Josh Winckowski
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 215LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 15, #462, Toronto Blue Jays | Estero (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 7 5.89 15 14 0 70.1 44 1.59
2023 4 4 2.88 60 1 3 84.1 82 1.42
2024 4 2 4.18 36 6 2 71 54 1.39
3 Seasons 13 13 4.23 111 21 5 225.2 180 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 15 5-7 5.89 70.1 44 1.59
2023 60 4-4 2.88 84.1 82 1.42
2024 36 4-2 4.18 71 54 1.39
3 Seasons 111 13-13 4.23 225.2 180 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1194 243 24 9.9 7.6 89.5 112.4 5.3 30.5 .272 .433 .366 .338 .358 46.1 13.9 8.5 5.89 4.84
2023 25 1383 251 16 6.4 4.4 89.4 113.0 8.7 30.3 .245 .371 .319 .302 .350 41.0 22.3 8.4 2.88 3.82
2024 26 1144 230 15 6.5 4.8 88.6 115.3 6.5 35.7 .270 .428 .325 .331 .368 43.5 17.3 8.0 4.18 4.57
Player 3721 724 55 7.6 5.5 89.2 115.3 6.9 32.0 .261 .408 .336 .322 .358 43.5 18.1 8.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winckowski relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(34.7%) ,
Sinker
(33.9%) ,
Slider
(13.7%) ,
Changeup
(13.1%) ,
Four Seamer
(4.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 52.7 18.9 22.6 5.8 37.9 33.3 28.8 6.2 42.4 15.2 20.2 6.2 9.9 7.6
2023 51.4 17.9 23.5 7.2 39.4 29.5 31.1 2.8 39.8 21.5 25.9 3.6 6.4 4.4
2024 53.0 18.3 23.9 4.8 38.3 37.4 24.3 7.0 37.4 17.0 26.1 5.7 6.5 4.8
Player 52.3 18.4 23.3 5.9 38.5 33.3 28.2 5.2 39.9 18.0 24.0 5.1 7.6 5.5
MLB 44.5 23.8 24.7 7.0 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Sinker BOS R 388 95.1 21.2 0.0 0 15.5 0.8 5
2024 Changeup BOS R 150 91.4 28.5 0.5 2 17.0 1.8 12
2024 Cutter BOS R 397 90.3 30.0 -4.7 -19 4.0 1.2 45
2024 Slider BOS R 157 85.2 37.5 1.4 4 8.2 3.2 64
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 52 95.1 15.7 -1.5 -11 5.3 -1.8 -25
2023 Sinker BOS R 518 96.3 19.6 -0.3 -1 14.2 -0.8 -5
2023 Cutter BOS R 444 88.9 34.0 -6.9 -26 4.6 1.7 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 68 96.0 14.4 -0.7 -5 3.0 -4.3 -59
2023 Changeup BOS R 82 92.9 28.1 1.6 6 16.5 0.9 6
2023 Slider BOS R 271 85.8 40.1 4.6 13 6.3 1.7 37
2022 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 154 93.7 16.2 -1.6 -11 2.8 -4.0 -58
2022 Sinker BOS R 425 94.1 21.8 0.6 3 14.6 -0.3 -2
2022 Slider BOS R 334 84.8 41.1 4.6 13 5.5 0.3 6
2022 Changeup BOS R 150 90.6 29.6 1.8 7 15.4 0.6 4
2022 Cutter BOS R 131 88.5 29.9 -3.0 -11 4.1 1.4 51
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Cutter 0.1 0 397 34.7 93 .272 .506 .363 22.1 12.9 16.0 .323 .543 .402 51.4
2024 Sinker -1.2 -5 388 33.9 115 .290 .450 .380 18.7 19.1 26.8 .270 .467 .353 42.0
2024 Slider 2.0 3 157 13.7 38 .143 .200 .216 30.4 23.7 13.6 .193 .247 .230 26.9
2024 Changeup -4.1 -6 150 13.1 46 .357 .476 .371 8.9 4.3 7.7 .270 .354 .283 42.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 0 52 4.5 18 .167 .167 .150 32.1 50.0 21.4 .180 .217 .172 44.4
2023 Sinker -0.9 -5 518 37.5 135 .355 .587 .448 18.0 12.6 17.9 .295 .495 .373 53.8
2023 Cutter 1.1 5 444 32.1 109 .273 .333 .315 32.7 25.7 28.3 .229 .294 .271 29.6
2023 Slider 0.9 2 271 19.6 63 .172 .276 .247 32.6 27.0 16.5 .232 .340 .282 31.7
2023 Changeup 1.9 2 82 5.9 28 .154 .154 .179 10.0 17.9 13.2 .188 .217 .214 23.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 3 68 4.9 29 .172 .241 .179 36.6 51.7 32.6 .168 .311 .202 57.1
2022 Sinker -2.1 -9 425 35.6 130 .353 .571 .422 9.5 7.7 12.8 .299 .474 .364 51.4
2022 Slider -0.7 -2 334 28.0 83 .260 .479 .360 25.7 25.3 17.5 .223 .412 .323 38.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 154 12.9 42 .278 .417 .307 16.4 16.7 10.4 .228 .346 .284 37.5
2022 Changeup 1.3 2 150 12.6 40 .278 .361 .304 11.1 12.5 13.2 .304 .417 .340 53.1
2022 Cutter 1.3 2 131 11.0 20 .211 .421 .288 30.4 5.0 8.3 .303 .459 .349 38.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 149 91.4 91 18.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Cutter 395 90.3 35 5.5 11:00 10:00 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 52 95.1 82 15.1 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Sinker 386 95.1 87 18.3 1:00 2:00 -60
2024 Slider 154 85.2 36 9.7 8:30 8:30 0
2023 Changeup 76 92.9 91 17.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2023 Cutter 441 89.0 34 5.6 9:45 8:45 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 68 96.0 80 15.1 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 507 96.3 81 17.5 12:45 2:00 -75
2023 Slider 270 85.8 43 8.6 8:00 7:45 15
2022 Changeup 142 90.7 86 16.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2022 Cutter 131 88.5 40 6.5 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 154 93.7 82 14.7 12:45 12:30 15
2022 Sinker 414 94.1 84 17.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 333 84.8 41 7.9 8:15 7:45 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 315 1,194 8 -3 -12 -3 -10
2023 364 1,383 6 13 -9 -4 7
2024 310 1,144 -3 8 -8 -4 -7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,194 50.8 65.2 87.6 23.3 66.4 43.3 60.1 44.6 17.4 6.5 71.8
2023 1,383 49.4 69.4 81.9 29.7 53.4 42.8 62.5 49.4 26.2 7.3 80.2
2024 1,144 52.8 65.6 85.6 27.0 61.6 45.5 60.6 47.4 20.7 8.0 82.6
Player 3,721 50.9 66.9 84.8 26.9 59.5 43.8 61.2 47.2 21.8 7.3 78.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 13 8 17 26 16 34 10 23 4 3 40 2 2 52 16 63
2023 63 47 72 81 52 56 75 39 37 40 49 51 62 86 13 63
2024 23 14 28 47 21 50 75 55 13 11 47 11 29 68 6 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.5 10 12.4 -2 5 7 6 60.0
2023 23.3 9 8.4 1 4 3 6 66.7
2024 24.7 9 9.8 -1 4 11 1 11.1
Player 24.2 28 30.5 -3 13 21 13 46.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 10 12 9 12 12 12 13 12 10 11 12 14 14 12 13 12 12 12 13 12 13 12 15 14 12 12 12 13 14 12 13
2023 9 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 10 6 9 8 9 9 8 10 9 9 9 10 10 7 8 9 8 8 8 8
2024 9 9 11 12 9 8 10 11 7 8 8 11 12 8 11 10 9 9 7 13 9 9 16 10 8 10 8 10 12 10 8
Player 28 28 28 33 29 28 31 30 25 27 28 35 32 29 32 31 30 29 30 34 31 30 41 34 27 30 29 31 34 30 29
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.9 93.1 0.2 ↑ 92.8 -0.3 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 90.6 92.9 2.3 ↑ 91.4 -1.5 ↓
Breaking Velocity 84.8 85.8 1.0 ↑ 85.2 -0.6 ↓
Exit Velocity 89.5 89.4 -0.1 ↓ 88.6 -0.8 ↓
Launch Angle 5.3 8.7 3.4 ↑ 6.5 -2.2 ↓
Barrel % 9.9 6.4 -3.5 ↓ 6.5 0.1 ↑
Hard Hit % 46.1 41.0 -5.1 ↓ 43.5 2.5 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 30.3 -0.2 ↓ 35.7 5.4 ↑
xBA .272 .245 -0.027 ↓ .270 0.025 ↑
BA .300 .267 -0.033 ↓ .268 0.001 ↑
xwOBA .338 .302 -0.036 ↓ .331 0.029 ↑
wOBA .366 .319 -0.047 ↓ .325 0.006 ↑
xSLG .433 .371 -0.062 ↓ .428 0.057 ↑
SLG .491 .393 -0.098 ↓ .420 0.027 ↑
K% 13.9 22.3 8.4 ↑ 17.3 -5.0 ↓
BB% 8.5 8.4 -0.1 ↓ 8.0 -0.4 ↓
Swing % 44.6 49.4 4.8 ↑ 47.4 -2.0 ↓
Whiff% 17.4 26.2 8.8 ↑ 20.7 -5.5 ↓
In Zone % 50.8 49.4 -1.4 ↓ 52.8 3.4 ↑
Out of Zone % 49.2 50.6 1.4 ↑ 47.2 -3.4 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 23.3 29.7 6.4 ↑ 27.0 -2.7 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 32.9 8.5 ↑ 28.7 -4.2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 60.1 62.5 2.4 ↑ 60.6 -1.9 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 315 .366 161 32 19.9 154 104 67.5
2023 Shades 364 .318 216 8 3.7 148 73 49.3
2024 Shades 310 .325 160 9 5.6 150 82 54.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 347 16.3 36.6% 2.9% 241 23.0 0.0% 10.8%
2023 335 15.7 37.3% 0.3% 257 19.9 0.4% 0.4%
2024 274 16.0 28.1% 0.4% 205 19.3 0.0% 1.5%

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Pitch Distribution