Rafael Montero
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 190LBS | Age: 32

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 3 6.97 22 0 1 20.2 24 1.84
9 Seasons 19 26 4.77 234 30 30 377.1 381 1.48
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 22 1-3 6.97 20.2 24 1.84
9 Seasons 234 19-26 4.77 377.1 381 1.48

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 24 192 28 1 3.6 2.2 88.1 112.0 5.0 28.6 .181 .272 .265 .220 .294 28.6 28.3 10.9 4.50 1.97
2016 25 388 57 4 7.0 4.3 86.5 111.9 13.5 36.8 .291 .487 .408 .391 .454 31.6 21.5 17.2 8.05 6.91
2017 26 2219 364 15 4.1 2.7 84.6 110.7 10.4 30.8 .250 .374 .359 .320 .352 25.3 20.7 12.2 5.52 4.42
2019 28 459 72 10 13.9 8.8 87.3 114.0 13.7 34.7 .233 .458 .283 .311 .420 30.6 30.1 4.4 2.48 4.26
2020 29 289 45 7 15.6 9.7 88.2 112.0 23.0 44.4 .241 .475 .283 .339 .428 44.4 26.4 8.3 4.08 4.96
2021 30 872 161 8 5.0 3.6 86.7 110.5 5.9 29.8 .231 .329 .340 .289 .312 34.2 18.7 7.6 6.38 3.50
2022 31 1093 172 5 2.9 1.9 86.3 109.9 7.9 29.7 .204 .291 .241 .257 .308 32.6 27.0 8.5 2.37 2.70
2023 32 370 62 3 4.8 3.1 87.8 109.0 12.3 30.6 .246 .379 .396 .313 .372 40.3 25.0 10.4 6.97 3.99
Player 5882 961 53 5.5 3.6 86.1 114.0 10.2 31.6 .236 .367 .327 .305 .351 30.8 23.1 10.2
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Montero relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(46.2%) ,
Changeup
(24.1%) ,
Sinker
(18.1%) ,
Slider
(11.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 50.0 25.0 21.4 3.6 42.9 35.7 21.4 7.1 42.9 17.9 21.4 3.6 3.6 2.2
2016 36.8 24.6 36.8 1.8 36.8 26.3 36.8 3.5 24.6 19.3 31.6 7.0 7.0 4.3
2017 49.7 20.6 23.1 6.6 33.5 40.9 25.5 6.9 34.6 21.2 25.0 4.9 4.1 2.7
2019 40.3 27.8 26.4 5.6 36.1 34.7 29.2 5.6 31.9 26.4 20.8 1.4 13.9 8.8
2020 28.9 28.9 28.9 13.3 33.3 42.2 24.4 11.1 15.6 28.9 24.4 4.4 15.6 9.7
2021 55.9 19.3 19.9 5.0 42.2 36.6 21.1 5.6 41.6 19.3 23.6 5.0 5.0 3.6
2022 52.9 18.0 23.3 5.8 37.2 34.3 28.5 7.0 37.2 21.5 25.6 5.8 2.9 1.9
2023 38.7 32.3 27.4 1.6 37.1 40.3 22.6 4.8 25.8 30.6 27.4 6.5 4.8 3.1
Player 48.2 22.0 24.1 5.7 36.5 37.6 25.9 6.5 34.2 22.1 25.0 5.0 5.5 3.6
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider HOU R 43 88.4 30.1 -2.6 -8 5.6 0.3 7
2023 Changeup HOU R 89 91.2 27.4 -2.5 -8 16.6 0.3 2
2023 4-Seamer HOU R 171 96.1 14.2 1.0 6 9.3 -0.5 -5
2023 Sinker HOU R 67 95.5 21.6 -2.8 -11 16.5 -0.1 0
2022 Slider HOU R 133 87.9 32.6 -0.8 -2 6.0 1.6 37
2022 Changeup HOU R 212 91.1 27.5 -1.6 -6 16.9 0.7 5
2022 Sinker HOU R 250 95.9 21.4 -1.5 -6 16.2 0.2 1
2022 4-Seamer HOU R 498 96.4 13.8 1.0 7 9.3 -0.1 -1
2021 Changeup HOU R 167 89.7 29.6 -1.6 -5 15.9 -0.2 -1
2021 Sinker HOU R 226 95.1 21.8 -0.6 -3 15.7 0.4 2
2021 4-Seamer HOU R 309 95.8 15.6 0.0 0 9.0 -0.4 -4
2021 Slider HOU R 169 85.7 34.2 -1.7 -5 7.2 0.5 8
2020 Sinker TEX R 70 94.7 20.8 -0.8 -4 15.4 0.2 1
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 138 95.8 14.7 0.3 2 8.6 0.0 0
2020 Changeup TEX R 60 89.1 28.5 -2.0 -7 15.5 0.5 3
2020 Slider TEX R 21 85.7 34.9 -0.9 -2 7.6 2.6 53
2019 Changeup TEX R 181 89.9 28.9 -0.7 -2 16.3 0.3 2
2019 Slider TEX R 63 85.1 37.5 0.3 1 8.0 2.2 37
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 182 95.9 15.9 -0.1 -1 10.3 1.0 11
2019 Sinker TEX R 33 95.2 21.7 -0.3 -1 15.2 -0.6 -4
2017 Changeup NYM R 419 88.0 26.6 -2.7 -9 16.8 1.6 10
2017 Slider NYM R 551 83.8 39.2 1.7 4 4.7 -0.1 -1
2017 Sinker NYM R 429 93.1 21.4 -1.0 -4 16.2 0.9 6
2017 4-Seamer NYM R 815 93.9 14.9 0.5 3 8.4 -0.8 -9
2016 Changeup NYM R 80 85.8 26.4 -5.0 -16 13.3 -0.9 -7
2016 Sinker NYM R 77 92.6 18.4 -3.6 -16 13.1 -1.3 -9
2016 Slider NYM R 78 83.7 36.3 0.0 0 9.6 3.9 69
2016 4-Seamer NYM R 138 93.5 14.9 0.9 5 6.3 -1.9 -23
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.4 -1 171 46.2 34 .207 .448 .337 37.3 35.3 21.1 .156 .268 .256 47.1
2023 Changeup 1.9 2 89 24.1 28 .375 .458 .389 35.0 21.4 22.2 .257 .306 .295 31.6
2023 Sinker 7.0 5 67 18.1 26 .400 .680 .469 15.9 15.4 23.5 .311 .568 .386 38.1
2023 Slider 2.1 1 43 11.6 8 .429 .571 .581 27.8 25.0 13.3 .351 .414 .381 60.0
2022 4-Seamer -0.4 -2 498 45.6 111 .191 .298 .290 35.1 35.1 25.3 .187 .271 .271 39.3
2022 Sinker -1.3 -3 250 22.9 72 .250 .309 .309 19.7 16.7 20.7 .260 .333 .284 21.4
2022 Changeup -2.9 -6 212 19.4 64 .133 .183 .163 23.6 26.6 19.1 .191 .283 .233 36.4
2022 Slider -0.4 -1 133 12.2 21 .190 .238 .188 26.3 23.8 10.9 .135 .265 .170 37.5
2021 4-Seamer 2.5 8 309 35.4 75 .270 .429 .367 26.6 22.7 15.2 .212 .344 .302 31.9
2021 Sinker 0.0 0 226 25.9 70 .354 .400 .356 14.6 11.4 18.6 .279 .350 .300 29.3
2021 Slider 0.4 1 170 19.5 34 .276 .483 .363 30.0 20.6 14.3 .173 .294 .280 45.8
2021 Changeup 0.8 1 167 19.2 45 .262 .405 .314 24.1 22.2 15.4 .225 .298 .258 37.5
2020 4-Seamer -0.6 -1 138 47.8 28 .200 .480 .311 26.7 35.7 21.7 .221 .463 .314 56.3
2020 Sinker 0.9 1 70 24.2 20 .176 .412 .313 21.2 25.0 27.8 .221 .458 .347 50.0
2020 Changeup 2.2 1 60 20.8 18 .200 .267 .286 29.0 16.7 11.1 .283 .422 .366 33.3
2020 Slider -0.4 0 21 7.3 6 .167 .167 .150 12.5 16.7 12.5 .272 .712 .405 20.0
2019 4-Seamer -0.3 0 182 39.7 36 .229 .686 .381 20.3 25.0 18.4 .282 .728 .415 53.8
2019 Changeup -4.1 -7 181 39.4 50 .152 .174 .189 39.4 38.0 31.1 .184 .300 .245 14.8
2019 Slider 3.0 2 63 13.7 16 .400 .600 .450 38.5 31.3 35.7 .327 .506 .368 40.0
2019 Sinker -2.9 -1 33 7.2 11 .200 .200 .227 6.3 9.1 14.3 .142 .170 .186 0.0
2017 4-Seamer 1.3 10 815 36.7 186 .338 .487 .399 17.9 19.9 15.7 .278 .428 .362 31.7
2017 Slider -0.9 -5 551 24.8 138 .239 .402 .316 34.0 28.3 21.8 .223 .367 .297 22.9
2017 Sinker -0.5 -2 429 19.3 90 .351 .468 .385 15.7 6.7 6.1 .290 .398 .332 23.7
2017 Changeup 1.2 5 419 18.9 129 .295 .375 .363 29.4 24.8 19.2 .213 .289 .274 19.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 59 89.1 88 17.0 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 136 95.8 91 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 68 94.7 86 18.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 Slider 21 85.7 33 8.8 9:15 9:15 0
2021 Changeup 159 89.8 89 17.2 1:45 2:45 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 304 95.8 87 16.6 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Sinker 223 95.1 84 18.1 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 166 85.7 31 8.3 9:30 9:30 0
2022 Changeup 207 91.1 93 18.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 488 96.4 88 18.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 247 95.9 85 18.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2022 Slider 130 87.9 27 7.4 10:15 9:30 45
2023 Changeup 86 91.2 92 18.1 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 165 96.1 89 17.8 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 65 95.5 85 18.9 1:15 2:15 -60
2023 Slider 43 88.4 29 7.8 11:00 10:00 60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 194 836 0 -6 5 3 2
2015 43 180 1 -4 2 2 0
2016 92 384 -1 1 3 2 6
2017 544 2,215 -6 -14 20 9 9
2019 113 459 -5 -3 0 1 -7
2020 72 289 -2 0 2 2 1
2021 224 872 -2 -2 9 4 10
2022 307 1,264 -9 -18 9 3 -14
2023 96 370 0 2 4 0 7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 192 37.0 74.6 81.1 33.1 70.0 40.6 50.0 48.4 21.5 5.2 90.0
2016 388 39.9 63.9 77.8 22.3 69.2 42.5 60.2 38.9 24.5 5.2 70.0
2017 2,219 46.4 66.4 78.9 27.7 64.7 45.4 63.7 45.6 23.9 5.7 72.4
2019 459 44.7 65.4 79.1 31.9 55.6 45.5 65.5 46.8 29.8 5.9 92.6
2020 289 51.9 69.3 76.9 20.1 67.9 50.9 65.3 45.7 25.0 4.2 75.0
2021 872 47.6 72.3 81.3 30.6 65.7 45.8 64.4 50.5 23.2 7.0 83.6
2022 1,093 44.6 65.2 73.9 30.6 67.6 48.4 61.9 46.0 28.2 6.3 76.8
2023 370 45.1 72.5 76.9 31.5 54.7 48.1 66.7 50.0 30.8 4.6 76.5
Player 5,882 45.6 67.6 78.2 28.7 64.5 46.1 63.2 46.4 25.5 5.8 77.6
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 48 85 33
2016 56 73 47
2017 40 45 69 82 14 47 84 96 96 41 6 48 54 64 63 48
2019 86 51 35
2020 85 48 31
2021 75 60 88 95 58 90 89 87 83 17 60 27 76 83 48 39
2022 90 85 94 96 80 97 99 91 88 75 40 70 62 87 65 31
2023 54 47 61 71 42 76 82 70 43 63 28 82 78 86 64 35
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.1 4 3.2 1 3 3 1 25.0
2017 21.5 12 12.7 -1 10 10 4 33.3
2019 23.9 5 4.4 1 4 2 2 40.0
2020 23.4 2 2.5 -1 0 3 1 50.0
2021 24.1 4 5.3 -1 2 6 1 25.0
2022 24.8 4 2.9 1 7 2 1 25.0
2023 24.0 3 2.7 0 0 3 1 33.3
Player 23.0 34 33.7 0 26 29 11 32.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 4 4 1 5 3 3 3 4 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 6 4 3 4 3 5 4 4 3
2017 12 12 12 13 14 14 14 13 10 10 13 20 9 11 14 13 10 12 12 13 11 13 15 13 11 12 12 17 13 13 11
2019 5 7 2 4 4 5 5 7 3 2 4 4 6 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 6 4 6 5 6 4 3 4 7 4 2
2020 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 1 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 2 3 2 4 2 1
2021 4 7 5 5 6 4 7 5 3 4 4 6 5 4 6 4 4 5 7 6 5 5 8 4 5 5 7 6 5 4 7
2022 4 1 4 4 2 3 4 2 1 1 1 5 5 3 1 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 5 3 3 2 4 6 4 3 2
2023 3 4 2 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 4 1 2 2 4 3 3 2
Player 34 38 28 36 35 35 37 36 23 23 27 43 34 28 34 34 30 32 32 35 35 32 48 36 31 31 34 44 40 33 28
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 93.1 0.7 ↑ -- 0.5 ↑ -- -- 95.8 -- 95.4 -0.4 ↓ 95.5 0.1 ↑ 96.2 0.7 ↑ 95.9 -0.3 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 85.8 1.1 ↑ -- 2.2 ↑ -- -- 89.9 -- 89.1 -0.8 ↓ 89.7 0.6 ↑ 91.1 1.4 ↑ 91.2 0.1 ↑
Breaking Velocity 81.2 83.7 2.5 ↑ -- 0.1 ↑ -- -- 85.1 -- 85.7 0.6 ↑ 85.7 0.0 87.9 2.2 ↑ 88.4 0.5 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.1 86.5 -1.6 ↓ -- -1.9 ↓ -- -- 87.3 -- 88.2 0.9 ↑ 86.7 -1.5 ↓ 86.3 -0.4 ↓ 87.8 1.5 ↑
Launch Angle 5.0 13.5 8.5 ↑ -- -3.1 ↓ -- -- 13.7 -- 23.0 9.3 ↑ 5.9 -17.1 ↓ 7.9 2.0 ↑ 12.3 4.4 ↑
Barrel % 3.6 7.0 3.4 ↑ -- -2.9 ↓ -- -- 13.9 -- 15.6 1.7 ↑ 5.0 -10.6 ↓ 2.9 -2.1 ↓ 4.8 1.9 ↑
Hard Hit % 28.6 31.6 3.0 ↑ -- -6.3 ↓ -- -- 30.6 -- 44.4 13.8 ↑ 34.2 -10.2 ↓ 32.6 -1.6 ↓ 40.3 7.7 ↑
Sweet Spot % 28.6 36.8 8.2 ↑ -- -6.0 ↓ -- -- 34.7 -- 44.4 9.7 ↑ 29.8 -14.6 ↓ 29.7 -0.1 ↓ 30.6 0.9 ↑
xBA .181 .291 0.110 ↑ -- -0.041 ↓ -- -- .233 -- .241 0.008 ↑ .231 -0.010 ↓ .204 -0.027 ↓ .246 0.042 ↑
BA .225 .299 0.074 ↑ -- 0.007 ↑ -- -- .217 -- .190 -0.027 ↓ .296 0.106 ↑ .193 -0.103 ↓ .329 0.136 ↑
xwOBA .220 .391 0.171 ↑ -- -0.071 ↓ -- -- .311 -- .339 0.028 ↑ .289 -0.050 ↓ .257 -0.032 ↓ .313 0.056 ↑
wOBA .265 .408 0.143 ↑ -- -0.049 ↓ -- -- .283 -- .283 0.000 .340 0.057 ↑ .241 -0.099 ↓ .396 0.155 ↑
xSLG .272 .487 0.215 ↑ -- -0.113 ↓ -- -- .458 -- .475 0.017 ↑ .329 -0.146 ↓ .291 -0.038 ↓ .379 0.088 ↑
SLG .350 .545 0.195 ↑ -- -0.107 ↓ -- -- .406 -- .381 -0.025 ↓ .422 0.041 ↑ .267 -0.155 ↓ .529 0.262 ↑
K% 28.3 21.5 -6.8 ↓ -- -0.8 ↓ -- -- 30.1 -- 26.4 -3.7 ↓ 18.7 -7.7 ↓ 27.0 8.3 ↑ 25.0 -2.0 ↓
BB% 10.9 17.2 6.3 ↑ -- -5.0 ↓ -- -- 4.4 -- 8.3 3.9 ↑ 7.6 -0.7 ↓ 8.5 0.9 ↑ 10.4 1.9 ↑
Swing % 48.4 38.9 -9.5 ↓ -- 6.7 ↑ -- -- 46.8 -- 45.7 -1.1 ↓ 50.5 4.8 ↑ 46.0 -4.5 ↓ 50.0 4.0 ↑
Whiff% 21.5 24.5 3.0 ↑ -- -0.6 ↓ -- -- 29.8 -- 25.0 -4.8 ↓ 23.2 -1.8 ↓ 28.2 5.0 ↑ 30.8 2.6 ↑
In Zone % 37.0 39.9 2.9 ↑ -- 6.5 ↑ -- -- 44.7 -- 51.9 7.2 ↑ 47.6 -4.3 ↓ 44.6 -3.0 ↓ 45.1 0.5 ↑
Out of Zone % 63.0 60.1 -2.9 ↓ -- -6.5 ↓ -- -- 55.3 -- 48.1 -7.2 ↓ 52.4 4.3 ↑ 55.4 3.0 ↑ 54.9 -0.5 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 33.1 22.3 -10.8 ↓ -- 5.4 ↑ -- -- 31.9 -- 20.1 -11.8 ↓ 30.6 10.5 ↑ 30.6 0.0 31.5 0.9 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 26.9 3.0 ↑ -- 5.2 ↑ -- -- 30.1 -- 22.2 -7.9 ↓ 38.2 16.0 ↑ 30.7 -7.5 ↓ 40.6 9.9 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 50.0 60.2 10.2 ↑ -- 3.5 ↑ -- -- 65.5 -- 65.3 -0.2 ↓ 64.4 -0.9 ↓ 61.9 -2.5 ↓ 66.7 4.8 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 89 .403 52 0 0.0 37 4 10.8
2017 543 .356 278 8 2.9 265 30 11.3
2019 113 .283 57 13 22.8 56 30 53.6
2020 71 .287 37 5 13.5 34 14 41.2
2021 224 .340 136 38 27.9 88 53 60.2
2022 264 .241 135 38 28.1 129 99 76.7
2023 96 .396 54 0 0.0 42 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo