Michael Kopech
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 210LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #33, Boston Red Sox | Mt Pleasant (TX) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 9 3.54 25 25 0 119.1 105 1.19
3 Seasons 10 13 3.64 73 33 0 203.0 223 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 25 5-9 3.54 119.1 105 1.19
3 Seasons 73 10-13 3.64 203.0 223 1.19

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 256 46 6 13.0 8.8 91.9 109.7 22.1 41.3 .317 .611 .427 .423 .517 47.8 22.1 2.9 5.02 8.47
2021 25 1154 157 14 8.9 4.9 88.3 110.3 18.6 31.2 .185 .332 .280 .261 .369 35.7 36.1 8.4 3.50 2.83
2022 26 2011 329 29 8.8 5.9 89.9 113.7 18.3 28.9 .216 .375 .286 .308 .337 41.6 21.3 11.5 3.54 3.94
Player 3421 532 49 9.2 5.8 89.6 113.7 18.8 30.6 .214 .380 .296 .302 .362 40.5 26.3 9.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kopech relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(61.8%) ,
Slider
(26.8%) ,
Curveball
(10.2%) ,
Changeup
(1.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 28.3 26.1 32.6 13.0 39.1 34.8 26.1 0.0 23.9 26.1 26.1 10.9 13.0 8.8
2021 39.5 27.4 22.3 10.8 37.6 33.1 29.3 3.8 28.7 29.3 22.3 4.5 8.9 4.9
2022 35.9 35.3 18.8 10.0 37.4 38.3 24.3 3.6 24.9 35.3 20.4 6.4 8.8 5.9
Player 36.3 32.1 21.1 10.5 37.6 36.5 25.9 3.4 25.9 32.7 21.4 6.2 9.2 5.8
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Changeup CWS R 24 85.1 27.5 -4.2 -13 13.1 -1.1 -8
2022 Slider CWS R 539 84.3 40.2 3.2 9 4.7 -2.5 -35
2022 4-Seamer CWS R 1,239 94.9 11.9 2.3 16 9.9 2.5 34
2022 Curveball CWS R 204 78.4 51.9 -2.6 -5 8.0 -1.8 -19
2021 Slider CWS R 334 84.1 39.3 2.0 5 9.2 2.7 41
2021 Curveball CWS R 39 78.7 51.3 -3.1 -6 9.7 0.4 4
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 726 97.3 10.5 2.5 19 9.8 1.8 23
2021 Changeup CWS R 29 89.7 24.6 -3.5 -13 14.6 0.3 2
2018 Curveball CWS R 29 78.2 49.7 -6.5 -12 6.9 -2.1 -24
2018 Slider CWS R 42 82.8 41.3 1.4 3 7.9 2.0 34
2018 4-Seamer CWS R 160 95.4 13.1 1.6 11 10.6 3.2 42
2018 Changeup CWS R 25 88.6 28.5 -0.4 -1 13.8 -0.3 -2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -0.5 -6 1,242 61.8 292 .189 .337 .303 25.6 23.6 21.0 .205 .360 .316 45.2
2022 Slider 0.6 3 539 26.8 152 .230 .417 .306 21.3 18.4 14.1 .241 .426 .316 40.7
2022 Curveball -1.7 -4 205 10.2 45 .143 .190 .182 24.7 17.8 16.0 .199 .317 .255 26.5
2022 Changeup -1.0 0 25 1.2 5 .200 .200 .180 12.5 0.0 0.0 .190 .233 .175 40.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.7 -5 726 62.9 173 .212 .397 .313 31.7 34.1 29.4 .196 .368 .290 45.7
2021 Slider -0.4 -1 334 28.9 92 .193 .352 .244 36.0 42.4 31.7 .177 .301 .226 22.0
2021 Curveball -0.6 0 39 3.4 5 .400 .400 .360 30.8 20.0 20.0 .145 .158 .134 0.0
2021 Changeup 0.0 0 29 2.5 8 .250 .250 .225 25.0 25.0 14.3 .149 .178 .147 16.7
2018 4-Seamer 0.9 1 160 62.5 50 .333 .622 .434 17.0 20.0 18.9 .314 .621 .423 48.6
2018 Slider -2.8 -1 42 16.4 8 .250 .250 .225 40.0 50.0 21.1 .203 .233 .193 25.0
2018 Curveball 7.4 2 29 11.3 6 .500 1.500 .775 16.7 0.0 0.0 .551 1.320 .749 50.0
2018 Changeup -1.8 0 25 9.8 4 .250 .250 .225 30.0 25.0 25.0 .346 .545 .371 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 27 89.7 91 17.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Curveball 39 78.7 68 14.2 7:30 7:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 719 97.3 96 20.8 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 331 84.1 42 10.3 8:15 8:30 -15
2022 Changeup 24 85.3 94 17.1 1:15 1:45 -30
2022 Curveball 203 78.4 63 13.0 7:30 7:15 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,217 94.9 97 20.9 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 527 84.3 31 6.8 8:30 7:45 45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 68 256 -2 1 1 3 2
2021 295 1,199 2 -16 6 3 -5
2022 494 2,010 -11 -23 17 11 -6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 256 54.3 68.3 85.3 29.9 60.0 43.0 70.6 50.8 21.5 8.2 90.5
2021 1,154 53.8 63.9 72.9 26.3 51.1 44.9 63.0 46.5 32.8 7.6 70.9
2022 2,011 48.6 65.1 82.4 25.6 59.6 39.2 56.7 44.8 24.2 7.6 79.1
Player 3,421 50.8 64.9 79.4 26.1 57.0 41.4 59.9 45.8 26.9 7.7 77.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2018 87 98 77
2021 93 95 85 62 94 61 30 60 72 97 47 88 33 96 98 77
2022 45 74 54 31 43 23 24 15 18 40 8 37 11 72 98 36 79
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 22.5 4 4.9 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2021 24.1 10 9.3 1 4 7 4 40.0
2022 24.1 15 13.4 2 9 11 6 40.0
Player 23.8 29 27.6 1 14 20 13 44.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 4 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 6
2021 10 9 12 8 9 10 10 11 10 10 9 8 6 8 8 10 11 10 9 9 11 8 9 8 8 10 10 8 11 7 13
2022 15 16 16 13 13 15 12 13 11 14 16 10 10 9 9 13 16 17 13 13 20 13 11 13 14 13 17 11 11 10 20
Player 29 30 34 26 27 30 27 29 25 28 30 23 21 21 22 28 31 32 26 27 36 26 25 26 27 28 32 24 27 21 39
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.3 94.9 -2.4 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 89.7 85.2 -4.5 ↓
Breaking Velocity 83.5 82.7 -0.8 ↓
Exit Velocity 88.3 89.9 1.6 ↑
Launch Angle 18.6 18.3 -0.3 ↓
Barrel % 8.9 8.8 -0.1 ↓
Hard Hit % 35.7 41.6 5.9 ↑
Sweet Spot % 31.2 28.9 -2.3 ↓
xBA .185 .216 0.031 ↑
BA .21 .198 -0.012 ↓
xwOBA .261 .308 0.047 ↑
wOBA .28 .286 0.006 ↑
xSLG .332 .375 0.043 ↑
SLG .374 .347 -0.027 ↓
K% 36.1 21.3 -14.8 ↓
BB% 8.4 11.5 3.1 ↑
Swing % 46.5 44.8 -1.7 ↓
Whiff% 32.8 24.2 -8.6 ↓
In Zone % 53.8 48.6 -5.2 ↓
Out of Zone % 46.2 51.4 5.2 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 25.6 -0.7 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 28.5 26.5 -2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 63 56.7 -6.3 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 68 .427 34 0 0.0 34 11 32.4
2021 278 .280 164 6 3.7 114 46 40.4
2022 492 .285 277 60 21.7 215 141 65.6

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 55 15.0 50.9% 1.8% 50 23.2 0.0% 12.0%
2021 397 21.3 1.0% 5.8% 154 24.0 0.6% 16.9%
2022 640 21.1 1.3% 5.6% 316 23.6 0.0% 12.7%
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Pitch Distribution

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