Pavin Smith
OF | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #7, Arizona Diamondbacks | Virginia
PA AB R H HR SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 545 498 68 133 11 1 .267 .328 .404 .732
2022 277 245 24 54 9 1 .220 .300 .367 .667
2023 228 191 26 36 7 1 .188 .317 .325 .642
4 Seasons 1,094 971 125 233 28 4 .240 .319 .379 .698
AVG HR SB OPS
2021 .267 11 1 .732
2022 .220 9 1 .667
2023 .188 7 1 .642
4 Seasons .240 28 4 .698
MLB Percentile Rankings
Hits Spray Chart

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2020 24 159 31 2 6.5 4.5 86.6 104.8 8.1 32.3 .290 .436 .320 .357 .394 29.0 18.2 11.4
2021 25 2076 393 20 5.1 3.7 87.2 110.8 9.0 33.6 .258 .402 .318 .317 .359 42.7 19.4 7.7
2022 26 1109 181 18 9.9 6.5 87.9 109.2 15.2 28.7 .216 .379 .294 .304 .357 35.9 24.2 10.1
2023 27 923 146 11 7.5 4.8 89.9 110.7 13.8 34.9 .228 .391 .293 .330 .342 41.8 19.7 15.4
Player 4267 751 51 6.8 4.7 87.9 110.8 11.4 32.6 .243 .395 .307 .318 .356 40.3 20.7 10.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Sweeper, Slurve, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 45.2 12.9 29.0 12.9 38.7 35.5 25.8 9.7 32.3 16.1 29.0 6.5 6.5 4.5
2021 47.8 22.4 23.4 6.4 34.4 40.2 25.4 7.4 34.1 20.6 24.4 8.4 5.1 3.7
2022 43.6 29.8 17.7 8.8 38.1 35.4 26.5 5.0 30.9 29.3 21.5 3.3 9.9 6.5
2023 43.8 26.7 21.9 7.5 32.9 46.6 20.5 1.4 33.6 27.4 21.9 7.5 7.5 4.8
Player 45.9 24.6 22.0 7.5 35.2 40.1 24.8 5.7 33.2 23.8 23.4 6.9 6.8 4.7
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 294 31.9 72 .224 .379 .357 11.2 15.3 15.7 .246 .443 .369 57.4
2023 Slider -1.8 -3 143 15.5 35 .100 .133 .193 27.9 28.6 18.2 .168 .217 .243 35.0
2023 Sinker 3.1 4 136 14.7 40 .333 .667 .491 12.3 5.0 8.3 .310 .666 .479 42.9
2023 Changeup 0.8 1 123 13.3 25 .227 .273 .278 38.5 28.0 22.6 .273 .396 .338 20.0
2023 Cutter -5.6 -5 85 9.2 21 .056 .056 .143 25.6 19.0 18.2 .164 .187 .232 35.7
2023 Curveball 2.2 2 84 9.1 19 .211 .474 .284 18.8 31.6 23.1 .221 .442 .276 46.2
2023 Split-Finger -6.3 -2 30 3.3 11 .000 .000 .064 21.4 27.3 23.1 .143 .155 .182 14.3
2023 Sweeper -1.6 0 27 2.9 5 .000 .000 .140 27.3 40.0 33.3 .067 .077 .190 0.0
2023 Slurve 2.5 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 1 327 29.5 95 .241 .434 .351 10.3 16.8 17.4 .255 .476 .360 36.8
2022 Slider -0.3 -1 208 18.8 53 .170 .234 .236 32.9 41.5 29.7 .149 .232 .225 32.0
2022 Changeup -0.9 -1 150 13.5 28 .040 .160 .146 36.2 32.1 20.0 .125 .216 .207 31.3
2022 Sinker 3.7 5 141 12.7 38 .441 .706 .520 11.8 13.2 20.0 .316 .610 .410 56.7
2022 Curveball -1.5 -2 132 11.9 22 .053 .105 .193 31.7 36.4 20.0 .119 .150 .192 18.2
2022 Cutter -0.3 0 88 7.9 24 .333 .524 .381 17.0 16.7 17.4 .291 .476 .411 27.8
2022 Split-Finger -1.1 -1 48 4.3 13 .154 .154 .138 36.0 23.1 14.3 .151 .200 .154 30.0
2022 Sweeper -4.1 0 11 1.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .232 .290 .241 0.0
2022 Slurve -4.6 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -5 753 36.3 195 .253 .433 .332 8.3 11.3 12.4 .296 .504 .370 49.4
2021 Slider 0.1 0 360 17.3 94 .183 .305 .281 32.9 37.2 27.3 .191 .308 .280 39.6
2021 Sinker -0.7 -2 298 14.4 88 .329 .430 .370 9.9 15.9 23.0 .247 .374 .311 44.6
2021 Changeup 2.6 6 248 11.9 71 .328 .522 .396 25.5 14.1 16.1 .271 .389 .309 31.6
2021 Curveball -1.3 -3 240 11.6 45 .205 .227 .203 29.9 37.8 25.4 .209 .302 .229 44.4
2021 Cutter -0.5 -1 117 5.6 36 .242 .303 .278 12.5 13.9 17.2 .280 .364 .314 28.6
2021 Split-Finger 6.4 2 36 1.7 10 .600 .600 .540 27.8 20.0 14.3 .342 .371 .316 50.0
2021 Sweeper 6.3 1 18 0.9 5 .400 .800 .500 25.0 20.0 33.3 .135 .160 .126 25.0
2021 Slurve -0.5 0 6 0.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2020 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 1 71 44.7 20 .400 .733 .500 15.4 5.0 8.3 .443 .778 .552 46.7
2020 Curveball 1.8 0 21 13.2 4 .500 .500 .450 33.3 50.0 33.3 .269 .282 .242 0.0
2020 Slider -10.1 -2 20 12.6 7 .000 .000 .000 44.4 42.9 60.0 .049 .055 .046 0.0
2020 Changeup -0.1 0 20 12.6 5 .200 .200 .180 44.4 40.0 40.0 .224 .252 .213 0.0
2020 Sinker -5.6 -1 12 7.5 4 .000 .000 .175 20.0 0.0 -- .254 .281 .340 33.3
2020 Cutter -5.4 0 8 5.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .388 .409 .352 50.0
2020 Sweeper -4.9 0 4 2.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .140 .140 .126 0.0
2020 Split-Finger 6.3 0 3 1.9 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .130 .165 .127 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 44 159 -3 0 2 0 -1
2021 544 2,076 0 -22 13 9 0
2022 276 1,109 5 -19 10 4 1
2023 239 966 -5 -10 8 4 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 159 44.7 66.2 85.1 18.2 50.0 44.7 18.2 39.6 23.8 4.4 85.7
2021 2,076 51.4 59.5 90.7 23.8 61.3 44.6 22.6 42.1 17.3 7.9 78.0
2022 1,109 48.4 55.9 85.7 24.1 60.9 44.5 21.7 39.5 21.7 6.9 66.2
2023 923 49.2 58.1 89.8 23.2 56.0 44.3 19.3 40.4 20.1 7.8 76.4
Player 4,267 49.9 58.5 89.1 23.5 59.6 44.5 21.5 41.0 19.2 7.5 75.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 29.6 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2020 24 49
2021 35 59 36 29 44 30 20 16 76 63 63 33 90 75 41 30 64
2022 51 31 51
2023 65 21 74
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 -- 1 1.6 -1 0 1 1 100.0
2021 23.5 11 11.7 -1 3 8 6 54.5
2022 25.2 9 9.7 -1 2 3 8 88.9
2023 23.3 7 5.6 1 1 5 2 28.6
Player 23.9 28 28.6 -1 6 17 17 60.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1
2021 11 12 10 13 12 12 13 13 8 10 11 13 11 9 12 15 11 11 12 12 10 11 14 14 13 10 13 13 11 10 11
2022 9 9 11 10 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 10 12 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 10 11 13 9 9 9 9 11 11 10 11
2023 7 4 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 7 6 4 6 6 6 5 7 7 5 7 7 7 4 5 6 6 7 6 4
Player 28 27 26 30 28 29 30 29 22 25 26 31 31 24 29 32 28 27 30 30 27 30 36 32 28 26 29 31 31 28 27
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.2 0.6 87.9 0.7 89.9 2.0
Launch Angle 8.1 9.0 0.9 15.2 6.2 13.8 -1.4
Barrel % 6.5 5.1 -1.4 9.9 4.8 7.5 -2.4
Hard Hit % 29.0 42.7 13.7 35.9 -6.8 41.8 5.9
Sweet Spot % 32.3 33.6 1.3 28.7 -4.9 34.9 6.2
xBA .290 .258 -0.032 .216 -0.042 .228 0.012
BA .270 .267 -0.003 .220 -0.047 .188 -0.032
xwOBA .357 .317 -0.040 .304 -0.013 .330 0.026
wOBA .320 .318 -0.002 .294 -0.024 .293 -0.001
xSLG .436 .402 -0.034 .379 -0.023 .391 0.012
SLG .405 .404 -0.001 .367 -0.037 .325 -0.042
K% 18.2 19.4 1.2 24.2 4.8 19.7 -4.5
BB% 11.4 7.7 -3.7 10.1 2.4 15.4 5.3
Swing % 39.6 42.1 2.5 39.5 -2.6 40.4 0.9
Whiff% 23.8 17.3 -6.5 21.7 4.4 20.1 -1.6
In Zone % 44.7 51.4 6.7 48.4 -3.0 49.2 0.8
Out of Zone % 55.3 48.6 -6.7 51.6 3.0 50.8 -0.8
Out of Zone Swing % 18.2 23.8 5.6 24.1 0.3 23.2 -0.9
First Pitch Swing % 18.2 22.6 4.4 21.7 -0.9 19.3 -2.4
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 61.3 2.2 59.8 -1.5 55.3 -4.5
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

wOBA
SeasonAlignment TypeBat SidePAShifts/Shades%No Shift/ShadeShift/Shade
2020 Shifts L 44 17 38.6 .202 .509
2021 Shifts L 544 245 45.0 .350 .280
2022 Shifts L 276 162 58.7 .242 .331
2023 Shades L 226 65 28.8 .342 .178
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 52 15.4 46.2% 0.0% 28 22.8 0.0% 3.6%
2021 732 17.0 27.7% 2.3% 328 23.4 0.3% 13.1%
2022 387 16.8 30.7% 0.8% 186 21.9 1.6% 5.4%
2023 286 14.7 53.1% 0.0% 167 19.1 7.2% 0.0%
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Statcast Rankings