Rafael Montero
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 193LBS | Age: 33
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 2 2.37 71 0 14 68.1 73 1.02
2023 3 3 5.08 68 0 1 67.1 79 1.53
2024 0 1 3.32 22 0 0 21.2 13 1.06
10 Seasons 21 27 4.64 302 30 30 445.2 449 1.45
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 71 5-2 2.37 68.1 73 1.02
2023 68 3-3 5.08 67.1 79 1.53
2024 22 0-1 3.32 21.2 13 1.06
10 Seasons 302 21-27 4.64 445.2 449 1.45
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 24 192 28 1 3.6 2.2 88.1 112.0 5.0 28.6 .181 .272 .265 .220 .294 28.6 28.3 10.9 4.50 1.97
2016 25 388 57 4 7.0 4.3 86.5 111.9 13.5 36.8 .291 .487 .408 .391 .454 31.6 21.5 17.2 8.05 6.91
2017 26 2219 364 15 4.1 2.7 84.6 110.7 10.4 30.8 .250 .374 .359 .320 .352 25.3 20.7 12.2 5.52 4.42
2019 28 459 72 10 13.9 8.8 87.3 114.0 13.7 34.7 .233 .458 .283 .311 .420 30.6 30.1 4.4 2.48 4.26
2020 29 289 45 7 15.6 9.7 88.2 112.0 23.0 44.4 .241 .475 .283 .339 .428 44.4 26.4 8.3 4.08 4.96
2021 30 872 161 8 5.0 3.6 86.7 110.5 5.9 29.8 .231 .329 .340 .289 .311 34.2 18.7 7.6 6.38 3.50
2022 31 1093 172 5 2.9 1.9 86.3 109.9 7.9 29.7 .204 .291 .241 .257 .308 32.6 27.0 8.5 2.37 2.70
2023 32 1253 187 17 9.1 5.7 87.9 116.7 11.1 33.7 .246 .425 .359 .329 .405 41.7 26.5 9.7 5.08 4.61
2024 33 361 64 5 7.8 5.8 88.9 110.7 6.9 42.2 .269 .447 .323 .346 .365 35.9 15.1 7.0 3.32 4.80
Player 7126 1150 72 6.3 4.1 86.4 116.7 10.0 32.6 .239 .380 .329 .310 .360 32.3 23.2 9.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Montero relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(45.0%) ,
Changeup
(30.3%) ,
Sinker
(18.8%) ,
Slider
(5.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 50.0 25.0 21.4 3.6 42.9 35.7 21.4 7.1 42.9 17.9 21.4 3.6 3.6 2.2
2016 36.8 24.6 36.8 1.8 36.8 26.3 36.8 3.5 24.6 19.3 31.6 7.0 7.0 4.3
2017 49.7 20.6 23.1 6.6 33.5 40.9 25.5 6.9 34.6 21.2 25.0 4.9 4.1 2.7
2019 40.3 27.8 26.4 5.6 36.1 34.7 29.2 5.6 31.9 26.4 20.8 1.4 13.9 8.8
2020 28.9 28.9 28.9 13.3 33.3 42.2 24.4 11.1 15.6 28.9 24.4 4.4 15.6 9.7
2021 55.9 19.3 19.9 5.0 42.2 36.6 21.1 5.6 41.6 19.3 23.6 5.0 5.0 3.6
2022 52.9 18.0 23.3 5.8 37.2 34.3 28.5 7.0 37.2 21.5 25.6 5.8 2.9 1.9
2023 40.6 27.3 26.2 5.9 38.5 38.0 23.5 6.4 29.9 23.0 24.1 7.0 9.1 5.7
2024 43.8 21.9 32.8 1.6 39.1 34.4 26.6 3.1 34.4 25.0 23.4 6.3 7.8 5.8
Player 47.2 22.3 24.8 5.7 37.0 37.3 25.7 6.3 34.0 21.9 24.6 5.3 6.3 4.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Slider HOU R 21 86.2 35.3 -0.1 0 7.8 2.2 39
2024 Sinker HOU R 71 94.6 22.8 -1.9 -8 16.1 0.1 1
2024 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 161 95.3 14.6 1.3 8 11.0 1.4 14
2024 Changeup HOU R 108 91.0 28.0 -2.2 -7 17.1 1.0 6
2023 Changeup HOU R 279 91.5 27.1 -2.6 -9 16.4 0.5 3
2023 Sinker HOU R 183 95.5 21.6 -2.6 -11 16.2 0.2 1
2023 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 615 96.1 14.2 1.2 8 9.1 -0.3 -3
2023 Slider HOU R 176 88.3 30.9 -1.8 -6 5.3 0.6 14
2022 Changeup HOU R 212 91.1 27.5 -1.6 -6 16.9 0.7 5
2022 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 499 96.4 13.8 1.0 7 9.3 -0.1 -1
2022 Slider HOU R 133 87.9 32.6 -0.8 -3 6.0 1.6 38
2022 Sinker HOU R 249 95.9 21.4 -1.6 -7 16.2 0.2 1
2021 Sinker HOU R 226 95.1 21.8 -0.6 -3 15.7 0.4 2
2021 Changeup HOU R 167 89.7 29.6 -1.6 -5 15.9 -0.2 -1
2021 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 309 95.8 15.6 0.0 0 9.0 -0.4 -5
2021 Slider HOU R 169 85.7 34.2 -1.7 -5 7.2 0.6 8
2020 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 138 95.8 14.7 0.3 2 8.6 -0.1 -1
2020 Sinker TEX R 70 94.7 20.8 -1.0 -5 15.4 0.1 0
2020 Changeup TEX R 60 89.1 28.5 -2.0 -7 15.5 0.5 3
2020 Slider TEX R 21 85.7 34.9 -0.9 -2 7.6 2.6 53
2019 Slider TEX R 63 85.1 37.5 0.3 1 8.0 2.2 37
2019 Sinker TEX R 33 95.2 21.7 -0.3 -1 15.2 -0.6 -4
2019 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 182 95.9 15.9 -0.1 -1 10.3 1.0 11
2019 Changeup TEX R 181 89.9 28.9 -0.7 -2 16.3 0.3 2
2017 Slider NYM R 551 83.8 39.2 1.7 4 4.7 -0.1 -1
2017 Changeup NYM R 419 88.0 26.6 -2.7 -9 16.8 1.6 10
2017 Sinker NYM R 429 93.1 21.4 -1.0 -4 16.2 0.9 6
2017 4-Seam Fastball NYM R 815 93.9 14.9 0.5 3 8.4 -0.8 -9
2016 Sinker NYM R 77 92.6 23.2 -1.2 -5 13.1 -1.5 -10
2016 Changeup NYM R 80 85.8 30.1 -3.5 -10 13.3 -1.3 -9
2016 Slider NYM R 78 83.7 38.9 0.6 2 9.6 3.9 68
2016 4-Seam Fastball NYM R 138 93.5 17.7 -0.2 -1 6.3 -1.8 -23
2015 Changeup NYM R 17 84.7 27.1 -6.6 -20 9.8 -4.2 -30
2015 Sinker NYM R 44 91.6 24.0 -1.0 -4 14.0 -1.2 -8
2015 Slider NYM R 28 81.2 42.7 0.6 1 8.9 1.5 19
2015 4-Seam Fastball NYM R 87 92.8 15.8 1.9 11 6.4 -1.8 -22
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 1 161 44.6 23 .238 .524 .352 29.3 21.7 10.0 .276 .603 .394 56.3
2024 Changeup -0.2 0 108 29.9 32 .226 .419 .286 11.1 9.4 7.5 .303 .447 .333 25.0
2024 Sinker 4.3 3 71 19.7 27 .095 .095 .222 5.6 18.5 21.7 .150 .195 .272 25.0
2024 Slider -7.9 -2 21 5.8 4 .750 1.750 1.038 22.2 0.0 0.0 .590 .958 .654 75.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 2 615 49.1 127 .227 .427 .334 34.6 35.4 22.2 .217 .435 .330 49.2
2023 Changeup -1.2 -3 279 22.3 87 .299 .416 .357 29.2 20.7 17.1 .235 .315 .286 38.3
2023 Sinker -2.0 -4 183 14.6 55 .308 .596 .406 17.0 18.2 22.7 .290 .581 .384 35.7
2023 Slider -3.9 -7 176 14.0 29 .385 .654 .500 32.3 20.7 10.7 .316 .409 .354 40.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 2 499 45.7 111 .191 .298 .290 35.0 35.1 25.2 .187 .271 .271 39.3
2022 Sinker 1.4 3 249 22.8 72 .250 .309 .309 19.9 16.7 21.1 .260 .333 .284 21.4
2022 Changeup 2.9 6 212 19.4 64 .133 .183 .163 23.6 26.6 19.1 .191 .283 .233 36.4
2022 Slider 0.4 1 133 12.2 21 .190 .238 .188 26.3 23.8 10.9 .135 .265 .170 37.5
2021 4-Seam Fastball -2.5 -8 309 35.4 75 .270 .429 .367 26.6 22.7 15.2 .212 .344 .302 31.9
2021 Sinker 0.0 0 226 25.9 70 .354 .400 .356 14.6 11.4 18.6 .279 .350 .301 29.3
2021 Slider -0.4 -1 170 19.5 34 .276 .483 .363 30.0 20.6 14.3 .172 .293 .279 45.8
2021 Changeup -0.8 -1 167 19.2 45 .262 .405 .314 24.1 22.2 15.4 .225 .297 .258 37.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 1 138 47.8 28 .200 .480 .311 26.7 35.7 21.7 .221 .463 .314 56.3
2020 Sinker -0.9 -1 70 24.2 20 .176 .412 .313 21.2 25.0 27.8 .221 .458 .347 50.0
2020 Changeup -2.2 -1 60 20.8 18 .200 .267 .286 29.0 16.7 11.1 .283 .422 .366 33.3
2020 Slider 0.4 0 21 7.3 6 .167 .167 .150 12.5 16.7 12.5 .272 .711 .405 20.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 0 182 39.7 36 .229 .686 .381 20.3 25.0 18.4 .282 .728 .415 53.8
2019 Changeup 4.1 7 181 39.4 50 .152 .174 .189 39.4 38.0 31.1 .185 .301 .245 14.8
2019 Slider -3.0 -2 63 13.7 16 .400 .600 .450 38.5 31.3 35.7 .327 .506 .368 40.0
2019 Sinker 2.9 1 33 7.2 11 .200 .200 .227 6.3 9.1 14.3 .142 .170 .186 0.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -10 815 36.7 186 .338 .487 .399 17.9 19.9 15.7 .278 .428 .362 31.7
2017 Slider 0.8 4 551 24.8 138 .239 .402 .316 34.0 28.3 21.8 .223 .367 .297 22.9
2017 Sinker 0.5 2 429 19.3 90 .351 .468 .385 15.7 6.7 6.1 .290 .398 .332 23.7
2017 Changeup -1.2 -5 419 18.9 129 .295 .375 .363 29.4 24.8 19.2 .213 .288 .274 19.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 102 91.0 93 18.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 160 95.3 90 19.1 1:30 1:15 15
2024 Sinker 70 94.6 86 18.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 20 86.1 28 8.9 9:45 9:00 45
2023 Changeup 274 91.5 92 17.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 608 96.1 89 17.8 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 179 95.5 85 18.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2023 Slider 174 88.3 29 7.3 10:45 9:45 60
2022 Changeup 207 91.1 93 18.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 489 96.4 88 18.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 246 95.9 85 18.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2022 Slider 130 87.9 27 7.4 10:15 9:30 45
2021 Changeup 159 89.8 89 17.2 1:45 2:45 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 304 95.8 87 16.6 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Sinker 223 95.1 84 18.1 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 166 85.7 31 8.3 9:30 9:30 0
2020 Changeup 59 89.1 88 17.0 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 136 95.8 91 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 68 94.7 86 18.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2020 Slider 21 85.7 33 8.8 9:15 9:15 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 194 836 0 6 -5 -3 -2
2015 43 180 -1 4 -2 -2 0
2016 92 384 1 -1 -3 -2 -6
2017 544 2,215 6 14 -20 -9 -9
2019 113 459 5 3 0 -1 7
2020 72 289 2 0 -2 -2 -1
2021 224 872 2 2 -9 -4 -10
2022 307 1,264 9 18 -9 -3 14
2023 319 1,346 -3 7 -13 -4 -13
2024 80 340 4 3 -2 -1 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 192 37.0 74.6 81.1 33.1 70.0 40.6 50.0 48.4 21.5 5.2 90.0
2016 388 39.9 63.9 77.8 22.3 69.2 42.5 60.2 38.9 24.5 5.2 70.0
2017 2,219 46.4 66.4 78.9 27.7 64.7 45.4 63.7 45.6 23.9 5.7 72.4
2019 459 44.7 65.4 79.1 31.9 55.6 45.5 65.5 46.8 29.8 5.9 92.6
2020 289 51.9 69.3 76.9 20.1 67.9 50.9 65.3 45.7 25.0 4.2 75.0
2021 872 47.6 72.3 81.3 30.6 65.7 45.8 64.4 50.5 23.2 7.0 83.6
2022 1,093 44.6 65.2 73.9 30.6 67.6 48.4 61.9 46.0 28.2 6.3 76.8
2023 1,253 45.3 72.3 73.7 29.9 62.0 47.9 61.4 49.1 29.9 5.2 83.1
2024 361 42.9 71.6 85.6 30.6 74.6 47.9 57.0 48.2 18.4 5.3 89.5
Player 7,126 45.4 68.4 77.8 28.9 65.2 46.4 62.4 46.8 25.7 5.8 79.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 45 85 32
2016 52 74 46
2017 40 45 69 82 14 47 84 96 96 41 6 48 54 61 65 47
2019 85 52 34
2020 83 51 31
2021 75 60 87 95 58 90 89 87 83 17 60 27 76 81 50 39
2022 90 85 94 96 80 97 99 91 88 75 40 70 62 86 69 32
2023 32 46 32 31 39 52 29 73 31 74 31 77 63 83 73 34
2024 38 32 41 50 36 60 60 56 71 13 76 13 76 70 76 19
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.1 4 3.2 1 3 3 1 25.0
2017 21.5 12 12.7 -1 10 10 4 33.3
2019 23.9 5 4.4 1 4 2 2 40.0
2020 23.4 2 2.5 -1 0 3 1 50.0
2021 24.1 4 5.3 -1 2 5 2 50.0
2022 24.8 4 2.9 1 7 2 1 25.0
2023 23.7 11 13.3 -2 3 11 4 36.4
2024 23.8 4 3.2 1 0 3 1 25.0
Player 23.2 46 47.5 -2 29 39 16 34.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 4 4 1 5 3 3 3 4 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 6 4 3 4 3 5 4 4 3
2017 12 12 12 13 14 14 14 13 10 10 13 20 9 11 14 13 10 12 12 13 11 13 15 13 11 12 12 17 13 13 11
2019 5 7 2 4 4 5 5 7 3 2 4 4 6 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 6 4 6 5 6 4 3 4 7 4 2
2020 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 1 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 2 2 3 2 4 2 1
2021 4 7 5 5 6 5 7 5 3 4 4 6 5 4 6 4 4 5 7 6 5 5 8 4 5 5 7 6 5 4 7
2022 4 1 4 4 2 3 4 2 1 1 1 5 5 3 1 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 5 3 3 2 4 6 4 3 2
2023 11 13 9 14 14 12 14 14 10 11 13 12 11 13 15 16 16 13 15 15 14 13 16 16 13 11 13 14 15 13 10
2024 4 2 2 4 4 3 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 2 4 4 3 3 2 4 2 3 4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 2
Player 46 49 37 51 49 49 53 52 34 34 41 56 46 41 49 52 45 45 47 50 48 46 64 52 45 44 49 57 56 47 38
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 93.1 0.7 -- 0.5 -- -- 95.8 -- 95.4 -0.4 95.5 0.1 96.2 0.7 95.9 -0.3 95.1 -0.8
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 85.8 1.1 -- 2.2 -- -- 89.9 -- 89.1 -0.8 89.7 0.6 91.1 1.4 91.5 0.4 91.0 -0.5
Breaking Velocity 81.2 83.7 2.5 -- 0.1 -- -- 85.1 -- 85.7 0.6 85.7 0.0 87.9 2.2 88.3 0.4 86.2 -2.1
Exit Velocity 88.1 86.5 -1.6 -- -1.9 -- -- 87.3 -- 88.2 0.9 86.7 -1.5 86.3 -0.4 87.9 1.6 88.9 1.0
Launch Angle 5.0 13.5 8.5 -- -3.1 -- -- 13.7 -- 23.0 9.3 5.9 -17.1 7.9 2.0 11.1 3.2 6.9 -4.2
Barrel % 3.6 7.0 3.4 -- -2.9 -- -- 13.9 -- 15.6 1.7 5.0 -10.6 2.9 -2.1 9.1 6.2 7.8 -1.3
Hard Hit % 28.6 31.6 3.0 -- -6.3 -- -- 30.6 -- 44.4 13.8 34.2 -10.2 32.6 -1.6 41.7 9.1 35.9 -5.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 28.6 36.8 8.2 -- -6.0 -- -- 34.7 -- 44.4 9.7 29.8 -14.6 29.7 -0.1 33.7 4.0 42.2 8.5
xBA .181 .291 0.110 -- -0.041 -- -- .233 -- .241 0.008 .231 -0.010 .204 -0.027 .246 0.042 .269 0.023
BA .225 .299 0.074 -- 0.007 -- -- .217 -- .190 -0.027 .296 0.106 .193 -0.103 .279 0.086 .221 -0.058
xwOBA .220 .391 0.171 -- -0.071 -- --