Nathaniel Lowe
1B | B/T: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2023 229 201 38 56 5 29 0 .279 .362 .443 .805
5 Seasons 1761 1570 221 437 61 207 11 .278 .353 .452 .805
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2023 .279 5 29 0 .805
5 Seasons .278 61 207 11 .805

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 23 700 104 11 10.6 6.5 91.3 114.3 13.0 37.5 .259 .455 .328 .330 .437 45.2 29.6 7.7
2020 24 295 39 6 15.4 7.9 88.9 114.8 7.1 41.0 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 25 2691 398 38 9.5 5.9 90.8 113.9 5.0 31.4 .236 .401 .337 .323 .381 45.5 25.2 12.5
2022 26 2525 446 44 9.9 6.8 90.2 113.0 8.2 34.1 .275 .459 .368 .344 .419 44.8 22.8 7.4
2023 27 938 158 11 7.0 4.8 89.8 110.3 5.4 36.1 .275 .436 .351 .349 .388 41.8 19.2 11.4
Player 7149 1145 110 9.6 6.2 90.4 114.8 7.1 34.0 .258 .432 .349 .334 .404 44.6 24.5 10.0
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Sweeper, Slurve, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1.0 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6 6.5
2020 46.2 17.9 35.9 0.0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4 7.9
2021 54.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5 5.9
2022 48.2 21.5 26.0 4.3 30.7 40.8 28.5 3.4 35.0 18.4 28.0 5.2 9.9 6.8
2023 47.5 20.3 27.2 5.1 30.4 36.1 33.5 1.9 38.0 17.7 27.2 8.2 7.0 4.8
Player 49.6 21.9 24.9 3.6 28.9 39.7 31.4 2.6 37.8 17.7 26.3 5.9 9.6 6.2
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 1.5 5 345 36.8 85 .333 .611 .445 18.0 16.5 14.4 .319 .527 .412 53.4
2023 Sinker -2.4 -4 145 15.5 35 .167 .167 .254 17.9 22.9 19.5 .205 .299 .289 36.4
2023 Slider -2.1 -3 136 14.5 38 .200 .200 .226 25.0 31.6 21.4 .214 .259 .230 25.0
2023 Curveball -2.0 -2 119 12.7 27 .200 .200 .219 26.4 22.2 15.8 .235 .417 .307 52.6
2023 Cutter 4.8 4 78 8.3 18 .313 .750 .467 18.9 11.1 9.5 .301 .485 .376 35.7
2023 Changeup 6.1 3 57 6.1 11 .400 .700 .491 5.6 0.0 0.0 .472 .890 .589 40.0
2023 Sweeper 4.0 2 39 4.2 10 .333 .556 .410 13.3 10.0 7.7 .246 .368 .307 12.5
2023 Splitter -3.7 0 9 1.0 1 .000 .000 .000 40.0 100.0 25.0 -- -- .000 --
2023 Slurve 2.6 0 4 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2023 Forkball 20.2 0 2 0.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .457 .548 .445 100.0
2022 4-Seamer 0.5 5 1,122 44.4 271 .318 .412 .364 25.4 25.8 19.0 .282 .413 .339 48.0
2022 Slider 2.5 9 367 14.5 98 .301 .570 .395 26.6 21.4 15.8 .255 .514 .346 43.1
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 324 12.8 84 .243 .419 .354 19.3 14.3 18.2 .276 .392 .340 45.2
2022 Curveball 0.1 0 269 10.7 60 .218 .418 .305 31.1 33.3 23.0 .253 .516 .355 48.6
2022 Changeup 3.9 7 187 7.4 56 .370 .667 .450 16.3 12.5 12.1 .309 .489 .356 40.4
2022 Cutter -1.1 -2 162 6.4 44 .286 .500 .351 23.9 22.7 22.2 .223 .385 .281 25.0
2022 Sweeper 7.9 4 53 2.1 16 .500 1.250 .725 26.9 12.5 11.1 .399 .977 .577 50.0
2022 Splitter 0.2 0 41 1.6 14 .214 .500 .296 34.5 35.7 19.2 .244 .519 .324 66.7
2021 4-Seamer 1.0 12 1,204 44.7 261 .294 .398 .389 26.4 27.2 18.7 .249 .387 .352 47.5
2021 Sinker -1.7 -7 434 16.1 111 .219 .292 .304 18.6 15.3 16.5 .207 .276 .278 43.0
2021 Slider 1.5 4 258 9.6 71 .242 .439 .318 24.2 38.0 28.7 .211 .396 .289 57.5
2021 Curveball 0.4 1 243 9.0 61 .237 .475 .313 25.7 36.1 26.8 .235 .526 .329 40.5
2021 Changeup 2.9 7 243 9.0 62 .305 .695 .419 16.8 11.3 11.9 .286 .592 .374 39.6
2021 Cutter 0.5 1 189 7.0 47 .262 .357 .316 20.6 23.4 13.8 .236 .383 .311 41.9
2021 Splitter 0.7 1 71 2.6 19 .278 .333 .292 18.2 15.8 8.1 .228 .375 .281 53.3
2021 Sweeper 0.2 0 47 1.7 7 .000 .000 .100 41.2 57.1 23.5 .048 .054 .137 0.0
2021 Slurve 13.0 0 2 0.1 1 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2020 4-Seamer -2.2 -3 128 43.4 31 .111 .222 .213 48.9 58.1 48.6 .143 .237 .232 44.4
2020 Sinker -1.6 -1 51 17.3 8 .167 .167 .288 5.6 25.0 15.4 .199 .274 .336 25.0
2020 Cutter -5.5 -1 27 9.2 8 .125 .250 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .580 .374 42.9
2020 Curveball 10.9 3 26 8.8 5 .800 1.600 1.010 33.3 0.0 0.0 .636 1.094 .733 60.0
2020 Slider -1.0 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100.0
2020 Changeup 7.0 2 25 8.5 10 .333 1.000 .560 15.4 20.0 20.0 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 Splitter -9.1 -1 9 3.1 4 .250 .250 .225 16.7 0.0 0.0 .186 .200 .170 25.0
2020 Slurve -4.7 0 3 1.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .440 .466 .396 100.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 0 281 40.1 61 .226 .509 .361 30.7 36.1 24.4 .245 .470 .338 50.0
2019 Slider 1.3 2 117 16.7 33 .226 .484 .327 20.8 30.3 20.4 .213 .454 .279 31.8
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40.0 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12.0 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .350 .459 .363 35.0
2019 Sinker 0.2 0 66 9.4 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19.0 30.8 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Cutter -3.8 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .250 33.3 20.0 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Splitter -12.0 -1 5 0.7 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .140 .364 .203 100.0
2019 Sweeper -14.0 0 2 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 50.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 0 -7 4 2 -1
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -3
2021 640 2,691 -2 -15 23 12 18
2022 643 2,525 13 -9 12 10 26
2023 228 938 0 -5 8 4 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 700 46.9 67.1 82.3 25.1 50.5 43.8 23.7 44.7 27.2 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55.0
2021 2,691 50.1 66.4 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.7 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73.0
2022 2,525 51.4 74.0 82.1 29.2 56.1 44.5 41.3 52.2 24.9 7.5 83.7
2023 938 48.2 67.0 86.8 23.7 63.5 44.5 32.0 44.6 19.6 8.0 78.7
Player 7,149 50.1 69.0 82.3 25.3 58.3 44.6 33.6 47.2 24.1 7.3 77.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 29.5 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2019 94 56
2020 97 55
2021 43 23 35 44 57 70 61 77 91 74 25 90 60 82 57 17 27
2022 80 88 82 74 70 83 68 73 89 75 41 41 47 51 44 2 20
2023 71 78 65 47 83 58 41 58 66 56 64 74 79 75 57 93 40
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 6.8 0 4 2 5 71.4
2020 21.0 4 3.1 1 1 3 1 25.0
2021 21.5 18 16.6 1 8 14 6 33.3
2022 21.4 27 24.7 2 8 21 10 37.0
2023 21.4 5 5.3 0 4 5 1 20.0
Player 21.4 61 56.4 5 25 45 23 37.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 7 5 9 7 7 7 6 7 5 7 9 7 6 7 5 5 5 7 7 6 8 9 8 6 6 8 6 8 7 7
2020 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 2
2021 18 21 12 13 16 15 17 19 12 12 15 18 16 16 16 18 17 18 19 16 19 18 20 20 15 16 17 17 19 15 16
2022 27 25 23 22 25 24 26 25 18 20 23 25 27 25 27 24 24 26 22 26 27 28 33 26 20 21 26 29 28 25 20
2023 5 3 5 4 6 5 6 4 6 4 5 7 4 4 7 6 4 4 7 7 4 7 6 7 2 4 6 7 6 6 5
Player 61 59 49 52 58 54 60 55 45 43 52 63 57 54 61 57 54 55 58 59 59 64 72 64 46 49 60 63 64 56 50
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 90.8 1.9 90.2 -0.6 89.8 -0.4
Launch Angle 13.0 7.1 -5.9 5.0 -2.1 8.2 3.2 5.4 -2.8
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 9.5 -5.9 9.9 0.4 7.0 -2.9
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 45.5 1.9 44.8 -0.7 41.8 -3.0
Sweet Spot % 37.5 41.0 3.5 31.4 -9.6 34.1 2.7 36.1 2.0
xBA .259 .230 -0.029 .236 0.006 .275 0.039 .275 0.000
BA .263 .224 -0.039 .264 0.040 .302 0.038 .279 -0.023
xwOBA .330 .300 -0.030 .323 0.023 .344 0.021 .349 0.005
wOBA .328 .314 -0.014 .337 0.023 .368 0.031 .351 -0.017
xSLG .455 .377 -0.078 .401 0.024 .459 0.058 .436 -0.023
SLG .454 .433 -0.021 .415 -0.018 .492 0.077 .443 -0.049
K% 29.6 36.8 7.2 25.2 -11.6 22.8 -2.4 19.2 -3.6
BB% 7.7 11.8 4.1 12.5 0.7 7.4 -5.1 11.4 4.0
Swing % 44.7 40.3 -4.4 44.7 4.4 52.2 7.5 44.6 -7.6
Whiff% 27.2 29.4 2.2 23.5 -5.9 24.9 1.4 19.6 -5.3
In Zone % 46.9 51.9 5.0 50.1 -1.8 51.4 1.3 48.2 -3.2
Out of Zone % 53.1 48.1 -5.0 49.9 1.8 48.6 -1.3 51.8 3.2
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 20.4 -4.7 22.9 2.5 29.2 6.3 23.7 -5.5
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 30.3 6.6 29.4 -0.9 41.3 11.9 32.0 -9.3
First Pitch Strike % 55.0 57.9 2.9 59.0 1.1 62.7 3.7 56.1 -6.6
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2019 L 170 78 45.9 .343 .306
2020 L 74 27 36.5 .313 .315
2021 L 619 176 28.4 .317 .389
2022 L 643 117 18.2 .380 .317
2023 L 227 0 0.0 .347

Pitch Tempo