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Robbie Ray
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 215LBS | Age: 30

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 12, #356, Washington Nationals | Brentwood HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 13 7 2.84 32 32 0 193.1 248 1.04
8 Seasons 62 58 4.00 193 189 0 1035.2 1290 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 13-7 2.84 193.1 248 1.04
8 Seasons 193 62-58 4.00 1035.2 1290 1.32

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 24 2257 369 20 5.4 89.7 114 12.3 31.7 .240 .366 .318 .305 .347 35.8 21.8 9 3.52 4.02
2016 25 3176 481 33 6.9 89.9 116.3 12.4 32.2 .239 .396 .332 .310 .393 40 28.1 9.1 4.90 4.19
2017 26 2715 371 23 6.2 89.9 112.7 14.4 31.5 .214 .368 .282 .296 .392 41 32.8 10.7 2.89 3.81
2018 27 2287 286 25 8.7 90.1 116 14.6 36.4 .216 .358 .312 .307 .387 41.6 31.4 13.3 3.93 4.03
2019 28 3064 422 45 10.7 88.9 114.3 14.8 38.9 .227 .426 .322 .320 .428 38.6 31.5 11.2 4.34 4.63
2020 29 1064 137 18 13.1 91.6 112.8 22.9 38 .254 .488 .390 .379 .462 46 27.1 17.9 6.62 6.49
2021 30 3141 469 46 9.8 90.4 115.3 17.6 34.3 .215 .388 .287 .289 .394 43.1 32.1 6.7 2.84 3.55
17704 2535 210 8.3 89.9 116.3 14.9 34.3 .227 .392 .314 .309 .395 40.4 29.7 10.3
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ray relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(59.4%) ,
Slider
(30.8%) ,
Curveball
(6%) ,
Changeup
(3.6%) ,
Sinker
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1866 1544 322 59.4 94.8 471 432 96 52 20 2 22 116 317 .222 .239 .431 .446 .307 .323 90.8 22 2272 6.5 24.0 21.0
2021 Slider 967 772 195 30.8 88.6 254 237 41 24 8 0 9 122 117 .173 .160 .321 .274 .234 .220 88.8 8 2186 6.3 45.8 28.0
2021 Curveball 189 168 21 6.0 82.5 27 26 9 6 1 1 1 7 19 .346 .273 .577 .399 .399 .306 92.4 8 2125 6.2 51.9 28.0
2021 Changeup 114 113 1 3.6 88.2 19 17 4 1 2 0 1 2 15 .235 .296 .529 .510 .355 .381 88.9 11 1727 6.4 27.8 11.8
2021 Sinker 5 3 2 0.2 95.5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .107 .000 .113 .000 .116 102.5 -13 2283 6.4 0.0 33.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 503 385 118 47.3 93.9 140 106 31 9 12 0 10 25 81 .292 .283 .689 .596 .474 .447 91.6 25 2420 6.4 19.4 17.5
2020 Slider 313 214 99 29.4 86.6 73 67 11 9 1 0 1 33 36 .164 .175 .224 .273 .191 .217 90.5 20 2376 6.2 47.0 29.7
2020 Curveball 180 145 35 16.9 83.6 22 19 9 7 1 0 1 6 13 .474 .353 .684 .579 .522 .437 93.7 18 2194 6.1 46.5 18.8
2020 Sinker 39 30 9 3.7 93.4 13 9 1 1 0 0 0 3 6 .111 .234 .111 .292 .283 .375 84.4 16 2343 6.4 8.3 33.3
2020 Changeup 29 26 3 2.7 89.5 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 .500 .500 2.000 2.000 .990 1.000 105.4 28 2301 6.3 14.3 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 45.3 20.1 29.5 5.1 32.8 34.7 32.5 2.4 31.4 26.6 27.1 3.3 5.4
2016 46.8 18.9 28.3 6 33.5 37.6 28.9 2.3 33.5 20.2 26.8 6.4 6.9
2017 41.8 25.3 23.7 9.2 36.1 36.7 27.2 3.5 29.6 25.1 27 7.3 6.2
2018 40.9 27.3 24.8 7 37.8 36.7 25.5 2.1 30.1 25.9 26.2 5.6 8.7
2019 40.8 24.4 27.7 7.1 40 37.4 22.5 4 26.5 23.9 25.6 5.9 10.7
2020 25.5 27.7 35.8 10.9 41.6 35 23.4 2.9 15.3 33.6 24.1 10.9 13.1
2021 37.3 29.4 23.7 9.6 38.4 36.5 25.2 2.6 26.9 30.9 23.5 6 9.8
41.3 24.3 26.9 7.6 36.7 36.6 26.7 2.8 28.9 25.8 25.8 6.1 8.3
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker TOR L 5 95.5 15.1 -4.3 -22 13.9 -0.7 -5
2021 Curveball TOR L 189 82.5 40.3 -9.5 -19 1.3 -6.2 -83
2021 Slider TOR L 965 88.6 27.6 -4 -13 1 -2.6 -73
2021 Changeup TOR L 114 88.2 21.8 -6.5 -23 10.2 -3.7 -27
2021 4-Seamer TOR L 1864 94.8 13.5 0.6 5 8.2 1.1 15
2020 Changeup TOR L 29 89.5 18.2 -9.2 -34 8.3 -5.3 -39
2020 Slider TOR L 312 86.6 29.3 -4.8 -14 0.1 -4 -98
2020 Sinker TOR L 39 93.4 17.6 -3.2 -16 14.5 0.1 1
2020 4-Seamer TOR L 503 93.9 14.2 0.6 4 9.6 2.6 37
2020 Curveball TOR L 179 83.6 41 -6.5 -14 0.6 -5.9 -91
2019 Slider ARI L 941 84.2 34.7 -2.6 -7 1.9 -2.8 -59
2019 Sinker ARI L 306 92.2 18.4 -3.7 -17 13.8 -0.6 -4
2019 4-Seamer ARI L 1307 92.4 14 1.9 12 7.1 0.5 7
2019 Curveball ARI L 504 81.6 46.5 -5.2 -10 1.2 -5.7 -82
2018 4-Seamer ARI L 1231 93.6 14.3 1.2 8 9 1.9 26
2018 Slider ARI L 582 84.5 34.2 -2.6 -7 0.9 -3.8 -81
2018 Sinker ARI L 1 93.8 18.9 -2.3 -11 16 1.3 9
2018 Curveball ARI L 468 82.6 45.9 -4.3 -9 1.5 -5.9 -80
2017 Curveball ARI L 530 81.7 47.3 -2.6 -5 2.7 -4.5 -62
2017 Sinker ARI L 72 93.4 20.2 -0.3 -1 15.9 1 7
2017 4-Seamer ARI L 1531 94.2 13.6 0.1 1 8.6 0.6 7
2017 Slider ARI L 575 84.6 33.8 -1.5 -4 0.3 -4.5 -106
2016 4-Seamer ARI L 1425 94.9 12.9 0 0 10.3 1.7 20
2016 Sinker ARI L 759 94.4 17.1 -0.8 -4 15.8 1.1 8
2016 Slider ARI L 691 84.8 35.3 1.3 4 1.4 -4.4 -146
2016 Changeup ARI L 185 87.2 25.7 -1.2 -4 12.4 -0.7 -5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -6.1 0 5 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 50 33.3 .107 .113 .116 100
2021 Changeup 2.7 3 114 3.6 19 .235 .529 .453 27.8 10.5 11.8 .296 .51 .382 40
2021 Curveball 0.9 2 189 6 27 .346 .577 .406 51.9 25.9 28 .273 .399 .307 47.4
2021 Slider -1.1 -11 967 30.8 254 .173 .321 .247 45.8 48 28 .16 .274 .22 41.9
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -22 1866 59.4 471 .222 .431 .316 24 24.6 21 .239 .446 .323 43.2
2020 Changeup 3.1 1 29 2.7 2 .5 2 1 14.3 50 20 .5 2 1 100
2020 Sinker -2.7 -1 39 3.7 13 .111 .111 .285 8.3 23.1 33.3 .234 .292 .376 16.7
2020 Curveball 1 2 180 16.9 22 .474 .684 .53 46.5 27.3 18.8 .353 .579 .437 53.8
2020 Slider -1.1 -3 313 29.4 73 .164 .224 .206 47 45.2 29.7 .175 .273 .217 36.1
2020 4-Seamer 2.8 14 503 47.3 140 .292 .689 .478 19.4 17.9 17.5 .283 .596 .447 50.6
2019 Sinker 2.3 7 306 10 79 .348 .638 .447 18.2 17.7 21.9 .29 .413 .34 36.8
2019 Curveball 0.4 2 504 16.4 102 .216 .477 .356 44.6 33.3 27.6 .259 .576 .383 54.5
2019 Slider 0.6 5 941 30.7 257 .221 .424 .319 44.3 37 24.7 .207 .412 .298 36.2
2019 4-Seamer -1.3 -16 1307 42.7 303 .221 .391 .318 22 30.4 24.8 .218 .392 .318 36.3
2018 Curveball -0.5 -3 468 20.5 90 .169 .312 .268 46.1 43.3 26.5 .136 .238 .231 28.2
2018 Slider -0.6 -4 582 25.4 139 .178 .326 .249 44.7 43.2 25.8 .181 .292 .239 39.1
2018 4-Seamer 0.2 2 1231 53.8 293 .252 .43 .368 19.7 22.5 17.8 .26 .432 .365 45.8
2018 Sinker 2.4 0 1 0
2017 Sinker 9 7 72 2.7 24 .55 .9 .635 9.1 4.2 10 .417 .82 .548 63.2
2017 Curveball -0.6 -3 530 19.5 116 .202 .288 .279 45.3 31.9 28.9 .26 .363 .305 37.7
2017 Slider -1.2 -7 575 21.2 139 .172 .313 .235 49.5 42.4 25.2 .213 .344 .266 39.4
2017 4-Seamer -1.4 -22 1531 56.4 383 .188 .361 .295 25.3 31.6 27 .188 .352 .289 40.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 29 89.5 87 18 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Curveball 162 83.6 21 4.3 5:00 5:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 494 93.9 96 19.2 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Sinker 37 93.4 96 20.2 10:45 10:15 30
2020 Slider 292 86.6 33 6.5 11:15 12:00 -45
2021 Changeup 114 88.2 97 16.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 187 82.5 13 3 3:30 4:30 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1862 94.8 93 18.6 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Slider 958 88.6 42 6.5 11:15 12:15 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 136 547 4 1 6 2 13
2015 536 2208 0 -24 6 12 -6
2016 750 3062 -6 -12 17 10 9
2017 692 2830 -26 -25 12 13 -26
2018 523 2284 -11 -17 10 14 -4
2019 741 3058 -7 -27 19 13 -2
2020 261 1124 -2 -4 10 7 11
2021 773 3141 -12 -36 8 11 -29
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2257 50.2 66 83.6 28.5 66.9 42.7 60.7 46.8 21 8 77.3
2016 3176 50.1 64.7 79.6 28.4 57.1 44.6 55.9 46.6 26.6 6.5 76.5
2017 2715 47.7 63.6 76.2 27.5 40.5 40.8 60 44.7 34.2 6.5 68.9
2018 2287 45.9 61.1 80.6 27.8 42 40.9 58.9 43 32 6.7 71.7
2019 3064 44.4 64.3 75.7 30.3 50.2 42.5 59.6 45.4 32.6 6.2 74.7
2020 1064 42.9 62.7 77.6 24.5 45.6 37.9 52.2 40.9 32.9 6.6 67.1
2021 3141 50.8 73.1 77 30.1 43.4 41.3 61.6 52 32.3 8.8 84.1
17704 47.9 65.7 78.5 28.6 49.4 41.9 59 46.3 30.1 7.1 75.8
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 42 45 58 64 27 32 38 8 28 60 22 34 42 69 71
2016 45 57 48 44 41 16 28 12 11 88 32 76 45 79 61
2017 67 83 71 52 63 28 44 2 4 95 17 95 67 70 62 7
2018 47 75 68 56 27 28 14 7 5 92 4 89 47 64 60 5
2019 40 66 38 21 39 2 6 42 31 88 14 89 40 41 47 5
2020 8 33 14 11 3 2 5 4 9 69 2 84 8 62 80 15
2021 73 76 50 34 88 3 16 15 17 93 73 87 73 75 57 12
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.7 30 35.5 -6 9 26 17 56.7
2020 22.3 13 15.4 -2 5 6 11 84.6
2021 23.7 33 29.5 4 9 24 13 39.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 30 41 36 39 42 33 35 41 33 33 40 42 24 27 34 40 22 37 29 39 24 38 32 37 37 39 41 36 34 34 45
2020 13 19 16 17 17 14 15 16 15 14 16 16 12 14 14 16 13 17 15 16 12 15 16 15 17 15 15 17 14 17 18
2021 33 33 35 34 35 28 27 33 26 35 28 31 19 23 29 35 21 32 29 33 16 24 26 34 32 35 34 26 34 25 34
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 94.7 0.8 94.1 -0.6 93.6 -0.5 92.4 -1.2 93.8 1.4 94.8 1
Offspeed Velocity 84.6 87.2 2.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 89.5 0 88.2 -1.3
Breaking Velocity 83.1 84.8 1.7 83.2 -1.6 83.6 0.4 83.3 -0.3 85.5 2.2 87.6 2.1
Exit Velocity 89.7 89.9 0.2 89.9 0 90.1 0.2 88.9 -1.2 91.6 2.7 90.4 -1.2
Launch Angle 12.3 12.4 0.1 14.4 2 14.6 0.2 14.8 0.2 22.9 8.1 17.6 -5.3
Barrel % 5.4 6.9 1.5 6.2 -0.7 8.7 2.5 10.7 2 13.1 2.4 9.8 -3.3
Hard Hit % 35.8 40 4.2 41 1 41.6 0.6 38.6 -3 46 7.4 43.1 -2.9
Sweet Spot % 31.7 32.2 0.5 31.5 -0.7 36.4 4.9 38.9 2.5 38 -0.9 34.3 -3.7
xBA .24 .239 -0.001 .214 -0.025 .216 0.002 .227 0.011 .254 0.027 .215 -0.039
BA .255 .267 0.012 .199 -0.068 .216 0.017 .234 0.018 .261 0.027 .21 -0.051
xwOBA .305 .31 0.005 .296 -0.014 .307 0.011 .32 0.013 .379 0.059 .289 -0.09
wOBA .318 .332 0.014 .282 -0.05 .312 0.03 .322 0.01 .39 0.068 .287 -0.103
xSLG .366 .396 0.03 .368 -0.028 .358 -0.01 .426 0.068 .488 0.062 .388 -0.1
SLG .4 .431 0.031 .356 -0.075 .379 0.023 .441 0.062 .522 0.081 .401 -0.121
K% 21.8 28.1 6.3 32.8 4.7 31.4 -1.4 31.5 0.1 27.1 -4.4 32.1 5
BB% 9 9.1 0.1 10.7 1.6 13.3 2.6 11.2 -2.1 17.9 6.7 6.7 -11.2
Swing % 46.8 46.6 -0.2 44.7 -1.9 43 -1.7 45.4 2.4 40.9 -4.5 52 11.1
Whiff% 21 26.6 5.6 34.2 7.6 32 -2.2 32.6 0.6 32.9 0.3 32.3 -0.6
In Zone % 50.2 50.1 -0.1 47.7 -2.4 45.9 -1.8 44.4 -1.5 42.9 -1.5 50.8 7.9
Out of Zone % 49.8 49.9 0.1 52.3 2.4 54.1 1.8 55.6 1.5 57.1 1.5 49.2 -7.9
Out of Zone Swing % 28.5 28.4 -0.1 27.5 -0.9 27.8 0.3 30.3 2.5 24.5 -5.8 30.1 5.6
First Pitch Swing % 27.7 23.3 -4.4 28 4.7 25.3 -2.7 27.4 2.1 27.5 0.1 33.5 6
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 55.9 -4.8 60 4.1 58.9 -1.1 59.6 0.7 52.2 -7.4 61.6 9.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 741 .332 562 31 5.5 179 34 19.0
2017 662 .282 539 3 0.6 123 18 14.6
2018 523 .312 406 32 7.9 117 37 31.6
2019 742 .322 575 128 22.3 167 77 46.1
2020 250 .390 186 37 19.9 64 37 57.8
2021 739 .292 606 87 14.4 133 73 54.9

Pitch Distribution