Justin Shafer
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 8, #234, Toronto Blue Jays | Lake Wales, FL
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2018 0 0 3.24 6 0 0 8.1 2 1.56
2019 2 1 3.86 34 0 1 39.2 39 1.66
2020 0 0 12.71 5 0 0 5.2 5 2.12
3 Seasons 2 1 4.70 45 0 1 53.2 46 1.70
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2018 6 0-0 3.24 8.1 2 1.56
2019 34 2-1 3.86 39.2 39 1.66
2020 5 0-0 12.71 5.2 5 2.12
3 Seasons 45 2-1 4.70 53.2 46 1.70
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 25 146 29 2 6.9 5.1 86.0 108.4 8.6 34.5 .302 .460 .326 .402 .349 34.5 5.1 17.9 3.24 7.44
2019 26 732 117 9 7.7 4.9 88.4 111.9 19.0 35.0 .233 .403 .355 .319 .355 33.3 21.4 13.7 3.86 4.50
2020 27 112 20 4 20.0 13.3 89.2 112.9 37.7 50.0 .326 .750 .460 .497 .569 40.0 16.7 13.3 12.71 13.27
Player 990 166 15 9.0 6.0 88.1 112.9 19.4 36.7 .253 .451 .363 .353 .380 34.3 18.3 14.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Shafer relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(39.3%) ,
Slider
(37.5%) ,
Sinker
(15.2%) ,
Curveball
(8.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 44.8 13.8 31.0 10.3 44.8 41.4 13.8 6.9 34.5 20.7 24.1 6.9 6.9 5.1
2019 32.5 24.8 28.2 14.5 32.5 33.3 34.2 3.4 23.9 31.6 24.8 8.5 7.7 4.9
2020 0.0 50.0 35.0 15.0 25.0 35.0 40.0 0.0 5.0 45.0 20.0 10.0 20.0 13.3
Player 30.7 25.9 29.5 13.9 33.7 34.9 31.3 3.6 23.5 31.3 24.1 8.4 9.0 6.0
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Slider MIA R 42 84.3 34.7 -2.8 -7 4.8 -0.2 -4
2020 4-Seam Fastball MIA R 44 91.0 14.1 2.1 13 5.0 -1.5 -23
2020 Sinker MIA R 17 90.2 21.3 -1.8 -8 14.1 -0.2 -2
2020 Curveball MIA R 9 76.5 62.6 4.1 7 10.2 0.5 5
2019 Cutter TOR R 140 90.1 24.9 -0.1 -1 1.9 0.2 11
2019 Slider TOR R 198 85.6 36.9 1.5 4 5.5 1.4 35
2019 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 342 94.3 13.6 1.5 10 6.4 -1.0 -13
2019 Sinker TOR R 52 92.3 22.0 -0.3 -2 15.5 1.1 8
2018 Slider TOR R 26 84.3 34.7 -2.4 -6 8.1 3.4 73
2018 4-Seam Fastball TOR R 43 92.9 14.5 1.3 8 4.9 -2.1 -30
2018 Cutter TOR R 16 88.1 29.6 -2.2 -8 4.8 2.7 126
2018 Changeup TOR R 4 86.9 30.3 0.7 2 10.8 -2.9 -21
2018 Sinker TOR R 57 92.7 19.8 -1.9 -9 14.0 -0.4 -3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 4-Seam Fastball -3.2 -1 44 39.3 10 .375 1.000 .520 5.0 0.0 0.0 .439 1.046 .632 55.6
2020 Slider -2.5 -1 42 37.5 14 .300 .700 .496 42.1 28.6 40.0 .233 .740 .480 50.0
2020 Sinker 1.1 0 17 15.2 5 .400 .400 .360 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .444 .367 0.0
2020 Curveball -1.6 0 9 8.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 25.0 -- -- .000 --
2019 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 2 342 46.7 91 .280 .427 .370 19.8 17.6 15.0 .236 .392 .336 40.0
2019 Slider -1.7 -3 198 27.0 52 .277 .681 .424 40.0 30.8 19.3 .214 .433 .309 29.0
2019 Cutter 0.6 1 140 19.1 26 .240 .400 .325 26.5 23.1 20.7 .256 .421 .298 26.3
2019 Sinker 1.2 1 52 7.1 9 .125 .125 .278 27.3 11.1 8.3 .237 .284 .280 14.3
2018 Sinker 2.6 2 57 39.0 17 .077 .077 .271 5.6 0.0 0.0 .181 .201 .295 23.1
2018 4-Seam Fastball -7.1 -3 43 29.5 11 .250 .750 .486 5.9 0.0 0.0 .315 .758 .514 37.5
2018 Slider -5.6 -1 26 17.8 8 .429 .571 .469 33.3 25.0 22.2 .433 .572 .466 60.0
2018 Cutter 5.4 1 16 11.0 3 .000 .000 .000 30.0 0.0 0.0 .482 .523 .443 33.3
2018 Changeup -6.6 0 4 2.7 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 4-Seam Fastball 44 91.0 90 19.1 12:45 12:30 15
2020 Sinker 12 90.2 80 19.0 12:45 1:45 -60
2020 Slider 39 84.4 31 5.8 10:45 9:45 60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 39 146 0 1 -2 -2 -2
2019 178 732 -2 10 -3 -5 0
2020 30 112 -1 0 -1 -1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 146 45.2 66.7 88.6 18.8 60.0 31.5 46.2 40.4 18.6 2.1 66.7
2019 732 45.5 73.9 81.3 26.6 54.7 38.8 58.7 48.1 26.1 5.2 78.9
2020 112 45.5 64.7 78.8 24.6 73.3 47.3 50.0 42.9 22.9 3.6 100.0
Player 990 45.5 71.8 82.0 25.2 57.4 38.7 55.6 46.4 24.8 4.5 80.0
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2018 47 77 83
2019 64 87 78
2020 17 90 62
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 20.2 1 0.4 1 1 1 0 0.0
2019 23.8 6 5.8 0 3 5 2 33.3
2020 22.1 2 2.0 0 1 0 2 100.0
Player 23.0 9 8.2 1 5 6 4 44.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
2019 6 7 3 7 7 7 7 6 5 3 4 6 8 6 7 6 5 5 5 6 5 6 7 7 6 5 5 7 7 5 3
2020 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Player 9 10 5 10 9 9 9 10 7 5 6 8 12 8 9 9 7 7 7 8 8 8 12 10 8 7 7 9 11 7 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.1 93.0 0.9 ↑ 90.8 -2.2 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 86.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 84.3 85.6 1.3 ↑ 82.9 -2.7 ↓
Exit Velocity 86.0 88.4 2.4 ↑ 89.2 0.8 ↑
Launch Angle 8.6 19.0 10.4 ↑ 37.7 18.7 ↑
Barrel % 6.9 7.7 0.8 ↑ 20.0 12.3 ↑
Hard Hit % 34.5 33.3 -1.2 ↓ 40.0 6.7 ↑
Sweet Spot % 34.5 35.0 0.5 ↑ 50.0 15.0 ↑
xBA .302 .233 -0.069 ↓ .326 0.093 ↑
BA .194 .265 0.071 ↑ .333 0.068 ↑
xwOBA .402 .319 -0.083 ↓ .497 0.178 ↑
wOBA .326 .355 0.029 ↑ .460 0.105 ↑
xSLG .460 .403 -0.057 ↓ .750 0.347 ↑
SLG .355 .484 0.129 ↑ .708 0.224 ↑
K% 5.1 21.4 16.3 ↑ 16.7 -4.7 ↓
BB% 17.9 13.7 -4.2 ↓ 13.3 -0.4 ↓
Swing % 40.4 48.1 7.7 ↑ 42.9 -5.2 ↓
Whiff% 18.6 26.1 7.5 ↑ 22.9 -3.2 ↓
In Zone % 45.2 45.5 0.3 ↑ 45.5 0.0
Out of Zone % 54.8 54.5 -0.3 ↓ 54.5 0.0
Out of Zone Swing % 18.8 26.6 7.8 ↑ 24.6 -2.0 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 20.5 32.4 11.9 ↑ 40.0 7.6 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 46.2 58.7 12.5 ↑ 50.0 -8.7 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2018 Shifts 39 .326 24 3 12.5 15 6 40.0
2019 Shifts 178 .355 98 11 11.2 80 49 61.3
2020 Shifts 30 .460 18 8 44.4 12 5 41.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 31 17.8 12.9% 0.0% 41 18.4 2.4% 7.3%
2019 160 18.3 10.0% 1.3% 162 21.2 0.6% 5.6%
2020 25 17.5 12.0% 0.0% 26 20.8 3.8% 15.4%
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Pitch Distribution

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