Randy Dobnak
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 230LBS | Age: 29
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 2 1 1.59 9 5 1 28.1 23 1.13
2020 6 4 4.05 10 10 0 46.2 27 1.35
2021 1 7 7.64 14 6 1 50.2 27 1.54
3 Seasons 9 12 4.94 33 21 2 125.2 77 1.38
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 9 2-1 1.59 28.1 23 1.13
2020 10 6-4 4.05 46.2 27 1.35
2021 14 1-7 7.64 50.2 27 1.54
3 Seasons 33 9-12 4.94 125.2 77 1.38
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 24 427 87 2 2.3 1.7 88.6 113.0 6.0 26.4 .254 .362 .264 .293 .334 42.5 19.5 4.2 1.59 3.75
2020 25 748 154 8 5.2 4.0 87.8 114.2 1.2 26.6 .262 .378 .313 .312 .324 40.9 13.5 6.5 4.05 4.13
2021 26 765 187 19 10.2 8.3 91.7 118.3 2.3 31.0 .325 .554 .380 .395 .432 55.6 11.8 5.3 7.64 7.12
Player 1940 428 29 6.8 5.3 89.7 118.3 2.7 28.5 .287 .449 .330 .343 .373 47.7 14.1 5.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dobnak relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(58.7%) ,
Slider
(33.2%) ,
Changeup
(7.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(0.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 54.0 11.5 26.4 8.0 40.2 33.3 26.4 5.7 42.5 16.1 26.4 6.9 2.3 1.7
2020 61.7 13.0 22.1 3.2 35.7 39.6 24.7 7.8 44.2 14.9 21.4 3.9 5.2 4.0
2021 56.7 15.5 24.1 3.7 31.6 44.4 24.1 2.7 44.9 11.2 25.1 4.8 10.2 8.3
Player 57.9 13.8 23.8 4.4 34.8 40.4 24.8 5.1 44.2 13.6 24.1 4.9 6.8 5.3
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker MIN R 449 91.6 32.9 6.8 26 16.2 1.4 9
2021 Changeup MIN R 56 84.5 33.5 0.3 1 16.9 2.2 15
2021 Slider MIN R 254 84.2 39.4 2.4 7 1.9 -4.1 -69
2021 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 6 93.5 23.1 -7.0 -43 15.6 7.0 81
2020 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 34 92.9 24.0 -7.6 -46 11.0 2.2 25
2020 Changeup MIN R 122 85.6 34.2 1.2 4 15.7 0.8 6
2020 Sinker MIN R 328 91.4 33.6 7.7 30 14.9 -1.0 -6
2020 Slider MIN R 264 83.4 39.2 1.1 3 1.6 -4.0 -72
2019 Changeup MIN R 55 85.7 33.8 1.2 4 15.4 0.6 4
2019 Slider MIN R 119 84.1 42.3 4.1 11 2.6 -3.1 -54
2019 Sinker MIN R 156 92.2 31.7 7.0 28 14.3 -1.3 -9
2019 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 97 93.4 23.6 -6.7 -39 10.7 2.0 23
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker 0.1 1 449 58.7 155 .299 .431 .366 8.0 6.5 15.6 .320 .463 .365 58.5
2021 Slider -5.4 -14 254 33.2 57 .333 .815 .503 37.3 24.6 18.7 .356 .800 .495 55.0
2021 Changeup -6.1 -3 56 7.3 15 .357 .857 .517 16.0 20.0 27.3 .271 .562 .372 27.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 0 6 0.8 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .009 .009 .008 0.0
2020 Sinker -1.2 -4 328 43.9 91 .338 .487 .413 10.8 4.4 6.7 .293 .416 .354 52.6
2020 Slider 2.2 6 264 35.3 67 .219 .234 .232 33.8 28.4 20.0 .211 .285 .237 31.1
2020 Changeup 0.8 1 122 16.3 31 .233 .333 .277 16.1 9.7 12.0 .232 .418 .268 21.4
2020 4-Seam Fastball -2.7 -1 34 4.5 11 .333 .333 .482 6.7 9.1 4.5 .518 .658 .595 60.0
2019 Sinker 0.2 0 156 36.5 50 .304 .348 .358 17.3 10.0 16.1 .277 .358 .307 48.8
2019 Slider 0.7 1 119 27.9 28 .222 .370 .302 46.3 50.0 27.5 .195 .352 .249 30.8
2019 4-Seam Fastball 3.9 4 97 22.7 26 .208 .208 .227 17.6 7.7 8.3 .296 .357 .315 45.5
2019 Changeup 4.3 2 55 12.9 14 .154 .154 .243 22.6 14.3 20.0 .214 .401 .291 27.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 55 84.5 97 18.3 2:30 2:45 -15
2021 Sinker 410 91.6 88 17.1 2:15 3:15 -60
2021 Slider 253 84.2 20 3.9 6:45 7:00 -15
2020 Changeup 107 85.6 97 16.5 2:30 2:45 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 31 93.0 90 13.3 2:15 2:00 15
2020 Sinker 250 91.5 87 15.9 2:15 3:15 -60
2020 Slider 244 83.4 15 2.9 7:15 7:15 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 131 470 6 4 -2 -3 5
2020 200 748 3 8 -3 -6 2
2021 228 765 -2 -6 -4 -5 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 427 48.9 67.5 82.3 38.1 55.4 43.8 61.9 52.5 26.8 6.3 81.5
2020 748 43.2 69.3 89.3 31.5 60.4 45.1 54.0 47.9 20.4 5.5 75.6
2021 765 47.8 69.7 93.3 26.8 54.2 38.4 57.5 47.3 17.4 6.7 88.2
Player 1,940 46.3 69.0 89.4 31.1 57.1 42.2 57.1 48.7 20.8 6.1 82.4
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 41 3 11
2020 53 28 59 81 43 33 72 58 25 4 75 13 82 24 4 9
2021 1 1 1 4 5 45 13 2 1 1 91 1 37 21 4 5
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.7 1 1.1 0 3 0 1 100.0
2020 21.3 3 4.6 -2 2 6 0 0.0
2021 23.0 11 11.4 0 2 10 3 27.3
Player 22.6 15 17.1 -2 7 16 4 26.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
2020 3 6 3 6 5 6 6 3 4 3 5 5 2 3 5 3 6 5 6 6 5 6 7 4 2 3 5 5 4 4 4
2021 11 13 9 9 10 10 14 11 6 9 10 12 11 9 12 14 10 10 14 11 13 15 13 13 11 11 13 12 13 12 12
Player 15 20 13 16 16 17 21 15 11 13 16 20 14 13 18 18 17 16 21 18 19 22 21 18 14 15 19 19 18 17 17
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.7 91.6 -1.1 91.6 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 85.6 -0.1 84.5 -1.1
Breaking Velocity 84.1 83.4 -0.7 84.2 0.8
Exit Velocity 88.6 87.8 -0.8 91.7 3.9
Launch Angle 6.0 1.2 -4.8 2.3 1.1
Barrel % 2.3 5.2 2.9 10.2 5.0
Hard Hit % 42.5 40.9 -1.6 55.6 14.7
Sweet Spot % 26.4 26.6 0.2 31.0 4.4
xBA .254 .262 0.008 .325 0.063
BA .245 .278 0.033 .310 0.032
xwOBA .293 .312 0.019 .395 0.083
wOBA .264 .313 0.049 .380 0.067
xSLG .362 .378 0.016 .554 0.176
SLG .300 .367 0.067 .554 0.187
K% 19.5 13.5 -6.0 11.8 -1.7
BB% 4.2 6.5 2.3 5.3 -1.2
Swing % 52.5 47.9 -4.6 47.3 -0.6
Whiff% 26.8 20.4 -6.4 17.4 -3.0
In Zone % 48.9 43.2 -5.7 47.8 4.6
Out of Zone % 51.1 56.8 5.7 52.2 -4.6
Out of Zone Swing % 38.1 31.5 -6.6 26.8 -4.7
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 25.5 -0.8 28.5 3.0
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 54.0 -7.9 57.5 3.5
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 118 .264 59 21 35.6 59 26 44.1
2020 Shifts 200 .313 109 46 42.2 91 56 61.5
2021 Shifts 227 .382 123 30 24.4 104 84 80.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 97 15.1 48.5% 0.0% 74 21.1 0.0% 2.7%
2020 203 15.9 34.5% 1.0% 140 25.8 0.0% 17.1%
2021 249 15.9 35.3% 0.4% 116 24.5 0.0% 6.0%
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Pitch Distribution