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Justin Verlander
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 235LBS | Age: 38

Draft: 2004 | Rd: 1, #2, Detroit Tigers | Old Dominion
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 1 0 3.00 1 1 0 6.0 7 0.67
16 Seasons 226 129 3.33 454 454 0 2988.0 3013 1.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 1 1-0 3.00 6.0 7 0.67
16 Seasons 454 226-129 3.33 2988.0 3013 1.13

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 32 2150 387 16 4.1 87.1 112.2 20.1 32 .216 .317 .276 .259 .297 27.7 21.1 6 3.38 2.86
2016 33 3668 584 44 7.5 87.9 115.9 19.5 29.8 .204 .359 .272 .272 .344 33 28.1 6.3 3.04 3.18
2017 34 3531 554 40 7.2 87.6 113.6 16.4 37.4 .240 .419 .285 .314 .389 35.6 25.8 8.5 3.36 4.33
2018 35 3427 498 31 6.2 88.5 115.7 22.1 31.1 .184 .308 .259 .237 .334 32.7 34.8 4.4 2.52 2.37
2019 36 3448 498 36 7.2 87.3 109.8 18.4 30.3 .180 .336 .243 .241 .342 33.1 35.4 5 2.58 2.57
2020 37 73 13 2 15.4 90.4 110.9 10.1 7.7 .161 .415 .264 .259 .365 53.8 33.3 4.8 3.00 2.81
16297 2534 169 6.7 87.7 115.9 19.2 32 .203 .350 .266 .265 .344 32.8 29.7 6
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Verlander relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(54.8%) ,
Slider
(37%) ,
Changeup
(6.8%) ,
Curveball
(1.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 40 9 31 54.8 94.9 15 14 3 1 0 0 2 3 11 .214 .218 .643 .580 .369 .351 93.1 14 2524 6.2 4.3 18.8
2020 Slider 27 14 13 37.0 87.0 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 2545 6.2 80.0 57.1
2020 Changeup 5 1 4 6.8 87.1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .087 .000 .090 .000 .092 75.7 -14 1920 6.3 0.0 0.0
2020 Curveball 1 1 0 1.4 78.9 2819 6.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1617 719 898 49.9 94.6 328 301 69 26 13 6 24 104 198 .229 .230 .551 .522 .342 .336 92.2 28 2577 5.9 31.0 26.3
2019 Slider 929 535 394 28.7 87.5 309 295 35 20 7 1 7 127 168 .119 .145 .220 .223 .162 .179 82.5 13 2612 5.8 39.9 27.4
2019 Curveball 560 221 339 17.3 79.4 125 116 22 16 5 0 1 38 79 .190 .218 .259 .302 .221 .251 87.0 7 2821 5.4 26.1 18.7
2019 Changeup 136 34 102 4.2 86.9 37 37 4 1 2 0 1 11 26 .108 .153 .243 .248 .142 .168 82.1 14 1866 6.1 33.8 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 36.7 27.6 20.9 14.7 37 36.4 26.6 1.8 28.7 38.5 23.5 2.6 4.1
2016 35.4 28.1 23.5 13 37.5 36.3 26.2 2.9 26.2 34.9 22.6 4.5 7.5
2017 34.1 27.1 28.7 10.1 34.5 41.2 24.4 4.9 26.9 30.1 24.7 5.8 7.2
2018 30.7 31.7 24.3 13.3 35.1 34.9 29.9 3.2 22.3 39.8 21.3 6.6 6.2
2019 36.1 30.5 22.9 10.4 40.8 38 21.1 3 24.7 32.3 20.9 6.4 7.2
2020 61.5 30.8 7.7 0 46.2 38.5 15.4 0 46.2 23.1 15.4 0 15.4
34.7 29 24.2 12.1 37 37.5 25.5 3.2 25.8 34.8 22.6 5.2 6.7
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Curveball HOU R 1 78.9 59.9 4.7 9 9.1 2.4 37
2020 Changeup HOU R 5 87.1 24.9 -2.3 -8 13.2 0.5 4
2020 Slider HOU R 27 87 29.4 -4 -12 4.8 1 27
2020 4-Seamer HOU R 40 94.9 11.4 1.8 14 12.9 6.4 97
2019 4-Seamer HOU R 1617 94.6 10.7 2.9 22 10.1 3.1 45
2019 Changeup HOU R 136 86.9 26.5 -2 -7 16.3 3.4 26
2019 Curveball HOU R 560 79.4 57.4 3.1 6 7.6 2 35
2019 Slider HOU R 929 87.5 30.2 -2.3 -7 4.1 0.3 7
2018 Slider HOU R 761 86.5 34.6 0 0 3.6 -0.5 -13
2018 Changeup HOU R 51 87.4 27.7 -0.6 -2 17 3.9 30
2018 Cutter HOU R 20 91.5 20.2 4.2 17 2.6 -4.6 -228
2018 4-Seamer HOU R 2092 95 11 2.8 20 11 3.9 54
2018 Curveball HOU R 495 79.6 58.7 3.2 6 9.3 2.2 31
2017 Changeup HOU R 146 87.6 28.6 2 8 16.5 3.2 24
2017 Curveball HOU R 565 80.4 53.9 1.2 2 9 2.1 30
2017 Slider HOU R 758 88.2 29.5 -1.2 -4 1.3 -1.8 -59
2017 4-Seamer HOU R 2036 95.3 13.5 -0.7 -5 13.6 5.6 70
2017 Sinker HOU R 12 95.6 18.1 0.2 1 21.6 6.8 46
2017 Cutter HOU R 13 91.8 20.3 1.2 6 1.3 -3.3 -169
2016 Slider DET R 647 88.5 25 -3.7 -13 0.4 -2.7 -117
2016 Changeup DET R 309 85.9 28.9 1.6 6 18.7 5.7 44
2016 Curveball DET R 583 79.2 54.3 1.6 3 8.3 1.9 30
2016 4-Seamer DET R 2114 94.1 12.4 0.6 4 14.2 5.9 70
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Changeup -6.1 0 5 6.8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .087 .09 .091 0
2020 Slider -1.5 0 27 37 4 0 0 0 80 100 57.1 0
2020 4-Seamer -0.6 0 40 54.8 15 .214 .643 .373 4.3 20 18.8 .218 .58 .351 63.6
2020 Curveball -3.9 0 1 1.4
2019 Changeup -1.7 -2 136 3.9 37 .108 .243 .146 33.8 29.7 20 .153 .248 .168 11.5
2019 Curveball -0.8 -4 560 16.2 125 .19 .259 .24 26.1 30.4 18.7 .218 .302 .251 26.6
2019 Slider -2.9 -27 929 26.9 309 .119 .22 .174 39.9 41.1 27.4 .145 .223 .183 20.8
2019 4-Seamer -1 -16 1617 46.9 328 .229 .551 .357 31 31.7 26.3 .23 .522 .337 49
2018 Cutter 7.5 2 20 0.6 7 .571 1 .671 8.3 14.3 12.5 .338 .457 .348 16.7
2018 Changeup 3.2 2 51 1.5 21 .333 .619 .402 26.5 19 16 .239 .406 .275 29.4
2018 Curveball -1.7 -9 495 14.4 128 .137 .194 .157 34.4 51.6 28.3 .113 .162 .134 18.6
2018 Slider -0.1 -1 762 22.2 220 .184 .335 .252 39.1 40 24.6 .167 .24 .208 26.1
2018 4-Seamer -1.7 -35 2092 61 457 .213 .397 .284 29.2 28.7 22.9 .208 .377 .276 38.7
2017 Cutter -5.9 -1 14 0.4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 .271 .54 .336 40
2017 Sinker 1.8 0 12 0.3 5 .2 .4 .25 0 0 0 .27 .338 .265 40
2017 Changeup 0.7 1 146 4.1 45 .341 .614 .412 21.1 11.1 12.8 .351 .665 .427 35.9
2017 Curveball 0.4 2 565 16 133 .234 .379 .287 24.6 28.6 16.2 .225 .371 .281 27.6
2017 Slider -0.2 -2 758 21.5 220 .222 .43 .305 32.8 33.2 22.1 .199 .346 .258 26.9
2017 4-Seamer -1.6 -33 2036 57.7 437 .206 .311 .279 20.1 23.6 17.7 .253 .445 .342 41.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 4-Seam Fastball 40 94.9 99 23.1 1:00 1:15 -15
2020 Slider 27 87 33 7.9 12:00 10:30 90
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 847 3422 -9 -18 14 18 4
2009 971 3897 -19 -35 17 10 -27
2010 924 3736 -16 -36 12 10 -29
2011 1054 4272 -22 -45 14 12 -41
2012 1060 4232 -22 -41 8 13 -42
2013 1004 4028 -20 -35 18 13 -24
2014 914 3505 7 -17 17 11 18
2015 533 2145 -13 -11 14 7 -4
2016 898 3655 -28 -39 16 11 -41
2017 981 4065 -18 -47 14 13 -40
2018 904 3711 -29 -40 15 10 -43
2019 945 3839 -19 -51 12 8 -49
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2150 50.6 67.8 82.1 29 64.3 42.1 63.9 48.7 22.5 7.5 75.9
2016 3668 49.3 68.1 79.6 32.8 58.6 44.8 64.3 50.2 26.7 7.3 75
2017 3531 50.9 68.7 82.7 29.1 60.1 43.8 61.7 49.3 23.6 7.4 78.5
2018 3427 54.4 68 73.8 31.2 52.3 45.4 68.9 51.2 31.6 9.2 78
2019 3448 51.3 67.9 73 35.2 52 43.6 64.3 51.9 33.6 7.7 77.6
2020 73 53.4 69.2 81.5 26.5 44.4 41.1 61.9 49.3 25 4.1 100
16297 51.3 68.2 78 31.6 56.8 44.1 64.7 50.4 28.1 7.8 77.2
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 86 77 84 87 87 45 74 78 92 55 73 48 86 61 99 78
2016 84 90 71 46 94 2 17 66 67 88 75 77 84 71 99 90
2017 46 54 38 28 60 3 26 39 29 74 46 46 46 84 98 90
2018 97 96 91 77 100 16 55 44 71 96 96 87 97 81 99 96
2019 97 96 89 61 99 10 45 80 76 96 93 90 97 75 98 90
2020
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.6 44 31.5 13 15 23 14 31.8
2020 20.1 2 1.7 0 0 1 1 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 44 35 40 34 38 27 31 33 37 34 40 30 22 29 28 36 21 33 28 35 20 28 28 32 30 37 31 29 31 28 39
2020 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.4 94.1 0.7 95.3 1.2 95 -0.3 94.6 -0.4 94.9 0.3 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 84.8 85.9 1.1 87.6 1.7 87.4 -0.2 86.9 -0.5 87.1 0.2 undefined
Breaking Velocity 83.3 84.1 0.8 84.9 0.8 83.8 -1.1 84.5 0.7 86.7 2.2 undefined
Exit Velocity 87.1 87.9 0.8 87.6 -0.3 88.5 0.9 87.3 -1.2 90.4 3.1 undefined
Launch Angle 20.1 19.5 -0.6 16.4 -3.1 22.1 5.7 18.4 -3.7 10.1 -8.3 undefined
Barrel % 4.1 7.5 3.4 7.2 -0.3 6.2 -1 7.2 1 15.4 8.2 undefined
Hard Hit % 27.7 33 5.3 35.6 2.6 32.7 -2.9 33.1 0.4 53.8 20.7 undefined
Sweet Spot % 32 29.8 -2.2 37.4 7.6 31.1 -6.3 30.3 -0.8 7.7 -22.6 undefined
xBA .216 .204 -0.012 .24 0.036 .184 -0.056 .18 -0.004 .161 -0.019 undefined
BA .229 .207 -0.022 .221 0.014 .2 -0.021 .172 -0.028 .15 -0.022 undefined
xwOBA .259 .272 0.013 .314 0.042 .237 -0.077 .241 0.004 .259 0.018 undefined
wOBA .276 .272 -0.004 .285 0.013 .259 -0.026 .243 -0.016 .264 0.021 undefined
xSLG .317 .359 0.042 .419 0.06 .308 -0.111 .336 0.028 .415 0.079 undefined
SLG .357 .368 0.011 .37 0.002 .36 -0.01 .361 0.001 .45 0.089 undefined
K% 21.1 28.1 7 25.8 -2.3 34.8 9 35.4 0.6 33.3 -2.1 undefined
BB% 6 6.3 0.3 8.5 2.2 4.4 -4.1 5 0.6 4.8 -0.2 undefined
Swing % 48.7 50.2 1.5 49.3 -0.9 51.2 1.9 51.9 0.7 49.3 -2.6 undefined
Whiff% 22.5 26.7 4.2 23.6 -3.1 31.6 8 33.6 2 25 -8.6 undefined
In Zone % 50.6 49.3 -1.3 50.9 1.6 54.4 3.5 51.3 -3.1 53.4 2.1 undefined
Out of Zone % 49.4 50.7 1.3 49.1 -1.6 45.6 -3.5 48.7 3.1 46.6 -2.1 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 29 32.8 3.8 29.1 -3.7 31.2 2.1 35.2 4 26.5 -8.7 undefined
First Pitch Swing % 32.3 29.6 -2.7 28.4 -1.2 34.5 6.1 32.2 -2.3 42.9 10.7 undefined
First Pitch Strike % 63.9 64.3 0.4 61.7 -2.6 68.9 7.2 64.3 -4.6 61.9 -2.4 undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 881 .269 445 2 0.4 436 97 22.2
2017 844 .285 442 11 2.5 402 131 32.6
2018 833 .259 452 11 2.4 381 290 76.1
2019 822 .240 393 30 7.6 429 360 83.9
2020 21 .264 7 0 0.0 14 12 85.7

Pitch Distribution