Justin Verlander
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 235LBS | Age: 40
Draft: 2004 | Rd: 1, #2, Detroit Tigers | Old Dominion
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 1 0 3.00 1 1 0 6 7 0.67
2022 18 4 1.75 28 28 0 175 185 0.83
2023 12 8 3.22 27 27 0 162.1 144 1.13
18 Seasons 256 141 3.24 509 509 0 3,325.1 3,342 1.12
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 1 1-0 3.00 6 7 0.67
2022 28 18-4 1.75 175 185 0.83
2023 27 12-8 3.22 162.1 144 1.13
18 Seasons 509 256-141 3.24 3,325.1 3,342 1.12
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 32 2150 387 16 4.1 3.0 87.1 112.2 20.1 32.0 .217 .319 .276 .261 .299 27.6 21.1 6.0 3.38 2.76
2016 33 3668 584 44 7.5 4.9 87.9 115.9 19.5 29.8 .206 .362 .272 .274 .348 32.9 28.1 6.3 3.04 3.12
2017 34 3531 554 40 7.2 4.7 87.6 113.6 16.4 37.4 .240 .420 .285 .315 .390 35.6 25.8 8.5 3.36 4.27
2018 35 3427 498 31 6.2 3.7 88.5 115.7 22.1 31.1 .184 .309 .259 .237 .335 32.7 34.8 4.4 2.52 2.34
2019 36 3448 498 36 7.2 4.3 87.3 109.8 18.5 30.1 .186 .346 .243 .248 .360 33.3 35.4 5.0 2.58 2.66
2020 37 73 13 2 15.4 9.5 90.4 110.9 10.1 7.7 .161 .415 .264 .259 .365 53.8 33.3 4.8 3.00 2.79
2022 39 2607 446 28 6.3 4.2 87.8 110.9 16.9 32.5 .207 .331 .222 .255 .326 34.8 27.8 4.4 1.75 2.66
2023 40 2508 463 38 8.2 5.9 90.0 118.3 19.0 30.5 .231 .391 .287 .297 .346 40.8 21.4 6.5 3.32 3.66
Player 21412 3443 235 6.8 4.4 88.0 118.3 18.8 31.9 .209 .356 .263 .270 .346 34.2 28.4 5.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Verlander relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(50.1%) ,
Slider
(25.5%) ,
Curveball
(19.8%) ,
Changeup
(4.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 36.7 27.6 20.9 14.7 37.0 36.4 26.6 1.8 28.7 38.5 23.5 2.6 4.1 3.0
2016 35.4 28.1 23.5 13.0 37.3 36.3 26.0 2.9 26.2 34.9 22.6 4.5 7.5 4.9
2017 34.1 27.1 28.7 10.1 34.5 41.2 24.4 4.9 26.9 30.1 24.7 5.8 7.2 4.7
2018 30.7 31.7 24.3 13.3 35.1 34.9 29.9 3.2 22.3 39.8 21.3 6.6 6.2 3.7
2019 36.1 30.5 22.9 10.4 40.8 38.0 21.1 3.0 24.7 32.3 20.9 6.4 7.2 4.3
2020 61.5 38.5 0.0 0.0 46.2 38.5 15.4 0.0 46.2 23.1 15.4 0.0 15.4 9.5
2022 38.6 28.5 21.1 11.9 30.7 40.1 29.1 5.2 28.0 32.1 23.3 4.9 6.3 4.2
2023 36.1 28.3 23.3 12.3 42.3 33.7 24.0 2.6 26.3 34.6 21.8 5.8 8.2 5.9
Player 35.4 28.9 23.6 12.1 36.9 37.3 25.8 3.4 26.1 34.4 22.6 5.3 6.8 4.4
MLB 44.7 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup HOU R 116 85.2 28.9 0.0 0 15.4 2.7 21
2023 Slider HOU R 639 86.9 32.4 -1.1 -3 4.4 0.7 20
2023 4-Seamer HOU R 1,255 94.3 12.2 1.2 9 8.0 2.0 33
2023 Curveball HOU R 497 78.2 58.2 2.8 5 7.0 1.3 22
2022 4-Seamer HOU R 1,314 95.0 11.4 0.8 7 9.5 3.4 55
2022 Slider HOU R 738 87.4 31.0 -1.2 -4 4.0 -0.2 -4
2022 Curveball HOU R 491 79.0 55.3 0.1 0 6.9 0.4 7
2022 Changeup HOU R 63 86.2 26.5 -0.8 -3 15.7 2.4 18
2020 Changeup HOU R 4 86.5 25.0 -2.7 -10 15.5 2.7 21
2020 Curveball HOU R 1 78.9 59.9 4.6 8 9.1 2.3 35
2020 Slider HOU R 28 87.1 29.2 -4.1 -12 4.5 0.8 21
2020 4-Seamer HOU R 40 94.9 11.4 1.8 14 12.9 6.3 96
2019 Curveball HOU R 560 79.4 57.4 3.1 6 7.6 2.0 35
2019 4-Seamer HOU R 1,617 94.6 10.7 2.9 22 10.1 3.1 45
2019 Changeup HOU R 136 86.9 26.5 -1.9 -7 16.3 3.4 26
2019 Slider HOU R 929 87.5 30.2 -2.3 -7 4.1 0.3 7
2018 Curveball HOU R 495 79.6 58.7 3.1 6 9.3 2.2 31
2018 Slider HOU R 761 86.5 34.6 0.1 0 3.6 -0.5 -12
2018 4-Seamer HOU R 2,092 95.0 11.0 2.8 20 11.0 3.9 54
2018 Cutter HOU R 20 91.5 20.2 4.2 17 2.6 -4.6 -226
2018 Changeup HOU R 51 87.4 27.7 -0.5 -2 17.0 3.9 29
2017 Curveball HOU R 565 80.4 53.9 1.2 2 9.0 2.1 31
2017 Slider HOU R 758 88.2 29.5 -1.1 -4 1.3 -1.8 -59
2017 Cutter HOU R 13 91.8 20.3 1.4 6 1.3 -3.3 -170
2017 4-Seamer HOU R 2,036 95.3 13.5 -0.7 -5 13.6 5.6 70
2017 Changeup HOU R 146 87.6 28.6 2.1 8 16.5 3.2 24
2017 Sinker HOU R 12 95.6 18.1 0.3 1 21.6 6.7 45
2016 Changeup DET R 309 85.9 28.9 1.4 5 17.1 4.7 38
2016 Slider DET R 647 88.5 25.0 -3.9 -14 2.6 -2.2 -46
2016 4-Seamer DET R 2,114 94.1 12.4 0.6 5 12.1 5.2 74
2016 Curveball DET R 583 79.2 54.3 1.5 3 11.7 3.3 39
2015 Changeup DET R 197 84.8 -- -- 15.4 3.1 25
2015 4-Seamer DET R 1,258 93.4 -- -- 11.1 4.6 71
2015 Curveball DET R 324 79.9 -- -- 9.8 0.9 10
2015 Slider DET R 366 86.3 -- -- 2.1 -2.9 -58
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.8 10 1,255 50.0 328 .236 .422 .325 18.4 16.8 18.6 .251 .453 .335 49.6
2023 Slider 1.4 9 640 25.5 176 .202 .331 .266 28.9 30.1 20.8 .188 .294 .242 34.2
2023 Curveball 0.2 1 497 19.8 119 .248 .336 .290 24.6 20.2 15.9 .234 .330 .267 27.0
2023 Changeup -1.7 -2 116 4.6 26 .231 .308 .235 29.8 26.9 14.0 .252 .549 .336 31.6
2022 4-Seamer 1.8 24 1,315 50.4 317 .194 .285 .249 18.1 15.8 15.0 .234 .394 .300 40.3
2022 Slider 0.8 6 738 28.3 227 .188 .261 .220 34.6 39.6 26.8 .187 .289 .222 27.9
2022 Curveball 1.9 9 491 18.8 102 .158 .267 .203 24.0 37.3 25.0 .181 .269 .206 33.3
2022 Changeup 1.6 1 63 2.4 20 .167 .167 .205 38.5 35.0 23.3 .163 .186 .208 0.0
2020 4-Seamer 0.7 0 40 54.8 15 .214 .643 .373 4.3 20.0 18.8 .218 .580 .351 63.6
2020 Slider 1.3 0 28 38.4 4 .000 .000 .000 80.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 Changeup 8.5 0 4 5.5 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .087 .090 .091 0.0
2020 Curveball 3.9 0 1 1.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer 1.0 16 1,617 46.9 328 .229 .551 .357 31.0 31.7 26.3 .229 .518 .335 49.5
2019 Slider 2.9 27 929 26.9 309 .119 .220 .174 39.9 41.1 27.4 .145 .223 .183 20.8
2019 Curveball 0.8 5 560 16.2 125 .190 .259 .240 26.1 30.4 18.7 .218 .302 .251 26.6
2019 Changeup 1.8 2 136 3.9 37 .108 .243 .146 33.8 29.7 20.0 .152 .248 .168 11.5
2018 4-Seamer 1.7 35 2,092 61.0 457 .213 .397 .281 29.2 28.7 22.9 .209 .378 .277 38.7
2018 Slider 0.1 1 762 22.2 220 .184 .335 .252 39.1 40.0 24.6 .166 .239 .208 26.1
2018 Curveball 1.6 8 495 14.4 128 .137 .194 .164 34.4 51.6 28.3 .113 .162 .134 18.6
2018 Changeup -3.2 -2 51 1.5 21 .333 .619 .402 26.5 19.0 16.0 .238 .405 .274 29.4
2018 Cutter -7.5 -2 20 0.6 7 .571 1.000 .671 8.3 14.3 12.5 .338 .457 .348 16.7
2017 4-Seamer 1.6 32 2,036 57.7 437 .206 .311 .281 20.1 23.6 17.7 .253 .446 .342 41.9
2017 Slider 0.3 2 758 21.5 220 .222 .430 .305 32.8 33.2 22.1 .199 .346 .258 26.9
2017 Curveball -0.3 -2 565 16.0 133 .234 .379 .283 24.6 28.6 16.2 .226 .373 .282 27.6
2017 Changeup -0.7 -1 146 4.1 45 .341 .614 .412 21.1 11.1 12.8 .352 .672 .431 35.9
2017 Cutter 5.9 1 14 0.4 5 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .271 .540 .336 40.0
2017 Sinker -1.6 0 12 0.3 5 .200 .400 .250 0.0 0.0 0.0 .269 .337 .263 40.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 114 85.2 98 18.0 1:45 2:15 -30
2023 Curveball 490 78.2 68 17.7 7:15 6:45 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,246 94.3 96 20.1 12:45 12:45 0
2023 Slider 625 86.8 32 6.0 11:00 10:00 60
2022 Changeup 61 86.2 98 19.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Curveball 488 79.0 60 15.8 7:30 7:00 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,312 95.0 97 21.2 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 728 87.4 30 6.0 11:30 10:15 75
2020 4-Seam Fastball 40 94.9 99 23.1 1:00 1:15 -15
2020 Slider 28 87.1 33 7.9 12:00 10:45 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 847 3,422 8 19 -13 -18 -4
2009 972 3,898 18 35 -18 -10 25
2010 924 3,736 17 36 -13 -10 28
2011 1054 4,272 22 45 -14 -12 41
2012 1060 4,232 23 42 -8 -13 44
2013 1004 4,028 21 36 -18 -13 25
2014 914 3,505 -7 17 -18 -10 -18
2015 534 2,147 13 11 -13 -7 4
2016 902 3,663 28 38 -16 -11 39
2017 981 4,065 18 48 -13 -12 40
2018 904 3,711 28 40 -15 -10 42
2019 945 3,839 19 51 -12 -8 51
2022 757 2,975 30 24 -11 -7 36
2023 649 2,508 17 22 -12 -8 18
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,150 50.6 67.7 82.1 29.2 64.5 42.2 63.9 48.7 22.5 7.5 75.9
2016 3,668 49.4 68.1 79.8 32.8 58.3 44.8 64.3 50.2 26.7 7.4 75.4
2017 3,531 50.9 68.7 82.7 29.1 60.2 43.7 61.7 49.3 23.6 7.3 78.4
2018 3,427 54.4 68.1 73.9 31.1 52.1 45.4 68.9 51.2 31.6 9.1 78.0
2019 3,448 51.2 68.0 73.0 35.3 52.0 43.5 64.3 51.9 33.6 7.6 77.4
2020 73 53.4 69.2 81.5 26.5 44.4 41.1 61.9 49.3 25.0 4.1 100.0
2022 2,607 51.1 74.2 81.5 32.2 61.5 46.1 62.0 53.7 24.2 7.5 77.0
2023 2,508 50.7 68.3 83.1 30.8 64.0 44.4 57.5 49.8 22.6 8.1 76.0
Player 21,412 51.2 68.9 79.1 31.6 58.2 44.3 63.5 50.7 26.9 7.8 77.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 88 81 87 87 89 45 75 78 91 55 73 48 47 59 98 74 54
2016 86 91 73 47 95 2 17 66 64 88 75 77 86 70 99 89 45
2017 47 56 40 30 61 3 26 39 29 74 47 46 67 83 99 90 31
2018 98 96 92 78 100 16 55 44 72 96 96 87 84 80 99 95 33
2019 97 95 86 59 99 10 45 80 75 96 93 90 96 73 98 88 34
2022 91 83 82 72 97 24 69 65 74 80 94 37 77 70 92 74 27
2023 71 66 58 48 82 12 42 23 38 34 78 25 74 54 90 79 13
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.0 30 29.9 0 15 18 15 50.0
2017 22.7 30 32.9 -3 17 20 16 53.3
2018 22.1 30 21.9 8 11 16 10 33.3
2019 22.5 44 34.3 10 11 27 15 34.1
2020 20.1 2 1.8 0 0 1 1 50.0
2022 24.3 15 14.7 0 18 9 6 40.0
2023 24.2 18 17.3 1 10 14 8 44.4
Player 22.7 169 152.8 16 82 105 71 42.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 30 33 25 31 30 29 30 31 25 26 29 33 28 24 29 31 21 29 31 32 28 28 37 39 29 29 31 40 33 31 25
2017 30 33 30 35 34 32 37 31 25 30 32 38 35 30 30 36 30 30 39 32 32 35 36 35 31 31 31 39 39 33 26
2018 30 27 15 23 23 20 25 21 21 15 21 31 22 18 24 24 20 20 21 26 20 21 28 23 18 17 22 24 26 20 20
2019 44 39 32 39 40 37 37 31 29 23 30 40 40 35 35 36 31 27 34 39 35 33 46 37 28 29 29 39 39 34 27
2020 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1
2022 15 16 11 18 16 12 15 11 11 11 11 15 15 14 14 19 15 14 14 11 15 16 21 22 12 12 16 17 18 14 15
2023 18 17 15 18 23 16 18 13 18 13 16 20 16 13 20 20 21 13 18 19 15 16 24 20 14 12 20 21 18 19 14
Player 169 167 130 166 168 148 164 139 131 119 140 179 158 136 154 168 140 135 159 161 147 151 194 178 133 131 151 182 175 153 128
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.4 94.1 0.7 ↑ 95.3 1.2 ↑ 95.0 -0.3 ↓ 94.6 -0.4 ↓ -- 0.3 ↑ -- -- 95.0 -- 94.3 -0.7 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 84.8 85.9 1.1 ↑ 87.6 1.7 ↑ 87.4 -0.2 ↓ 86.9 -0.5 ↓ -- -0.4 ↓ -- -- 86.2 -- 85.2 -1.0 ↓
Breaking Velocity 83.3 84.1 0.8 ↑ 84.9 0.8 ↑ 83.8 -1.1 ↓ 84.5 0.7 ↑ -- 2.3 ↑ -- -- 84.1 -- 83.1 -1.0 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.1 87.9 0.8 ↑ 87.6 -0.3 ↓ 88.5 0.9 ↑ 87.3 -1.2 ↓ -- 3.1 ↑ -- -- 87.8 -- 90.0 2.2 ↑
Launch Angle 20.1 19.5 -0.6 ↓ 16.4 -3.1 ↓ 22.1 5.7 ↑ 18.5 -3.6 ↓ -- -8.4 ↓ -- -- 16.9 -- 19.0 2.1 ↑
Barrel % 4.1 7.5 3.4 ↑ 7.2 -0.3 ↓ 6.2 -1.0 ↓ 7.2 1.0 ↑ -- 8.2 ↑ -- -- 6.3 -- 8.2 1.9 ↑
Hard Hit % 27.6 32.9 5.3 ↑ 35.6 2.7 ↑ 32.7 -2.9 ↓ 33.3 0.6 ↑ -- 20.5 ↑ -- -- 34.8 -- 40.8 6.0 ↑
Sweet Spot % 32.0 29.8 -2.2 ↓ 37.4 7.6 ↑ 31.1 -6.3 ↓ 30.1 -1.0 ↓ -- -22.4 ↓ -- -- 32.5 -- 30.5 -2.0 ↓
xBA .217 .206 -0.011 ↓ .240 0.034 ↑ .184 -0.056 ↓ .186 0.002 ↑ -- -0.025 ↓ -- -- .207 -- .231 0.024 ↑
BA .229 .207 -0.022 ↓ .221 0.014 ↑ .200 -0.021 ↓ .172 -0.028 ↓ -- -0.022 ↓ -- -- .186 -- .229 0.043 ↑
xwOBA .261 .274 0.013 ↑ .315 0.041 ↑ .237 -0.078 ↓ .248 0.011 ↑ -- 0.011 ↑ -- -- .255 -- .297 0.042 ↑
wOBA .276 .272 -0.004 ↓ .285 0.013 ↑ .259 -0.026 ↓ .243 -0.016 ↓ -- 0.021 ↑ -- -- .222 -- .287 0.065 ↑
xSLG .319 .362 0.043 ↑ .420 0.058 ↑ .309 -0.111 ↓ .346 0.037 ↑ -- 0.069 ↑ -- -- .331 -- .391 0.060 ↑
SLG .357 .368 0.011 ↑ .370 0.002 ↑ .360 -0.010 ↓ .361 0.001 ↑ -- 0.089 ↑ -- -- .270 -- .376 0.106 ↑
K% 21.1 28.1 7.0 ↑ 25.8 -2.3 ↓ 34.8 9.0 ↑ 35.4 0.6 ↑ -- -2.1 ↓ -- -- 27.8 -- 21.4 -6.4 ↓
BB% 6.0 6.3 0.3 ↑ 8.5 2.2 ↑ 4.4 -4.1 ↓ 5.0 0.6 ↑ -- -0.2 ↓ -- -- 4.4 -- 6.5 2.1 ↑
Swing % 48.7 50.2 1.5 ↑ 49.3 -0.9 ↓ 51.2 1.9 ↑ 51.9 0.7 ↑ -- -2.6 ↓ -- -- 53.7 -- 49.8 -3.9 ↓
Whiff% 22.5 26.7 4.2 ↑ 23.6 -3.1 ↓ 31.6 8.0 ↑ 33.6 2.0 ↑ -- -8.6 ↓ -- -- 24.2 --