29 days until Spring Training games
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Justin Steele
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 5, #139, Chicago Cubs | George County (MS) HS
W
L
ERA
G
GS
SV
IP
SO
WHIP
2022 4 7 3.18 24 24 0 119 126 1.35
2023 16 5 3.06 30 30 0 173.1 176 1.17
2024 5 5 3.07 24 24 0 134.2 135 1.10
4 Seasons 29 21 3.24 98 87 0 484 496 1.22
G
W-L
ERA
IP
SO
WHIP
2022 24 4-7 3.18 119 126 1.35
2023 30 16-5 3.06 173.1 176 1.17
2024 24 5-5 3.07 134.2 135 1.10
4 Seasons 98 29-21 3.24 484 496 1.22
20242024 MLB Percentile Rankings
ValuesavantPOORAVERAGEGREATPitching Run Value11NOT QUALIFIED81Fastball Run Value6NOT QUALIFIED74Breaking Run Value5NOT QUALIFIED84Offspeed Run Value-1NOT QUALIFIED42PitchingxERA2.74NOT QUALIFIED93xBA.212NOT QUALIFIED84Fastball Velo91.6NOT QUALIFIED16Avg Exit Velocity86.9NOT QUALIFIED89Chase %29.2NOT QUALIFIED54Whiff %23.7NOT QUALIFIED35K %24.3NOT QUALIFIED60BB %6.7NOT QUALIFIED68Barrel %4.2NOT QUALIFIED94Hard-Hit %33.2NOT QUALIFIED88GB %45.6NOT QUALIFIED67Extension6.4NOT QUALIFIED38
20242024 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?
MLB AVG.ARM ANGLE46°12"24"6"12"18"24"12"24"12"24"10.7 INCHES BREAK8.1 INCHES DROP12.3 INCHES TAIL7.9 INCHES RISE12.3 INCHES TAIL9.8 INCHES RISE12.3 INCHES BREAK0.9 INCHES RISEAVG0.2 INCHES TAIL13.2 INCHES RISEAVG1B3BMOVES TOWARD︎MORERISEMOREDROPUSAGEMPHLHP AVG4-Seam60%91.693.2Slider30%83.384.4Sinker5%91.692.7Change3%86.284.2Curve2%79.978.8SAMPLE100 PITCH

Statcast Statistics

Season
Age
Pitches
Batted
Balls
Barrels
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
Exit
Velocity
Max EV
Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA
XSLG
WOBA
XWOBA
XWOBACON
HardHit%
K%
BB%
ERA
xERA
2021 25 964 157 9 5.7 3.6 87.9 112.1 8.3 29.3 .226 .369 .332 .308 .350 35.0 23.8 10.9 4.26 4.01
2022 26 2032 332 13 3.9 2.5 87.1 112.1 7.5 31.0 .237 .336 .296 .295 .344 33.7 24.6 9.8 3.18 3.59
2023 27 2678 497 27 5.4 3.8 87.8 111.1 9.3 33.4 .250 .365 .291 .290 .358 36.6 24.6 5.0 3.06 3.50
2024 28 2046 379 16 4.2 2.9 86.9 114.1 12.3 30.9 .212 .303 .271 .258 .304 33.2 24.3 6.7 3.07 2.74
Player 7720 1365 65 4.8 3.2 87.4 114.1 9.6 31.6 .233 .341 .292 .285 .339 34.8 24.4 7.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Steele relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(59.5%) ,
Slider
(29.7%) ,
Sinker
(5.3%) ,
Changeup
(3.3%) ,
Curveball
(2.2%) ,

Four Seamer1218 Pitches (59.5%)
Slider608 Pitches (29.7%)
Sinker109 Pitches (5.3%)
Changeup67 Pitches (3.3%)
Curveball44 Pitches (2.2%)

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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


Created with Highcharts 6.2.0%Chart context menuJustin Steele Pitch % by SeasonSource: baseballsavant.mlb.comFour SeamerSliderSinkerChangeupCurveball20212022202320240204060
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Pitch Tracking

Year
Pitch Type
#
# RHB
# LHB
%
MPH
PA
AB
H
1B
2B
3B
HR
SO
BBE
BA
XBA
SLG
XSLG
WOBA
XWOBA
EV
LA
Spin
Ext.
Whiff%
PutAway%
2024 Four Seamer 1,218 1056 162 59.5 91.6 323 288 73 48 17 0 8 70 221 .253 .233 .396 .338 .319 .290 86.8 14 2419 6.4 22.3 24.1
2024 Slider 608 480 128 29.7 83.3 180 169 27 19 5 0 3 57 116 .160 .182 .243 .261 .191 .213 83.4 12 2718 6.3 28.2 21.3
2024 Sinker 109 8 101 5.3 91.6 27 24 7 5 1 0 1 4 21 .292 .259 .458 .329 .339 .293 83.2 -6 2390 6.3 18.2 36.4
2024 Changeup 67 66 1 3.3 86.2 18 18 4 4 0 0 0 1 17 .222 .168 .222 .225 .196 .174 84.0 5 1636 6.3 17.2 6.7
2024 Curveball 44 43 1 2.2 79.9 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 .000 .043 .000 .047 .000 .039 82.6 -5 2726 6.3 20.0 12.5
2023 Four Seamer 1,676 1402 274 62.6 91.8 429 389 107 77 21 2 7 82 313 .275 .280 .393 .406 .318 .327 87.2 9 2402 6.3 20.4 19.9
2023 Slider 908 637 271 33.9 83.3 262 253 54 35 12 0 7 89 165 .213 .200 .344 .306 .251 .231 86.6 9 2658 6.2 31.4 20.7
2023 Sinker 48 17 31 1.8 92.2 13 12 3 2 1 0 0 2 10 .250 .323 .333 .374 .287 .334 87.7 -2 2396 6.3 16.7 18.2
2023 Changeup 28 26 2 1.0 87.5 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 5 .400 .164 .400 .181 .353 .149 93.2 -17 1745 6.2 10.0 0.0
2023 Curveball 18 18 0 0.7 80.7 6 6 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 .167 .348 .167 .397 .147 .325 95.1 -9 2661 6.3 28.6 15.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season
GB %
FB %
LD %
PU %
Pull %
Straight %
Oppo %
Weak %
Topped %
Under %
Flare/Burner %
Solid %
Barrel %
Barrel/PA
2021 52.2 23.6 19.7 4.5 40.1 35.7 24.2 5.1 41.4 22.3 21.0 4.5 5.7 3.6
2022 51.8 20.5 24.1 3.6 38.0 38.3 23.8 4.8 36.1 20.8 28.6 4.8 3.9 2.5
2023 50.3 19.5 24.1 6.0 41.4 34.2 24.3 5.2 36.6 20.5 28.0 4.2 5.4 3.8
2024 45.6 23.0 23.0 8.4 37.2 34.8 28.0 7.1 31.9 28.8 23.2 4.7 4.2 2.9
Player 49.6 21.2 23.3 5.9 39.3 35.5 25.2 5.6 35.8 23.1 26.0 4.5 4.8 3.2
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

Created with Highcharts 6.2.0Chart context menuJustin Steele Vertical Movement vs Avg (Inches) by SeasonSource: baseballsavant.mlb.comChangeupCurveballFour SeamerSliderSinker2021202220232024-7.5-5-2.502.55

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)
Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year
Pitch
Team
Hand
#
MPH
Vertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. Avg
Horizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Changeup CHC L 67 86.2 28.9 -1.7 12.3ARM -1.5 7.9 -2.0 12.3ARM -1.8
2024 Curveball CHC L 44 79.9 51.0 -1.9 10.7GLV 2.6 -8.1 0.1 10.7GLV 3.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball CHC L 1218 91.6 19.2 -3.2 0.2ARM -6.4 13.2 -2.4 0.2ARM -8.0
2024 Slider CHC L 608 83.3 38.7 0.1 12.3GLV 6.3 0.9 0.6 12.3GLV 7.2
2024 Sinker CHC L 109 91.6 22.7 -0.7 12.3ARM -2.2 9.8 -1.7 12.3ARM -2.9
2023 Curveball CHC L 18 80.7 52.2 0.0 10.9GLV 3.3 -10.1 1.7 10.9GLV 3.2
2023 Changeup CHC L 26 87.5 28.4 -1.3 10.8ARM -3.5 7.3 -1.2 10.8ARM -3.0
2023 Slider CHC L 886 83.3 39.9 1.1 14.0GLV 8.1 -0.4 2.2 14.0GLV 8.9
2023 Sinker CHC L 46 92.2 20.9 -1.3 8.2ARM -6.3 11.2 -2.9 8.2ARM -6.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball CHC L 1613 91.8 21.5 -5.3 1.3GLV -7.6 10.8 -4.5 1.3GLV -9.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year
Pitch Type
Team
RV/100
Run Value
Pitches
%
PA
BA
SLG
wOBA
Whiff%
K%
PutAway %
xBA
xSLG
xwOBA
Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 5 1,218 59.5 323 .253 .396 .335 22.3 21.7 24.1 .233 .338 .291 38.0
2024 Slider 0.7 4 608 29.7 180 .160 .243 .201 28.2 31.7 21.3 .182 .261 .217 26.7
2024 Sinker 1.6 2 109 5.3 27 .292 .458 .339 18.2 14.8 36.4 .259 .329 .291 38.1
2024 Changeup -1.5 -1 67 3.3 18 .222 .222 .200 17.2 5.6 6.7 .168 .225 .174 17.6
2024 Curveball 1.9 1 44 2.2 7 .000 .000 .000 20.0 42.9 12.5 .043 .047 .039 0.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 15 1,676 62.6 429 .275 .393 .330 20.4 19.1 19.9 .280 .406 .327 36.1
2023 Slider 0.3 3 908 33.9 262 .213 .344 .266 31.4 34.0 20.7 .200 .306 .234 37.0
2023 Sinker 1.4 1 48 1.8 13 .250 .333 .288 16.7 15.4 18.2 .322 .374 .332 40.0
2023 Changeup -0.4 0 28 1.0 5 .400 .400 .360 10.0 0.0 0.0 .164 .181 .149 20.0
2023 Curveball -1.4 0 18 0.7 6 .167 .167 .150 28.6 33.3 15.4 .347 .397 .325 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year
Pitch Type
Pitches
MPH
Active Spin %
Total Movement (In.)
Spin-Based
Observed
Deviation
2024 Changeup 65 86.2 79 14.5 11:00 10:00 60
2024 Curveball 44 79.9 71 15.4 4:30 4:30 0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,215 91.6 65 12.6 11:30 12:00 -30
2024 Sinker 107 91.6 73 15.6 11:15 10:15 60
2024 Slider 606 83.3 46 13.2 4:00 3:00 60
2023 Changeup 26 87.5 78 13.0 11:15 10:00 75
2023 Curveball 18 80.7 75 17.2 4:30 4:30 0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,602 91.8 59 10.2 11:30 12:15 -45
2023 Sinker 44 92.2 65 13.7 11:30 10:45 45
2023 Slider 876 83.2 51 15.1 4:00 3:15 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLSINKERCHANGEUPSLIDERCURVEBALLJustin SteeleSpin-Based Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
1212345678910114-SEAM FASTBALLSINKERCHANGEUPSLIDERCURVEBALLJustin SteeleObserved Movement by Pitch TypeSPIN DIRECTION - PITCHER POV
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

2021202220232024All YearsClick a year to see pitches
ARM ANGLE46°2021 ARM ANGLE46°2022 ARM ANGLE47°2023 ARM ANGLE46°2024
! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year
Team
PA
Pitches
Heart
Shadow
Chase
Waste
All
2021 246 964 4 11 -8 -6 1
2022 512 2,032 11 10 -11 -6 4
2023 715 2,678 11 15 1 -8 19
2024 555 2,046 11 13 -10 -4 11
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Plate Discipline

Season
Pitches
Zone %
Zone Swing %
Zone Contact %
Chase %
Chase Contact %
Edge %
1st Pitch Strike %
Swing %
Whiff %
Meatball %
Meatball Swing %
2021 964 49.2 63.1 79.9 26.3 55.0 40.9 57.7 44.4 27.6 8.2 70.9
2022 2,032 51.6 66.9 83.3 26.3 55.2 41.8 59.8 47.3 24.0 7.6 81.8
2023 2,678 53.2 71.5 84.2 31.9 55.1 43.0 65.5 52.9 24.0 8.1 80.7
2024 2,046 57.3 68.2 82.4 29.2 54.5 44.2 68.1 51.5 23.7 10.7 78.9
Player 7,720 53.4 68.4 83.0 29.0 55.0 42.7 63.8 50.0 24.3 8.7 79.2
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year
xwOBA /
xERA
xBA
xSLG
xISO
xOBP
Brl
Brl%
EV
Hard
Hit%
K%
BB%
Whiff%
Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 55 67 65 65 33 87 82 71 78 52 19 62 32 42 94 69 55
2022 61 51 80 91 36 62 95 80 82 64 24 34 15 22 96 57 45
2023 78 40 74 86 76 32 85 75 67 58 93 34 82 18 86 33
2024 93 84 94 97 89 50 94 89 88 60 68 35 54 16 87 38
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2021 23.7 12 9.1 3 3 7 4 33.3
2022 23.9 8 8.0 0 2 6 4 50.0
2023 22.5 14 13.2 1 4 11 6 42.9
2024 23.2 12 11.9 0 0 14 2 16.7
Player 23.2 46 42.2 4 9 38 16 34.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year
HR
2021 12 8 7 9 10 10 10 10 8 6 9 11 9 7 10 10 9 9 8 10 8 11 12 11 9 7 10 11 9 9 7
2022 8 9 7 8 8 9 10 7 5 6 7 9 10 8 7 10 10 8 7 6 9 7 10 8 8 7 7 8 9 8 7
2023 14 11 11 14 11 12 14 10 13 11 11 16 12 12 15 15 13 11 14 19 12 14 20 16 12 12 15 13 14 13 11
2024 12 10 10 14 11 12 14 12 12 8 12 13 10 11 11 13 11 10 13 16 14 9 16 13 10 10 12 12 13 13 11
Player 46 38 35 45 40 43 48 39 38 31 39 49 41 38 43 48 43 38 42 51 43 41 58 48 39 36 44 44 45 43 36
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric
2021
2022
+/-
 
2023
+/-
 
2024
+/-
 
Fastball Velocity 93.1 92.1 -1.0 91.8 -0.3 91.6 -0.2
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 87.8 0.3 87.5 -0.3 86.2 -1.3
Breaking Velocity 81.1 81.8 0.7 83.2 1.4 83.0 -0.2
Exit Velocity 87.9 87.1 -0.8 87.8 0.7 86.9 -0.9
Launch Angle 8.3 7.5 -0.8 9.3 1.8 12.3 3.0
Barrel % 5.7 3.9 -1.8 5.4 1.5 4.2 -1.2
Hard Hit % 35.0 33.7 -1.3 36.6 2.9 33.2 -3.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 29.3 31.0 1.7 33.4 2.4 30.9 -2.5
xBA .226 .237 0.011 .250 0.013 .212 -0.038
BA .233 .244 0.011 .251 0.007 .219 -0.032
xwOBA .308 .295 -0.013 .290 -0.005 .258 -0.032
wOBA .332 .296 -0.036 .291 -0.005 .271 -0.020
xSLG .369 .336 -0.033 .365 0.029 .303 -0.062
SLG .437 .339 -0.098 .371 0.032 .336 -0.035
K% 23.8 24.6 0.8 24.6 0.0 24.3 -0.3
BB% 10.9 9.8 -1.1 5.0 -4.8 6.7 1.7
Swing % 44.4 47.3 2.9 52.9 5.6 51.5 -1.4
Whiff% 27.6 24.0 -3.6 24.0 0.0 23.7 -0.3
In Zone % 49.2 51.6 2.4 53.2 1.6 57.3 4.1
Out of Zone % 50.8 48.4 -2.4 46.8 -1.6 42.7 -4.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 26.3 0.0 31.9 5.6 29.2 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 30.7 1.3 35.6 4.9 37.1 1.5
First Pitch Strike % 57.7 59.8 2.1 65.5 5.7 68.1 2.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHH
vs LHH
Year
Alignment Type
PA
wOBA
PA
Total
%
PA
Total
%
2021 Shifts 246 .332 195 31 15.9 51 21 41.2
2022 Shifts 511 .295 397 107 27.0 114 53 46.5
2023 Shades 691 .293 554 43 7.8 137 36 26.3
2024 Shades 555 .271 447 49 11.0 108 36 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty
Runners On Base
Season
Team
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
Pitches
Tempo
Fast %
Slow %
2021 249 16.3 32.1% 0.8% 204 22.2 0.0% 6.9%
2022 563 16.6 29.8% 1.4% 359 21.2 0.8% 5.0%
2023 706 14.1 62.7% 0.3% 390 18.2 8.5% 0.0%
2024 592 14.5 58.3% 0.2% 259 17.7 8.5% 0.4%

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Pitch Distribution

Justin Steele - 2024 Frequency of Pitches by Pitch Speed4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSinkerSliderAll Pitches80 MPH85 MPH90 MPH95 MPHPitch Speed0%5%10%15%Frequency of Speed

Statcast Pitcher Running Game

Runner on 1B (Only Runner On) SB + BK CS + PK Runner Distance to 2B
on all SB Opportunities
Runner Distance to 2B
on SB Attempts Only
Year Team Pitcher
Stealing
Runs
Net
Bases
Prev.
Adv.
Prev.
vs Avg
Outs
vs Avg
SB Opp
(pitches)
SB Att % SB CS Pickoffs Balks Forced
Balks
Base
Advances
Allowed
Outs
Created
On Bases
Lead
Distance
Gained
At
Pitcher's
First Move
At
Pitch
Release
Lead
Distance
Gained
At
Pitcher's
First Move
At
Pitch
Release
2021 0 -1 0 0 221 1.4% 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 1.8 9.1 11.0 10.8 12.1 22.8
2022 -1 -2 -1 -1 493 1.4% 6 1 0 1 0 7 1 1.9 10.0 11.9 12.5 11.6 24.1
2023 0 2 2 0 523 1.7% 7 2 0 1 0 8 2 1.8 10.0 11.7 9.5 10.7 20.2
2024 0 1 2 -1 422 1.4% 5 1 0 0 0 5 1 2.1 10.0 12.1 10.5 11.9 22.4
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