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Marco Estrada
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 37

Draft: 2005 | Rd: 6, #174, Washington Nationals | Long Beach State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 0 2 6.85 5 5 0 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 62 68 4.29 283 194 0 1251.1 1094 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 5 0-2 6.85 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 283 62-68 4.29 1251.1 1094 1.21

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 2913 533 28 5.3 87.8 112.8 20.4 31 .216 .369 .276 .286 .313 31 18.1 7.6 3.13 3.48
2016 2843 489 36 7.4 88.1 113.2 21.3 31.9 .215 .367 .279 .289 .331 32.4 22.8 9 3.48 3.61
2017 3246 556 39 7 87 113.6 21.8 30.8 .228 .405 .333 .303 .347 30.2 21.9 8.8 4.98 3.98
2018 2500 471 44 9.3 87.5 112.9 24.7 37.6 .242 .449 .360 .329 .361 33.1 16.5 8 5.64 4.67
2019 408 84 7 8.3 87.7 111.8 29.1 22.6 .180 .388 .361 .286 .262 29.2 10.4 7.5 6.84 3.64
11910 2133 154 7.2 87.6 113.6 22.2 32.3 .223 .396 .313 .300 .334 31.5 19.6 8.3
6.4 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .318 .313 .362 35.1 21.9 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2019 4-Seam Fastball 175 104 71 52.6 87.3 41 34 6 2 0 0 4 5 29 .176 .259 .529 .691 .351 .434 88.6 32 2281 5.3 10.3 11.4
2019 Changeup 105 62 43 31.5 75.7 35 32 6 3 1 1 1 5 27 .188 .155 .375 .285 .288 .245 84.1 36 1988 5.3 30.2 14.7
2019 Cutter 39 39 0 11.7 83.8 5 5 3 3 0 0 0 0 5 .600 .352 .600 .432 .522 .340 87.9 -1 2403 5.1 16.7 0.0
2019 Curveball 14 3 11 4.2 75.4 4 4 3 2 0 1 0 0 4 .750 .395 1.250 .515 .817 .392 92.1 11 2626 4.5 0.0 0.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1232 732 500 49.3 88.5 299 267 77 35 22 1 19 43 230 .288 .268 .592 .568 .391 .385 90.6 28 2302 5.3 16.9 12.1
2018 Changeup 923 484 439 37.0 76.8 269 242 61 30 22 1 8 49 195 .252 .208 .450 .326 .330 .273 83.9 24 2021 5.5 32.1 15.0
2018 Curveball 191 113 78 7.6 76.6 36 36 9 4 4 0 1 9 27 .250 .252 .444 .361 .293 .265 85.3 11 2620 4.7 9.4 12.5
2018 Cutter 151 110 41 6.0 84.9 22 21 8 6 1 0 1 2 19 .381 .293 .571 .496 .420 .349 90.7 15 2464 5.2 25.5 5.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 34 29.6 22 14.4 34.1 38.1 27.8 1.7 26.5 40.3 19.1 5.6 5.3
2016 34.6 27.2 22.1 16.2 38.9 33.5 27.6 3.5 22.7 36.2 22.7 4.1 7.4
2017 31.3 29.7 23.6 15.5 38.5 32.7 28.8 4 22.1 39.4 21.8 5 7
2018 25.7 33.5 26.1 14.6 36.9 38.9 24.2 3.2 17.8 40.8 19.7 7.9 9.3
2019 20.2 36.9 16.7 26.2 34.5 40.5 25 4.8 13.1 39.3 8.3 3.6 8.3
31 30.2 23.1 15.6 37 35.9 27.1 3.1 22 39.2 20.3 5.5 7.2
45.2 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.4

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2019 Cutter OAK R 39 83.8 29 3.9 12 3.9 1.3 51
2019 Changeup OAK R 105 75.7 31.5 -2.7 -8 12.3 -0.1 -1
2019 Curveball OAK R 14 75.4 63 2.2 4 7.2 -0.9 -11
2019 4-Seamer OAK R 175 87.3 14.6 4.8 25 4.2 -2.2 -34
2018 Cutter TOR R 151 84.9 29.9 2.3 7 4.9 0.9 22
2018 Curveball TOR R 190 76.6 60.1 -0.7 -1 5.6 -3.1 -36
2018 Changeup TOR R 923 76.8 29.6 -2.4 -7 10 -0.9 -8
2018 4-Seamer TOR R 1232 88.5 14 3.9 22 4.2 -1.6 -27
2017 Curveball TOR R 250 77.5 60.1 2.1 4 4.5 -3.1 -40
2017 4-Seamer TOR R 1735 89.8 11.7 4.3 27 5.8 -1.6 -21
2017 Cutter TOR R 223 86.5 26.4 1.2 5 3 0 -2
2017 Changeup TOR R 1033 77.5 27.4 -3.9 -13 11.8 -0.6 -4
2016 Curveball TOR R 274 76.6 60.2 3 5 6.4 -0.3 -4
2016 Changeup TOR R 785 77.5 26.6 -4.5 -14 11.1 0.1 1
2016 Cutter TOR R 550 87.7 16.8 7.5 31 0.8 1.1 -370
2016 4-Seamer TOR R 1140 88.5 12 5 30 4.8 -2.3 -32
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 Curveball 12.3 2 14 3.4 4 .75 1.25 .85 0 0 0 .395 .515 .392 25
2019 Cutter 0.5 0 39 9.6 5 .6 .6 .54 16.7 0 0 .352 .432 .34 40
2019 Changeup 1.2 1 105 25.7 35 .188 .375 .296 30.2 14.3 14.7 .155 .285 .246 14.8
2019 4-Seamer 0.1 0 175 42.9 41 .176 .529 .359 10.3 12.2 11.4 .259 .691 .434 41.4
2018 Cutter 3 5 151 6 22 .381 .571 .425 25.5 9.1 5.9 .293 .496 .35 36.8
2018 Curveball 0.9 2 191 7.6 36 .25 .444 .294 9.4 25 12.5 .252 .361 .265 33.3
2018 Changeup 0.2 2 923 36.9 269 .252 .45 .336 32.1 18.2 15 .208 .326 .274 23.1
2018 4-Seamer 0.8 10 1232 49.3 299 .288 .592 .392 16.9 14.4 12.1 .268 .568 .385 41.3
2018 N/A 1 0
2017 Cutter 2 4 223 6.9 56 .353 .549 .416 16.8 10.7 14.3 .323 .561 .401 37.8
2017 Curveball 0.6 2 251 7.7 58 .345 .364 .325 10.5 24.1 17.1 .253 .331 .266 26.2
2017 Changeup 0.9 9 1033 31.8 303 .245 .48 .34 34.7 23.8 20.2 .21 .356 .276 23.8
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -5 1735 53.5 388 .236 .452 .335 18.7 21.6 18.3 .224 .433 .316 34.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 61 231 0 4 2 3 8
2009 32 151 1 0 -1 2 2
2010 57 237 1 0 2 2 6
2011 406 1648 -7 -6 9 6 3
2012 562 2244 5 -21 7 7 -2
2013 512 1991 -3 -16 11 5 -3
2014 614 2488 3 -12 11 7 8
2015 784 3149 -14 -34 21 8 -19
2016 783 3054 -29 -24 17 9 -26
2017 805 3242 0 -32 30 13 10
2018 626 2497 0 -14 25 7 18
2019 85 333 -4 1 4 2 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2913 50.6 71.4 80.1 27.5 71 44.1 57.9 49.6 21.8 7.4 81.5
2016 2843 46.2 67.6 78.9 27.4 61 45.1 58.9 45.8 26.1 6.1 77.6
2017 3246 50.5 70.9 76.8 27.2 70.7 45.5 58.8 49.3 24.1 6.4 81.2
2018 2500 47.9 72.8 79.8 26.2 67.2 44.8 63.9 48.6 23.2 5.7 80.3
2019 408 46.8 75.6 83.1 18.1 68.8 49.5 58.5 45.8 17.1 4.5 93.3
11910 48.9 70.8 78.9 26.8 67.5 45 59.7 48.3 23.6 6.4 80.5
48.4 66.6 82.2 28.4 58.9 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.7

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 68 77 55 31 75 14 41 58 73 35 47 44 68 15 85 89
2016 71 83 65 50 75 9 19 63 71 64 33 75 71 5 90 86
2017 60 72 44 30 75 4 29 55 73 52 41 50 60 13 87 80
2018 24 44 13 5 50 1 8 74 68 13 53 38 24 5 70 73
2019 1 60 69
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.5 7 4.9 2 1 5 1 14.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 6 4 4 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 6 2 3 6 6 3 6 4 6 2 6 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.7 88.2 -1.5 89.5 1.3 88.2 -1.3 -1.5 undefined undefined
Offspeed Velocity 79.1 77.5 -1.6 77.5 0 76.8 -0.7 -1.1 undefined undefined
Breaking Velocity 77.8 76.6 -1.2 77.5 0.9 76.6 -0.9 -1.2 undefined undefined
Exit Velocity 87.8 88.1 0.3 87 -1.1 87.5 0.5 0.2 undefined undefined
Launch Angle 20.4 21.3 0.9 21.8 0.5 24.7 2.9 4.4 undefined undefined
Barrel % 5.3 7.4 2.1 7 -0.4 9.3 2.3 -1 undefined undefined
Hard Hit % 31 32.4 1.4 30.2 -2.2 33.1 2.9 -3.9 undefined undefined
Sweet Spot % 31 31.9 0.9 30.8 -1.1 37.6 6.8 -15 undefined undefined
xBA .216 .215 -0.001 .228 0.013 .242 0.014 -0.062 undefined undefined
BA .203 .203 0 .256 0.053 .274 0.018 -0.032 undefined undefined
xwOBA .286 .289 0.003 .303 0.014 .329 0.026 -0.043 undefined undefined
wOBA .276 .279 0.003 .333 0.054 .36 0.027 0.001 undefined undefined
xSLG .369 .367 -0.002 .405 0.038 .449 0.044 -0.061 undefined undefined
SLG .364 .361 -0.003 .463 0.102 .521 0.058 0.016 undefined undefined
K% 18.1 22.8 4.7 21.9 -0.9 16.5 -5.4 -6.1 undefined undefined
BB% 7.6 9 1.4 8.8 -0.2 8 -0.8 -0.5 undefined undefined
Swing % 49.6 45.8 -3.8 49.3 3.5 48.6 -0.7 -2.8 undefined undefined
Whiff% 21.8 26.1 4.3 24.1 -2 23.2 -0.9 -6.1 undefined undefined
In Zone % 50.6 46.2 -4.4 50.5 4.3 47.9 -2.6 -1.1 undefined undefined
Out of Zone % 49.4 53.8 4.4 49.5 -4.3 52.1 2.6 1.1 undefined undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 27.5 27.4 -0.1 27.2 -0.2 26.2 -1 -8.1 undefined undefined
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 28.8 -0.6 28.1 -0.7 30.5 2.4 -1.3 undefined undefined
First Pitch Strike % 57.9 58.9 1 58.8 -0.1 63.9 5.1 -5.4 undefined undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 693 .277 323 2 0.6 370 111 30.0
2017 804 .333 450 6 1.3 354 98 27.7
2018 626 .360 359 12 3.3 267 105 39.3
2019 85 .357 52 2 3.8 33 16 48.5

Pitch Distribution