Lance Lynn
P | Bats/Throws: S/R | 6' 5" 280LBS | Age: 37
Draft: 2008 | Rd: C-A, #39, St. Louis Cardinals | Mississippi
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 8 7 3.99 21 21 0 121.2 124 1.13
2023 13 11 5.73 32 32 0 183.2 191 1.39
2024 7 4 3.84 23 23 0 117.1 109 1.34
13 Seasons 143 99 3.74 364 340 1 2,006.1 2,015 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 21 8-7 3.99 121.2 124 1.13
2023 32 13-11 5.73 183.2 191 1.39
2024 23 7-4 3.84 117.1 109 1.34
13 Seasons 364 143-99 3.74 2,006.1 2,015 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 3053 511 25 4.9 3.3 88.9 113.9 11.9 29.0 .234 .372 .311 .303 .355 30.9 22.2 9.1 3.03 3.80
2017 30 3151 535 31 5.8 4.0 86.6 117.6 12.2 32.3 .234 .398 .305 .315 .347 27.5 19.7 10.1 3.43 4.27
2018 31 2942 457 19 4.2 2.7 87.5 112.7 7.8 30.4 .240 .364 .327 .310 .354 37.1 23.0 10.9 4.77 4.07
2019 32 3553 562 33 5.9 3.8 87.9 113.5 13.8 34.0 .222 .372 .294 .283 .361 33.8 28.1 6.7 3.67 3.48
2020 33 1408 224 12 5.4 3.5 88.6 113.4 17.5 34.4 .208 .350 .287 .279 .331 37.5 25.9 7.3 3.32 3.25
2021 34 2608 416 24 5.8 3.7 87.7 114.6 16.0 31.7 .198 .322 .264 .256 .319 36.0 27.5 7.0 2.69 2.72
2022 35 2022 359 24 6.7 4.7 88.4 113.8 14.2 34.3 .243 .387 .304 .296 .366 38.7 24.2 3.7 4.00 3.62
2023 36 3167 540 56 10.4 6.9 88.7 114.3 17.0 35.2 .252 .461 .347 .337 .406 39.3 23.6 8.3 5.73 4.86
2024 37 2039 354 37 10.5 7.2 88.9 114.6 17.0 37.0 .266 .463 .314 .343 .402 39.3 21.3 8.6 3.83 4.93
Player 23943 3958 261 6.6 4.4 88.1 117.6 13.9 32.9 .234 .389 .308 .304 .362 35.1 23.9 8.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynn relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(47.2%) ,
Cutter
(22.3%) ,
Sinker
(16.7%) ,
Changeup
(6.3%) ,
Curveball
(6.2%) ,
Sweeper
(1.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.2 21.5 24.7 7.6 30.5 40.5 28.8 3.5 33.1 22.5 23.3 5.3 4.9 3.3
2017 45.4 23.7 23.4 7.5 29.2 40.4 29.7 5.4 32.7 25.8 23.2 4.9 5.8 4.0
2018 49.9 18.2 25.6 6.3 32.2 40.9 26.9 6.3 37.6 19.3 25.6 6.6 4.2 2.7
2019 40.7 23.8 27.9 7.5 36.1 36.3 27.6 3.9 31.0 25.6 24.2 6.2 5.9 3.8
2020 37.1 28.6 25.0 9.4 32.6 36.6 30.8 3.6 27.7 37.1 20.5 5.8 5.4 3.5
2021 39.9 30.0 20.9 9.1 37.3 34.1 28.6 4.3 29.6 31.0 20.2 5.5 5.8 3.7
2022 42.6 26.7 24.0 6.7 40.1 35.7 24.2 4.2 31.2 26.7 24.8 6.1 6.7 4.7
2023 36.3 30.6 24.1 9.1 38.5 35.7 25.7 5.0 26.5 29.4 22.2 5.9 10.4 6.9
2024 36.4 27.7 27.1 8.8 36.2 38.4 25.4 5.6 25.7 27.7 24.0 6.5 10.5 7.2
Player 42.0 25.3 24.8 7.9 34.6 37.8 27.5 4.7 30.8 26.5 23.2 5.8 6.6 4.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Cutter STL R 454 88.1 29.6 -2.0 1.7GLV -0.8 5.6 -2.7 1.7GLV -0.8
2024 Curveball STL R 127 80.4 50.9 -0.7 6.7GLV -2.8 -8.5 -1.4 6.7GLV -2.7
2024 4-Seam Fastball STL R 963 92.3 19.1 -2.7 4.1ARM -3.5 13.0 -2.8 4.1ARM -3.4
2024 Changeup STL R 128 84.8 30.9 -2.2 13.9ARM -0.2 7.1 -2.2 13.9ARM -0.3
2024 Sinker STL R 341 91.2 24.6 -0.4 13.0ARM -2.1 8.4 -1.1 13.0ARM -1.8
2024 Sweeper STL R 26 82.0 41.2 1.8 14.6GLV 0.5 -0.3 1.9 14.6GLV 0.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball LAD R 1383 92.4 18.4 -2.1 3.2ARM -4.1 13.5 -2.3 3.2ARM -4.2
2023 Sinker LAD R 400 91.4 25.8 1.1 11.7ARM -3.4 6.9 0.7 11.7ARM -3.3
2023 Cutter LAD R 721 88.7 28.8 -1.5 2.6GLV 0.0 5.9 -2.1 2.6GLV 0.1
2023 Curveball LAD R 442 81.9 42.4 -6.6 9.2GLV 0.2 -1.5 -8.4 9.2GLV 0.3
2023 Changeup LAD R 219 84.9 31.7 -1.3 14.1ARM -0.2 6.2 -0.8 14.1ARM -0.3
2022 Curveball CWS R 174 82.0 42.2 -6.2 10.5GLV 0.9 -1.5 -8.4 10.5GLV 1.4
2022 Changeup CWS R 76 85.8 31.3 -0.6 11.8ARM -2.6 5.8 0.1 11.8ARM -2.4
2022 Slider CWS R 51 86.0 35.5 0.3 5.1GLV 0.3 1.3 0.5 5.1GLV -0.6
2022 Sinker CWS R 266 91.4 25.9 1.9 11.0ARM -4.0 6.7 1.6 11.0ARM -3.8
2022 Cutter CWS R 527 88.8 29.4 -3.1 2.3GLV 0.3 5.2 -3.1 2.3GLV -0.4
2022 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 928 92.9 18.3 -2.6 3.7ARM -4.2 13.3 -2.9 3.7ARM -3.6
2021 Changeup CWS R 113 87.1 29.5 -0.9 13.5ARM -1.0 6.5 -0.2 13.5ARM -0.4
2021 Cutter CWS R 773 88.7 29.8 -3.0 2.7GLV 0.7 4.8 -3.2 2.7GLV -0.2
2021 Sinker CWS R 503 92.4 25.4 2.6 12.8ARM -2.1 6.5 2.3 12.8ARM -1.9
2021 Curveball CWS R 74 82.1 44.9 -5.0 6.6GLV -2.7 -4.4 -5.7 6.6GLV -2.6
2021 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 1038 94.0 16.0 -0.8 6.0ARM -1.9 14.9 -1.3 6.0ARM -1.2
2021 Slider CWS R 2 82.3 47.4 7.4 3.0GLV -4.1 -6.8 8.6 3.0GLV -2.7
2020 Changeup TEX R 14 85.0 28.6 -2.9 8.4ARM -5.1 9.2 -2.8 8.4ARM -5.0
2020 Sinker TEX R 252 92.0 25.1 2.4 13.3ARM -1.4 7.1 2.0 13.3ARM -1.5
2020 Cutter TEX R 312 89.4 27.1 -1.3 2.0GLV 0.0 7.0 -1.2 2.0GLV -0.8
2020 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 698 94.0 15.4 -0.2 6.7ARM -1.0 15.6 -0.4 6.7ARM -0.6
2020 Curveball TEX R 128 83.6 43.2 -4.8 4.6GLV -3.3 -4.1 -5.6 4.6GLV -4.6
2019 Curveball TEX R 327 81.2 52.0 0.6 7.8GLV -1.1 -9.5 -0.2 7.8GLV -1.4
2019 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 1858 94.6 15.9 -0.6 6.1ARM -1.8 14.6 -1.0 6.1ARM -1.3
2019 Sinker TEX R 590 92.8 24.4 2.2 12.9ARM -1.8 7.1 2.0 12.9ARM -2.0
2019 Cutter TEX R 558 89.0 29.6 -2.6 3.3GLV 1.4 5.4 -2.4 3.3GLV 0.7
2019 Changeup TEX R 102 86.9 29.6 -0.2 12.6ARM -1.7 6.5 0.4 12.6ARM -0.9
2018 Sinker NYY R 953 92.3 26.0 3.4 12.3ARM -2.4 6.1 3.2 12.3ARM -2.4
2018 Changeup NYY R 57 85.3 32.6 0.9 12.1ARM -1.7 5.4 1.3 12.1ARM -1.2
2018 Curveball NYY R 267 80.0 54.6 1.6 8.5GLV -0.5 -10.7 1.1 8.5GLV -0.7
2018 Cutter NYY R 339 87.4 32.5 -4.3 4.4GLV 2.2 4.0 -4.3 4.4GLV 1.8
2018 4-Seam Fastball NYY R 1318 93.7 17.2 -1.4 5.4ARM -2.4 14.1 -1.6 5.4ARM -1.8
2017 Cutter STL R 330 87.1 28.5 -0.5 1.2GLV -0.9 8.7 -0.6 1.2GLV -1.1
2017 Changeup STL R 168 86.0 27.8 -2.4 13.0ARM -0.8 10.1 -1.6 13.0ARM -0.6
2017 4-Seam Fastball STL R 1155 92.4 16.7 -1.1 8.9ARM 0.3 16.1 -1.0 8.9ARM 0.8
2017 Curveball STL R 151 78.9 52.2 -1.5 5.6GLV -2.9 -6.5 -1.5 5.6GLV -3.0
2017 Sinker STL R 1340 91.4 24.2 1.7 14.7ARM -0.4 9.1 1.7 14.7ARM -0.7
2015 Curveball STL R 134 78.0 55.5 0.3 9.7GLV -0.5 -9.8 0.4 9.7GLV -1.1
2015 Slider STL R 230 87.0 30.4 -3.8 1.2GLV -3.3 6.1 -3.9 1.2GLV -4.9
2015 4-Seam Fastball STL R 1655 92.8 18.6 -1.8 8.6ARM 1.0 13.7 -2.1 8.6ARM 2.0
2015 Sinker STL R 814 91.5 28.1 4.6 14.0ARM -0.5 4.9 4.1 14.0ARM 0.5
2015 Changeup STL R 72 84.9 33.2 1.3 14.0ARM 1.0 5.3 1.9 14.0ARM 2.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 16 963 47.2 219 .199 .393 .285 28.7 28.3 22.5 .247 .504 .335 49.0
2024 Cutter -2.1 -10 454 22.3 114 .317 .426 .368 26.2 20.2 15.6 .281 .432 .345 38.0
2024 Sinker -0.6 -2 341 16.7 100 .284 .469 .403 11.0 8.0 13.6 .303 .477 .394 34.7
2024 Changeup -2.2 -3 128 6.3 29 .292 .292 .338 22.5 10.3 6.0 .324 .412 .383 19.0
2024 Curveball -1.8 -2 127 6.2 40 .211 .342 .288 20.3 27.5 14.3 .226 .365 .258 25.0
2024 Sweeper -4.0 -1 26 1.3 9 .250 .250 .278 0.0 22.2 11.1 .219 .277 .270 16.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -9 1,383 43.7 326 .253 .519 .366 31.5 27.9 21.2 .246 .495 .347 45.8
2023 Cutter -1.0 -7 721 22.8 182 .275 .515 .358 26.1 18.1 17.1 .270 .491 .342 35.3
2023 Curveball -2.2 -10 442 14.0 122 .252 .477 .347 33.8 35.2 16.9 .212 .387 .292 35.3
2023 Sinker -0.7 -3 401 12.7 129 .245 .400 .352 18.0 11.6 19.7 .290 .460 .378 41.1
2023 Changeup -0.5 -1 220 6.9 47 .302 .372 .350 29.9 17.0 10.7 .227 .306 .267 20.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 9 928 45.9 196 .200 .351 .276 33.4 31.1 21.9 .198 .350 .261 34.7
2022 Cutter 0.8 4 527 26.1 141 .236 .354 .309 26.2 14.2 14.2 .244 .362 .300 37.6
2022 Sinker -3.0 -8 266 13.2 79 .382 .592 .453 17.6 6.3 6.6 .365 .547 .406 52.1
2022 Curveball -1.6 -3 174 8.6 59 .232 .339 .286 31.0 42.4 25.5 .239 .303 .261 38.7
2022 Changeup -7.1 -5 76 3.8 20 .400 .850 .525 21.2 30.0 18.8 .322 .632 .410 35.7
2022 Slider -1.4 -1 51 2.5 17 .118 .294 .171 31.0 41.2 26.9 .091 .248 .145 10.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 17 1,038 39.8 234 .181 .274 .246 32.8 36.3 23.9 .170 .290 .237 45.8
2021 Cutter 1.3 10 773 29.6 179 .218 .341 .270 25.9 27.9 22.6 .204 .321 .249 31.7
2021 Sinker 1.1 5 503 19.3 158 .250 .436 .349 14.2 14.6 16.0 .238 .383 .307 33.3
2021 Changeup 0.3 0 113 4.3 29 .148 .259 .210 30.2 20.7 12.8 .236 .426 .309 23.8
2021 Curveball -1.3 -1 74 2.8 16 .267 .267 .325 24.0 31.3 13.9 .168 .189 .189 10.0
2021 Slider -8.3 0 2 0.1 1 .000 .000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .160 .177 .144 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 6 700 49.7 165 .207 .413 .309 29.4 27.9 21.6 .211 .397 .293 36.2
2020 Cutter 1.0 3 313 22.2 76 .211 .423 .298 21.3 18.4 16.1 .220 .363 .272 31.0
2020 Sinker 0.5 1 252 17.9 74 .222 .365 .318 18.3 20.3 17.6 .205 .290 .286 45.8
2020 Curveball 0.3 0 128 9.1 27 .120 .160 .165 29.5 48.1 15.7 .140 .164 .177 50.0
2020 Changeup -3.5 0 14 1.0 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 50.0 .480 .518 .451 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1.7 32 1,858 52.3 458 .218 .403 .303 30.5 31.4 25.0 .214 .392 .296 38.0
2019 Sinker -0.1 -1 590 16.6 183 .325 .470 .376 19.1 18.0 20.0 .267 .416 .318 31.6
2019 Cutter 0.0 0 558 15.7 117 .243 .315 .272 25.7 23.1 15.9 .227 .318 .252 24.7
2019 Curveball 0.0 0 327 9.2 74 .189 .284 .216 40.3 41.9 20.8 .180 .268 .192 37.2
2019 Changeup -1.9 -2 102 2.9 15 .231 .308 .297 25.0 6.7 4.8 .287 .478 .374 16.7
2018 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -1 1,318 44.8 280 .253 .457 .355 26.1 30.7 18.6 .231 .410 .324 41.3
2018 Sinker -1.1 -10 953 32.4 264 .310 .419 .382 17.3 12.1 17.3 .281 .388 .347 42.1
2018 Cutter 0.8 3 339 11.5 72 .246 .262 .285 24.8 20.8 18.1 .240 .319 .288 20.0
2018 Curveball -1.1 -3 267 9.1 71 .149 .194 .209 31.7 38.0 18.2 .114 .146 .144 22.0
2018 Changeup -2.3 -1 57 1.9 7 .429 .429 .386 20.0 0.0 0.0 .436 .495 .411 14.3
2017 Sinker 0.9 12 1,340 42.5 377 .252 .371 .323 17.9 13.5 15.5 .254 .379 .321 25.4
2017 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 7 1,155 36.7 230 .199 .398 .319 28.2 28.7 21.1 .208 .399 .316 33.8
2017 Cutter 1.5 5 330 10.5 97 .154 .330 .235 24.8 30.9 23.6 .177 .305 .234 21.3
2017 Changeup -4.2 -7 168 5.3 29 .333 .778 .509 14.9 0.0 0.0 .355 .884 .519 29.6
2017 Curveball -1.2 -2 151 4.8 37 .200 .486 .307 21.2 16.2 8.2 .246 .432 .307 31.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 126 84.8 85 15.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2024 Curveball 127 80.4 61 13.1 7:30 7:00 30
2024 Cutter 453 88.1 33 5.4 12:00 11:15 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 959 92.3 74 13.1 1:00 12:30 30
2024 Sinker 340 91.2 70 15.6 1:00 2:00 -60
2024 Sweeper 26 82.0 45 15.6 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Changeup 199 84.9 80 15.8 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Curveball 417 81.9 42 11.3 8:00 8:15 -15
2023 Cutter 698 88.7 35 6.1 11:45 11:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,339 92.4 71 13.3 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 383 91.4 69 13.7 1:00 2:15 -75
2022 Changeup 70 85.8 77 13.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Curveball 161 82.0 47 12.2 8:00 8:15 -15
2022 Cutter 513 88.8 33 5.4 11:45 11:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 904 92.9 72 13.3 1:00 12:30 30
2022 Sinker 249 91.5 68 13.1 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 48 86.0 26 6.1 10:00 9:00 60
2021 Changeup 106 87.0 85 15.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 74 82.1 48 10.2 8:00 7:45 15
2021 Cutter 772 88.7 33 5.6 11:45 10:30 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,035 94.0 79 15.6 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 484 92.4 75 14.7 1:00 2:15 -75
2020 Changeup 14 85.0 81 12.3 1:15 1:30 -15
2020 Curveball 128 83.6 37 8.2 8:30 7:30 60
2020 Cutter 301 89.4 40 6.8 12:00 11:15 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 687 94.0 79 16.5 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Sinker 249 92.0 74 15.3 1:00 2:15 -75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 177 721 13 3 -3 -4 9
2012 793 3,211 8 24 -15 -18 -1
2013 934 3,637 8 24 -16 -18 -1
2014 913 3,652 20 36 -17 -16 23
2015 750 3,055 15 32 -18 -14 15
2017 770 3,144 16 45 -28 -18 15
2018 706 2,982 15 9 -24 -14 -15
2019 847 3,435 23 39 -22 -11 30
2020 344 1,407 7 17 -8 -5 11
2021 637 2,579 21 31 -13 -11 28
2022 512 2,022 10 4 -10 -8 -4
2023 820 3,215 -15 17 -21 -14 -32
2024 511 2,039 9 11 -13 -10 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,053 43.7 71.8 83.2 27.5 67.4 40.5 56.5 46.9 21.0 6.0 80.3
2017 3,151 45.4 69.7 80.0 24.3 67.6 42.4 54.6 44.9 22.5 5.7 81.1
2018 2,942 43.7 72.7 82.3 26.3 62.1 42.9 54.1 46.6 23.4 5.9 83.7
2019 3,553 50.3 69.3 76.6 28.3 56.4 41.7 62.7 49.0 28.5 8.1 85.3
2020 1,408 51.2 70.8 80.2 27.1 59.1 44.9 61.0 49.5 25.4 6.1 83.7
2021 2,608 49.7 73.3 79.1 27.6 57.1 41.2 58.5 50.2 26.3 7.1 82.0
2022 2,022 49.4 74.9 77.9 30.3 55.5 42.8 65.4 52.3 28.5 7.2 80.8
2023 3,167 47.6 74.1 77.5 28.3 54.9 42.3 64.2 50.1 28.7 6.8 86.0
2024 2,039 47.1 73.4 79.7 26.1 65.1 42.6 62.6 48.4 24.1 7.6 83.8
Player 23,943 47.3 72.1 79.5 27.2 60.7 42.2 59.7 48.4 25.5 6.7 83.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 57 60 58 54 43 19 52 24 68 63 19 34 27 45 85 19 32
2017 47 67 53 43 41 11 52 65 90 35 22 37 17 33 72 15 21
2018 46 49 67 78 28 41 89 73 34 55 15 41 30 52 73 18 57
2019 80 75 71 69 84 16 70 70 72 78 73 72 41 66 89 28 73
2020 78 80 71 63 81 13 70 45 47 63 66 41 44 53 87 62 55
2021 94 90 89 81 94 32 81 74 69 77 70 51 46 48 78 52 53
2022 60 43 45 48 73 34 62 52 44 61 98 71 58 28 90 49 49
2023 23 37 17 11 44 1 13 57 47 51 50 69 43 22 84 51 59
2024 11 16 9 9 23 15 7 47 44 36 40 39 20 19 89 50 46
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 21.8 27 25.5 2 14 24 7 25.9
2018 23.1 14 14.7 -1 8 9 7 50.0
2019 23.2 21 21.8 -1 23 14 10 47.6
2020 23.2 13 11.8 1 6 8 5 38.5
2021 23.0 18 15.4 3 5 8 10 55.6
2022 23.5 19 17.8 1 5 8 11 57.9
2023 23.4 48 45.4 3 8 30 23 47.9
2024 23.4 16 17.1 -1 8 14 6 37.5
Player 23.1 176 169.5 7 77 115 79 44.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2017 27 25 17 26 27 25 29 25 18 20 23 34 25 25 25 29 22 22 28 24 27 22 33 32 27 24 22 36 31 27 15
2018 14 17 13 14 16 14 16 13 14 9 14 17 14 11 15 16 13 15 15 17 16 19 18 16 10 12 15 15 17 15 14
2019 21 28 18 22 21 21 24 20 16 15 17 28 33 20 20 20 18 19 19 24 23 28 29 27 18 20 17 28 26 20 14
2020 13 12 16 13 12 12 13 11 10 8 10 15 11 11 11 12 11 9 12 15 11 12 16 12 9 8 14 15 12 11 10
2021 18 17 15 14 16 15 17 14 12 12 15 19 15 14 16 17 14 14 17 17 16 16 17 16 14 13 17 16 16 15 15
2022 19 16 17 20 19 18 19 16 15 17 17 20 17 18 18 18 18 17 18 19 19 18 20 20 15 16 19 20 17 17 16
2023 48 42 34 44 48 45 51 42 44 40 45 46 46 44 53 49 48 40 47 52 43 44 56 52 41 42 43 47 48 47 40
2024 16 14 16 16 17 18 20 17 16 13 18 20 16 14 17 14 17 17 19 22 18 16 21 21 16 14 17 16 18 17 19
Player 176 171 146 169 176 168 189 158 145 134 159 199 177 157 175 175 161 153 175 190 173 175 210 196 150 149 164 193 185 169 143
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.