Keaton Winn
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 238LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 5, #136, San Francisco Giants | Iowa Western CC
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 3 4.68 9 5 1 42.1 35 1.04
2024 3 8 7.16 12 12 0 55.1 48 1.37
2 Seasons 4 11 6.08 21 17 1 97.2 83 1.23
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 9 1-3 4.68 42.1 35 1.04
2024 12 3-8 7.16 55.1 48 1.37
2 Seasons 21 4-11 6.08 97.2 83 1.23
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 25 594 123 13 10.6 7.6 92.4 111.0 4.5 26.8 .243 .425 .304 .319 .369 48.0 20.3 4.7 4.68 4.30
2024 26 877 165 14 8.5 5.9 93.1 113.4 8.7 34.5 .273 .479 .354 .358 .416 50.6 20.2 8.4 7.16 5.56
Player 1471 288 27 9.4 6.6 92.8 113.4 6.8 31.3 .260 .455 .333 .341 .396 49.5 20.2 6.8
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winn relies on 4 pitches.
Split Finger
(40.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(26.3%) ,
Sinker
(19.2%) ,
Slider
(13.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 59.3 21.1 16.3 3.3 38.2 42.3 19.5 4.1 43.9 16.3 18.7 6.5 10.6 7.6
2024 50.9 21.8 24.8 2.4 46.7 35.2 18.2 2.4 33.9 16.4 23.0 10.9 8.5 5.9
Player 54.5 21.5 21.2 2.8 43.1 38.2 18.8 3.1 38.2 16.3 21.2 9.0 9.4 6.6
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Split-Finger SF R 342 88.9 34.1 2.6 14.2ARM 3.1 0.5 2.1 14.2ARM 3.6
2024 Slider SF R 118 87.9 34.4 1.2 1.2GLV -2.6 1.1 0.5 1.2GLV -3.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball SF R 223 95.7 14.8 -1.2 10.0ARM 2.9 15.2 -0.6 10.0ARM 2.5
2024 Sinker SF R 163 94.8 23.1 2.1 16.0ARM 1.6 7.4 -0.1 16.0ARM 1.2
2023 4-Seam Fastball SF R 153 95.9 15.3 -1.6 10.5ARM 3.1 14.5 -1.3 10.5ARM 3.1
2023 Slider SF R 21 85.9 38.0 2.4 0.9GLV -3.6 -1.1 2.6 0.9GLV -4.4
2023 Sinker SF R 91 95.5 21.7 1.2 14.9ARM 0.0 8.3 -0.7 14.9ARM -0.1
2023 Split-Finger SF R 329 88.7 35.8 4.3 13.0ARM 1.3 -1.2 4.5 13.0ARM 1.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Split-Finger -0.4 -1 343 39.1 104 .215 .355 .294 28.2 24.0 20.3 .257 .431 .331 47.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.3 -3 223 25.4 51 .214 .500 .339 27.2 29.4 20.3 .189 .383 .305 51.7
2024 Sinker -4.2 -7 163 18.6 46 .410 .692 .497 6.6 6.5 13.6 .385 .633 .476 52.8
2024 Slider -1.7 -2 118 13.5 28 .321 .607 .393 35.6 14.3 14.3 .312 .588 .384 54.2
2023 Split-Finger 0.3 1 329 55.4 102 .221 .347 .271 34.4 22.5 22.3 .221 .355 .271 42.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 153 25.8 29 .240 .680 .421 29.9 27.6 17.8 .257 .608 .404 52.9
2023 Sinker -0.1 0 91 15.3 41 .250 .417 .318 20.0 9.8 44.4 .291 .480 .384 57.6
2023 Slider 2.3 0 21 3.5 -- -- -- 20.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 4-Seam Fastball 215 95.7 92 17.9 1:30 1:15 15
2024 Split-Finger 284 88.9 87 15.2 2:00 3:00 -60
2024 Sinker 162 94.8 83 17.9 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 116 87.9 12 2.6 10:15 8:30 105
2023 4-Seam Fastball 135 96.0 94 17.9 1:30 1:15 15
2023 Split-Finger 234 88.7 85 14.0 2:15 3:15 -60
2023 Sinker 83 95.5 90 17.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Slider 18 86.1 22 4.1 9:15 6:30 165
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 172 594 -2 7 -2 -2 1
2024 229 847 -3 -2 -4 -5 -13
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 594 51.9 71.8 75.1 32.2 55.4 46.3 64.0 52.7 30.7 7.6 84.4
2024 877 50.8 70.9 83.6 33.3 55.4 40.3 65.5 52.5 25.2 8.4 74.6
Player 1,471 51.2 71.3 80.0 32.9 55.4 42.7 64.9 52.5 27.4 8.0 78.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2023 80 59 23
2024 3 10 4 5 7 61 32 1 1 27 44 47 92 70 61 24
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.5 6 6.3 0 0 6 2 33.3
2024 24.8 9 7.6 1 3 5 3 33.3
Player 24.7 15 13.9 1 3 11 5 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2023 6 5 3 7 8 6 8 4 7 6 8 7 5 6 8 8 8 6 5 8 6 4 8 8 5 5 6 7 6 6 6
2024 9 7 5 9 7 8 8 8 6 6 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 8 10 8 6 10 8 8 7 6 9 6 8 8
Player 15 12 8 16 15 14 16 12 13 12 16 15 12 13 16 16 16 13 13 18 14 10 18 16 13 12 12 16 12 14 14
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.8 95.3 -0.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 88.7 88.9 0.2 ↑
Breaking Velocity 85.9 87.9 2.0 ↑
Exit Velocity 92.4 93.1 0.7 ↑
Launch Angle 4.5 8.7 4.2 ↑
Barrel % 10.6 8.5 -2.1 ↓
Hard Hit % 48.0 50.6 2.6 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 26.8 34.5 7.7 ↑
xBA .243 .273 0.030 ↑
BA .231 .268 0.037 ↑
xwOBA .319 .358 0.039 ↑
wOBA .304 .354 0.050 ↑
xSLG .425 .479 0.054 ↑
SLG .417 .493 0.076 ↑
K% 20.3 20.2 -0.1 ↓
BB% 4.7 8.4 3.7 ↑
Swing % 52.7 52.5 -0.2 ↓
Whiff% 30.7 25.2 -5.5 ↓
In Zone % 51.9 50.8 -1.1 ↓
Out of Zone % 48.1 49.2 1.1 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 32.2 33.3 1.1 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 36.6 37.4 0.8 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 64.0 65.5 1.5 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 172 .304 102 0 0.0 70 44 62.9
2024 Shades 224 .344 122 2 1.6 102 27 26.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 177 14.1 72.3% 0.0% 62 18.7 1.6% 0.0%
2024 241 14.7 58.1% 0.0% 101 18.3 2.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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