P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 180 lbs | Age: 42
Draft: 2005 | Rd. 6, No. 174, Washington Nationals | Long Beach State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 10 9 4.98 33 33 0 186 176 1.38
2018 7 14 5.64 28 28 0 143.2 103 1.43
2019 0 2 6.85 5 5 0 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 62 68 4.29 283 194 0 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 33 10-9 4.98 186 176 1.38
2018 28 7-14 5.64 143.2 103 1.43
2019 5 0-2 6.85 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 283 62-68 4.29 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 31 2913 533 28 5.3 3.9 87.8 112.8 20.4 31.0 .218 .372 .276 .288 .316 30.8 18.1 7.6 3.13 3.41
2016 32 2843 489 36 7.4 5.0 88.1 113.2 21.3 31.9 .221 .377 .279 .296 .342 31.5 22.8 9.0 3.48 3.66
2017 33 3246 556 39 7.0 4.8 87.0 113.6 21.8 30.8 .229 .409 .333 .305 .351 30.2 21.8 8.8 4.98 3.98
2018 34 2500 471 44 9.3 7.0 87.5 112.9 24.7 37.6 .244 .454 .360 .332 .365 33.3 16.4 8.0 5.64 4.73
2019 35 408 84 7 8.3 6.6 87.7 111.8 29.1 22.6 .225 .485 .354 .341 .338 29.2 10.4 7.5 6.84 5.23
Player 11910 2133 154 7.2 5.2 87.6 113.6 22.2 32.3 .227 .404 .313 .305 .343 31.3 19.6 8.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2015 34.0 66.0 29.6 22.0 14.4 34.1 38.1 27.8 15.9 14.3 3.8 18.2 23.8 24.0
2016 34.6 65.4 27.2 22.1 16.2 38.9 33.5 27.6 17.0 12.9 4.7 21.9 20.7 22.9
2017 31.3 68.7 29.7 23.6 15.5 38.1 32.4 28.2 13.3 12.2 5.6 24.8 20.1 22.7
2018 25.7 74.3 33.5 26.1 14.6 36.7 38.9 23.1 13.0 9.6 3.2 23.8 29.3 20.0
2019 20.2 79.8 36.9 16.7 26.2 34.5 40.5 25.0 9.5 7.1 3.6 25.0 33.3 21.4
Player 31.0 69.0 30.2 23.1 15.6 36.8 35.8 26.7 14.6 12.1 4.3 22.3 23.7 22.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 1.7 26.5 40.3 19.1 5.6 5.3 3.9
2016 3.5 22.7 36.2 22.7 4.1 7.4 5.0
2017 4.0 22.1 39.4 21.8 5.0 7.0 4.8
2018 3.2 17.8 40.8 19.7 7.9 9.3 7.0
2019 4.8 13.1 39.3 8.3 3.6 8.3 6.6
Player 3.1 22.0 39.2 20.3 5.5 7.2 5.2
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2019 Curveball OAK R 14 75.4 63.0 2.0 7.2GLV -0.9 -11.2 1.5 7.2GLV -2.0
2019 Changeup OAK R 105 75.7 31.5 -2.7 12.3ARM -0.2 18.2 -11.3 12.3ARM -1.2
2019 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 175 87.3 14.6 5.0 4.2ARM -2.3 22.9 7.3 4.2ARM -3.3
2019 Cutter OAK R 39 83.8 29.0 4.0 3.9GLV 1.3 11.6 3.8 3.9GLV 1.3
2018 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 1232 88.5 14.0 4.0 4.2ARM -1.6 22.5 6.8 4.2ARM -3.0
2018 Changeup TOR R 923 76.8 29.6 -2.4 10.0ARM -0.9 18.6 -11.9 10.0ARM -3.3
2018 Curveball TOR R 191 76.6 60.1 -0.7 5.6GLV -3.1 -10.2 0.6 5.6GLV -3.6
2018 Cutter TOR R 151 84.9 29.9 2.2 4.9GLV 0.9 9.7 1.4 4.9GLV 2.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -1 175 52.6 41 .176 .529 .380 10.3 12.2 11.4 .259 .691 .434 41.4
2019 Changeup -0.5 -1 105 31.5 35 .188 .375 .296 30.2 14.3 14.7 .155 .285 .246 14.8
2019 Cutter -1.7 -1 39 11.7 5 .600 .600 .540 16.7 0.0 0.0 .352 .432 .340 40.0
2019 Curveball -13.4 -2 14 4.2 4 .750 1.250 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .515 .392 25.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -13 1,232 49.3 299 .288 .592 .390 17.0 14.4 12.1 .269 .573 .388 41.7
2018 Changeup -0.5 -5 923 37.0 270 .252 .450 .333 32.1 18.1 15.0 .211 .331 .280 23.1
2018 Curveball -0.6 -1 191 7.6 36 .250 .444 .294 9.4 25.0 12.5 .252 .361 .265 33.3
2018 Cutter -2.3 -4 151 6.0 22 .381 .571 .425 25.5 9.1 5.9 .293 .496 .350 36.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 61 231 -1 -2 -1 -2 -5
2009 32 151 -1 2 0 -1 0
2010 57 237 0 0 -2 -2 -5
2011 379 1,543 4 12 -7 -6 3
2012 562 2,246 -4 26 -7 -7 7
2013 512 1,993 5 19 -11 -5 8
2014 614 2,488 1 11 -13 -7 -8
2015 722 2,907 21 33 -20 -10 24
2016 722 2,839 27 29 -23 -9 23
2017 806 3,242 1 34 -30 -13 -7
2018 627 2,498 -1 16 -29 -8 -22
2019 85 333 2 -2 -3 -2 -4
Player 5,179 20,708 53 178 -146 53 15
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,913 50.6 71.0 80.2 27.6 72.5 44.0 57.9 49.6 21.9 7.4 81.9
2016 2,843 46.2 67.2 79.2 27.3 62.4 45.1 58.9 45.8 26.2 6.1 77.0
2017 3,246 50.4 70.9 77.6 27.3 70.8 45.5 58.7 49.3 24.2 6.4 81.2
2018 2,500 47.8 72.8 80.1 26.3 67.9 44.8 63.8 48.6 23.3 5.7 80.4
2019 408 46.8 75.6 83.9 18.1 71.9 49.2 58.5 45.8 17.1 4.5 93.3
Player 11,910 48.8 70.6 79.3 26.9 68.5 45.0 59.6 48.3 23.6 6.4 80.5
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 73 81 58 33 79 14 41 59 69 35 47 42 28 13 85 86 10
2016 68 80 63 49 73 9 19 63 74 64 33 75 29 6 88 85 2
2017 58 73 44 31 74 4 29 55 73 52 41 49 46 11 87 78 2
2018 22 43 11 5 50 1 7 73 67 13 53 38 30 4 70 71 3
2019 2 58 2
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.84 26 25.8 0 18 21 11 42.3
2017 23.23 31 26.0 5 10 22 11 35.5
2018 22.90 29 29.5 -1 10 26 11 37.9
2019 22.55 7 5.1 2 0 5 1 14.3
Player 22.71 93 86.4 7 38 74 34 36.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 26 28 18 31 25 23 30 28 27 17 25 33 24 19 24 28 13 23 24 31 23 21 38 34 23 23 28 36 30 29 17
2017 31 25 23 30 31 27 32 25 20 19 25 36 23 26 25 25 22 21 26 29 26 23 35 28 26 19 27 35 28 28 15
2018 29 36 20 29 31 28 35 27 28 18 29 34 28 22 30 33 26 32 29 36 33 32 42 36 20 21 28 31 34 32 26
2019 7 6 3 4 6 6 6 6 3 3 6 3 6 4 5 6 6 5 3 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 3 6 6 6 3
Player 93 95 64 94 93 84 103 86 78 57 85 106 81 71 84 92 67 81 82 102 87 82 121 104 75 69 86 108 98 95 61
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2019 +/-   2018 +/-   2017 +/-   2016 +/-   2015
Results
BA .242 -.032 .274 +.018 .256 +.053 .203 .000 .203
xBA .225 -.019 .244 +.015 .229 +.008 .221 +.003 .218
OBP .321 -.010 .331 +.009 .322 +.044 .278 +.009 .269
xOBP .323 +.014 .309 +.011 .298 +.001 .297 +.014 .283
SLG .537 +.016 .521 +.058 .463 +.102 .361 -.003 .364
xSLG .485 +.031 .454 +.045 .409 +.032 .377 +.005 .372
ISO .295 +.048 .247 +.040 .207 +.049 .158 -.003 .161
xISO .260 +.051 .209 +.030 .179 +.023 .156 +.001 .155
BABIP .208 -.078 .286 -.009 .295 +.061 .234 +.017 .217
wOBA .354 -.006 .360 +.027 .333 +.054 .279 +.003 .276
xwOBA .341 +.009 .332 +.027 .305 +.009 .296 +.008 .288
wOBACON .355 -.047 .402 +.011 .391 +.075 .316 +.016 .300
xwOBACON .338 -.027 .365 +.014 .351 +.009 .342 +.026 .316
BACON .274 -.056 .330 -.005 .335 +.065 .270 +.018 .252
xBACON .263 -.038 .301 +.001 .300 +.002 .298 +.027 .271
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 29.2 -4.1 33.3 +3.1 30.2 -1.3 31.5 +0.7 30.8
Avg Exit Velocity 87.7 +0.2 87.5 +0.5 87.0 -1.1 88.1 +0.3 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 22.6 -15.0 37.6 +6.8 30.8 -1.1 31.9 +0.9 31.0
Barrel % 8.3 -1.0 9.3 +2.3 7.0 -0.4 7.4 +2.1 5.3
Avg Launch Angle 29.1 +4.4 24.7 +2.9 21.8 +0.5 21.3 +0.9 20.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 86.7 -1.5 88.2 -1.3 89.5 +1.2 88.3 -1.4 89.7
Breaking Velocity 75.4 -1.2 76.6 -0.9 77.5 +0.9 76.6 -1.2 77.8
Offspeed Velocity 75.7 -1.1 76.8 -0.7 77.5 0.0 77.5 -1.6 79.1
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -37 44 +5 39 +3 36 +8 28
Popup % 26.2 +11.6 14.6 -0.9 15.5 -0.7 16.2 +1.8 14.4
Flyball % 36.9 +3.4 33.5 +3.8 29.7 +2.5 27.2 -2.4 29.6
Line Drive % 16.7 -9.4 26.1 +2.5 23.6 +1.5 22.1 +0.1 22.0
Groundball % 20.2 -5.5 25.7 -5.6 31.3 -3.3 34.6 +0.6 34.0
Pull % 34.5 -2.2 36.7 -1.4 38.1 -0.8 38.9 +4.8 34.1
Straight Away % 40.5 +1.6 38.9 +6.5 32.4 -1.1 33.5 -4.6 38.1
Opposite Field % 25.0 +1.9 23.1 -5.1 28.2 +0.6 27.6 -0.2 27.8
Weak Contact % 4.8 +1.6 3.2 -0.8 4.0 +0.5 3.5 +1.8 1.7
Pull Airball % 25.0 +1.2 23.8 -1.0 24.8 +2.9 21.9 +3.7 18.2
Topped Contact % 13.1 -4.7 17.8 -4.3 22.1 -0.6 22.7 -3.8 26.5
Under Contact % 39.3 -1.5 40.8 +1.4 39.4 +3.2 36.2 -4.1 40.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 8.3 -11.4 19.7 -2.1 21.8 -0.9 22.7 +3.6 19.1
Solid Contact % 3.6 -4.3 7.9 +2.9 5.0 +0.9 4.1 -1.5 5.6
HR/FB % 22.6 +4.2 18.4 -0.4 18.8 +1.5 17.3 +2.1 15.2
Popups 22 -47 69 -17 86 +7 79 +2 77
Flyballs 31 -127 158 -7 165 +32 133 -25 158
Line Drives 14 -109 123 -8 131 +23 108 -9 117
Groundballs 17 -104 121 -53 174 +5 169 -12 181
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.8 -1.0 47.8 -2.6 50.4 +4.2 46.2 -4.4 50.6
Out of Zone % 53.2 +1.0 52.2 +2.6 49.6 -4.2 53.8 +4.4 49.4
Edge % 49.2 +4.4 44.8 -0.7 45.5 +0.4 45.1 +1.1 44.0
Zone Swing % 75.6 +2.8 72.8 +1.9 70.9 +3.7 67.2 -3.8 71.0
Out of Zone Swing % 18.1 -8.2 26.3 -1.0 27.3 0.0 27.3 -0.3 27.6
In Zone Contact % 83.9 +3.8 80.1 +2.5 77.6 -1.6 79.2 -1.0 80.2
Out of Zone Contact % 71.9 +4.0 67.9 -2.9 70.8 +8.4 62.4 -10.1 72.5
Whiff % 17.1 -6.2 23.3 -0.9 24.2 -2.0 26.2 +4.3 21.9
First Strike % 58.5 -5.3 63.8 +5.1 58.7 -0.2 58.9 +1.0 57.9
First Pitch Swing % 29.2 -1.3 30.5 +2.5 28.0 -0.8 28.8 -0.6 29.4
Swing % 45.8 -2.8 48.6 -0.7 49.3 +3.5 45.8 -3.8 49.6
Meatball Swing % 93.3 +12.9 80.4 -0.8 81.2 +4.2 77.0 -4.9 81.9
Meatball % 4.5 -1.2 5.7 -0.7 6.4 +0.3 6.1 -1.3 7.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.1 -3.8 19.9 -2.5 22.4 +1.6 20.8 +1.0 19.8
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 28.1 -3.7 31.8 +2.8 29.0 -8.6 37.6 +10.1 27.5
In Zone 156 -1,037 1,193 -442 1,635 +321 1,314 -161 1,475
Out of Zone 177 -1,128 1,305 -302 1,607 +78 1,529 +91 1,438
Edge 164 -956 1,120 -355 1,475 +193 1,282 0 1,282
In Zone Swings 118 -751 869 -291 1,160 +277 883 -164 1,047
Out of Zone Swings 32 -311 343 -95 438 +20 418 +21 397
In Zone Swing & Misses 19 -154 173 -87 260 +76 184 -23 207
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 9 -100 109 -18 127 -30 157 +48 109
Basic
Pitches 408 -2,092 2,500 -746 3,246 +403 2,843 -70 2,913
PA 106 -521 627 -179 806 +83 723 -1 724
AB 95 -471 566 -160 726 +75 651 -8 659
Hits 23 -132 155 -31 186 +54 132 -2 134
Singles 11 -64 75 -27 102 +23 79 -2 81
Doubles 3 -46 49 0 49 +23 26 +2 24
Triples 2 0 2 -2 4 0 4 -1 5
Home Runs 7 -22 29 -2 31 +8 23 -1 24
Walks 8 -42 50 -21 71 +6 65 +10 55
Strikeouts 11 -92 103 -73 176 +11 165 +34 131
K% 10.4 -6.0 16.4 -5.4 21.8 -1.0 22.8 +4.7 18.1
BB% 7.5 -0.5 8.0 -0.8 8.8 -0.2 9.0 +1.4 7.6
HBP 3 +1 2 0 2 -2 4 -1 5
Batted Balls 84 -387 471 -85 556 +67 489 -44 533
Number of Fastballs 214 -1,169 1,383 -575 1,958 +221 1,737 -34 1,771
Number of Offspeed 105 -818 923 -110 1,033 +220 813 -2 815
Number of Breaking 14 -177 191 -60 251 -34 285 -36 321
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 693 .277 323 2 0.6 370 111 30.0
2017 Shifts 805 .333 450 5 1.1 355 98 27.6
2018 Shifts 627 .360 360 12 3.3 267 105 39.3
2019 Shifts 85 .349 52 2 3.8 33 16 48.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 56 15.5 44.6% 0.0% 51 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2011 501 15.2 46.5% 0.8% 221 23.3 0.0% 8.6%
2012 627 15.7 39.6% 0.3% 326 23.0 1.5% 9.5%
2013 678 15.4 44.7% 0.4% 243 23.6 5.8% 7.8%
2014 802 15.4 43.9% 0.1% 325 23.4 1.2% 9.8%
2015 921 17.5 26.7% 2.6% 383 25.0 4.4% 25.8%
2016 880 16.5 36.0% 2.4% 473 22.6 6.3% 12.7%
2017 918 16.2 32.7% 0.8% 520 22.0 0.4% 5.6%
2018 760 15.8 37.5% 0.1% 367 20.6 0.0% 3.0%
2019 106 17.2 25.5% 0.0% 56 23.3 0.0% 3.6%

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Pitch Distribution