P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 5' 10" 180 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 0 0 8.59 2 0 0 7.1 10 1.50
2026 1 1 5.54 8 0 1 13 9 1.38
2 Seasons 1 1 6.64 10 0 1 20.1 19 1.43
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 2 0-0 8.59 7.1 10 1.50
2026 8 1-1 5.54 13 9 1.38
2 Seasons 10 1-1 6.64 20.1 19 1.43
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 119 22 3 13.6 8.6 89.2 108.9 18.7 40.9 .267 .453 .412 .341 .450 31.8 28.6 2.9 8.59 4.93
2026 27 228 37 3 8.1 5.3 89.2 106.5 14.6 32.4 .217 .366 .294 .333 .315 40.5 15.8 17.5 5.54 4.72
Player 347 59 6 10.2 6.5 89.2 108.9 16.1 35.6 .237 .402 .338 .336 .364 37.3 20.7 12.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(44.3%) ,
Cutter
(23.2%) ,
Curveball
(16.2%) ,
Slider
(10.1%) ,
Split Finger
(6.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 27.3 72.7 36.4 31.8 4.5 31.8 54.5 13.6 9.1 13.6 4.5 22.7 40.9 9.1
2026 43.2 56.8 29.7 21.6 5.4 43.2 40.5 16.2 16.2 21.6 5.4 27.0 18.9 10.8
Player 37.3 62.7 32.2 25.4 5.1 39.0 45.8 15.3 13.6 18.6 5.1 25.4 27.1 10.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 9.1 9.1 27.3 36.4 4.5 13.6 8.6
2026 10.8 32.4 29.7 16.2 2.7 8.1 5.3
Player 10.2 23.7 28.8 23.7 3.4 10.2 6.5
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Split-Finger TOR R 14 84.4 28.8 -6.1 6.7ARM -4.0 9.6 -6.6 6.7ARM -4.5
2026 Slider TOR R 23 83.5 39.5 1.2 4.2GLV -0.4 -0.4 1.8 4.2GLV 0.5
2026 Curveball TOR R 37 76.2 59.6 1.5 9.7GLV -1.2 -12.2 2.0 9.7GLV 0.6
2026 Cutter TOR R 53 86.4 28.2 1.1 2.6GLV -0.2 8.2 0.2 2.6GLV 0.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 101 92.8 12.9 2.8 7.3ARM -0.1 19.1 3.4 7.3ARM -0.5
2025 Curveball TOR R 13 75.2 60.7 1.5 8.9GLV -2.5 -12.3 2.1 8.9GLV -0.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 58 93.7 12.9 2.7 7.6ARM -0.5 18.3 2.5 7.6ARM 0.0
2025 Split-Finger TOR R 7 84.0 34.2 -1.1 4.0ARM -7.7 4.2 -1.1 4.0ARM -7.3
2025 Slider TOR R 41 85.6 31.8 -4.1 3.3GLV -1.5 5.3 -3.5 3.3GLV -0.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -1 101 44.3 29 .200 .350 .355 22.7 20.7 17.6 .221 .320 .370 53.3
2026 Cutter 3.0 2 53 23.2 8 .000 .000 .175 25.9 0.0 0.0 .184 .261 .319 33.3
2026 Curveball 5.2 2 37 16.2 9 .000 .000 .000 28.6 22.2 20.0 .109 .255 .152 42.9
2026 Slider -2.6 -1 23 10.1 7 .429 .429 .386 18.2 14.3 16.7 .295 .339 .274 16.7
2026 Split-Finger -17.4 -2 14 6.1 3 .333 1.333 .667 20.0 0.0 0.0 .401 1.282 .699 33.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -7.1 -4 58 48.7 22 .444 .722 .529 22.9 22.7 27.8 .303 .496 .392 28.6
2025 Slider 2.2 1 41 34.5 8 .125 .500 .250 55.0 37.5 33.3 .197 .416 .255 20.0
2025 Curveball 3.7 0 13 10.9 2 .000 .000 .000 66.7 50.0 20.0 .003 .003 .003 0.0
2025 Split-Finger -1.4 0 7 5.9 3 .333 .333 .300 33.3 33.3 33.3 .413 .590 .424 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 37 76.2 80 18.5 7:00 7:15 -15
2026 Cutter 53 86.4 49 8.1 12:00 11:15 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 101 92.8 98 20.0 12:45 12:45 0
2026 Split-Finger 13 84.5 95 12.3 1:15 1:30 -15
2026 Slider 23 83.5 26 5.5 9:00 8:15 45
2025 Curveball 13 75.2 85 17.8 7:00 7:00 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 58 93.7 98 19.5 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Slider 41 85.6 34 5.7 11:30 10:45 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 35 119 -4 2 0 -1 -3
2026 56 228 5 -1 -2 -1 0
Player 91 347 1 1 -3 1 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 119 53.8 73.4 78.7 30.9 17.6 52.9 57.1 53.8 37.5 5.0 83.3
2026 228 45.6 63.5 80.3 28.2 68.6 34.2 57.1 44.3 23.8 9.6 81.8
Player 347 48.4 67.3 79.6 29.1 51.9 40.6 57.1 47.6 29.1 8.1 82.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 39 35 24
2026 24 46 31
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.10 2 1.0 1 2 1 0 0.0
2026 28.43 2 1.6 0 0 1 1 50.0
Player 25.76 4 2.6 1 2 2 1 25.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 2 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 1
2026 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 2
Player 4 4 3 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 5 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 4 1 3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .178 -.145 .323
xBA .217 -.050 .267
OBP .333 -.049 .382
xOBP .371 +.039 .332
SLG .311 -.270 .581
xSLG .366 -.087 .453
ISO .133 -.125 .258
xISO .149 -.037 .186
BABIP .171 -.250 .421
wOBA .294 -.118 .412
xwOBA .333 -.008 .341
wOBAcon .255 -.310 .565
xwOBAcon .315 -.135 .450
BACON .216 -.260 .476
xBACON .274 -.120 .394
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 40.5 +8.7 31.8
Avg Exit Velocity 89.2 0.0 89.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.4 -8.5 40.9
Barrel % 8.1 -5.5 13.6
Avg Launch Angle 14.6 -4.1 18.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.1 -2.0 73.1
Attack Angle 11° -1° 13°
Ideal Attack Angle % 47.7 -9.4 57.1
Attack Direction -3° +4° -7°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31°
Swing Length 7.4 -0.1 7.5
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 90.6 -3.1 93.7
Breaking Velocity 79.0 -4.1 83.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 +0.4 84.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 0 3
Popup % 5.4 +0.9 4.5
Flyball % 29.7 -6.7 36.4
Line Drive % 21.6 -10.2 31.8
Groundball % 43.2 +15.9 27.3
Pull % 43.2 +11.4 31.8
Straight Away % 40.5 -14.0 54.5
Opposite Field % 16.2 +2.6 13.6
Weak Contact % 10.8 +1.7 9.1
Pull Airball % 27.0 +4.3 22.7
Topped Contact % 32.4 +23.3 9.1
Under Contact % 29.7 +2.4 27.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 16.2 -20.2 36.4
Solid Contact % 2.7 -1.8 4.5
HR/FB % 18.2 -6.8 25.0
Popups 2 +1 1
Flyballs 11 +3 8
Line Drives 8 +1 7
Groundballs 16 +10 6
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.6 -8.2 53.8
Out of Zone % 54.4 +8.2 46.2
Edge % 34.2 -18.7 52.9
Zone Swing % 63.5 -9.9 73.4
Out of Zone Swing % 28.2 -2.7 30.9
In Zone Contact % 80.3 +1.6 78.7
Out of Zone Contact % 68.6 +51.0 17.6
Whiff % 23.8 -13.7 37.5
First Strike % 57.1 0.0 57.1
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 0.0 28.6
Swing % 44.3 -9.5 53.8
Meatball Swing % 81.8 -1.5 83.3
Meatball % 9.6 +4.6 5.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 19.7 -1.6 21.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 31.4 -51.0 82.4
In Zone 104 +40 64
Out of Zone 124 +69 55
Edge 78 +15 63
In Zone Swings 66 +19 47
Out of Zone Swings 35 +18 17
In Zone Swing & Misses 13 +3 10
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 11 -3 14
Basic
Pitches 228 +109 119
PA 57 +22 35
AB 45 +14 31
Hits 8 -2 10
Singles 6 0 6
Doubles 0 -2 2
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 2 0 2
Walks 10 +9 1
Strikeouts 9 -1 10
K% 15.8 -12.8 28.6
BB% 17.5 +14.6 2.9
HBP 1 -1 2
Batted Balls 37 +15 22
Fastball Percent 67.5 +18.8 48.7
Offspeed Percent 6.1 +0.2 5.9
Breaking Percent 26.3 -19.1 45.4
Number of Fastballs 154 +96 58
Number of Offspeed 14 +7 7
Number of Breaking 60 +6 54
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 35 .412 24 2 8.3 11 5 45.5
2026 Shades 56 .294 29 1 3.4 27 9 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 23 16.9 17.4% 4.3% 23 19.1 0.0% 0.0%
2026 63 16.5 27.0% 0.0% 30 19.2 0.0% 6.7%

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Pitch Distribution