Joey Estes
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 190LBS | Age: 22
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 16, #487, Atlanta Braves | Paraclete HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 1 7.20 2 2 0 10 7 1.40
2024 4 4 5.11 13 13 0 68.2 53 1.24
2 Seasons 4 5 5.38 15 15 0 78.2 60 1.26
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 2 0-1 7.20 10 7 1.40
2024 13 4-4 5.11 68.2 53 1.24
2 Seasons 15 4-5 5.38 78.2 60 1.26
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 21 165 35 6 17.1 12.8 91.4 111.6 25.1 34.3 .281 .642 .414 .411 .458 45.7 14.9 4.3 7.20 7.82
2024 22 1070 214 19 8.9 6.6 89.7 111.7 23.7 40.2 .252 .452 .335 .327 .371 41.6 18.3 5.9 5.11 4.34
Player 1235 249 25 10.0 7.4 89.9 111.7 23.9 39.4 .256 .478 .346 .339 .383 42.2 17.8 5.6
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estes relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(54.7%) ,
Sweeper
(19.7%) ,
Slider
(13.6%) ,
Changeup
(9.4%) ,
Sinker
(1.3%) ,
Cutter
(1.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 28.6 34.3 22.9 14.3 40.0 22.9 37.1 2.9 20.0 37.1 17.1 5.7 17.1 12.8
2024 23.8 32.7 29.9 13.6 41.6 30.4 28.0 3.3 17.3 38.3 20.6 11.2 8.9 6.6
Player 24.5 32.9 28.9 13.7 41.4 29.3 29.3 3.2 17.7 38.2 20.1 10.4 10.0 7.4
MLB 44.5 23.7 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Slider OAK R 145 81.7 40.3 -0.2 0 5.4 -3.0 -36
2024 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 585 92.6 15.4 0.3 2 9.1 1.7 23
2024 Cutter OAK R 14 86.4 29.9 -0.3 -1 3.8 0.4 12
2024 Sinker OAK R 14 90.1 21.5 -3.7 -15 15.1 0.5 3
2024 Changeup OAK R 101 84.7 28.8 -2.8 -9 14.3 0.2 1
2024 Sweeper OAK R 211 78.0 40.0 -4.1 -9 16.2 0.8 5
2023 Sweeper OAK R 16 80.3 40.0 -2.3 -5 15.2 0.4 3
2023 Slider OAK R 28 78.8 48.1 4.2 9 5.6 -5.5 -49
2023 Changeup OAK R 30 86.2 26.0 -4.8 -15 14.0 -0.4 -3
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 77 93.1 15.1 0.3 2 10.3 3.4 49
2023 Cutter OAK R 14 85.6 32.2 -1.6 -5 2.5 -0.6 -18
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 3 585 54.7 144 .252 .433 .327 18.8 13.2 10.4 .281 .543 .375 51.4
2024 Sweeper 1.9 4 211 19.7 65 .177 .274 .207 24.0 30.8 20.4 .137 .196 .172 18.6
2024 Slider -2.1 -3 145 13.6 47 .255 .511 .320 22.0 23.4 17.7 .273 .429 .299 41.7
2024 Changeup -6.3 -6 101 9.4 23 .500 1.100 .672 25.6 13.0 17.6 .381 .708 .491 35.3
2024 Sinker -1.6 0 14 1.3 8 .200 .200 .375 0.0 0.0 0.0 .099 .118 .321 20.0
2024 Cutter -11.5 -2 14 1.3 2 1.000 2.500 1.450 14.3 0.0 0.0 .563 1.429 .822 100.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -1 77 46.7 22 .350 .750 .482 25.0 4.5 5.6 .332 .779 .482 57.9
2023 Changeup 1.2 0 30 18.2 8 .250 .625 .363 26.7 12.5 12.5 .292 .665 .397 14.3
2023 Slider 2.9 1 28 17.0 8 .000 .000 .313 33.3 25.0 25.0 .098 .110 .165 60.0
2023 Sweeper 0.4 0 16 9.7 6 .200 .200 .267 50.0 50.0 33.3 .161 .192 .244 0.0
2023 Cutter -17.4 -2 14 8.5 2 1.000 3.000 1.625 33.3 0.0 0.0 .657 2.165 1.141 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 101 84.7 99 17.1 1:45 2:00 -15
2024 Cutter 14 86.4 39 7.1 11:45 10:45 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 585 92.6 91 18.5 1:00 1:00 0
2024 Sinker 14 90.1 91 19.4 1:15 1:45 -30
2024 Slider 144 81.7 37 6.7 9:00 8:30 30
2024 Sweeper 210 78.0 54 17.7 8:30 9:15 -45
2023 Changeup 30 86.2 99 17.6 2:00 2:00 0
2023 Cutter 14 85.6 27 4.9 11:00 10:45 15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 77 93.1 95 19.2 1:15 1:15 0
2023 Slider 28 78.8 46 8.6 8:00 7:30 30
2023 Sweeper 16 80.3 45 16.2 8:30 9:00 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 46 165 0 0 -1 -1 -2
2024 289 1,070 4 0 -5 -2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 165 51.5 70.6 78.3 33.8 55.6 46.7 59.6 52.7 28.7 6.1 80.0
2024 1,070 58.9 74.8 84.3 31.1 62.8 44.3 69.2 56.8 20.6 9.1 87.6
Player 1,235 57.9 74.3 83.6 31.5 61.6 44.6 67.9 56.3 21.6 8.7 86.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 34 72 18
2024 31 38 16 8 54 28 27 28 27 19 78 15 77 28 84 14
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.0 92.4 0.4
Offspeed Velocity 86.2 84.7 -1.5
Breaking Velocity 79.4 79.5 0.1
Exit Velocity 91.4 89.7 -1.7
Launch Angle 25.1 23.7 -1.4
Barrel % 17.1 8.9 -8.2
Hard Hit % 45.7 41.6 -4.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.3 40.2 5.9
xBA .281 .252 -0.029
BA .286 .259 -0.027
xwOBA .411 .327 -0.084
wOBA .414 .335 -0.079
xSLG .642 .452 -0.190
SLG .643 .471 -0.172
K% 14.9 18.3 3.4
BB% 4.3 5.9 1.6
Swing % 52.7 56.8 4.1
Whiff% 28.7 20.6 -8.1
In Zone % 51.5 58.9 7.4
Out of Zone % 48.5 41.1 -7.4
Out of Zone Swing % 33.8 31.1 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 41.2 5.0
First Pitch Strike % 59.6 69.2 9.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 46 .414 21 0 0.0 25 17 68.0
2024 Shades 289 .335 159 0 0.0 130 87 66.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 36 15.5 36.1% 0.0% 27 20.0 0.0% 0.0%
2024 225 15.1 49.3% 0.0% 146 18.5 0.7% 1.4%
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Pitch Distribution