Josh Winckowski
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 215LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 15, #462, Toronto Blue Jays | Estero (FL) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 7 5.89 15 14 0 70.1 44 1.59
2023 4 4 2.88 60 1 3 84.1 82 1.42
2024 4 2 4.14 40 6 2 76 60 1.41
3 Seasons 13 13 4.21 115 21 5 230.2 186 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 15 5-7 5.89 70.1 44 1.59
2023 60 4-4 2.88 84.1 82 1.42
2024 40 4-2 4.14 76 60 1.41
3 Seasons 115 13-13 4.21 230.2 186 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1194 243 24 9.9 7.6 89.5 112.4 5.3 30.5 .272 .433 .366 .338 .358 46.1 13.9 8.5 5.89 4.84
2023 25 1383 251 16 6.4 4.4 89.4 113.0 8.7 30.3 .245 .371 .319 .302 .350 41.0 22.3 8.4 2.88 3.82
2024 26 1240 246 15 6.1 4.5 88.5 115.3 7.1 34.1 .262 .411 .327 .322 .361 43.1 17.9 7.7 4.14 4.37
Player 3817 740 55 7.4 5.4 89.1 115.3 7.1 31.6 .259 .403 .336 .320 .356 43.4 18.3 8.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winckowski relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(35.2%) ,
Sinker
(33.6%) ,
Slider
(13.3%) ,
Changeup
(12.8%) ,
Four Seamer
(5.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 52.7 18.9 22.6 5.8 37.9 33.3 28.8 6.2 42.4 15.2 20.2 6.2 9.9 7.6
2023 51.4 17.9 23.5 7.2 39.4 29.5 31.1 2.8 39.8 21.5 25.9 3.6 6.4 4.4
2024 52.4 18.7 23.6 5.3 38.2 37.8 24.0 6.5 37.0 17.9 26.0 6.1 6.1 4.5
Player 52.2 18.5 23.2 6.1 38.5 33.5 28.0 5.1 39.7 18.2 24.1 5.3 7.4 5.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker BOS R 417 95.1 21.3 0.0 15.7ARM 0.9 8.9 -1.6 15.7ARM 0.9
2024 Cutter BOS R 436 90.4 29.8 -4.7 4.0GLV 1.2 3.6 -4.7 4.0GLV 1.3
2024 Slider BOS R 165 85.2 37.3 1.2 8.2GLV 3.2 0.3 1.3 8.2GLV 3.1
2024 Changeup BOS R 159 91.5 28.5 0.5 17.0ARM 1.9 4.2 0.7 17.0ARM 2.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 63 95.1 15.5 -1.4 5.7ARM -1.5 14.7 -1.1 5.7ARM -1.8
2023 Changeup BOS R 82 92.9 28.1 1.6 16.5ARM 1.0 3.6 1.8 16.5ARM 2.1
2023 Cutter BOS R 444 88.9 34.0 -6.9 4.6GLV 1.7 0.6 -7.3 4.6GLV 2.0
2023 Sinker BOS R 518 96.3 19.6 -0.3 14.2ARM -0.8 10.0 -2.4 14.2ARM -0.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 68 96.0 14.4 -0.7 3.0ARM -4.3 15.3 -0.5 3.0ARM -4.4
2023 Slider BOS R 271 85.8 40.1 4.6 6.3GLV 1.8 -2.9 4.4 6.3GLV 1.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Cutter 0.3 1 436 35.2 103 .253 .495 .347 23.3 15.5 18.0 .303 .498 .376 51.3
2024 Sinker -1.3 -5 417 33.6 124 .306 .454 .387 17.7 18.5 24.7 .267 .454 .349 40.9
2024 Slider 1.9 3 165 13.3 39 .167 .222 .233 31.6 23.1 13.0 .186 .238 .226 25.9
2024 Changeup -3.6 -6 159 12.8 49 .356 .467 .367 9.4 6.1 10.7 .265 .350 .281 43.2
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 0 63 5.1 18 .167 .167 .150 29.0 50.0 17.3 .174 .206 .166 44.4
2023 Sinker -0.9 -5 518 37.5 135 .355 .587 .448 18.0 12.6 17.9 .295 .495 .373 53.8
2023 Cutter 1.1 5 444 32.1 109 .273 .333 .315 32.7 25.7 28.3 .229 .294 .271 29.6
2023 Slider 0.9 2 271 19.6 63 .172 .276 .247 32.6 27.0 16.5 .232 .340 .282 31.7
2023 Changeup 1.9 2 82 5.9 28 .154 .154 .179 10.0 17.9 13.2 .188 .217 .214 23.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 3 68 4.9 29 .172 .241 .179 36.6 51.7 32.6 .168 .311 .202 57.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 156 91.5 91 18.1 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Cutter 434 90.4 35 5.6 11:15 10:00 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 63 95.1 82 15.3 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 415 95.1 87 18.4 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 162 85.2 36 9.7 8:30 8:45 -15
2023 Changeup 76 92.9 91 17.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2023 Cutter 441 89.0 34 5.6 9:45 8:45 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 68 96.0 80 15.1 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Sinker 507 96.3 81 17.5 12:45 2:00 -75
2023 Slider 270 85.8 43 8.6 8:00 7:45 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 315 1,194 8 -3 -12 -3 -10
2023 364 1,383 6 13 -9 -4 7
2024 333 1,240 -1 7 -10 -3 -7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,194 50.8 65.2 87.6 23.3 66.4 43.3 60.1 44.6 17.4 6.5 71.8
2023 1,383 49.4 69.4 81.9 29.7 53.4 42.8 62.5 49.4 26.2 7.3 80.2
2024 1,240 52.4 66.3 85.6 27.5 61.1 45.1 61.6 47.8 20.9 7.7 82.3
Player 3,817 50.8 67.1 84.9 27.0 59.4 43.7 61.4 47.4 21.9 7.2 78.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 13 8 17 27 16 34 10 23 4 3 40 2 2 52 16 63
2023 63 47 72 81 52 56 75 39 37 40 49 50 62 86 13 63
2024 30 18 31 52 26 54 80 58 13 12 53 12 36 67 6 48
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.5 10 12.4 -2 5 7 6 60.0
2023 23.3 9 8.2 1 4 4 5 55.6
2024 24.6 10 10.6 -1 4 11 2 20.0
Player 24.2 29 31.2 -2 13 22 13 44.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 10 12 9 12 12 12 13 12 10 11 12 14 14 12 13 12 12 12 13 12 13 12 15 14 12 12 12 13 14 12 13
2023 9 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 9 6 9 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 7 8 8 8 8 8 7
2024 10 9 11 13 10 10 11 11 9 8 8 12 13 10 12 11 10 9 10 14 10 10 17 12 8 10 9 11 11 10 8
Player 29 28 28 34 30 30 32 30 27 27 28 35 33 31 33 32 31 29 32 35 32 31 42 36 27 30 29 32 33 30 28
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.9 93.1 0.2 92.9 -0.2
Offspeed Velocity 90.6 92.9 2.3 91.5 -1.4
Breaking Velocity 84.8 85.8 1.0 85.2 -0.6
Exit Velocity 89.5 89.4 -0.1 88.5 -0.9
Launch Angle 5.3 8.7 3.4 7.1 -1.6
Barrel % 9.9 6.4 -3.5 6.1 -0.3
Hard Hit % 46.1 41.0 -5.1 43.1 2.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.5 30.3 -0.2 34.1 3.8
xBA .272 .245 -0.027 .262 0.017
BA .300 .267 -0.033 .272 0.005
xwOBA .338 .302 -0.036 .322 0.020
wOBA .366 .319 -0.047 .327 0.008
xSLG .433 .371 -0.062 .411 0.040
SLG .491 .393 -0.098 .423 0.030
K% 13.9 22.3 8.4 17.9 -4.4
BB% 8.5 8.4 -0.1 7.7 -0.7
Swing % 44.6 49.4 4.8 47.8 -1.6
Whiff% 17.4 26.2 8.8 20.9 -5.3
In Zone % 50.8 49.4 -1.4 52.4 3.0
Out of Zone % 49.2 50.6 1.4 47.6 -3.0
Out of Zone Swing % 23.3 29.7 6.4 27.5 -2.2
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 32.9 8.5 30.3 -2.6
First Pitch Strike % 60.1 62.5 2.4 61.6 -0.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 315 .366 161 24 14.9 154 97 63.0
2023 Shades 364 .318 216 8 3.7 148 73 49.3
2024 Shades 333 .327 171 10 5.8 162 91 56.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 347 16.3 36.6% 2.9% 241 23.0 0.0% 10.8%
2023 335 15.7 37.3% 0.3% 257 19.9 0.4% 0.4%
2024 322 16.0 28.6% 0.3% 238 19.3 0.0% 1.7%

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Pitch Distribution