Louie Varland
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 15, #449, Minnesota Twins | Concordia University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 3.81 5 5 0 26 21 1.23
2023 4 3 4.63 17 10 0 68 71 1.22
2024 0 6 7.94 14 7 0 45.1 42 1.70
3 Seasons 5 11 5.56 36 22 0 139.1 134 1.38
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 1-2 3.81 26 21 1.23
2023 17 4-3 4.63 68 71 1.22
2024 14 0-6 7.94 45.1 42 1.70
3 Seasons 36 5-11 5.56 139.1 134 1.38
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 411 78 5 6.4 4.7 88.7 112.6 14.8 43.6 .272 .441 .329 .329 .389 41.0 19.8 5.7 3.81 4.56
2023 25 1091 194 21 10.8 7.4 91.0 113.6 12.1 32.0 .249 .469 .335 .328 .415 43.8 25.1 6.0 4.63 4.58
2024 26 816 156 14 9.0 6.4 90.6 114.0 10.6 40.4 .292 .488 .380 .365 .423 44.2 19.3 7.3 7.94 5.71
Player 2318 428 40 9.3 6.6 90.4 114.0 12.0 37.1 .268 .471 .350 .341 .413 43.5 22.1 6.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Varland relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(40.7%) ,
Cutter
(27.8%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(17.0%) ,
Changeup
(10.7%) ,
Sinker
(3.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 38.5 26.9 28.2 6.4 42.3 32.1 25.6 5.1 23.1 28.2 32.1 5.1 6.4 4.7
2023 45.4 30.9 19.6 4.1 32.5 39.2 28.4 3.1 33.0 23.2 23.2 6.7 10.8 7.4
2024 45.5 26.9 25.0 2.6 33.3 38.5 28.2 3.8 28.2 19.9 32.7 6.4 9.0 6.4
Player 44.2 28.7 23.1 4.0 34.6 37.6 27.8 3.7 29.4 22.9 28.3 6.3 9.3 6.6
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 332 96.1 13.7 0.4 3 7.0 -0.9 -12
2024 Curveball MIN R 139 84.6 45.2 -1.5 -3 2.4 -4.2 -63
2024 Changeup MIN R 87 89.3 28.8 -1.2 -4 13.6 -1.0 -7
2024 Cutter MIN R 227 90.0 27.1 -1.6 -6 3.7 1.3 52
2024 Sinker MIN R 31 93.7 19.5 -3.7 -16 14.4 -0.6 -4
2023 Cutter MIN R 348 89.3 28.0 -1.5 -6 4.1 1.4 55
2023 Changeup MIN R 123 85.9 30.4 -2.5 -8 14.3 -0.3 -2
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 466 95.3 14.0 1.0 7 7.7 -0.4 -5
2023 Sinker MIN R 10 95.7 20.6 -1.2 -5 16.3 1.0 6
2023 Sweeper MIN R 144 83.9 39.7 2.5 7 10.1 -3.0 -23
2022 Cutter MIN R 77 89.0 26.0 0.3 1 2.1 0.1 3
2022 Curveball MIN R 11 82.0 47.7 -1.6 -3 3.2 -5.9 -65
2022 Changeup MIN R 59 83.8 32.5 -2.6 -7 14.3 -0.3 -2
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 196 93.8 15.9 -0.1 -1 9.6 1.0 11
2022 Sweeper MIN R 68 83.5 40.0 2.6 7 9.6 -4.2 -31
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -4 332 40.7 82 .297 .527 .393 22.2 23.2 21.8 .274 .502 .360 35.7
2024 Cutter -5.4 -12 227 27.8 69 .328 .603 .483 23.4 14.5 15.4 .299 .517 .403 43.8
2024 Curveball -2.2 -3 139 17.0 43 .300 .375 .314 27.8 27.9 19.4 .300 .443 .334 60.0
2024 Changeup 1.3 1 87 10.7 15 .267 .267 .300 11.4 6.7 7.7 .308 .387 .301 28.6
2024 Sinker -5.2 -2 31 3.8 8 .500 .875 .588 5.9 0.0 0.0 .334 .572 .383 75.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 2 466 42.7 113 .267 .533 .370 23.7 26.5 20.7 .236 .447 .316 53.3
2023 Cutter 1.1 4 348 31.9 93 .250 .405 .305 28.5 24.7 23.2 .245 .400 .305 42.2
2023 Sweeper -2.8 -4 144 13.2 43 .220 .512 .323 26.3 23.3 12.5 .276 .597 .381 35.5
2023 Changeup -1.4 -2 123 11.3 32 .267 .600 .383 26.4 21.9 17.9 .285 .599 .389 30.4
2023 Sinker 5.6 1 10 0.9 2 .000 .000 .000 20.0 50.0 100.0 .002 .002 .002 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 1 196 47.7 43 .231 .513 .345 17.7 23.3 16.1 .235 .481 .341 44.8
2022 Cutter -0.6 0 77 18.7 22 .364 .545 .393 18.2 4.5 11.1 .314 .465 .337 42.9
2022 Sweeper -2.7 -2 68 16.5 16 .333 .333 .325 24.2 25.0 12.5 .330 .384 .338 27.3
2022 Changeup 2.5 1 59 14.4 20 .158 .368 .243 22.2 25.0 23.8 .250 .402 .302 42.9
2022 Curveball 1.0 0 11 2.7 4 .250 .250 .225 28.6 25.0 14.3 .269 .311 .254 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 82 89.4 86 15.1 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Curveball 138 84.6 55 9.6 7:30 6:30 60
2024 Cutter 222 90.0 38 7.2 12:00 10:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 328 96.1 94 17.1 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 31 93.7 93 18.6 1:15 1:45 -30
2023 Changeup 113 86.0 92 16.1 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Cutter 345 89.3 38 7.1 12:00 10:30 90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 446 95.3 92 17.7 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Sinker 10 95.7 91 19.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Sweeper 136 83.9 45 11.4 7:45 8:30 -45
2022 Changeup 56 83.8 96 16.0 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 Curveball 11 82.0 48 10.1 7:45 6:30 75
2022 Cutter 77 89.0 48 8.1 12:30 11:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 196 93.8 94 17.8 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Sweeper 68 83.5 40 10.8 7:45 8:30 -45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 105 411 0 4 -2 -1 0
2023 287 1,110 3 4 -3 -3 0
2024 217 816 -3 -4 -9 -4 -20
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 411 55.5 68.9 84.7 27.3 64.0 41.6 64.2 50.4 19.8 10.5 88.4
2023 1,091 55.3 73.5 80.6 29.5 54.2 44.0 70.0 53.8 25.9 9.3 77.5
2024 816 55.0 73.1 85.1 22.6 50.6 39.1 62.2 50.4 21.9 9.8 82.5
Player 2,318 55.2 72.5 82.9 26.7 54.9 41.8 66.2 52.0 23.5 9.7 81.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2022 48 44 83
2023 33 42 13 5 72 42 10 6 17 62 83 47 59 73 46 90
2024 3 3 4 10 5 58 24 8 10 21 61 21 3 79 26 30 90
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.3 4 3.8 0 1 2 2 50.0
2023 23.1 16 16.1 0 1 13 6 37.5
2024 24.1 11 9.5 2 0 9 2 18.2
Player 23.6 31 29.4 2 2 24 10 32.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2022 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 4 4
2023 16 15 14 15 18 17 17 15 16 15 17 16 16 14 18 17 18 16 16 17 15 16 20 17 13 14 17 16 17 17 14
2024 11 9 8 10 10 9 11 10 7 9 11 8 10 8 10 11 11 8 11 11 9 9 11 10 9 9 8 10 10 9 8
Player 31 27 25 29 32 30 32 28 26 28 32 27 30 25 32 32 32 28 32 32 28 29 35 32 25 27 30 29 31 30 26
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 92.8 0.4 ↑ 93.6 0.8 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 83.8 85.9 2.1 ↑ 89.3 3.4 ↑
Breaking Velocity 83.3 83.9 0.6 ↑ 84.6 0.7 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.7 91.0 2.3 ↑ 90.6 -0.4 ↓
Launch Angle 14.8 12.1 -2.7 ↓ 10.6 -1.5 ↓
Barrel % 6.4 10.8 4.4 ↑ 9.0 -1.8 ↓
Hard Hit % 41.0 43.8 2.8 ↑ 44.2 0.4 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 43.6 32.0 -11.6 ↓ 40.4 8.4 ↑
xBA .272 .249 -0.023 ↓ .292 0.043 ↑
BA .263 .252 -0.011 ↓ .313 0.061 ↑
xwOBA .329 .328 -0.001 ↓ .365 0.037 ↑
wOBA .329 .335 0.006 ↑ .380 0.045 ↑
xSLG .441 .469 0.028 ↑ .488 0.019 ↑
SLG .455 .492 0.037 ↑ .513 0.021 ↑
K% 19.8 25.1 5.3 ↑ 19.3 -5.8 ↓
BB% 5.7 6.0 0.3 ↑ 7.3 1.3 ↑
Swing % 50.4 53.8 3.4 ↑ 50.4 -3.4 ↓
Whiff% 19.8 25.9 6.1 ↑ 21.9 -4.0 ↓
In Zone % 55.5 55.3 -0.2 ↓ 55.0 -0.3 ↓
Out of Zone % 44.5 44.7 0.2 ↑ 45.0 0.3 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 27.3 29.5 2.2 ↑ 22.6 -6.9 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 33.0 39.2 6.2 ↑ 39.6 0.4 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 70.0 5.8 ↑ 62.2 -7.8 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 105 .329 62 20 32.3 43 35 81.4
2023 Shades 283 .335 184 22 12.0 99 64 64.6
2024 Shades 216 .377 102 3 2.9 114 82 71.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 125 14.0 69.6% 0.0% 59 19.0 3.4% 1.7%
2023 290 12.8 86.6% 0.0% 141 17.1 9.9% 0.0%
2024 205 13.2 80.0% 0.0% 133 17.4 6.8% 1.5%

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Pitch Distribution

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