Louie Varland
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 15, #449, Minnesota Twins | Concordia University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 3.81 5 5 0 26 21 1.23
2023 4 3 4.63 17 10 0 68 71 1.22
2024 0 6 7.61 16 7 0 49.2 49 1.69
3 Seasons 5 11 5.51 38 22 0 143.2 141 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 1-2 3.81 26 21 1.23
2023 17 4-3 4.63 68 71 1.22
2024 16 0-6 7.61 49.2 49 1.69
3 Seasons 38 5-11 5.51 143.2 141 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 411 78 5 6.4 4.7 88.7 112.6 14.8 43.6 .272 .441 .329 .329 .389 41.0 19.8 5.7 3.81 4.56
2023 25 1091 194 21 10.8 7.4 91.0 113.6 12.1 32.0 .249 .469 .335 .328 .415 43.8 25.1 6.0 4.63 4.58
2024 26 901 169 15 8.9 6.3 90.6 114.0 11.1 41.4 .285 .466 .382 .354 .418 45.0 20.6 6.7 7.61 5.42
Player 2403 441 41 9.3 6.5 90.4 114.0 12.2 37.6 .266 .463 .352 .338 .412 43.8 22.5 6.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Varland relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(42.5%) ,
Cutter
(27.7%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(15.5%) ,
Changeup
(10.4%) ,
Sinker
(3.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 38.5 26.9 28.2 6.4 42.3 32.1 25.6 5.1 23.1 28.2 32.1 5.1 6.4 4.7
2023 45.4 30.9 19.6 4.1 32.5 39.2 28.4 3.1 33.0 23.2 23.2 6.7 10.8 7.4
2024 43.2 27.2 27.2 2.4 32.0 38.5 29.6 3.6 27.2 20.7 32.0 7.7 8.9 6.3
Player 43.3 28.8 24.0 3.9 34.0 37.6 28.3 3.6 29.0 23.1 28.1 6.8 9.3 6.5
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 383 96.3 13.6 0.4 6.9ARM -1.1 15.9 0.1 6.9ARM -0.6
2024 Cutter MIN R 250 90.1 27.2 -1.7 3.7GLV 1.3 6.3 -2.0 3.7GLV 1.0
2024 Curveball MIN R 140 84.6 45.2 -1.5 2.4GLV -4.2 -7.2 -2.7 2.4GLV -7.0
2024 Changeup MIN R 94 89.4 28.9 -1.1 13.6ARM -1.1 5.3 -0.4 13.6ARM -0.6
2024 Sinker MIN R 34 93.8 19.3 -3.7 14.5ARM -0.6 11.8 -4.5 14.5ARM -0.3
2023 Changeup MIN R 123 85.9 30.4 -2.5 14.3ARM -0.3 6.7 -1.3 14.3ARM -0.1
2023 Sweeper MIN R 144 83.9 39.7 2.5 10.1GLV -3.0 -0.7 2.2 10.1GLV -4.0
2023 Cutter MIN R 348 89.3 28.0 -1.5 4.1GLV 1.4 6.2 -1.7 4.1GLV 1.5
2023 Sinker MIN R 10 95.7 20.6 -1.2 16.3ARM 1.0 9.4 -1.8 16.3ARM 1.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 466 95.3 14.0 1.0 7.7ARM -0.4 16.3 0.5 7.7ARM 0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -3 383 42.5 93 .306 .553 .401 24.2 24.7 21.7 .257 .470 .339 38.1
2024 Cutter -4.9 -12 250 27.7 75 .333 .603 .473 24.6 16.0 16.7 .293 .488 .391 46.2
2024 Curveball -2.0 -3 140 15.5 44 .293 .366 .307 28.8 29.5 20.6 .299 .432 .330 60.0
2024 Changeup 1.1 1 94 10.4 17 .294 .294 .318 10.5 5.9 5.9 .339 .413 .330 25.0
2024 Sinker -4.7 -2 34 3.8 8 .500 .875 .588 5.9 0.0 0.0 .316 .539 .367 75.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 2 466 42.7 113 .267 .533 .370 23.7 26.5 20.7 .236 .447 .316 53.3
2023 Cutter 1.1 4 348 31.9 93 .250 .405 .305 28.5 24.7 23.2 .245 .400 .305 42.2
2023 Sweeper -2.8 -4 144 13.2 43 .220 .512 .323 26.3 23.3 12.5 .276 .597 .381 35.5
2023 Changeup -1.4 -2 123 11.3 32 .267 .600 .383 26.4 21.9 17.9 .285 .599 .389 30.4
2023 Sinker 5.6 1 10 0.9 2 .000 .000 .000 20.0 50.0 100.0 .002 .002 .002 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 87 89.4 86 15.1 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Curveball 139 84.6 55 9.6 7:30 6:30 60
2024 Cutter 245 90.0 37 7.1 12:00 10:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 379 96.3 95 17.1 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 34 93.8 93 18.7 1:15 1:45 -30
2023 Changeup 113 86.0 92 16.1 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Cutter 345 89.3 38 7.1 12:00 10:30 90
2023 4-Seam Fastball 446 95.3 92 17.7 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Sinker 10 95.7 91 19.2 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Sweeper 136 83.9 45 11.4 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 105 411 0 4 -2 -1 0
2023 287 1,110 3 4 -3 -3 0
2024 237 901 -3 -3 -9 -4 -19
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 411 55.5 68.9 84.7 27.3 64.0 41.6 64.2 50.4 20.3 10.5 88.4
2023 1,091 55.3 73.5 80.6 29.5 54.2 44.0 70.0 53.8 25.9 9.3 77.5
2024 901 55.0 72.8 84.2 23.7 49.0 38.7 61.6 50.7 23.2 10.0 84.4
Player 2,403 55.2 72.4 82.6 27.0 54.1 41.6 65.8 52.1 24.0 9.8 82.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 48 44 83
2023 33 42 13 5 72 42 10 6 17 62 83 47 59 73 46 90
2024 4 4 6 15 8 54 24 7 6 30 68 31 5 81 26 31 91
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.3 4 3.8 0 1 2 2 50.0
2023 23.1 16 15.6 0 1 12 6 37.5
2024 24.0 12 9.5 3 2 9 2 16.7
Player 23.6 32 28.9 3 4 23 10 31.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 4 4
2023 16 15 13 14 17 17 17 15 14 14 17 15 15 14 18 16 17 16 16 17 15 16 19 17 13 14 16 16 16 17 13
2024 12 9 7 7 10 9 11 9 7 9 11 8 10 8 11 11 11 8 11 11 10 10 11 11 8 10 9 9 10 10 8
Player 32 27 23 25 31 30 32 27 24 27 32 26 29 25 33 31 31 28 32 32 29 30 34 33 24 28 30 28 30 31 25
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 92.8 0.4 93.8 1.0
Offspeed Velocity 83.8 85.9 2.1 89.4 3.5
Breaking Velocity 83.3 83.9 0.6 84.6 0.7
Exit Velocity 88.7 91.0 2.3 90.6 -0.4
Launch Angle 14.8 12.1 -2.7 11.1 -1.0
Barrel % 6.4 10.8 4.4 8.9 -1.9
Hard Hit % 41.0 43.8 2.8 45.0 1.2
LA Sweet-Spot % 43.6 32.0 -11.6 41.4 9.4
xBA .272 .249 -0.023 .285 0.036
BA .263 .252 -0.011 .318 0.066
xwOBA .329 .328 -0.001 .354 0.026
wOBA .329 .335 0.006 .382 0.047
xSLG .441 .469 0.028 .466 -0.003
SLG .455 .492 0.037 .523 0.031
K% 19.8 25.1 5.3 20.6 -4.5
BB% 5.7 6.0 0.3 6.7 0.7
Swing % 50.4 53.8 3.4 50.7 -3.1
Whiff% 20.3 25.9 5.6 23.2 -2.7
In Zone % 55.5 55.3 -0.2 55.0 -0.3
Out of Zone % 44.5 44.7 0.2 45.0 0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 27.3 29.5 2.2 23.7 -5.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.0 39.2 6.2 39.7 0.5
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 70.0 5.8 61.6 -8.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 105 .329 62 20 32.3 43 35 81.4
2023 Shades 283 .335 184 22 12.0 99 64 64.6
2024 Shades 237 .382 114 3 2.6 123 82 66.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 125 14.0 69.6% 0.0% 59 19.0 3.4% 1.7%
2023 290 12.8 86.6% 0.0% 141 17.1 9.9% 0.0%
2024 220 13.2 80.0% 0.0% 152 17.3 7.9% 1.3%

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Pitch Distribution