P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 45
Draft: 2003 | Rd. 4, No. 114, Boston Red Sox | Mississippi State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2014 2 3 2.04 66 0 39 66.1 63 0.90
2015 4 3 2.13 59 0 24 63.1 56 1.03
2016 2 4 4.37 37 0 19 35 31 1.46
12 Seasons 41 36 2.44 689 3 368 725.2 808 1.04
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2014 66 2-3 2.04 66.1 63 0.90
2015 59 4-3 2.13 63.1 56 1.03
2016 37 2-4 4.37 35 31 1.46
12 Seasons 689 41-36 2.44 725.2 808 1.04
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 34 901 184 7 3.8 2.7 88.7 108.9 10.3 23.9 .220 .335 .278 .272 .319 36.4 21.6 4.6 2.13 3.03
2016 35 570 107 7 6.5 4.6 91.2 111.1 18.0 38.3 .261 .440 .321 .326 .384 41.1 20.4 9.2 4.37 4.52
Player 1471 291 14 4.8 3.4 89.7 111.1 13.2 29.2 .236 .375 .294 .292 .344 38.1 21.2 6.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Papelbon relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(61.8%) ,
Slider
(19.6%) ,
Split Finger
(17.1%) ,
Sinker
(1.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2015 51.6 48.4 20.1 20.1 8.2 32.1 40.8 27.2 19.6 23.4 8.7 12.5 17.4 18.5
2016 35.5 64.5 22.4 34.6 7.5 36.4 36.4 27.1 15.9 13.1 6.5 20.6 23.4 20.6
Player 45.7 54.3 21.0 25.4 7.9 33.7 39.2 27.1 18.2 19.6 7.9 15.5 19.6 19.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 4.9 33.7 21.2 23.9 4.3 3.8 2.7
2016 1.9 27.1 30.8 25.2 5.6 6.5 4.6
Player 3.8 31.3 24.7 24.4 4.8 4.8 3.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2016 Sinker WSH R 9 93.0 24.0 1.7 16.9ARM 2.9 8.5 1.1 16.9ARM 3.6
2016 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 344 91.6 20.2 -2.8 13.3ARM 6.1 13.1 -2.7 13.3ARM 6.9
2016 Split-Finger WSH R 95 86.5 33.5 1.4 13.3ARM 2.4 3.8 1.1 13.3ARM 3.4
2016 Slider WSH R 109 80.3 44.5 2.0 3.5GLV -3.4 -1.2 3.7 3.5GLV -2.6
2015 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 589 92.0 19.1 -2.0 13.3ARM 6.1 14.0 -1.8 13.3ARM 6.6
2015 Split-Finger WSH R 138 86.5 35.3 2.6 13.9ARM 2.2 1.9 2.7 13.9ARM 3.8
2015 Sinker WSH R 13 92.7 22.3 -0.8 18.3ARM 4.3 10.3 -1.3 18.3ARM 4.8
2015 Slider WSH R 153 80.1 45.4 1.7 3.0GLV -3.8 -1.7 3.8 3.0GLV -2.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 263 1,013 9 10 -2 -2 14
2009 278 1,166 15 9 -6 -4 14
2010 282 1,147 8 4 -2 -4 6
2011 254 998 9 10 0 -3 15
2012 281 1,136 7 10 -1 -6 11
2013 253 958 -2 15 -2 -4 7
2014 257 1,012 13 12 -2 -5 18
2015 257 893 0 11 -1 -4 6
2016 149 558 -3 10 -4 -3 1
Player 2,274 8,881 55 90 -20 55 91
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 901 51.4 73.9 78.7 37.4 65.9 42.3 66.4 56.2 25.5 8.7 84.6
2016 570 47.2 67.3 85.1 28.6 58.1 37.7 57.2 46.8 23.6 8.9 78.4
Player 1,471 49.8 71.4 80.9 33.8 63.2 40.5 63.0 52.5 24.8 8.8 82.2
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 83 79 81 77 81 79 81 30 19 59 94 72 98 38 26 87
2016 30 16 80
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 25.06 3 2.9 0 6 1 2 66.7
Player 25.06 3 2.9 0 6 1 2 66.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 3 2 3 4 4 3 3 2 3 2 3 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 4 2 3 2 4 7 3 3 2
Player 3 2 3 4 4 3 3 2 3 2 3 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 4 2 3 2 4 7 3 3 2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2016 +/-   2015
Results
BA .270 +.045 .225
xBA .261 +.041 .220
OBP .338 +.058 .280
xOBP .330 +.050 .280
SLG .416 +.056 .360
xSLG .440 +.105 .335
ISO .146 +.010 .136
xISO .180 +.065 .115
BABIP .330 +.067 .263
wOBA .321 +.043 .278
xwOBA .326 +.054 .272
wOBACON .377 +.052 .325
xwOBACON .384 +.065 .319
BACON .349 +.058 .291
xBACON .339 +.047 .292
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.1 +4.7 36.4
Avg Exit Velocity 91.2 +2.5 88.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 38.3 +14.4 23.9
Barrel % 6.5 +2.7 3.8
Avg Launch Angle 18.0 +7.7 10.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 0.0 -- --
Attack Angle -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 0.0 -- --
Attack Direction -- --
Swing Path - Tilt -- --
Swing Length 0.0 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.6 -0.4 92.0
Breaking Velocity 80.3 +0.2 80.1
Offspeed Velocity 86.5 -0.1 86.6
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 0 7
Popup % 7.5 -0.7 8.2
Flyball % 22.4 +2.3 20.1
Line Drive % 34.6 +14.5 20.1
Groundball % 35.5 -16.1 51.6
Pull % 36.4 +4.3 32.1
Straight Away % 36.4 -4.4 40.8
Opposite Field % 27.1 -0.1 27.2
Weak Contact % 1.9 -3.0 4.9
Pull Airball % 20.6 +8.1 12.5
Topped Contact % 27.1 -6.6 33.7
Under Contact % 30.8 +9.6 21.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.2 +1.3 23.9
Solid Contact % 5.6 +1.3 4.3
HR/FB % 12.5 -6.4 18.9
Popups 8 -7 15
Flyballs 24 -13 37
Line Drives 37 0 37
Groundballs 38 -57 95
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.2 -4.2 51.4
Out of Zone % 52.8 +4.2 48.6
Edge % 37.7 -4.6 42.3
Zone Swing % 67.3 -6.6 73.9
Out of Zone Swing % 28.6 -8.8 37.4
In Zone Contact % 85.1 +6.4 78.7
Out of Zone Contact % 58.1 -7.8 65.9
Whiff % 23.6 -1.9 25.5
First Strike % 57.2 -9.2 66.4
First Pitch Swing % 29.6 -10.6 40.2
Swing % 46.8 -9.4 56.2
Meatball Swing % 78.4 -6.2 84.6
Meatball % 8.9 +0.2 8.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.9 -6.4 21.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 41.9 +7.8 34.1
In Zone 269 -194 463
Out of Zone 301 -137 438
Edge 215 -166 381
In Zone Swings 181 -161 342
Out of Zone Swings 86 -78 164
In Zone Swing & Misses 27 -46 73
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 36 -20 56
Basic
Pitches 570 -331 901
PA 152 -107 259
AB 137 -99 236
Hits 37 -16 53
Singles 23 -13 36
Doubles 11 +2 9
Triples 0 -1 1
Home Runs 3 -4 7
Walks 14 +2 12
Strikeouts 31 -25 56
K% 20.4 -1.2 21.6
BB% 9.2 +4.6 4.6
HBP 0 -7 7
Batted Balls 107 -77 184
Number of Fastballs 353 -249 602
Number of Offspeed 95 -43 138
Number of Breaking 109 -44 153
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 144 .315 68 4 5.9 76 14 18.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 308 25.0 1.9% 15.9% 152 30.0 0.0% 50.0%
2011 231 26.1 0.0% 21.2% 129 29.9 0.0% 49.6%
2012 315 25.1 0.6% 10.5% 161 28.4 4.3% 36.0%
2013 258 23.4 0.0% 7.4% 148 26.5 0.0% 25.7%
2014 293 21.4 0.0% 5.8% 122 27.2 0.0% 24.6%
2015 225 20.8 9.3% 7.6% 109 24.9 6.4% 27.5%
2016 169 19.3 18.9% 6.5% 84 25.5 1.2% 21.4%

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Pitch Distribution