Nathaniel Lowe
1B | B/T: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 294 274 32 76 11 34 1 .277 .327 .442 .769
4 Seasons 1181 1050 141 278 40 136 10 .265 .342 .429 .771
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2022 .277 11 34 1 .769
4 Seasons .265 40 136 10 .771

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 23 701 104 11 10.6 6.5 91.3 114.3 13.0 37.5 .257 .452 .326 .328 .437 45.2 30.0 7.6
2020 24 295 39 6 15.4 7.9 88.9 114.8 7.1 41.0 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 25 2691 398 38 9.5 5.9 90.8 113.9 5.0 31.4 .236 .401 .337 .323 .381 45.5 25.2 12.5
2022 26 1092 199 16 8 5.5 89.5 113.0 9.1 35.2 .282 .461 .337 .339 .425 41.2 24.2 6.9
Player 4779 740 71 9.6 6 90.4 114.8 7.3 33.8 .251 .423 .334 .326 .404 44.2 26.4 10.4
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1.0 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6 6.5
2020 46.2 17.9 35.9 0.0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4 7.9
2021 54.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5 5.9
2022 46.2 18.1 30.2 5.5 31.7 38.2 30.2 3.0 34.2 18.6 31.2 4.5 8.0 5.5
Player 50.0 21.5 25.1 3.4 28.2 39.5 32.3 2.4 38.5 17.6 26.4 5.4 9.6 6.0
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.9 4 466 42.7 123 .327 .445 .379 30.6 27.6 23.1 .304 .467 .366 47.4
2022 Slider -0.5 -1 217 19.9 53 .192 .346 .255 29.8 28.3 19.7 .215 .385 .260 37.8
2022 Sinker -2.4 -3 132 12.1 39 .143 .229 .262 16.1 17.9 24.1 .284 .390 .330 35.7
2022 Curveball 2.3 2 95 8.7 16 .375 .875 .519 28.2 25.0 16.7 .398 .828 .510 41.7
2022 Changeup 5.9 5 91 8.3 28 .444 .741 .514 13.0 7.1 8.0 .325 .562 .386 52.0
2022 Cutter -2.2 -1 66 6.0 22 .273 .500 .327 24.3 22.7 21.7 .255 .453 .299 17.6
2022 Splitter -4.9 -1 25 2.3 7 .000 .000 .000 38.9 42.9 17.6 .090 .098 .082 25.0
2021 4-Seamer 1.1 13 1,177 43.7 255 .302 .410 .398 26.2 26.3 18.2 .255 .397 .359 48.2
2021 Sinker -1.9 -9 460 17.1 117 .206 .275 .288 19.6 17.9 18.6 .198 .264 .267 42.0
2021 Slider 1.2 4 305 11.3 79 .219 .397 .295 26.1 39.2 27.9 .198 .365 .275 55.8
2021 Curveball 0.5 1 246 9.1 62 .237 .475 .319 25.5 35.5 26.2 .235 .526 .335 40.5
2021 Changeup 2.9 7 244 9.1 62 .305 .695 .419 16.8 11.3 11.7 .286 .592 .374 39.6
2021 Cutter 0.7 1 188 7.0 46 .268 .366 .323 20.8 23.9 13.8 .237 .386 .313 40.0
2021 Splitter 0.7 1 71 2.6 19 .278 .333 .292 18.2 15.8 8.1 .228 .375 .281 53.3
2020 4-Seamer -2.1 -3 129 43.7 31 .111 .222 .213 48.9 58.1 48.6 .143 .237 .232 44.4
2020 Sinker -1.6 -1 51 17.3 8 .167 .167 .288 5.6 25.0 15.4 .199 .274 .336 25.0
2020 Curveball 9.3 3 29 9.8 6 .667 1.333 .842 27.3 0.0 0.0 .603 .989 .677 66.7
2020 Cutter -5.8 -2 26 8.8 8 .125 .250 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .580 .374 42.9
2020 Slider -1.0 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100.0
2020 Changeup 7.0 2 25 8.5 10 .333 1.000 .560 15.4 20.0 20.0 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 Splitter -9.0 -1 9 3.1 4 .250 .250 .225 16.7 0.0 0.0 .186 .200 .170 25.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 0 280 40.0 61 .226 .509 .361 30.7 36.1 24.7 .245 .470 .338 50.0
2019 Slider 1.0 1 119 17.0 34 .219 .469 .318 21.8 32.4 21.6 .206 .440 .271 31.8
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40.0 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12.0 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .350 .459 .363 35.0
2019 Sinker 0.3 0 67 9.6 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19.0 28.6 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Cutter -3.8 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .250 33.3 20.0 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Splitter -12.0 -1 5 0.7 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .140 .364 .203 100.0
2019 N/A 5.4 0 4 0.6 1 1.000 2.000 1.250 0.0 0.0 0.0 .833 2.746 1.426 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 -1 -7 4 2 -1
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -3
2021 640 2,691 -2 -15 23 12 18
2022 288 1,092 1 -5 5 4 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 701 47.0 66.9 82.3 25.3 50.0 43.6 23.5 44.8 27.4 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55.0
2021 2,691 50.2 66.2 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.6 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73.0
2022 1,092 52.3 73.6 80.7 29.0 50.3 45.2 41.3 52.3 27.1 7.3 81.3
Player 4,779 50.3 67.6 81.1 24.5 56.5 44.8 31.5 46.2 25.3 7.1 73.8
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 29.3 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2019 56
2020 55
2021 42 23 35 44 57 70 61 77 74 25 90 60 56 17
2022 53 76 57 41 52 55 48 58 55 34 34 34 28 1
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 7.5 -1 2 5 4 57.1
2020 21.0 4 3.2 1 1 3 1 25.0
2021 21.5 18 16.9 1 13 12 7 38.9
2022 21.6 11 10.2 1 4 8 4 36.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 8 10 6 8 5 9 7 9 7 9 7 5 9 7 9 7 8 7 7 8 5 6 7 6 9 9 6 9 6 9
2020 4 3 4 3 4 4 0 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 3 4 4 3 2 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 4
2021 18 18 22 15 16 18 15 21 16 14 13 21 12 12 14 18 17 19 17 15 17 15 17 21 18 16 21 16 18 15 20
2022 11 10 11 10 10 12 10 10 9 9 8 12 8 6 10 11 12 12 8 8 10 10 10 11 12 10 14 8 13 9 14
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 90.8 1.9 89.5 -1.3
Launch Angle 13 7.1 -5.9 5 -2.1 9.1 4.1
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 9.5 -5.9 8 -1.5
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 45.5 1.9 41.2 -4.3
Sweet Spot % 37.5 41 3.5 31.4 -9.6 35.2 3.8
xBA .259 .23 -0.029 .236 0.006 .282 0.046
BA .263 .224 -0.039 .264 0.04 .279 0.015
xwOBA .33 .3 -0.03 .323 0.023 .339 0.016
wOBA .328 .314 -0.014 .337 0.023 .337 0
xSLG .455 .377 -0.078 .401 0.024 .461 0.06
SLG .454 .433 -0.021 .415 -0.018 .446 0.031
K% 29.6 36.8 7.2 25.2 -11.6 24.2 -1
BB% 7.7 11.8 4.1 12.5 0.7 6.9 -5.6
Swing % 44.7 40.3 -4.4 44.7 4.4 52.3 7.6
Whiff% 27.2 29.4 2.2 23.5 -5.9 27.1 3.6
In Zone % 47.1 51.9 4.8 50.2 -1.7 52.3 2.1
Out of Zone % 52.9 48.1 -4.8 49.8 1.7 47.7 -2.1
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 20.4 -4.7 22.9 2.5 29 6.1
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 30.3 6.6 29.4 -0.9 41.3 11.9
First Pitch Strike % 55 57.9 2.9 59 1.1 63.5 4.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2019 L 170 78 45.9 .343 .306
2020 L 74 27 36.5 .313 .315
2021 L 640 176 27.5 .317 .389
2022 L 288 41 14.2 .351 .249

Pitch Tempo