Lance Lynn
P | Bats/Throws: S/R | 6' 5" 270LBS | Age: 36
Draft: 2008 | Rd: C-A, #39, St. Louis Cardinals | Mississippi
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 11 6 2.69 28 28 0 157 176 1.07
2022 8 7 3.99 21 21 0 121.2 124 1.13
2023 13 11 5.73 32 32 0 183.2 191 1.39
12 Seasons 136 95 3.74 341 317 1 1,889 1,906 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 11-6 2.69 157 176 1.07
2022 21 8-7 3.99 121.2 124 1.13
2023 32 13-11 5.73 183.2 191 1.39
12 Seasons 341 136-95 3.74 1,889 1,906 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 3053 511 25 4.9 3.3 88.9 113.9 11.9 29.0 .234 .372 .311 .303 .355 30.9 22.2 9.1 3.03 3.77
2017 30 3151 535 31 5.8 4.0 86.6 117.6 12.2 32.3 .234 .398 .305 .315 .347 27.5 19.7 10.1 3.43 4.27
2018 31 2942 457 19 4.2 2.7 87.5 112.7 7.8 30.4 .240 .364 .327 .310 .354 37.1 23.0 10.9 4.77 4.07
2019 32 3553 562 33 5.9 3.8 87.9 113.5 13.8 34.0 .222 .372 .294 .283 .361 33.8 28.1 6.7 3.67 3.48
2020 33 1408 224 12 5.4 3.5 88.6 113.4 17.5 34.4 .208 .350 .287 .279 .331 37.5 25.9 7.3 3.32 3.25
2021 34 2608 416 24 5.8 3.7 87.7 114.6 16.0 31.7 .198 .322 .264 .256 .319 36.0 27.5 7.0 2.69 2.72
2022 35 2022 359 24 6.7 4.7 88.4 113.8 14.2 34.3 .243 .387 .304 .296 .366 38.7 24.2 3.7 4.00 3.62
2023 36 3167 540 56 10.4 6.9 88.7 114.3 17.0 35.2 .252 .461 .347 .337 .406 39.3 23.6 8.3 5.73 4.86
Player 21904 3604 224 6.2 4.1 88.0 117.6 13.5 32.5 .230 .382 .307 .300 .358 34.7 24.2 8.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynn relies on 7 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.4%) ,
Cutter
(23.2%) ,
Sinker
(12.7%) ,
Curveball
(7.4%) ,
Changeup
(7%) ,
Slider
(6.1%) ,
Sweeper
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.2 21.5 24.7 7.6 30.5 40.5 28.8 3.5 33.1 22.5 23.3 5.3 4.9 3.3
2017 45.4 23.7 23.4 7.5 29.2 40.4 29.7 5.4 32.7 25.8 23.2 4.9 5.8 4.0
2018 49.9 18.2 25.6 6.3 32.2 40.9 26.9 6.3 37.6 19.3 25.6 6.6 4.2 2.7
2019 40.7 23.8 27.9 7.5 36.1 36.3 27.6 3.9 31.0 25.6 24.2 6.2 5.9 3.8
2020 37.1 28.6 25.0 9.4 32.6 36.6 30.8 3.6 27.7 37.1 20.5 5.8 5.4 3.5
2021 39.9 30.0 20.9 9.1 37.3 34.1 28.6 4.3 29.6 31.0 20.2 5.5 5.8 3.7
2022 42.6 26.7 24.0 6.7 40.1 35.7 24.2 4.2 31.2 26.7 24.8 6.1 6.7 4.7
2023 36.3 30.6 24.1 9.1 38.5 35.7 25.7 5.0 26.5 29.4 22.2 5.9 10.4 6.9
Player 42.6 25.1 24.5 7.8 34.5 37.7 27.7 4.6 31.4 26.4 23.2 5.8 6.2 4.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seamer LAD R 1,376 92.4 18.4 -2.2 -13 3.2 -4.0 -56
2023 Curveball LAD R 233 80.8 42.8 -7.3 -15 14.1 4.2 42
2023 Sinker LAD R 402 91.4 25.7 1.1 5 11.7 -3.4 -22
2023 Cutter LAD R 736 88.7 28.8 -1.5 -5 2.6 0.0 1
2023 Sweeper LAD R 5 81.3 38.3 -2.0 -5 10.0 -5.0 -33
2023 Slider LAD R 193 83.0 42.6 4.0 10 3.7 -3.1 -45
2023 Changeup LAD R 219 84.9 31.7 -1.4 -4 14.1 -0.2 -1
2022 Changeup CWS R 76 85.8 31.3 -0.6 -2 11.8 -2.6 -18
2022 Cutter CWS R 527 88.8 29.4 -3.1 -12 2.3 0.3 14
2022 Slider CWS R 51 86.0 35.5 0.3 1 5.1 0.3 5
2022 4-Seamer CWS R 928 92.9 18.3 -2.6 -16 3.7 -4.2 -53
2022 Sinker CWS R 266 91.4 25.9 1.9 8 11.0 -4.0 -27
2022 Curveball CWS R 174 82.0 42.2 -6.2 -13 10.5 0.9 9
2021 Curveball CWS R 76 82.1 45.0 -4.9 -10 6.5 -2.8 -30
2021 Changeup CWS R 116 87.2 29.4 -0.9 -3 13.5 -0.9 -6
2021 Cutter CWS R 775 88.7 29.8 -3.0 -11 2.7 0.7 35
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1,051 94.0 16.0 -0.8 -5 6.0 -1.8 -23
2021 Sinker CWS R 485 92.4 25.7 2.8 12 12.9 -2.0 -14
2020 4-Seamer TEX R 698 94.0 15.4 -0.2 -1 6.7 -1.0 -13
2020 Curveball TEX R 128 83.6 43.2 -4.7 -10 4.6 -3.3 -42
2020 Sinker TEX R 252 92.0 25.1 2.4 11 13.3 -1.4 -10
2020 Cutter TEX R 312 89.4 27.1 -1.3 -5 2.0 0.0 -2
2020 Changeup TEX R 14 85.0 28.6 -2.9 -9 8.4 -5.1 -38
2019 Changeup TEX R 102 86.9 29.6 -0.2 -1 12.6 -1.7 -12
2019 Sinker TEX R 590 92.8 24.4 2.2 10 12.9 -1.8 -12
2019 Curveball TEX R 327 81.2 52.0 0.6 1 7.8 -1.1 -12
2019 4-Seamer TEX R 1,858 94.6 15.9 -0.6 -4 6.1 -1.8 -23
2019 Cutter TEX R 558 89.0 29.6 -2.6 -10 3.3 1.4 77
2018 Changeup NYY R 57 85.3 32.6 0.9 3 12.1 -1.7 -12
2018 Curveball NYY R 267 80.0 54.6 1.6 3 8.5 -0.5 -5
2018 Sinker NYY R 953 92.3 26.0 3.4 15 12.3 -2.4 -16
2018 Cutter NYY R 339 87.4 32.5 -4.3 -15 4.4 2.2 102
2018 4-Seamer NYY R 1,318 93.7 17.2 -1.4 -9 5.4 -2.4 -31
2017 Cutter STL R 330 87.1 28.5 -0.5 -2 1.2 -0.9 -43
2017 Curveball STL R 151 78.9 52.2 -1.5 -3 5.6 -2.9 -34
2017 Changeup STL R 168 86.0 27.8 -2.4 -8 13.0 -0.8 -6
2017 Sinker STL R 1,340 91.4 24.2 1.7 8 14.7 -0.4 -3
2017 4-Seamer STL R 1,155 92.4 16.7 -1.1 -7 8.9 0.3 3
2015 Changeup STL R 72 84.9 -- -- 14.0 1.0 8
2015 Sinker STL R 814 91.5 -- -- 14.0 -0.5 -4
2015 Curveball STL R 134 78.0 -- -- 9.7 -0.5 -5
2015 4-Seamer STL R 1,655 92.8 -- -- 8.6 1.0 13
2015 Slider STL R 230 87.0 -- -- 1.2 -3.3 -74
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.6 -9 1,376 43.4 323 .254 .512 .363 31.4 27.9 21.1 .250 .498 .349 46.0
2023 Cutter -0.9 -6 736 23.2 185 .270 .506 .352 26.7 18.4 17.1 .268 .491 .341 35.5
2023 Sinker -0.9 -4 403 12.7 131 .243 .423 .360 18.2 11.5 19.5 .283 .456 .375 40.6
2023 Curveball -1.6 -4 233 7.4 59 .208 .453 .325 35.4 37.3 16.5 .231 .430 .321 32.3
2023 Changeup -0.5 -1 221 7.0 47 .302 .372 .350 29.6 17.0 10.7 .227 .307 .268 20.0
2023 Slider -1.7 -3 193 6.1 60 .291 .455 .353 31.1 35.0 18.3 .187 .301 .247 35.3
2023 Sweeper -57.0 -3 5 0.2 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .606 2.207 1.116 100.0
2022 4-Seamer 0.9 9 928 45.9 196 .200 .351 .276 33.4 31.1 21.9 .198 .350 .261 34.7
2022 Cutter 0.8 4 527 26.1 141 .236 .354 .309 26.2 14.2 14.2 .244 .362 .300 37.6
2022 Sinker -3.0 -8 266 13.2 79 .382 .592 .453 17.6 6.3 6.6 .365 .547 .406 52.1
2022 Curveball -1.6 -3 174 8.6 59 .232 .339 .286 31.0 42.4 25.5 .239 .303 .261 38.7
2022 Changeup -7.1 -5 76 3.8 20 .400 .850 .525 21.2 30.0 18.8 .322 .632 .410 35.7
2022 Slider -1.4 -1 51 2.5 17 .118 .294 .171 31.0 41.2 26.9 .091 .248 .145 10.0
2021 4-Seamer 1.5 16 1,051 40.3 238 .187 .297 .255 32.5 35.7 23.5 .173 .298 .240 45.9
2021 Cutter 1.3 10 775 29.7 179 .218 .341 .270 25.8 27.9 22.6 .204 .321 .249 31.7
2021 Sinker 1.4 7 485 18.6 154 .243 .404 .337 14.7 14.9 16.8 .235 .373 .304 32.8
2021 Changeup 0.2 0 116 4.4 29 .148 .259 .210 29.5 20.7 12.2 .237 .427 .310 23.8
2021 Curveball -1.5 -1 76 2.9 17 .250 .250 .359 23.1 29.4 13.5 .168 .188 .186 18.2
2020 4-Seamer 0.9 6 700 49.7 165 .207 .413 .309 29.4 27.9 21.6 .211 .397 .293 36.2
2020 Cutter 1.0 3 313 22.2 76 .211 .423 .298 21.3 18.4 16.1 .220 .363 .272 31.0
2020 Sinker 0.5 1 252 17.9 74 .222 .365 .318 18.3 20.3 17.6 .205 .290 .286 45.8
2020 Curveball 0.3 0 128 9.1 27 .120 .160 .165 29.5 48.1 15.7 .140 .164 .177 50.0
2020 Changeup -3.5 0 14 1.0 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 50.0 .480 .518 .451 0.0
2019 4-Seamer 1.7 32 1,858 52.3 458 .218 .403 .303 30.5 31.4 25.0 .214 .392 .296 38.0
2019 Sinker -0.1 -1 590 16.6 183 .325 .470 .376 19.1 18.0 20.0 .267 .416 .318 31.6
2019 Cutter 0.0 0 558 15.7 117 .243 .315 .272 25.7 23.1 15.9 .227 .319 .252 24.7
2019 Curveball 0.0 0 327 9.2 74 .189 .284 .216 40.3 41.9 20.8 .180 .268 .192 37.2
2019 Changeup -1.9 -2 102 2.9 15 .231 .308 .297 25.0 6.7 4.8 .287 .478 .374 16.7
2018 4-Seamer -0.1 -1 1,318 44.8 280 .253 .457 .355 26.1 30.7 18.6 .231 .410 .324 41.3
2018 Sinker -1.1 -10 953 32.4 264 .310 .419 .382 17.3 12.1 17.3 .281 .388 .347 42.1
2018 Cutter 0.8 3 339 11.5 72 .246 .262 .285 24.8 20.8 18.1 .240 .319 .288 20.0
2018 Curveball -1.1 -3 267 9.1 71 .149 .194 .209 31.7 38.0 18.2 .114 .146 .144 22.0
2018 Changeup -2.3 -1 57 1.9 7 .429 .429 .386 20.0 0.0 0.0 .436 .495 .411 14.3
2017 Sinker 0.9 12 1,340 42.5 377 .252 .371 .323 17.9 13.5 15.5 .254 .379 .321 25.4
2017 4-Seamer 0.6 7 1,155 36.7 230 .199 .398 .319 28.2 28.7 21.1 .208 .399 .316 33.8
2017 Cutter 1.5 5 330 10.5 97 .154 .330 .235 24.8 30.9 23.6 .177 .305 .234 21.3
2017 Changeup -4.2 -7 168 5.3 29 .333 .778 .509 14.9 0.0 0.0 .355 .884 .519 29.6
2017 Curveball -1.2 -2 151 4.8 37 .200 .486 .307 21.2 16.2 8.2 .247 .432 .308 31.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 199 84.9 80 15.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Curveball 225 80.8 49 15.1 8:00 8:45 -45
2023 Cutter 713 88.7 35 6.1 11:45 11:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,332 92.4 71 13.4 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 385 91.4 69 13.7 1:00 2:15 -75
2023 Slider 176 83.0 34 6.7 8:15 7:15 60
2022 Changeup 70 85.8 77 13.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Curveball 161 82.0 47 12.2 8:00 8:15 -15
2022 Cutter 513 88.8 33 5.4 11:45 11:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 904 92.9 72 13.3 1:00 12:30 30
2022 Sinker 249 91.5 68 13.1 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 48 86.0 26 6.1 10:00 9:00 60
2021 Changeup 109 87.1 85 15.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 76 82.1 47 10.2 8:00 7:45 15
2021 Cutter 774 88.7 33 5.6 11:45 10:30 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,048 94.0 79 15.7 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 466 92.4 75 14.6 1:00 2:15 -75
2020 Changeup 14 85.0 81 12.3 1:15 1:30 -15
2020 Curveball 119 83.9 36 7.8 8:30 7:30 60
2020 Cutter 301 89.4 40 6.8 12:00 11:15 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 687 94.0 79 16.5 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Sinker 249 92.0 74 15.3 1:00 2:15 -75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 177 721 13 3 -3 -4 9
2012 793 3,211 8 24 -15 -18 -1
2013 934 3,637 8 24 -16 -18 -1
2014 913 3,652 20 36 -17 -16 23
2015 750 3,055 15 32 -18 -14 15
2017 770 3,144 16 45 -28 -18 15
2018 706 2,982 15 9 -24 -14 -15
2019 847 3,435 23 39 -22 -11 30
2020 344 1,407 7 17 -8 -5 11
2021 637 2,579 21 31 -13 -11 28
2022 512 2,022 10 4 -10 -8 -4
2023 820 3,215 -15 17 -21 -14 -32
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,053 43.7 71.8 83.2 27.5 67.4 40.5 56.5 46.9 21.0 6.0 80.3
2017 3,151 45.4 69.7 80.0 24.3 67.6 42.4 54.6 44.9 22.5 5.7 81.1
2018 2,942 43.7 72.7 82.3 26.3 62.1 42.9 54.1 46.6 23.4 5.9 83.7
2019 3,553 50.3 69.3 76.6 28.3 56.4 41.7 62.7 49.0 28.5 8.1 85.3
2020 1,408 51.2 70.8 80.2 27.1 59.1 44.9 61.0 49.5 25.4 6.1 83.7
2021 2,608 49.7 73.3 79.1 27.6 57.1 41.2 58.5 50.2 26.3 7.1 82.0
2022 2,022 49.4 74.9 77.9 30.3 55.5 42.8 65.4 52.3 28.5 7.2 80.8
2023 3,167 47.6 74.1 77.5 28.3 54.9 42.3 64.2 50.1 28.7 6.8 86.0
Player 21,904 47.3 72.0 79.5 27.3 60.3 42.2 59.5 48.4 25.6 6.6 83.1
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 57 61 58 54 43 19 52 24 68 63 19 34 27 45 85 19 32
2017 47 66 53 43 41 11 52 65 90 35 22 37 17 34 71 16 21
2018 46 50 67 78 28 41 89 73 34 55 15 41 30 52 73 18 57
2019 80 74 71 69 84 16 70 70 73 78 73 72 41 67 89 28 73
2020 78 80 71 63 81 13 70 45 47 63 66 41 44 53 88 63 54
2021 94 90 89 81 94 32 81 74 69 77 70 51 46 49 79 52 54
2022 60 43 45 48 73 34 62 52 44 61 98 71 58 28 90 50 49
2023 24 37 17 11 44 1 13 57 47 51 50 69 43 22 84 57 59
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 21.8 27 25.5 2 14 24 7 25.9
2018 23.1 14 14.7 -1 8 9 7 50.0
2019 23.2 21 21.8 -1 23 14 10 47.6
2020 23.2 13 11.8 1 6 8 5 38.5
2021 23.0 18 15.4 3 5 8 10 55.6
2022 23.5 19 17.8 1 5 8 11 57.9
2023 23.4 48 45.4 3 7 31 22 45.8
Player 23.1 160 152.3 8 68 102 72 45.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 27 25 17 26 27 25 29 25 18 20 23 34 25 25 25 29 22 22 28 24 27 22 33 32 27 24 22 36 31 27 15
2018 14 17 13 14 16 14 16 13 14 9 14 17 14 11 15 16 13 15 15 17 16 19 18 16 10 12 15 15 17 15 14
2019 21 28 18 22 21 21 24 20 16 15 17 28 33 20 20 20 18 19 19 24 23 28 29 27 18 20 17 28 26 20 14
2020 13 12 16 13 12 12 13 11 10 8 10 15 11 11 11 12 11 9 12 15 11 12 16 12 9 8 14 15 12 11 10
2021 18 17 15 14 16 15 17 14 12 12 15 19 15 14 16 17 14 14 17 17 16 16 17 16 14 13 17 16 16 15 15
2022 19 16 17 20 19 18 19 16 15 17 17 20 17 18 18 18 18 17 18 19 19 18 20 20 15 16 19 20 17 17 16
2023 48 42 34 44 48 45 51 42 43 38 45 46 46 42 53 48 48 41 48 52 44 42 56 52 41 42 45 47 48 47 41
Player 160 157 130 153 159 150 169 141 128 119 141 179 161 141 158 160 144 137 157 168 156 157 189 175 134 135 149 177 167 152 125
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.3 92.4 1.1 ↑ 93.2 0.8 ↑ 92.5 -0.7 ↓ 91.9 -0.6 ↓ 91.4 -0.5 ↓ 91.2 -0.2 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 85.3 -0.7 ↓ 86.9 1.6 ↑ 85.0 -1.9 ↓ 87.2 2.2 ↑ 85.8 -1.4 ↓ 84.9 -0.9 ↓
Breaking Velocity 78.9 80.0 1.1 ↑ 81.2 1.2 ↑ 83.6 2.4 ↑ 82.1 -1.5 ↓ 82.9 0.8 ↑ 81.8 -1.1 ↓
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.5 0.9 ↑ 87.9 0.4 ↑ 88.6 0.7 ↑ 87.7 -0.9 ↓ 88.4 0.7 ↑ 88.7 0.3 ↑
Launch Angle 12.2 7.8 -4.4 ↓ 13.8 6.0 ↑ 17.5 3.7 ↑ 16.0 -1.5 ↓ 14.2 -1.8 ↓ 17.0 2.8 ↑
Barrel % 5.8 4.2 -1.6 ↓ 5.9 1.7 ↑ 5.4 -0.5 ↓ 5.8 0.4 ↑ 6.7 0.9 ↑ 10.4 3.7 ↑
Hard Hit % 27.5 37.1 9.6 ↑ 33.8 -3.3 ↓ 37.5 3.7 ↑ 36.0 -1.5 ↓ 38.7 2.7 ↑ 39.3 0.6 ↑
Sweet Spot % 32.3 30.4 -1.9 ↓ 34.0 3.6 ↑ 34.4 0.4 ↑ 31.7 -2.7