Josh Winckowski
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 215LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 15, #462, Toronto Blue Jays | Estero (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 2.88 60 1 3 84.1 82 1.42
2024 4 2 4.14 40 6 2 76 60 1.41
2025 0 1 3.86 6 0 0 11.2 9 1.37
4 Seasons 13 14 4.20 121 21 5 242.1 195 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 60 4-4 2.88 84.1 82 1.42
2024 40 4-2 4.14 76 60 1.41
2025 6 0-1 3.86 11.2 9 1.37
4 Seasons 121 13-14 4.20 242.1 195 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1194 243 24 9.9 7.6 89.5 112.4 5.3 30.5 .272 .433 .366 .338 .358 46.1 13.9 8.5 5.89 4.84
2023 25 1383 251 16 6.4 4.4 89.4 113.0 8.7 30.3 .245 .370 .319 .302 .349 41.0 22.3 8.4 2.88 3.82
2024 26 1240 246 15 6.1 4.5 88.5 115.3 7.1 34.1 .262 .410 .327 .322 .360 43.1 17.9 7.7 4.14 4.37
2025 27 127 28 4 14.3 10.8 91.1 110.4 6.9 39.3 .337 .563 .265 .414 .449 53.6 13.5 8.1 3.12 7.11
Player 3944 768 59 7.7 5.6 89.2 115.3 7.1 31.9 .261 .408 .334 .323 .359 43.8 18.1 8.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.6 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winckowski relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.9%) ,
Cutter
(22.8%) ,
Sinker
(17.3%) ,
Changeup
(14.2%) ,
Slider
(11.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 52.7 47.3 18.9 22.6 5.8 37.9 33.3 28.8 25.1 17.7 9.9 12.8 15.6 18.9
2023 51.4 48.6 17.9 23.5 7.2 39.4 29.5 31.1 25.1 17.9 8.4 14.3 11.6 22.7
2024 52.4 47.6 18.7 23.6 5.3 38.2 37.8 24.0 25.2 21.5 5.7 13.0 16.3 18.3
2025 53.6 46.4 14.3 28.6 3.6 39.3 46.4 14.3 28.6 25.0 0.0 10.7 21.4 14.3
Player 52.2 47.8 18.4 23.4 6.0 38.5 34.0 27.5 25.3 19.3 7.7 13.3 14.7 19.8
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 6.2 42.4 15.2 20.2 6.2 9.9 7.6
2023 2.8 39.8 21.5 25.9 3.6 6.4 4.4
2024 6.5 37.0 17.9 26.0 6.1 6.1 4.5
2025 3.6 32.1 10.7 28.6 3.6 14.3 10.8
Player 5.1 39.5 18.0 24.2 5.2 7.7 5.6
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Cutter BOS R 29 89.5 32.4 -5.9 3.9GLV 1.2 1.9 -6.6 3.9GLV 1.6
2025 Sinker BOS R 22 94.7 21.5 -0.2 17.6ARM 2.6 9.3 -1.8 17.6ARM 2.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 43 95.0 14.8 -1.0 4.7ARM -2.2 15.7 -0.4 4.7ARM -2.9
2025 Changeup BOS R 18 91.6 27.4 -1.6 18.8ARM 3.1 5.5 -1.3 18.8ARM 4.1
2025 Slider BOS R 15 85.3 40.7 5.1 4.0GLV -0.3 -3.0 4.8 4.0GLV -1.1
2024 Slider BOS R 165 85.2 37.3 1.2 8.2GLV 3.3 0.3 1.3 8.2GLV 3.3
2024 Sinker BOS R 418 95.1 21.3 0.1 15.7ARM 0.8 8.9 -1.7 15.7ARM 0.8
2024 Changeup BOS R 156 91.4 28.6 0.5 17.0ARM 1.9 4.1 0.8 17.0ARM 2.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 65 95.1 15.7 -1.6 5.9ARM -1.3 14.5 -1.2 5.9ARM -1.7
2024 Cutter BOS R 436 90.4 29.8 -4.7 4.0GLV 1.3 3.6 -4.7 4.0GLV 1.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 0 43 33.9 11 .200 .300 .259 25.0 27.3 20.0 .307 .511 .381 85.7
2025 Cutter -0.4 0 29 22.8 9 .333 .500 .394 18.8 0.0 0.0 .306 .515 .402 28.6
2025 Sinker 5.8 1 22 17.3 4 .000 .000 .000 40.0 0.0 -- .375 .435 .373 50.0
2025 Changeup 4.9 1 18 14.2 9 .125 .125 .229 18.2 11.1 20.0 .427 .793 .545 42.9
2025 Slider -4.3 -1 15 11.8 4 .500 .500 .450 28.6 25.0 16.7 .294 .517 .343 66.7
2024 Cutter 0.1 0 436 35.2 103 .253 .495 .347 23.3 15.5 18.0 .303 .498 .376 51.3
2024 Sinker -0.9 -4 418 33.7 125 .303 .450 .384 18.1 18.4 24.7 .264 .449 .346 40.4
2024 Slider 1.0 2 165 13.3 39 .167 .222 .233 31.6 23.1 13.0 .186 .238 .226 25.9
2024 Changeup -2.7 -4 156 12.6 48 .364 .477 .374 8.4 6.3 10.7 .271 .358 .287 44.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 0 65 5.2 18 .167 .167 .150 29.0 50.0 17.3 .174 .206 .166 44.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 18 91.6 92 20.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Cutter 29 89.5 27 4.7 10:30 9:00 90
2025 4-Seam Fastball 43 95.0 86 15.9 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Sinker 22 94.7 87 20.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 15 85.3 42 7.3 8:15 7:30 45
2024 Changeup 153 91.4 91 18.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Cutter 434 90.4 35 5.6 11:15 10:00 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 65 95.1 82 15.4 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Sinker 416 95.1 87 18.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 162 85.2 36 9.7 8:30 8:45 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 315 1,194 4 -2 -11 -3 -12
2023 364 1,383 3 10 -8 -5 -1
2024 333 1,240 1 6 -8 -4 -6
2025 37 127 0 3 -1 -1 2
Player 1,049 3,944 7 17 -28 7 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,194 50.8 65.2 87.6 23.3 66.4 43.3 60.1 44.6 17.4 6.5 71.8
2023 1,383 49.4 69.4 81.9 29.7 53.4 42.8 62.5 49.4 26.2 7.3 80.2
2024 1,240 52.4 66.3 85.6 27.5 61.1 45.1 61.6 47.8 20.9 7.7 82.3
2025 127 46.5 74.6 88.6 29.4 45.0 45.7 70.3 50.4 25.0 6.3 87.5
Player 3,944 50.7 67.3 85.0 27.1 58.8 43.8 61.8 47.5 22.0 7.2 78.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 13 8 17 27 16 34 10 23 4 3 40 2 2 52 16 63
2023 63 47 72 81 52 56 75 39 37 40 49 50 62 86 13 63
2024 30 17 33 52 28 54 80 58 13 12 53 12 36 67 6 48
2025 5 3 7 17 7 32 10 22 5 10 58 46 62 64 26 62
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.5 10 12.4 -2 5 7 6 60.0
2023 23.3 9 8.2 1 4 4 5 55.6
2024 24.6 10 10.6 -1 4 11 2 20.0
2025 -- 0 0.9 -1 1 2 0 --
Player 24.2 29 32.0 -3 14 24 13 44.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 10 12 9 12 12 12 13 12 10 11 12 14 14 12 13 12 12 12 13 12 13 12 15 14 12 12 12 13 14 12 13
2023 9 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 9 6 9 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 7 8 8 8 8 8 7
2024 10 9 12 13 10 10 12 11 9 8 8 12 13 10 12 11 10 8 10 14 10 9 17 12 8 10 9 11 11 10 8
2025 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 3
Player 29 30 30 34 30 30 33 30 27 27 28 36 35 31 34 32 31 28 33 35 33 32 44 39 27 30 30 32 36 33 31
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 92.9 0.3 93.2 -0.3 92.9 0.3 93.2
Offspeed Velocity 90.6 2.1 92.7 -1.3 91.4 0.2 91.6
Breaking Velocity 84.8 1.1 85.9 -0.7 85.2 0.1 85.3
Exit Velocity 89.5 -0.1 89.4 -0.9 88.5 2.6 91.1
Launch Angle 5.3 3.4 8.7 -1.6 7.1 -0.2 6.9
Barrel % 9.9 -3.5 6.4 -0.3 6.1 8.2 14.3
Hard Hit % 46.1 -5.1 41.0 2.1 43.1 10.5 53.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 -0.2 30.3 3.8 34.1 5.2 39.3
xBA .272 -0.027 .245 0.017 .262 0.075 .337
BA .300 -0.033 .267 0.005 .272 -0.046 .226
xwOBA .338 -0.036 .302 0.020 .322 0.092 .414
wOBA .366 -0.047 .319 0.008 .327 -0.062 .265
xSLG .433 -0.063 .370 0.040 .410 0.153 .563
SLG .491 -0.098 .393 0.030 .423 -0.133 .290
K% 13.9 8.4 22.3 -4.4 17.9 -4.4 13.5
BB% 8.5 -0.1 8.4 -0.7 7.7 0.4 8.1
Swing % 44.6 4.8 49.4 -1.6 47.8 2.6 50.4
Whiff% 17.4 8.8 26.2 -5.3 20.9 4.1 25.0
In Zone % 50.8 -1.4 49.4 3.0 52.4 -5.9 46.5
Out of Zone % 49.2 1.4 50.6 -3.0 47.6 5.9 53.5
Out of Zone Swing % 23.3 6.4 29.7 -2.2 27.5 1.9 29.4
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 8.5 32.9 -2.6 30.3 21.1 51.4
First Pitch Strike % 60.1 2.4 62.5 -0.9 61.6 8.7 70.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 315 .366 161 24 14.9 154 97 63.0
2023 Shades 364 .318 216 8 3.7 148 73 49.3
2024 Shades 333 .327 171 10 5.8 162 91 56.2
2025 Shades 37 .265 24 0 0.0 13 7 53.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 347 16.3 36.6% 2.9% 241 23.0 0.0% 10.8%
2023 335 15.7 37.3% 0.3% 257 19.9 0.4% 0.4%
2024 322 16.0 28.6% 0.3% 238 19.3 0.0% 1.7%
2025 27 16.8 14.8% 0.0% 24 19.8 0.0% 8.3%

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Pitch Distribution