Justin Verlander
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 5" 235LBS | Age: 39

Draft: 2004 | Rd: 1, #2, Detroit Tigers | Old Dominion

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 18 4 1.75 28 28 0 175.0 185 0.83
17 Seasons 244 133 3.24 482 482 0 3163.0 3198 1.12
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 28 18-4 1.75 175.0 185 0.83
17 Seasons 482 244-133 3.24 3163.0 3198 1.12

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 32 2150 387 16 4.1 3.0 87.1 112.2 20.1 32.0 .218 .319 .276 .261 .299 27.6 21.1 6.0 3.38 2.76
2016 33 3668 584 44 7.5 4.9 87.9 115.9 19.5 29.8 .206 .363 .272 .274 .348 32.9 28.1 6.3 3.04 3.12
2017 34 3531 554 40 7.2 4.7 87.6 113.6 16.4 37.4 .240 .420 .285 .315 .390 35.6 25.8 8.5 3.36 4.27
2018 35 3427 498 31 6.2 3.7 88.5 115.7 22.1 31.1 .184 .309 .259 .237 .335 32.7 34.8 4.4 2.52 2.34
2019 36 3448 498 36 7.2 4.3 87.3 109.8 18.5 30.1 .186 .346 .243 .248 .360 33.3 35.4 5.0 2.58 2.66
2020 37 73 13 2 15.4 9.5 90.4 110.9 10.1 7.7 .161 .415 .264 .259 .365 53.8 33.3 4.8 3.00 2.79
2022 39 2607 446 28 6.3 4.2 87.8 110.9 16.9 32.5 .207 .331 .222 .255 .327 34.8 27.8 4.4 1.75 2.66
Player 18904 2980 197 6.6 4.2 87.7 115.9 18.8 32.1 .206 .351 .260 .266 .346 33.1 29.4 5.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Verlander relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(50.4%) ,
Slider
(28.3%) ,
Curveball
(18.8%) ,
Changeup
(2.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 36.7 27.6 20.9 14.7 37.0 36.4 26.6 1.8 28.7 38.5 23.5 2.6 4.1 3.0
2016 35.4 28.1 23.5 13.0 37.3 36.3 26.0 2.9 26.2 34.9 22.6 4.5 7.5 4.9
2017 34.1 27.1 28.7 10.1 34.5 41.2 24.4 4.9 26.9 30.1 24.7 5.8 7.2 4.7
2018 30.7 31.7 24.3 13.3 35.1 34.9 29.9 3.2 22.3 39.8 21.3 6.6 6.2 3.7
2019 36.1 30.5 22.9 10.4 40.8 38.0 21.1 3.0 24.7 32.3 20.9 6.4 7.2 4.3
2020 61.5 38.5 0.0 0.0 46.2 38.5 15.4 0.0 46.2 23.1 15.4 0.0 15.4 9.5
2022 38.6 28.5 21.1 11.9 30.7 40.1 29.1 5.2 28.0 32.1 23.3 4.9 6.3 4.2
Player 35.3 29.0 23.7 12.1 36.0 37.9 26.0 3.5 26.1 34.4 22.7 5.2 6.6 4.2
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seamer HOU R 1,314 95.0 11.4 0.8 7 9.5 3.4 54
2022 Curveball HOU R 490 79.0 55.3 0.4 1 6.9 0.2 3
2022 Changeup HOU R 63 86.2 26.5 -0.8 -3 15.7 2.4 18
2022 Slider HOU R 739 87.4 31.0 -0.9 -3 4.0 -0.2 -4
2020 Curveball HOU R 1 78.9 59.9 4.6 8 9.1 2.3 35
2020 Changeup HOU R 4 86.5 25.0 -2.8 -10 15.5 2.8 22
2020 4-Seamer HOU R 40 94.9 11.4 1.8 14 12.9 6.3 96
2020 Slider HOU R 28 87.1 29.2 -4.0 -12 4.5 0.8 20
2019 Slider HOU R 929 87.5 30.2 -2.3 -7 4.1 0.3 7
2019 Curveball HOU R 560 79.4 57.4 3.1 6 7.6 2.0 35
2019 4-Seamer HOU R 1,617 94.6 10.7 2.9 22 10.1 3.1 45
2019 Changeup HOU R 136 86.9 26.5 -2.0 -7 16.3 3.4 26
2018 Cutter HOU R 20 91.5 20.2 4.2 17 2.6 -4.6 -228
2018 4-Seamer HOU R 2,092 95.0 11.0 2.8 20 11.0 3.9 54
2018 Slider HOU R 761 86.5 34.6 0.0 0 3.6 -0.5 -13
2018 Changeup HOU R 51 87.4 27.7 -0.6 -2 17.0 3.9 30
2018 Curveball HOU R 495 79.6 58.7 3.2 6 9.3 2.2 31
2017 Slider HOU R 758 88.2 29.5 -1.2 -4 1.3 -1.8 -59
2017 4-Seamer HOU R 2,036 95.3 13.5 -0.7 -5 13.6 5.6 70
2017 Cutter HOU R 13 91.8 20.3 1.2 6 1.3 -3.3 -169
2017 Changeup HOU R 146 87.6 28.6 2.0 8 16.5 3.2 24
2017 Curveball HOU R 565 80.4 53.9 1.2 2 9.0 2.1 30
2017 Sinker HOU R 12 95.6 18.1 0.2 1 21.6 6.7 45
2016 Curveball DET R 583 79.2 54.3 1.6 3 8.3 1.9 30
2016 Slider DET R 647 88.5 25.0 -3.7 -13 0.4 -2.7 -117
2016 Changeup DET R 309 85.9 28.9 1.6 6 18.7 5.7 44
2016 4-Seamer DET R 2,114 94.1 12.4 0.6 4 14.2 5.9 70
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -1.8 -24 1,315 50.4 317 .194 .285 .249 18.1 15.8 15.0 .234 .394 .300 40.3
2022 Slider -0.8 -6 739 28.3 227 .188 .261 .220 34.6 39.6 26.7 .187 .289 .222 27.9
2022 Curveball -1.9 -9 490 18.8 102 .158 .267 .203 24.0 37.3 25.2 .182 .269 .206 33.3
2022 Changeup -1.6 -1 63 2.4 20 .167 .167 .205 38.5 35.0 23.3 .163 .186 .208 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.7 0 40 54.8 15 .214 .643 .373 4.3 20.0 18.8 .218 .580 .351 63.6
2020 Slider -1.3 0 28 38.4 4 .000 .000 .000 80.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 Changeup -8.5 0 4 5.5 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .087 .090 .091 0.0
2020 Curveball -3.9 0 1 1.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer -1.0 -16 1,617 46.9 328 .229 .551 .357 31.0 31.7 26.3 .229 .519 .335 49.5
2019 Slider -2.9 -27 929 26.9 309 .119 .220 .174 39.9 41.1 27.4 .145 .223 .183 20.8
2019 Curveball -0.8 -5 560 16.2 125 .190 .259 .240 26.1 30.4 18.7 .219 .302 .251 26.6
2019 Changeup -1.8 -2 136 3.9 37 .108 .243 .146 33.8 29.7 20.0 .152 .248 .168 11.5
2018 4-Seamer -1.7 -35 2,092 61.0 457 .213 .397 .281 29.2 28.7 22.9 .209 .378 .277 38.7
2018 Slider -0.1 -1 762 22.2 220 .184 .335 .252 39.1 40.0 24.6 .166 .239 .208 26.1
2018 Curveball -1.6 -8 495 14.4 128 .137 .194 .164 34.4 51.6 28.3 .113 .162 .134 18.6
2018 Changeup 3.2 2 51 1.5 21 .333 .619 .402 26.5 19.0 16.0 .239 .406 .275 29.4
2018 Cutter 7.5 2 20 0.6 7 .571 1.000 .671 8.3 14.3 12.5 .338 .457 .348 16.7
2017 4-Seamer -1.6 -32 2,036 57.7 437 .206 .311 .281 20.1 23.6 17.7 .253 .446 .343 41.9
2017 Slider -0.3 -2 758 21.5 220 .222 .430 .305 32.8 33.2 22.1 .199 .346 .258 26.9
2017 Curveball 0.3 2 565 16.0 133 .234 .379 .283 24.6 28.6 16.2 .226 .373 .283 27.6
2017 Changeup 0.7 1 146 4.1 45 .341 .614 .412 21.1 11.1 12.8 .352 .672 .431 35.9
2017 Cutter -5.9 -1 14 0.4 5 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .271 .540 .336 40.0
2017 Sinker 1.6 0 12 0.3 5 .200 .400 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 .270 .338 .265 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 4-Seam Fastball 40 94.9 99 23.1 1:00 1:15 -15
2020 Slider 28 87.1 33 7.9 12:00 10:45 75
2022 Changeup 61 86.2 98 19.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Curveball 487 79.0 60 15.8 7:30 7:00 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,312 95.0 97 21.2 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 729 87.4 30 6.0 11:30 10:15 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 847 3,422 -8 -19 13 18 4
2009 972 3,898 -18 -35 18 10 -25
2010 924 3,736 -16 -36 14 10 -28
2011 1054 4,272 -22 -45 14 12 -41
2012 1060 4,232 -23 -42 8 13 -44
2013 1004 4,028 -21 -36 18 13 -25
2014 914 3,505 7 -17 18 11 18
2015 534 2,147 -13 -11 13 7 -4
2016 902 3,663 -28 -38 16 11 -39
2017 981 4,065 -18 -49 14 12 -40
2018 904 3,711 -28 -40 15 10 -42
2019 945 3,839 -19 -51 12 8 -51
2022 757 2,975 -30 -24 11 7 -36
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,150 50.6 67.7 82.1 29.1 64.4 42.2 63.9 48.7 22.5 7.5 75.9
2016 3,668 49.4 68.1 79.7 32.8 58.6 44.8 64.3 50.2 26.7 7.3 74.9
2017 3,531 50.9 68.7 82.7 29.1 60.1 43.7 61.7 49.3 23.6 7.3 78.4
2018 3,427 54.4 68.0 73.8 31.2 52.2 45.4 68.9 51.2 31.6 9.1 78.0
2019 3,448 51.2 67.9 73.0 35.3 52.0 43.6 64.3 51.9 33.6 7.7 77.5
2020 73 53.4 69.2 81.5 26.5 44.4 41.1 61.9 49.3 25.0 4.1 100.0
2022 2,607 51.1 74.2 81.5 32.2 61.5 46.0 62.0 53.7 24.2 7.5 77.0
Player 18,904 51.3 69.0 78.5 31.7 57.5 44.3 64.3 50.8 27.5 7.8 77.1
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 89 81 87 87 89 45 75 79 91 55 73 48 46 62 99 74 54
2016 86 91 72 47 95 2 17 66 64 88 75 77 86 72 99 89 45
2017 47 57 39 30 61 3 26 39 29 74 46 46 66 85 98 90 35
2018 98 96 92 78 100 16 55 44 72 96 96 87 84 82 99 95 34
2019 97 95 86 58 99 10 45 80 75 96 93 90 96 74 98 88 35
2022 91 83 82 72 97 24 69 65 74 80 94 37 77 73 90 75 26
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.0 30 30.0 0 16 17 16 53.3
2017 22.7 30 33.8 -4 19 20 17 56.7
2018 22.1 30 21.0 9 8 16 10 33.3
2019 22.5 44 32.7 11 15 23 16 36.4
2020 20.1 2 1.8 0 0 1 1 50.0
2022 24.3 15 14.5 1 17 9 6 40.0
Player 22.5 151 133.7 17 75 86 66 43.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 30 28 35 24 29 30 29 34 31 26 31 29 25 25 31 32 30 34 22 31 40 21 29 32 25 32 39 28 29 29 39
2017 30 37 42 34 32 38 33 35 33 28 35 33 32 26 34 38 31 39 24 31 40 31 31 36 35 32 37 33 35 32 36
2018 30 19 30 19 22 23 19 27 22 17 20 23 13 21 20 24 21 21 19 21 24 19 18 20 21 27 23 14 19 18 27
2019 44 37 41 32 35 33 34 37 37 31 38 29 23 26 28 36 27 37 27 33 38 29 28 30 32 36 35 29 32 29 42
2020 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2
2022 15 17 14 14 14 18 14 14 16 12 16 12 11 11 9 15 15 17 13 13 19 14 14 15 15 11 21 12 17 11 21
Player 151 140 164 125 134 144 129 149 141 116 142 127 105 111 123 147 126 150 106 131 163 116 122 135 130 140 157 117 134 120 167
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.4 94.1 0.7 95.3 1.2 95 -0.3 94.6 -0.4 94.9 0.3
Offspeed Velocity 84.8 85.9 1.1 87.6 1.7 87.4 -0.2 86.9 -0.5 86.5 -0.4
Breaking Velocity 83.3 84.1 0.8 84.9 0.8 83.8 -1.1 84.5 0.7 86.8 2.3
Exit Velocity 87.1 87.9 0.8 87.6 -0.3 88.5 0.9 87.3 -1.2 90.4 3.1
Launch Angle 20.1 19.5 -0.6 16.4 -3.1 22.1 5.7 18.5 -3.6 10.1 -8.4
Barrel % 4.1 7.5 3.4 7.2 -0.3 6.2 -1 7.2 1 15.4 8.2
Hard Hit % 27.6 32.9 5.3 35.6 2.7 32.7 -2.9 33.3 0.6 53.8 20.5
Sweet Spot % 32 29.8 -2.2 37.4 7.6 31.1 -6.3 30.1 -1 7.7 -22.4
xBA .218 .206 -0.012 .24 0.034 .184 -0.056 .186 0.002 .161 -0.025
BA .229 .207 -0.022 .221 0.014 .2 -0.021 .172 -0.028 .15 -0.022
xwOBA .261 .274 0.013 .315 0.041 .237 -0.078 .248 0.011 .259 0.011
wOBA .276 .272 -0.004 .285 0.013 .259 -0.026 .243 -0.016 .264 0.021
xSLG .319 .363 0.044 .42 0.057 .309 -0.111 .346 0.037 .415 0.069
SLG .357 .368 0.011 .37 0.002 .36 -0.01 .361 0.001 .45 0.089
K% 21.1 28.1 7 25.8 -2.3 34.8 9 35.4 0.6 33.3 -2.1
BB% 6 6.3 0.3 8.5 2.2 4.4 -4.1 5 0.6 4.8 -0.2
Swing % 48.7 50.2 1.5 49.3 -0.9 51.2 1.9 51.9 0.7 49.3 -2.6
Whiff% 22.5 26.7 4.2 23.6 -3.1 31.6 8 33.6 2 25 -8.6
In Zone % 50.6 49.4 -1.2 50.9 1.5 54.4 3.5 51.2 -3.2 53.4 2.2
Out of Zone % 49.4 50.6 1.2 49.1 -1.5 45.6 -3.5 48.8 3.2 46.6 -2.2
Out of Zone Swing % 29.1 32.8 3.7 29.1 -3.7 31.2 2.1 35.3 4.1 26.5 -8.8
First Pitch Swing % 32.3 29.6 -2.7 28.4 -1.2 34.5 6.1 32.2 -2.3 42.9 10.7
First Pitch Strike % 63.9 64.3 0.4 61.7 -2.6 68.9 7.2 64.3 -4.6 61.9 -2.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 881 .269 445 2 0.4 436 97 22.2
2017 844 .285 442 11 2.5 402 131 32.6
2018 833 .259 452 11 2.4 381 290 76.1
2019 822 .240 393 30 7.6 429 360 83.9
2020 21 .264 7 0 0.0 14 12 85.7
2022 666 .222 329 104 31.6 337 282 83.7

Pitch Tempo