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Randy Dobnak
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 1" 230LBS | Age: 26

Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 3 11.88 4 0 1 8.1 5 1.92
3 Seasons 8 8 4.00 23 15 2 83.1 55 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 0-3 11.88 8.1 5 1.92
3 Seasons 23 8-8 4.00 83.1 55 1.33

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 427 87 2 2.3 88.6 113 6 26.4 .254 .360 .264 .293 .333 42.5 19.5 4.2 1.59 3.83
2020 748 154 8 5.2 87.8 114.2 1.2 26.6 .256 .370 .313 .306 .315 40.9 13.5 6.5 4.05 3.98
2021 137 34 2 5.9 92.2 111.3 5.8 32.4 .338 .560 .423 .394 .434 52.9 12.2 4.9 11.88 6.13
1312 275 12 4.4 88.6 114.2 3.4 27.3 .265 .389 .309 .312 .336 42.9 15.3 5.6
6.4 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .402 .318 .313 .362 35.1 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dobnak relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(51.1%) ,
Slider
(38.7%) ,
Changeup
(8.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(1.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 70 43 27 51.1 90.8 25 24 9 5 3 0 1 1 23 .375 .387 .625 .623 .440 .437 96.3 0 1901 5.7 0.0 20.0
2021 Slider 53 29 24 38.7 84.0 13 12 4 3 0 0 1 4 8 .333 .242 .583 .482 .418 .331 86.9 22 2363 5.5 40.9 30.8
2021 Changeup 12 2 10 8.8 85.8 3 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 .333 .331 .333 .371 .297 .304 75.4 11 1679 5.7 16.7 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 2 2 0 1.5 91.0 1939 5.6
2020 Sinker 328 179 149 43.9 91.4 91 80 27 19 6 0 2 4 76 .338 .290 .488 .412 .388 .344 91.5 -6 1952 5.8 10.8 6.7
2020 Slider 264 178 86 35.3 83.4 67 64 14 13 1 0 0 19 45 .219 .204 .234 .276 .222 .231 82.5 7 2392 5.6 33.8 20.0
2020 Changeup 122 28 94 16.3 85.6 31 30 7 6 0 0 1 3 28 .233 .223 .333 .402 .235 .257 81.9 9 1753 5.9 16.1 12.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 34 18 16 4.5 92.9 11 6 2 2 0 0 0 1 5 .333 .518 .333 .658 .478 .594 100.4 11 2052 5.8 6.7 4.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2019 54 11.5 26.4 8 40.2 33.3 26.4 5.7 42.5 16.1 26.4 6.9 2.3
2020 61.7 10.4 24.7 3.2 35.7 39.6 24.7 7.8 44.2 14.9 21.4 3.9 5.2
2021 50 20.6 23.5 5.9 29.4 29.4 41.2 0 47.1 17.6 17.6 11.8 5.9
57.8 12 25.1 5.1 36.4 36.4 27.3 6.2 44 15.6 22.5 5.8 4.4
45.2 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.4

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup MIN R 12 85.8 34.8 2.9 9 18.3 3.1 20
2021 4-Seamer MIN R 2 91 28.3 -11.2 -65 13.1 4.4 50
2021 Slider MIN R 53 84 39.4 2.3 6 1.8 -4.4 -71
2021 Sinker MIN R 70 90.8 34.5 7.7 29 14.7 -0.7 -4
2020 Changeup MIN R 122 85.6 34.2 1.2 4 15.7 0.9 6
2020 4-Seamer MIN R 34 92.9 24 -7.6 -46 11 2.2 26
2020 Sinker MIN R 328 91.4 33.6 7.8 30 14.9 -0.9 -6
2020 Slider MIN R 264 83.4 39.2 1.3 3 1.6 -4.6 -75
2019 Slider MIN R 119 84.1 42.3 4.2 11 2.6 -3.7 -59
2019 Sinker MIN R 156 92.2 31.7 7 29 14.3 -1.3 -8
2019 Changeup MIN R 55 85.7 33.8 1.2 4 15.4 0.7 5
2019 4-Seamer MIN R 97 93.4 23.6 -6.7 -39 10.7 2 23
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup 4.3 1 12 8.8 3 .333 .333 .3 16.7 0 0 .331 .371 .304 0
2021 Slider 4.2 2 53 38.7 13 .333 .583 .415 40.9 30.8 30.8 .242 .482 .331 37.5
2021 Sinker 4.4 3 70 51.1 25 .375 .625 .438 0 4 20 .387 .623 .437 65.2
2021 4-Seamer -0.2 0 2 1.5
2020 4-Seamer 2.8 1 34 4.5 11 .333 .333 .482 6.7 9.1 4.5 .518 .658 .595 60
2020 Changeup -2.4 -3 122 16.3 31 .233 .333 .239 16.1 9.7 12 .223 .402 .257 21.4
2020 Slider -2.1 -6 264 35.3 67 .219 .234 .225 33.8 28.4 20 .204 .276 .23 31.1
2020 Sinker 1.4 4 328 43.9 91 .338 .487 .409 10.8 4.4 6.7 .29 .412 .351 52.6
2019 Changeup -4.2 -2 55 12.9 14 .154 .154 .243 22.6 14.3 20 .214 .401 .291 27.3
2019 4-Seamer -3.5 -3 97 22.7 26 .208 .208 .227 17.6 7.7 8.3 .298 .359 .317 45.5
2019 Slider -0.6 -1 119 27.9 28 .222 .37 .302 46.3 50 27.5 .195 .344 .244 30.8
2019 Sinker -0.7 -1 156 36.5 50 .304 .348 .34 17.3 10 16.1 .277 .358 .307 48.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 108 85.6 97 16.6 2:30 2:45 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 31 93 90 13.3 2:15 2:00 15
2020 Sinker 252 91.5 87 15.9 2:15 3:15 -60
2020 Slider 244 83.4 15 2.9 7:15 7:15 0
2021 Changeup 11 85.8 96 19.3 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Sinker 63 90.7 77 15.5 2:15 3:15 -60
2021 Slider 52 84 20 3.7 7:00 7:15 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 131 470 -6 -4 2 3 -5
2020 200 748 -5 -7 3 6 -3
2021 41 137 3 1 1 1 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 427 48.9 67.5 82.3 38.1 55.4 43.8 61.9 52.5 26.8 6.3 81.5
2020 748 43.4 68.9 89.3 31.7 60.4 45.1 54 47.9 20.4 5.5 75.6
2021 137 48.2 60.6 95 28.2 60 36.5 51.2 43.8 16.7 5.8 87.5
1312 45.7 67.5 87.4 33.3 58.6 43.8 56.3 48.9 22.3 5.8 78.9
48.4 66.6 82.2 28.4 58.9 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.7

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2019 46 4
2020 57 32 62 81 47 33 72 58 25 4 75 13 57 31 5
2021 16 6 15 30 26 39 63 18 11 4 79 7 16
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.7 1 1.3 0 3 0 1 100
2020 21.3 3 4.2 -1 2 6 0 0
2021 22.1 2 1.7 0 0 1 1 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 1 1 4 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1
2020 3 3 6 5 6 2 4 6 5 4 5 4 1 4 5 6 2 2 4 4 3 4 4 6 5 6 5 3 5 2 6
2021 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.7 91.6 -1.1 90.8 -0.8
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 85.6 -0.1 85.8 0.2
Breaking Velocity 84.1 83.4 -0.7 84 0.6
Exit Velocity 88.6 87.8 -0.8 92.2 4.4
Launch Angle 6 1.2 -4.8 5.8 4.6
Barrel % 2.3 5.2 2.9 5.9 0.7
Hard Hit % 42.5 40.9 -1.6 52.9 12
Sweet Spot % 26.4 26.6 0.2 32.4 5.8
xBA .254 .256 0.002 .338 0.082
BA .245 .278 0.033 .359 0.081
xwOBA .293 .306 0.013 .394 0.088
wOBA .264 .313 0.049 .423 0.11
xSLG .36 .37 0.01 .56 0.19
SLG .3 .367 0.067 .59 0.223
K% 19.5 13.5 -6 12.2 -1.3
BB% 4.2 6.5 2.3 4.9 -1.6
Swing % 52.5 47.9 -4.6 43.8 -4.1
Whiff% 26.8 20.4 -6.4 16.7 -3.7
In Zone % 48.9 43.4 -5.5 48.2 4.8
Out of Zone % 51.1 56.6 5.5 51.8 -4.8
Out of Zone Swing % 38.1 31.7 -6.4 28.2 -3.5
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 25.5 -0.8 19.5 -6
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 54 -7.9 51.2 -2.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 118 .264 59 21 35.6 59 23 39.0
2020 200 .313 109 41 37.6 91 54 59.3
2021 40 .433 23 4 17.4 17 9 52.9

Pitch Distribution