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Shelby Miller
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 225LBS | Age: 30

Draft: 2009 | Rd: 1, #19, St. Louis Cardinals | Brownwood HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 31.50 3 0 0 2.0 1 6.00
9 Seasons 38 56 4.18 153 132 0 760.1 623 1.37
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 3 0-0 31.50 2.0 1 6.00
9 Seasons 153 38-56 4.18 760.1 623 1.37

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 25 3247 610 22 3.6 87.1 115.9 10.3 26.6 .220 .329 .290 .277 .308 28.5 19.9 8.5 3.02 3.28
2016 26 1740 346 34 9.8 89.9 117.6 13.3 34.1 .293 .507 .370 .368 .405 40.4 15.2 9.1 6.15 6.18
2017 27 386 67 3 4.5 86.6 109.9 10.9 26.9 .224 .320 .293 .284 .301 23.9 20.2 12.1 4.09 3.49
2018 28 328 52 9 17.3 92.2 110.4 8.5 38.5 .301 .613 .437 .426 .541 53.8 24.1 10.1 10.69 8.75
2019 29 863 157 12 7.6 89.6 114.9 13.5 34.4 .279 .494 .384 .382 .394 39.7 13.6 13.2 8.59 6.97
2021 31 85 12 0 0 89.5 102.8 16.3 25 .356 .427 .575 .424 .348 25 5.6 27.8 31.50 8.10
6649 1244 80 6.4 88.4 117.6 11.6 30.1 .252 .410 .333 .324 .356 34 17.9 9.7
6.5 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .317 .312 .363 35.3 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(75.3%) ,
Slider
(18.8%) ,
Cutter
(5.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 64 32 32 75.3 93.5 15 10 5 5 0 0 0 1 9 .500 .334 .500 .402 .525 .446 88.5 17 2355 7.2 14.8 5.6
2021 Slider 16 13 3 18.8 80.2 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 1.000 .135 3.000 .151 .795 .087 88.0 17 2337 7.2 0.0 0.0
2021 Cutter 5 4 1 5.9 87.6 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.000 .794 1.000 .953 .883 .773 101.7 9 2251 7.2 0.0 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 575 319 256 66.7 94.3 158 129 42 29 5 0 8 25 107 .326 .290 .550 .553 .410 .416 90.7 18 2327 6.6 18.9 15.2
2019 Curveball 206 130 76 23.9 79.4 48 43 13 9 4 0 0 4 40 .302 .268 .395 .379 .314 .301 85.9 6 2325 5.8 14.1 6.3
2019 Cutter 31 29 2 3.6 88.6 3 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 .333 .115 .333 .136 .290 .107 87.3 -12 2188 6.5 27.3 10.0
2019 Sinker 26 10 16 3.0 94.0 6 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 4 .250 .129 .250 .140 .380 .317 90.0 2 2339 6.7 36.4 0.0
2019 Changeup 20 2 18 2.3 86.7 3 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 .333 .456 .333 .632 .290 .459 97.9 -1 1870 6.5 16.7 0.0
2019 Slider 4 2 2 0.5 79.7 2328 5.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 49 20.7 22.1 8.2 30.8 35.9 31.5 3.4 36.7 25.1 23 3.3 3.6
2016 43.6 21.4 29.5 5.5 34.7 41.3 24 3.5 28.9 22 26.3 4.3 9.8
2017 46.3 20.9 23.9 9 38.8 22.4 38.8 4.5 34.3 29.9 23.9 1.5 4.5
2018 51.9 25 21.2 1.9 30.8 38.5 30.8 5.8 36.5 11.5 25 3.8 17.3
2019 41.4 29.9 24.2 4.5 35.7 34.4 29.9 3.2 28 25.5 27.4 7.6 7.6
2021 41.7 25 25 8.3 8.3 41.7 50 0 25 25 50 0 0
46.5 22.3 24.5 6.8 32.7 36.7 29.7 3.5 33.2 24 24.8 4 6.4
45.2 22.1 25.5 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.4 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter CHC R 5 87.6 27.8 0.5 2 3 0.2 8
2021 4-Seamer CHC R 64 93.5 12 3.1 21 8.9 1.1 15
2021 Slider CHC R 16 80.2 45.2 4 10 17.8 5 38
2019 Curveball TEX R 206 79.4 54.8 1.5 3 7.6 -2.8 -27
2019 Slider TEX R 4 79.7 54.6 10.4 24 11.4 0.4 3
2019 Sinker TEX R 26 94 16.4 -5.3 -24 13.4 -1.4 -9
2019 Changeup TEX R 20 86.7 27 -2.5 -9 13.4 -0.7 -5
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 575 94.3 14.1 1.3 8 10.3 2.4 31
2019 Cutter TEX R 31 88.6 27.2 -0.4 -1 3.2 1.4 75
2018 Sinker ARI R 16 93.6 19.6 -2.6 -12 14.9 0.1 1
2018 4-Seamer ARI R 193 94.5 14.9 0.5 3 9.3 1.3 17
2018 Curveball ARI R 78 79.9 50.9 -1 -2 6 -3.9 -40
2018 Changeup ARI R 2 88.2 21.5 -7.4 -26 12.1 -1.9 -14
2018 Cutter ARI R 39 89.9 26.3 -1.3 -5 0.7 -1.2 -61
2017 4-Seamer ARI R 71 93.9 11.9 2.5 17 5.3 -2.8 -35
2017 Sinker ARI R 152 95.2 14.4 -5 -26 14.4 -0.9 -6
2017 Curveball ARI R 62 78.1 51.2 -1.4 -3 3.7 -6.2 -63
2017 Cutter ARI R 99 88.7 25.9 -0.7 -3 1 -2.8 -157
2016 4-Seamer ARI R 863 93.5 14.1 0.4 3 8.6 -0.2 -2
2016 Curveball ARI R 191 79.6 48.2 -2.4 -5 6.5 -1.3 -17
2016 Changeup ARI R 92 86.6 26.1 -2.2 -8 12.9 -1 -7
2016 Cutter ARI R 296 88.6 26.8 -1.4 -5 1.1 -0.5 -32
2016 Sinker ARI R 213 93.8 17.1 -2.6 -13 14.1 -0.9 -6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Cutter 1.7 0 5 5.9 1 1 1 .9 0 0 0 .794 .953 .773 100
2021 Slider 7.3 1 16 18.8 2 1 3 .8 0 0 0 .135 .151 .087 0
2021 4-Seamer 6.5 4 64 75.3 15 .5 .5 .533 14.8 6.7 5.6 .334 .402 .449 22.2
2019 Changeup 1.6 0 20 2.3 3 .333 .333 .3 16.7 0 0 .456 .632 .459 66.7
2019 Cutter 5.7 2 31 3.6 3 .333 .333 .3 27.3 33.3 10 .115 .136 .107 0
2019 Sinker -0.2 0 26 3 6 .25 .25 .383 36.4 0 0 .129 .14 .316 50
2019 Curveball 2.6 5 206 23.9 48 .302 .395 .331 14.1 8.3 6.3 .268 .379 .31 17.5
2019 4-Seamer 1.7 10 575 66.6 158 .326 .55 .427 18.9 15.8 15.2 .29 .553 .417 47.7
2019 Slider 6.8 0 4 0.5
2018 Sinker 0 0 16 4.9 3 0 0 .233 14.3 0 0 .049 .062 .637 50
2018 Cutter 3.4 1 39 11.9 9 .25 .625 .4 26.1 22.2 20 .255 .598 .4 50
2018 Curveball 2.8 2 78 23.8 18 .278 .611 .372 36.1 33.3 23.1 .285 .716 .42 50
2018 4-Seamer 3.5 7 193 58.8 49 .395 .674 .504 12.6 22.4 18.6 .322 .585 .422 56.3
2018 Changeup 0.6 0 2 0.6 0 0
2017 Curveball 0.4 0 62 16.1 7 .286 .429 .307 7.7 0 0 .255 .279 .233 0
2017 4-Seamer -1.8 -1 71 18.4 16 .2 .333 .369 9.1 18.8 18.8 .239 .382 .287 33.3
2017 Cutter -0.4 0 99 25.6 30 .24 .28 .308 38.8 26.7 25.8 .204 .243 .276 23.5
2017 Sinker 1.2 2 152 39.4 45 .225 .375 .326 20.3 20 20.9 .226 .353 .297 25.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 4-Seam Fastball 64 93.5 97 21.1 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 16 80.2 60 19.4 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 69 270 -2 -4 1 1 -3
2013 726 2980 -13 -27 17 10 -13
2014 793 2954 -7 -18 16 9 -2
2015 829 3120 -30 -16 16 11 -19
2016 443 1693 -2 6 13 9 25
2017 98 384 -3 -3 4 2 0
2018 79 328 3 4 1 2 10
2019 218 862 -1 2 12 4 17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3247 52.9 68.2 83.1 28.9 64.5 44.2 60.7 49.4 21.1 8 77.9
2016 1740 50.1 67.3 84.3 25.9 74.5 42.1 59.3 47 18.2 8.1 77.5
2017 386 54.7 72.9 79.7 12.1 61.9 43.5 55.6 45.1 22.4 8.9 82.4
2018 328 50.3 67.9 89.3 25.8 54.8 48.5 48.1 47 20.1 8.5 89.3
2019 863 52.2 66.7 84.7 20.6 69.4 45.6 59.1 44.7 18.7 7.1 85.2
2021 85 45.9 79.5 87.1 13 100 41.2 33.3 43.5 10.8 5.9 80
6649 52 68.2 83.7 25.6 67.5 43.9 59 47.7 20 8 79.6
48.4 66.7 82.1 28.4 58.7 42.6 60.5 46.9 24.5 7.2 75.8

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 76 73 79 80 63 26 83 78 88 47 30 35 76 55 53 44
2016 1 2 1 4 3 12 1 12 10 9 32 12 1 46 58 38
2017 53 73 30
2018 68 67 32
2019 1 9 9 11 1 65 37 23 23 2 6 7 1 69 64 26
2021
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.2 8 8 0 2 5 4 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 9 8 8 9 8 6 7 8 9 7 8 8 9 6 7 8 8 7 9 8 8 10 8 9
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93 92.5 -0.5 92.9 0.4 93.8 0.9 0.2 undefined undefined
Offspeed Velocity 87 86.6 -0.4 0 0 88.2 0 -1.5 undefined undefined
Breaking Velocity 78.6 79.6 1 78.1 -1.5 79.9 1.8 -0.5 undefined undefined
Exit Velocity 87.1 89.9 2.8 86.6 -3.3 92.2 5.6 -2.6 undefined undefined
Launch Angle 10.3 13.3 3 10.9 -2.4 8.5 -2.4 5 undefined undefined
Barrel % 3.6 9.8 6.2 4.5 -5.3 17.3 12.8 -9.7 undefined undefined
Hard Hit % 28.5 40.4 11.9 23.9 -16.5 53.8 29.9 -14.1 undefined undefined
Sweet Spot % 26.6 34.1 7.5 26.9 -7.2 38.5 11.6 -4.1 undefined undefined
xBA .22 .293 0.073 .224 -0.069 .301 0.077 -0.022 undefined undefined
BA .238 .31 0.072 .23 -0.08 .343 0.113 -0.026 undefined undefined
xwOBA .277 .368 0.091 .284 -0.084 .426 0.142 -0.044 undefined undefined
wOBA .29 .37 0.08 .293 -0.077 .437 0.144 -0.053 undefined undefined
xSLG .329 .507 0.178 .32 -0.187 .613 0.293 -0.119 undefined undefined
SLG .355 .493 0.138 .345 -0.148 .643 0.298 -0.146 undefined undefined
K% 19.9 15.2 -4.7 20.2 5 24.1 3.9 -10.5 undefined undefined
BB% 8.5 9.1 0.6 12.1 3 10.1 -2 3.1 undefined undefined
Swing % 49.4 47 -2.4 45.1 -1.9 47 1.9 -2.3 undefined undefined
Whiff% 21.1 18.2 -2.9 22.4 4.2 20.1 -2.3 -1.4 undefined undefined
In Zone % 52.9 50.1 -2.8 54.7 4.6 50.3 -4.4 1.9 undefined undefined
Out of Zone % 47.1 49.9 2.8 45.3 -4.6 49.7 4.4 -1.9 undefined undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 28.9 25.9 -3 12.1 -13.8 25.8 13.7 -5.2 undefined undefined
First Pitch Swing % 28.8 25.9 -2.9 30.3 4.4 21.5 -8.8 3.5 undefined undefined
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 59.3 -1.4 55.6 -3.7 48.1 -7.5 11 undefined undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 429 .368 180 16 8.9 249 78 31.3
2017 98 .293 39 0 0.0 59 20 33.9
2018 79 .437 37 3 8.1 42 10 23.8
2019 219 .384 126 5 4.0 93 18 19.4
2021 18 .575 11 5 45.5 7 4 57.1

Pitch Distribution