Rafael Montero
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 190LBS | Age: 31

Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 0 1.88 30 0 4 28.2 30 1.01
8 Seasons 16 21 4.88 171 30 19 317.0 314 1.51
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 30 3-0 1.88 28.2 30 1.01
8 Seasons 171 16-21 4.88 317.0 314 1.51

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 24 192 28 1 3.6 2.2 88.1 112.0 5.0 28.6 .181 .272 .265 .220 .294 28.6 28.3 10.9 4.50 1.97
2016 25 388 57 4 7 4.3 86.5 111.9 13.5 36.8 .291 .487 .408 .391 .454 31.6 21.5 17.2 8.05 6.91
2017 26 2219 364 15 4.1 2.7 84.6 110.7 10.4 30.8 .250 .374 .359 .320 .352 25.3 20.7 12.2 5.52 4.42
2019 28 459 72 10 13.9 8.8 87.3 114.0 13.7 34.7 .233 .458 .283 .311 .420 30.6 30.1 4.4 2.48 4.26
2020 29 289 45 7 15.6 9.7 88.2 112.0 23.0 44.4 .241 .475 .283 .339 .428 44.4 26.4 8.3 4.08 4.96
2021 30 872 161 8 5 3.6 86.7 110.5 5.9 29.8 .231 .329 .340 .289 .311 34.2 18.7 7.6 6.38 3.50
2022 31 452 73 2 2.7 1.8 89.3 109.9 7.5 28.8 .234 .341 .233 .280 .345 38.4 26.8 8.0 1.88 2.84
Player 4871 800 47 5.9 3.9 86.2 114.0 10.3 31.9 .243 .381 .332 .312 .359 30.4 22.5 10.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Montero relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(49.8%) ,
Sinker
(22.1%) ,
Changeup
(14.2%) ,
Slider
(13.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 50.0 25.0 21.4 3.6 42.9 35.7 21.4 7.1 42.9 17.9 21.4 3.6 3.6 2.2
2016 36.8 24.6 36.8 1.8 36.8 26.3 36.8 3.5 24.6 19.3 31.6 7.0 7.0 4.3
2017 49.7 20.6 23.1 6.6 33.5 40.9 25.5 6.9 34.6 21.2 25.0 4.9 4.1 2.7
2019 40.3 27.8 26.4 5.6 36.1 34.7 29.2 5.6 31.9 26.4 20.8 1.4 13.9 8.8
2020 28.9 28.9 28.9 13.3 33.3 42.2 24.4 11.1 15.6 28.9 24.4 4.4 15.6 9.7
2021 55.9 19.3 19.9 5.0 42.2 36.6 21.1 5.6 41.6 19.3 23.6 5.0 5.0 3.6
2022 53.4 19.2 23.3 4.1 37.0 32.9 30.1 5.5 37.0 19.2 28.8 6.8 2.7 1.8
Player 48.4 21.8 24.0 5.9 36.4 37.6 26.0 6.4 34.5 21.3 25.0 4.9 5.9 3.9
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider HOU R 63 87.7 32.8 -1.0 -3 6.4 1.4 29
2022 Changeup HOU R 64 90.5 28.7 -0.8 -3 16.7 1.5 10
2022 4-Seamer HOU R 225 96.3 14.5 0.4 3 9.2 -0.1 -1
2022 Sinker HOU R 100 95.7 21.9 -0.8 -3 16.3 0.3 2
2021 Changeup HOU R 167 89.7 29.6 -1.6 -5 15.9 -0.2 -1
2021 4-Seamer HOU R 309 95.8 15.6 0.0 0 9.0 -0.4 -4
2021 Sinker HOU R 226 95.1 21.8 -0.5 -2 15.7 0.4 3
2021 Slider HOU R 169 85.7 34.2 -1.7 -5 7.2 0.1 2
2020 Changeup TEX R 60 89.1 28.5 -2.0 -7 15.5 0.5 3
2020 Sinker TEX R 70 94.7 20.8 -0.8 -4 15.4 0.2 1
2020 Slider TEX R 21 85.7 34.9 -0.8 -2 7.6 2.4 46
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 138 95.8 14.7 0.3 2 8.6 0.0 0
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 182 95.9 15.9 -0.1 -1 10.3 1.0 11
2019 Changeup TEX R 181 89.9 28.9 -0.7 -2 16.3 0.3 2
2019 Sinker TEX R 33 95.2 21.7 -0.3 -1 15.2 -0.6 -4
2019 Slider TEX R 63 85.1 37.5 0.5 1 8.0 1.5 23
2017 Changeup NYM R 419 88.0 26.6 -2.6 -9 16.8 1.6 11
2017 Slider NYM R 551 83.8 39.2 1.7 5 4.7 -0.7 -13
2017 Sinker NYM R 429 93.1 21.4 -1.0 -4 16.2 0.9 6
2017 4-Seamer NYM R 815 93.9 14.9 0.5 4 8.4 -0.8 -9
2016 4-Seamer NYM R 138 93.5 14.9 0.9 6 8.0 -1.5 -16
2016 Sinker NYM R 77 92.6 18.4 -3.6 -16 14.2 -1.0 -7
2016 Changeup NYM R 80 85.8 26.4 -5.0 -16 14.5 -0.4 -3
2016 Slider NYM R 78 83.7 36.3 -0.2 0 6.8 3.1 85
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -2.1 -5 225 49.8 60 .140 .220 .238 32.2 35.0 29.2 .189 .314 .285 40.0
2022 Sinker -1.1 -1 100 22.1 27 .259 .259 .333 10.4 14.8 21.1 .329 .442 .330 34.8
2022 Changeup -3.2 -2 64 14.2 19 .263 .263 .237 18.5 21.1 14.3 .259 .315 .247 46.7
2022 Slider 0.0 0 63 13.9 6 .167 .333 .208 22.2 16.7 6.7 .099 .184 .115 20.0
2021 4-Seamer 2.5 8 309 35.4 75 .270 .429 .367 26.6 22.7 15.2 .212 .344 .302 31.9
2021 Sinker 0.1 0 226 25.9 70 .354 .400 .356 14.6 11.4 18.6 .279 .350 .300 29.3
2021 Slider 0.4 1 170 19.5 34 .276 .483 .363 30.0 20.6 14.3 .173 .294 .280 45.8
2021 Changeup 0.8 1 167 19.2 45 .262 .405 .314 24.1 22.2 15.4 .225 .297 .258 37.5
2020 4-Seamer -0.6 -1 138 47.8 28 .200 .480 .311 26.7 35.7 21.7 .221 .463 .314 56.3
2020 Sinker 0.9 1 70 24.2 20 .176 .412 .313 21.2 25.0 27.8 .221 .458 .347 50.0
2020 Changeup 2.2 1 60 20.8 18 .200 .267 .286 29.0 16.7 11.1 .283 .422 .366 33.3
2020 Slider -0.4 0 21 7.3 6 .167 .167 .150 12.5 16.7 12.5 .272 .712 .405 20.0
2019 4-Seamer -0.3 0 182 39.7 36 .229 .686 .381 20.3 25.0 18.4 .283 .728 .415 53.8
2019 Changeup -4.1 -7 181 39.4 50 .152 .174 .189 39.4 38.0 31.1 .184 .300 .245 14.8
2019 Slider 3.0 2 63 13.7 16 .400 .600 .450 38.5 31.3 35.7 .327 .506 .368 40.0
2019 Sinker -2.9 -1 33 7.2 11 .200 .200 .227 6.3 9.1 14.3 .142 .170 .186 0.0
2017 4-Seamer 1.3 10 815 36.7 186 .338 .487 .399 17.9 19.9 15.7 .278 .428 .362 31.7
2017 Slider -0.9 -5 551 24.8 138 .239 .402 .316 34.0 28.3 21.8 .223 .367 .297 22.9
2017 Sinker -0.5 -2 429 19.3 90 .351 .468 .385 15.7 6.7 6.1 .290 .398 .332 23.7
2017 Changeup 1.2 5 419 18.9 129 .295 .375 .363 29.4 24.8 19.2 .213 .289 .274 19.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 59 89.1 88 17.0 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 136 95.8 91 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 68 94.7 86 18.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 Slider 21 85.7 33 8.8 9:15 9:15 0
2021 Changeup 159 89.8 89 17.2 1:45 2:45 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 304 95.8 87 16.6 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Sinker 223 95.1 84 18.1 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 166 85.7 31 8.3 9:30 9:30 0
2022 Changeup 62 90.5 93 18.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 215 96.3 88 17.5 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Sinker 99 95.7 85 18.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2022 Slider 61 87.7 26 7.9 10:15 9:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 194 836 0 -6 5 3 2
2015 43 180 1 -4 2 2 0
2016 92 384 -1 1 3 2 6
2017 544 2,215 -6 -14 19 9 9
2019 113 459 -5 -3 0 1 -7
2020 72 289 -2 0 2 2 1
2021 224 872 -2 -2 9 4 10
2022 112 452 -4 -7 2 1 -8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 192 37.0 74.6 81.1 33.1 70.0 40.6 50.0 48.4 21.5 5.2 90.0
2016 388 39.7 64.3 77.8 22.2 69.2 42.5 60.2 38.9 24.5 5.2 70.0
2017 2,219 46.5 66.4 78.8 27.6 64.8 45.5 63.7 45.6 23.9 5.7 72.4
2019 459 44.9 65.5 79.3 31.6 55.0 45.3 65.5 46.8 29.8 5.9 92.6
2020 289 52.2 68.9 76.9 20.3 67.9 50.9 65.3 45.7 25.0 4.2 75.0
2021 872 47.9 72.5 81.5 30.2 65.0 45.8 64.4 50.5 23.2 7.1 83.9
2022 452 48.2 65.6 76.2 29.1 72.1 48.2 63.4 46.7 24.6 7.1 81.3
Player 4,871 46.2 67.7 79.0 27.9 65.2 45.7 63.3 46.3 24.4 6.0 78.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 48 85
2016 56 73
2017 40 45 69 82 14 47 84 96 96 41 6 48 40 64 63
2019 86 51
2020 85 48
2021 75 60 88 95 58 90 89 87 83 17 60 27 75 83 48
2022 86 67 88 92 74 93 95 35 50 76 50 44 86 86 54
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.1 4 3.3 1 2 3 1 25.0
2017 21.5 12 12.1 0 13 9 4 33.3
2019 23.9 5 4.2 1 4 2 2 40.0
2020 23.4 2 2.6 -1 1 2 1 50.0
2021 24.1 4 5.6 -2 2 5 2 50.0
2022 20.6 1 0.9 0 3 1 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 4 3 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 5 4 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 5 2 3 3 4 3 4 4 2 3 5
2017 12 10 21 10 13 11 13 11 13 12 12 11 10 9 13 13 12 12 10 13 17 9 11 12 11 12 12 11 13 9 16
2019 5 6 4 3 4 5 4 7 4 2 4 6 2 3 4 4 3 7 3 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 5 4 4 4 6
2020 2 3 2 2 2 3 0 3 2 3 2 3 2 1 2 2 3 4 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 2 4
2021 4 5 7 4 6 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 4 3 5 7 7 5 7 5 6 5 5 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 8
2022 1 1 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 93.1 0.7 0.5 95.8 95.4 -0.4 95.5 0.1 96.1 0.6
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 85.8 1.1 2.2 89.9 89.1 -0.8 89.7 0.6 90.5 0.8
Breaking Velocity 81.2 83.7 2.5 0.1 85.1 85.7 0.6 85.7 0 87.7 2
Exit Velocity 88.1 86.5 -1.6 -1.9 87.3 88.2 0.9 86.7 -1.5 89.3 2.6
Launch Angle 5 13.5 8.5 -3.1 13.7 23 9.3 5.9 -17.1 7.5 1.6
Barrel % 3.6 7 3.4 -2.9 13.9 15.6 1.7 5 -10.6 2.7 -2.3
Hard Hit % 28.6 31.6 3 -6.3 30.6 44.4 13.8 34.2 -10.2 38.4 4.2
Sweet Spot % 28.6 36.8 8.2 -6 34.7 44.4 9.7 29.8 -14.6 28.8 -1
xBA .181 .291 0.11 -0.041 .233 .241 0.008 .231 -0.01 .234 0.003
BA .225 .299 0.074 0.007 .217 .19 -0.027 .296 0.106 .196 -0.1
xwOBA .22 .391 0.171 -0.071 .311 .339 0.028 .289 -0.05 .28 -0.009
wOBA .265 .408 0.143 -0.049 .283 .283 0 .34 0.057 .233 -0.107
xSLG .272 .487 0.215 -0.113 .458 .475 0.017 .329 -0.146 .341 0.012
SLG .35 .545 0.195 -0.107 .406 .381 -0.025 .422 0.041 .245 -0.177
K% 28.3 21.5 -6.8 -0.8 30.1 26.4 -3.7 18.7 -7.7 26.8 8.1
BB% 10.9 17.2 6.3 -5 4.4 8.3 3.9 7.6 -0.7 8 0.4
Swing % 48.4 38.9 -9.5 6.7 46.8 45.7 -1.1 50.5 4.8 46.7 -3.8
Whiff% 21.5 24.5 3 -0.6 29.8 25 -4.8 23.2 -1.8 24.6 1.4
In Zone % 37 39.7 2.7 6.8 44.9 52.2 7.3 47.9 -4.3 48.2 0.3
Out of Zone % 63 60.3 -2.7 -6.8 55.1 47.8 -7.3 52.1 4.3 51.8 -0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 33.1 22.2 -10.9 5.4 31.6 20.3 -11.3 30.2 9.9 29.1 -1.1
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 26.9 3 5.2 30.1 22.2 -7.9 38.2 16 28.6 -9.6
First Pitch Strike % 50 60.2 10.2 3.5 65.5 65.3 -0.2 64.4 -0.9 63.4 -1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 89 .403 52 0 0.0 37 4 10.8
2017 543 .356 278 8 2.9 265 30 11.3
2019 113 .283 57 13 22.8 56 30 53.6
2020 71 .287 37 5 13.5 34 14 41.2
2021 224 .340 136 38 27.9 88 53 60.2
2022 112 .233 56 14 25.0 56 40 71.4

Pitch Tempo