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Nathaniel Lowe
1B | B/T: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 609 527 68 138 16 70 7 .262 .356 .408 .764
3 Seasons 854 746 102 193 27 100 8 .259 .347 .420 .766
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2021 .262 16 70 7 .764
3 Seasons .259 27 100 8 .766

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Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 24 701 104 11 10.6 91.3 114.3 13 37.5 .257 .452 .326 .328 .437 45.2 30 7.6
2020 25 295 39 6 15.4 88.9 114.8 7.1 41 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 26 2542 377 36 9.5 91.3 113.9 5.2 31.3 .233 .395 .335 .322 .377 46.7 25.1 12.6
3538 520 53 10.2 91.2 114.8 6.9 33.3 .238 .405 .331 .321 .394 46.2 27.1 11.6
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # % PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Fastballs 1732 68.2 401 333 89 68 15 1 5 97 237 .267 .233 .363 .355 .340 .327 91.3 4 24.4 18.2
2021 Breaking 515 20.3 132 123 28 16 4 1 7 46 78 .228 .215 .447 .447 .305 .303 92.2 10 25.2 25.8
2021 Offspeed 294 11.6 74 71 21 12 4 1 4 10 62 .296 .266 .549 .495 .358 .330 90.4 4 18.3 10.9
2020 Fastballs 207 70.2 47 41 5 3 1 0 1 21 20 .122 .186 .220 .310 .214 .274 88.3 12 32.5 36.8
2020 Breaking 55 18.6 13 13 6 4 1 0 1 5 8 .462 .377 .769 .572 .519 .405 96.9 9 30.4 21.7
2020 Offspeed 33 11.2 14 13 4 2 0 0 2 2 11 .308 .222 .769 .392 .459 .291 84.3 -4 15.8 15.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6
2020 46.2 15.4 38.5 0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4
2021 53.8 23.6 21.2 1.3 24.7 40.1 35.3 1.6 43.8 17.2 23.1 4.8 9.5
50.8 22.7 23.8 2.7 26.9 40 33.1 1.7 40.2 17.7 24.2 6 10.2
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Splitter 1.1 1 65 2.6 17 .294 .353 .285 18.8 17.6 8.6 .236 .393 .272 57.1
2021 Cutter 1.1 2 174 6.8 43 .282 .385 .329 19.8 23.3 12.8 .238 .39 .31 41.4
2021 Changeup 2.6 6 229 9 57 .296 .611 .385 18.1 12.3 12.3 .275 .526 .347 37.5
2021 Curveball 1.7 4 242 9.5 59 .268 .571 .381 21.6 28.8 21.3 .26 .604 .391 41
2021 Slider 0.7 2 274 10.8 73 .194 .343 .258 28.5 39.7 29.6 .177 .316 .241 56.4
2021 Sinker -1.6 -7 445 17.5 112 .214 .286 .287 19.3 18.8 19.3 .196 .268 .266 45.5
2021 4-Seamer 1.1 13 1113 43.8 246 .291 .398 .393 27.3 26.8 19 .251 .391 .36 49.6
2020 Splitter -8.3 -1 9 3.1 4 .25 .25 .225 16.7 0 0 .186 .201 .17 25
2020 Curveball 9.3 3 29 9.8 6 .667 1.333 .842 27.3 0 0 .603 .989 .677 66.7
2020 Slider -1 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100
2020 Sinker -1.5 -1 52 17.6 8 .167 .167 .288 5.6 25 15.4 .199 .274 .336 25
2020 Cutter -5.7 -1 26 8.8 8 .125 .25 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .58 .374 42.9
2020 Changeup 7.3 2 24 8.1 10 .333 1 .56 15.4 20 20 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 4-Seamer -2.1 -3 129 43.7 31 .111 .222 .213 48.9 58.1 48.6 .143 .237 .232 44.4
2019 N/A 5.4 0 4 0.6 1 1 2 1.25 0 0 0 .833 2.746 1.426 100
2019 Splitter -12 -1 5 0.7 2 0 0 0 50 50 50 .14 .364 .203 100
2019 Cutter -3.5 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .25 33.3 20 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Sinker 0.5 0 67 9.6 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19 28.6 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .35 .459 .363 35
2019 Slider 0.5 1 119 17 34 .219 .469 .291 21.8 32.4 21.6 .206 .44 .271 31.8
2019 4-Seamer -0.3 -1 280 40 61 .226 .509 .347 30.7 36.1 24.7 .245 .47 .338 50
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 -2 -7 4 2 -3
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -2
2021 607 2542 -1 -13 22 12 20
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 701 47 66.9 82.3 25.3 50 43.6 23.5 44.8 27.4 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55
2021 2542 50.2 66.8 81.3 22.6 60.5 44.6 29.7 44.8 23.9 7.5 73.2
3538 49.7 66.1 80.9 23 58.2 44.7 28.5 44.4 25 7.1 71.6
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 29.2 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2019 56
2020 55
2021 44 23 36 44 58 70 59 84 79 25 89 57 56 27
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 7.6 -1 1 7 3 42.9
2020 21 4 3.4 1 1 3 1 25
2021 21.5 16 16.9 -1 10 13 8 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 7 11 7 9 6 9 7 9 7 9 8 4 9 8 10 7 8 7 7 4 7 7 7 6 10 9 7 9 4 9
2020 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 2 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 2 4 3 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 4
2021 16 19 23 18 20 15 15 22 15 18 15 18 11 13 15 19 11 19 19 17 11 14 17 20 18 19 20 16 20 13 18
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 ↓ 91.3 2.4 ↑
Launch Angle 13 7.1 -5.9 ↓ 5.2 -1.9 ↓
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 ↑ 9.5 -5.9 ↓
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 ↓ 46.7 3.1 ↑
Sweet Spot % 37.5 41 3.5 ↑ 31.3 -9.7 ↓
xBA .259 .23 -0.029 ↓ .233 0.003 ↑
BA .263 .224 -0.039 ↓ .262 0.038 ↑
xwOBA .33 .3 -0.03 ↓ .322 0.022 ↑
wOBA .328 .314 -0.014 ↓ .335 0.021 ↑
xSLG .455 .377 -0.078 ↓ .395 0.018 ↑
SLG .454 .433 -0.021 ↓ .408 -0.025 ↓
K% 29.6 36.8 7.2 ↑ 25.1 -11.7 ↓
BB% 7.7 11.8 4.1 ↑ 12.6 0.8 ↑
Swing % 44.7 40.3 -4.4 ↓ 44.8 4.5 ↑
Whiff% 27.2 29.4 2.2 ↑ 23.9 -5.5 ↓
In Zone % 47.1 51.9 4.8 ↑ 50.2 -1.7 ↓
Out of Zone % 52.9 48.1 -4.8 ↓ 49.8 1.7 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 20.4 -4.7 ↓ 22.6 2.2 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 30.3 6.6 ↑ 29.7 -0.6 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 55 57.9 2.9 ↑ 58.9 1 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2019 L 170 78 45.9 .343 .306
2020 L 74 27 36.5 .313 .315
2021 L 607 176 29.0 .312 .389

Statcast Rankings