Marco Estrada
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 41
Draft: 2005 | Rd: 6, #174, Washington Nationals | Long Beach State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 10 9 4.98 33 33 0 186 176 1.38
2018 7 14 5.64 28 28 0 143.2 103 1.43
2019 0 2 6.85 5 5 0 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 62 68 4.29 283 194 0 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 33 10-9 4.98 186 176 1.38
2018 28 7-14 5.64 143.2 103 1.43
2019 5 0-2 6.85 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 283 62-68 4.29 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 31 2913 533 28 5.3 3.9 87.8 112.8 20.4 31.0 .218 .372 .276 .288 .316 30.8 18.1 7.6 3.13 3.41
2016 32 2843 489 36 7.4 5.0 88.1 113.2 21.3 31.9 .221 .377 .279 .296 .343 31.5 22.8 9.0 3.48 3.66
2017 33 3246 556 39 7.0 4.8 87.0 113.6 21.8 30.8 .229 .409 .333 .305 .351 30.2 21.8 8.8 4.98 3.98
2018 34 2500 471 44 9.3 7.0 87.5 112.9 24.7 37.6 .244 .454 .360 .332 .365 33.3 16.4 8.0 5.64 4.73
2019 35 408 84 7 8.3 6.6 87.7 111.8 29.1 22.6 .225 .485 .354 .341 .338 29.2 10.4 7.5 6.84 5.23
Player 11910 2133 154 7.2 5.2 87.6 113.6 22.2 32.3 .227 .404 .313 .306 .343 31.3 19.6 8.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 34.0 29.6 22.0 14.4 34.1 38.1 27.8 1.7 26.5 40.3 19.1 5.6 5.3 3.9
2016 34.6 27.2 22.1 16.2 38.9 33.5 27.6 3.5 22.7 36.2 22.7 4.1 7.4 5.0
2017 31.3 29.7 23.6 15.5 38.1 32.4 28.2 4.0 22.1 39.4 21.8 5.0 7.0 4.8
2018 25.7 33.5 26.1 14.6 36.7 38.9 23.1 3.2 17.8 40.8 19.7 7.9 9.3 7.0
2019 20.2 36.9 16.7 26.2 34.5 40.5 25.0 4.8 13.1 39.3 8.3 3.6 8.3 6.6
Player 31.0 30.2 23.1 15.6 36.8 35.8 26.7 3.1 22.0 39.2 20.3 5.5 7.2 5.2
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2019 Curveball OAK R 14 75.4 63.0 2.0 7.2GLV -0.9 -11.2 1.5 7.2GLV -2.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 175 87.3 14.6 5.0 4.2ARM -2.3 22.9 7.3 4.2ARM -3.2
2019 Cutter OAK R 39 83.8 29.0 4.0 3.9GLV 1.3 11.6 3.8 3.9GLV 1.3
2019 Changeup OAK R 105 75.7 31.5 -2.7 12.3ARM -0.2 18.2 -11.3 12.3ARM -1.2
2018 Cutter TOR R 151 84.9 29.9 2.2 4.9GLV 0.9 9.7 1.4 4.9GLV 2.3
2018 Changeup TOR R 923 76.8 29.6 -2.4 10.0ARM -0.9 18.6 -11.9 10.0ARM -3.3
2018 Curveball TOR R 190 76.6 60.1 -0.7 5.6GLV -3.1 -10.2 0.6 5.6GLV -3.6
2018 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 1232 88.5 14.0 4.0 4.2ARM -1.6 22.5 6.8 4.2ARM -3.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 1735 89.8 11.7 4.4 5.8ARM -1.6 23.8 6.7 5.8ARM -2.3
2017 Cutter TOR R 223 86.5 26.4 1.3 3.0GLV 0.0 11.9 2.6 3.0GLV 0.7
2017 Changeup TOR R 1033 77.5 27.4 -3.9 11.8ARM -0.6 20.4 -11.9 11.8ARM -1.8
2017 Curveball TOR R 250 77.5 60.1 2.1 4.5GLV -3.1 -11.1 3.1 4.5GLV -4.1
2016 Cutter TOR R 550 87.7 17.8 8.2 3.0GLV 1.4 18.5 9.7 3.0GLV -1.0
2016 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 1140 88.5 14.0 4.3 3.1ARM -3.3 21.8 6.0 3.1ARM -3.3
2016 Changeup TOR R 785 77.5 28.0 -4.1 9.6ARM -0.6 18.6 -11.4 9.6ARM -1.7
2016 Curveball TOR R 274 76.6 60.8 3.2 8.9GLV 0.9 -13.0 3.0 8.9GLV -2.1
2015 Cutter TOR R 214 88.6 18.1 7.7 2.7GLV 1.3 17.3 7.6 2.7GLV -0.8
2015 Curveball TOR R 312 77.8 58.5 2.5 10.5GLV 1.3 -12.4 2.9 10.5GLV -0.2
2015 Changeup TOR R 802 79.1 27.3 -5.6 10.7ARM -1.2 17.3 -10.1 10.7ARM -0.8
2015 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 1534 89.8 13.4 3.9 5.3ARM -2.0 21.2 5.4 5.3ARM -1.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -1 175 42.9 41 .176 .529 .380 10.3 12.2 11.4 .259 .691 .434 41.4
2019 Changeup -1.2 -1 105 25.7 35 .188 .375 .296 30.2 14.3 14.7 .155 .285 .246 14.8
2019 Cutter -0.3 0 39 9.6 5 .600 .600 .540 16.7 0.0 0.0 .352 .432 .340 40.0
2019 Curveball -12.3 -2 14 3.4 4 .750 1.250 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .515 .392 25.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -10 1,232 49.3 299 .288 .592 .390 16.9 14.4 12.1 .269 .573 .388 41.7
2018 Changeup -0.1 -1 923 36.9 270 .252 .450 .333 32.1 18.1 15.0 .211 .331 .280 23.1
2018 Curveball -0.9 -2 191 7.6 36 .250 .444 .294 9.4 25.0 12.5 .252 .361 .265 33.3
2018 Cutter -3.0 -5 151 6.0 22 .381 .571 .425 25.5 9.1 5.9 .293 .496 .350 36.8
2017 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 4 1,735 53.5 388 .236 .452 .334 18.7 21.6 18.3 .226 .439 .320 34.6
2017 Changeup -0.8 -9 1,033 31.8 304 .245 .480 .341 34.7 23.7 20.2 .211 .359 .279 23.8
2017 Curveball -0.6 -2 251 7.7 58 .345 .364 .325 10.5 24.1 17.1 .253 .331 .266 26.2
2017 Cutter -1.9 -4 223 6.9 56 .353 .549 .416 16.8 10.7 14.3 .322 .559 .400 37.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 61 231 1 -5 -2 -3 -9
2009 32 151 -1 0 1 -2 -2
2010 57 237 -2 0 -2 -2 -6
2011 406 1,648 7 6 -9 -6 -2
2012 562 2,244 -6 22 -7 -7 3
2013 512 1,991 3 16 -11 -5 3
2014 614 2,488 -3 12 -12 -6 -9
2015 795 3,194 16 34 -21 -8 20
2016 802 3,129 30 24 -19 -10 25
2017 806 3,242 -1 33 -30 -13 -10
2018 627 2,497 1 15 -25 -7 -17
2019 85 333 3 -1 -4 -2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,913 50.6 71.0 80.0 27.6 71.0 44.0 57.9 49.6 21.8 7.4 81.9
2016 2,843 46.2 67.2 78.7 27.3 61.7 45.1 58.9 45.8 26.1 6.1 77.0
2017 3,246 50.4 70.9 76.9 27.3 70.5 45.5 58.7 49.3 24.1 6.4 81.2
2018 2,500 47.8 72.8 79.7 26.3 67.3 44.8 63.8 48.6 23.2 5.7 80.4
2019 408 46.8 75.6 83.1 18.1 68.8 49.2 58.5 45.8 17.1 4.5 93.3
Player 11,910 48.8 70.6 78.9 26.9 67.7 45.0 59.6 48.3 23.6 6.4 80.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 73 81 58 33 79 14 41 59 69 35 47 44 28 13 85 86 10
2016 68 81 63 49 73 9 19 63 74 64 33 75 29 6 88 85 2
2017 59 73 44 31 74 4 29 55 73 52 41 50 46 11 87 78 2
2018 23 44 11 5 49 1 7 73 67 13 53 39 30 4 70 71 3
2019 2 58 2
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.8 26 25.8 0 18 21 11 42.3
2017 23.2 31 25.7 5 11 22 11 35.5
2018 22.9 29 29.3 0 10 26 11 37.9
2019 22.5 7 5.0 2 0 5 1 14.3
Player 22.7 93 85.8 7 39 74 34 36.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 26 27 18 31 25 22 31 27 26 17 25 34 24 19 24 27 13 23 24 30 22 21 38 35 23 23 28 38 30 30 18
2017 31 24 24 30 31 27 32 25 19 19 25 36 24 26 25 24 21 20 26 28 26 23 35 27 26 19 27 34 28 27 14
2018 29 35 20 28 30 28 34 26 27 17 29 34 28 23 30 33 26 31 29 36 33 32 42 36 21 21 28 31 33 31 26
2019 7 6 2 4 6 6 6 6 3 3 6 3 6 4 5 6 6 5 3 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 3 6 6 6 3
Player 93 92 64 93 92 83 103 84 75 56 85 107 82 72 84 90 66 79 82 100 86 82 121 104 76 69 86 109 97 94 61
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.7 88.3 -1.4 ↓ 89.5 1.2 ↑ 88.2 -1.3 ↓ 86.7 -1.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 79.1 77.5 -1.6 ↓ 77.5 0.0 76.8 -0.7 ↓ 75.7 -1.1 ↓
Breaking Velocity 77.8 76.6 -1.2 ↓ 77.5 0.9 ↑ 76.6 -0.9 ↓ 75.4 -1.2 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.8 88.1 0.3 ↑ 87.0 -1.1 ↓ 87.5 0.5 ↑ 87.7 0.2 ↑
Launch Angle 20.4 21.3 0.9 ↑ 21.8 0.5 ↑ 24.7 2.9 ↑ 29.1 4.4 ↑
Barrel % 5.3 7.4 2.1 ↑ 7.0 -0.4 ↓ 9.3 2.3 ↑ 8.3 -1.0 ↓
Hard Hit % 30.8 31.5 0.7 ↑ 30.2 -1.3 ↓ 33.3 3.1 ↑ 29.2 -4.1 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.0 31.9 0.9 ↑ 30.8 -1.1 ↓ 37.6 6.8 ↑ 22.6 -15.0 ↓
xBA .218 .221 0.003 ↑ .229 0.008 ↑ .244 0.015 ↑ .225 -0.019 ↓
BA .203 .203 0.000 .256 0.053 ↑ .274 0.018 ↑ .242 -0.032 ↓
xwOBA .288 .296 0.008 ↑ .305 0.009 ↑ .332 0.027 ↑ .341 0.009 ↑
wOBA .276 .279 0.003 ↑ .333 0.054 ↑ .360 0.027 ↑ .354 -0.006 ↓
xSLG .372 .377 0.005 ↑ .409 0.032 ↑ .454 0.045 ↑ .485 0.031 ↑
SLG .364 .361 -0.003 ↓ .463 0.102 ↑ .521 0.058 ↑ .537 0.016 ↑
K% 18.1 22.8 4.7 ↑ 21.8 -1.0 ↓ 16.4 -5.4 ↓ 10.4 -6.0 ↓
BB% 7.6 9.0 1.4 ↑ 8.8 -0.2 ↓ 8.0 -0.8 ↓ 7.5 -0.5 ↓
Swing % 49.6 45.8 -3.8 ↓ 49.3 3.5 ↑ 48.6 -0.7 ↓ 45.8 -2.8 ↓
Whiff% 21.8 26.1 4.3 ↑ 24.1 -2.0 ↓ 23.2 -0.9 ↓ 17.1 -6.1 ↓
In Zone % 50.6 46.2 -4.4 ↓ 50.4 4.2 ↑ 47.8 -2.6 ↓ 46.8 -1.0 ↓
Out of Zone % 49.4 53.8 4.4 ↑ 49.6 -4.2 ↓ 52.2 2.6 ↑ 53.2 1.0 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 27.6 27.3 -0.3 ↓ 27.3 0.0 26.3 -1.0 ↓ 18.1 -8.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 28.8 -0.6 ↓ 28.0 -0.8 ↓ 30.5 2.5 ↑ 29.2 -1.3 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 57.9 58.9 1.0 ↑ 58.7 -0.2 ↓ 63.8 5.1 ↑ 58.5 -5.3 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 693 .277 323 2 0.6 370 111 30.0
2017 Shifts 805 .333 450 5 1.1 355 98 27.6
2018 Shifts 627 .360 360 12 3.3 267 105 39.3
2019 Shifts 85 .349 52 2 3.8 33 16 48.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 56 15.5 44.6% 0.0% 51 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2011 501 15.2 46.5% 0.8% 221 23.3 0.0% 8.6%
2012 627 15.7 39.6% 0.3% 326 23.0 1.5% 9.5%
2013 678 15.4 44.7% 0.4% 243 23.6 5.8% 7.8%
2014 802 15.4 43.9% 0.1% 325 23.4 1.2% 9.8%
2015 921 17.5 26.7% 2.6% 383 25.0 4.4% 25.8%
2016 880 16.5 36.0% 2.4% 473 22.6 6.3% 12.7%
2017 918 16.2 32.7% 0.8% 520 22.0 0.4% 5.6%
2018 760 15.8 37.5% 0.1% 367 20.6 0.0% 3.0%
2019 106 17.2 25.5% 0.0% 56 23.3 0.0% 3.6%

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Pitch Distribution

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