Lance Lynn
P | Bats/Throws: S/R | 6' 5" 280LBS | Age: 37
Draft: 2008 | Rd: C-A, #39, St. Louis Cardinals | Mississippi
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 8 7 3.99 21 21 0 121.2 124 1.13
2023 13 11 5.73 32 32 0 183.2 191 1.39
2024 7 4 3.84 23 23 0 117.1 109 1.34
13 Seasons 143 99 3.74 364 340 1 2,006.1 2,015 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 21 8-7 3.99 121.2 124 1.13
2023 32 13-11 5.73 183.2 191 1.39
2024 23 7-4 3.84 117.1 109 1.34
13 Seasons 364 143-99 3.74 2,006.1 2,015 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 3053 511 25 4.9 3.3 88.9 113.9 11.9 29.0 .234 .372 .311 .303 .355 30.9 22.2 9.1 3.03 3.80
2017 30 3151 535 31 5.8 4.0 86.6 117.6 12.2 32.3 .234 .398 .305 .315 .347 27.5 19.7 10.1 3.43 4.27
2018 31 2942 457 19 4.2 2.7 87.5 112.7 7.8 30.4 .240 .364 .327 .310 .354 37.1 23.0 10.9 4.77 4.07
2019 32 3553 562 33 5.9 3.8 87.9 113.5 13.8 34.0 .222 .372 .294 .283 .361 33.8 28.1 6.7 3.67 3.48
2020 33 1408 224 12 5.4 3.5 88.6 113.4 17.5 34.4 .208 .350 .287 .279 .331 37.5 25.9 7.3 3.32 3.25
2021 34 2608 416 24 5.8 3.7 87.7 114.6 16.0 31.7 .198 .322 .264 .256 .319 36.0 27.5 7.0 2.69 2.72
2022 35 2022 359 24 6.7 4.7 88.4 113.8 14.2 34.3 .242 .387 .304 .296 .366 38.7 24.2 3.7 4.00 3.62
2023 36 3167 540 56 10.4 6.9 88.7 114.3 17.0 35.2 .252 .461 .347 .337 .406 39.3 23.6 8.3 5.73 4.86
2024 37 2039 354 37 10.5 7.2 88.9 114.6 17.0 37.0 .262 .453 .314 .340 .397 39.3 21.3 8.6 3.83 4.94
Player 23943 3958 261 6.6 4.4 88.1 117.6 13.9 32.9 .233 .388 .308 .304 .362 35.1 23.9 8.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynn relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(47.2%) ,
Cutter
(22.3%) ,
Sinker
(16.7%) ,
Changeup
(6.3%) ,
Curveball
(6.2%) ,
Sweeper
(1.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.2 21.5 24.7 7.6 30.5 40.5 28.8 3.5 33.1 22.5 23.3 5.3 4.9 3.3
2017 45.4 23.7 23.4 7.5 29.2 40.4 29.7 5.4 32.7 25.8 23.2 4.9 5.8 4.0
2018 49.9 18.2 25.6 6.3 32.2 40.9 26.9 6.3 37.6 19.3 25.6 6.6 4.2 2.7
2019 40.7 23.8 27.9 7.5 36.1 36.3 27.6 3.9 31.0 25.6 24.2 6.2 5.9 3.8
2020 37.1 28.6 25.0 9.4 32.6 36.6 30.8 3.6 27.7 37.1 20.5 5.8 5.4 3.5
2021 39.9 30.0 20.9 9.1 37.3 34.1 28.6 4.3 29.6 31.0 20.2 5.5 5.8 3.7
2022 42.6 26.7 24.0 6.7 40.1 35.7 24.2 4.2 31.2 26.7 24.8 6.1 6.7 4.7
2023 36.3 30.6 24.1 9.1 38.5 35.7 25.7 5.0 26.5 29.4 22.2 5.9 10.4 6.9
2024 36.4 27.7 27.1 8.8 36.2 38.4 25.4 5.6 25.7 27.7 24.0 6.5 10.5 7.2
Player 42.0 25.3 24.8 7.9 34.6 37.8 27.5 4.7 30.8 26.5 23.2 5.8 6.6 4.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Curveball STL R 127 80.4 50.9 -0.7 6.7GLV -2.8 -8.5 -1.4 6.7GLV -2.7
2024 Sinker STL R 341 91.2 24.6 -0.3 13.0ARM -2.1 8.4 -1.1 13.0ARM -1.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball STL R 963 92.3 19.1 -2.7 4.1ARM -3.5 13.0 -2.8 4.1ARM -3.4
2024 Changeup STL R 128 84.8 30.9 -2.2 13.9ARM -0.2 7.1 -2.2 13.9ARM -0.3
2024 Cutter STL R 454 88.1 29.6 -2.0 1.7GLV -0.9 5.6 -2.7 1.7GLV -1.0
2024 Sweeper STL R 26 82.0 41.2 1.8 14.6GLV 0.4 -0.3 1.9 14.6GLV 0.3
2023 Curveball LAD R 442 81.9 42.4 -6.6 9.2GLV 0.2 -1.5 -8.4 9.2GLV 0.3
2023 Changeup LAD R 219 84.9 31.7 -1.3 14.1ARM -0.2 6.2 -0.8 14.1ARM -0.3
2023 Cutter LAD R 721 88.7 28.8 -1.5 2.6GLV 0.0 5.9 -2.0 2.6GLV 0.0
2023 Sinker LAD R 400 91.4 25.8 1.1 11.7ARM -3.4 6.9 0.7 11.7ARM -3.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball LAD R 1383 92.4 18.4 -2.1 3.2ARM -4.1 13.5 -2.3 3.2ARM -4.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 16 963 47.2 219 .199 .393 .285 28.7 28.3 22.5 .243 .493 .332 49.0
2024 Cutter -2.1 -10 454 22.3 114 .317 .426 .368 26.2 20.2 15.6 .280 .426 .342 38.0
2024 Sinker -0.6 -2 341 16.7 100 .284 .469 .403 11.0 8.0 13.6 .295 .464 .390 34.7
2024 Changeup -2.2 -3 128 6.3 29 .292 .292 .338 22.5 10.3 6.0 .320 .403 .381 19.0
2024 Curveball -1.7 -2 127 6.2 40 .211 .342 .288 20.3 27.5 14.3 .220 .358 .254 25.0
2024 Sweeper -4.0 -1 26 1.3 9 .250 .250 .278 0.0 22.2 11.1 .206 .264 .261 16.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -9 1,383 43.7 326 .253 .519 .366 31.6 27.9 21.2 .246 .495 .347 45.8
2023 Cutter -1.0 -7 721 22.8 182 .275 .515 .358 26.1 18.1 17.1 .270 .491 .342 35.3
2023 Curveball -2.2 -10 442 14.0 122 .252 .477 .347 33.8 35.2 16.9 .212 .387 .292 35.3
2023 Sinker -0.7 -3 401 12.7 129 .245 .400 .352 18.0 11.6 19.7 .290 .460 .378 41.1
2023 Changeup -0.5 -1 220 6.9 47 .302 .372 .350 29.9 17.0 10.7 .227 .306 .267 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 126 84.8 85 15.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2024 Curveball 127 80.4 61 13.1 7:30 7:00 30
2024 Cutter 453 88.1 33 5.4 12:00 11:15 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 959 92.3 74 13.1 1:00 12:30 30
2024 Sinker 340 91.2 70 15.6 1:00 2:00 -60
2024 Sweeper 26 82.0 45 15.6 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Changeup 199 84.9 80 15.8 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Curveball 417 81.9 42 11.3 8:00 8:15 -15
2023 Cutter 698 88.7 35 6.1 11:45 11:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,339 92.4 71 13.3 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 383 91.4 69 13.7 1:00 2:15 -75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 177 721 13 3 -3 -4 9
2012 793 3,211 8 24 -15 -18 -1
2013 934 3,637 8 24 -16 -18 -1
2014 913 3,652 20 36 -17 -16 23
2015 750 3,055 15 32 -18 -14 15
2017 770 3,144 16 45 -28 -18 15
2018 706 2,982 15 9 -24 -14 -15
2019 847 3,435 23 39 -22 -11 30
2020 344 1,407 7 17 -8 -5 11
2021 637 2,579 21 31 -13 -11 28
2022 512 2,022 10 4 -10 -8 -4
2023 820 3,215 -15 17 -21 -14 -32
2024 511 2,039 9 11 -13 -10 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,053 43.7 71.8 83.2 27.5 67.4 40.5 56.5 46.9 21.2 6.0 80.3
2017 3,151 45.4 69.7 80.0 24.3 67.6 42.4 54.6 44.9 22.7 5.7 81.1
2018 2,942 43.7 72.7 82.3 26.3 62.1 42.9 54.1 46.6 23.5 5.9 83.7
2019 3,553 50.3 69.3 76.6 28.3 56.4 41.7 62.7 49.0 28.5 8.1 85.3
2020 1,408 51.2 70.8 80.2 27.1 59.1 44.9 61.0 49.5 25.4 6.1 83.7
2021 2,608 49.7 73.3 79.1 27.6 57.1 41.2 58.5 50.2 26.3 7.1 82.0
2022 2,022 49.4 74.9 77.9 30.3 55.5 42.8 65.4 52.3 28.5 7.2 80.8
2023 3,167 47.6 74.1 77.5 28.3 54.9 42.3 64.2 50.1 28.8 6.8 86.0
2024 2,039 47.1 73.4 79.7 26.1 65.1 42.6 62.6 48.4 24.1 7.6 83.8
Player 23,943 47.3 72.1 79.5 27.2 60.7 42.2 59.7 48.4 25.5 6.7 83.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 57 60 58 54 43 19 52 24 68 63 19 35 27 45 85 19 32
2017 47 67 53 43 41 11 52 65 90 35 22 37 17 33 72 15 21
2018 46 49 67 78 28 41 89 73 34 55 15 40 30 52 73 18 57
2019 80 75 71 69 84 16 70 70 72 78 73 71 41 66 89 28 73
2020 78 80 71 63 81 13 70 45 47 63 66 40 44 53 87 62 55
2021 94 90 89 81 94 32 81 74 69 77 70 50 46 48 78 52 53
2022 60 44 45 48 73 34 62 52 44 61 98 70 58 28 90 49 49
2023 23 37 17 11 44 1 13 57 47 51 50 69 43 22 84 51 59
2024 12 18 9 9 24 15 7 47 44 36 40 39 20 19 89 50 46
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 21.8 27 25.3 2 14 24 7 25.9
2018 23.1 14 14.6 -1 8 9 7 50.0
2019 23.2 21 20.4 1 21 14 9 42.9
2020 23.2 13 11.8 1 6 8 5 38.5
2021 23.0 18 14.4 4 6 8 9 50.0
2022 23.5 19 16.8 2 7 8 10 52.6
2023 23.4 48 43.9 4 8 31 21 43.8
2024 23.4 16 17.2 -1 8 14 6 37.5
Player 23.1 176 164.5 12 78 116 74 42.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2017 27 25 17 26 27 25 29 25 18 20 23 34 25 24 25 29 22 22 28 24 27 21 33 32 24 24 22 36 31 27 15
2018 14 17 12 14 16 14 16 13 14 9 14 17 14 11 15 16 13 15 15 17 16 19 18 16 10 12 15 15 17 15 13
2019 21 27 17 21 20 20 23 20 15 13 16 27 29 19 19 18 17 18 18 22 22 25 28 26 17 18 16 26 25 19 12
2020 13 12 16 13 12 12 13 11 10 8 10 15 11 11 11 12 11 9 12 15 11 12 16 12 9 8 14 15 12 11 10
2021 18 16 14 13 14 14 17 13 11 11 14 18 14 13 15 16 13 13 16 16 15 15 16 15 13 12 16 15 15 14 14
2022 19 15 17 19 17 17 18 15 14 17 16 19 16 17 17 17 17 16 17 18 18 17 19 19 14 15 18 19 16 16 15
2023 48 42 33 43 46 43 49 39 42 39 43 45 46 40 51 47 47 38 44 51 41 42 55 51 40 41 42 46 47 46 39
2024 16 14 16 16 17 18 20 17 15 13 18 20 16 14 17 15 17 17 19 22 18 16 21 21 16 14 17 17 18 17 19
Player 176 168 142 165 169 163 185 153 139 130 154 195 171 149 170 170 157 148 169 185 168 167 206 192 143 144 160 189 181 165 137
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.3 92.4 1.1 ↑ 93.2 0.8 ↑ 92.5 -0.7 ↓ 91.9 -0.6 ↓ 91.4 -0.5 ↓ 91.2 -0.2 ↓ 91.0 -0.2 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 85.3 -0.7 ↓ 86.9 1.6 ↑ 85.0 -1.9 ↓ 87.1 2.1 ↑ 85.8 -1.3 ↓ 84.9 -0.9 ↓ 84.8 -0.1 ↓
Breaking Velocity 78.9 80.0 1.1 ↑ 81.2 1.2 ↑ 83.6 2.4 ↑ 82.1 -1.5 ↓ 82.9 0.8 ↑ 81.9 -1.0 ↓ 80.6 -1.3 ↓
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.5 0.9 ↑ 87.9 0.4 ↑ 88.6 0.7 ↑ 87.7 -0.9 ↓ 88.4 0.7 ↑ 88.7 0.3 ↑ 88.9 0.2 ↑
Launch Angle 12.2 7.8 -4.4 ↓ 13.8 6.0 ↑ 17.5 3.7 ↑ 16.0 -1.5 ↓ 14.2 -1.8 ↓ 17.0 2.8 ↑ 17.0 0.0
Barrel % 5.8 4.2 -1.6 ↓ 5.9 1.7 ↑ 5.4 -0.5 ↓ 5.8 0.4 ↑ 6.7 0.9 ↑ 10.4 3.7 ↑ 10.5 0.1 ↑
Hard Hit % 27.5 37.1 9.6 ↑ 33.8 -3.3 ↓ 37.5 3.7 ↑ 36.0 -1.5 ↓ 38.7 2.7 ↑ 39.3 0.6 ↑ 39.3 0.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.3 30.4 -1.9 ↓ 34.0 3.6 ↑ 34.4 0.4 ↑ 31.7 -2.7 ↓ 34.3 2.6 ↑ 35.2 0.9 ↑ 37.0 1.8 ↑
xBA .234 .240 0.006 ↑ .222 -0.018 ↓ .208 -0.014 ↓ .198 -0.010 ↓ .243 0.044 ↑ .252 0.009 ↑ .262 0.010 ↑
BA .223 .265 0.042 ↑ .243 -0.022 ↓ .206 -0.037 ↓ .209 0.003 ↑ .247 0.038 ↑ .259 0.012 ↑ .247 -0.012 ↓
xwOBA .315 .310 -0.005 ↓ .283 -0.027 ↓ .279 -0.004 ↓ .256 -0.023 ↓ .296 0.040 ↑ .337 0.041 ↑ .340 0.003 ↑
wOBA .305 .327 0.022 ↑ .294 -0.033 ↓ .287 -0.007 ↓ .264 -0.023 ↓ .304 0.040 ↑ .347 0.043 ↑ .314 -0.033 ↓
xSLG .398 .364 -0.034 ↓ .372 0.008 ↑ .350 -0.022 ↓ .322 -0.028 ↓ .387 0.065 ↑ .461 0.074 ↑ .453 -0.008 ↓
SLG .395 .394 -0.001 ↓ .390 -0.004 ↓ .386 -0.004 ↓ .338 -0.048 ↓ .407 0.069 ↑ .484 0.077 ↑ .402 -0.082 ↓
K% 19.7 23.0 3.3 ↑ 28.1 5.1 ↑ 25.9 -2.2 ↓ 27.5 1.6 ↑ 24.2 -3.3 ↓ 23.6 -0.6 ↓ 21.3 -2.3 ↓
BB% 10.1 10.9 0.8 ↑ 6.7 -4.2 ↓ 7.3 0.6 ↑ 7.0 -0.3 ↓ 3.7 -3.3 ↓ 8.3 4.6 ↑ 8.6 0.3 ↑
Swing % 44.9 46.6 1.7 ↑ 49.0 2.4 ↑ 49.5 0.5 ↑ 50.2 0.7 ↑ 52.3 2.1 ↑ 50.1 -2.2 ↓ 48.4 -1.7 ↓
Whiff% 22.7 23.5 0.8 ↑ 28.5 5.0 ↑ 25.4 -3.1 ↓ 26.3 0.9 ↑ 28.5 2.2 ↑ 28.8 0.3 ↑ 24.1 -4.7 ↓
In Zone % 45.4 43.7 -1.7 ↓ 50.3 6.6 ↑ 51.2 0.9 ↑ 49.7 -1.5 ↓ 49.4 -0.3 ↓ 47.6 -1.8 ↓ 47.1 -0.5 ↓
Out of Zone % 54.6 56.3 1.7 ↑ 49.7 -6.6 ↓ 48.8 -0.9 ↓ 50.3 1.5 ↑ 50.6 0.3 ↑ 52.4 1.8 ↑ 52.9 0.5 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 24.3 26.3 2.0 ↑ 28.3 2.0 ↑ 27.1 -1.2 ↓ 27.6 0.5 ↑ 30.3 2.7 ↑ 28.3 -2.0 ↓ 26.1 -2.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 25.8 27.3 1.5 ↑ 33.4 6.1 ↑ 28.8 -4.6 ↓ 32.1 3.3 ↑ 35.4 3.3 ↑ 36.4 1.0 ↑ 34.2 -2.2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 54.6 54.1 -0.5 ↓ 62.7 8.6 ↑ 61.0 -1.7 ↓ 58.5 -2.5 ↓ 65.4 6.9 ↑ 64.2 -1.2 ↓ 62.6 -1.6 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 770 .305 389 3 0.8 381 17 4.5
2018 Shifts 696 .328 390 44 11.3 306 96 31.4
2019 Shifts 875 .294 417 42 10.1 458 182 39.7
2020 Shifts 342 .289 177 38 21.5 165 66 40.0
2021 Shifts 617 .262 303 28 9.2 314 161 51.3
2022 Shifts 512 .304 223 40 17.9 289 220 76.1
2023 Shades 806 .348 407 18 4.4 399 126 31.6
2024 Shades 511 .314 243 1 0.4 268 105 39.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2011 154 15.9 31.2% 0.6% 90 23.9 0.0% 13.3%
2012 836 16.2 34.8% 0.6% 561 22.7 0.7% 6.4%
2013 940 16.5 30.5% 1.0% 608 23.4 0.2% 6.9%
2014 1027 17.3 19.2% 0.7% 639 23.4 0.3% 7.8%
2015 821 16.6 34.7% 1.7% 624 23.4 5.1% 17.8%
2017 1011 17.3 18.7% 1.2% 551 23.3 0.0% 8.7%
2018 778 18.1 11.6% 1.3% 579 23.3 0.0% 7.4%
2019 989 18.1 13.1% 0.9% 553 24.4 0.0% 11.8%
2020 437 19.7 3.7% 2.5% 194 24.9 0.0% 18.0%
2021 696 20.5 1.7% 2.9% 409 26.3 0.0% 22.5%
2022 574 19.3 6.6% 2.3% 309 23.2 0.3% 8.1%
2023 872 15.3 42.3% 0.0% 500 18.6 1.8% 0.2%
2024 531 15.9 27.7% 0.2% 359 19.2 0.6% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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