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Lance Lynn
P | B/T: S/R | 6' 5" 270LBS | Age: 34
Draft: 2008 | Rd: C-A, #39, St. Louis Cardinals | Mississippi
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 11 6 2.69 28 28 0 157.0 176 1.07
10 Seasons 115 77 3.48 288 264 1 1583.2 1591 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 11-6 2.69 157.0 176 1.07
10 Seasons 288 115-77 3.48 1583.2 1591 1.27

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 3053 511 25 4.9 88.9 113.9 11.9 29 .224 .356 .311 .291 .334 30.9 22.2 9.1 3.03 3.63
2017 30 3151 535 31 5.8 86.6 117.6 12.2 32.3 .232 .394 .305 .313 .343 27.5 19.7 10.1 3.43 4.30
2018 31 2942 457 19 4.2 87.5 112.7 7.8 30.4 .240 .363 .327 .309 .352 37.1 23 10.9 4.77 4.09
2019 32 3553 562 33 5.9 87.9 113.5 13.8 34 .218 .364 .294 .278 .350 33.8 28.1 6.7 3.67 3.43
2020 33 1408 224 12 5.4 88.6 113.4 17.5 34.4 .208 .352 .287 .280 .333 37.5 25.9 7.3 3.32 3.30
2021 34 2608 416 24 5.8 87.7 114.6 16 31.7 .193 .313 .264 .250 .307 36 27.5 7 2.69 2.62
16715 2705 144 5.3 87.8 117.6 12.7 31.8 .220 .359 .299 .288 .338 33.2 24.3 8.6
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynn relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(42%) ,
Cutter
(31%) ,
Sinker
(19.4%) ,
Changeup
(4.6%) ,
Curveball
(3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1051 466 585 42.0 94.0 238 219 41 29 6 0 6 85 135 .187 .173 .297 .297 .241 .236 90.6 24 2407 6.3 32.5 23.5
2021 Cutter 775 390 385 31.0 88.7 179 170 37 25 7 1 4 50 120 .218 .203 .341 .320 .260 .248 86.1 20 2538 6.3 25.8 22.6
2021 Sinker 485 301 184 19.4 92.4 154 136 33 21 7 0 5 23 116 .243 .233 .404 .369 .311 .298 84.8 3 2228 6.4 14.7 16.8
2021 Changeup 116 9 107 4.6 87.2 29 27 4 3 0 0 1 6 21 .148 .238 .259 .428 .191 .296 85.2 14 1776 6.4 29.5 12.2
2021 Curveball 76 33 43 3.0 82.1 17 16 4 4 0 0 0 5 11 .250 .169 .250 .190 .248 .187 83.2 10 2473 6.3 23.1 13.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 702 335 367 50.2 94.0 167 152 32 16 8 1 7 46 107 .211 .210 .414 .393 .297 .291 88.3 27 2491 6.4 29.3 21.6
2020 Cutter 311 144 167 22.2 89.4 74 69 14 7 3 0 4 14 56 .203 .225 .420 .379 .278 .281 86.2 20 2603 6.3 21.4 16.1
2020 Sinker 252 163 89 18.0 92.0 74 63 14 9 3 0 2 15 48 .222 .206 .365 .291 .316 .288 89.3 -2 2328 6.5 18.5 17.6
2020 Curveball 117 66 51 8.4 83.9 26 25 3 2 1 0 0 13 12 .120 .140 .160 .164 .142 .156 92.2 -1 2618 6.4 31.0 16.7
2020 Changeup 16 1 15 1.1 84.6 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .500 .480 .500 .518 .441 .451 66.8 25 1781 6.4 33.3 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 46.2 21.5 24.7 7.6 30.5 40.5 28.8 3.5 33.1 22.5 23.3 5.3 4.9
2017 45.4 23.7 23.4 7.5 29.3 40.6 30.1 5.4 32.7 25.8 23.2 4.9 5.8
2018 49.9 18.2 25.6 6.3 32.2 40.9 26.9 6.3 37.6 19.3 25.6 6.6 4.2
2019 40.7 23.8 27.9 7.5 36.1 36.3 27.6 3.9 31 25.6 24.2 6.2 5.9
2020 37.1 25.4 28.1 9.4 32.6 36.6 30.8 3.6 27.7 37.1 20.5 5.8 5.4
2021 39.9 30 20.9 9.1 37.3 34.1 28.6 4.3 29.6 31 20.2 5.5 5.8
43.8 23.5 25 7.7 32.9 38.4 28.6 4.6 32.3 25.8 23.1 5.7 5.3
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup CWS R 116 87.2 29.4 -0.9 -3 13.5 -0.9 -6
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1051 94 16 -0.8 -5 6 -1.8 -23
2021 Curveball CWS R 76 82.1 45 -4.4 -9 6.5 -3.2 -33
2021 Sinker CWS R 483 92.4 25.7 3 13 12.9 -2 -13
2021 Cutter CWS R 775 88.7 29.8 -2.9 -11 2.7 0.6 30
2020 Cutter TEX R 310 89.4 27.1 -1.1 -4 2.1 -0.1 -4
2020 Sinker TEX R 252 92 25.1 2.5 11 13.3 -1.3 -9
2020 Changeup TEX R 16 84.6 29.2 -2.5 -8 7.9 -5.5 -41
2020 Curveball TEX R 126 83.6 43.4 -4.1 -9 4.7 -3.7 -44
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 699 94 15.4 -0.2 -1 6.7 -0.9 -12
2019 Cutter TEX R 558 89 29.6 -2.4 -9 3.3 1.3 67
2019 Sinker TEX R 590 92.8 24.4 2.1 9 12.9 -1.8 -12
2019 Curveball TEX R 327 81.2 52 0.9 2 7.8 -1.4 -16
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 1858 94.6 15.9 -0.6 -4 6.1 -1.8 -23
2019 Changeup TEX R 102 86.9 29.6 -0.2 -1 12.6 -1.7 -12
2018 Curveball NYY R 267 80 54.6 1.8 4 8.5 -0.7 -7
2018 Sinker NYY R 953 92.3 26 3.4 15 12.3 -2.4 -16
2018 Changeup NYY R 57 85.3 32.6 0.9 3 12.1 -1.7 -12
2018 Cutter NYY R 339 87.4 32.5 -4.4 -16 4.4 2.2 105
2018 4-Seamer NYY R 1318 93.7 17.2 -1.4 -9 5.4 -2.4 -31
2017 Cutter STL R 330 87.1 28.5 -0.6 -2 1.2 -0.8 -41
2017 Sinker STL R 1340 91.4 24.2 1.7 8 14.7 -0.4 -3
2017 Curveball STL R 151 78.9 52.2 -1.4 -3 5.6 -3.1 -35
2017 4-Seamer STL R 1155 92.4 16.7 -1.1 -7 8.9 0.3 3
2017 Changeup STL R 168 86 27.8 -2.4 -8 13 -0.7 -5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball 1.5 1 76 2.9 17 .25 .25 .359 23.1 29.4 13.5 .169 .19 .187 18.2
2021 Changeup -0.2 0 116 4.4 29 .148 .259 .21 29.5 20.7 12.2 .238 .428 .31 23.8
2021 Sinker -1.4 -7 485 18.6 154 .243 .404 .329 14.7 14.9 16.8 .233 .369 .301 32.8
2021 Cutter -1.3 -10 775 29.7 179 .218 .341 .268 25.8 27.9 22.6 .203 .32 .248 31.7
2021 4-Seamer -1.5 -15 1051 40.3 238 .187 .297 .255 32.5 35.7 23.5 .173 .297 .24 45.9
2020 Changeup 2.2 0 16 1.1 2 .5 .5 .45 33.3 50 50 .48 .518 .451 0
2020 Curveball -0.3 0 126 8.9 27 .12 .16 .165 30.2 48.1 15.7 .14 .164 .177 50
2020 Cutter -1 -3 311 22.1 74 .203 .42 .294 21.4 18.9 16.1 .225 .379 .281 32.1
2020 Sinker -0.3 -1 252 17.9 74 .222 .365 .318 18.5 20.3 17.6 .206 .291 .287 45.8
2020 4-Seamer -0.8 -6 702 49.9 167 .211 .414 .311 29.3 27.5 21.6 .21 .393 .291 35.5
2019 Changeup 1.9 2 102 2.9 15 .231 .308 .297 25 6.7 4.8 .287 .479 .375 16.7
2019 Curveball 0.1 0 327 9.2 74 .189 .284 .216 40.3 41.9 20.8 .18 .268 .192 37.2
2019 Cutter -0.2 -1 558 15.7 117 .243 .315 .264 25.7 23.1 15.9 .227 .319 .252 24.7
2019 Sinker 0.1 0 590 16.6 183 .325 .47 .371 19.1 18 20 .267 .416 .317 31.6
2019 4-Seamer -1.7 -32 1858 52.3 458 .218 .403 .306 30.5 31.4 25 .213 .39 .294 38
2018 Changeup 2.3 1 57 1.9 7 .429 .429 .386 20 0 0 .436 .495 .411 14.3
2018 Curveball 1.1 3 267 9.1 71 .149 .194 .209 31.7 38 18.2 .115 .146 .145 22
2018 Cutter -0.8 -3 339 11.5 72 .246 .262 .285 24.8 20.8 18.1 .24 .319 .288 20
2018 Sinker 1.1 11 953 32.4 264 .31 .419 .379 17.3 12.1 17.3 .282 .389 .347 42.1
2018 4-Seamer 0.1 1 1318 44.8 280 .253 .457 .355 26.1 30.7 18.6 .232 .41 .324 41.3
2017 Changeup 4.2 7 168 5.3 29 .333 .778 .509 14.9 0 0 .355 .884 .519 29.6
2017 Curveball 1.2 2 151 4.8 37 .2 .486 .307 21.2 16.2 8.2 .247 .433 .308 31
2017 Cutter -1.5 -5 330 10.5 97 .154 .33 .233 24.8 30.9 23.6 .175 .302 .232 21.3
2017 4-Seamer -0.6 -7 1155 36.7 230 .199 .398 .319 28.2 28.7 21.1 .208 .396 .315 33.8
2017 Sinker -0.9 -12 1340 42.5 377 .252 .371 .322 17.9 13.5 15.5 .252 .375 .319 25.4
2017 N/A 1 0 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 16 84.6 79 11.6 1:15 1:30 -15
2020 Curveball 117 83.9 35 7.8 8:30 7:30 60
2020 Cutter 299 89.4 40 6.7 12:00 11:15 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 689 94 78 16.5 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Sinker 249 92 74 15.3 1:00 2:15 -75
2021 Changeup 109 87.1 85 15.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 76 82.1 47 10.2 8:00 7:45 15
2021 Cutter 774 88.7 33 5.6 11:45 10:30 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1048 94 79 15.7 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 466 92.4 75 14.6 1:00 2:15 -75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 177 721 -12 -3 3 4 -8
2012 793 3211 -9 -25 14 19 0
2013 934 3637 -9 -24 16 18 1
2014 913 3652 -21 -36 17 16 -24
2015 750 3055 -14 -34 18 14 -16
2017 770 3144 -15 -46 29 18 -14
2018 706 2982 -14 -9 24 14 15
2019 847 3435 -22 -40 22 11 -30
2020 344 1407 -7 -16 8 5 -10
2021 637 2579 -21 -32 13 11 -29
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3053 43.5 71.8 83.2 27.7 67.5 40.5 56.5 46.9 21 5.9 80.7
2017 3151 45.5 69.6 80 24.3 67.5 42.4 54.6 44.9 22.5 5.8 80.7
2018 2942 43.7 72.7 82.3 26.3 62.1 42.9 54.1 46.6 23.4 5.9 83.2
2019 3553 50.3 69.3 76.6 28.3 56.4 41.7 62.7 49 28.5 8.1 85.2
2020 1408 51.2 70.7 80.2 27.1 59.1 45.1 61 49.5 25.4 6.1 83.7
2021 2608 49.8 73.3 79.1 27.6 57.1 41.1 58.5 50.2 26.3 7.2 81.7
16715 47 71.1 80.1 26.8 62 42 57.8 47.7 24.6 6.5 82.7
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 62 66 65 56 52 19 52 24 68 63 19 34 62 47 85 25
2017 47 65 54 43 40 11 52 65 90 35 22 37 47 30 71 18
2018 45 47 64 78 26 41 89 74 34 55 15 40 45 46 74 19
2019 83 75 75 71 85 16 70 69 72 78 73 72 83 54 91 31
2020 77 79 70 61 81 13 70 45 47 63 66 41 77 44 92 66
2021 96 91 91 83 97 32 81 74 69 77 70 51 96 28 86 53
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.2 21 21.3 0 19 15 10 47.6
2020 23.2 13 12.1 1 6 7 2 15.4
2021 23 18 16.9 1 9 6 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 21 22 31 20 25 17 23 25 17 23 25 22 12 17 19 24 16 22 18 23 11 21 18 23 22 26 22 20 28 20 27
2020 13 12 17 12 13 12 11 12 11 12 13 12 8 10 11 13 10 14 11 11 6 8 9 14 12 15 12 9 14 9 15
2021 18 16 19 14 16 14 16 15 15 16 17 13 12 13 15 16 11 16 16 18 11 14 14 16 16 17 16 13 17 14 16
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.3 92.4 1.1 ↑ 93.2 0.8 ↑ 92.5 -0.7 ↓ 91.9 -0.6 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 86 85.3 -0.7 ↓ 86.9 1.6 ↑ 84.6 -2.3 ↓ 87.2 2.6 ↑
Breaking Velocity 78.9 80 1.1 ↑ 81.2 1.2 ↑ 83.6 2.4 ↑ 82.1 -1.5 ↓
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.5 0.9 ↑ 87.9 0.4 ↑ 88.6 0.7 ↑ 87.7 -0.9 ↓
Launch Angle 12.2 7.8 -4.4 ↓ 13.8 6 ↑ 17.5 3.7 ↑ 16 -1.5 ↓
Barrel % 5.8 4.2 -1.6 ↓ 5.9 1.7 ↑ 5.4 -0.5 ↓ 5.8 0.4 ↑
Hard Hit % 27.5 37.1 9.6 ↑ 33.8 -3.3 ↓ 37.5 3.7 ↑ 36 -1.5 ↓
Sweet Spot % 32.3 30.4 -1.9 ↓ 34 3.6 ↑ 34.4 0.4 ↑ 31.7 -2.7 ↓
xBA .232 .24 0.008 ↑ .218 -0.022 ↓ .208 -0.01 ↓ .193 -0.015 ↓
BA .223 .265 0.042 ↑ .243 -0.022 ↓ .206 -0.037 ↓ .209 0.003 ↑
xwOBA .313 .309 -0.004 ↓ .278 -0.031 ↓ .28 0.002 ↑ .25 -0.03 ↓
wOBA .305 .327 0.022 ↑ .294 -0.033 ↓ .287 -0.007 ↓ .264 -0.023 ↓
xSLG .394 .363 -0.031 ↓ .364 0.001 ↑ .352 -0.012 ↓ .313 -0.039 ↓
SLG .395 .394 -0.001 ↓ .39 -0.004 ↓ .386 -0.004 ↓ .338 -0.048 ↓
K% 19.7 23 3.3 ↑ 28.1 5.1 ↑ 25.9 -2.2 ↓ 27.5 1.6 ↑
BB% 10.1 10.9 0.8 ↑ 6.7 -4.2 ↓ 7.3 0.6 ↑ 7 -0.3 ↓
Swing % 44.9 46.6 1.7 ↑ 49 2.4 ↑ 49.5 0.5 ↑ 50.2 0.7 ↑
Whiff% 22.5 23.4 0.9 ↑ 28.5 5.1 ↑ 25.4 -3.1 ↓ 26.3 0.9 ↑
In Zone % 45.5 43.7 -1.8 ↓ 50.3 6.6 ↑ 51.2 0.9 ↑ 49.8 -1.4 ↓
Out of Zone % 54.5 56.3 1.8 ↑ 49.7 -6.6 ↓ 48.8 -0.9 ↓ 50.2 1.4 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 24.3 26.3 2 ↑ 28.3 2 ↑ 27.1 -1.2 ↓ 27.6 0.5 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 25.8 27.3 1.5 ↑ 33.4 6.1 ↑ 28.8 -4.6 ↓ 32.1 3.3 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 54.6 54.1 -0.5 ↓ 62.7 8.6 ↑ 61 -1.7 ↓ 58.5 -2.5 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2017 770 .305 389 3 0.8 381 17 4.5
2018 696 .328 390 44 11.3 306 96 31.4
2019 875 .294 417 42 10.1 458 182 39.7
2020 342 .289 177 38 21.5 165 66 40.0
2021 617 .262 303 28 9.2 314 161 51.3

Pitch Distribution

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