Pavin Smith
RF | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #7, Arizona Diamondbacks | Virginia

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 277 245 24 54 9 33 1 .220 .300 .367 .667
3 Seasons 866 780 99 197 21 86 3 .253 .320 .392 .712
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .220 9 33 1 .667
3 Seasons .253 21 86 3 .712

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2020 24 159 31 2 6.5 4.5 86.6 104.8 8.1 32.3 .290 .436 .320 .357 .394 29.0 18.2 11.4
2021 25 2076 393 20 5.1 3.7 87.2 110.8 9.0 33.6 .258 .402 .318 .317 .359 42.7 19.4 7.7
2022 26 1109 181 18 9.9 6.5 87.9 109.2 15.2 28.7 .216 .379 .294 .304 .357 35.9 24.2 10.1
Player 3344 605 40 6.6 4.6 87.4 110.8 10.8 32.1 .246 .397 .311 .315 .360 40.0 20.9 8.7
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 45.2 12.9 29.0 12.9 38.7 35.5 25.8 9.7 32.3 16.1 29.0 6.5 6.5 4.5
2021 47.8 22.4 23.4 6.4 34.4 40.2 25.4 7.4 34.1 20.6 24.4 8.4 5.1 3.7
2022 43.6 29.8 17.7 8.8 38.1 35.4 26.5 5.0 30.9 29.3 21.5 3.3 9.9 6.5
Player 46.4 24.1 22.0 7.4 35.7 38.5 25.8 6.8 33.1 23.0 23.8 6.8 6.6 4.6
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.2 1 316 28.5 94 .241 .434 .347 11.1 17.0 18.2 .257 .477 .358 36.8
2022 Slider -0.4 -1 216 19.5 54 .167 .229 .231 29.9 38.9 28.0 .155 .239 .230 29.6
2022 Changeup -0.9 -1 150 13.5 28 .040 .160 .146 36.2 32.1 20.0 .125 .216 .207 31.3
2022 Sinker 4.0 6 149 13.4 38 .441 .706 .538 9.8 13.2 17.9 .311 .606 .424 55.2
2022 Curveball -1.5 -2 132 11.9 22 .053 .105 .193 31.7 36.4 20.0 .119 .150 .192 18.2
2022 Cutter -0.7 -1 95 8.6 26 .318 .500 .352 18.8 19.2 19.2 .277 .454 .380 31.6
2022 Splitter -1.1 -1 48 4.3 13 .154 .154 .138 36.0 23.1 14.3 .151 .200 .154 30.0
2022 N/A -7.4 0 3 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .143 .231 .159 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.6 -4 752 36.2 195 .263 .441 .338 8.2 10.8 11.7 .296 .503 .368 48.7
2021 Slider 0.4 2 366 17.6 97 .186 .302 .274 32.9 37.1 28.6 .174 .279 .256 35.3
2021 Sinker -0.9 -3 300 14.5 88 .308 .410 .358 10.2 17.0 25.4 .246 .375 .316 46.0
2021 Changeup 2.6 7 250 12.0 72 .338 .529 .403 25.2 13.9 16.1 .274 .392 .311 32.8
2021 Curveball -1.1 -3 248 11.9 45 .209 .233 .219 30.3 37.8 24.6 .211 .307 .243 42.3
2021 Cutter -0.8 -1 126 6.1 38 .257 .371 .305 12.9 13.2 15.6 .307 .404 .338 36.7
2021 Splitter 6.6 2 34 1.6 9 .556 .556 .500 29.4 22.2 14.3 .323 .349 .299 42.9
2020 4-Seamer 2.1 1 71 44.7 20 .400 .733 .500 15.4 5.0 8.3 .443 .778 .552 46.7
2020 Slider -9.2 -2 24 15.1 8 .000 .000 .000 40.0 37.5 42.9 .060 .066 .056 0.0
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 21 13.2 5 .200 .200 .180 44.4 40.0 40.0 .224 .252 .213 0.0
2020 Curveball 1.8 0 21 13.2 4 .500 .500 .450 33.3 50.0 33.3 .269 .282 .242 0.0
2020 Sinker -5.6 -1 12 7.5 4 .000 .000 .175 20.0 0.0 -- .254 .281 .340 33.3
2020 Cutter -5.4 0 8 5.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .388 .409 .352 50.0
2020 Splitter 8.0 0 2 1.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .130 .165 .127 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 44 159 -3 0 2 0 -1
2021 544 2,076 0 -22 13 9 0
2022 276 1,109 5 -19 10 4 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 159 44.7 66.2 85.1 18.2 50.0 44.7 18.2 39.6 23.8 4.4 85.7
2021 2,076 51.4 59.5 90.7 23.8 61.3 44.6 22.6 42.1 17.3 7.8 77.8
2022 1,109 48.4 55.9 85.7 24.1 60.9 44.6 21.7 39.5 21.7 6.9 67.1
Player 3,344 50.1 58.6 88.9 23.6 60.7 44.6 22.1 41.1 19.0 7.3 74.7
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 29.5 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2020 24 44
2021 35 58 36 29 43 30 20 16 76 63 63 33 90 75 38 21 66
2022 51 31 51
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 -- 1 1.7 -1 0 1 1 100.0
2021 23.5 11 11.8 -1 4 8 6 54.5
2022 25.3 9 9.7 -1 5 2 7 77.8
Player 24.2 21 23.1 -2 9 11 14 66.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 2 1 2 2 2 0 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
2021 11 12 14 9 12 15 12 13 11 10 13 13 10 9 10 12 13 12 9 10 13 12 12 12 10 12 14 10 12 14 14
2022 9 13 10 9 9 11 9 9 9 9 10 9 9 8 9 9 9 11 11 10 11 9 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 9 14
Player 21 27 25 20 23 28 21 24 21 20 25 24 20 18 20 23 23 25 21 22 25 23 23 23 22 23 25 21 22 25 30
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.2 0.6 87.9 0.7
Launch Angle 8.1 9 0.9 15.2 6.2
Barrel % 6.5 5.1 -1.4 9.9 4.8
Hard Hit % 29 42.7 13.7 35.9 -6.8
Sweet Spot % 32.3 33.6 1.3 28.7 -4.9
xBA .29 .258 -0.032 .216 -0.042
BA .27 .267 -0.003 .22 -0.047
xwOBA .357 .317 -0.04 .304 -0.013
wOBA .32 .318 -0.002 .294 -0.024
xSLG .436 .402 -0.034 .379 -0.023
SLG .405 .404 -0.001 .367 -0.037
K% 18.2 19.4 1.2 24.2 4.8
BB% 11.4 7.7 -3.7 10.1 2.4
Swing % 39.6 42.1 2.5 39.5 -2.6
Whiff% 23.8 17.3 -6.5 21.7 4.4
In Zone % 44.7 51.4 6.7 48.4 -3
Out of Zone % 55.3 48.6 -6.7 51.6 3
Out of Zone Swing % 18.2 23.8 5.6 24.1 0.3
First Pitch Swing % 18.2 22.6 4.4 21.7 -0.9
First Pitch Strike % 59.1 61.3 2.2 59.8 -1.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2020 L 44 11 25.0 .278 .446
2021 L 544 193 35.5 .347 .266
2022 L 276 145 52.5 .305 .284

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty