Justin Steele
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 5, #139, Chicago Cubs | George County (MS) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 6 2 2.65 12 12 0 68.0 58 1.06
3 Seasons 14 13 3.28 56 45 0 244.0 243 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 12 6-2 2.65 68.0 58 1.06
3 Seasons 56 14-13 3.28 244.0 243 1.27

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 964 157 9 5.7 3.6 87.9 112.1 8.3 29.3 .227 .369 .332 .309 .351 35.0 23.8 10.9 4.26 4.03
2022 26 2032 332 13 3.9 2.5 87.1 112.1 7.5 31.0 .237 .336 .296 .295 .344 33.7 24.6 9.8 3.18 3.59
2023 27 972 185 10 5.4 3.8 84.9 111.1 11.5 34.1 .232 .343 .281 .283 .326 27.6 21.8 6.1 2.77 3.21
Player 3968 674 32 4.7 3.1 86.7 112.1 8.8 31.5 .233 .346 .301 .295 .341 32.3 23.7 9.1
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Steele relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(61.5%) ,
Slider
(33.7%) ,
Sinker
(3.2%) ,
Curveball
(0.8%) ,
Changeup
(0.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 52.2 23.6 19.7 4.5 40.1 35.7 24.2 5.1 41.4 22.3 21.0 4.5 5.7 3.6
2022 51.8 20.5 24.1 3.6 38.0 38.3 23.8 4.8 36.1 20.8 28.6 4.8 3.9 2.5
2023 48.6 20.0 23.2 8.1 33.5 38.9 27.6 8.1 36.8 22.7 22.7 4.3 5.4 3.8
Player 51.0 21.1 22.8 5.0 37.2 37.8 24.9 5.8 37.5 21.7 25.2 4.6 4.7 3.1
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider CHC L 328 83.1 40.2 1.5 4 15.5 9.1 144
2023 Curveball CHC L 8 80.9 52.5 0.8 1 12.3 4.9 66
2023 4-Seamer CHC L 598 92.1 21.4 -5.7 -37 1.4 -7.8 -122
2023 Changeup CHC L 7 87.9 27.7 -1.3 -4 9.6 -5.2 -35
2023 Sinker CHC L 31 92.3 20.4 -1.0 -5 6.6 -8.1 -55
2022 Slider CHC L 632 82.0 43.3 3.3 8 14.0 6.6 88
2022 Curveball CHC L 53 78.4 53.0 -2.8 -5 11.9 3.6 43
2022 4-Seamer CHC L 1,147 92.2 19.4 -3.9 -25 1.6 -8.2 -124
2022 Sinker CHC L 158 91.7 20.3 -1.7 -8 9.2 -4.9 -35
2022 Changeup CHC L 42 87.8 24.2 -4.6 -16 10.8 -3.2 -23
2021 Slider CHC L 159 83.0 42.5 3.7 10 12.7 6.8 115
2021 Sinker CHC L 197 92.9 20.2 -1.3 -6 11.8 -2.9 -20
2021 4-Seamer CHC L 438 93.2 16.0 -0.9 -6 2.1 -5.0 -71
2021 Curveball CHC L 150 79.1 52.8 -1.4 -3 12.1 3.7 45
2021 Changeup CHC L 20 87.5 25.3 -3.7 -13 10.5 -3.5 -25
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -1.3 -8 598 61.5 164 .260 .384 .311 21.5 17.1 19.4 .255 .380 .311 27.0
2023 Slider -0.4 -1 328 33.7 83 .195 .273 .245 30.7 31.3 17.1 .185 .277 .229 26.9
2023 Sinker -3.0 -1 31 3.2 10 .333 .444 .375 21.1 10.0 10.0 .354 .449 .386 50.0
2023 Curveball 1.8 0 8 0.8 1 .000 .000 .000 50.0 100.0 16.7 -- -- .000 --
2023 Changeup -9.9 -1 7 0.7 3 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .089 .102 .083 0.0
2022 4-Seamer 0.3 4 1,147 56.4 274 .312 .407 .389 20.3 16.4 17.0 .275 .361 .339 33.5
2022 Slider -1.4 -9 632 31.1 172 .138 .219 .183 32.1 42.4 24.0 .176 .264 .224 30.3
2022 Sinker 0.7 1 158 7.8 52 .327 .490 .380 16.5 7.7 26.7 .286 .495 .356 42.2
2022 Curveball -0.5 0 53 2.6 7 .000 .000 .129 45.5 57.1 33.3 .100 .146 .105 33.3
2022 Changeup -0.7 0 42 2.1 7 .143 .143 .129 20.0 0.0 0.0 .179 .237 .180 28.6
2021 4-Seamer -0.4 -2 438 45.4 122 .227 .443 .381 29.6 23.8 25.9 .198 .310 .314 20.3
2021 Sinker 2.1 4 197 20.4 47 .304 .478 .364 18.7 8.5 16.0 .303 .433 .328 50.0
2021 Slider -0.2 0 159 16.5 38 .182 .394 .301 29.7 28.9 13.3 .234 .425 .332 45.5
2021 Curveball -1.8 -3 150 15.6 30 .200 .367 .240 34.0 46.7 35.9 .178 .322 .210 50.0
2021 Changeup -1.5 0 20 2.1 9 .222 .556 .322 18.2 11.1 50.0 .278 .635 .382 25.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 20 87.5 89 14.5 11:00 10:15 45
2021 Curveball 146 79.1 76 17.2 4:45 4:30 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 435 93.1 71 15.0 11:15 11:45 -30
2021 Sinker 189 92.9 72 16.4 11:15 10:15 60
2021 Slider 156 83.0 55 14.3 4:00 3:45 15
2022 Changeup 40 87.7 88 15.5 11:00 10:15 45
2022 Curveball 53 78.4 69 16.6 4:45 4:15 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,135 92.2 60 12.1 11:30 12:15 -45
2022 Sinker 152 91.7 65 15.2 11:30 10:45 45
2022 Slider 620 82.0 55 15.6 4:15 3:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 593 92.1 58 10.1 11:30 12:15 -45
2023 Sinker 29 92.4 62 12.9 11:30 11:00 30
2023 Slider 323 83.1 51 16.6 4:15 3:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 246 964 -4 -11 8 6 -1
2022 512 2,032 -12 -10 11 6 -4
2023 261 972 -4 -10 0 4 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 964 49.2 63.1 79.9 26.3 55.0 40.9 57.7 44.4 27.6 8.2 70.9
2022 2,032 51.6 66.9 83.3 26.3 55.2 41.8 59.8 47.3 24.0 7.6 81.8
2023 972 52.7 71.5 84.4 30.0 52.2 44.5 63.7 51.9 24.2 7.3 84.5
Player 3,968 51.3 67.2 82.9 27.2 54.4 42.3 60.3 47.7 24.9 7.7 79.6
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 54 66 65 65 32 87 82 71 78 52 19 63 32 49 93 69 55
2022 61 52 80 91 37 62 95 80 82 64 24 35 15 29 95 57 45
2023 76 60 77 81 74 30 77 95 95 41 77 38 65 29 81 32
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.7 12 9.1 3 3 7 4 33.3
2022 23.9 8 8.0 0 3 6 4 50.0
2023 23.0 2 3.0 -1 2 2 2 100.0
Player 23.7 22 20.2 2 8 15 10 45.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 12 8 7 9 10 10 10 10 8 6 9 11 9 7 10 10 9 9 8 10 8 11 12 11 9 7 10 11 9 9 7
2022 8 9 7 8 8 9 10 7 5 6 7 9 10 8 7 10 10 8 7 6 9 8 10 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 7
2023 2 2 2 4 4 2 4 2 4 2 2 4 2 2 4 3 3 2 5 5 2 3 5 4 2 2 4 4 2 3 2
Player 22 19 16 21 22 21 24 19 17 14 18 24 21 17 21 23 22 19 20 21 19 22 27 23 19 16 21 23 20 20 16
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.1 92.1 -1.0 92.1 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 87.8 0.3 87.9 0.1
Breaking Velocity 81.1 81.8 0.7 83.0 1.2
Exit Velocity 87.9 87.1 -0.8 84.9 -2.2
Launch Angle 8.3 7.5 -0.8 11.5 4.0
Barrel % 5.7 3.9 -1.8 5.4 1.5
Hard Hit % 35.0 33.7 -1.3 27.6 -6.1
Sweet Spot % 29.3 31.0 1.7 34.1 3.1
xBA .227 .237 0.010 .232 -0.005
BA .233 .244 0.011 .236 -0.008
xwOBA .309 .295 -0.014 .283 -0.012
wOBA .332 .296 -0.036 .281 -0.015
xSLG .369 .336 -0.033 .343 0.007
SLG .437 .339 -0.098 .342 0.003
K% 23.8 24.6 0.8 21.8 -2.8
BB% 10.9 9.8 -1.1 6.1 -3.7
Swing % 44.4 47.3 2.9 51.9 4.6
Whiff% 27.6 24.0 -3.6 24.2 0.2
In Zone % 49.2 51.6 2.4 52.7 1.1
Out of Zone % 50.8 48.4 -2.4 47.3 -1.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 26.3 0.0 30.0 3.7
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 30.7 1.3 36.6 5.9
First Pitch Strike % 57.7 59.8 2.1 63.7 3.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 223 .333 172 28 16.3 51 21 41.2
2022 511 .295 397 107 27.0 114 53 46.5
2023 261 .282 203 0 0.0 58 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty