Marco Estrada
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 39
Draft: 2005 | Rd: 6, #174, Washington Nationals | Long Beach State

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 0 2 6.85 5 5 0 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 62 68 4.29 283 194 0 1251.1 1094 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 5 0-2 6.85 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 283 62-68 4.29 1251.1 1094 1.21

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 31 2913 533 28 5.3 3.9 87.8 112.8 20.4 31.0 .218 .372 .276 .288 .316 30.8 18.1 7.6 3.13 3.39
2016 32 2843 489 36 7.4 5.0 88.1 113.2 21.3 31.9 .221 .377 .279 .296 .343 31.5 22.8 9.0 3.48 3.66
2017 33 3246 556 39 7.0 4.8 87.0 113.6 21.8 30.8 .229 .409 .333 .305 .351 30.2 21.8 8.8 4.98 3.98
2018 34 2500 471 44 9.3 7.0 87.5 112.9 24.7 37.6 .245 .454 .360 .332 .365 33.3 16.4 8.0 5.64 4.73
2019 35 408 84 7 8.3 6.6 87.7 111.8 29.1 22.6 .225 .485 .354 .341 .338 29.2 10.4 7.5 6.84 5.23
Player 11910 2133 154 7.2 5.2 87.6 113.6 22.2 32.3 .228 .404 .313 .306 .343 31.3 19.6 8.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 34.0 29.6 22.0 14.4 34.1 38.1 27.8 1.7 26.5 40.3 19.1 5.6 5.3 3.9
2016 34.6 27.2 22.1 16.2 38.9 33.5 27.6 3.5 22.7 36.2 22.7 4.1 7.4 5.0
2017 31.3 29.7 23.6 15.5 38.1 32.4 28.2 4.0 22.1 39.4 21.8 5.0 7.0 4.8
2018 25.7 33.5 26.1 14.6 36.7 38.9 23.1 3.2 17.8 40.8 19.7 7.9 9.3 7.0
2019 20.2 36.9 16.7 26.2 34.5 40.5 25.0 4.8 13.1 39.3 8.3 3.6 8.3 6.6
Player 31.0 30.2 23.1 15.6 36.8 35.8 26.7 3.1 22.0 39.2 20.3 5.5 7.2 5.2
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2019 Changeup OAK R 105 75.7 31.5 -2.7 -8 12.3 -0.1 -1
2019 4-Seamer OAK R 175 87.3 14.6 4.9 25 4.2 -2.3 -35
2019 Curveball OAK R 14 75.4 63.0 2.1 3 7.2 -0.9 -11
2019 Cutter OAK R 39 83.8 29.0 3.9 12 3.9 1.3 51
2018 Cutter TOR R 151 84.9 29.9 2.3 7 4.9 0.9 22
2018 Curveball TOR R 190 76.6 60.1 -0.7 -1 5.6 -3.1 -36
2018 4-Seamer TOR R 1,232 88.5 14.0 3.9 22 4.2 -1.6 -27
2018 Changeup TOR R 923 76.8 29.6 -2.4 -7 10.0 -0.9 -8
2017 Cutter TOR R 223 86.5 26.4 1.3 5 3.0 0.0 -1
2017 4-Seamer TOR R 1,735 89.8 11.7 4.3 27 5.8 -1.6 -21
2017 Changeup TOR R 1,033 77.5 27.4 -3.9 -13 11.8 -0.6 -5
2017 Curveball TOR R 250 77.5 60.1 2.1 4 4.5 -3.1 -40
2016 4-Seamer TOR R 1,140 88.5 12.0 5.0 30 3.1 -3.3 -52
2016 Changeup TOR R 785 77.5 26.6 -4.5 -14 9.6 -0.7 -7
2016 Curveball TOR R 274 76.6 60.2 3.0 5 8.9 0.5 6
2016 Cutter TOR R 550 87.7 16.8 7.5 31 3.0 2.1 228
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 4-Seamer 0.6 1 175 42.9 41 .176 .529 .380 10.3 12.2 11.4 .259 .691 .434 41.4
2019 Changeup 1.2 1 105 25.7 35 .188 .375 .296 30.2 14.3 14.7 .155 .285 .246 14.8
2019 Cutter 0.3 0 39 9.6 5 .600 .600 .540 16.7 0.0 0.0 .352 .432 .340 40.0
2019 Curveball 12.3 2 14 3.4 4 .750 1.250 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .515 .392 25.0
2018 4-Seamer 0.8 10 1,232 49.3 299 .288 .592 .390 16.9 14.4 12.1 .269 .573 .388 41.7
2018 Changeup 0.1 1 923 36.9 270 .252 .450 .333 32.1 18.1 15.0 .212 .332 .280 23.1
2018 Curveball 0.9 2 191 7.6 36 .250 .444 .294 9.4 25.0 12.5 .252 .361 .265 33.3
2018 Cutter 3.0 5 151 6.0 22 .381 .571 .425 25.5 9.1 5.9 .293 .496 .350 36.8
2017 4-Seamer -0.2 -4 1,735 53.5 388 .236 .452 .334 18.7 21.6 18.3 .226 .439 .320 34.6
2017 Changeup 0.8 9 1,033 31.8 304 .245 .480 .341 34.7 23.7 20.2 .211 .359 .279 23.8
2017 Curveball 0.6 2 251 7.7 58 .345 .364 .325 10.5 24.1 17.1 .253 .331 .266 26.2
2017 Cutter 1.9 4 223 6.9 56 .353 .549 .416 16.8 10.7 14.3 .323 .560 .400 37.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 61 231 -1 5 2 3 9
2009 32 151 1 0 -1 2 2
2010 57 237 2 0 2 2 6
2011 406 1,648 -7 -6 9 6 2
2012 562 2,244 6 -22 7 7 -3
2013 512 1,991 -3 -17 11 5 -4
2014 614 2,488 3 -13 12 6 8
2015 795 3,194 -16 -34 21 8 -20
2016 802 3,129 -30 -24 19 10 -25
2017 806 3,242 1 -33 30 13 10
2018 627 2,497 -1 -15 25 7 17
2019 85 333 -3 1 4 2 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,913 50.6 71.0 80.0 27.6 71.0 44.0 57.9 49.6 21.8 7.4 81.9
2016 2,843 46.2 67.2 78.7 27.3 61.7 45.1 58.9 45.8 26.1 6.1 77.0
2017 3,246 50.4 70.9 76.9 27.3 70.5 45.5 58.7 49.3 24.1 6.4 81.2
2018 2,500 47.8 72.8 79.7 26.3 67.3 44.8 63.8 48.6 23.2 5.7 80.4
2019 408 46.8 75.6 83.1 18.1 68.8 49.2 58.5 45.8 17.1 4.5 93.3
Player 11,910 48.8 70.6 78.9 26.9 67.7 45.0 59.6 48.3 23.6 6.4 80.5
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 73 81 58 33 79 14 41 59 69 35 47 44 28 15 85 87 11
2016 68 81 63 49 74 9 19 63 74 64 33 75 29 6 89 84 2
2017 59 73 44 31 74 4 29 55 73 52 41 50 46 13 88 78 2
2018 23 42 11 5 49 1 7 73 67 13 53 38 30 5 71 71 2
2019 2 61 2
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.8 26 26.3 0 18 22 11 42.3
2017 23.2 31 25.5 6 14 20 11 35.5
2018 22.9 29 31.4 -2 11 27 10 34.5
2019 22.5 7 4.9 2 1 5 1 14.3
Player 22.7 93 88.1 5 44 74 33 35.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 26 24 37 21 27 26 22 30 26 22 30 29 17 24 23 29 29 30 19 30 36 14 23 24 23 31 35 24 22 24 38
2017 31 23 35 26 23 25 27 22 30 27 31 26 21 18 25 31 26 28 14 26 32 20 19 27 26 27 28 18 24 25 35
2018 29 29 34 26 32 35 29 39 33 27 29 31 17 30 33 35 31 35 28 34 33 29 32 31 35 37 37 22 34 24 41
2019 7 6 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 3 4 6 2 3 5 6 3 6 3 6 6 6 4 2 4 6 6 6 6 6 6
Player 93 82 110 77 86 92 84 97 95 79 94 92 57 75 86 101 89 99 64 96 107 69 78 84 88 101 106 70 86 79 120
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.7 88.3 -1.4 ↓ 89.5 1.2 ↑ 88.2 -1.3 ↓ -1.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 79.1 77.5 -1.6 ↓ 77.5 0 76.8 -0.7 ↓ -1.1 ↓
Breaking Velocity 77.8 76.6 -1.2 ↓ 77.5 0.9 ↑ 76.6 -0.9 ↓ -1.2 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.8 88.1 0.3 ↑ 87 -1.1 ↓ 87.5 0.5 ↑ 0.2 ↑
Launch Angle 20.4 21.3 0.9 ↑ 21.8 0.5 ↑ 24.7 2.9 ↑ 4.4 ↑
Barrel % 5.3 7.4 2.1 ↑ 7 -0.4 ↓ 9.3 2.3 ↑ -1 ↓
Hard Hit % 30.8 31.5 0.7 ↑ 30.2 -1.3 ↓ 33.3 3.1 ↑ -4.1 ↓
Sweet Spot % 31 31.9 0.9 ↑ 30.8 -1.1 ↓ 37.6 6.8 ↑ -15 ↓
xBA .218 .221 0.003 ↑ .229 0.008 ↑ .245 0.016 ↑ -0.02 ↓
BA .203 .203 0 .256 0.053 ↑ .274 0.018 ↑ -0.032 ↓
xwOBA .288 .296 0.008 ↑ .305 0.009 ↑ .332 0.027 ↑ 0.009 ↑
wOBA .276 .279 0.003 ↑ .333 0.054 ↑ .36 0.027 ↑ -0.006 ↓
xSLG .372 .377 0.005 ↑ .409 0.032 ↑ .454 0.045 ↑ 0.031 ↑
SLG .364 .361 -0.003 ↓ .463 0.102 ↑ .521 0.058 ↑ 0.016 ↑
K% 18.1 22.8 4.7 ↑ 21.8 -1 ↓ 16.4 -5.4 ↓ -6 ↓
BB% 7.6 9 1.4 ↑ 8.8 -0.2 ↓ 8 -0.8 ↓ -0.5 ↓
Swing % 49.6 45.8 -3.8 ↓ 49.3 3.5 ↑ 48.6 -0.7 ↓ -2.8 ↓
Whiff% 21.8 26.1 4.3 ↑ 24.1 -2 ↓ 23.2 -0.9 ↓ -6.1 ↓
In Zone % 50.6 46.2 -4.4 ↓ 50.4 4.2 ↑ 47.8 -2.6 ↓ -1 ↓
Out of Zone % 49.4 53.8 4.4 ↑ 49.6 -4.2 ↓ 52.2 2.6 ↑ 1 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 27.6 27.3 -0.3 ↓ 27.3 0 26.3 -1 ↓ -8.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 28.8 -0.6 ↓ 28 -0.8 ↓ 30.5 2.5 ↑ -1.3 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 57.9 58.9 1 ↑ 58.7 -0.2 ↓ 63.8 5.1 ↑ -5.3 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 693 .277 323 2 0.6 370 111 30.0
2017 805 .333 450 6 1.3 355 98 27.6
2018 627 .360 360 12 3.3 267 105 39.3
2019 85 .349 52 2 3.8 33 16 48.5

Pitch Tempo