P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 200 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 23, No. 700, Boston Red Sox | Hillsborough CC
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 6 3.51 62 0 2 66.2 71 1.35
2025 0 4 7.71 32 0 1 30.1 34 1.71
2026 1 1 1.86 7 0 0 9.2 17 1.34
3 Seasons 2 11 4.56 101 0 3 106.2 122 1.45
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 62 1-6 3.51 66.2 71 1.35
2025 32 0-4 7.71 30.1 34 1.71
2026 7 1-1 1.86 9.2 17 1.34
3 Seasons 101 2-11 4.56 106.2 122 1.45
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 26 1191 180 13 7.2 4.6 89.0 111.8 10.4 35.6 .219 .327 .291 .294 .346 33.9 24.9 11.2 3.51 3.49
2025 27 524 89 10 11.2 7.1 89.5 111.0 13.3 30.3 .225 .404 .382 .313 .369 43.8 24.3 11.4 7.71 4.07
2026 28 167 21 2 9.5 4.7 83.0 108.9 -0.2 38.1 .220 .371 .285 .305 .457 33.3 39.5 11.6 1.86 3.68
Player 1882 290 25 8.6 5.3 88.7 111.8 10.5 34.1 .221 .355 .318 .301 .361 36.9 26.1 11.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Fernandez relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(44.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(42.5%) ,
Changeup
(10.2%) ,
Cutter
(3.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 43.9 56.1 23.3 27.8 5.0 38.3 38.3 23.3 17.8 21.1 5.0 20.6 17.2 18.3
2025 46.1 53.9 30.3 15.7 7.9 43.8 32.6 23.6 23.6 16.9 5.6 20.2 15.7 18.0
2026 47.6 52.4 23.8 23.8 4.8 33.3 42.9 23.8 19.0 23.8 4.8 14.3 19.0 19.0
Player 44.8 55.2 25.5 23.8 5.9 39.7 36.9 23.4 19.7 20.0 5.2 20.0 16.9 18.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 4.4 33.9 23.9 25.0 5.6 7.2 4.6
2025 2.2 31.5 27.0 21.3 6.7 11.2 7.1
2026 4.8 38.1 19.0 23.8 4.8 9.5 4.7
Player 3.8 33.4 24.5 23.8 5.9 8.6 5.3
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider STL R 74 87.1 35.6 1.1 3.1GLV -0.8 0.5 0.9 3.1GLV -0.9
2026 Changeup STL R 17 87.2 30.7 -1.1 11.5ARM -2.8 5.3 -1.2 11.5ARM -3.2
2026 Cutter STL R 5 91.6 21.0 3.0 1.6GLV -0.3 11.6 3.3 1.6GLV -0.6
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 71 94.6 12.0 2.3 6.6ARM -1.0 18.7 2.7 6.6ARM -1.2
2025 Cutter STL R 37 91.3 22.7 1.5 1.7GLV -0.2 10.0 1.6 1.7GLV -0.5
2025 Slider STL R 247 86.7 35.9 1.4 2.8GLV -1.2 0.4 1.4 2.8GLV -1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball STL R 198 95.2 12.9 1.3 8.2ARM 0.9 17.4 1.6 8.2ARM 0.6
2025 Changeup STL R 42 87.2 30.7 -0.9 14.3ARM 0.0 5.3 -1.2 14.3ARM -0.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Slider 0.5 0 74 44.3 23 .143 .286 .265 53.8 56.5 39.4 .147 .375 .259 37.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 0 71 42.5 18 .267 .333 .386 21.2 16.7 23.1 .308 .366 .363 25.0
2026 Changeup -2.6 0 17 10.2 2 .500 .500 .450 57.1 50.0 20.0 .332 .373 .308 100.0
2026 Cutter -1.3 0 5 3.0 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 Slider -2.5 -6 247 47.1 69 .308 .600 .414 37.8 29.0 24.1 .189 .344 .253 40.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.2 2 198 37.8 49 .231 .333 .338 18.2 12.2 17.1 .257 .438 .378 54.5
2025 Changeup -1.9 -1 42 8.0 11 .400 .400 .391 54.2 45.5 41.7 .277 .480 .353 20.0
2025 Cutter -4.5 -2 37 7.1 9 .333 .889 .500 26.7 33.3 60.0 .295 .610 .382 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 16 87.2 85 12.9 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 71 94.6 99 19.4 12:45 12:45 0
2026 Slider 74 87.1 24 3.9 9:45 8:30 75
2025 Changeup 41 87.2 91 15.7 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Cutter 37 91.3 58 9.5 12:15 11:30 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 198 95.2 99 19.0 12:45 1:00 -15
2025 Slider 247 86.7 21 3.9 9:30 8:30 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 279 1,191 1 12 -5 -4 4
2025 138 524 -4 4 -4 -2 -6
2026 43 167 0 1 0 -1 0
Player 460 1,882 -3 17 -9 -3 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 1,191 44.4 70.5 81.0 29.9 44.9 43.5 58.9 47.9 31.5 6.5 84.4
2025 524 48.5 71.3 77.9 30.0 45.7 44.8 58.7 50.0 32.1 4.6 95.8
2026 167 41.3 68.1 70.2 33.7 45.5 40.7 60.5 47.9 40.0 4.2 71.4
Player 1,882 45.3 70.5 79.2 30.3 45.2 43.6 59.0 48.5 32.4 5.7 86.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 62 36 84 71 73 31 42 62 88 66 13 61 84 57 48
2025 64 29 47
2026 53 26 60
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 24.81 4 5.0 -1 7 6 1 25.0
2025 23.17 6 6.4 0 3 5 3 50.0
2026 24.38 1 1.2 0 1 2 0 0.0
Player 23.88 11 12.6 -2 11 13 4 36.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 4 8 1 6 3 6 7 7 4 1 4 6 6 3 6 4 7 7 6 8 5 5 10 8 4 3 2 4 5 1 3
2025 6 5 7 5 6 7 7 5 7 5 7 8 5 10 7 4 5 5 7 7 5 6 8 8 5 5 7 7 7 7 7
2026 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 0 2 3 1 1
Player 11 14 9 12 9 15 15 12 11 7 11 14 13 15 14 10 13 13 15 17 11 13 20 18 10 9 9 13 15 9 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .211 -.082 .293 +.057 .236
xBA .220 -.005 .225 +.006 .219
OBP .302 -.077 .379 +.054 .325
xOBP .311 -.008 .319 +.002 .317
SLG .316 -.204 .520 +.179 .341
xSLG .371 -.033 .404 +.077 .327
ISO .105 -.123 .228 +.122 .106
xISO .151 -.028 .179 +.071 .108
BABIP .350 -.011 .361 +.051 .310
wOBA .285 -.097 .382 +.091 .291
xwOBA .305 -.008 .313 +.019 .294
wOBAcon .416 -.059 .475 +.133 .342
xwOBAcon .457 +.088 .369 +.023 .346
BACON .381 -.023 .404 +.078 .326
xBACON .398 +.086 .312 .000 .312
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 33.3 -10.5 43.8 +9.9 33.9
Avg Exit Velocity 83.0 -6.5 89.5 +0.5 89.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 38.1 +7.8 30.3 -5.3 35.6
Barrel % 9.5 -1.7 11.2 +4.0 7.2
Avg Launch Angle -0.2 -13.5 13.3 +2.9 10.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 -1.0 72.0 +0.5 71.5
Attack Angle 14° +1° 13° +1° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.0 -1.8 51.8 +2.2 49.6
Attack Direction -8° -3° -5° -2° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.5 0.0 7.5 0.0 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.4 -0.2 94.6 +0.2 94.4
Breaking Velocity 87.1 +0.4 86.7 -0.6 87.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.2 0.0 87.2 -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 2 -8 10 -3 13
Popup % 4.8 -3.1 7.9 +2.9 5.0
Flyball % 23.8 -6.5 30.3 +7.0 23.3
Line Drive % 23.8 +8.1 15.7 -12.1 27.8
Groundball % 47.6 +1.5 46.1 +2.2 43.9
Pull % 33.3 -10.5 43.8 +5.5 38.3
Straight Away % 42.9 +10.3 32.6 -5.7 38.3
Opposite Field % 23.8 +0.2 23.6 +0.3 23.3
Weak Contact % 4.8 +2.6 2.2 -2.2 4.4
Pull Airball % 14.3 -5.9 20.2 -0.4 20.6
Topped Contact % 38.1 +6.6 31.5 -2.4 33.9
Under Contact % 19.0 -8.0 27.0 +3.1 23.9
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.8 +2.5 21.3 -3.7 25.0
Solid Contact % 4.8 -1.9 6.7 +1.1 5.6
HR/FB % 20.0 -2.2 22.2 +12.7 9.5
Popups 1 -6 7 -2 9
Flyballs 5 -22 27 -15 42
Line Drives 5 -9 14 -36 50
Groundballs 10 -31 41 -38 79
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 41.3 -7.2 48.5 +4.1 44.4
Out of Zone % 58.7 +7.2 51.5 -4.1 55.6
Edge % 40.7 -4.1 44.8 +1.3 43.5
Zone Swing % 68.1 -3.2 71.3 +0.8 70.5
Out of Zone Swing % 33.7 +3.7 30.0 +0.1 29.9
In Zone Contact % 70.2 -7.7 77.9 -3.1 81.0
Out of Zone Contact % 45.5 -0.2 45.7 +0.8 44.9
Whiff % 40.0 +7.9 32.1 +0.6 31.5
First Strike % 60.5 +1.8 58.7 -0.2 58.9
First Pitch Swing % 32.6 -4.4 37.0 +2.7 34.3
Swing % 47.9 -2.1 50.0 +2.1 47.9
Meatball Swing % 71.4 -24.4 95.8 +11.4 84.4
Meatball % 4.2 -0.4 4.6 -1.9 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 29.8 +7.7 22.1 +3.1 19.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 54.5 +0.2 54.3 -0.8 55.1
In Zone 69 -185 254 -275 529
Out of Zone 98 -172 270 -392 662
Edge 68 -167 235 -283 518
In Zone Swings 47 -134 181 -192 373
Out of Zone Swings 33 -48 81 -117 198
In Zone Swing & Misses 14 -26 40 -31 71
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 18 -26 44 -65 109
Basic
Pitches 167 -357 524 -667 1,191
PA 43 -97 140 -145 285
AB 38 -85 123 -123 246
Hits 8 -28 36 -22 58
Singles 6 -17 23 -20 43
Doubles 1 -3 4 -4 8
Triples 0 -3 3 0 3
Home Runs 1 -5 6 +2 4
Walks 5 -11 16 -16 32
Strikeouts 17 -17 34 -37 71
K% 39.5 +15.2 24.3 -0.6 24.9
BB% 11.6 +0.2 11.4 +0.2 11.2
HBP 0 -1 1 -1 2
Batted Balls 21 -68 89 -91 180
Number of Fastballs 76 -159 235 -383 618
Number of Offspeed 17 -25 42 +42 0
Number of Breaking 74 -173 247 -325 572
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 279 .290 173 4 2.3 106 47 44.3
2025 Shades 138 .382 81 2 2.5 57 23 40.4
2026 Shades 43 .285 18 0 0.0 25 7 28.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 261 13.4 78.5% 0.8% 238 16.7 21.4% 0.0%
2025 107 14.1 58.9% 0.9% 99 16.6 21.2% 0.0%
2026 29 14.8 69.0% 6.9% 24 16.7 12.5% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution