Jimmy Nelson
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 6" 250LBS | Age: 32

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #64, Milwaukee Brewers | Alabama
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 2 1.86 28 1 0 29.0 44 0.93
7 Seasons 34 48 4.12 147 108 0 662.1 622 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 1-2 1.86 29.0 44 0.93
7 Seasons 147 34-48 4.12 662.1 622 1.35

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 2791 526 25 4.8 3.3 86.9 113.5 7.2 29.3 .232 .362 .309 .306 .340 28.9 19.7 8.6 4.11 3.85
2016 27 2984 564 31 5.5 3.8 88.7 114.3 9.1 27.8 .247 .395 .345 .327 .342 35.1 17.3 10.7 4.62 4.55
2017 28 2752 472 19 4 2.6 85.9 116.1 5.9 32.0 .233 .356 .301 .285 .357 31.4 27.3 6.6 3.49 3.45
2019 30 408 60 5 8.3 4.8 87.1 111.1 11.9 46.7 .286 .491 .403 .389 .466 35.0 24.8 16.2 6.96 7.14
2021 32 523 55 2 3.6 1.7 84.5 110.2 20.7 30.9 .139 .199 .223 .227 .264 30.9 37.9 11.2 1.86 2.15
Player 9458 1677 82 4.9 3.3 87.2 116.1 8.1 30.2 .235 .368 .318 .306 .348 32.0 22.2 9.1
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Curveball
(34.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(33.1%) ,
Slider
(32.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 51.7 16.0 27.2 5.1 35.4 41.3 23.4 2.9 42.0 17.3 21.7 5.7 4.8 3.3
2016 51.2 20.4 22.2 6.2 33.3 37.6 28.9 4.3 39.5 21.8 23.0 4.3 5.5 3.8
2017 51.1 18.6 26.5 3.8 32.0 39.4 28.4 7.2 37.1 17.6 26.5 6.6 4.0 2.6
2019 35.0 28.3 33.3 3.3 31.7 40.0 28.3 3.3 30.0 20.0 31.7 6.7 8.3 4.8
2021 38.2 27.3 21.8 12.7 27.3 43.6 29.1 10.9 27.3 36.4 14.5 7.3 3.6 1.7
Player 50.3 19.0 25.3 5.3 33.3 39.5 27.0 4.8 38.9 19.6 23.6 5.5 4.9 3.3
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer LAD R 173 93.8 13.7 0.6 4 2.7 -4.0 -60
2021 Curveball LAD R 180 85.1 52.1 5.6 12 10.8 4.3 66
2021 Slider LAD R 170 86.5 38.2 3.9 11 13.6 9.2 208
2019 Sinker MIL R 115 93.0 21.7 0.4 2 10.3 -3.9 -27
2019 4-Seamer MIL R 97 92.3 17.6 -1.8 -11 0.2 -6.4 -97
2019 Slider MIL R 110 85.5 38.2 2.4 7 12.2 7.9 184
2019 Changeup MIL R 3 87.2 30.6 1.6 6 7.2 -6.6 -48
2019 Curveball MIL R 82 82.8 54.2 4.0 8 10.3 3.2 45
2017 4-Seamer MIL R 805 94.1 14.4 -0.8 -6 8.7 1.0 14
2017 Curveball MIL R 537 84.3 43.3 -1.5 -3 10.6 3.1 41
2017 Sinker MIL R 880 93.7 23.3 3.8 19 15.0 0.3 2
2017 Slider MIL R 455 88.5 30.5 0.5 2 5.6 2.9 104
2017 Changeup MIL R 73 87.6 31.8 4.4 16 7.9 -6.0 -43
2016 4-Seamer MIL R 650 93.6 13.9 -0.5 -4 8.8 0.6 7
2016 Curveball MIL R 331 83.3 47.6 1.8 4 6.5 0.7 12
2016 Changeup MIL R 23 86.4 25.2 -2.5 -9 12.8 -0.3 -2
2016 Slider MIL R 506 87.5 33.5 3.2 10 5.6 3.5 158
2016 Sinker MIL R 1,451 93.8 21.5 3.4 19 15.0 0.5 3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball 0.4 1 180 34.4 32 .250 .321 .306 44.9 46.9 29.4 .205 .266 .268 46.2
2021 4-Seamer -1.6 -3 173 33.1 41 .171 .229 .240 25.4 31.7 34.2 .136 .211 .216 34.8
2021 Slider -4.0 -7 170 32.5 43 .029 .029 .151 40.7 37.2 27.1 .091 .134 .208 15.8
2019 Sinker 5.4 6 115 28.2 25 .500 1.000 .650 11.6 0.0 0.0 .507 1.067 .661 61.1
2019 Slider -2.9 -3 110 27.0 33 .188 .375 .250 48.8 48.5 39.0 .171 .255 .196 18.8
2019 4-Seamer 0.9 1 97 23.8 27 .250 .450 .435 22.2 14.8 19.0 .322 .513 .442 25.0
2019 Curveball 6.8 6 82 20.1 19 .313 .500 .403 30.0 31.6 30.0 .221 .286 .295 30.0
2019 Changeup 3.3 0 3 0.7 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 Sinker -0.9 -8 880 32.0 257 .296 .373 .341 15.2 11.7 19.2 .279 .403 .331 35.5
2017 4-Seamer 0.3 2 805 29.3 222 .250 .434 .340 23.9 35.6 23.0 .222 .385 .295 34.1
2017 Curveball -1.9 -10 537 19.5 110 .192 .288 .234 38.0 42.7 35.6 .178 .255 .212 33.3
2017 Slider -0.5 -2 455 16.5 121 .250 .336 .282 35.1 33.9 23.2 .206 .281 .229 16.0
2017 Changeup 2.1 2 73 2.7 17 .250 .500 .338 17.1 11.8 12.5 .261 .539 .352 21.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Curveball 176 85.1 83 20.2 7:00 7:15 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 173 93.8 74 16.9 12:30 12:15 15
2021 Slider 162 86.4 52 14.9 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2013 37 144 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2014 311 1,108 -1 -2 6 6 9
2015 748 2,782 -10 -14 12 11 -1
2016 805 2,976 -14 -10 21 14 11
2017 727 2,751 -1 -33 7 11 -16
2019 104 407 1 0 5 4 10
2021 116 523 -8 -6 1 4 -9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,791 49.6 63.7 83.9 31.1 60.0 45.1 60.8 47.3 22.3 7.3 70.6
2016 2,984 52.6 62.9 85.0 25.0 66.9 41.7 58.1 45.0 18.6 8.6 69.4
2017 2,752 52.3 65.5 80.8 30.2 57.4 43.0 61.1 48.7 25.2 8.8 72.8
2019 408 43.5 59.9 84.0 19.6 44.4 41.8 50.5 37.0 27.8 7.4 73.3
2021 523 44.9 60.9 74.1 26.0 38.7 39.8 44.0 41.7 37.6 7.5 69.2
Player 9,458 50.8 63.7 82.8 28.1 59.4 43.0 58.8 46.2 23.0 8.2 70.9
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 51 63 66 63 38 19 55 83 81 45 26 47 51 73 44 36
2016 30 49 54 56 16 19 61 44 45 22 13 16 30 65 47 51
2017 78 68 78 83 78 37 86 82 65 81 80 55 78 68 48 63
2019 46 76 83
2021 61 99 94
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 25 19.6 5 10 12 12 48.0
2017 22.8 16 17.8 -2 9 12 7 43.8
2019 22.7 4 4.1 0 3 2 2 50.0
2021 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 25 17 26 14 18 22 18 25 18 17 20 21 13 17 19 21 19 20 15 21 26 12 17 21 17 23 26 19 19 20 28
2017 16 18 24 17 18 19 17 18 19 12 19 18 16 14 17 19 15 20 12 17 22 18 18 19 19 18 19 18 17 16 22
2019 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 3 4 5 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 5 5
2021 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.1 93.7 -0.4 0.2
Offspeed Velocity 86 86.4 0.4 1.2
Breaking Velocity 85.4 85.9 0.5 0.3
Exit Velocity 86.9 88.7 1.8 -2.8
Launch Angle 7.2 9.1 1.9 -3.2
Barrel % 4.8 5.5 0.7 -1.5
Hard Hit % 28.9 35.1 6.2 -3.7
Sweet Spot % 29.3 27.8 -1.5 4.2
xBA .232 .247 0.015 -0.014
BA .246 .268 0.022 -0.011
xwOBA .306 .327 0.021 -0.042
wOBA .309 .345 0.036 -0.044
xSLG .362 .395 0.033 -0.039
SLG .382 .43 0.048 -0.056
K% 19.7 17.3 -2.4 10
BB% 8.6 10.7 2.1 -4.1
Swing % 47.3 45 -2.3 3.7
Whiff% 22.3 18.6 -3.7 6.6
In Zone % 49.6 52.6 3 -0.3
Out of Zone % 50.4 47.4 -3 0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 31.1 25 -6.1 5.2
First Pitch Swing % 29.8 28.6 -1.2 -0.2
First Pitch Strike % 60.8 58.1 -2.7 3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 800 .344 427 64 15.0 373 84 22.5
2017 726 .300 373 80 21.4 353 87 24.6
2019 104 .403 53 8 15.1 51 27 52.9
2021 116 .223 60 20 33.3 56 40 71.4

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2013 53 17.3 20.8% 0.0% 20 23.2 5.0% 20.0%
2014 312 18.1 13.5% 1.9% 194 23.6 0.0% 16.5%
2015 828 19.3 14.9% 6.5% 431 25.9 4.2% 34.3%
2016 847 19.2 15.0% 5.3% 563 26.4 3.6% 29.7%
2017 807 18.4 11.5% 2.4% 437 25.0 0.0% 18.1%
2019 121 18.7 14.0% 1.7% 103 22.6 0.0% 6.8%
2021 165 21.1 0.0% 4.8% 102 25.2 0.0% 19.6%

Pitch Distribution