Pavin Smith
RF | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #7, Arizona Diamondbacks | Virginia
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 240 213 20 44 9 31 1 .207 .288 .362 .650
3 Seasons 829 748 95 187 21 84 3 .250 .317 .392 .709
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .207 9 31 1 .650
3 Seasons .250 21 84 3 .709

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2020 24 159 31 2 6.5 4.5 86.6 104.8 8.1 32.3 .290 .436 .320 .357 .394 29.0 18.2 11.4
2021 25 2076 393 20 5.1 3.7 87.2 110.8 9.0 33.6 .258 .402 .318 .317 .359 42.7 19.4 7.7
2022 26 977 152 18 11.8 7.5 88.9 109.2 15.6 27.6 .222 .423 .287 .319 .393 36.8 26.3 10.0
Player 3212 576 40 6.9 4.8 87.6 110.8 10.7 31.9 .249 .410 .309 .320 .370 40.5 21.4 8.6
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 45.2 12.9 29.0 12.9 38.7 35.5 25.8 9.7 32.3 16.1 29.0 6.5 6.5 4.5
2021 47.8 22.4 23.4 6.4 34.4 40.2 25.4 7.4 34.1 20.6 24.4 8.4 5.1 3.7
2022 43.4 30.9 16.4 9.2 40.1 34.9 25.0 3.3 32.2 29.6 20.4 2.6 11.8 7.5
Player 46.5 24.1 21.9 7.5 36.1 38.5 25.3 6.4 33.5 22.7 23.6 6.8 6.9 4.8
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.4 1 291 29.8 86 .237 .434 .346 10.7 17.4 18.5 .257 .530 .369 37.1
2022 Slider 0.6 1 196 20.1 50 .182 .318 .272 33.3 42.0 28.4 .183 .350 .281 34.8
2022 Changeup 0.0 0 130 13.3 23 .050 .200 .178 36.0 30.4 17.1 .147 .265 .241 38.5
2022 Sinker 3.3 4 124 12.7 29 .385 .692 .514 11.9 17.2 18.5 .321 .746 .467 61.9
2022 Curveball -1.7 -2 113 11.6 19 .000 .000 .158 33.3 42.1 22.9 .124 .137 .205 25.0
2022 Cutter -3.2 -3 84 8.6 22 .286 .333 .261 17.8 22.7 25.0 .246 .279 .301 23.5
2022 Splitter -1.5 -1 36 3.7 9 .111 .111 .100 36.8 22.2 10.5 .129 .165 .126 14.3
2022 N/A -7.5 0 3 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .074 .112 .067 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.5 -4 751 36.2 194 .270 .449 .344 8.2 10.8 11.6 .302 .511 .373 50.3
2021 Slider 0.4 2 366 17.6 97 .186 .302 .274 32.9 37.1 28.6 .174 .279 .256 35.3
2021 Sinker -1.1 -3 301 14.5 89 .291 .392 .344 10.1 16.9 26.3 .234 .359 .305 42.2
2021 Changeup 2.6 7 250 12.0 72 .338 .529 .403 25.2 13.9 16.1 .274 .392 .311 32.8
2021 Curveball -1.1 -3 248 11.9 45 .209 .233 .219 30.3 37.8 24.6 .211 .307 .243 42.3
2021 Cutter -0.8 -1 126 6.1 38 .257 .371 .305 12.9 13.2 15.6 .307 .404 .338 36.7
2021 Splitter 6.6 2 34 1.6 9 .556 .556 .500 29.4 22.2 14.3 .323 .349 .299 42.9
2020 4-Seamer 2.1 1 71 44.7 20 .400 .733 .500 15.4 5.0 8.3 .443 .778 .552 46.7
2020 Slider -9.2 -2 24 15.1 8 .000 .000 .000 40.0 37.5 42.9 .060 .066 .056 0.0
2020 Curveball 1.8 0 21 13.2 4 .500 .500 .450 33.3 50.0 33.3 .269 .282 .242 0.0
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 21 13.2 5 .200 .200 .180 44.4 40.0 40.0 .224 .252 .213 0.0
2020 Sinker -5.6 -1 12 7.5 4 .000 .000 .175 20.0 0.0 -- .254 .281 .340 33.3
2020 Cutter -5.4 0 8 5.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .388 .409 .352 50.0
2020 Splitter 8.0 0 2 1.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .130 .165 .127 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 44 159 -3 0 2 0 -1
2021 544 2,076 0 -22 13 9 0
2022 239 977 5 -17 9 4 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 159 44.7 66.2 85.1 18.2 50.0 44.7 18.2 39.6 23.8 4.4 85.7
2021 2,076 51.4 59.5 90.7 23.8 61.3 44.6 22.6 42.1 17.3 7.9 77.9
2022 977 48.5 55.5 84.8 23.9 60.8 45.4 21.3 39.2 22.2 7.5 65.8
Player 3,212 50.2 58.6 88.8 23.5 60.6 44.9 22.0 41.1 19.0 7.6 74.5
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 29.3 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2020 44
2021 35 58 36 29 43 30 20 16 63 63 33 90 38 17
2022 35 10 38 60 24 74 81 48 30 22 68 64 38 65
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 -- 1 1.7 -1 0 1 1 100.0
2021 23.5 11 11.8 -1 4 8 6 54.5
2022 25.3 9 9.8 -1 5 2 8 88.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 2 1 2 2 2 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
2021 11 12 14 9 12 15 12 13 11 10 13 13 10 9 10 12 13 12 9 10 13 12 12 12 10 12 14 10 12 14 14
2022 9 14 10 9 9 11 9 9 9 9 10 9 9 8 9 9 9 11 10 10 11 9 9 9 9 9 12 9 12 9 14
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.2 0.6 88.9 1.7
Launch Angle 8.1 9 0.9 15.6 6.6
Barrel % 6.5 5.1 -1.4 11.8 6.7
Hard Hit % 29 42.7 13.7 36.8 -5.9
Sweet Spot % 32.3 33.6 1.3 27.6 -6
xBA .29 .258 -0.032 .222 -0.036
BA .27 .267 -0.003 .207 -0.06
xwOBA .357 .317 -0.04 .319 0.002
wOBA .32 .318 -0.002 .287 -0.031
xSLG .436 .402 -0.034 .423 0.021
SLG .405 .404 -0.001 .362 -0.042
K% 18.2 19.4 1.2 26.3 6.9
BB% 11.4 7.7 -3.7 10 2.3
Swing % 39.6 42.1 2.5 39.2 -2.9
Whiff% 23.8 17.3 -6.5 22.2 4.9
In Zone % 44.7 51.4 6.7 48.5 -2.9
Out of Zone % 55.3 48.6 -6.7 51.5 2.9
Out of Zone Swing % 18.2 23.8 5.6 23.9 0.1
First Pitch Swing % 18.2 22.6 4.4 21.3 -1.3
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 61.3 2.2 59.4 -1.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2020 L 44 11 25.0 .278 .446
2021 L 544 193 35.5 .347 .266
2022 L 239 125 52.3 .301 .274

Pitch Tempo