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Junior Guerra
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 235LBS | Age: 36

Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 1 6.00 13 1 0 21.0 20 1.48
7 Seasons 28 24 3.87 185 61 3 465.1 424 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 13 2-1 6.00 21.0 20 1.48
7 Seasons 185 28-24 3.87 465.1 424 1.30

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 30 66 14 0 0 88 103.8 5.8 21.4 .286 .343 .432 .276 .335 50 16.7 5.6 6.75 3.23
2016 31 1866 346 20 5.8 88.2 111.4 12.3 30.9 .233 .387 .278 .302 .338 32.7 20.3 8.7 2.81 3.96
2017 32 1238 200 20 10 88 111.3 19.4 35 .258 .461 .350 .360 .402 35.5 21.3 13.7 5.12 5.86
2018 33 2306 415 28 6.7 89 115.6 13.6 32.3 .241 .392 .334 .312 .360 38.8 22.3 9 4.08 4.18
2019 34 1392 227 14 6.2 86.9 113.2 14.3 29.5 .213 .371 .275 .293 .326 29.4 22.4 10.5 3.55 3.80
2020 35 404 65 3 4.6 86.4 111.3 8.5 29.2 .230 .347 .287 .319 .334 27.7 20.4 14.6 3.04 4.36
2021 36 384 64 3 4.7 85.8 108.8 10.4 29.7 .200 .277 .302 .268 .272 31.3 20.8 12.5 6.00 2.76
7656 1331 88 6.6 88 115.6 13.8 31.5 .234 .389 .309 .312 .349 34.3 21.4 10.4
6.5 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .318 .313 .363 35.2 21.9 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(27.1%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(25.3%) ,
Curveball
(24.7%) ,
Split Finger
(22.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 104 81 23 27.1 92.2 32 29 10 5 3 0 2 0 29 0.345 0.269 0.655 0.410 0.450 0.330 87.6 19 2355 6.4 12.5 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 97 44 53 25.3 91.8 26 20 3 3 0 0 0 6 14 0.150 0.176 0.150 0.258 0.262 0.303 88.7 23 2440 6.4 27.3 26.1
2021 Curveball 95 61 34 24.7 80.4 18 16 5 4 1 0 0 3 13 0.313 0.248 0.375 0.286 0.344 0.287 86.1 -5 2621 6.3 32.1 17.6
2021 Split Finger 88 37 51 22.9 84.2 20 19 1 1 0 0 0 11 8 0.053 0.077 0.053 0.084 0.079 0.106 73.9 -17 1089 6.5 46.2 27.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 134 68 66 33.2 93.9 32 22 4 2 2 0 0 4 21 0.182 0.267 0.273 0.352 0.306 0.377 77.2 11 2495 6.5 26.2 16.7
2020 Sinker 111 73 38 27.5 94.1 31 28 6 4 1 0 1 2 26 0.214 0.328 0.357 0.543 0.285 0.401 89.0 4 2388 6.5 8.3 9.1
2020 Curveball 88 52 36 21.8 81.8 14 12 4 3 1 0 0 4 8 0.333 0.145 0.417 0.229 0.377 0.241 76.0 0 2720 6.3 48.5 22.2
2020 Split Finger 71 23 48 17.6 86.1 24 21 3 2 1 0 0 11 10 0.143 0.110 0.190 0.148 0.212 0.185 89.0 13 1244 6.6 38.9 22.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 57.1 21.4 21.4 0 28.6 28.6 42.9 7.1 50 14.3 28.6 0 0
2016 46.8 21.7 24 7.5 38.4 35.8 25.7 2.9 35 25.7 22 6.1 5.8
2017 36 26 27 11 38.5 37 24 3 25.5 30.5 26 4 10
2018 44.6 19.5 25.1 10.8 36.6 39.8 23.6 3.6 31.3 25.1 23.4 8.4 6.7
2019 45.8 22 22 10.1 36.6 37.4 26 3.5 30 26.9 22.9 4.8 6.2
2020 50.8 13.8 29.2 6.2 36.9 41.5 21.5 12.3 35.4 16.9 23.1 6.2 4.6
2021 50 17.2 18.8 14.1 45.3 32.8 21.9 6.3 37.5 31.3 20.3 0 4.7
44.8 21.1 24.4 9.7 37.7 37.6 24.6 3.9 31.9 26.1 23.2 5.9 6.6
45.2 22.1 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.4 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Splitter LAA R 88 84.2 31.2 -3.8 -11 12.4 0.8 7
2021 4-Seamer LAA R 97 91.8 12.8 2.5 16 5 -2.1 -29
2021 Sinker LAA R 104 92.2 16.9 -4.9 -22 14.3 -0.9 -6
2021 Curveball LAA R 95 80.4 52.5 0 0 5.9 -3.2 -35
2020 Sinker ARI R 111 94.1 14.5 -6 -29 12.3 -2.1 -14
2020 4-Seamer ARI R 134 93.9 12.8 2.2 15 4.8 -2.6 -35
2020 Splitter ARI R 71 86.1 23.4 -8.8 -27 8.4 -2.1 -20
2020 Curveball ARI R 88 81.8 50.2 0.1 0 5.6 -2.7 -33
2019 Curveball MIL R 254 82.1 49.4 -1.2 -2 7.2 -0.8 -10
2019 Splitter MIL R 284 86 27.2 -5.6 -17 9.2 -1.3 -12
2019 4-Seamer MIL R 418 94.6 12.3 2.9 19 6.5 -1.2 -16
2019 Sinker MIL R 395 94.8 17 -4 -19 14.4 -0.4 -3
2018 Sinker MIL R 681 93.4 20.5 -1.4 -7 15.2 0.4 3
2018 4-Seamer MIL R 902 93.1 14.4 1.7 11 5.9 -1.6 -22
2018 Slider MIL R 285 83.8 39.8 1.7 4 5.2 0 0
2018 Splitter MIL R 371 86.6 28.5 -3.9 -12 5.4 -5.4 -50
2018 Curveball MIL R 55 82.2 49.3 -1.2 -2 5.6 -2.2 -28
2017 Sinker MIL R 239 91.5 17.2 -4 -19 12.1 -2.4 -17
2017 Splitter MIL R 306 84 31.9 0 0 0.3 -11 -102
2017 4-Seamer MIL R 559 92 13.6 1.4 9 4.3 -3.4 -44
2017 Slider MIL R 134 80.2 45 3.1 7 7.1 0.2 3
2016 Slider MIL R 52 84.1 34.7 -0.3 -1 1.6 -1.6 -51
2016 Sinker MIL R 7 95.1 16.3 -1.6 -9 14.8 0.1 1
2016 4-Seamer MIL R 1121 93.8 13.4 0.4 3 5.4 -3.2 -37
2016 Curveball MIL R 274 82.5 41.3 -5.4 -12 2.9 -3.6 -56
2016 Splitter MIL R 379 85.6 29.1 -0.3 -1 1.5 -10 -87
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball -0.3 0 95 24.7 18 0.313 0.375 0.347 32.1 16.7 17.6 0.248 0.285 0.288 30.8
2021 Splitter -1.9 -2 88 22.9 20 0.053 0.053 0.08 46.2 55 27.5 0.077 0.084 0.106 12.5
2021 4-Seamer -1.7 -2 97 25.3 26 0.15 0.15 0.3 27.3 23.1 26.1 0.176 0.258 0.305 28.6
2021 Sinker 2.6 3 104 27.1 32 0.345 0.655 0.448 12.5 0 0 0.269 0.41 0.331 37.9
2020 Curveball -1.5 -1 88 21.8 14 0.333 0.417 0.382 48.5 28.6 22.2 0.145 0.229 0.242 37.5
2020 Splitter 2.3 2 71 17.6 24 0.143 0.19 0.252 38.9 45.8 22 0.11 0.148 0.186 20
2020 Sinker -2.1 -2 111 27.5 31 0.214 0.357 0.289 8.3 6.5 9.1 0.328 0.543 0.401 26.9
2020 4-Seamer -0.7 -1 134 33.2 32 0.182 0.273 0.307 26.2 12.5 16.7 0.267 0.352 0.375 28.6
2019 Curveball 0 0 254 18.2 40 0.156 0.375 0.316 44.6 15 16.7 0.222 0.466 0.368 15.4
2019 Splitter 0 0 284 20.4 82 0.149 0.243 0.23 38.3 43.9 20.5 0.144 0.249 0.216 10.5
2019 4-Seamer -2.2 -9 418 30 92 0.145 0.289 0.26 23.7 22.8 17.9 0.18 0.313 0.281 29.8
2019 Sinker -0.9 -3 395 28.4 115 0.264 0.462 0.331 14.4 9.6 11.7 0.303 0.506 0.359 40.2
2018 Curveball -4.4 -2 55 2.4 15 0 0 0.047 42.1 46.7 58.3 0.064 0.072 0.105 0
2018 Slider 0.8 2 285 12.4 71 0.281 0.438 0.355 36.8 19.7 23.7 0.238 0.397 0.307 35.3
2018 Splitter 0.4 2 371 16.1 107 0.157 0.265 0.211 40.6 47.7 22 0.154 0.228 0.197 29.4
2018 4-Seamer -0.6 -6 902 39.1 200 0.275 0.468 0.361 21.7 16.5 19 0.253 0.439 0.344 35.7
2018 Sinker 1.3 9 681 29.5 211 0.328 0.532 0.408 15.3 13.7 21.6 0.292 0.464 0.361 46.9
2017 Slider 0.1 0 134 10.8 21 0.278 0.556 0.443 27.9 9.5 15.4 0.209 0.421 0.326 31.3
2017 Sinker -0.9 -2 239 19.3 58 0.239 0.413 0.4 15.7 0 0 0.324 0.539 0.425 29.8
2017 Splitter -0.1 0 306 24.7 90 0.148 0.321 0.247 47.4 52.2 28.8 0.17 0.29 0.245 32.4
2017 4-Seamer 1.8 10 559 45.2 145 0.275 0.583 0.442 18.4 12.4 16.1 0.299 0.551 0.412 39.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 78 81.8 53 13 7:45 7:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 122 93.9 92 18.5 12:45 12:30 15
2020 Splitter 67 86.2 94 15.7 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Sinker 104 94.1 93 20.5 12:30 1:15 -45
2021 Curveball 93 80.4 54 14.1 7:30 7:00 30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 96 91.7 90 20 12:45 12:30 15
2021 Splitter 87 84.2 91 14.5 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Sinker 98 92.2 90 21 12:45 1:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 484 1836 -17 -18 10 6 -19
2017 314 1238 0 -7 7 8 8
2018 619 2354 4 -26 15 10 3
2019 329 1351 -13 -17 7 10 -12
2020 101 404 -11 0 5 3 -3
2021 96 384 -3 -3 3 2 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 66 50 69.7 87 33.3 54.5 42.4 66.7 51.5 23.5 7.6 100
2016 1866 46.6 68.7 82.1 28.4 58.4 41.4 58.5 47.3 24.6 6.7 75
2017 1238 42.4 67.2 80.5 26.4 58 37.2 54.5 43.7 26.8 5.7 80.3
2018 2306 49 69.5 81.6 25.9 55.8 42.5 63.4 47.3 24.5 6.5 79.2
2019 1392 45.9 72.6 79.6 24.8 59.1 40.4 57.8 46.8 26.1 5.7 85.7
2020 404 45 72 80.9 28.4 55.6 38.1 59.2 48 26.8 7.7 74.2
2021 384 42.4 64.4 75.2 28.1 66.1 45.1 44.8 43.5 27.5 5.2 60
7656 46.2 69.4 80.9 26.7 58 40.9 58.7 46.5 25.4 6.3 78.4
48.4 66.6 82.1 28.4 58.8 42.6 60.5 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.8

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015
2016 57 66 55 48 59 36 54 61 69 46 37 61 57 66 33 7
2017 6 30 17 12 4 34 2 29 30 46 3 69 6 38 26
2018 41 46 47 45 42 23 44 30 20 50 37 48 41 58 43 64
2019 70 79 70 60 58 56 66 88 94 49 18 55 70 77 83 73
2020 46 57 73 80 13 74 80 83 95 31 5 51 46 65 86 75
2021 85 83 91 94 65 65 81 88 85 32 18 53 85 35 74 68
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.3 11 11.6 -1 3 7 6 54.5
2020 25.3 1 1.3 0 4 0 1 100
2021 21.1 2 1.6 0 0 2 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 11 12 12 12 14 11 11 14 11 11 12 13 10 10 11 13 9 13 9 11 9 12 12 11 13 12 12 11 12 12 12
2020 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2021 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 93.8 -0.9 91.9 -1.9 93.2 1.3 94.7 1.5 94 -0.7 92 -2
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 85.6 -0.8 84 -1.6 86.6 2.6 86 -0.6 86.1 0.1 84.2 -1.9
Breaking Velocity 83.1 82.7 -0.4 80.2 -2.5 83.6 3.4 82.1 -1.5 81.8 -0.3 80.4 -1.4
Exit Velocity 88 88.2 0.2 88 -0.2 89 1 86.9 -2.1 86.4 -0.5 85.8 -0.6
Launch Angle 5.8 12.3 6.5 19.4 7.1 13.6 -5.8 14.3 0.7 8.5 -5.8 10.4 1.9
Barrel % 0 5.8 5.8 10 4.2 6.7 -3.3 6.2 -0.5 4.6 -1.6 4.7 0.1
Hard Hit % 50 32.7 -17.3 35.5 2.8 38.8 3.3 29.4 -9.4 27.7 -1.7 31.3 3.6
Sweet Spot % 21.4 30.9 9.5 35 4.1 32.3 -2.7 29.5 -2.8 29.2 -0.3 29.7 0.5
xBA 0.286 0.233 -0.053 0.258 0.025 0.241 -0.017 0.213 -0.028 0.23 0.017 0.2 -0.03
BA 0.412 0.213 -0.199 0.23 0.017 0.264 0.034 0.194 -0.07 0.205 0.011 0.226 0.021
xwOBA 0.276 0.302 0.026 0.36 0.058 0.312 -0.048 0.293 -0.019 0.319 0.026 0.268 -0.051
wOBA 0.432 0.278 -0.154 0.35 0.072 0.334 -0.016 0.275 -0.059 0.287 0.012 0.302 0.015
xSLG 0.343 0.387 0.044 0.461 0.074 0.392 -0.069 0.371 -0.021 0.347 -0.024 0.277 -0.07
SLG 0.588 0.347 -0.241 0.472 0.125 0.434 -0.038 0.351 -0.083 0.301 -0.05 0.345 0.044
K% 16.7 20.3 3.6 21.3 1 22.3 1 22.4 0.1 20.4 -2 20.8 0.4
BB% 5.6 8.7 3.1 13.7 5 9 -4.7 10.5 1.5 14.6 4.1 12.5 -2.1
Swing % 51.5 47.3 -4.2 43.7 -3.6 47.3 3.6 46.8 -0.5 48 1.2 43.5 -4.5
Whiff% 23.5 24.6 1.1 26.8 2.2 24.5 -2.3 26.1 1.6 26.8 0.7 27.5 0.7
In Zone % 50 46.6 -3.4 42.4 -4.2 49 6.6 45.9 -3.1 45 -0.9 42.4 -2.6
Out of Zone % 50 53.4 3.4 57.6 4.2 51 -6.6 54.1 3.1 55 0.9 57.6 2.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.3 28.4 -4.9 26.4 -2 25.9 -0.5 24.8 -1.1 28.4 3.6 28.1 -0.3
First Pitch Swing % 22.2 30.7 8.5 25.8 -4.9 34.4 8.6 31.4 -3 36.9 5.5 21.9 -15
First Pitch Strike % 66.7 58.5 -8.2 54.5 -4 63.4 8.9 57.8 -5.6 59.2 1.4 44.8 -14.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 484 .282 268 32 11.9 216 71 32.9
2017 313 .351 173 49 28.3 140 62 44.3
2018 610 .334 297 53 17.8 313 93 29.7
2019 342 .275 184 41 22.3 158 75 47.5
2020 101 .287 58 16 27.6 43 18 41.9
2021 87 .325 55 6 10.9 32 25 78.1

Pitch Distribution