Pavin Smith
RF | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #7, Arizona Diamondbacks | Virginia
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 114 99 7 23 3 12 1 .232 .325 .374 .699
3 Seasons 703 634 82 166 15 65 3 .262 .329 .399 .728
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .232 3 12 1 .699
3 Seasons .262 15 65 3 .728

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Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2020 24 159 31 2 6.5 4.5 86.6 104.8 8.1 32.3 .290 .436 .320 .357 .394 29.0 18.2 11.4
2021 25 2076 393 20 5.1 3.7 87.2 110.8 9.0 33.6 .258 .403 .318 .317 .359 42.7 19.4 7.7
2022 26 425 67 11 16.4 10 91.0 109.2 12.0 29.9 .224 .461 .320 .350 .430 41.8 26.4 11.8
Player 2660 491 33 6.7 4.7 87.7 110.8 9.3 33.0 .255 .414 .319 .325 .371 41.8 20.5 8.6
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 169.8 12.1 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # % PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Whiff% PutAway%
2022 Fastballs 221 52.0 64 57 17 10 5 0 2 10 48 .298 .266 .491 .589 .373 .408 91.4 13 10.6 21.3
2022 Breaking 139 32.7 34 27 4 3 0 0 1 13 14 .148 .181 .259 .327 .286 .313 89.2 13 45.0 27.1
2022 Offspeed 65 15.3 12 11 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 .091 .113 .091 .123 .133 .151 92.1 3 60.7 28.6
2021 Fastballs 1,176 56.6 320 291 79 51 19 2 7 41 250 .271 .282 .423 .457 .330 .349 88.7 11 9.2 15.2
2021 Breaking 615 29.6 143 130 26 20 3 1 2 53 78 .200 .191 .285 .294 .246 .250 86.2 9 31.9 27.2
2021 Offspeed 285 13.7 81 77 28 20 5 1 2 12 65 .364 .280 .532 .387 .397 .309 82.2 1 25.8 15.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 45.2 12.9 29.0 12.9 38.7 35.5 25.8 9.7 32.3 16.1 29.0 6.5 6.5 4.5
2021 47.8 22.4 23.4 6.4 34.4 40.2 25.4 7.4 34.1 20.6 24.4 8.4 5.1 3.7
2022 50.7 28.4 14.9 6.0 41.8 34.3 23.9 3.0 37.3 20.9 20.9 1.5 16.4 10.0
Player 48.1 22.6 22.6 6.7 35.6 39.1 25.3 6.9 34.4 20.4 24.2 7.3 6.7 4.7
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.5 1 120 28.2 39 .278 .444 .340 6.1 17.9 25.9 .263 .601 .382 34.5
2022 Slider 0.3 0 94 22.1 25 .190 .333 .300 40.7 36.0 29.0 .206 .390 .322 41.7
2022 Sinker 5.1 4 69 16.2 14 .455 .818 .575 12.5 7.1 9.1 .383 .937 .576 70.0
2022 Changeup -2.0 -1 58 13.6 10 .000 .000 .070 63.6 50.0 29.4 .109 .118 .159 50.0
2022 Curveball 0.0 0 45 10.6 9 .000 .000 .233 53.8 44.4 23.5 .096 .106 .291 50.0
2022 Cutter -5.0 -2 32 7.5 11 .200 .300 .195 20.0 18.2 22.2 .149 .164 .289 33.3
2022 Splitter 5.7 0 7 1.6 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 25.0 .128 .148 .116 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.6 -5 734 35.4 191 .263 .446 .340 8.2 10.5 11.7 .300 .514 .374 50.3
2021 Slider 0.7 3 365 17.6 97 .198 .314 .284 32.7 36.1 28.0 .184 .291 .264 34.6
2021 Sinker -0.7 -2 318 15.3 92 .305 .402 .352 10.1 17.4 23.9 .242 .364 .308 42.4
2021 Changeup 2.6 7 251 12.1 72 .338 .529 .403 25.2 13.9 16.1 .274 .392 .311 32.8
2021 Curveball -1.4 -4 250 12.0 46 .205 .227 .214 30.3 39.1 25.7 .207 .300 .237 42.3
2021 Cutter -1.1 -1 124 6.0 37 .235 .353 .289 13.1 13.5 15.6 .290 .387 .324 37.9
2021 Splitter 6.6 2 34 1.6 9 .556 .556 .500 29.4 22.2 14.3 .323 .349 .299 42.9
2020 4-Seamer 1.5 1 68 42.8 19 .357 .714 .479 16.7 5.3 9.1 .406 .755 .533 50.0
2020 Slider -9.2 -2 24 15.1 8 .000 .000 .000 40.0 37.5 42.9 .060 .066 .056 0.0
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 21 13.2 5 .200 .200 .180 44.4 40.0 40.0 .224 .252 .213 0.0
2020 Curveball 1.8 0 21 13.2 4 .500 .500 .450 33.3 50.0 33.3 .269 .282 .242 0.0
2020 Sinker -1.5 0 15 9.4 5 .333 .333 .320 14.3 0.0 0.0 .491 .557 .455 25.0
2020 Cutter -5.4 0 8 5.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .388 .409 .352 50.0
2020 Splitter 8.0 0 2 1.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .130 .165 .127 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 44 159 -3 0 2 0 -1
2021 544 2,076 0 -22 13 9 0
2022 110 425 3 -8 5 2 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 159 44.7 66.2 85.1 18.2 50.0 44.7 18.2 39.6 23.8 4.4 85.7
2021 2,076 51.4 59.5 90.7 23.8 61.3 44.6 22.6 42.1 17.3 7.9 77.9
2022 425 48.9 51.9 78.7 20.7 51.1 43.5 18.2 36.0 28.8 8.7 56.8
Player 2,660 50.6 58.6 88.7 22.9 59.1 44.4 21.6 41.0 19.2 7.8 74.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 29.3 47.0 24.6 7.3 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2020 44
2021 35 58 36 30 43 30 20 16 63 63 33 90 38 17
2022 68 20 60 77 50 84 94 78 56 26 79 30 42 36
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 -- 1 1.7 -1.0 0 1 1 100.0
2021 23.5 11 13.1 -2.0 7 8 7 63.6
2022 24.8 3 5.0 -2.0 1 5 3 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 2 1 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
2021 11 13 15 11 16 13 13 15 11 13 14 15 8 13 12 15 10 14 14 14 9 13 12 14 12 15 14 10 17 12 16
2022 3 8 5 5 6 5 3 5 3 7 6 6 3 4 3 6 3 8 5 5 3 3 5 5 7 6 6 3 5 4 8
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.2 0.6 ↑ 91 3.8 ↑
Launch Angle 8.1 9 0.9 ↑ 12 3 ↑
Barrel % 6.5 5.1 -1.4 ↓ 16.4 11.3 ↑
Hard Hit % 29 42.7 13.7 ↑ 41.8 -0.9 ↓
Sweet Spot % 32.3 33.6 1.3 ↑ 29.9 -3.7 ↓
xBA .29 .258 -0.032 ↓ .224 -0.034 ↓
BA .27 .267 -0.003 ↓ .232 -0.035 ↓
xwOBA .357 .317 -0.04 ↓ .35 0.033 ↑
wOBA .32 .318 -0.002 ↓ .32 0.002 ↑
xSLG .436 .403 -0.033 ↓ .461 0.058 ↑
SLG .405 .404 -0.001 ↓ .379 -0.025 ↓
K% 18.2 19.4 1.2 ↑ 26.4 7 ↑
BB% 11.4 7.7 -3.7 ↓ 11.8 4.1 ↑
Swing % 39.6 42.1 2.5 ↑ 36 -6.1 ↓
Whiff% 23.8 17.3 -6.5 ↓ 28.8 11.5 ↑
In Zone % 44.7 51.4 6.7 ↑ 48.9 -2.5 ↓
Out of Zone % 55.3 48.6 -6.7 ↓ 51.1 2.5 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 18.2 23.8 5.6 ↑ 20.7 -3.1 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 18.2 22.6 4.4 ↑ 18.2 -4.4 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 61.3 2.2 ↑ 60.9 -0.4 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2020 L 44 11 25.0 .278 .446
2021 L 544 193 35.5 .347 .266
2022 L 110 51 46.4 .330 .307

Statcast Rankings