Nathaniel Lowe
1B | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State
PA AB R H HR SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2022 645 593 74 179 27 2 .302 .358 .492 .850
2023 724 623 89 163 17 1 .262 .360 .414 .774
2024 193 163 20 42 2 1 .258 .358 .337 .695
6 Seasons 2,449 2,155 292 586 75 13 .272 .355 .433 .788
AVG HR SB OPS
2022 .302 27 2 .850
2023 .262 17 1 .774
2024 .258 2 1 .695
6 Seasons .272 75 13 .788
MLB Percentile Rankings
Hits Spray Chart

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 23 700 104 11 10.6 6.5 91.3 114.3 13.0 37.5 .259 .455 .328 .330 .437 45.2 29.6 7.7
2020 24 295 39 6 15.4 7.9 88.9 114.8 7.1 41.0 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 25 2691 398 38 9.5 5.9 90.8 113.9 5.0 31.4 .236 .401 .337 .323 .381 45.5 25.2 12.5
2022 26 2525 446 44 9.9 6.8 90.2 113.0 8.2 34.1 .275 .459 .368 .344 .419 44.8 22.8 7.4
2023 27 3044 461 30 6.5 4.1 89.8 111.2 7.2 36.7 .263 .406 .340 .339 .386 41.6 22.8 12.8
2024 28 851 125 3 2.4 1.6 88.8 108.6 6.0 30.4 .240 .313 .317 .302 .317 36.0 21.2 13.5
Player 10106 1573 132 8.4 5.4 90.2 114.8 7.2 34.3 .256 .415 .343 .332 .393 43.4 24.2 11.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 36.4 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Sweeper, Slurve, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1.0 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6 6.5
2020 46.2 17.9 35.9 0.0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4 7.9
2021 54.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5 5.9
2022 48.2 21.5 26.0 4.3 30.7 40.8 28.5 3.4 35.0 18.4 28.0 5.2 9.9 6.8
2023 48.2 20.2 26.7 5.0 28.4 41.9 29.7 2.6 35.8 19.1 29.7 6.3 6.5 4.1
2024 52.8 21.6 23.2 2.4 24.0 46.4 29.6 4.0 40.0 20.0 28.8 4.0 2.4 1.6
Player 49.7 21.6 25.0 3.8 28.2 41.3 30.5 2.8 37.4 18.3 27.4 5.6 8.4 5.4
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 3 348 40.9 79 .270 .365 .374 15.2 21.5 13.8 .264 .366 .357 37.0
2024 Sinker 0.2 0 143 16.8 35 .258 .258 .286 8.9 20.0 23.3 .222 .254 .264 41.7
2024 Changeup 0.2 0 89 10.5 16 .071 .071 .167 24.2 25.0 12.9 .242 .297 .265 36.4
2024 Slider 4.1 4 86 10.1 18 .467 .733 .547 25.8 27.8 11.6 .301 .389 .365 30.0
2024 Cutter -3.6 -3 71 8.3 14 .231 .308 .268 5.4 0.0 0.0 .182 .274 .231 30.8
2024 Curveball 3.1 2 64 7.5 17 .313 .438 .347 16.0 17.6 13.0 .248 .302 .266 38.5
2024 Sweeper -4.5 -1 32 3.8 8 .167 .167 .200 10.0 37.5 20.0 .161 .182 .204 25.0
2024 Split-Finger -6.3 -1 18 2.1 6 .000 .000 .000 40.0 33.3 28.6 .073 .116 .146 25.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 5 1,252 41.1 269 .286 .455 .382 21.5 27.1 19.6 .270 .403 .356 49.7
2023 Sinker -1.8 -8 426 14.0 111 .200 .284 .296 14.9 18.0 19.2 .240 .339 .313 41.3
2023 Slider 0.0 0 392 12.9 108 .210 .410 .296 23.3 27.8 19.2 .238 .435 .310 31.0
2023 Curveball -0.9 -3 330 10.8 72 .227 .348 .276 25.2 23.6 15.0 .237 .394 .296 40.0
2023 Changeup 2.8 6 227 7.5 56 .320 .520 .400 11.9 10.7 9.4 .304 .486 .364 35.6
2023 Cutter 3.3 6 191 6.3 54 .378 .556 .469 19.0 11.1 15.4 .372 .534 .440 48.7
2023 Sweeper -0.4 0 121 4.0 30 .200 .280 .313 24.5 20.0 13.3 .204 .284 .315 10.5
2023 Split-Finger 1.3 1 86 2.8 19 .267 .267 .337 26.7 36.8 21.9 .221 .304 .327 75.0
2023 Slurve 1.0 0 12 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 5 1,125 44.6 271 .316 .410 .364 25.5 25.8 19.0 .280 .412 .340 48.3
2022 Slider 2.5 9 377 14.9 98 .312 .591 .398 27.6 21.4 15.3 .258 .518 .349 44.4
2022 Sinker 0.5 2 320 12.7 83 .243 .419 .349 19.4 14.5 18.5 .276 .392 .335 45.2
2022 Curveball 0.0 0 265 10.5 60 .218 .418 .305 30.8 33.3 23.8 .253 .516 .355 48.6
2022 Changeup 3.9 7 187 7.4 56 .370 .667 .450 16.3 12.5 12.1 .309 .489 .356 40.4
2022 Cutter -1.0 -1 154 6.1 44 .286 .476 .364 20.9 22.7 23.8 .221 .383 .279 21.9
2022 Sweeper 6.9 4 56 2.2 17 .471 1.176 .682 25.9 11.8 10.0 .398 .942 .563 46.7
2022 Split-Finger 0.2 0 41 1.6 14 .214 .500 .296 34.5 35.7 19.2 .244 .519 .324 66.7
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 12 1,205 44.8 260 .295 .400 .391 26.5 27.3 18.8 .250 .388 .353 47.9
2021 Sinker -1.7 -7 429 15.9 111 .219 .292 .304 18.6 15.3 16.7 .207 .276 .278 43.0
2021 Slider 1.3 3 256 9.5 70 .231 .431 .310 24.4 38.6 28.4 .207 .393 .287 59.0
2021 Changeup 2.9 7 244 9.1 62 .305 .695 .419 16.8 11.3 11.7 .286 .592 .374 39.6
2021 Curveball 0.3 1 237 8.8 60 .241 .483 .318 26.2 36.7 27.8 .238 .534 .334 41.7
2021 Cutter 0.5 1 192 7.1 48 .256 .349 .309 20.2 22.9 13.4 .232 .376 .306 40.6
2021 Split-Finger 0.7 1 71 2.6 19 .278 .333 .292 18.2 15.8 8.1 .228 .375 .281 53.3
2021 Sweeper 1.5 1 51 1.9 9 .125 .125 .178 36.8 44.4 23.5 .103 .116 .162 0.0
2021 Slurve 7.5 0 6 0.2 1 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2020 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 135 45.8 32 .111 .222 .228 47.9 56.3 43.9 .143 .237 .247 44.4
2020 Sinker -2.5 -1 44 14.9 7 .167 .167 .229 5.9 28.6 22.2 .199 .274 .284 25.0
2020 Cutter -5.5 -1 27 9.2 8 .125 .250 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .580 .374 42.9
2020 Slider -1.0 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100.0
2020 Curveball 10.9 3 26 8.8 5 .800 1.600 1.010 33.3 0.0 0.0 .636 1.094 .733 60.0
2020 Changeup 7.0 2 25 8.5 10 .333 1.000 .560 15.4 20.0 20.0 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 Split-Finger -9.1 -1 9 3.1 4 .250 .250 .225 16.7 0.0 0.0 .186 .201 .170 25.0
2020 Slurve -4.7 0 3 1.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .440 .466 .396 100.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 1 281 40.1 61 .226 .509 .361 30.7 36.1 24.4 .245 .470 .338 50.0
2019 Slider 1.3 2 117 16.7 33 .226 .484 .327 20.8 30.3 20.4 .213 .454 .279 31.8
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40.0 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12.0 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .350 .459 .363 35.0
2019 Sinker 0.3 0 66 9.4 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19.0 30.8 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Cutter -3.9 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .250 33.3 20.0 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Split-Finger -12.0 -1 5 0.7 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .140 .364 .203 100.0
2019 Sweeper -14.0 0 2 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 50.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 0 -7 4 2 -1
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -3
2021 640 2,691 -2 -15 23 12 18
2022 643 2,525 13 -9 12 10 26
2023 794 3,361 4 -40 27 16 7
2024 193 851 -8 -1 9 3 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 700 46.9 67.1 82.3 25.1 50.5 43.8 23.7 44.7 27.2 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55.0
2021 2,691 50.1 66.4 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.7 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73.0
2022 2,525 51.4 74.0 82.1 29.2 56.1 44.5 41.3 52.2 24.9 7.5 83.7
2023 3,044 49.5 67.2 85.9 20.8 58.6 43.6 28.0 43.8 20.6 7.2 78.6
2024 851 48.6 58.0 90.8 24.5 70.1 47.6 24.9 40.8 15.6 6.0 72.5
Player 10,106 50.0 67.7 83.5 24.0 58.9 44.6 31.4 45.8 22.9 7.1 77.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 29.7 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
Speed OAA Arm
Strength
Bat
Speed
Swing
Length
2019 94 55
2020 97 52
2021 43 23 35 44 57 70 61 77 91 74 25 90 60 82 57 18 26
2022 80 88 82 74 70 83 68 73 89 75 41 41 47 51 45 2 20
2023 67 65 39 30 86 54 30 59 70 53 43 90 74 89 48 89 29
2024 32 33 3 2 77 2 5 42 47 29 48 94 93 70 24 86 20 66 74
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 6.8 0 4 2 5 71.4
2020 21.0 4 3.1 1 1 3 1 25.0
2021 21.5 18 16.6 1 8 14 6 33.3
2022 21.4 27 24.7 2 8 21 10 37.0
2023 20.9 20 18.2 2 11 17 6 30.0
2024 20.0 2 1.0 1 1 2 0 0.0
Player 21.2 78 70.3 8 33 59 28 35.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 7 5 9 7 7 7 6 7 5 7 9 7 6 7 5 5 5 7 7 6 8 9 8 6 6 8 6 8 7 7
2020 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 2
2021 18 21 12 13 16 15 17 19 12 12 15 18 16 16 16 18 17 18 19 16 19 18 20 20 15 16 17 17 19 15 16
2022 27 25 23 22 25 24 26 25 18 20 23 25 27 25 27 24 24 26 22 26 27 28 33 26 20 21 26 29 28 25 20
2023 20 13 15 19 19 19 21 14 17 14 19 21 16 15 22 22 18 14 20 22 15 22 26 24 12 13 17 21 20 20 15
2024 2 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
Player 78 70 59 69 71 69 77 66 56 53 66 79 71 66 77 75 69 66 73 75 71 80 95 83 56 58 71 77 80 70 60
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 90.8 1.9 90.2 -0.6 89.8 -0.4 88.8 -1.0
Launch Angle 13.0 7.1 -5.9 5.0 -2.1 8.2 3.2 7.2 -1.0 6.0 -1.2
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 9.5 -5.9 9.9 0.4 6.5 -3.4 2.4 -4.1
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 45.5 1.9 44.8 -0.7 41.6 -3.2 36.0 -5.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 37.5 41.0 3.5 31.4 -9.6 34.1 2.7 36.7 2.6 30.4 -6.3
xBA .259 .230 -0.029 .236 0.006 .275 0.039 .263 -0.012 .240 -0.023
BA .263 .224 -0.039 .264 0.040 .302 0.038 .262 -0.040 .258 -0.004
xwOBA .330 .300 -0.030 .323 0.023 .344 0.021 .339 -0.005 .302 -0.037
wOBA .328 .314 -0.014 .337 0.023 .368 0.031 .340 -0.028 .317 -0.023
xSLG .455 .377 -0.078 .401 0.024 .459 0.058 .406 -0.053 .313 -0.093
SLG .454 .433 -0.021 .415 -0.018 .492 0.077 .414 -0.078 .337 -0.077
K% 29.6 36.8 7.2 25.2 -11.6 22.8 -2.4 22.8 0.0 21.2 -1.6
BB% 7.7 11.8 4.1 12.5 0.7 7.4 -5.1 12.8 5.4 13.5 0.7
Swing % 44.7 40.3 -4.4 44.7 4.4 52.2 7.5 43.8 -8.4 40.8 -3.0
Whiff% 27.2 29.4 2.2 23.5 -5.9 24.9 1.4 20.6 -4.3 15.6 -5.0
In Zone % 46.9 51.9 5.0 50.1 -1.8 51.4 1.3 49.5 -1.9 48.6 -0.9
Out of Zone % 53.1 48.1 -5.0 49.9 1.8 48.6 -1.3 50.5 1.9 51.4 0.9
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 20.4 -4.7 22.9 2.5 29.2 6.3 20.8 -8.4 24.5 3.7
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 30.3 6.6 29.4 -0.9 41.3 11.9 28.0 -13.3 24.9 -3.1
First Pitch Strike % 55.0 57.9 2.9 59.0 1.1 62.7 3.7 56.5 -6.2 59.6 3.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

wOBA
SeasonAlignment TypeBat SidePAShifts/Shades%No Shift/ShadeShift/Shade
2019 Shifts L 170 106 62.4 .366 .302
2020 Shifts L 74 32 43.2 .304 .327
2021 Shifts L 640 252 39.4 .303 .390
2022 Shifts L 643 249 38.7 .371 .364
2023 Shades L 722 254 35.2 .337 .345
2024 Shades L 193 109 56.5 .277 .347
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 189 16.7 31.2% 1.6% 142 22.5 0.0% 7.0%
2020 83 16.9 27.7% 2.4% 59 22.7 0.0% 10.2%
2021 803 17.4 23.2% 2.4% 460 22.7 0.7% 8.3%
2022 637 17.4 22.9% 1.6% 405 22.5 0.7% 7.7%
2023 783 15.5 41.4% 0.5% 659 18.8 7.3% 0.5%
2024 206 15.4 43.7% 0.5% 172 17.8 11.0% 0.0%
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Statcast Rankings