Nathaniel Lowe
1B | B/T: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 645 593 74 179 27 76 2 .302 .358 .492 .850
4 Seasons 1532 1369 183 381 56 178 11 .278 .352 .454 .806
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .302 27 76 2 .850
4 Seasons .278 56 178 11 .806

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 23 701 104 11 10.6 6.5 91.3 114.3 13.0 37.5 .257 .452 .326 .328 .437 45.2 30.0 7.6
2020 24 295 39 6 15.4 7.9 88.9 114.8 7.1 41.0 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 25 2691 398 38 9.5 5.9 90.8 113.9 5.0 31.4 .236 .401 .337 .323 .381 45.5 25.2 12.5
2022 26 2525 446 44 9.9 6.8 90.2 113.0 8.2 34.1 .275 .459 .368 .344 .419 44.8 22.8 7.4
Player 6212 987 99 10.0 6.5 90.5 114.8 7.4 33.6 .255 .431 .348 .332 .406 45.1 25.3 9.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1.0 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6 6.5
2020 46.2 17.9 35.9 0.0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4 7.9
2021 54.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5 5.9
2022 48.2 21.5 26.0 4.3 30.7 40.8 28.5 3.4 35.0 18.4 28.0 5.2 9.9 6.8
Player 49.9 22.2 24.5 3.3 28.7 40.3 31.0 2.7 37.8 17.7 26.1 5.5 10.0 6.5
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.5 5 1,119 44.3 269 .320 .414 .365 25.5 26.0 19.0 .283 .415 .339 48.3
2022 Slider 3.1 13 429 17.0 115 .327 .664 .437 26.4 20.0 14.7 .275 .578 .376 43.7
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 326 12.9 85 .243 .419 .358 19.3 14.1 18.5 .276 .392 .344 45.2
2022 Curveball 0.0 0 262 10.4 59 .222 .426 .310 31.4 33.9 23.8 .255 .523 .359 50.0
2022 Changeup 3.9 7 187 7.4 56 .370 .667 .450 16.3 12.5 12.3 .309 .489 .356 40.4
2022 Cutter -1.3 -2 161 6.4 45 .279 .488 .343 23.1 22.2 22.2 .218 .380 .275 24.2
2022 Splitter 0.2 0 41 1.6 14 .214 .500 .296 34.5 35.7 19.2 .244 .519 .324 66.7
2021 4-Seamer 1.0 12 1,204 44.7 261 .294 .398 .389 26.4 27.2 18.7 .249 .387 .352 47.5
2021 Sinker -1.7 -7 433 16.1 111 .219 .292 .304 18.6 15.3 16.7 .207 .276 .278 43.0
2021 Slider 1.2 4 305 11.3 79 .219 .397 .295 26.1 39.2 27.9 .198 .365 .275 55.8
2021 Curveball 0.5 1 246 9.1 62 .237 .475 .319 25.5 35.5 26.2 .235 .526 .335 40.5
2021 Changeup 2.9 7 244 9.1 62 .305 .695 .419 16.8 11.3 11.7 .286 .592 .374 39.6
2021 Cutter 0.7 1 188 7.0 46 .268 .366 .323 20.8 23.9 13.8 .237 .386 .313 40.0
2021 Splitter 0.7 1 71 2.6 19 .278 .333 .292 18.2 15.8 8.1 .228 .375 .281 53.3
2020 4-Seamer -2.2 -3 128 43.4 31 .111 .222 .213 48.9 58.1 48.6 .143 .237 .232 44.4
2020 Sinker -1.6 -1 51 17.3 8 .167 .167 .288 5.6 25.0 15.4 .199 .274 .336 25.0
2020 Curveball 9.3 3 29 9.8 6 .667 1.333 .842 27.3 0.0 0.0 .603 .989 .677 66.7
2020 Cutter -5.4 -1 27 9.2 8 .125 .250 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .580 .374 42.9
2020 Slider -1.0 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100.0
2020 Changeup 7.0 2 25 8.5 10 .333 1.000 .560 15.4 20.0 20.0 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 Splitter -9.0 -1 9 3.1 4 .250 .250 .225 16.7 0.0 0.0 .186 .201 .170 25.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 0 280 40.0 61 .226 .509 .361 30.7 36.1 24.7 .245 .470 .338 50.0
2019 Slider 1.0 1 119 17.0 34 .219 .469 .318 21.8 32.4 21.6 .206 .440 .271 31.8
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40.0 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12.0 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .350 .459 .363 35.0
2019 Sinker 0.3 0 67 9.6 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19.0 28.6 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Cutter -3.8 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .250 33.3 20.0 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Splitter -12.0 -1 5 0.7 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .140 .364 .203 100.0
2019 N/A 5.4 0 4 0.6 1 1.000 2.000 1.250 0.0 0.0 0.0 .833 2.746 1.426 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 -1 -7 4 2 -1
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -3
2021 640 2,691 -2 -15 23 12 18
2022 643 2,525 13 -9 12 10 26
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 701 47.0 66.9 82.3 25.3 50.0 43.6 23.5 44.8 27.4 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55.0
2021 2,691 50.2 66.2 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.6 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73.0
2022 2,525 51.4 74.1 82.1 29.1 56.0 44.4 41.3 52.2 24.9 7.5 83.7
Player 6,212 50.4 69.2 81.6 25.6 57.4 44.6 33.8 47.6 24.8 7.2 76.7
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 29.5 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2019 94 56
2020 97 55
2021 43 23 35 44 57 70 61 77 91 74 25 90 60 82 56 21 27
2022 80 88 82 74 70 83 68 73 89 75 41 41 47 51 44 2 20
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 7.5 -1 2 5 4 57.1
2020 21.0 4 3.2 1 1 3 1 25.0
2021 21.5 18 16.9 1 13 12 7 38.9
2022 21.4 27 25.7 1 12 17 13 48.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 8 10 6 8 5 9 7 9 7 9 7 5 9 7 9 7 8 7 7 8 5 6 7 6 9 9 6 9 6 9
2020 4 3 4 3 4 4 0 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 3 4 4 3 2 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 4
2021 18 18 22 15 16 18 15 21 16 14 13 21 12 12 14 18 17 19 17 15 17 15 17 21 18 16 21 16 18 15 20
2022 27 27 28 24 26 26 26 25 27 26 23 25 22 20 24 26 29 29 22 25 28 23 26 25 30 26 29 22 29 21 33
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 90.8 1.9 90.2 -0.6
Launch Angle 13 7.1 -5.9 5 -2.1 8.2 3.2
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 9.5 -5.9 9.9 0.4
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 45.5 1.9 44.8 -0.7
Sweet Spot % 37.5 41 3.5 31.4 -9.6 34.1 2.7
xBA 0.259 0.23 -0.029 0.236 0.006 0.275 0.039
BA 0.263 0.224 -0.039 0.264 0.04 0.302 0.038
xwOBA 0.33 0.3 -0.03 0.323 0.023 0.344 0.021
wOBA 0.328 0.314 -0.014 0.337 0.023 0.368 0.031
xSLG 0.455 0.377 -0.078 0.401 0.024 0.459 0.058
SLG 0.454 0.433 -0.021 0.415 -0.018 0.492 0.077
K% 29.6 36.8 7.2 25.2 -11.6 22.8 -2.4
BB% 7.7 11.8 4.1 12.5 0.7 7.4 -5.1
Swing % 44.7 40.3 -4.4 44.7 4.4 52.2 7.5
Whiff% 27.2 29.4 2.2 23.5 -5.9 24.9 1.4
In Zone % 47.1 51.9 4.8 50.2 -1.7 51.4 1.2
Out of Zone % 52.9 48.1 -4.8 49.8 1.7 48.6 -1.2
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 20.4 -4.7 22.9 2.5 29.1 6.2
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 30.3 6.6 29.4 -0.9 41.3 11.9
First Pitch Strike % 55 57.9 2.9 59 1.1 62.7 3.7
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