Lucas Erceg
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 214LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 2, #46, Milwaukee Brewers | Menlo
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 4.75 50 0 0 55 68 1.58
2024 0 1 2.35 9 0 0 7.2 9 1.43
2 Seasons 4 5 4.45 59 0 0 62.2 77 1.56
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 50 4-4 4.75 55 68 1.58
2024 9 0-1 2.35 7.2 9 1.43
2 Seasons 59 4-5 4.45 62.2 77 1.56
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 28 1053 141 9 6.4 3.6 86.0 110.5 7.9 34.0 .208 .301 .328 .297 .323 33.3 27.1 14.3 4.75 3.69
2024 29 120 20 0 0.0 0.0 87.5 108.2 4.1 45.0 .214 .291 .333 .263 .314 30.0 26.5 11.8 2.35 2.69
Player 1173 161 9 5.6 3.2 86.2 110.5 7.4 35.4 .209 .300 .329 .293 .322 32.9 27.0 14.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Erceg relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(32.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(28.3%) ,
Sinker
(22.5%) ,
Slider
(16.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.0 24.1 25.5 6.4 41.1 33.3 25.5 5.7 39.0 22.0 23.4 3.5 6.4 3.6
2024 45.0 20.0 35.0 0.0 40.0 35.0 25.0 5.0 30.0 15.0 35.0 15.0 0.0 0.0
Player 44.1 23.6 26.7 5.6 41.0 33.5 25.5 5.6 37.9 21.1 24.8 5.0 5.6 3.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 34 98.4 12.4 -0.6 -5 9.8 2.3 30
2024 Changeup OAK R 39 91.2 26.6 -0.9 -3 18.8 2.8 18
2024 Slider OAK R 20 86.9 37.4 3.3 10 0.4 -3.9 -91
2024 Sinker OAK R 27 98.3 18.3 -0.8 -4 16.5 1.2 8
2023 Sinker OAK R 319 98.0 17.6 -0.7 -4 15.5 0.8 5
2023 Changeup OAK R 233 90.3 26.5 -1.0 -4 16.9 2.0 14
2023 Slider OAK R 155 86.2 38.0 2.8 8 0.5 -4.1 -89
2023 Cutter OAK R 47 90.7 28.6 -3.9 -16 2.5 -0.1 -4
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 299 98.0 13.9 -1.5 -12 9.0 1.3 18
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Changeup 0.2 0 39 32.5 10 .444 .778 .535 27.3 10.0 14.3 .439 .545 .451 37.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball -4.1 -1 34 28.3 7 .333 .833 .507 13.3 28.6 22.2 .149 .250 .244 25.0
2024 Sinker 3.0 1 27 22.5 8 .143 .143 .200 27.3 25.0 28.6 .116 .129 .181 0.0
2024 Slider 6.1 1 20 16.7 7 .000 .000 .000 28.6 57.1 33.3 .078 .163 .102 66.7
2023 Sinker 0.1 0 319 30.3 104 .280 .354 .369 28.9 15.4 25.4 .206 .266 .305 26.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 3 299 28.4 68 .190 .328 .290 19.3 32.4 17.5 .221 .389 .322 41.7
2023 Changeup 0.5 1 233 22.1 48 .190 .286 .285 38.4 39.6 22.9 .196 .230 .249 26.1
2023 Slider -0.2 0 155 14.7 24 .318 .500 .379 29.4 37.5 17.3 .210 .351 .275 61.5
2023 Cutter -5.4 -3 47 4.5 6 .500 .750 .592 40.0 33.3 10.0 .179 .212 .347 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 39 91.2 93 20.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 34 98.4 97 18.7 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Sinker 27 98.3 98 19.6 1:30 2:00 -30
2024 Slider 20 86.9 21 3.3 8:00 6:15 105
2023 Changeup 230 90.3 94 18.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Cutter 47 90.7 30 4.6 12:00 10:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 298 98.0 97 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 313 98.0 98 19.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 154 86.2 23 3.6 8:15 6:30 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 250 1,053 5 12 -8 -7 2
2024 32 120 -1 3 0 -1 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,053 46.1 62.9 79.3 23.2 53.0 42.0 56.8 41.5 28.4 6.3 65.2
2024 120 45.8 58.2 78.1 35.4 73.9 46.7 53.1 45.8 23.6 4.2 80.0
Player 1,173 46.0 62.4 79.2 24.5 56.1 42.5 56.4 41.9 27.8 6.1 66.2
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 88 96 95 21 83 75 94 85 77 3 67 5 96 3 75
2024 81 71 83 83 43 86 86 65 83 68 25 41 91 98 11 68
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 28.6 1 3.1 -2 3 3 1 100.0
2024 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
Player 28.6 1 3.1 -2 4 3 1 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 1 1 3 4 3 5 4 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 1 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 1 4 5 4 2 2
2024 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 1 1 3 4 3 5 4 2 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 1 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 1 4 5 4 2 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.5 98.4 0.9
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 91.2 0.9
Breaking Velocity 86.2 86.9 0.7
Exit Velocity 86.0 87.5 1.5
Launch Angle 7.9 4.1 -3.8
Barrel % 6.4 0.0 -6.4
Hard Hit % 33.3 30.0 -3.3
Sweet Spot % 34.0 45.0 11.0
xBA .208 .214 0.006
BA .245 .241 -0.004
xwOBA .297 .263 -0.034
wOBA .328 .333 0.005
xSLG .301 .291 -0.010
SLG .356 .448 0.092
K% 27.1 26.5 -0.6
BB% 14.3 11.8 -2.5
Swing % 41.5 45.8 4.3
Whiff% 28.4 23.6 -4.8
In Zone % 46.1 45.8 -0.3
Out of Zone % 53.9 54.2 0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 23.2 35.4 12.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 31.3 2.9
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 53.1 -3.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 250 .328 159 1 0.6 91 32 35.2
2024 Shades 32 .333 17 0 0.0 15 5 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 247 16.0 25.5% 0.4% 254 19.3 0.4% 0.0%
2024 24 15.4 41.7% 0.0% 14 18.4 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution


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