P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 0" 225 lbs | Age: 25
Draft: 2022 | Rd. 2, No. 54, Cleveland Guardians | Florida State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 1 2.72 7 7 0 39.2 38 1.31
2026 4 1 2.30 8 8 0 47 51 0.98
2 Seasons 7 2 2.49 15 15 0 86.2 89 1.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 7 3-1 2.72 39.2 38 1.31
2026 8 4-1 2.30 47 51 0.98
2 Seasons 15 7-2 2.49 86.2 89 1.13
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 24 625 121 7 5.8 4.2 88.1 113.0 9.8 33.1 .237 .368 .315 .274 .339 29.8 23.0 3.6 2.72 3.07
2026 25 716 117 7 6.0 3.9 86.4 110.4 14.2 35.0 .229 .350 .261 .280 .358 29.1 28.3 6.1 2.30 3.07
Player 1341 238 14 5.9 4.1 87.3 113.0 12.0 34.0 .233 .359 .287 .277 .348 29.4 25.8 4.9
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Messick relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.4%) ,
Changeup
(23.7%) ,
Sinker
(12.8%) ,
Cutter
(11.3%) ,
Curveball
(10.9%) ,
Slider
(9.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 48.8 51.2 20.7 25.6 5.0 45.5 31.4 23.1 27.3 16.5 5.0 18.2 14.9 18.2
2026 47.0 53.0 22.2 21.4 9.4 37.6 30.8 31.6 23.1 12.0 12.0 14.5 18.8 19.7
Player 47.9 52.1 21.4 23.5 7.1 41.6 31.1 27.3 25.2 14.3 8.4 16.4 16.8 18.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.1 41.3 24.8 19.8 4.1 5.8 4.2
2026 6.8 34.2 23.1 25.6 4.3 6.0 3.9
Player 5.5 37.8 23.9 22.7 4.2 5.9 4.1
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Curveball CLE L 78 79.0 50.2 -4.1 14.3GLV 3.8 -6.0 -4.2 14.3GLV 6.0
2026 Changeup CLE L 170 85.3 36.2 2.0 14.5ARM -0.2 1.6 2.7 14.5ARM 0.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 225 93.7 14.4 0.9 5.0ARM -3.2 16.9 0.9 5.0ARM -3.1
2026 Cutter CLE L 81 90.8 22.0 2.8 1.5GLV -0.2 11.1 3.2 1.5GLV -0.6
2026 Slider CLE L 70 86.9 31.6 -3.1 6.4GLV 2.4 4.3 -3.0 6.4GLV 2.0
2026 Sinker CLE L 92 92.3 21.7 -2.6 13.0ARM -2.7 10.5 -3.2 13.0ARM -2.8
2025 Sinker CLE L 84 91.4 22.1 -2.8 12.4ARM -2.7 10.5 -3.0 12.4ARM -3.0
2025 Curveball CLE L 79 77.1 52.0 -4.4 14.5GLV 3.7 -5.9 -3.8 14.5GLV 6.7
2025 Changeup CLE L 146 84.6 35.5 2.2 14.6ARM 0.3 2.7 2.5 14.6ARM 0.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 225 92.8 15.1 0.8 4.2ARM -3.6 16.7 0.8 4.2ARM -3.9
2025 Slider CLE L 91 86.3 31.2 -3.6 7.0GLV 2.6 5.1 -3.0 7.0GLV 3.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.3 5 225 31.4 51 .170 .255 .225 21.0 31.4 21.6 .177 .280 .236 29.0
2026 Changeup 1.0 2 170 23.7 56 .222 .278 .237 44.2 50.0 33.3 .216 .267 .228 19.2
2026 Sinker 3.0 3 92 12.8 27 .208 .250 .257 11.6 7.4 15.4 .356 .535 .418 54.5
2026 Cutter -0.2 0 81 11.3 14 .250 .500 .371 27.8 28.6 50.0 .205 .347 .305 25.0
2026 Curveball 1.2 1 78 10.9 12 .250 .333 .254 11.1 0.0 0.0 .204 .274 .206 8.3
2026 Slider 1.4 1 70 9.8 20 .211 .526 .325 27.8 5.0 4.0 .266 .575 .373 27.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 2 225 36.0 43 .302 .488 .338 29.0 34.9 27.3 .241 .355 .255 39.3
2025 Changeup -1.2 -2 146 23.4 48 .319 .340 .303 31.2 27.1 19.1 .204 .289 .223 23.5
2025 Slider 2.1 2 91 14.6 26 .160 .280 .208 22.0 15.4 12.1 .176 .324 .230 23.8
2025 Sinker -2.5 -2 84 13.4 28 .500 .769 .559 14.3 3.6 6.7 .375 .639 .449 28.0
2025 Curveball 3.5 3 79 12.6 20 .056 .056 .160 25.0 25.0 25.0 .197 .270 .251 38.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 158 85.3 76 15.4 10:15 9:00 75
2026 Curveball 78 79.0 56 17.4 4:30 4:00 30
2026 Cutter 81 90.8 66 10.5 11:45 12:15 -30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 225 93.7 93 17.1 11:00 11:30 -30
2026 Sinker 92 92.3 92 16.7 10:45 10:15 30
2026 Slider 70 86.9 42 8.0 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Changeup 144 84.6 77 15.4 10:15 9:15 60
2025 Curveball 79 77.1 57 17.4 4:30 4:00 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 225 92.8 93 16.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2025 Sinker 84 91.4 87 16.1 11:00 10:15 45
2025 Slider 91 86.3 46 8.5 1:00 2:00 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 165 625 0 8 -4 -2 2
2026 180 716 12 7 -5 -3 12
Player 345 1,341 12 15 -9 12 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 625 52.3 63.0 81.6 27.5 54.9 44.6 72.1 46.1 26.0 7.7 58.3
2026 716 46.1 65.2 80.0 35.2 61.0 40.8 64.4 49.0 27.4 9.2 77.3
Player 1,341 49.0 64.1 80.8 31.9 58.7 42.6 68.1 47.7 26.8 8.5 69.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 21 9 9 50
2026 98 98 80 84 82 30 14 13 84 86 63 84 83 67 91 66 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 22.40 4 4.1 0 1 1 3 75.0
2026 22.84 4 4.3 0 1 3 2 50.0
Player 22.62 8 8.4 0 2 4 5 62.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4
2026 4 5 3 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 6 3 3 6 4 3 3 4 5 6 4 3
Player 8 9 7 8 9 9 9 8 9 9 8 10 7 10 9 9 8 8 7 11 7 7 10 8 7 7 8 10 10 8 7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .208 -.081 .289
xBA .229 -.008 .237
OBP .261 -.054 .315
xOBP .281 +.017 .264
SLG .315 -.094 .409
xSLG .350 -.018 .368
ISO .107 -.012 .119
xISO .121 -.010 .131
BABIP .274 -.085 .359
wOBA .261 -.054 .315
xwOBA .280 +.006 .274
wOBAcon .329 -.066 .395
xwOBAcon .358 +.019 .339
BACON .299 -.081 .380
xBACON .329 +.018 .311
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 29.1 -0.7 29.8
Avg Exit Velocity 86.4 -1.7 88.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.0 +1.9 33.1
Barrel % 6.0 +0.2 5.8
Avg Launch Angle 14.2 +4.4 9.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.5 +0.5 72.0
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 47.3 +0.1 47.2
Attack Direction -1° -3°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32°
Swing Length 8.2 +0.9 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.8 +0.4 92.4
Breaking Velocity 82.7 +0.6 82.1
Offspeed Velocity 85.3 +0.7 84.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 0 7
Popup % 9.4 +4.4 5.0
Flyball % 22.2 +1.5 20.7
Line Drive % 21.4 -4.2 25.6
Groundball % 47.0 -1.8 48.8
Pull % 37.6 -7.9 45.5
Straight Away % 30.8 -0.6 31.4
Opposite Field % 31.6 +8.5 23.1
Weak Contact % 6.8 +2.7 4.1
Pull Airball % 14.5 -3.7 18.2
Topped Contact % 34.2 -7.1 41.3
Under Contact % 23.1 -1.7 24.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.6 +5.8 19.8
Solid Contact % 4.3 +0.2 4.1
HR/FB % 15.4 -0.6 16.0
Popups 11 +5 6
Flyballs 26 +1 25
Line Drives 25 -6 31
Groundballs 55 -4 59
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.1 -6.2 52.3
Out of Zone % 53.9 +6.2 47.7
Edge % 40.8 -3.8 44.6
Zone Swing % 65.2 +2.2 63.0
Out of Zone Swing % 35.2 +7.7 27.5
In Zone Contact % 80.0 -1.6 81.6
Out of Zone Contact % 61.0 +6.1 54.9
Whiff % 27.4 +1.4 26.0
First Strike % 64.4 -7.7 72.1
First Pitch Swing % 37.2 +3.3 33.9
Swing % 49.0 +2.9 46.1
Meatball Swing % 77.3 +19.0 58.3
Meatball % 9.2 +1.5 7.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.0 +1.6 18.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 39.0 -6.1 45.1
In Zone 330 +3 327
Out of Zone 386 +88 298
Edge 292 +13 279
In Zone Swings 215 +9 206
Out of Zone Swings 136 +54 82
In Zone Swing & Misses 43 +5 38
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 53 +16 37
Basic
Pitches 716 +91 625
PA 180 +15 165
AB 168 +9 159
Hits 35 -11 46
Singles 26 -9 35
Doubles 4 -3 7
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 4 0 4
Walks 11 +5 6
Strikeouts 51 +13 38
K% 28.3 +5.3 23.0
BB% 6.1 +2.5 3.6
HBP 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 117 -4 121
Number of Fastballs 398 +89 309
Number of Offspeed 170 +24 146
Number of Breaking 148 -22 170
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 165 .315 121 22 18.2 44 17 38.6
2026 Shades 180 .261 130 0 0.0 50 29 58.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 172 13.4 73.8% 0.0% 101 18.0 3.0% 0.0%
2026 216 13.6 75.0% 0.9% 96 18.0 6.3% 2.1%

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Pitch Distribution