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Rafael Montero
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 190LBS | Age: 31

Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 5 4 6.39 44 0 7 49.1 42 1.54
7 Seasons 13 21 5.18 141 30 15 288.1 284 1.56
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 44 5-4 6.39 49.1 42 1.54
7 Seasons 141 13-21 5.18 288.1 284 1.56

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 25 192 28 1 3.6 88.1 112 5 28.6 .177 .265 .265 .215 .283 28.6 28.3 10.9 4.50 1.98
2016 26 388 57 4 7 86.5 111.9 13.5 36.8 .276 .462 .408 .374 .422 31.6 21.5 17.2 8.05 6.43
2017 27 2219 364 15 4.1 84.6 110.7 10.4 30.8 .249 .371 .359 .318 .348 25.3 20.7 12.2 5.52 4.45
2019 29 459 72 10 13.9 87.3 114 13.7 34.7 .233 .459 .283 .311 .420 30.6 30.1 4.4 2.48 4.35
2020 30 289 45 7 15.6 88.2 112 23 44.4 .241 .475 .283 .339 .428 44.4 26.4 8.3 4.08 5.00
2021 31 872 161 8 5 86.7 110.5 5.9 29.8 .231 .329 .340 .290 .312 34.2 18.7 7.6 6.38 3.55
4419 727 45 6.2 85.9 114 10.5 32.2 .242 .382 .343 .313 .356 29.6 22 10.6
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .364 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Montero relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(35.7%) ,
Sinker
(26%) ,
Slider
(19.5%) ,
Changeup
(18.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 311 143 168 35.7 95.7 75 63 17 11 4 0 2 17 47 .270 .212 .429 .344 .351 .302 86.7 22 2262 6.2 26.9 15.3
2021 Sinker 227 221 6 26.0 95.1 70 65 23 20 3 0 0 8 58 .354 .279 .400 .351 .350 .301 83.1 -6 2189 6.2 14.6 18.2
2021 Slider 170 131 39 19.5 85.7 34 29 8 4 3 0 1 7 24 .276 .173 .483 .294 .335 .281 85.2 14 2301 6.2 30.0 14.3
2021 Changeup 164 33 131 18.8 89.7 45 42 11 7 3 0 1 10 32 .262 .226 .405 .298 .310 .258 89.2 -4 2011 6.3 23.5 15.4
2020 4-Seam Fastball 138 66 72 47.8 95.8 28 25 5 1 2 1 1 10 16 .200 .221 .480 .463 .308 .315 89.7 27 2284 6.1 26.7 21.7
2020 Sinker 70 65 5 24.2 94.7 20 17 3 1 1 0 1 5 12 .176 .221 .412 .458 .310 .347 93.1 14 2214 6.2 21.2 27.8
2020 Changeup 60 11 49 20.8 89.1 18 15 3 2 1 0 0 3 12 .200 .283 .267 .422 .259 .347 82.5 24 2067 6.3 29.0 11.1
2020 Slider 21 13 8 7.3 85.7 6 6 1 1 0 0 0 1 5 .167 .272 .167 .712 .147 .405 69.4 39 2350 6.2 12.5 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 50 25 21.4 3.6 42.9 35.7 21.4 7.1 42.9 17.9 21.4 3.6 3.6
2016 36.8 24.6 36.8 1.8 36.8 26.3 36.8 3.5 24.6 19.3 31.6 7 7
2017 49.7 20.6 23.1 6.6 33.5 40.9 25.5 6.9 34.6 21.2 25 4.9 4.1
2019 40.3 27.8 26.4 5.6 36.1 34.7 29.2 5.6 31.9 26.4 20.8 1.4 13.9
2020 28.9 24.4 33.3 13.3 33.3 42.2 24.4 11.1 15.6 28.9 24.4 4.4 15.6
2021 55.9 19.3 19.9 5 42.2 36.6 21.1 5.6 41.6 19.3 23.6 5 5
47.9 21.7 24.3 6.1 36.3 38.1 25.6 6.5 34.3 21.5 24.6 4.7 6.2
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup HOU R 163 89.7 29.8 -1.4 -5 16 -0.1 0
2021 Sinker HOU R 227 95.1 21.8 -0.9 -4 15.7 0.2 1
2021 Slider HOU R 166 85.7 34.2 -1.6 -4 7.2 0.2 3
2021 4-Seamer HOU R 307 95.7 15.6 0 0 9 -0.4 -4
2020 Slider TEX R 21 85.7 34.9 -0.8 -2 7.6 2.4 46
2020 Changeup TEX R 60 89.1 28.5 -2 -6 15.5 0.5 3
2020 Sinker TEX R 70 94.7 20.8 -0.9 -4 15.4 0.2 1
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 138 95.8 14.7 0.3 2 8.6 0 0
2019 Sinker TEX R 33 95.2 21.7 -0.5 -2 15.2 -0.7 -4
2019 Changeup TEX R 181 89.9 28.9 -0.7 -2 16.3 0.3 2
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 182 95.9 15.9 -0.2 -1 10.3 1 11
2019 Slider TEX R 63 85.1 37.5 0.6 2 8 1.5 23
2017 Sinker NYM R 429 93.1 21.4 -1 -5 16.2 0.8 5
2017 Slider NYM R 551 83.8 39.2 1.7 5 4.7 -0.7 -13
2017 Changeup NYM R 419 88 26.6 -2.6 -9 16.8 1.6 11
2017 4-Seamer NYM R 815 93.9 14.9 0.5 3 8.4 -0.8 -9
2016 4-Seamer NYM R 138 93.5 14.9 0.9 6 8 -1.6 -16
2016 Sinker NYM R 77 92.6 18.4 -3.6 -16 14.2 -1 -7
2016 Slider NYM R 78 83.7 36.3 -0.2 0 6.8 3.1 85
2016 Changeup NYM R 80 85.8 26.4 -5 -16 14.5 -0.4 -3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Slider 0.4 1 170 19.5 34 .276 .483 .363 30 20.6 14.3 .173 .294 .28 45.8
2021 Changeup 1.1 2 164 18.8 45 .262 .405 .314 23.5 22.2 15.4 .226 .298 .258 37.5
2021 Sinker 0.3 1 227 26 70 .354 .4 .356 14.6 11.4 18.2 .279 .351 .301 29.3
2021 4-Seamer 2 6 311 35.7 75 .27 .429 .355 26.9 22.7 15.3 .212 .344 .303 31.9
2020 Slider -0.5 0 21 7.3 6 .167 .167 .15 12.5 16.7 12.5 .272 .712 .405 20
2020 Changeup 2.2 1 60 20.8 18 .2 .267 .286 29 16.7 11.1 .283 .422 .366 33.3
2020 Sinker 1 1 70 24.2 20 .176 .412 .313 21.2 25 27.8 .221 .458 .347 50
2020 4-Seamer -0.6 -1 138 47.8 28 .2 .48 .311 26.7 35.7 21.7 .221 .463 .314 56.3
2019 Sinker -2.7 -1 33 7.2 11 .2 .2 .227 6.3 9.1 14.3 .142 .17 .186 0
2019 Slider 3 2 63 13.7 16 .4 .6 .45 38.5 31.3 35.7 .327 .506 .368 40
2019 4-Seamer -0.3 0 182 39.7 36 .229 .686 .381 20.3 25 18.4 .283 .728 .415 53.8
2019 Changeup -4 -7 181 39.4 50 .152 .174 .189 39.4 38 31.1 .185 .301 .245 14.8
2017 Sinker -0.4 -2 429 19.3 90 .351 .468 .385 15.7 6.7 6.1 .29 .398 .332 23.7
2017 Changeup 1.1 4 419 18.9 129 .295 .375 .356 29.4 24.8 19.2 .213 .289 .274 19.8
2017 Slider -0.8 -5 551 24.8 138 .239 .402 .316 34 28.3 21.8 .223 .367 .297 22.9
2017 4-Seamer 1.3 11 815 36.7 186 .338 .487 .403 17.9 19.9 15.7 .272 .417 .355 31.7
2017 N/A 1 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 59 89.1 88 17 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 136 95.8 91 17 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 68 94.7 86 18.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 Slider 21 85.7 33 8.8 9:15 9:15 0
2021 Changeup 156 89.7 89 17.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 305 95.7 87 16.6 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Sinker 224 95.1 84 18.1 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 166 85.7 31 8.3 9:30 9:30 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 194 836 0 -6 5 3 2
2015 43 180 1 -4 1 2 -1
2016 92 384 0 1 4 2 6
2017 544 2215 -5 -14 20 9 10
2019 113 459 -5 -3 0 1 -7
2020 72 289 -2 0 2 2 1
2021 224 872 -3 -1 9 4 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 192 37 74.6 81.1 33.1 70 40.6 50 48.4 21.5 5.2 90
2016 388 39.7 64.3 77.8 22.2 69.2 42.5 60.2 38.9 24.5 5.2 70
2017 2219 46.5 66.4 78.8 27.6 64.8 45.5 63.5 45.6 23.9 5.7 72.4
2019 459 44.9 65.5 79.3 31.6 55 45.3 65.5 46.8 29.8 5.9 92.6
2020 289 52.2 68.9 76.9 20.3 67.9 50.9 65.3 45.7 25 4.2 75
2021 872 47.9 72.5 81.5 30.2 65 45.8 64.4 50.5 23.2 7.1 83.9
4419 46 67.9 79.3 27.8 64.5 45.4 63.1 46.2 24.4 5.8 77.9
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015
2016 55 74
2017 39 43 69 82 15 47 84 96 96 41 6 48 39 64 62
2019 86 51
2020 84 45
2021 73 59 87 95 56 90 89 87 83 17 60 27 73 81 47
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.9 5 4.3 1 3 3 2 40
2020 23.4 2 3 -1 1 2 1 50
2021 24.1 4 5 -1 1 7 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 5 6 4 4 6 5 4 7 4 2 4 7 2 3 4 5 3 7 3 4 2 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 6
2020 2 3 3 3 3 3 0 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2021 4 5 5 4 7 4 5 7 4 6 6 5 3 4 5 6 4 6 5 6 1 4 5 6 5 6 4 5 6 3 7
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 93.1 0.7 0.5 95.8 95.4 -0.4 95.5 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 85.8 1.1 2.2 89.9 89.1 -0.8 89.7 0.6
Breaking Velocity 81.2 83.7 2.5 0.1 85.1 85.7 0.6 85.7 0
Exit Velocity 88.1 86.5 -1.6 -1.9 87.3 88.2 0.9 86.7 -1.5
Launch Angle 5 13.5 8.5 -3.1 13.7 23 9.3 5.9 -17.1
Barrel % 3.6 7 3.4 -2.9 13.9 15.6 1.7 5 -10.6
Hard Hit % 28.6 31.6 3 -6.3 30.6 44.4 13.8 34.2 -10.2
Sweet Spot % 28.6 36.8 8.2 -6 34.7 44.4 9.7 29.8 -14.6
xBA .177 .276 0.099 -0.027 .233 .241 0.008 .231 -0.01
BA .225 .299 0.074 0.007 .217 .19 -0.027 .296 0.106
xwOBA .215 .374 0.159 -0.056 .311 .339 0.028 .29 -0.049
wOBA .265 .408 0.143 -0.049 .283 .283 0 .34 0.057
xSLG .265 .462 0.197 -0.091 .459 .475 0.016 .329 -0.146
SLG .35 .545 0.195 -0.107 .406 .381 -0.025 .422 0.041
K% 28.3 21.5 -6.8 -0.8 30.1 26.4 -3.7 18.7 -7.7
BB% 10.9 17.2 6.3 -5 4.4 8.3 3.9 7.6 -0.7
Swing % 48.4 38.9 -9.5 6.7 46.8 45.7 -1.1 50.5 4.8
Whiff% 21.5 24.5 3 -0.6 29.8 25 -4.8 23.2 -1.8
In Zone % 37 39.7 2.7 6.8 44.9 52.2 7.3 47.9 -4.3
Out of Zone % 63 60.3 -2.7 -6.8 55.1 47.8 -7.3 52.1 4.3
Out of Zone Swing % 33.1 22.2 -10.9 5.4 31.6 20.3 -11.3 30.2 9.9
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 26.9 3 5.1 30.1 22.2 -7.9 38.2 16
First Pitch Strike % 50 60.2 10.2 3.3 65.5 65.3 -0.2 64.4 -0.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 89 .403 52 0 0.0 37 4 10.8
2017 543 .356 278 8 2.9 265 30 11.3
2019 113 .283 57 13 22.8 56 30 53.6
2020 71 .287 37 5 13.5 34 14 41.2
2021 224 .340 136 38 27.9 88 53 60.2

Pitch Distribution