Junior Guerra
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 235LBS | Age: 37

Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 5 2 6.06 41 1 0 65.1 61 1.73
7 Seasons 31 25 4.06 213 61 3 509.2 465 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 41 5-2 6.06 65.1 61 1.73
7 Seasons 213 31-25 4.06 509.2 465 1.35

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 30 66 14 0 0 0 88.0 103.8 5.8 21.4 .286 .343 .432 .276 .335 50.0 16.7 5.6 6.75 3.10
2016 31 1866 346 20 5.8 4.1 88.2 111.4 12.3 30.9 .236 .393 .277 .304 .344 32.4 20.3 8.7 2.81 3.88
2017 32 1238 200 20 10 6.4 88.0 111.3 19.4 35.0 .259 .462 .350 .361 .404 35.5 21.3 13.7 5.12 5.81
2018 33 2306 415 28 6.7 4.6 89.0 115.6 13.6 32.3 .242 .395 .333 .313 .362 38.8 22.3 9.0 4.08 4.15
2019 34 1392 227 14 6.2 4.1 86.9 113.2 14.3 29.5 .220 .383 .275 .302 .341 29.4 22.4 10.5 3.55 4.00
2020 35 404 65 3 4.6 2.9 86.4 111.3 8.5 29.2 .232 .350 .287 .321 .338 27.7 20.4 14.6 3.04 4.39
2021 36 1225 197 9 4.6 2.9 86.7 115.2 11.0 31.5 .240 .351 .338 .324 .334 35.5 19.9 15.0 6.06 4.48
Player 8497 1464 94 6.4 4.3 87.9 115.6 13.5 31.6 .239 .394 .313 .318 .355 34.6 21.3 10.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 33.0 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(38.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(17.6%) ,
Curveball
(16.1%) ,
Split Finger
(15.8%) ,
Slider
(12.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 57.1 21.4 21.4 0.0 28.6 28.6 42.9 7.1 50.0 14.3 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 46.8 21.7 24.0 7.5 38.4 35.8 25.7 2.9 35.0 25.7 22.0 6.1 5.8 4.1
2017 36.0 26.0 27.0 11.0 38.0 37.0 23.5 3.0 25.5 30.5 26.0 4.0 10.0 6.4
2018 44.6 19.5 25.1 10.8 36.6 39.5 23.6 3.6 31.3 25.1 23.4 8.4 6.7 4.6
2019 45.8 22.0 22.0 10.1 36.6 37.4 26.0 3.5 30.0 26.9 22.9 4.8 6.2 4.1
2020 50.8 15.4 27.7 6.2 36.9 41.5 21.5 12.3 35.4 16.9 23.1 6.2 4.6 2.9
2021 48.7 22.3 20.8 8.1 41.1 34.5 24.4 6.1 33.5 24.9 26.4 4.6 4.6 2.9
Player 45.1 21.5 24.1 9.3 37.8 37.3 24.7 4.1 31.8 25.8 23.8 6.0 6.4 4.3
MLB 44.9 23.0 25.0 7.1 36.7 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Curveball LAA R 197 80.8 50.9 -0.9 -2 5.0 -3.5 -41
2021 Sinker LAA R 471 93.0 17.7 -4.1 -19 14.0 -0.8 -5
2021 4-Seamer LAA R 215 92.2 13.4 2.2 14 4.5 -2.5 -36
2021 Slider LAA R 148 84.2 37.8 0.6 2 6.2 -0.1 -2
2021 Splitter LAA R 194 84.1 32.8 -2.1 -6 10.3 -0.8 -7
2020 Splitter ARI R 71 86.1 23.4 -8.8 -27 8.4 -2.2 -20
2020 4-Seamer ARI R 134 93.9 12.8 2.3 15 4.8 -2.6 -36
2020 Curveball ARI R 88 81.8 50.2 0.2 0 5.6 -2.7 -33
2020 Sinker ARI R 111 94.1 14.5 -6.1 -30 12.3 -2.2 -15
2019 Sinker MIL R 395 94.8 17.0 -3.9 -19 14.4 -0.4 -3
2019 Curveball MIL R 254 82.1 49.4 -1.3 -2 7.2 -0.8 -10
2019 Splitter MIL R 284 86.0 27.2 -5.6 -17 9.2 -1.3 -12
2019 4-Seamer MIL R 418 94.6 12.3 2.9 19 6.5 -1.2 -16
2018 Sinker MIL R 681 93.4 20.5 -1.4 -6 15.2 0.5 3
2018 4-Seamer MIL R 902 93.1 14.4 1.7 11 5.9 -1.7 -22
2018 Splitter MIL R 371 86.6 28.5 -3.9 -12 5.4 -5.4 -50
2018 Slider MIL R 285 83.8 39.8 1.7 4 5.2 0.0 0
2018 Curveball MIL R 55 82.2 49.3 -1.2 -2 5.6 -2.2 -28
2017 Slider MIL R 134 80.2 45.0 3.1 7 7.1 0.2 3
2017 Sinker MIL R 239 91.5 17.2 -4.0 -19 12.1 -2.4 -17
2017 Splitter MIL R 306 84.0 31.9 0.0 0 0.3 -11.0 -102
2017 4-Seamer MIL R 559 92.0 13.6 1.4 9 4.3 -3.4 -44
2016 Curveball MIL R 274 82.5 41.3 -5.4 -12 2.9 -3.6 -56
2016 Slider MIL R 52 84.1 34.7 -0.3 -1 1.6 -1.6 -51
2016 Sinker MIL R 7 95.1 16.3 -1.6 -9 14.8 0.1 1
2016 4-Seamer MIL R 1,121 93.8 13.4 0.4 3 5.4 -3.2 -37
2016 Splitter MIL R 379 85.6 29.1 -0.3 -1 1.5 -10.0 -87
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker 1.1 5 471 38.4 138 .347 .483 .405 15.5 10.1 16.3 .305 .412 .365 41.0
2021 4-Seamer 2.5 5 215 17.6 48 .316 .526 .454 24.2 16.7 17.8 .233 .412 .348 38.7
2021 Curveball -0.6 -1 197 16.1 33 .185 .222 .295 32.7 18.2 18.8 .196 .278 .317 28.6
2021 Splitter 0.6 1 194 15.8 55 .106 .149 .213 45.7 49.1 26.7 .123 .166 .209 25.0
2021 Slider -0.4 -1 148 12.1 32 .154 .269 .278 41.8 18.8 12.8 .220 .393 .346 20.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -1 134 33.2 32 .182 .273 .317 26.2 12.5 16.7 .279 .368 .388 28.6
2020 Sinker -2.7 -3 111 27.5 31 .214 .357 .289 8.3 6.5 9.1 .327 .542 .400 26.9
2020 Curveball -1.5 -1 88 21.8 14 .333 .417 .382 48.5 28.6 22.2 .143 .228 .241 37.5
2020 Splitter 2.3 2 71 17.6 24 .143 .190 .252 38.9 45.8 22.0 .109 .146 .185 20.0
2019 4-Seamer -2.0 -8 418 30.0 92 .145 .289 .273 23.7 22.8 17.9 .183 .318 .285 29.8
2019 Sinker -0.7 -3 395 28.4 115 .264 .462 .334 14.4 9.6 11.7 .306 .511 .362 40.2
2019 Splitter 0.0 0 284 20.4 82 .149 .243 .230 38.3 43.9 20.5 .144 .249 .216 10.5
2019 Curveball 0.0 0 254 18.2 40 .156 .375 .316 44.6 15.0 16.7 .221 .465 .367 15.4
2018 4-Seamer -0.6 -6 902 39.1 200 .275 .468 .360 21.7 16.5 19.0 .256 .444 .348 35.7
2018 Sinker 1.5 10 681 29.5 211 .328 .532 .415 15.3 13.7 21.6 .293 .468 .363 46.9
2018 Splitter 0.6 2 371 16.1 107 .157 .265 .220 40.6 47.7 22.0 .154 .228 .197 29.4
2018 Slider 0.8 2 285 12.4 71 .281 .438 .355 36.8 19.7 23.7 .238 .396 .307 35.3
2018 Curveball -4.4 -2 55 2.4 15 .000 .000 .047 42.1 46.7 58.3 .064 .072 .105 0.0
2017 4-Seamer 1.7 10 559 45.2 145 .275 .583 .442 18.4 12.4 16.1 .299 .551 .413 39.8
2017 Splitter 0.2 1 306 24.7 90 .148 .321 .257 47.4 52.2 28.8 .170 .290 .245 32.4
2017 Sinker -0.7 -2 239 19.3 58 .239 .413 .407 15.7 0.0 0.0 .331 .550 .433 29.8
2017 Slider 0.0 0 134 10.8 21 .278 .556 .443 27.9 9.5 15.4 .209 .421 .326 31.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 78 81.8 53 13.0 7:45 7:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 122 93.9 92 18.5 12:45 12:30 15
2020 Splitter 67 86.2 94 15.7 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Sinker 104 94.1 93 20.5 12:30 1:15 -45
2021 Curveball 195 80.8 51 12.7 7:30 6:45 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 214 92.2 89 18.9 12:45 12:30 15
2021 Splitter 188 84.1 86 12.3 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Sinker 454 93.1 89 19.7 12:45 1:30 -45
2021 Slider 147 84.2 37 7.4 8:30 8:45 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 490 1,864 -17 -18 10 6 -19
2017 314 1,238 0 -6 7 8 9
2018 619 2,354 5 -25 15 10 5
2019 329 1,351 -13 -15 7 10 -11
2020 101 404 -11 -1 5 3 -4
2021 306 1,225 -3 -8 10 12 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 66 50.0 69.7 87.0 33.3 54.5 42.4 66.7 51.5 23.5 7.6 100.0
2016 1,866 46.3 68.8 82.0 28.7 57.6 41.5 58.5 47.3 24.6 6.7 75.2
2017 1,238 42.4 67.2 80.5 26.4 58.0 37.2 54.5 43.7 26.8 5.7 80.3
2018 2,306 49.0 69.5 81.6 25.9 55.8 42.5 63.4 47.3 24.5 6.5 79.2
2019 1,392 45.9 72.6 79.6 24.8 59.1 40.4 58.0 46.8 26.1 5.7 85.7
2020 404 45.0 72.0 80.9 28.4 55.6 38.1 60.4 48.0 26.8 7.7 74.2
2021 1,225 45.1 64.7 81.8 25.9 52.9 43.7 49.7 43.3 27.1 5.6 67.6
Player 8,497 46.2 68.9 81.2 26.6 56.6 41.1 58.2 46.2 25.6 6.2 77.8
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 59 67 55 47 59 36 54 61 67 46 37 61 46 67 33 5 68
2017 8 31 19 13 4 34 2 29 30 46 3 69 36 37 25 70
2018 42 47 47 47 43 22 42 29 21 50 37 48 26 58 44 63 63
2019 64 77 65 56 52 56 66 88 94 49 18 55 8 75 82 70 74
2020 46 57 72 80 13 74 80 83 95 31 5 51 57 68 87 73 64
2021 34 49 78 89 7 87 92 87 73 24 1 58 29 43 40 62 59
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.7 10 10.6 -1 11 8 5 50.0
2017 22.3 18 15.1 3 2 11 7 38.9
2018 21.3 19 16.1 3 11 17 3 15.8
2019 23.3 11 11.5 -1 3 8 5 45.5
2020 25.3 1 1.5 -1 1 2 0 0.0
2021 24.1 6 5.8 0 2 5 2 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 10 12 15 8 8 12 8 9 11 10 13 10 6 9 9 10 10 14 6 11 21 6 7 8 12 13 13 9 7 11 19
2017 18 14 18 16 16 14 15 17 17 15 16 17 12 12 15 17 15 16 11 16 18 13 13 16 16 16 16 11 12 15 19
2018 19 18 21 12 12 19 14 23 16 12 17 14 12 11 13 17 14 19 14 19 17 15 16 13 18 21 15 13 18 14 25
2019 11 13 11 11 11 12 11 13 11 11 12 11 10 10 11 13 10 12 9 11 12 10 12 11 13 11 13 12 13 12 14
2020 1 1 2 2 1 2 0 2 2 3 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
2021 6 6 7 4 5 6 7 6 7 7 5 4 4 4 5 7 8 5 4 6 8 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 6 5 8
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 93.8 -0.9 91.9 -1.9 93.2 1.3 94.7 1.5 94 -0.7 92.8 -1.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 85.6 -0.8 84 -1.6 86.6 2.6 86 -0.6 86.1 0.1 84.1 -2
Breaking Velocity 83.1 82.7 -0.4 80.2 -2.5 83.6 3.4 82.1 -1.5 81.8 -0.3 82.3 0.5
Exit Velocity 88 88.2 0.2 88 -0.2 89 1 86.9 -2.1 86.4 -0.5 86.7 0.3
Launch Angle 5.8 12.3 6.5 19.4 7.1 13.6 -5.8 14.3 0.7 8.5 -5.8 11 2.5
Barrel % 0 5.8 5.8 10 4.2 6.7 -3.3 6.2 -0.5 4.6 -1.6 4.6 0
Hard Hit % 50 32.4 -17.6 35.5 3.1 38.8 3.3 29.4 -9.4 27.7 -1.7 35.5 7.8
Sweet Spot % 21.4 30.9 9.5 35 4.1 32.3 -2.7 29.5 -2.8 29.2 -0.3 31.5 2.3
xBA 0.286 0.236 -0.05 0.259 0.023 0.242 -0.017 0.22 -0.022 0.232 0.012 0.24 0.008
BA 0.412 0.213 -0.199 0.23 0.017 0.264 0.034 0.194 -0.07 0.205 0.011 0.262 0.057
xwOBA 0.276 0.304 0.028 0.361 0.057 0.313 -0.048 0.302 -0.011 0.321 0.019 0.324 0.003
wOBA 0.432 0.277 -0.155 0.35 0.073 0.333 -0.017 0.275 -0.058 0.287 0.012 0.338 0.051
xSLG 0.343 0.393 0.05 0.462 0.069 0.395 -0.067 0.383 -0.012 0.35 -0.033 0.351 0.001
SLG 0.588 0.347 -0.241 0.472 0.125 0.434 -0.038 0.351 -0.083 0.301 -0.05 0.379 0.078
K% 16.7 20.3 3.6 21.3 1 22.3 1 22.4 0.1 20.4 -2 19.9 -0.5
BB% 5.6 8.7 3.1 13.7 5 9 -4.7 10.5 1.5 14.6 4.1 15 0.4
Swing % 51.5 47.3 -4.2 43.7 -3.6 47.3 3.6 46.8 -0.5 48 1.2 43.3 -4.7
Whiff% 23.5 24.6 1.1 26.8 2.2 24.5 -2.3 26.1 1.6 26.8 0.7 27.1 0.3
In Zone % 50 46.3 -3.7 42.4 -3.9 49 6.6 45.9 -3.1 45 -0.9 45.1 0.1
Out of Zone % 50 53.7 3.7 57.6 3.9 51 -6.6 54.1 3.1 55 0.9 54.9 -0.1
Out of Zone Swing % 33.3 28.7 -4.6 26.4 -2.3 25.9 -0.5 24.8 -1.1 28.4 3.6 25.9 -2.5
First Pitch Swing % 22.2 30.7 8.5 25.8 -4.9 34.4 8.6 31.5 -2.9 37.6 6.1 23.9 -13.7
First Pitch Strike % 66.7 58.5 -8.2 54.5 -4 63.4 8.9 58 -5.4 60.4 2.4 49.7 -10.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 484 .280 268 32 11.9 216 71 32.9
2017 313 .351 173 49 28.3 140 62 44.3
2018 610 .333 297 53 17.8 313 93 29.7
2019 342 .275 184 41 22.3 158 75 47.5
2020 101 .287 58 16 27.6 43 18 41.9
2021 297 .346 179 32 17.9 118 79 66.9

Pitch Tempo