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Nathaniel Lowe
1B | B/T: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

PA AB R H HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 642 557 75 147 18 72 8 .264 .357 .415 .771
3 Seasons 887 776 109 202 29 102 9 .260 .347 .424 .771
AVG HR RBI SB OPS
2021 .264 18 72 8 .771
3 Seasons .260 29 102 9 .771

Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 24 701 104 11 10.6 91.3 114.3 13 37.5 .257 .452 .326 .328 .437 45.2 30 7.6
2020 25 295 39 6 15.4 88.9 114.8 7.1 41 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 26 2691 398 38 9.5 90.8 113.9 5 31.4 .236 .400 .337 .323 .380 45.5 25.2 12.5
3687 541 55 10.2 90.8 114.8 6.7 33.3 .240 .408 .333 .322 .396 45.3 27.1 11.5
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Other
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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # % PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Fastballs 1825 67.8 418 348 94 72 16 1 5 99 250 .270 .236 .365 .356 .341 .327 90.5 4 23.9 17.6
2021 Breaking 550 20.4 141 132 30 18 4 1 7 53 80 .227 .214 .432 .434 .298 .295 92.1 11 25.8 27.2
2021 Offspeed 315 11.7 81 77 23 12 4 1 6 10 68 .299 .272 .610 .538 .385 .351 90.5 3 17.2 10.3
2020 Fastballs 207 70.2 47 41 5 3 1 0 1 21 20 .122 .186 .220 .310 .214 .274 88.3 12 32.5 36.8
2020 Breaking 55 18.6 13 13 6 4 1 0 1 5 8 .462 .377 .769 .572 .519 .405 96.9 9 30.4 21.7
2020 Offspeed 33 11.2 14 13 4 2 0 0 2 2 11 .308 .222 .769 .392 .459 .291 84.3 -4 15.8 15.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6
2020 46.2 15.4 38.5 0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4
2021 54.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5
51.4 22.6 23.5 2.6 27 39.9 33.1 2.2 40.1 17.2 24.6 5.7 10.2
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Splitter 0.8 1 71 2.6 19 .278 .333 .292 18.2 15.8 8.1 .228 .375 .281 53.3
2021 Cutter 0.9 2 188 7 46 .268 .366 .323 20.8 23.9 13.8 .237 .386 .313 40
2021 Changeup 3.1 7 244 9.1 62 .305 .695 .419 16.8 11.3 11.7 .285 .588 .372 39.6
2021 Curveball 0.9 2 257 9.6 65 .242 .516 .346 24.8 35.4 26.4 .239 .548 .355 41
2021 Slider 1 3 294 10.9 76 .214 .357 .271 26.7 39.5 27.8 .192 .333 .254 56.1
2021 Sinker -2 -9 462 17.2 116 .198 .267 .275 19.7 18.1 18.6 .193 .258 .263 42.5
2021 4-Seamer 1.2 14 1175 43.7 256 .306 .413 .4 26.1 26.2 18.2 .257 .399 .36 47.9
2020 Splitter -8.3 -1 9 3.1 4 .25 .25 .225 16.7 0 0 .186 .201 .17 25
2020 Curveball 9.3 3 29 9.8 6 .667 1.333 .842 27.3 0 0 .603 .989 .677 66.7
2020 Slider -1 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100
2020 Sinker -1.5 -1 52 17.6 8 .167 .167 .288 5.6 25 15.4 .199 .274 .336 25
2020 Cutter -5.7 -1 26 8.8 8 .125 .25 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .58 .374 42.9
2020 Changeup 7.3 2 24 8.1 10 .333 1 .56 15.4 20 20 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 4-Seamer -2.1 -3 129 43.7 31 .111 .222 .213 48.9 58.1 48.6 .143 .237 .232 44.4
2019 N/A 5.4 0 4 0.6 1 1 2 1.25 0 0 0 .833 2.746 1.426 100
2019 Splitter -12 -1 5 0.7 2 0 0 0 50 50 50 .14 .364 .203 100
2019 Cutter -3.5 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .25 33.3 20 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Sinker 0.5 0 67 9.6 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19 28.6 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .35 .459 .363 35
2019 Slider 0.5 1 119 17 34 .219 .469 .291 21.8 32.4 21.6 .206 .44 .271 31.8
2019 4-Seamer -0.3 -1 280 40 61 .226 .509 .347 30.7 36.1 24.7 .245 .47 .338 50
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 -2 -7 4 2 -3
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -2
2021 640 2691 -2 -14 23 12 20
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 701 47 66.9 82.3 25.3 50 43.6 23.5 44.8 27.4 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55
2021 2691 50.2 66.2 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.6 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73
3687 49.7 65.7 81.2 23.2 58.6 44.7 28.4 44.3 24.7 7.1 71.5
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 29.2 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% Speed OAA
2019 56
2020 55
2021 43 23 36 44 57 70 61 77 74 25 90 60 56 17
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 7.8 -1 1 7 3 42.9
2020 21 4 3.6 0 1 3 0 0
2021 21.5 18 21 -3 9 14 1 5.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 7 11 7 9 6 10 7 7 8 9 9 6 9 8 10 8 8 7 7 4 7 7 7 6 10 9 7 9 6 9
2020 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 1 4 3 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 4
2021 18 20 24 18 22 16 16 24 16 19 16 21 12 17 16 22 13 23 21 20 9 16 19 23 20 21 21 17 21 15 24
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 90.8 1.9
Launch Angle 13 7.1 -5.9 5 -2.1
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 9.5 -5.9
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 45.5 1.9
Sweet Spot % 37.5 41 3.5 31.4 -9.6
xBA .259 .23 -0.029 .236 0.006
BA .263 .224 -0.039 .264 0.04
xwOBA .33 .3 -0.03 .323 0.023
wOBA .328 .314 -0.014 .337 0.023
xSLG .455 .377 -0.078 .4 0.023
SLG .454 .433 -0.021 .415 -0.018
K% 29.6 36.8 7.2 25.2 -11.6
BB% 7.7 11.8 4.1 12.5 0.7
Swing % 44.7 40.3 -4.4 44.7 4.4
Whiff% 27.2 29.4 2.2 23.5 -5.9
In Zone % 47.1 51.9 4.8 50.2 -1.7
Out of Zone % 52.9 48.1 -4.8 49.8 1.7
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 20.4 -4.7 22.9 2.5
First Pitch Swing % 23.7 30.3 6.6 29.4 -0.9
First Pitch Strike % 55 57.9 2.9 59 1.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

SeasonBat SidePAShifts%wOBA - No ShiftwOBA - Shift
2019 L 170 78 45.9 .343 .306
2020 L 74 27 36.5 .313 .315
2021 L 640 176 27.5 .317 .389

Statcast Rankings