Josh Winckowski
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 215LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 15, #462, Toronto Blue Jays | Estero (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 7 5.89 15 14 0 70.1 44 1.59
2023 4 4 2.88 60 1 3 84.1 82 1.42
2024 1 1 3.33 12 3 0 24.1 19 1.56
3 Seasons 10 12 4.12 87 18 3 179 145 1.51
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 15 5-7 5.89 70.1 44 1.59
2023 60 4-4 2.88 84.1 82 1.42
2024 12 1-1 3.33 24.1 19 1.56
3 Seasons 87 10-12 4.12 179 145 1.51
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1194 243 24 9.9 7.6 89.5 112.4 5.3 30.5 .272 .433 .366 .338 .358 46.1 13.9 8.5 5.89 4.84
2023 25 1383 251 16 6.4 4.4 89.4 113.0 8.7 30.3 .245 .371 .319 .302 .350 41.0 22.3 8.4 2.88 3.82
2024 26 415 81 6 7.4 5.3 89.1 111.0 10.6 39.5 .288 .475 .330 .365 .407 46.9 16.8 9.7 3.33 5.53
Player 2992 575 46 8.0 5.8 89.4 113.0 7.5 31.7 .261 .409 .339 .325 .361 44.0 18.2 8.7
MLB 6.9 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winckowski relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(33.7%) ,
Sinker
(30.8%) ,
Slider
(20.0%) ,
Changeup
(13.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(1.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 52.7 18.9 22.6 5.8 37.9 33.3 28.8 6.2 42.4 15.2 20.2 6.2 9.9 7.6
2023 51.4 17.9 23.5 7.2 39.4 29.5 31.1 2.8 39.8 21.5 25.9 3.6 6.4 4.4
2024 46.9 18.5 28.4 6.2 42.0 43.2 14.8 7.4 28.4 16.0 32.1 7.4 7.4 5.3
Player 51.3 18.4 23.8 6.4 39.1 33.0 27.8 4.9 39.3 18.1 24.3 5.2 8.0 5.8
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup BOS R 56 91.8 27.1 -0.4 -1 17.4 2.1 14
2024 Cutter BOS R 140 89.8 31.1 -5.5 -22 4.5 1.5 48
2024 Sinker BOS R 128 95.1 19.0 -1.5 -7 14.5 -0.1 -1
2024 Slider BOS R 83 85.8 39.9 4.5 13 5.9 1.0 19
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 8 94.6 15.5 -1.2 -8 3.8 -3.3 -47
2023 Sinker BOS R 518 96.3 19.6 -0.3 -1 14.2 -0.8 -5
2023 Cutter BOS R 444 88.9 34.0 -6.9 -26 4.6 1.7 59
2023 Changeup BOS R 82 92.9 28.1 1.6 6 16.5 0.9 6
2023 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 68 96.0 14.4 -0.7 -5 3.0 -4.3 -59
2023 Slider BOS R 271 85.8 40.1 4.6 13 6.3 1.7 37
2022 Slider BOS R 334 84.8 41.1 4.6 13 5.5 0.3 6
2022 Sinker BOS R 425 94.1 21.8 0.6 3 14.6 -0.3 -2
2022 Cutter BOS R 131 88.5 29.9 -3.0 -11 4.1 1.4 51
2022 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 154 93.7 16.2 -1.6 -11 2.8 -4.0 -58
2022 Changeup BOS R 150 90.6 29.6 1.8 7 15.4 0.6 4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Cutter 0.8 1 140 33.7 35 .286 .464 .358 17.1 2.9 4.0 .334 .541 .416 50.0
2024 Sinker -3.0 -4 128 30.8 35 .290 .484 .390 27.3 28.6 37.0 .280 .609 .401 50.0
2024 Slider 1.5 1 83 20.0 20 .176 .176 .285 32.4 30.0 21.4 .275 .369 .339 45.5
2024 Changeup -4.0 -2 56 13.5 17 .313 .313 .306 10.7 5.9 9.1 .237 .263 .247 40.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -16.1 -1 8 1.9 4 .500 .500 .450 20.0 25.0 12.5 .289 .319 .265 33.3
2023 Sinker -0.9 -5 518 37.5 135 .355 .587 .448 18.0 12.6 17.9 .295 .495 .373 53.8
2023 Cutter 1.1 5 444 32.1 109 .273 .333 .315 32.7 25.7 28.3 .229 .294 .271 29.6
2023 Slider 0.9 2 271 19.6 63 .172 .276 .247 32.6 27.0 16.5 .233 .340 .282 31.7
2023 Changeup 1.9 2 82 5.9 28 .154 .154 .179 10.0 17.9 13.2 .188 .217 .214 23.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 3 68 4.9 29 .172 .241 .179 36.6 51.7 32.6 .168 .311 .202 57.1
2022 Sinker -2.1 -9 425 35.6 130 .353 .571 .422 9.5 7.7 12.8 .300 .474 .364 51.4
2022 Slider -0.7 -2 334 28.0 83 .260 .479 .360 25.7 25.3 17.5 .223 .412 .323 38.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 154 12.9 42 .278 .417 .307 16.4 16.7 10.4 .228 .346 .284 37.5
2022 Changeup 1.3 2 150 12.6 40 .278 .361 .304 11.1 12.5 13.2 .304 .417 .340 53.1
2022 Cutter 1.3 2 131 11.0 20 .211 .421 .288 30.4 5.0 8.3 .303 .459 .349 38.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 56 91.8 93 18.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 Cutter 139 89.8 34 5.3 10:30 9:45 45
2024 Sinker 128 95.1 86 18.5 12:45 1:45 -60
2024 Slider 83 85.8 36 7.9 8:15 7:45 30
2023 Changeup 76 92.9 91 17.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2023 Cutter 441 89.0 34 5.6 9:45 8:45 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 68 96.0 80 15.1 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 507 96.3 81 17.5 12:45 2:00 -75
2023 Slider 270 85.8 43 8.6 8:00 7:45 15
2022 Changeup 142 90.7 86 16.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2022 Cutter 131 88.5 40 6.5 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 154 93.7 82 14.7 12:45 12:30 15
2022 Sinker 414 94.1 84 17.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 333 84.8 41 7.9 8:15 7:45 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 315 1,194 8 -3 -12 -3 -10
2023 364 1,383 6 13 -9 -4 7
2024 111 415 -1 2 -4 -1 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,194 50.8 65.2 87.6 23.3 66.4 43.3 60.1 44.6 17.4 6.5 71.8
2023 1,383 49.4 69.4 81.9 29.7 53.4 42.8 62.5 49.4 26.2 7.3 80.2
2024 415 50.6 64.3 85.2 27.8 59.6 47.5 60.4 46.3 21.9 7.2 83.3
Player 2,992 50.2 67.0 84.6 26.9 58.7 43.6 61.2 47.1 22.3 7.0 77.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 13 8 17 26 16 34 10 23 4 3 40 2 2 52 16 63
2023 63 47 72 81 52 56 75 39 37 40 49 51 62 86 13 63
2024 7 7 9 20 7 61 52 41 7 14 29 29 47 69 6 55
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.5 10 12.4 -2 5 7 6 60.0
2023 23.3 9 8.4 1 4 3 6 66.7
2024 23.7 2 4.0 -2 1 6 0 0.0
Player 23.9 21 24.8 -4 10 16 12 57.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 10 12 9 12 12 12 13 12 10 11 12 14 14 12 13 12 12 12 13 12 13 12 15 14 12 12 12 13 14 12 13
2023 9 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 10 6 9 8 9 9 8 10 9 9 9 10 10 7 8 9 8 8 8 8
2024 2 4 3 3 4 5 6 6 4 2 2 4 4 4 5 3 5 5 3 5 3 3 6 6 3 4 3 3 5 4 4
Player 21 23 20 24 24 25 27 25 22 21 22 28 24 25 26 24 26 25 26 26 25 24 31 30 22 24 24 24 27 24 25
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.9 93.1 0.2 92.4 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 90.6 92.9 2.3 91.8 -1.1
Breaking Velocity 84.8 85.8 1.0 85.8 0.0
Exit Velocity 89.5 89.4 -0.1 89.1 -0.3
Launch Angle 5.3 8.7 3.4 10.6 1.9
Barrel % 9.9 6.4 -3.5 7.4 1.0
Hard Hit % 46.1 41.0 -5.1 46.9 5.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 30.3 -0.2 39.5 9.2
xBA .272 .245 -0.027 .288 0.043
BA .300 .267 -0.033 .281 0.014
xwOBA .338 .302 -0.036 .365 0.063
wOBA .366 .319 -0.047 .330 0.011
xSLG .433 .371 -0.062 .475 0.104
SLG .491 .393 -0.098 .396 0.003
K% 13.9 22.3 8.4 16.8 -5.5
BB% 8.5 8.4 -0.1 9.7 1.3
Swing % 44.6 49.4 4.8 46.3 -3.1
Whiff% 17.4 26.2 8.8 21.9 -4.3
In Zone % 50.8 49.4 -1.4 50.6 1.2
Out of Zone % 49.2 50.6 1.4 49.4 -1.2
Out of Zone Swing % 23.3 29.7 6.4 27.8 -1.9
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 32.9 8.5 29.7 -3.2
First Pitch Strike % 60.1 62.5 2.4 60.4 -2.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 315 .366 161 32 19.9 154 104 67.5
2023 Shades 364 .318 216 8 3.7 148 73 49.3
2024 Shades 111 .330 54 5 9.3 57 24 42.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 347 16.3 36.6% 2.9% 241 23.0 0.0% 10.8%
2023 335 15.7 37.3% 0.3% 257 19.9 0.4% 0.4%
2024 106 15.9 28.3% 0.0% 86 19.2 0.0% 1.2%
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Pitch Distribution