P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 215 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2016 | Rd. 15, No. 462, Toronto Blue Jays | Estero (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 2.88 60 1 3 84.1 82 1.42
2024 4 2 4.14 40 6 2 76 60 1.41
2025 0 1 3.86 6 0 0 11.2 9 1.37
4 Seasons 13 14 4.20 121 21 5 242.1 195 1.46
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 60 4-4 2.88 84.1 82 1.42
2024 40 4-2 4.14 76 60 1.41
2025 6 0-1 3.86 11.2 9 1.37
4 Seasons 121 13-14 4.20 242.1 195 1.46
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1194 243 24 9.9 7.6 89.5 112.4 5.3 30.5 .271 .433 .366 .337 .358 46.1 13.9 8.5 5.89 4.81
2023 25 1383 251 16 6.4 4.4 89.4 113.0 8.7 30.3 .245 .370 .319 .301 .349 41.0 22.3 8.4 2.88 3.79
2024 26 1240 246 15 6.1 4.5 88.5 115.3 7.1 34.1 .262 .410 .327 .321 .360 43.1 17.9 7.7 4.14 4.34
2025 27 207 37 5 13.5 9.6 89.9 110.8 6.1 35.1 .302 .476 .281 .377 .419 54.1 17.3 9.6 3.86 6.28
Player 4024 777 60 7.7 5.6 89.2 115.3 7.0 31.8 .260 .406 .333 .322 .358 43.9 18.2 8.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winckowski relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(29.5%) ,
Cutter
(22.7%) ,
Sinker
(18.8%) ,
Changeup
(15.9%) ,
Slider
(13.0%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.
+ Similar Pitchers to Josh Winckowski Based on Velocity and Movement:


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 52.7 47.3 18.9 22.6 5.8 37.9 33.3 28.8 25.1 17.7 9.9 12.8 15.6 18.9
2023 51.4 48.6 17.9 23.5 7.2 39.4 29.5 31.1 25.1 17.9 8.4 14.3 11.6 22.7
2024 52.4 47.6 18.7 23.6 5.3 38.2 37.8 24.0 25.2 21.5 5.7 13.0 16.3 18.3
2025 54.1 45.9 13.5 27.0 5.4 40.5 37.8 21.6 32.4 18.9 2.7 8.1 18.9 18.9
Player 52.3 47.7 18.3 23.4 6.0 38.6 33.7 27.7 25.5 19.0 7.7 13.1 14.7 19.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 6.2 42.4 15.2 20.2 6.2 9.9 7.6
2023 2.8 39.8 21.5 25.9 3.6 6.4 4.4
2024 6.5 37.0 17.9 26.0 6.1 6.1 4.5
2025 8.1 29.7 10.8 29.7 2.7 13.5 9.6
Player 5.3 39.3 17.9 24.3 5.1 7.7 5.6
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 61 94.7 14.7 -0.7 4.6ARM -2.4 15.9 0.1 4.6ARM -3.0
2025 Cutter BOS R 47 89.6 32.0 -5.9 4.4GLV 1.9 2.1 -6.2 4.4GLV 2.2
2025 Changeup BOS R 33 91.8 27.2 -1.4 18.2ARM 3.0 5.6 -1.5 18.2ARM 3.8
2025 Slider BOS R 27 86.2 38.8 4.0 4.5GLV 0.4 -1.8 3.5 4.5GLV -0.1
2025 Sinker BOS R 39 94.7 21.1 -0.4 17.1ARM 2.2 9.5 -2.1 17.1ARM 2.0
2024 Changeup BOS R 156 91.4 28.6 0.5 17.0ARM 1.9 4.1 0.8 17.0ARM 2.8
2024 Cutter BOS R 436 90.4 29.8 -4.7 4.0GLV 1.3 3.6 -4.7 4.0GLV 1.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 65 95.1 15.7 -1.6 5.9ARM -1.3 14.5 -1.2 5.9ARM -1.7
2024 Slider BOS R 165 85.2 37.3 1.2 8.2GLV 3.4 0.3 1.4 8.2GLV 3.4
2024 Sinker BOS R 418 95.1 21.3 0.1 15.7ARM 0.8 8.9 -1.7 15.7ARM 0.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 0 61 29.5 12 .273 .364 .313 22.2 25.0 13.0 .325 .484 .376 87.5
2025 Cutter 1.4 1 47 22.7 12 .222 .333 .296 29.6 8.3 8.3 .258 .532 .378 33.3
2025 Sinker 4.6 2 39 18.8 9 .143 .143 .178 38.1 11.1 14.3 .279 .327 .338 42.9
2025 Changeup 2.2 1 33 15.9 12 .182 .182 .250 21.1 25.0 21.4 .373 .599 .447 50.0
2025 Slider -5.1 -1 27 13.0 7 .500 .500 .486 18.2 14.3 7.7 .246 .369 .328 60.0
2024 Cutter 0.1 0 436 35.2 103 .253 .495 .347 23.3 15.5 18.0 .302 .497 .375 51.3
2024 Sinker -0.9 -4 418 33.7 125 .303 .450 .384 18.1 18.4 24.7 .264 .448 .345 40.4
2024 Slider 1.0 2 165 13.3 39 .167 .222 .233 31.6 23.1 13.0 .186 .239 .226 25.9
2024 Changeup -2.7 -4 156 12.6 48 .364 .477 .374 8.4 6.3 10.7 .272 .358 .288 44.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 0 65 5.2 18 .167 .167 .150 29.0 50.0 17.3 .173 .204 .165 44.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 33 91.8 92 19.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Cutter 47 89.6 29 5.1 10:45 9:15 90
2025 4-Seam Fastball 61 94.7 87 16.0 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Sinker 38 94.7 88 19.8 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 27 86.2 36 7.2 8:45 7:45 60
2024 Changeup 154 91.4 91 18.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Cutter 434 90.4 35 5.6 11:15 10:00 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 65 95.1 82 15.4 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Sinker 415 95.1 87 18.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 162 85.2 36 9.7 8:30 8:45 -15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 315 1,194 4 -2 -11 -3 -12
2023 364 1,383 3 10 -8 -5 -1
2024 333 1,240 1 6 -8 -4 -6
2025 52 207 1 3 -1 -1 2
Player 1,064 4,024 9 16 -29 9 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,194 50.8 65.2 88.1 23.3 66.4 43.3 60.1 44.6 17.4 6.5 71.8
2023 1,383 49.4 69.4 82.5 29.7 53.8 42.8 62.5 49.4 26.2 7.3 80.2
2024 1,240 52.4 66.3 85.6 27.5 61.7 45.1 61.6 47.8 20.9 7.7 82.3
2025 207 45.9 75.8 81.9 29.5 54.5 40.6 69.2 50.7 26.7 6.8 92.9
Player 4,024 50.6 67.5 85.1 27.1 59.4 43.5 61.8 47.6 22.2 7.2 79.2
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 13 10 16 28 16 34 10 23 4 3 40 2 2 52 16 63
2023 64 47 72 81 52 56 75 39 37 40 49 50 62 86 13 63
2024 32 17 32 52 28 54 80 58 13 12 53 12 36 67 6 48
2025 56 18 61
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.46 10 12.4 -2 5 7 6 60.0
2023 23.34 9 8.0 1 4 3 5 55.6
2024 24.62 10 10.5 -1 3 12 2 20.0
2025 -- 0 0.8 -1 1 2 0 --
Player 24.16 29 31.7 -3 13 24 13 44.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 10 12 9 12 12 12 13 12 10 11 12 14 14 12 13 12 12 12 13 12 13 12 15 14 12 12 12 13 14 12 13
2023 9 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 9 6 8 8 7 9 8 9 8 9 9 8 10 7 8 8 8 7 8 7
2024 10 10 12 13 10 10 12 12 9 8 8 12 13 9 12 10 10 8 9 14 10 9 17 12 8 10 9 11 11 10 8
2025 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 3
Player 29 31 30 33 30 30 33 31 27 27 28 35 34 32 33 29 33 28 33 36 32 32 41 38 27 30 29 33 34 30 31
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .250 -.022 .272 +.005 .267 -.033 .300
xBA .302 +.040 .262 +.017 .245 -.026 .271
OBP .327 -.007 .334 -.001 .335 -.026 .361
xOBP .384 +.057 .327 +.012 .315 -.022 .337
SLG .295 -.128 .423 +.030 .393 -.098 .491
xSLG .476 +.066 .410 +.040 .370 -.063 .433
ISO .045 -.106 .151 +.025 .126 -.065 .191
xISO .174 +.026 .148 +.022 .126 -.035 .161
BABIP .297 -.009 .306 -.025 .331 +.009 .322
wOBA .281 -.046 .327 +.008 .319 -.047 .366
xwOBA .377 +.056 .321 +.020 .301 -.036 .337
wOBACON .282 -.084 .366 -.009 .375 -.020 .395
xwOBACON .419 +.059 .360 +.011 .349 -.009 .358
BACON .297 -.038 .335 -.020 .355 +.005 .350
xBACON .377 +.052 .325 .000 .325 +.006 .319
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 54.1 +11.0 43.1 +2.1 41.0 -5.1 46.1
Avg Exit Velocity 89.9 +1.4 88.5 -0.9 89.4 -0.1 89.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.1 +1.0 34.1 +3.8 30.3 -0.2 30.5
Barrel % 13.5 +7.4 6.1 -0.3 6.4 -3.5 9.9
Avg Launch Angle 6.1 -1.0 7.1 -1.6 8.7 +3.4 5.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.9 -0.4 71.3 +0.7 70.6 -- --
Attack Angle +1° -1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 61.3 +10.3 51.0 +6.5 44.5 -- --
Attack Direction +2° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -2° 33° 33° -- --
Swing Length 7.1 +0.1 7.0 -0.2 7.2 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 93.1 +0.2 92.9 -0.3 93.2 +0.3 92.9
Breaking Velocity 86.2 +1.0 85.2 -0.7 85.9 +1.1 84.8
Offspeed Velocity 91.8 +0.4 91.4 -1.3 92.7 +2.1 90.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -10 15 -1 16 -8 24
Popup % 5.4 +0.1 5.3 -1.9 7.2 +1.4 5.8
Flyball % 13.5 -5.2 18.7 +0.8 17.9 -1.0 18.9
Line Drive % 27.0 +3.4 23.6 +0.1 23.5 +0.9 22.6
Groundball % 54.1 +1.7 52.4 +1.0 51.4 -1.3 52.7
Pull % 40.5 +2.3 38.2 -1.2 39.4 +1.5 37.9
Straight Away % 37.8 0.0 37.8 +8.3 29.5 -3.8 33.3
Opposite Field % 21.6 -2.4 24.0 -7.1 31.1 +2.3 28.8
Weak Contact % 8.1 +1.6 6.5 +3.7 2.8 -3.4 6.2
Pull Airball % 8.1 -4.9 13.0 -1.3 14.3 +1.5 12.8
Topped Contact % 29.7 -7.3 37.0 -2.8 39.8 -2.6 42.4
Under Contact % 10.8 -7.1 17.9 -3.6 21.5 +6.3 15.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 29.7 +3.7 26.0 +0.1 25.9 +5.7 20.2
Solid Contact % 2.7 -3.4 6.1 +2.5 3.6 -2.6 6.2
HR/FB % 0.0 -21.7 21.7 +1.7 20.0 -1.7 21.7
Popups 2 -11 13 -5 18 +4 14
Flyballs 5 -41 46 +1 45 -1 46
Line Drives 10 -48 58 -1 59 +4 55
Groundballs 20 -109 129 0 129 +1 128
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.9 -6.5 52.4 +3.0 49.4 -1.4 50.8
Out of Zone % 54.1 +6.5 47.6 -3.0 50.6 +1.4 49.2
Edge % 40.6 -4.5 45.1 +2.3 42.8 -0.5 43.3
Zone Swing % 75.8 +9.5 66.3 -3.1 69.4 +4.2 65.2
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 +2.0 27.5 -2.2 29.7 +6.4 23.3
In Zone Contact % 81.9 -3.7 85.6 +3.1 82.5 -5.6 88.1
Out of Zone Contact % 54.5 -7.2 61.7 +7.9 53.8 -12.6 66.4
Whiff % 26.7 +5.8 20.9 -5.3 26.2 +8.8 17.4
First Strike % 69.2 +7.6 61.6 -0.9 62.5 +2.4 60.1
First Pitch Swing % 48.1 +17.8 30.3 -2.6 32.9 +8.5 24.4
Swing % 50.7 +2.9 47.8 -1.6 49.4 +4.8 44.6
Meatball Swing % 92.9 +10.6 82.3 +2.1 80.2 +8.4 71.8
Meatball % 6.8 -0.9 7.7 +0.4 7.3 +0.8 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 18.1 +3.7 14.4 -3.1 17.5 +5.6 11.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 45.5 +7.2 38.3 -7.9 46.2 +12.6 33.6
In Zone 95 -555 650 -34 684 +77 607
Out of Zone 112 -478 590 -110 700 +113 587
Edge 84 -475 559 -33 592 +75 517
In Zone Swings 72 -359 431 -44 475 +79 396
Out of Zone Swings 33 -129 162 -46 208 +71 137
In Zone Swing & Misses 13 -49 62 -21 83 +36 47
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 15 -47 62 -34 96 +50 46
Basic
Pitches 207 -1,033 1,240 -143 1,383 +189 1,194
PA 52 -284 336 -31 367 +51 316
AB 44 -254 298 -35 333 +50 283
Hits 11 -70 81 -8 89 +4 85
Singles 9 -47 56 -9 65 +9 56
Doubles 2 -13 15 0 15 +1 14
Triples 0 0 0 0 0 -5 5
Home Runs 0 -10 10 +1 9 -1 10
Walks 5 -21 26 -5 31 +4 27
Strikeouts 9 -51 60 -22 82 +38 44
K% 17.3 -0.6 17.9 -4.4 22.3 +8.4 13.9
BB% 9.6 +1.9 7.7 -0.7 8.4 -0.1 8.5
HBP 1 -3 4 +1 3 +1 2
Batted Balls 37 -209 246 -5 251 +8 243
Number of Fastballs 147 -772 919 -115 1,034 +324 710
Number of Offspeed 33 -123 156 +85 71 -79 150
Number of Breaking 27 -138 165 -113 278 -56 334
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 315 .366 161 24 14.9 154 97 63.0
2023 Shades 364 .318 216 8 3.7 148 73 49.3
2024 Shades 333 .327 171 10 5.8 162 91 56.2
2025 Shades 52 .281 32 4 12.5 20 11 55.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 347 16.3 36.6% 2.9% 241 23.0 0.0% 10.8%
2023 335 15.7 37.3% 0.3% 257 19.9 0.4% 0.4%
2024 322 16.0 28.6% 0.3% 238 19.3 0.0% 1.7%
2025 40 16.9 12.5% 0.0% 43 19.8 0.0% 7.0%

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Pitch Distribution