P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 200 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 23, No. 700, Boston Red Sox | Hillsborough CC
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 6 3.51 62 0 2 66.2 71 1.35
2025 0 4 7.71 32 0 1 30.1 34 1.71
2 Seasons 1 10 4.82 94 0 3 97 105 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 62 1-6 3.51 66.2 71 1.35
2025 32 0-4 7.71 30.1 34 1.71
2 Seasons 94 1-10 4.82 97 105 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 26 1191 180 13 7.2 4.6 89.0 111.8 10.4 35.6 .221 .324 .291 .292 .344 33.9 24.9 11.2 3.51 3.54
2025 27 524 89 10 11.2 7.1 89.5 111.0 13.3 30.3 .227 .394 .382 .311 .365 43.8 24.3 11.4 7.71 4.05
Player 1715 269 23 8.6 5.4 89.2 111.8 11.3 33.8 .223 .347 .321 .298 .351 37.2 24.7 11.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Fernandez relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(47.1%) ,
Four Seamer
(37.8%) ,
Changeup
(8.0%) ,
Cutter
(7.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 43.9 56.1 23.3 27.8 5.0 38.3 38.3 23.3 17.8 21.1 5.0 20.6 17.2 18.3
2025 46.1 53.9 30.3 15.7 7.9 43.8 32.6 23.6 23.6 16.9 5.6 20.2 15.7 18.0
Player 44.6 55.4 25.7 23.8 5.9 40.1 36.4 23.4 19.7 19.7 5.2 20.4 16.7 18.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.4 33.9 23.9 25.0 5.6 7.2 4.6
2025 2.2 31.5 27.0 21.3 6.7 11.2 7.1
Player 3.7 33.1 24.9 23.8 5.9 8.6 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Cutter STL R 37 91.3 22.7 1.5 1.7GLV -0.2 10.0 1.7 1.7GLV -0.5
2025 Changeup STL R 42 87.2 30.7 -0.8 14.3ARM 0.0 5.3 -1.2 14.3ARM -0.1
2025 Slider STL R 247 86.7 35.9 1.3 2.8GLV -1.3 0.4 1.3 2.8GLV -1.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball STL R 198 95.2 12.9 1.3 8.2ARM 0.9 17.4 1.6 8.2ARM 0.6
2024 Slider STL R 572 87.3 33.7 -0.2 3.2GLV -0.9 2.1 -0.4 3.2GLV -1.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball STL R 487 95.5 13.5 0.8 6.9ARM -0.7 16.6 0.9 6.9ARM -0.7
2024 Cutter STL R 124 90.1 24.7 0.7 2.7GLV 0.6 8.9 0.6 2.7GLV 0.0
2024 Sinker STL R 7 95.8 14.3 -7.5 12.7ARM -2.6 15.8 -8.6 12.7ARM -2.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Slider -2.5 -6 247 47.1 69 .308 .600 .414 37.8 29.0 24.1 .191 .335 .251 40.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 2 198 37.8 49 .231 .333 .338 18.2 12.2 17.1 .257 .425 .375 54.5
2025 Changeup -1.9 -1 42 8.0 11 .400 .400 .391 54.2 45.5 41.7 .286 .480 .359 20.0
2025 Cutter -4.5 -2 37 7.1 9 .333 .889 .500 26.7 33.3 60.0 .287 .585 .371 33.3
2024 Slider 1.0 5 572 48.1 143 .182 .295 .244 41.0 36.4 21.7 .162 .224 .212 23.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 487 40.9 105 .302 .384 .360 20.5 16.2 14.4 .286 .438 .378 44.4
2024 Cutter -1.2 -2 124 10.4 30 .296 .444 .335 18.0 3.3 6.7 .312 .464 .382 37.0
2024 Sinker 3.3 0 7 0.6 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 41 87.2 91 15.7 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Cutter 37 91.3 58 9.5 12:15 11:30 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 198 95.2 99 19.0 12:45 1:00 -15
2025 Slider 247 86.7 21 3.9 9:30 8:30 60
2024 Cutter 124 90.1 58 8.5 12:15 11:15 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 484 95.5 98 17.6 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Slider 570 87.3 23 4.2 10:30 9:30 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 279 1,191 1 12 -5 -4 4
2025 138 524 -4 4 -4 -2 -6
Player 417 1,715 -3 16 -9 -3 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,191 44.4 70.4 81.0 29.9 44.9 43.2 58.9 47.9 31.5 6.5 84.4
2025 524 48.7 71.4 77.5 29.7 46.3 44.8 58.7 50.0 32.1 4.6 95.8
Player 1,715 45.7 70.7 79.8 29.8 45.3 43.7 58.9 48.6 31.7 5.9 87.1
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2024 69 75 88 93 38 64 61 42 84 66 13 88 64 73 31 48
2025 64 29 47
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 24.81 4 5.0 -1 7 6 1 25.0
2025 23.17 6 6.4 0 3 5 3 50.0
Player 23.83 10 11.4 -1 10 11 4 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 4 8 1 6 3 6 7 7 4 1 4 6 6 3 6 4 7 7 6 8 5 5 10 8 4 3 2 4 5 1 3
2025 6 5 7 5 6 7 7 5 7 5 7 8 5 10 7 4 5 5 7 7 5 6 8 8 5 5 7 7 7 7 7
Player 10 13 8 11 9 13 14 12 11 6 11 14 11 13 13 8 12 12 13 15 10 11 18 16 9 8 9 11 12 8 10
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .293 +.057 .236
xBA .227 +.006 .221
OBP .379 +.054 .325
xOBP .320 +.002 .318
SLG .520 +.179 .341
xSLG .394 +.070 .324
ISO .228 +.122 .106
xISO .167 +.064 .103
BABIP .361 +.051 .310
wOBA .382 +.091 .291
xwOBA .311 +.019 .292
wOBACON .475 +.133 .342
xwOBACON .365 +.021 .344
BACON .404 +.078 .326
xBACON .313 -.002 .315
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.8 +9.9 33.9
Avg Exit Velocity 89.5 +0.5 89.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.3 -5.3 35.6
Barrel % 11.2 +4.0 7.2
Avg Launch Angle 13.3 +2.9 10.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.5 71.5
Attack Angle 13° +1° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.8 +2.2 49.6
Attack Direction -5° -2° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.6 +0.2 94.4
Breaking Velocity 86.7 -0.6 87.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.2 -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 10 -3 13
Popup % 7.9 +2.9 5.0
Flyball % 30.3 +7.0 23.3
Line Drive % 15.7 -12.1 27.8
Groundball % 46.1 +2.2 43.9
Pull % 43.8 +5.5 38.3
Straight Away % 32.6 -5.7 38.3
Opposite Field % 23.6 +0.3 23.3
Weak Contact % 2.2 -2.2 4.4
Pull Airball % 20.2 -0.4 20.6
Topped Contact % 31.5 -2.4 33.9
Under Contact % 27.0 +3.1 23.9
Flare/Burner Contact % 21.3 -3.7 25.0
Solid Contact % 6.7 +1.1 5.6
HR/FB % 22.2 +12.7 9.5
Popups 7 -2 9
Flyballs 27 -15 42
Line Drives 14 -36 50
Groundballs 41 -38 79
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.7 +4.3 44.4
Out of Zone % 51.3 -4.3 55.6
Edge % 44.8 +1.6 43.2
Zone Swing % 71.4 +1.0 70.4
Out of Zone Swing % 29.7 -0.2 29.9
In Zone Contact % 77.5 -3.5 81.0
Out of Zone Contact % 46.3 +1.4 44.9
Whiff % 32.1 +0.6 31.5
First Strike % 58.7 -0.2 58.9
First Pitch Swing % 37.0 +2.7 34.3
Swing % 50.0 +2.1 47.9
Meatball Swing % 95.8 +11.4 84.4
Meatball % 4.6 -1.9 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 22.5 +3.5 19.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 53.8 -1.3 55.1
In Zone 255 -275 530
Out of Zone 269 -394 663
Edge 235 -280 515
In Zone Swings 182 -191 373
Out of Zone Swings 80 -118 198
In Zone Swing & Misses 41 -30 71
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 43 -66 109
Basic
Pitches 524 -667 1,191
PA 140 -145 285
AB 123 -123 246
Hits 36 -22 58
Singles 23 -20 43
Doubles 4 -4 8
Triples 3 0 3
Home Runs 6 +2 4
Walks 16 -16 32
Strikeouts 34 -37 71
K% 24.3 -0.6 24.9
BB% 11.4 +0.2 11.2
HBP 1 -1 2
Batted Balls 89 -91 180
Number of Fastballs 235 -383 618
Number of Offspeed 42 +42 0
Number of Breaking 247 -325 572
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 279 .290 173 4 2.3 106 47 44.3
2025 Shades 138 .382 81 2 2.5 57 23 40.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 261 13.4 78.5% 0.8% 238 16.7 21.4% 0.0%
2025 107 14.1 58.9% 0.9% 99 16.6 21.2% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution