Lance Lynn
P | B/T: S/R | 6' 5" 270LBS | Age: 35

Draft: 2008 | Rd: C-A, #39, St. Louis Cardinals | Mississippi
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 11 6 2.69 28 28 0 157.0 176 1.07
10 Seasons 115 77 3.48 288 264 1 1583.2 1591 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 11-6 2.69 157.0 176 1.07
10 Seasons 288 115-77 3.48 1583.2 1591 1.27

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 3053 511 25 4.9 3.3 88.9 113.9 11.9 29.0 .235 .372 .311 .304 .355 30.9 22.2 9.1 3.03 3.80
2017 30 3151 535 31 5.8 4 86.6 117.6 12.2 32.3 .234 .398 .305 .315 .347 27.5 19.7 10.1 3.43 4.27
2018 31 2942 457 19 4.2 2.7 87.5 112.7 7.8 30.4 .240 .364 .327 .310 .354 37.1 23.0 10.9 4.77 4.07
2019 32 3553 562 33 5.9 3.8 87.9 113.5 13.8 34.0 .222 .372 .294 .283 .361 33.8 28.1 6.7 3.67 3.48
2020 33 1408 224 12 5.4 3.5 88.6 113.4 17.5 34.4 .208 .350 .287 .279 .332 37.5 25.9 7.3 3.32 3.25
2021 34 2608 416 24 5.8 3.7 87.7 114.6 16.0 31.7 .198 .322 .264 .256 .319 36.0 27.5 7.0 2.69 2.72
Player 16715 2705 144 5.3 3.5 87.8 117.6 12.7 31.8 .225 .366 .299 .293 .347 33.2 24.3 8.6
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynn relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(42%) ,
Cutter
(31%) ,
Sinker
(19.4%) ,
Changeup
(4.6%) ,
Curveball
(3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.2 21.5 24.7 7.6 30.5 40.5 28.8 3.5 33.1 22.5 23.3 5.3 4.9 3.3
2017 45.4 23.7 23.4 7.5 29.3 40.6 30.1 5.4 32.7 25.8 23.2 4.9 5.8 4.0
2018 49.9 18.2 25.6 6.3 32.2 40.9 26.9 6.3 37.6 19.3 25.6 6.6 4.2 2.7
2019 40.7 23.8 27.9 7.5 36.1 36.3 27.6 3.9 31.0 25.6 24.2 6.2 5.9 3.8
2020 37.1 28.6 25.0 9.4 32.6 36.6 30.8 3.6 27.7 37.1 20.5 5.8 5.4 3.5
2021 39.9 30.0 20.9 9.1 37.3 34.1 28.6 4.3 29.6 31.0 20.2 5.5 5.8 3.7
Player 43.8 23.8 24.7 7.7 32.9 38.4 28.6 4.6 32.3 25.8 23.1 5.7 5.3 3.5
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker CWS R 485 92.4 25.7 3.0 13 12.9 -1.9 -13
2021 Cutter CWS R 775 88.7 29.8 -2.9 -11 2.7 0.6 31
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1,051 94.0 16.0 -0.8 -5 6.0 -1.8 -23
2021 Curveball CWS R 76 82.1 45.0 -4.4 -9 6.5 -3.2 -33
2021 Changeup CWS R 116 87.2 29.4 -0.9 -3 13.5 -0.9 -6
2020 Sinker TEX R 252 92.0 25.1 2.6 11 13.3 -1.3 -9
2020 Curveball TEX R 128 83.6 43.2 -4.2 -9 4.6 -3.8 -45
2020 Cutter TEX R 312 89.4 27.1 -1.1 -4 2.0 -0.1 -6
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 698 94.0 15.4 -0.2 -1 6.7 -0.9 -12
2020 Changeup TEX R 14 85.0 28.6 -2.9 -9 8.4 -5.1 -38
2019 Cutter TEX R 558 89.0 29.6 -2.4 -9 3.3 1.3 68
2019 Changeup TEX R 102 86.9 29.6 -0.2 -1 12.6 -1.7 -12
2019 Sinker TEX R 590 92.8 24.4 2.2 10 12.9 -1.7 -12
2019 Curveball TEX R 327 81.2 52.0 0.9 2 7.8 -1.4 -16
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 1,858 94.6 15.9 -0.6 -4 6.1 -1.8 -23
2018 Cutter NYY R 339 87.4 32.5 -4.4 -16 4.4 2.2 105
2018 4-Seamer NYY R 1,318 93.7 17.2 -1.4 -9 5.4 -2.4 -31
2018 Curveball NYY R 267 80.0 54.6 1.8 3 8.5 -0.7 -7
2018 Changeup NYY R 57 85.3 32.6 0.9 3 12.1 -1.7 -12
2018 Sinker NYY R 953 92.3 26.0 3.5 15 12.3 -2.4 -16
2017 Sinker STL R 1,340 91.4 24.2 1.7 8 14.7 -0.4 -3
2017 4-Seamer STL R 1,155 92.4 16.7 -1.1 -7 8.9 0.3 3
2017 Cutter STL R 330 87.1 28.5 -0.6 -2 1.2 -0.8 -41
2017 Changeup STL R 168 86.0 27.8 -2.4 -8 13.0 -0.7 -5
2017 Curveball STL R 151 78.9 52.2 -1.4 -3 5.6 -3.1 -35
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer -1.5 -16 1,051 40.3 238 .187 .297 .255 32.5 35.7 23.5 .173 .297 .240 45.9
2021 Cutter -1.3 -10 775 29.7 179 .218 .341 .270 25.8 27.9 22.6 .204 .322 .249 31.7
2021 Sinker -1.4 -7 485 18.6 154 .243 .404 .337 14.7 14.9 16.8 .235 .373 .304 32.8
2021 Changeup -0.2 0 116 4.4 29 .148 .259 .210 29.5 20.7 12.2 .238 .428 .310 23.8
2021 Curveball 1.5 1 76 2.9 17 .250 .250 .359 23.1 29.4 13.5 .169 .190 .187 18.2
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -6 700 49.7 165 .207 .413 .309 29.4 27.9 21.6 .211 .397 .293 36.2
2020 Cutter -1.0 -3 313 22.2 76 .211 .423 .298 21.3 18.4 16.1 .221 .364 .273 31.0
2020 Sinker -0.5 -1 252 17.9 74 .222 .365 .318 18.3 20.3 17.6 .205 .291 .287 45.8
2020 Curveball -0.3 0 128 9.1 27 .120 .160 .165 29.5 48.1 15.7 .140 .164 .177 50.0
2020 Changeup 3.5 0 14 1.0 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 50.0 .480 .518 .451 0.0
2019 4-Seamer -1.7 -32 1,858 52.3 458 .218 .403 .303 30.5 31.4 25.0 .214 .392 .295 38.0
2019 Sinker 0.1 1 590 16.6 183 .325 .470 .376 19.1 18.0 20.0 .267 .416 .317 31.6
2019 Cutter 0.0 0 558 15.7 117 .243 .315 .272 25.7 23.1 15.9 .227 .319 .252 24.7
2019 Curveball 0.0 0 327 9.2 74 .189 .284 .216 40.3 41.9 20.8 .180 .268 .192 37.2
2019 Changeup 1.9 2 102 2.9 15 .231 .308 .297 25.0 6.7 4.8 .287 .478 .374 16.7
2018 4-Seamer 0.0 0 1,318 44.8 280 .253 .457 .355 26.1 30.7 18.6 .232 .410 .324 41.3
2018 Sinker 1.1 10 953 32.4 264 .310 .419 .382 17.3 12.1 17.3 .282 .389 .347 42.1
2018 Cutter -0.8 -3 339 11.5 72 .246 .262 .285 24.8 20.8 18.1 .240 .319 .288 20.0
2018 Curveball 1.1 3 267 9.1 71 .149 .194 .209 31.7 38.0 18.2 .115 .146 .145 22.0
2018 Changeup 2.3 1 57 1.9 7 .429 .429 .386 20.0 0.0 0.0 .436 .495 .411 14.3
2017 Sinker -0.9 -13 1,340 42.5 377 .252 .371 .323 17.9 13.5 15.5 .254 .379 .322 25.4
2017 4-Seamer -0.6 -7 1,155 36.7 230 .199 .398 .319 28.2 28.7 21.1 .208 .399 .316 33.8
2017 Cutter -1.5 -5 330 10.5 97 .154 .330 .235 24.8 30.9 23.6 .177 .305 .234 21.3
2017 Changeup 4.2 7 168 5.3 29 .333 .778 .509 14.9 0.0 0.0 .355 .884 .519 29.6
2017 Curveball 1.2 2 151 4.8 37 .200 .486 .307 21.2 16.2 8.2 .247 .433 .308 31.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 14 85.0 81 12.3 1:15 1:30 -15
2020 Curveball 119 83.9 36 7.8 8:30 7:30 60
2020 Cutter 301 89.4 40 6.8 12:00 11:15 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 687 94.0 79 16.5 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Sinker 249 92.0 74 15.3 1:00 2:15 -75
2021 Changeup 109 87.1 85 15.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 76 82.1 47 10.2 8:00 7:45 15
2021 Cutter 774 88.7 33 5.6 11:45 10:30 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,048 94.0 79 15.7 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 466 92.4 75 14.6 1:00 2:15 -75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 177 721 -13 -3 3 4 -9
2012 793 3,211 -8 -24 14 19 1
2013 934 3,637 -8 -24 16 18 1
2014 913 3,652 -20 -36 17 16 -24
2015 750 3,055 -15 -32 18 14 -15
2017 770 3,144 -16 -47 29 18 -16
2018 706 2,982 -15 -9 24 14 14
2019 847 3,435 -23 -39 22 11 -29
2020 344 1,407 -7 -17 8 5 -10
2021 637 2,579 -20 -32 13 11 -28
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,053 43.5 71.8 83.2 27.7 67.5 40.5 56.5 46.9 21.0 6.0 80.8
2017 3,151 45.5 69.6 80.0 24.3 67.5 42.4 54.6 44.9 22.5 5.8 80.7
2018 2,942 43.7 72.7 82.3 26.3 62.1 42.9 54.1 46.6 23.4 5.9 83.2
2019 3,553 50.3 69.3 76.6 28.3 56.4 41.7 62.7 49.0 28.5 8.1 85.2
2020 1,408 51.2 70.7 80.2 27.1 59.1 45.1 61.0 49.5 25.4 6.1 83.7
2021 2,608 49.8 73.3 79.1 27.6 57.1 41.1 58.5 50.2 26.3 7.2 81.7
Player 16,715 47.0 71.1 80.1 26.8 62.0 42.0 57.8 47.7 24.6 6.5 82.7
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 54 59 58 54 43 19 52 24 68 63 19 34 54 48 85 19
2017 47 66 54 43 41 11 52 65 90 35 22 37 47 30 71 15
2018 45 49 67 78 27 41 89 73 34 55 15 40 45 46 75 18
2019 80 75 71 69 84 16 70 70 73 78 73 72 80 53 91 28
2020 78 80 72 63 81 13 70 45 47 63 66 41 78 45 91 63
2021 94 90 89 81 94 32 81 74 69 77 70 51 94 29 86 51
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 21.8 27 24.4 3 12 23 7 25.9
2018 23.1 14 15.2 -1 7 10 7 50.0
2019 23.2 21 21.2 0 24 13 10 47.6
2020 23.2 13 12.0 1 7 8 5 38.5
2021 23.0 18 15.6 2 6 8 10 55.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 27 21 31 22 25 28 24 24 25 19 23 24 18 18 24 27 22 29 14 27 32 22 22 27 27 24 32 23 23 24 32
2018 14 14 19 13 16 16 15 19 18 13 12 14 10 16 15 17 16 18 15 16 16 13 15 15 15 18 14 11 17 12 18
2019 21 29 29 19 22 18 21 25 20 18 22 20 13 15 17 24 17 25 13 19 26 20 19 20 22 23 26 20 27 19 29
2020 13 11 17 12 11 12 0 12 13 13 12 12 8 10 11 13 14 12 10 11 15 11 10 12 12 15 12 8 13 9 16
2021 18 16 19 14 16 17 15 17 16 16 14 13 12 13 15 17 18 15 17 15 17 14 14 17 16 17 16 13 16 14 18
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.3 92.4 1.1 93.2 0.8 92.5 -0.7 91.9 -0.6
Offspeed Velocity 86 85.3 -0.7 86.9 1.6 85 -1.9 87.2 2.2
Breaking Velocity 78.9 80 1.1 81.2 1.2 83.6 2.4 82.1 -1.5
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.5 0.9 87.9 0.4 88.6 0.7 87.7 -0.9
Launch Angle 12.2 7.8 -4.4 13.8 6 17.5 3.7 16 -1.5
Barrel % 5.8 4.2 -1.6 5.9 1.7 5.4 -0.5 5.8 0.4
Hard Hit % 27.5 37.1 9.6 33.8 -3.3 37.5 3.7 36 -1.5
Sweet Spot % 32.3 30.4 -1.9 34 3.6 34.4 0.4 31.7 -2.7
xBA .234 .24 0.006 .222 -0.018 .208 -0.014 .198 -0.01
BA .223 .265 0.042 .243 -0.022 .206 -0.037 .209 0.003
xwOBA .315 .31 -0.005 .283 -0.027 .279 -0.004 .256 -0.023
wOBA .305 .327 0.022 .294 -0.033 .287 -0.007 .264 -0.023
xSLG .398 .364 -0.034 .372 0.008 .35 -0.022 .322 -0.028
SLG .395 .394 -0.001 .39 -0.004 .386 -0.004 .338 -0.048
K% 19.7 23 3.3 28.1 5.1 25.9 -2.2 27.5 1.6
BB% 10.1 10.9 0.8 6.7 -4.2 7.3 0.6 7 -0.3
Swing % 44.9 46.6 1.7 49 2.4 49.5 0.5 50.2 0.7
Whiff% 22.5 23.4 0.9 28.5 5.1 25.4 -3.1 26.3 0.9
In Zone % 45.5 43.7 -1.8 50.3 6.6 51.2 0.9 49.8 -1.4
Out of Zone % 54.5 56.3 1.8 49.7 -6.6 48.8 -0.9 50.2 1.4
Out of Zone Swing % 24.3 26.3 2 28.3 2 27.1 -1.2 27.6 0.5
First Pitch Swing % 25.8 27.3 1.5 33.4 6.1 28.8 -4.6 32.1 3.3
First Pitch Strike % 54.6 54.1 -0.5 62.7 8.6 61 -1.7 58.5 -2.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2017 770 .305 389 3 0.8 381 17 4.5
2018 696 .328 390 44 11.3 306 96 31.4
2019 875 .294 417 42 10.1 458 182 39.7
2020 342 .289 177 38 21.5 165 66 40.0
2021 617 .262 303 28 9.2 314 161 51.3

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2011 155 16.0 31.0% 1.3% 92 24.0 0.0% 15.2%
2012 842 16.2 34.6% 1.2% 573 22.8 0.7% 7.9%
2013 944 16.5 30.4% 1.4% 620 23.5 0.2% 8.7%
2014 1028 17.3 19.2% 0.8% 648 23.4 0.3% 9.1%
2015 822 16.6 34.7% 1.8% 634 23.5 5.0% 18.6%
2017 1015 17.3 18.7% 1.3% 561 23.4 0.0% 9.8%
2018 780 18.1 11.5% 1.5% 593 23.4 0.0% 8.8%
2019 1015 18.1 13.3% 1.0% 607 24.6 0.0% 15.8%
2020 437 19.7 3.7% 2.5% 204 25.3 0.0% 22.1%
2021 733 20.5 2.6% 3.3% 442 26.4 0.0% 25.8%

Pitch Distribution