen Nogosek
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 6, #178, Boston Red Sox | Oregon

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 1 5.55 12 0 0 24.1 25 1.56
4 Seasons 1 4 4.98 32 0 0 56.0 57 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 12 0-1 5.55 24.1 25 1.56
4 Seasons 32 1-4 4.98 56.0 57 1.46

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 24 141 26 3 11.5 8.8 89.5 110.3 12.6 46.2 .304 .520 .431 .358 .415 30.8 17.6 5.9 10.80 5.85
2021 26 48 7 2 28.6 16.7 88.8 107.6 14.6 57.1 .230 .581 .408 .336 .577 28.6 41.7 0.0 6.00 4.89
2022 27 377 66 5 7.6 5.3 89.5 112.1 19.4 30.3 .238 .392 .306 .306 .357 37.9 22.1 7.4 2.46 3.89
2023 28 459 70 7 10.0 6.3 88.9 109.2 16.5 35.7 .248 .467 .364 .357 .406 41.4 22.5 12.6 5.55 5.37
Player 1025 169 17 10.1 6.7 89.2 112.1 17.0 36.1 .251 .451 .353 .337 .395 37.9 22.6 9.1
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nogosek relies on 6 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(63%) ,
Sweeper
(17%) ,
Cutter
(14.2%) ,
Changeup
(4.1%) ,
Curveball
(1.5%) ,
Slider
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 38.5 19.2 34.6 7.7 26.9 50.0 23.1 3.8 23.1 23.1 30.8 7.7 11.5 8.8
2021 28.6 42.9 28.6 0.0 28.6 42.9 28.6 0.0 28.6 28.6 14.3 0.0 28.6 16.7
2022 34.8 33.3 19.7 12.1 36.4 37.9 25.8 0.0 25.8 34.8 25.8 6.1 7.6 5.3
2023 35.7 31.4 25.7 7.1 44.3 35.7 20.0 7.1 25.7 27.1 20.0 10.0 10.0 6.3
Player 35.5 30.8 24.9 8.9 37.9 39.1 23.1 3.6 25.4 29.6 23.7 7.7 10.1 6.7
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.6 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider NYM R 1 84.9 42.2 5.9 16 8.5 3.6 74
2023 Changeup NYM R 19 86.8 28.2 -2.0 -7 13.0 -1.9 -13
2023 Curveball NYM R 7 78.4 58.5 3.7 7 9.5 -0.3 -3
2023 Sweeper NYM R 78 78.7 41.8 -1.8 -4 17.1 0.7 4
2023 Cutter NYM R 65 88.2 27.3 0.5 2 3.5 0.8 32
2023 4-Seamer NYM R 289 94.3 12.5 2.0 14 2.8 -4.4 -61
2022 Changeup NYM R 33 87.3 29.1 -0.3 -1 12.5 -1.6 -11
2022 Curveball NYM R 7 75.8 54.9 -5.1 -9 13.8 3.6 35
2022 Sweeper NYM R 36 80.3 39.7 -2.4 -6 17.2 1.5 9
2022 Slider NYM R 26 83.0 39.8 1.1 3 5.8 -0.8 -12
2022 4-Seamer NYM R 156 95.0 11.7 2.3 16 2.7 -4.3 -61
2022 Cutter NYM R 118 89.1 27.6 -1.3 -5 5.1 2.6 108
2021 Cutter NYM R 2 88.0 28.9 -1.4 -5 4.8 2.1 78
2021 4-Seamer NYM R 30 93.7 12.8 2.0 13 1.8 -5.2 -75
2021 Curveball NYM R 3 77.0 50.8 -6.1 -11 10.1 1.1 13
2021 Changeup NYM R 1 87.3 25.7 -4.1 -14 13.3 -0.9 -7
2021 Slider NYM R 12 84.9 37.8 1.5 4 6.2 1.2 23
2019 Sinker NYM R 4 93.8 19.9 -1.6 -8 14.2 -0.6 -4
2019 4-Seamer NYM R 90 95.1 12.7 2.3 15 3.0 -4.9 -62
2019 Slider NYM R 40 84.3 40.0 2.4 6 6.1 1.0 20
2019 Changeup NYM R 7 87.1 30.5 0.6 2 14.7 0.2 1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.4 1 289 63.0 76 .250 .422 .355 24.0 27.6 22.6 .248 .424 .345 45.5
2023 Sweeper 0.7 1 78 17.0 11 .200 .500 .327 20.8 9.1 5.0 .233 .704 .415 33.3
2023 Cutter 3.2 2 65 14.2 18 .357 .857 .506 30.3 16.7 30.0 .311 .622 .423 50.0
2023 Changeup 0.3 0 19 4.1 5 .000 .000 .140 20.0 0.0 0.0 .095 .102 .211 0.0
2023 Curveball 3.4 0 7 1.5 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .133 .145 .127 0.0
2023 Slider 10.0 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seamer -1.7 -3 156 41.4 38 .156 .250 .258 24.0 31.6 23.5 .193 .350 .306 45.0
2022 Cutter 2.8 3 118 31.3 31 .300 .700 .447 19.7 12.9 12.9 .277 .509 .370 53.8
2022 Sweeper -1.4 0 36 9.5 10 .200 .200 .270 10.5 10.0 6.3 .256 .294 .243 0.0
2022 Changeup -1.1 0 33 8.8 10 .111 .111 .160 42.9 40.0 21.1 .064 .074 .124 20.0
2022 Slider 2.2 1 26 6.9 4 .500 .500 .450 25.0 0.0 0.0 .524 .755 .553 25.0
2022 Curveball 2.9 0 7 1.9 2 .500 .500 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .492 .510 .446 0.0
2021 4-Seamer 0.0 0 30 62.5 8 .250 .625 .363 28.6 37.5 27.3 .240 .609 .353 20.0
2021 Slider 5.3 1 12 25.0 3 .333 1.333 .667 25.0 33.3 12.5 .283 .698 .403 50.0
2021 Curveball -2.3 0 3 6.3 -- -- -- 50.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2021 Cutter -5.7 0 2 4.2 1 .000 .000 .000 -- 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2021 Changeup 1.8 0 1 2.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer 3.9 4 90 63.8 18 .467 1.000 .589 18.6 16.7 15.8 .339 .728 .445 38.5
2019 Slider 3.5 1 40 28.4 12 .417 .417 .375 7.1 25.0 20.0 .312 .374 .300 33.3
2019 Changeup -16.9 -1 7 5.0 3 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .176 .203 .162 0.0
2019 Sinker -5.9 0 4 2.8 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .085 .091 .078 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 4-Seam Fastball 30 93.7 92 17.7 12:30 12:15 15
2021 Slider 12 84.9 41 6.8 9:45 8:30 75
2022 Changeup 31 87.4 92 14.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Cutter 117 89.0 50 8.2 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 155 95.0 93 18.5 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Slider 26 83.0 41 6.8 9:00 8:30 30
2022 Sweeper 34 80.3 49 17.8 8:15 9:00 -45
2023 Changeup 18 86.7 92 15.4 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Cutter 65 88.2 52 8.3 11:30 11:00 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 280 94.3 93 18.1 12:30 12:15 15
2023 Sweeper 76 78.7 56 18.1 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 34 141 1 0 2 1 4
2022 95 376 -5 3 1 1 0
2023 111 459 0 -5 5 3 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 141 48.2 75.0 86.3 15.1 81.8 43.3 41.2 44.0 14.5 6.4 66.7
2021 48 52.1 64.0 75.0 34.8 62.5 35.4 91.7 50.0 29.2 6.3 100.0
2022 377 52.8 73.9 83.0 25.8 56.5 43.0 62.1 51.2 22.3 7.7 86.2
2023 459 45.3 65.9 79.6 20.3 64.7 38.3 51.4 41.0 24.5 8.3 68.4
Player 1,025 48.8 70.2 81.8 22.1 62.9 40.6 56.0 45.6 22.5 7.7 75.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 79 80 66
2022 34 57 54
2023 17 44 19 14 18 46 22 52 36 46 12 40 3 47 55 33
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 20.9 2 1.9 0 0 1 1 50.0
2021 23.4 2 1.3 1 0 2 0 0.0
2022 24.7 4 4.5 -1 0 4 2 50.0
2023 24.5 5 4.3 1 3 5 0 0.0
Player 23.8 13 11.9 1 3 12 3 23.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
2021 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2022 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 4 5 6 5 4 4 5 5 4 6 6 3 4 5 5 5 4 3
2023 5 4 2 3 4 4 5 4 3 2 4 6 4 4 5 5 5 3 6 6 5 3 6 5 3 3 6 6 5 4 3
Player 13 11 8 10 11 12 13 12 8 9 11 14 13 11 13 15 13 10 14 14 14 11 16 15 9 10 13 14 14 11 9
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.4 92.4 -1.0 93.1 0.7
Offspeed Velocity 87.3 87.3 0.0 86.8 -0.5
Breaking Velocity 83.3 80.9 -2.4 78.7 -2.2
Exit Velocity 88.8 89.5 0.7 88.9 -0.6
Launch Angle 14.6 19.4 4.8 16.5 -2.9
Barrel % 28.6 7.6 -21.0 10.0 2.4
Hard Hit % 28.6 37.9 9.3 41.4 3.5
Sweet Spot % 57.1 30.3 -26.8 35.7 5.4
xBA .230 .238 0.008 .248 0.010
BA .250 .230 -0.020 .258 0.028
xwOBA .337 .306 -0.031 .357 0.051
wOBA .408 .306 -0.102 .364 0.058
xSLG .581 .392 -0.189 .467 0.075
SLG .750 .402 -0.348 .484 0.082
K% 41.7 22.1 -19.6 22.5 0.4
BB% 0.0 7.4 7.4 12.6 5.2
Swing % 50.0 51.2 1.2 41.0 -10.2
Whiff% 29.2 22.3 -6.9 24.5 2.2
In Zone % 52.1 52.8 0.7 45.3 -7.5
Out of Zone % 47.9 47.2 -0.7 54.7 7.5
Out of Zone Swing % 34.8 25.8 -9.0 20.3 -5.5
First Pitch Swing % 50.0 37.9 -12.1 22.5 -15.4
First Pitch Strike % 91.7 62.1 -29.6 51.4 -10.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 34 .431 21 2 9.5 13 3 23.1
2021 12 .408 5 3 60.0 7 4 57.1
2022 95 .306 50 17 34.0 45 19 42.2
2023 111 .364 63 0 0.0 48 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 39 16.9 23.1% 5.1% 29 20.0 6.9% 3.4%
2021 19 20.1 0.0% 5.3% 2 20.7 0.0% 0.0%
2022 108 19.9 2.8% 1.9% 55 21.2 0.0% 7.3%
2023 23 14.8 52.2% 0.0% 32 18.2 3.1% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution