Justin Shafer
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 205LBS | Age: 30

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 8, #234, Toronto Blue Jays | Lake Wales, FL

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 0 0 12.71 5 0 0 5.2 5 2.12
3 Seasons 2 1 4.70 45 0 1 53.2 46 1.70
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 5 0-0 12.71 5.2 5 2.12
3 Seasons 45 2-1 4.70 53.2 46 1.70

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 25 146 29 2 6.9 5.1 86.0 108.4 8.6 34.5 .302 .460 .326 .402 .349 34.5 5.1 17.9 3.24 7.44
2019 26 732 117 9 7.7 4.9 88.4 111.9 19.0 35.0 .233 .403 .355 .319 .355 33.3 21.4 13.7 3.86 4.50
2020 27 112 20 4 20 13.3 89.2 112.9 37.7 50.0 .326 .750 .460 .497 .569 40.0 16.7 13.3 12.71 13.27
Player 990 166 15 9 6 88.1 112.9 19.4 36.7 .253 .451 .363 .353 .380 34.3 18.3 14.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Shafer relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(39.3%) ,
Slider
(37.5%) ,
Sinker
(15.2%) ,
Curveball
(8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 44.8 13.8 31.0 10.3 44.8 41.4 13.8 6.9 34.5 20.7 24.1 6.9 6.9 5.1
2019 32.5 24.8 28.2 14.5 32.5 33.3 34.2 3.4 23.9 31.6 24.8 8.5 7.7 4.9
2020 0.0 50.0 35.0 15.0 25.0 35.0 40.0 0.0 5.0 45.0 20.0 10.0 20.0 13.3
Player 30.7 25.9 29.5 13.9 33.7 34.9 31.3 3.6 23.5 31.3 24.1 8.4 9.0 6.0
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 4-Seamer MIA R 44 91.0 14.1 2.1 13 5.0 -1.5 -23
2020 Sinker MIA R 17 90.2 21.3 -1.8 -8 14.1 -0.2 -2
2020 Curveball MIA R 9 76.5 62.6 4.2 7 10.2 0.5 5
2020 Slider MIA R 42 84.3 34.7 -2.8 -7 4.8 -0.4 -8
2019 Slider TOR R 198 85.6 36.9 1.5 4 5.5 1.3 30
2019 Sinker TOR R 52 92.3 22.0 -0.4 -2 15.5 1.1 8
2019 4-Seamer TOR R 342 94.3 13.6 1.5 10 6.4 -1.0 -13
2019 Cutter TOR R 140 90.1 24.9 -0.2 -1 1.9 0.2 11
2018 Slider TOR R 26 84.3 34.7 -2.4 -7 8.1 3.2 67
2018 Changeup TOR R 4 86.9 30.3 0.7 2 10.8 -2.9 -21
2018 4-Seamer TOR R 43 92.9 14.5 1.3 8 4.9 -2.1 -30
2018 Sinker TOR R 57 92.7 19.8 -1.9 -9 14.0 -0.4 -3
2018 Cutter TOR R 16 88.1 29.6 -2.2 -8 4.8 2.7 127
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 4-Seamer 3.2 1 44 39.3 10 .375 1.000 .520 5.0 0.0 0.0 .439 1.046 .632 55.6
2020 Slider 2.5 1 42 37.5 14 .300 .700 .496 42.1 28.6 40.0 .233 .740 .480 50.0
2020 Sinker -1.1 0 17 15.2 5 .400 .400 .360 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .444 .367 0.0
2020 Curveball 1.6 0 9 8.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 25.0 -- -- .000 --
2019 4-Seamer -0.6 -2 342 46.7 91 .280 .427 .370 19.8 17.6 15.0 .236 .392 .336 40.0
2019 Slider 1.7 3 198 27.0 52 .277 .681 .424 40.0 30.8 19.3 .214 .433 .309 29.0
2019 Cutter -0.6 -1 140 19.1 26 .240 .400 .325 26.5 23.1 20.7 .256 .421 .298 26.3
2019 Sinker -1.2 -1 52 7.1 9 .125 .125 .278 27.3 11.1 8.3 .237 .283 .280 14.3
2018 Sinker -2.6 -2 57 39.0 17 .077 .077 .271 5.6 0.0 0.0 .181 .201 .295 23.1
2018 4-Seamer 7.1 3 43 29.5 11 .250 .750 .486 5.9 0.0 0.0 .315 .758 .514 37.5
2018 Slider 5.6 1 26 17.8 8 .429 .571 .469 33.3 25.0 22.2 .433 .572 .466 60.0
2018 Cutter -5.3 -1 16 11.0 3 .000 .000 .000 30.0 0.0 0.0 .482 .523 .443 33.3
2018 Changeup 6.6 0 4 2.7 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 4-Seam Fastball 44 91.0 90 19.1 12:45 12:30 15
2020 Sinker 12 90.2 80 19.0 12:45 1:45 -60
2020 Slider 39 84.4 31 5.8 10:45 9:45 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 39 146 0 -1 2 2 2
2019 178 732 2 -10 3 5 0
2020 30 112 1 0 1 1 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 146 44.5 67.7 88.6 18.5 60.0 31.5 46.2 40.4 18.6 2.1 66.7
2019 732 45.6 73.7 81.3 26.6 54.7 38.8 58.7 48.1 26.1 5.2 78.9
2020 112 45.5 64.7 78.8 24.6 73.3 47.3 50.0 42.9 22.9 3.6 100.0
Player 990 45.5 71.8 82.0 25.2 57.4 38.7 55.6 46.4 24.8 4.5 80.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2018 41 80 81
2019 51 89 76
2020 21 89 63
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 20.2 1 0.4 1 2 0 0 0.0
2019 23.8 6 5.5 1 3 5 2 33.3
2020 22.1 2 2.0 0 0 0 2 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2
2019 6 7 6 4 7 6 7 7 7 4 7 7 2 5 4 7 5 7 3 4 6 4 5 5 5 6 7 4 5 4 7
2020 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.1 93 0.9 90.8 -2.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.9 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 84.3 85.6 1.3 82.9 -2.7
Exit Velocity 86 88.4 2.4 89.2 0.8
Launch Angle 8.6 19 10.4 37.7 18.7
Barrel % 6.9 7.7 0.8 20 12.3
Hard Hit % 34.5 33.3 -1.2 40 6.7
Sweet Spot % 34.5 35 0.5 50 15
xBA .302 .233 -0.069 .326 0.093
BA .194 .265 0.071 .333 0.068
xwOBA .402 .319 -0.083 .497 0.178
wOBA .326 .355 0.029 .46 0.105
xSLG .46 .403 -0.057 .75 0.347
SLG .355 .484 0.129 .708 0.224
K% 5.1 21.4 16.3 16.7 -4.7
BB% 17.9 13.7 -4.2 13.3 -0.4
Swing % 40.4 48.1 7.7 42.9 -5.2
Whiff% 18.6 26.1 7.5 22.9 -3.2
In Zone % 44.5 45.6 1.1 45.5 -0.1
Out of Zone % 55.5 54.4 -1.1 54.5 0.1
Out of Zone Swing % 18.5 26.6 8.1 24.6 -2
First Pitch Swing % 20.5 32.4 11.9 40 7.6
First Pitch Strike % 46.2 58.7 12.5 50 -8.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 39 .326 24 3 12.5 15 5 33.3
2019 178 .355 98 11 11.2 80 44 55.0
2020 30 .460 18 7 38.9 12 5 41.7

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty