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Justin Nicolino
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 3" 195LBS | Age: 29

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #80, Toronto Blue Jays | University HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 2 3 5.06 20 8 0 48.0 26 1.79
3 Seasons 10 13 4.65 50 33 0 201.1 86 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 20 2-3 5.06 48.0 26 1.79
3 Seasons 50 10-13 4.65 201.1 86 1.46

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 24 1047 255 18 7.1 88.1 112.2 11.4 33.7 .276 .473 .325 .350 .353 34.6 7.6 6.6 4.01 5.46
2016 25 1209 286 17 5.9 90.3 113.2 10.7 34.6 .300 .475 .341 .350 .369 39.9 10.7 5.8 4.99 5.50
2017 26 840 182 9 4.9 88.4 114.5 6.7 38.5 .328 .510 .377 .381 .408 34.1 11.4 8.7 5.06 6.75
3096 723 44 6.1 89 114.5 9.9 35.3 .299 .483 .345 .358 .373 36.6 9.8 6.8
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nicolino relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.8%) ,
Changeup
(20.3%) ,
Curveball
(16.9%) ,
Cutter
(10%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2017 4-Seam Fastball 443 315 128 52.8 90.9 109 95 35 22 5 2 6 11 86 .368 .343 .653 .568 .456 .419 88.5 7 2014 5.2 9.7 10.3
2017 Changeup 170 151 19 20.3 83.5 50 46 11 7 3 0 1 6 41 .239 .285 .370 .455 .284 .336 85.5 8 1562 5.4 28.7 13.3
2017 Curveball 142 101 41 16.9 77.1 34 33 10 7 2 0 1 3 31 .303 .390 .455 .545 .311 .404 89.8 7 2371 4.9 16.2 8.8
2017 Cutter 84 65 19 10.0 88.1 31 30 10 8 2 0 0 6 24 .333 .281 .400 .374 .328 .295 86.7 0 2035 5.2 7.1 14.6
2016 4-Seam Fastball 628 463 165 52.8 89.7 161 139 47 32 9 1 5 11 132 .338 .331 .525 .569 .399 .414 91.8 12 2003 5.1 6.6 10.1
2016 Changeup 215 182 33 18.1 83.2 69 68 19 15 3 0 1 4 64 .279 .291 .368 .415 .284 .308 88.7 5 1626 5.3 13.9 5.8
2016 Cutter 201 127 74 16.9 87.0 66 61 19 14 3 1 1 11 53 .311 .303 .443 .441 .323 .327 87.5 10 2004 5.1 11.4 15.9
2016 Curveball 145 115 30 12.2 77.5 40 38 10 7 2 0 1 11 29 .263 .254 .395 .379 .266 .259 90.5 15 2327 4.8 27.0 26.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 45.9 21.2 27.5 5.5 31.4 38.4 30.2 2.4 34.1 23.9 24.7 5.1 7.1
2016 49.3 19.2 25.9 5.6 39.2 39.9 21 1.7 33.9 20.6 29 4.2 5.9
2017 47.8 18.1 31.9 2.2 30.8 41.8 27.5 6.6 31.9 17 30.2 8.2 4.9
47.7 19.6 27.9 4.7 34.3 39.8 25.9 3.2 33.5 20.9 27.8 5.5 6.1
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2017 4-Seamer MIA L 443 90.9 19.4 -3.5 -22 14.3 6.2 78
2017 Changeup MIA L 170 83.5 31.2 0.7 2 14.5 0.8 5
2017 Cutter MIA L 84 88.1 25.5 0.7 3 3.7 -5.8 -274
2017 Curveball MIA L 142 77.1 52.2 -5.2 -9 6.9 -1.2 -15
2016 4-Seamer MIA L 628 89.7 20.9 -4.6 -29 14 6.2 78
2016 Changeup MIA L 215 83.2 31.2 1.5 5 14.1 1.5 12
2016 Cutter MIA L 201 87 27.2 -1.9 -8 3.7 -3.3 726
2016 Curveball MIA L 145 77.5 50.9 -5.2 -9 4 -2 -33
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2017 Cutter -0.9 -1 84 10 31 .333 .4 .335 7.1 19.4 14.6 .281 .374 .296 25
2017 Curveball -1.3 -2 142 16.9 34 .303 .455 .318 16.2 8.8 8.8 .39 .545 .404 35.5
2017 Changeup 0.7 1 170 20.2 50 .239 .37 .307 28.7 12 13.3 .285 .455 .336 24.4
2017 4-Seamer 2.8 13 443 52.7 109 .368 .653 .472 9.7 10.1 10.3 .343 .568 .42 40.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 297 1037 4 -11 7 2 2
2016 336 1189 6 -8 7 4 9
2017 224 839 6 -5 7 3 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1047 52.2 67.5 90.7 30.1 82 44.3 64.8 49.6 10.8 7.7 81.3
2016 1209 49.6 65.4 91.5 27.6 75.9 43.3 62.7 46.4 11.8 7.4 70.5
2017 840 52.3 64.9 86.3 23.5 75.5 45.2 59.8 45.1 15.3 7.5 77.8
3096 51.2 66 89.8 27.4 78 44.1 62.7 47.1 12.3 7.5 76.2
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 4 6 3 4 14 38 12 51 40 0 65 0 4 7 11 33
2016 8 1 7 24 11 42 51 6 12 1 82 0 8 9 8 38
2017 2 0 4 25 1 72 70 19 41 1 43 3 2 19 8 39
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 88.5 89.1 0.6 1.3 undefined undefined
Offspeed Velocity 81.7 83.2 1.5 0.3 undefined undefined
Breaking Velocity 76 77.5 1.5 -0.4 undefined undefined
Exit Velocity 88.1 90.3 2.2 -1.9 undefined undefined
Launch Angle 11.4 10.7 -0.7 -4 undefined undefined
Barrel % 7.1 5.9 -1.2 -1 undefined undefined
Hard Hit % 34.6 39.9 5.3 -5.8 undefined undefined
Sweet Spot % 33.7 34.6 0.9 3.9 undefined undefined
xBA .276 .3 0.024 0.028 undefined undefined
BA .267 .307 0.04 0.017 undefined undefined
xwOBA .35 .35 0 0.031 undefined undefined
wOBA .325 .341 0.016 0.036 undefined undefined
xSLG .473 .475 0.002 0.035 undefined undefined
SLG .437 .45 0.013 0.07 undefined undefined
K% 7.6 10.7 3.1 0.7 undefined undefined
BB% 6.6 5.8 -0.8 2.9 undefined undefined
Swing % 49.6 46.4 -3.2 -1.3 undefined undefined
Whiff% 10.8 11.8 1 3.5 undefined undefined
In Zone % 52.2 49.6 -2.6 2.7 undefined undefined
Out of Zone % 47.8 50.4 2.6 -2.7 undefined undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 30.1 27.6 -2.5 -4.1 undefined undefined
First Pitch Swing % 31.6 28 -3.6 -7 undefined undefined
First Pitch Strike % 64.8 62.7 -2.1 -2.9 undefined undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 328 .341 240 2 0.8 88 2 2.3
2017 224 .377 165 1 0.6 59 5 8.5

Pitch Distribution