Justin Steele
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 5, #139, Chicago Cubs | George County (MS) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 7 3.18 24 24 0 119.0 126 1.35
2 Seasons 8 11 3.53 44 33 0 176.0 185 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 24 4-7 3.18 119.0 126 1.35
2 Seasons 44 8-11 3.53 176.0 185 1.35

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 964 157 9 5.7 3.6 87.9 112.1 8.3 29.3 .227 .369 .332 .309 .351 35.0 23.8 10.9 4.26 4.03
2022 26 2032 332 13 3.9 2.5 87.1 112.1 7.5 31.0 .237 .336 .296 .295 .344 33.7 24.6 9.8 3.18 3.59
Player 2996 489 22 4.5 2.9 87.4 112.1 7.7 30.5 .233 .347 .308 .299 .346 34.2 24.3 10.1
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Steele relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(56.8%) ,
Slider
(31%) ,
Sinker
(7.6%) ,
Curveball
(2.8%) ,
Changeup
(1.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 52.2 23.6 19.7 4.5 40.1 35.7 24.2 5.1 41.4 22.3 21.0 4.5 5.7 3.6
2022 51.8 20.5 24.1 3.6 38.0 38.3 23.8 4.8 36.1 20.8 28.6 4.8 3.9 2.5
Player 51.9 21.5 22.7 3.9 38.7 37.4 23.9 4.9 37.8 21.3 26.2 4.7 4.5 2.9
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Changeup CHC L 37 87.5 24.3 -4.6 -16 11.4 -2.5 -18
2022 Sinker CHC L 155 91.6 20.6 -1.4 -7 9.4 -4.7 -33
2022 Curveball CHC L 56 78.1 52.6 -3.4 -6 12.0 3.5 41
2022 4-Seamer CHC L 1,155 92.2 19.4 -3.9 -25 1.5 -8.2 -123
2022 Slider CHC L 629 82.1 43.3 3.3 8 14.1 5.5 64
2021 Changeup CHC L 20 87.5 25.3 -3.7 -13 10.5 -3.5 -25
2021 Sinker CHC L 197 92.9 20.2 -1.3 -6 11.8 -2.9 -20
2021 Curveball CHC L 150 79.1 52.8 -1.3 -2 12.1 3.7 44
2021 Slider CHC L 159 83.0 42.5 3.7 9 12.7 6.1 92
2021 4-Seamer CHC L 438 93.2 16.0 -0.9 -6 2.1 -5.0 -71
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.4 4 1,155 56.8 276 .313 .408 .389 20.3 16.3 17.0 .276 .362 .340 33.7
2022 Slider -1.5 -10 629 31.0 173 .136 .216 .178 32.7 43.4 24.5 .174 .261 .218 30.3
2022 Sinker 0.3 0 155 7.6 51 .313 .479 .370 16.5 7.8 26.7 .282 .498 .355 43.2
2022 Curveball 0.7 0 56 2.8 6 .000 .000 .267 30.0 33.3 20.0 .140 .204 .239 33.3
2022 Changeup -0.1 0 37 1.8 6 .167 .167 .150 16.7 0.0 0.0 .152 .177 .144 16.7
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -2 438 45.4 122 .227 .443 .381 29.6 23.8 25.9 .198 .310 .314 20.3
2021 Sinker 2.1 4 197 20.4 47 .304 .478 .364 18.7 8.5 16.0 .303 .433 .328 50.0
2021 Slider -0.2 0 159 16.5 38 .182 .394 .301 29.7 28.9 13.3 .234 .425 .332 45.5
2021 Curveball -1.8 -3 150 15.6 30 .200 .367 .240 34.0 46.7 35.9 .178 .322 .210 50.0
2021 Changeup -1.5 0 20 2.1 9 .222 .556 .322 18.2 11.1 50.0 .278 .635 .382 25.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 20 87.5 89 14.5 11:00 10:15 45
2021 Curveball 146 79.1 76 17.2 4:45 4:30 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 435 93.1 71 15.0 11:15 11:45 -30
2021 Sinker 189 92.9 72 16.4 11:15 10:15 60
2021 Slider 156 83.0 55 14.3 4:00 3:45 15
2022 Changeup 36 87.5 88 16.0 11:00 10:15 45
2022 Curveball 56 78.1 69 16.3 4:45 4:15 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,141 92.2 60 12.2 11:30 12:15 -45
2022 Sinker 150 91.6 65 15.1 11:30 10:45 45
2022 Slider 617 82.1 55 15.7 4:15 3:30 45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 246 964 -4 -11 8 6 -1
2022 512 2,032 -12 -10 11 6 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 964 49.2 63.1 79.9 26.3 55.0 40.9 57.7 44.4 27.6 8.2 70.9
2022 2,032 51.6 66.9 83.3 26.3 55.2 41.8 59.8 47.3 24.0 7.6 81.8
Player 2,996 50.8 65.7 82.3 26.3 55.2 41.5 59.1 46.4 25.1 7.8 78.1
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 54 66 65 65 32 87 82 71 78 52 19 63 32 49 93 69 55
2022 61 52 80 91 37 62 95 80 82 64 24 35 15 29 95 52 45
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.7 12 9.5 3 3 7 4 33.3
2022 23.9 8 7.9 0 4 4 5 62.5
Player 23.8 20 17.4 3 7 11 9 45.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 12 9 11 8 10 11 10 10 10 8 10 11 6 9 9 10 10 9 8 8 11 9 9 10 9 10 11 7 10 9 12
2022 8 11 9 8 8 10 8 8 7 7 8 6 7 5 7 9 7 9 8 8 8 9 7 8 8 7 8 7 7 8 10
Player 20 20 20 16 18 21 18 18 17 15 18 17 13 14 16 19 17 18 16 16 19 18 16 18 17 17 19 14 17 17 22
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.1 92.1 -1 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 87.5 0
Breaking Velocity 81.1 81.8 0.7 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.9 87.1 -0.8 ↓
Launch Angle 8.3 7.5 -0.8 ↓
Barrel % 5.7 3.9 -1.8 ↓
Hard Hit % 35 33.7 -1.3 ↓
Sweet Spot % 29.3 31 1.7 ↑
xBA .227 .237 0.01 ↑
BA .233 .244 0.011 ↑
xwOBA .309 .295 -0.014 ↓
wOBA .332 .296 -0.036 ↓
xSLG .369 .336 -0.033 ↓
SLG .437 .339 -0.098 ↓
K% 23.8 24.6 0.8 ↑
BB% 10.9 9.8 -1.1 ↓
Swing % 44.4 47.3 2.9 ↑
Whiff% 27.6 24 -3.6 ↓
In Zone % 49.2 51.6 2.4 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.8 48.4 -2.4 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 26.3 0
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 30.7 1.3 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.7 59.8 2.1 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 223 .333 172 28 16.3 51 21 41.2
2022 511 .295 397 107 27.0 114 53 46.5

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 249 16.3 32.1% 0.8% 215 22.5 0.0% 8.4%
2022 564 16.6 29.8% 1.6% 377 21.5 0.8% 8.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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