Joey Estes
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 190LBS | Age: 23
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 16, #487, Atlanta Braves | Paraclete HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 1 7.20 2 2 0 10 7 1.40
2024 7 9 5.01 25 24 0 127.2 92 1.23
2 Seasons 7 10 5.16 27 26 0 137.2 99 1.24
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 2 0-1 7.20 10 7 1.40
2024 25 7-9 5.01 127.2 92 1.23
2 Seasons 27 7-10 5.16 137.2 99 1.24
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 21 165 35 6 17.1 12.8 91.4 111.6 25.1 34.3 .281 .642 .414 .411 .458 45.7 14.9 4.3 7.20 7.82
2024 22 2027 414 40 9.7 7.4 89.5 113.6 25.4 37.2 .252 .470 .333 .331 .372 39.6 16.9 5.0 5.00 4.55
Player 2192 449 46 10.2 7.8 89.7 113.6 25.4 37.0 .254 .484 .340 .337 .379 40.1 16.8 4.9
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estes relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(51.7%) ,
Sweeper
(19.5%) ,
Slider
(13.6%) ,
Changeup
(11.1%) ,
Sinker
(3.4%) ,
Cutter
(0.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 28.6 34.3 22.9 14.3 40.0 22.9 37.1 2.9 20.0 37.1 17.1 5.7 17.1 12.8
2024 24.9 35.0 25.8 14.3 41.5 30.9 27.5 3.4 16.9 39.6 20.8 9.4 9.7 7.4
Player 25.2 35.0 25.6 14.3 41.4 30.3 28.3 3.3 17.1 39.4 20.5 9.1 10.2 7.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Cutter OAK R 14 86.4 29.9 -0.4 3.8GLV 0.5 6.9 -1.4 3.8GLV 1.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 1048 92.4 15.6 0.2 9.6ARM 2.3 16.6 0.8 9.6ARM 2.1
2024 Sweeper OAK R 396 78.2 38.9 -4.6 15.5GLV 0.4 6.1 -4.5 15.5GLV 1.2
2024 Changeup OAK R 225 84.8 29.3 -2.5 14.6ARM 0.6 8.8 -3.9 14.6ARM 0.4
2024 Sinker OAK R 68 90.8 20.8 -4.2 15.7ARM 0.9 12.5 -5.2 15.7ARM 0.9
2024 Slider OAK R 276 81.7 40.6 0.5 5.6GLV -2.2 0.3 1.3 5.6GLV 0.4
2023 Sweeper OAK R 16 80.3 40.0 -2.3 15.2GLV 0.4 2.5 -1.0 15.2GLV 1.1
2023 Slider OAK R 28 78.8 48.1 4.2 5.6GLV -5.5 -4.0 5.5 5.6GLV 0.2
2023 Cutter OAK R 14 85.6 32.2 -1.7 2.5GLV -0.6 5.1 -2.9 2.5GLV 0.0
2023 Changeup OAK R 30 86.2 26.0 -4.8 14.0ARM -0.4 10.9 -5.5 14.0ARM -0.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 77 93.1 15.1 0.3 10.3ARM 3.4 16.5 0.7 10.3ARM 2.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 2 1,048 51.7 253 .257 .469 .342 17.5 12.6 10.6 .270 .540 .371 47.7
2024 Sweeper 0.1 0 396 19.5 123 .217 .367 .262 21.6 25.2 17.6 .167 .273 .201 20.0
2024 Slider -1.8 -5 276 13.6 94 .261 .435 .298 22.3 24.5 16.4 .266 .442 .307 41.4
2024 Changeup -1.7 -4 225 11.1 46 .357 .738 .500 20.4 13.0 16.7 .352 .674 .454 44.4
2024 Sinker -1.8 -1 68 3.4 24 .263 .579 .463 14.7 0.0 0.0 .260 .482 .395 26.3
2024 Cutter -11.6 -2 14 0.7 2 1.000 2.500 1.450 14.3 0.0 0.0 .563 1.429 .822 100.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -1 77 46.7 22 .350 .750 .482 25.0 4.5 5.6 .332 .779 .482 57.9
2023 Changeup 1.2 0 30 18.2 8 .250 .625 .363 26.7 12.5 12.5 .292 .665 .397 14.3
2023 Slider 2.9 1 28 17.0 8 .000 .000 .313 33.3 25.0 25.0 .098 .110 .165 60.0
2023 Sweeper 0.4 0 16 9.7 6 .200 .200 .267 50.0 50.0 33.3 .161 .192 .244 0.0
2023 Cutter -17.4 -2 14 8.5 2 1.000 3.000 1.625 33.3 0.0 0.0 .657 2.165 1.141 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 225 84.8 99 17.1 1:45 2:15 -30
2024 Cutter 14 86.4 39 7.1 11:45 10:45 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,046 92.4 92 18.8 1:15 1:00 15
2024 Sinker 68 90.8 92 20.1 1:15 1:45 -30
2024 Slider 274 81.7 36 6.9 9:00 8:30 30
2024 Sweeper 394 78.2 53 17.2 8:45 9:30 -45
2023 Changeup 30 86.2 99 17.6 2:00 2:00 0
2023 Cutter 14 85.6 27 4.9 11:00 10:45 15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 77 93.1 95 19.2 1:15 1:15 0
2023 Slider 28 78.8 46 8.6 8:00 7:30 30
2023 Sweeper 16 80.3 45 16.2 8:30 9:00 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 46 165 0 0 -1 -1 -2
2024 542 2,027 11 -4 -12 -5 -9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 165 51.5 70.6 78.3 33.8 55.6 46.7 59.6 52.7 28.7 6.1 80.0
2024 2,027 56.1 75.6 84.5 29.8 66.4 44.7 66.4 55.5 19.2 9.7 88.3
Player 2,192 55.8 75.2 84.1 30.1 65.4 44.9 65.9 55.3 19.9 9.4 87.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 34 72 18
2024 22 33 7 3 64 8 14 30 41 8 92 6 62 23 78 15
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.5 4 3.1 1 0 2 2 50.0
2024 23.8 23 26.2 -3 11 18 12 52.2
Player 23.9 27 29.3 -2 11 20 14 51.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 4 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 3 3 3 2 2
2024 23 22 22 29 28 27 31 26 23 22 26 31 24 21 29 23 23 23 26 33 23 24 35 29 21 25 26 31 27 30 26
Player 27 24 25 33 32 30 35 29 26 24 29 34 27 24 33 27 27 25 29 37 26 27 39 33 24 27 29 34 30 32 28
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.0 92.2 0.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.2 84.8 -1.4
Breaking Velocity 79.4 79.6 0.2
Exit Velocity 91.4 89.5 -1.9
Launch Angle 25.1 25.4 0.3
Barrel % 17.1 9.7 -7.4
Hard Hit % 45.7 39.6 -6.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.3 37.2 2.9
xBA .281 .252 -0.029
BA .286 .259 -0.027
xwOBA .411 .331 -0.080
wOBA .414 .333 -0.081
xSLG .642 .470 -0.172
SLG .643 .473 -0.170
K% 14.9 16.9 2.0
BB% 4.3 5.0 0.7
Swing % 52.7 55.5 2.8
Whiff% 28.7 19.2 -9.5
In Zone % 51.5 56.1 4.6
Out of Zone % 48.5 43.9 -4.6
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 29.8 -4.0
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 39.3 3.1
First Pitch Strike % 59.6 66.4 6.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 46 .414 21 0 0.0 25 17 68.0
2024 Shades 542 .333 291 11 3.8 251 181 72.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 36 15.5 36.1% 0.0% 27 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
2024 515 15.0 48.7% 0.0% 285 18.2 4.2% 0.7%

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Pitch Distribution