Michael Kopech
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 210LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #33, Boston Red Sox | Mt Pleasant (TX) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 4 4.24 10 10 0 57.1 60 1.22
4 Seasons 13 17 3.77 83 43 0 260.1 283 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 10 3-4 4.24 57.1 60 1.22
4 Seasons 83 13-17 3.77 260.1 283 1.20

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 256 46 6 13.0 8.8 91.9 109.7 22.1 41.3 .317 .611 .427 .423 .517 47.8 22.1 2.9 5.02 8.47
2021 25 1154 157 14 8.9 4.9 88.3 110.3 18.6 31.2 .185 .332 .280 .261 .368 35.7 36.1 8.4 3.50 2.83
2022 26 2011 329 29 8.8 5.9 89.9 113.7 18.3 28.9 .216 .375 .286 .308 .337 41.6 21.3 11.5 3.54 3.94
2023 27 956 146 22 15.1 9.2 90.3 115.8 18.6 34.2 .236 .461 .320 .355 .423 43.8 25.1 12.1 4.24 5.30
Player 4377 678 71 10.5 6.5 89.8 115.8 18.7 31.4 .218 .397 .301 .313 .375 41.2 26.1 10.3
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kopech relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(63.7%) ,
Slider
(22.6%) ,
Curveball
(7.4%) ,
Changeup
(6.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 28.3 26.1 32.6 13.0 39.1 34.8 26.1 0.0 23.9 26.1 26.1 10.9 13.0 8.8
2021 39.5 27.4 22.3 10.8 37.6 33.1 29.3 3.8 28.7 29.3 22.3 4.5 8.9 4.9
2022 35.9 35.3 18.8 10.0 37.4 38.3 24.3 3.6 24.9 35.3 20.4 6.4 8.8 5.9
2023 35.6 32.9 20.5 11.0 37.7 37.0 25.3 4.1 26.0 28.8 19.2 6.8 15.1 9.2
Player 36.1 32.3 20.9 10.6 37.6 36.6 25.8 3.5 26.0 31.9 20.9 6.3 10.5 6.5
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider CWS R 216 85.1 38.0 2.0 6 4.9 -0.4 -7
2023 4-Seamer CWS R 609 95.8 12.0 1.8 13 9.7 2.0 26
2023 Curveball CWS R 71 80.9 49.9 -1.3 -2 6.0 -2.8 -32
2023 Changeup CWS R 60 89.1 26.7 -2.2 -8 15.2 0.3 2
2022 4-Seamer CWS R 1,238 94.9 11.9 2.3 16 9.9 2.5 34
2022 Curveball CWS R 205 78.4 51.9 -2.7 -5 8.0 -1.8 -18
2022 Changeup CWS R 24 85.1 27.5 -4.2 -13 13.1 -1.2 -9
2022 Slider CWS R 538 84.3 40.2 3.2 9 4.7 -1.4 -23
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 726 97.3 10.5 2.5 19 9.8 1.8 23
2021 Curveball CWS R 39 78.7 51.3 -3.2 -6 9.7 0.4 5
2021 Changeup CWS R 29 89.7 24.6 -3.5 -13 14.6 0.3 2
2021 Slider CWS R 334 84.1 39.3 2.1 6 9.2 3.4 58
2018 Slider CWS R 42 82.8 41.3 1.4 4 7.9 2.4 42
2018 Changeup CWS R 25 88.6 28.5 -0.4 -1 13.8 -0.3 -2
2018 Curveball CWS R 29 78.2 49.7 -6.5 -12 6.9 -2.1 -24
2018 4-Seamer CWS R 160 95.4 13.1 1.6 11 10.6 3.2 42
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.7 -4 609 63.7 147 .217 .435 .353 30.2 25.9 23.6 .228 .427 .368 43.8
2023 Slider 0.6 1 216 22.6 67 .219 .438 .295 23.5 26.9 25.0 .260 .543 .353 52.2
2023 Curveball 0.0 0 71 7.4 15 .133 .533 .267 15.4 20.0 17.6 .224 .537 .317 25.0
2023 Changeup -1.5 -1 60 6.3 10 .000 .000 .070 33.3 10.0 5.6 .186 .203 .228 25.0
2022 4-Seamer -0.5 -6 1,241 61.7 292 .189 .337 .303 25.6 23.6 21.0 .205 .360 .316 45.2
2022 Slider 0.7 4 538 26.8 151 .232 .420 .308 21.3 18.5 14.1 .242 .429 .319 41.1
2022 Curveball -1.9 -4 206 10.2 46 .140 .186 .178 24.4 17.4 16.0 .195 .310 .249 25.7
2022 Changeup -1.0 0 25 1.2 5 .200 .200 .180 12.5 0.0 0.0 .190 .233 .175 40.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.7 -5 726 62.9 173 .212 .397 .313 31.7 34.1 29.4 .196 .368 .290 45.7
2021 Slider -0.4 -1 334 28.9 92 .193 .352 .244 36.0 42.4 31.7 .177 .301 .226 22.0
2021 Curveball -0.6 0 39 3.4 5 .400 .400 .360 30.8 20.0 20.0 .145 .158 .134 0.0
2021 Changeup 0.0 0 29 2.5 8 .250 .250 .225 25.0 25.0 14.3 .149 .178 .147 16.7
2018 4-Seamer 0.9 1 160 62.5 50 .333 .622 .434 17.0 20.0 18.9 .314 .621 .423 48.6
2018 Slider -2.8 -1 42 16.4 8 .250 .250 .225 40.0 50.0 21.1 .203 .233 .193 25.0
2018 Curveball 7.4 2 29 11.3 6 .500 1.500 .775 16.7 0.0 0.0 .551 1.320 .749 50.0
2018 Changeup -1.8 0 25 9.8 4 .250 .250 .225 30.0 25.0 25.0 .346 .545 .371 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 27 89.7 91 17.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Curveball 39 78.7 68 14.2 7:30 7:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 719 97.3 96 20.8 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 331 84.1 42 10.3 8:15 8:30 -15
2022 Changeup 24 85.3 94 17.1 1:15 1:45 -30
2022 Curveball 204 78.4 63 13.0 7:30 7:15 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,216 94.9 97 20.9 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 526 84.3 31 6.8 8:30 7:45 45
2023 Changeup 57 89.2 91 17.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2023 Curveball 70 81.0 61 12.1 7:30 7:00 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 608 95.8 95 20.3 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Slider 213 85.2 32 6.1 8:30 8:30 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 68 256 -2 1 1 3 2
2021 295 1,199 2 -16 6 3 -5
2022 494 2,010 -11 -23 17 10 -6
2023 239 956 -4 -13 7 5 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 256 53.9 68.1 85.1 30.5 61.1 43.0 70.6 50.8 21.5 8.2 90.5
2021 1,154 53.7 63.9 72.9 26.4 51.4 45.1 63.0 46.5 32.8 7.6 70.9
2022 2,011 48.6 65.0 82.4 25.7 59.6 39.3 56.7 44.8 24.2 7.6 79.1
2023 956 47.9 62.7 80.8 27.5 54.0 40.8 59.0 44.4 27.8 6.7 76.6
Player 4,377 50.1 64.4 79.6 26.5 56.4 41.4 59.7 45.5 27.1 7.4 77.2
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2018 87 98 77
2021 93 95 85 62 94 61 30 60 72 97 47 88 34 96 98 77
2022 45 74 54 30 43 23 24 15 18 40 8 37 11 72 98 35 79
2023 19 56 24 13 26 1 3 24 23 64 17 65 41 85 95 37 81
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 22.5 4 4.9 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2021 24.1 10 9.3 1 3 8 4 40.0
2022 24.1 15 13.6 1 9 11 6 40.0
2023 23.3 12 11.4 1 4 10 5 41.7
Player 23.7 41 39.2 2 17 31 18 43.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 4 5 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4
2021 10 11 9 9 9 9 10 7 8 6 8 11 9 8 9 11 9 8 9 10 8 11 13 10 8 8 11 12 10 9 9
2022 15 13 15 17 12 13 13 11 10 10 10 16 16 12 13 14 12 11 14 13 14 11 21 16 10 11 16 21 17 12 13
2023 12 11 8 14 17 10 9 9 11 8 8 17 12 11 14 13 13 11 13 16 10 9 15 13 8 8 13 12 10 10 9
Player 41 40 36 45 42 37 37 32 33 29 31 50 42 36 41 43 39 35 41 44 37 36 55 44 31 32 44 50 42 36 35
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.3 94.9 -2.4 95.8 0.9
Offspeed Velocity 89.7 85.2 -4.5 89.1 3.9
Breaking Velocity 83.5 82.7 -0.8 84.1 1.4
Exit Velocity 88.3 89.9 1.6 90.3 0.4
Launch Angle 18.6 18.3 -0.3 18.6 0.3
Barrel % 8.9 8.8 -0.1 15.1 6.3
Hard Hit % 35.7 41.6 5.9 43.8 2.2
Sweet Spot % 31.2 28.9 -2.3 34.2 5.3
xBA .185 .216 0.031 .236 0.020
BA .210 .198 -0.012 .202 0.004
xwOBA .261 .308 0.047 .355 0.047
wOBA .280 .286 0.006 .320 0.034
xSLG .332 .375 0.043 .461 0.086
SLG .374 .347 -0.027 .424 0.077
K% 36.1 21.3 -14.8 25.1 3.8
BB% 8.4 11.5 3.1 12.1 0.6
Swing % 46.5 44.8 -1.7 44.4 -0.4
Whiff% 32.8 24.2 -8.6 27.8 3.6
In Zone % 53.7 48.6 -5.1 47.9 -0.7
Out of Zone % 46.3 51.4 5.1 52.1 0.7
Out of Zone Swing % 26.4 25.7 -0.7 27.5 1.8
First Pitch Swing % 28.5 26.5 -2.0 27.2 0.7
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 56.7 -6.3 59.0 2.3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 68 .427 34 0 0.0 34 11 32.4
2021 270 .267 159 6 3.8 111 45 40.5
2022 492 .285 277 60 21.7 215 141 65.6
2023 239 .320 127 0 0.0 112 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 55 15.0 50.9% 1.8% 49 23.2 0.0% 10.2%
2021 391 21.3 1.0% 5.4% 137 23.5 0.0% 11.7%
2022 639 21.1 1.3% 5.5% 303 23.5 0.0% 8.9%
2023 131 13.2 75.6% 0.8% 80 19.8 0.0% 2.5%
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Pitch Distribution