Nathaniel Lowe
1B | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 4" 220LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 13, #390, Tampa Bay Rays | Mississippi State
PA AB R H HR SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 642 557 75 147 18 8 .264 .357 .415 .772
2022 645 593 74 179 27 2 .302 .358 .492 .850
2023 716 616 88 161 17 1 .261 .360 .412 .772
5 Seasons 2,248 1,985 271 542 73 12 .273 .355 .441 .796
AVG HR SB OPS
2021 .264 18 8 .772
2022 .302 27 2 .850
2023 .261 17 1 .772
5 Seasons .273 73 12 .796
MLB Percentile Rankings
Hits Spray Chart

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Statcast Batting Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB%
2019 23 700 104 11 10.6 6.5 91.3 114.3 13.0 37.5 .259 .455 .328 .330 .437 45.2 29.6 7.7
2020 24 295 39 6 15.4 7.9 88.9 114.8 7.1 41.0 .230 .377 .314 .300 .444 43.6 36.8 11.8
2021 25 2691 398 38 9.5 5.9 90.8 113.9 5.0 31.4 .236 .401 .337 .323 .381 45.5 25.2 12.5
2022 26 2525 446 44 9.9 6.8 90.2 113.0 8.2 34.1 .275 .459 .368 .344 .419 44.8 22.8 7.4
2023 27 2978 457 29 6.3 4.1 89.8 111.2 7.2 36.5 .261 .400 .340 .338 .381 41.8 22.3 12.9
Player 9189 1444 128 8.9 5.7 90.3 114.8 7.3 34.6 .257 .421 .346 .334 .398 44.0 24.3 10.8
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.




Fastball: 4 Seam, 2 Seam, Cutter, Sinker. Offspeed: Split, Change, Fork, Screw. Breaking: Slider, Curve, Knuckle, Sweeper, Slurve, Other
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 41.3 22.1 27.9 8.7 31.7 40.4 27.9 1.0 29.8 22.1 26.9 9.6 10.6 6.5
2020 46.2 17.9 35.9 0.0 35.9 38.5 25.6 5.1 33.3 10.3 28.2 7.7 15.4 7.9
2021 54.5 23.4 20.9 1.3 24.9 39.9 35.2 2.3 43.5 16.6 23.6 4.5 9.5 5.9
2022 48.2 21.5 26.0 4.3 30.7 40.8 28.5 3.4 35.0 18.4 28.0 5.2 9.9 6.8
2023 48.1 20.1 26.7 5.0 28.7 41.6 29.8 2.6 35.9 19.3 29.5 6.3 6.3 4.1
Player 49.4 21.5 25.2 3.9 28.7 40.7 30.6 2.7 37.2 18.2 27.2 5.7 8.9 5.7
MLB 44.7 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.4 5 1,226 41.2 265 .286 .459 .384 22.0 27.5 20.2 .266 .397 .355 50.3
2023 Sinker -2.1 -9 422 14.2 110 .191 .255 .285 15.0 17.3 18.6 .230 .316 .305 41.3
2023 Slider 0.1 0 383 12.9 109 .225 .412 .300 21.4 25.7 18.8 .250 .436 .312 29.3
2023 Curveball -0.9 -3 339 11.4 73 .224 .343 .273 25.8 24.7 15.7 .236 .392 .295 40.0
2023 Changeup 2.9 7 234 7.9 58 .327 .519 .402 12.5 12.1 10.8 .302 .467 .356 34.8
2023 Cutter 3.7 7 182 6.1 51 .372 .581 .473 18.3 11.8 14.3 .358 .524 .429 51.4
2023 Sweeper -0.7 -1 102 3.4 26 .190 .286 .327 25.0 15.4 11.4 .210 .296 .338 11.8
2023 Splitter 1.5 1 74 2.5 14 .200 .200 .329 22.7 28.6 14.3 .199 .314 .358 83.3
2023 Slurve 1.3 0 7 0.2 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2023 Forkball 19.9 0 2 0.1 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .457 .548 .445 100.0
2022 4-Seamer 0.5 5 1,122 44.4 271 .318 .412 .364 25.4 25.8 19.0 .282 .413 .339 48.0
2022 Slider 2.6 10 369 14.6 97 .304 .576 .399 27.0 21.6 15.6 .253 .515 .346 43.7
2022 Sinker 0.6 2 324 12.8 84 .243 .419 .354 19.3 14.3 18.2 .276 .392 .340 45.2
2022 Curveball 0.1 0 266 10.5 60 .218 .418 .305 30.8 33.3 23.5 .253 .516 .355 48.6
2022 Changeup 3.9 7 187 7.4 56 .370 .667 .450 16.3 12.5 12.1 .309 .489 .356 40.4
2022 Cutter -1.1 -2 162 6.4 44 .286 .500 .351 23.9 22.7 22.2 .223 .385 .281 25.0
2022 Sweeper 7.0 4 54 2.1 17 .471 1.176 .682 25.9 11.8 11.1 .398 .942 .563 46.7
2022 Splitter 0.2 0 41 1.6 14 .214 .500 .296 34.5 35.7 19.2 .244 .519 .324 66.7
2021 4-Seamer 1.0 12 1,204 44.7 261 .294 .398 .389 26.4 27.2 18.7 .249 .387 .352 47.5
2021 Sinker -1.7 -7 434 16.1 111 .219 .292 .304 18.6 15.3 16.5 .207 .276 .278 43.0
2021 Slider 1.5 4 258 9.6 71 .242 .439 .318 24.2 38.0 28.7 .211 .396 .289 57.5
2021 Changeup 2.9 7 243 9.0 62 .305 .695 .419 16.8 11.3 11.9 .286 .592 .374 39.6
2021 Curveball 0.3 1 239 8.9 61 .237 .475 .313 25.9 36.1 27.5 .235 .526 .329 40.5
2021 Cutter 0.5 1 189 7.0 47 .262 .357 .316 20.6 23.4 13.8 .236 .383 .311 41.9
2021 Splitter 0.7 1 71 2.6 19 .278 .333 .292 18.2 15.8 8.1 .228 .375 .281 53.3
2021 Sweeper 0.2 0 47 1.7 7 .000 .000 .100 41.2 57.1 23.5 .048 .054 .137 0.0
2021 Slurve 7.5 0 6 0.2 1 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2020 4-Seamer -1.9 -3 135 45.8 32 .111 .222 .228 47.9 56.3 43.9 .143 .237 .247 44.4
2020 Sinker -2.5 -1 44 14.9 7 .167 .167 .229 5.9 28.6 22.2 .199 .274 .284 25.0
2020 Cutter -5.5 -1 27 9.2 8 .125 .250 .156 8.3 12.5 14.3 .322 .580 .374 42.9
2020 Curveball 10.9 3 26 8.8 5 .800 1.600 1.010 33.3 0.0 0.0 .636 1.094 .733 60.0
2020 Slider -1.0 0 26 8.8 7 .286 .286 .257 33.3 71.4 35.7 .183 .215 .171 100.0
2020 Changeup 7.0 2 25 8.5 10 .333 1.000 .560 15.4 20.0 20.0 .238 .477 .339 28.6
2020 Splitter -9.1 -1 9 3.1 4 .250 .250 .225 16.7 0.0 0.0 .186 .201 .170 25.0
2020 Slurve -4.7 0 3 1.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .440 .466 .396 100.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.2 0 281 40.1 61 .226 .509 .361 30.7 36.1 24.4 .245 .470 .338 50.0
2019 Slider 1.3 2 117 16.7 33 .226 .484 .327 20.8 30.3 20.4 .213 .454 .279 31.8
2019 Curveball -1.4 -1 85 12.1 16 .214 .214 .256 40.0 43.8 25.9 .208 .241 .259 71.4
2019 Changeup 1.3 1 84 12.0 24 .391 .435 .381 10.3 12.5 14.3 .350 .459 .363 35.0
2019 Sinker 0.2 0 66 9.4 21 .333 .556 .426 27.6 19.0 30.8 .298 .523 .393 57.1
2019 Cutter -3.8 -2 55 7.9 10 .222 .222 .250 33.3 20.0 15.4 .262 .379 .312 28.6
2019 Splitter -12.0 -1 5 0.7 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 50.0 .140 .364 .203 100.0
2019 Sweeper -14.0 0 2 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 50.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 170 700 0 -7 4 2 -1
2020 77 305 -2 -3 1 2 -3
2021 640 2,691 -2 -15 23 12 18
2022 643 2,525 13 -9 12 10 26
2023 710 2,978 4 -32 24 14 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Swing % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 700 46.9 67.1 82.3 25.1 50.5 43.8 23.7 44.7 27.2 5.7 72.5
2020 295 51.9 58.8 73.3 20.4 62.1 48.1 30.3 40.3 29.4 6.8 55.0
2021 2,691 50.1 66.4 81.8 22.9 60.9 44.7 29.4 44.7 23.5 7.4 73.0
2022 2,525 51.4 74.0 82.1 29.2 56.1 44.5 41.3 52.2 24.9 7.5 83.7
2023 2,978 49.5 67.5 85.8 20.7 59.2 43.8 28.2 43.9 20.5 7.4 78.5
Player 9,189 50.1 68.7 83.0 23.9 58.0 44.4 32.0 46.4 23.5 7.3 77.3
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 29.6 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Max EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		Speed OAA Arm
Strength
2019 94 56
2020 97 55
2021 43 23 35 44 57 70 61 77 91 74 25 90 60 82 57 18 27
2022 80 88 82 74 70 83 68 73 89 75 41 41 47 51 43 2 20
2023 65 62 35 27 86 53 28 59 70 55 48 90 75 89 49 73 28
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 21.4 7 6.8 0 4 2 5 71.4
2020 21.0 4 3.1 1 1 3 1 25.0
2021 21.5 18 16.6 1 8 14 6 33.3
2022 21.4 27 24.7 2 8 21 10 37.0
2023 21.0 17 15.7 1 6 15 5 29.4
Player 21.3 73 66.8 6 27 55 27 37.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 7 5 9 7 7 7 6 7 5 7 9 7 6 7 5 5 5 7 7 6 8 9 8 6 6 8 6 8 7 7
2020 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 2
2021 18 21 12 13 16 15 17 19 12 12 15 18 16 16 16 18 17 18 19 16 19 18 20 20 15 16 17 17 19 15 16
2022 27 25 23 22 25 24 26 25 18 20 23 25 27 25 27 24 24 26 22 26 27 28 33 26 20 21 26 29 28 25 20
2023 17 12 13 14 17 17 19 12 15 11 17 18 14 13 19 19 16 12 19 19 13 18 21 20 10 11 15 18 17 18 13
Player 73 68 57 62 69 66 73 63 54 50 64 74 67 63 73 70 66 63 70 71 68 75 87 77 54 56 69 74 75 68 58
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Exit Velocity 91.3 88.9 -2.4 ↓ 90.8 1.9 ↑ 90.2 -0.6 ↓ 89.8 -0.4 ↓
Launch Angle 13.0 7.1 -5.9 ↓ 5.0 -2.1 ↓ 8.2 3.2 ↑ 7.2 -1.0 ↓
Barrel % 10.6 15.4 4.8 ↑ 9.5 -5.9 ↓ 9.9 0.4 ↑ 6.3 -3.6 ↓
Hard Hit % 45.2 43.6 -1.6 ↓ 45.5 1.9 ↑ 44.8 -0.7 ↓ 41.8 -3.0 ↓
Sweet Spot % 37.5 41.0 3.5 ↑ 31.4 -9.6 ↓ 34.1 2.7 ↑ 36.5 2.4 ↑
xBA .259 .230 -0.029 ↓ .236 0.006 ↑ .275 0.039 ↑ .261 -0.014 ↓
BA .263 .224 -0.039 ↓ .264 0.040 ↑