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Pavin Smith
RF | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #7, Arizona Diamondbacks | Virginia
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 379 346 47 93 9 32 1 .269 .330 .422 .752
2 Seasons 423 383 54 103 10 36 2 .269 .331 .420 .751
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2021 .269 9 32 1 .752
2 Seasons .269 10 36 2 .751

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Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2020 24 159 31 2 6.5 86.6 104.8 8.1 32.3 .290 .436 .320 .357 .394 29 18.2 11.4
2021 25 1422 277 17 6.1 86.8 110.8 8 35 .271 .435 .326 .337 .382 43.3 18.5 7.9
1581 308 19 6.2 86.8 110.8 8 34.7 .273 .435 .325 .339 .383 41.9 18.4 8.3
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.8 .243 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.5 22 8.4




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # % PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Fastballs 797 56.0 216 198 54 31 16 1 6 28 170 .273 .306 .455 .519 .340 .381 88.8 10 7.9 15.5
2021 Breaking 405 28.5 91 81 14 11 1 1 1 31 51 .173 .178 .247 .269 .229 .248 84.3 6 29.3 23.1
2021 Offspeed 220 15.5 71 67 25 19 3 1 2 11 56 .373 .282 .537 .390 .407 .317 82.4 1 27.5 20.4
2020 Fastballs 92 57.9 26 19 6 4 0 1 1 1 20 .316 .417 .579 .687 .406 .504 90.2 14 13.5 7.1
2020 Breaking 45 28.3 12 12 2 2 0 0 0 5 7 .167 .130 .167 .138 .147 .118 79.6 2 37.5 38.5
2020 Offspeed 22 13.8 6 6 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 .333 .209 .333 .238 .294 .199 81.0 -9 40.0 40.0


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2020 45.2 9.7 32.3 12.9 38.7 35.5 25.8 9.7 32.3 16.1 29 6.5 6.5
2021 48 20.9 23.8 7.2 34.3 40.4 25.3 8.7 34.3 18.1 24.5 8.3 6.1
47.7 19.8 24.7 7.8 34.7 39.9 25.3 8.8 34.1 17.9 25 8.1 6.2
45.2 22.3 25.5 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.7 33.3 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.6

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Splitter 9.8 2 23 1.6 8 .625 .625 .563 25 12.5 14.3 .365 .404 .352 42.9
2021 Curveball -1.3 -2 151 10.6 27 .2 .2 .219 31.6 33.3 20.9 .221 .34 .279 37.5
2021 Cutter -1.2 -1 76 5.3 28 .222 .407 .282 15 17.9 22.7 .327 .529 .376 45.5
2021 Sinker -0.9 -2 231 16.2 62 .315 .407 .366 9.4 14.5 19.6 .242 .386 .326 42.2
2021 Changeup 3.1 6 197 13.9 63 .339 .525 .407 27.8 15.9 21.3 .27 .388 .313 32.7
2021 Slider -0.7 -2 254 17.9 64 .161 .268 .237 28.4 34.4 24.2 .158 .237 .235 34.3
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -2 490 34.5 126 .265 .487 .345 5.9 11.1 12.4 .331 .578 .409 52.4
2020 Splitter 8 0 2 1.3 1 1 1 .9 0 0 .13 .165 .127 0
2020 Cutter -5.4 0 8 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .388 .409 .352 50
2020 Curveball 1.8 0 21 13.2 4 .5 .5 .45 33.3 50 33.3 .269 .282 .242 0
2020 Sinker -1.2 0 15 9.4 5 .333 .333 .32 14.3 0 0 .491 .557 .455 25
2020 Changeup 0.3 0 20 12.6 5 .2 .2 .18 44.4 40 40 .224 .252 .213 0
2020 Slider -9.1 -2 24 15.1 8 0 0 0 40 37.5 42.9 .06 .066 .056 0
2020 4-Seamer 1.4 1 69 43.4 19 .357 .714 .479 16.7 5.3 9.1 .405 .755 .533 50
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 44 159 -3 0 2 0 -1
2021 378 1422 3 -18 9 6 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 159 44.7 66.2 85.1 18.2 50 44.7 18.2 39.6 23.8 4.4 85.7
2021 1422 52 59.1 91.3 23.6 62.7 45.5 22.2 42.1 16.2 7.9 78.6
1581 51.2 59.8 90.7 23 61.6 45.4 21.7 41.8 16.9 7.5 79
48.5 66.7 82.1 28.3 58.6 42.6 29.1 46.9 24.5 7.2 75.9

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2020 44
2021 62 79 59 47 61 43 29 11 63 69 38 94 38 15
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 1 1.6 -1 0 1 1 100
2021 23.7 9 11.6 -3 4 6 7 77.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
2021 9 12 13 11 12 12 12 13 12 13 12 12 7 10 12 13 10 12 11 14 9 11 10 12 10 13 12 10 15 10 13
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Exit Velocity 86.6 86.8 0.2 ↑
Launch Angle 8.1 8 -0.1 ↓
Barrel % 6.5 6.1 -0.4 ↓
Hard Hit % 29 43.3 14.3 ↑
Sweet Spot % 32.3 35 2.7 ↑
xBA .29 .271 -0.019 ↓
BA .27 .269 -0.001 ↓
xwOBA .357 .337 -0.02 ↓
wOBA .32 .326 0.006 ↑
xSLG .436 .435 -0.001 ↓
SLG .405 .422 0.017 ↑
K% 18.2 18.5 0.3 ↑
BB% 11.4 7.9 -3.5 ↓
Swing % 39.6 42.1 2.5 ↑
Whiff% 23.8 16.2 -7.6 ↓
In Zone % 44.7 52 7.3 ↑
Out of Zone % 55.3 48 -7.3 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 18.2 23.6 5.4 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 18.2 22.2 4 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 59.6 0.5 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2020 L 44 11 25.0 .278 .446
2021 L 378 110 29.1 .344 .283

Statcast Rankings