Josh Winckowski
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 215LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 15, #462, Toronto Blue Jays | Estero (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 7 5.89 15 14 0 70.1 44 1.59
2023 4 4 2.88 60 1 3 84.1 82 1.42
2024 2 1 3.32 18 5 0 43.1 33 1.50
3 Seasons 11 12 4.05 93 20 3 198 159 1.50
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 15 5-7 5.89 70.1 44 1.59
2023 60 4-4 2.88 84.1 82 1.42
2024 18 2-1 3.32 43.1 33 1.50
3 Seasons 93 11-12 4.05 198 159 1.50
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1194 243 24 9.9 7.6 89.5 112.4 5.3 30.5 .272 .433 .366 .338 .358 46.1 13.9 8.5 5.89 4.84
2023 25 1383 251 16 6.4 4.4 89.4 113.0 8.7 30.3 .245 .371 .319 .302 .349 41.0 22.3 8.4 2.88 3.82
2024 26 708 143 8 5.6 4.1 87.6 111.0 7.1 36.4 .276 .430 .330 .337 .374 42.0 16.8 8.7 3.32 4.64
Player 3285 637 48 7.5 5.5 89.1 113.0 7.0 31.7 .261 .406 .338 .322 .358 43.2 18.1 8.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winckowski relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(36.7%) ,
Sinker
(32.5%) ,
Slider
(14.3%) ,
Changeup
(13.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(3.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 52.7 18.9 22.6 5.8 37.9 33.3 28.8 6.2 42.4 15.2 20.2 6.2 9.9 7.6
2023 51.4 17.9 23.5 7.2 39.4 29.5 31.1 2.8 39.8 21.5 25.9 3.6 6.4 4.4
2024 51.7 16.8 25.9 5.6 37.8 36.4 25.9 9.8 33.6 17.5 27.3 5.6 5.6 4.1
Player 52.0 18.1 23.7 6.3 38.5 32.5 29.0 5.7 39.4 18.2 24.0 5.0 7.5 5.5
MLB 44.5 23.7 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup BOS R 92 91.5 27.8 0.0 0 16.8 1.6 11
2024 Sinker BOS R 230 94.9 20.7 -0.3 -1 14.6 0.0 0
2024 Cutter BOS R 260 89.9 31.1 -5.5 -21 4.5 1.6 53
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 25 94.4 17.4 -2.9 -20 4.2 -2.9 -41
2024 Slider BOS R 101 84.9 38.9 2.6 7 7.3 2.0 39
2023 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 68 96.0 14.4 -0.7 -5 3.0 -4.3 -59
2023 Slider BOS R 271 85.8 40.1 4.6 13 6.3 1.7 37
2023 Changeup BOS R 82 92.9 28.1 1.6 6 16.5 0.9 6
2023 Sinker BOS R 518 96.3 19.6 -0.3 -1 14.2 -0.8 -5
2023 Cutter BOS R 444 88.9 34.0 -6.9 -26 4.6 1.7 60
2022 Slider BOS R 334 84.8 41.1 4.6 13 5.5 0.3 6
2022 Cutter BOS R 131 88.5 29.9 -3.0 -11 4.1 1.4 51
2022 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 154 93.7 16.2 -1.6 -11 2.8 -4.0 -58
2022 Changeup BOS R 150 90.6 29.6 1.8 7 15.4 0.6 4
2022 Sinker BOS R 425 94.1 21.8 0.6 3 14.6 -0.3 -2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Cutter 0.4 1 260 36.7 62 .308 .481 .376 23.4 12.9 15.1 .369 .578 .441 53.2
2024 Sinker -2.1 -5 230 32.5 69 .300 .467 .385 17.3 21.7 32.6 .252 .470 .338 37.5
2024 Slider 2.7 3 101 14.3 23 .143 .190 .233 34.0 26.1 16.2 .202 .268 .246 33.3
2024 Changeup -1.8 -2 92 13.0 33 .300 .333 .308 10.2 6.1 12.5 .227 .251 .240 34.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball -4.6 -1 25 3.5 6 .333 .333 .300 11.1 33.3 12.5 .197 .225 .180 50.0
2023 Sinker -0.9 -5 518 37.5 135 .355 .587 .448 18.0 12.6 17.9 .294 .495 .372 53.8
2023 Cutter 1.1 5 444 32.1 109 .273 .333 .315 32.7 25.7 28.3 .229 .294 .271 29.6
2023 Slider 0.9 2 271 19.6 63 .172 .276 .247 32.6 27.0 16.5 .233 .340 .282 31.7
2023 Changeup 1.9 2 82 5.9 28 .154 .154 .179 10.0 17.9 13.2 .188 .217 .214 23.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 3 68 4.9 29 .172 .241 .179 36.6 51.7 32.6 .168 .311 .202 57.1
2022 Sinker -2.1 -9 425 35.6 130 .353 .571 .422 9.5 7.7 12.8 .300 .474 .364 51.4
2022 Slider -0.7 -2 334 28.0 83 .260 .479 .360 25.7 25.3 17.5 .223 .412 .323 38.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 154 12.9 42 .278 .417 .307 16.4 16.7 10.4 .228 .346 .284 37.5
2022 Changeup 1.3 2 150 12.6 40 .278 .361 .304 11.1 12.5 13.2 .304 .417 .340 53.1
2022 Cutter 1.3 2 131 11.0 20 .211 .421 .288 30.4 5.0 8.3 .303 .459 .349 38.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 92 91.5 91 18.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 Cutter 259 89.9 34 5.5 10:45 9:30 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 24 94.5 82 13.5 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Sinker 230 94.9 86 17.8 1:00 2:00 -60
2024 Slider 100 84.9 37 9.2 8:15 8:15 0
2023 Changeup 76 92.9 91 17.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2023 Cutter 441 89.0 34 5.6 9:45 8:45 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 68 96.0 80 15.1 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 507 96.3 81 17.5 12:45 2:00 -75
2023 Slider 270 85.8 43 8.6 8:00 7:45 15
2022 Changeup 142 90.7 86 16.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2022 Cutter 131 88.5 40 6.5 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 154 93.7 82 14.7 12:45 12:30 15
2022 Sinker 414 94.1 84 17.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 333 84.8 41 7.9 8:15 7:45 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 315 1,194 8 -3 -12 -3 -10
2023 364 1,383 6 13 -9 -4 7
2024 193 708 -1 6 -7 -2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,194 50.8 65.2 87.6 23.3 66.4 43.3 60.1 44.6 17.4 6.5 71.8
2023 1,383 49.4 69.4 81.9 29.7 53.4 42.8 62.5 49.4 26.2 7.3 80.2
2024 708 51.1 64.9 85.5 27.7 62.5 46.0 59.6 46.8 20.8 8.5 81.7
Player 3,285 50.3 66.9 84.7 27.0 59.4 43.7 61.0 47.1 22.0 7.3 77.8
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 13 8 17 26 16 34 10 23 4 3 40 2 2 52 16 63
2023 63 47 72 81 52 56 75 39 37 40 49 51 62 86 13 63
2024 22 11 27 50 13 66 81 78 24 10 40 17 44 62 6 55
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.9 93.1 0.2 92.3 -0.8
Offspeed Velocity 90.6 92.9 2.3 91.5 -1.4
Breaking Velocity 84.8 85.8 1.0 84.9 -0.9
Exit Velocity 89.5 89.4 -0.1 87.6 -1.8
Launch Angle 5.3 8.7 3.4 7.1 -1.6
Barrel % 9.9 6.4 -3.5 5.6 -0.8
Hard Hit % 46.1 41.0 -5.1 42.0 1.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 30.3 -0.2 36.4 6.1
xBA .272 .245 -0.027 .276 0.031
BA .300 .267 -0.033 .284 0.017
xwOBA .338 .302 -0.036 .337 0.035
wOBA .366 .319 -0.047 .330 0.011
xSLG .433 .371 -0.062 .430 0.059
SLG .491 .393 -0.098 .408 0.015
K% 13.9 22.3 8.4 16.8 -5.5
BB% 8.5 8.4 -0.1 8.7 0.3
Swing % 44.6 49.4 4.8 46.8 -2.6
Whiff% 17.4 26.2 8.8 20.8 -5.4
In Zone % 50.8 49.4 -1.4 51.1 1.7
Out of Zone % 49.2 50.6 1.4 48.9 -1.7
Out of Zone Swing % 23.3 29.7 6.4 27.7 -2.0
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 32.9 8.5 29.0 -3.9
First Pitch Strike % 60.1 62.5 2.4 59.6 -2.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 315 .366 161 32 19.9 154 104 67.5
2023 Shades 364 .318 216 8 3.7 148 73 49.3
2024 Shades 193 .330 103 8 7.8 90 43 47.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 347 16.3 36.6% 2.9% 241 23.0 0.0% 10.8%
2023 335 15.7 37.3% 0.3% 257 19.9 0.4% 0.4%
2024 169 15.8 34.3% 0.0% 138 19.2 0.0% 2.2%
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Pitch Distribution