Louie Varland
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 15, #449, Minnesota Twins | Concordia University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 3.81 5 5 0 26 21 1.23
2023 4 3 4.63 17 10 0 68 71 1.22
2024 0 2 9.00 2 2 0 9 10 2.00
3 Seasons 5 7 4.81 24 17 0 103 102 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 1-2 3.81 26 21 1.23
2023 17 4-3 4.63 68 71 1.22
2024 2 0-2 9.00 9 10 2.00
3 Seasons 24 5-7 4.81 103 102 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 411 78 5 6.4 4.7 88.7 112.6 14.8 43.6 .272 .441 .329 .329 .390 41.0 19.8 5.7 3.81 4.56
2023 25 1091 194 21 10.8 7.4 91.0 113.6 12.1 32.0 .249 .469 .335 .328 .415 43.8 25.1 6.0 4.63 4.58
2024 26 186 29 3 10.3 6.7 88.8 114.0 8.1 48.3 .297 .541 .450 .402 .477 44.8 22.2 11.1 9.00 7.07
Player 1688 301 29 9.6 6.7 90.2 114.0 12.4 36.5 .259 .469 .345 .336 .414 43.2 23.5 6.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Varland relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(41.9%) ,
Cutter
(31.2%) ,
Curveball
(18.3%) ,
Changeup
(7.0%) ,
Sinker
(1.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 38.5 26.9 28.2 6.4 42.3 32.1 25.6 5.1 23.1 28.2 32.1 5.1 6.4 4.7
2023 45.4 30.9 19.6 4.1 32.5 39.2 28.4 3.1 33.0 23.2 23.2 6.7 10.8 7.4
2024 51.7 20.7 27.6 0.0 31.0 41.4 27.6 6.9 34.5 13.8 27.6 6.9 10.3 6.7
Player 44.2 28.9 22.6 4.3 34.9 37.5 27.6 4.0 30.6 23.6 25.9 6.3 9.6 6.7
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 78 95.7 14.2 -0.2 -1 6.8 -1.3 -16
2024 Sinker MIN R 3 94.1 17.8 -4.6 -21 13.7 -2.0 -13
2024 Cutter MIN R 58 90.0 27.7 -2.3 -9 4.0 1.8 76
2024 Curveball MIN R 34 84.6 45.5 -0.4 -1 1.5 -3.9 -72
2024 Changeup MIN R 13 87.0 31.6 -0.3 -1 13.0 -2.1 -14
2023 Sweeper MIN R 144 83.9 39.7 2.4 7 10.1 -3.1 -23
2023 Cutter MIN R 348 89.3 28.0 -1.4 -5 4.1 1.5 57
2023 Sinker MIN R 10 95.7 20.6 -1.1 -5 16.3 1.0 6
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 466 95.3 14.0 1.0 6 7.7 -0.4 -5
2023 Changeup MIN R 123 85.9 30.4 -2.5 -8 14.3 -0.3 -2
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 196 93.8 15.9 -0.1 -1 9.6 1.0 11
2022 Curveball MIN R 11 82.0 47.7 -1.6 -3 3.2 -5.9 -65
2022 Cutter MIN R 77 89.0 26.0 0.3 1 2.1 0.1 4
2022 Changeup MIN R 59 83.8 32.5 -2.6 -7 14.3 -0.3 -2
2022 Sweeper MIN R 68 83.5 40.0 2.6 7 9.6 -4.3 -31
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -6.7 -5 78 41.9 18 .438 1.063 .631 17.6 16.7 16.7 .348 .854 .520 46.2
2024 Cutter -1.4 -1 58 31.2 17 .231 .308 .344 17.4 23.5 17.4 .262 .331 .361 55.6
2024 Curveball 0.8 0 34 18.3 7 .286 .286 .257 43.8 42.9 21.4 .238 .274 .227 0.0
2024 Changeup 0.6 0 13 7.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .077 .277 .149 0.0
2024 Sinker -5.5 0 3 1.6 2 .500 .500 .450 33.3 0.0 0.0 .431 .469 .393 100.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 2 466 42.7 113 .267 .533 .370 23.7 26.5 20.7 .235 .447 .316 53.3
2023 Cutter 1.1 4 348 31.9 93 .250 .405 .305 28.5 24.7 23.2 .245 .400 .304 42.2
2023 Sweeper -2.8 -4 144 13.2 43 .220 .512 .323 26.3 23.3 12.5 .276 .597 .381 35.5
2023 Changeup -1.4 -2 123 11.3 32 .267 .600 .383 26.4 21.9 17.9 .285 .599 .389 30.4
2023 Sinker 5.6 1 10 0.9 2 .000 .000 .000 20.0 50.0 100.0 .002 .002 .002 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 1 196 47.7 43 .231 .513 .345 17.7 23.3 16.1 .235 .481 .341 44.8
2022 Cutter -0.6 0 77 18.7 22 .364 .545 .393 18.2 4.5 11.1 .315 .466 .338 42.9
2022 Sweeper -2.7 -2 68 16.5 16 .333 .333 .325 24.2 25.0 12.5 .330 .384 .338 27.3
2022 Changeup 2.5 1 59 14.4 20 .158 .368 .243 22.2 25.0 23.8 .250 .402 .302 42.9
2022 Curveball 1.0 0 11 2.7 4 .250 .250 .225 28.6 25.0 14.3 .269 .311 .254 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 10 87.0 85 14.3 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Curveball 33 84.6 52 9.8 7:30 6:15 75
2024 Cutter 53 90.0 36 6.9 11:45 10:30 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 74 95.6 91 16.8 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Changeup 113 86.0 92 16.1 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Cutter 345 89.3 38 7.1 12:00 10:30 90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 446 95.3 92 17.7 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Sinker 10 95.7 91 19.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Sweeper 136 83.9 45 11.4 7:45 8:30 -45
2022 Changeup 56 83.8 96 16.0 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 Curveball 11 82.0 48 10.1 7:45 6:30 75
2022 Cutter 77 89.0 48 8.1 12:30 11:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 196 93.8 94 17.8 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Sweeper 68 83.5 40 10.8 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 105 411 0 4 -2 -1 0
2023 287 1,110 3 4 -3 -3 0
2024 45 186 -1 0 -4 -1 -6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 411 55.5 68.9 84.7 27.3 64.0 41.6 64.2 50.4 19.8 10.5 88.4
2023 1,091 55.3 73.5 80.6 29.5 54.2 44.0 70.0 53.8 25.9 9.3 77.5
2024 186 48.9 63.7 84.5 22.1 57.1 40.9 64.4 42.5 22.8 10.2 84.2
Player 1,688 54.6 71.4 81.9 28.1 56.7 43.1 68.0 51.7 24.2 9.7 81.1
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 49 44 83
2023 34 42 13 5 74 42 10 6 17 62 83 47 59 73 46 90
2024 10 17 10 10 12 22 25 50 26 49 32 36 18 79 42 88
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.3 4 3.8 0 1 2 2 50.0
2023 23.1 16 16.1 0 1 13 6 37.5
2024 21.4 3 2.2 1 0 3 0 0.0
Player 23.1 23 22.1 1 2 18 8 34.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 4 4
2023 16 15 14 15 18 17 17 15 16 15 17 16 16 14 18 17 18 16 16 17 15 16 20 17 13 14 17 16 17 17 14
2024 3 2 1 2 3 2 3 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 0 3 2 1 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
Player 23 20 18 21 25 23 24 20 20 21 24 22 22 19 25 24 24 23 21 24 21 21 27 25 18 20 23 21 23 23 20
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 92.8 0.4 93.3 0.5
Offspeed Velocity 83.8 85.9 2.1 87.0 1.1
Breaking Velocity 83.3 83.9 0.6 84.6 0.7
Exit Velocity 88.7 91.0 2.3 88.8 -2.2
Launch Angle 14.8 12.1 -2.7 8.1 -4.0
Barrel % 6.4 10.8 4.4 10.3 -0.5
Hard Hit % 41.0 43.8 2.8 44.8 1.0
Sweet Spot % 43.6 32.0 -11.6 48.3 16.3
xBA .272 .249 -0.023 .297 0.048
BA .263 .252 -0.011 .333 0.081
xwOBA .329 .328 -0.001 .402 0.074
wOBA .329 .335 0.006 .450 0.115
xSLG .441 .469 0.028 .541 0.072
SLG .455 .492 0.037 .615 0.123
K% 19.8 25.1 5.3 22.2 -2.9
BB% 5.7 6.0 0.3 11.1 5.1
Swing % 50.4 53.8 3.4 42.5 -11.3
Whiff% 19.8 25.9 6.1 22.8 -3.1
In Zone % 55.5 55.3 -0.2 48.9 -6.4
Out of Zone % 44.5 44.7 0.2 51.1 6.4
Out of Zone Swing % 27.3 29.5 2.2 22.1 -7.4
First Pitch Swing % 33.0 39.2 6.2 40.0 0.8
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 70.0 5.8 64.4 -5.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 105 .329 62 20 32.3 43 36 83.7
2023 Shades 283 .335 184 22 12.0 99 64 64.6
2024 Shades 44 .439 19 0 0.0 25 24 96.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 125 14.0 69.6% 0.0% 59 19.0 3.4% 1.7%
2023 290 12.8 86.6% 0.0% 141 17.1 9.9% 0.0%
2024 59 13.4 72.9% 0.0% 32 17.5 15.6% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution


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