P | Philadelphia Phillies
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 6 2.45 59 0 27 62.1 84 1.14
2024 6 9 3.64 58 0 23 54.1 66 1.16
2025 7 6 2.06 72 0 32 70 80 1.10
4 Seasons 18 25 2.44 246 0 90 254.1 319 1.09
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 59 3-6 2.45 62.1 84 1.14
2024 58 6-9 3.64 54.1 66 1.16
2025 72 7-6 2.06 70 80 1.10
4 Seasons 246 18-25 2.44 254.1 319 1.09
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1023 157 7 4.5 2.6 88.2 112.2 -1.1 25.5 .186 .268 .251 .232 .314 35.0 33.5 6.0 1.86 2.20
2023 25 1017 142 10 7.0 3.9 89.2 113.7 -3.7 21.1 .185 .288 .271 .250 .324 38.0 32.9 9.8 2.46 2.58
2024 26 881 141 5 3.5 2.2 87.0 109.9 -3.1 28.4 .207 .286 .292 .259 .322 36.2 28.9 6.6 3.64 2.76
2025 27 1073 185 8 4.3 2.8 89.4 113.6 -2.4 22.2 .211 .297 .248 .249 .313 41.6 27.9 6.6 2.06 2.55
Player 3994 625 30 4.8 2.9 88.5 113.7 -2.5 24.2 .198 .285 .264 .247 .318 37.9 30.8 7.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Duran relies on 4 pitches.
Split Finger
(40.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(35.0%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(19.1%) ,
Sweeper
(5.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 61.1 38.9 16.6 18.5 3.8 36.9 33.8 29.3 24.2 21.0 15.9 12.7 12.7 13.4
2023 66.2 33.8 15.5 14.8 3.5 33.1 42.3 24.6 27.5 27.5 11.3 5.6 14.8 13.4
2024 61.7 38.3 13.5 19.9 5.0 39.0 31.9 29.1 33.3 21.3 7.1 5.7 10.6 22.0
2025 65.4 34.6 15.1 17.8 1.6 33.0 40.0 27.0 28.1 28.1 9.2 4.9 11.9 17.8
Player 63.7 36.3 15.2 17.8 3.4 35.4 37.1 27.5 28.2 24.6 10.9 7.2 12.5 16.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.1 49.7 12.7 22.3 5.7 4.5 2.6
2023 7.0 50.0 12.0 20.4 3.5 7.0 3.9
2024 7.1 48.2 13.5 23.4 3.5 3.5 2.2
2025 4.3 48.6 13.5 26.5 2.7 4.3 2.8
Player 5.8 49.1 13.0 23.4 3.8 4.8 2.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sweeper PHI R 63 87.2 38.5 2.4 12.0GLV 0.1 -2.3 3.4 12.0GLV -1.9
2025 Curveball PHI R 205 87.6 46.1 2.0 5.6GLV 0.7 -10.4 0.5 5.6GLV -3.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 376 100.6 14.5 -2.8 13.2ARM 4.8 12.7 -3.1 13.2ARM 5.6
2025 Split-Finger PHI R 429 97.8 27.0 0.1 14.0ARM 0.0 1.7 1.3 14.0ARM 2.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 359 100.5 14.9 -2.8 12.3ARM 3.4 12.2 -3.5 12.3ARM 4.7
2024 Split-Finger MIN R 277 97.0 26.8 -0.4 11.5ARM -0.8 2.1 0.5 11.5ARM 0.8
2024 Curveball MIN R 244 86.1 46.4 1.5 6.2GLV 0.2 -9.5 -0.5 6.2GLV -3.2
2024 Sweeper MIN R 1 86.2 35.2 -0.6 13.2GLV 0.4 2.1 -0.6 13.2GLV -0.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Split-Finger 2.9 12 429 40.0 121 .237 .298 .256 23.2 12.4 19.5 .233 .334 .266 43.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 6 376 35.0 90 .225 .300 .274 32.9 32.2 26.1 .232 .315 .282 46.2
2025 Curveball 0.4 1 205 19.1 65 .190 .254 .224 41.8 50.8 31.7 .154 .224 .179 33.3
2025 Sweeper -0.3 0 63 5.9 7 .167 .167 .229 55.0 42.9 20.0 .128 .148 .199 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 359 40.7 83 .296 .408 .354 36.1 33.7 26.4 .205 .298 .281 33.3
2024 Split-Finger 1.7 5 277 31.4 85 .237 .362 .316 21.3 12.9 22.0 .252 .320 .280 37.7
2024 Curveball -0.4 -1 244 27.7 58 .151 .302 .226 46.7 46.6 25.5 .144 .218 .195 37.0
2024 Sweeper -2.7 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 376 100.6 99 18.4 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Split-Finger 388 97.7 88 14.9 1:45 3:00 -75
2025 Knuckle Curve 205 87.6 60 13.9 7:30 6:45 45
2025 Sweeper 63 87.2 55 13.4 7:45 8:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 358 100.5 99 17.4 1:45 1:30 15
2024 Split-Finger 263 97.0 86 12.2 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Knuckle Curve 243 86.1 61 13.4 7:45 7:00 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 263 1,023 4 13 -2 -3 13
2023 249 1,017 2 16 -4 -5 11
2024 226 881 4 7 -4 -4 3
2025 283 1,073 8 17 -3 -3 19
Player 1,021 3,994 19 54 -13 19 45
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,023 50.6 71.6 76.8 37.8 42.9 40.9 64.0 54.9 34.7 9.7 79.8
2023 1,017 49.8 72.8 74.0 30.1 42.2 42.0 59.9 51.4 35.4 7.4 74.7
2024 881 51.3 69.0 74.0 28.0 49.2 44.3 59.5 49.0 32.9 7.0 80.6
2025 1,073 51.2 72.7 80.2 32.8 43.6 44.7 58.1 53.2 30.8 7.6 80.5
Player 3,994 50.7 71.6 76.4 32.4 44.1 43.0 60.4 52.3 33.4 8.0 78.9
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 98 94 98 97 96 92 90 56 72 96 79 94 98 100 35 75 38
2023 99 98 97 90 90 79 65 43 58 96 29 95 67 100 16 78 57
2024 93 87 97 99 82 98 98 88 72 88 70 93 44 100 8 56 39
2025 97 84 96 99 90 93 95 45 41 83 74 87 91 100 11 63 28
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 22.53 6 4.1 2 2 3 2 33.3
2023 23.60 6 5.6 0 1 5 2 33.3
2024 24.24 4 4.5 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2025 22.62 3 3.2 0 3 2 2 66.7
Player 23.18 19 17.5 2 7 12 9 47.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 6 4 3 3 4 4 6 3 4 3 3 5 6 4 5 6 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 2 3 5 6 5 3 4
2023 6 7 4 6 5 5 7 6 5 4 6 5 7 4 7 8 7 5 7 5 5 6 7 7 5 4 6 5 7 5 2
2024 4 6 3 4 3 5 5 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 6 3 6 5 5 4 3 3 5 5 5
2025 3 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 5 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 3 5 4 4 3 2 3 5 5 3 4
Player 19 20 14 15 14 17 20 18 16 12 15 19 21 17 19 20 19 15 19 18 18 19 21 21 15 13 17 19 22 16 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .221 -.014 .235 +.028 .207 .000 .207
xBA .211 +.004 .207 +.022 .185 -.001 .186
OBP .279 -.026 .305 +.007 .298 +.033 .265
xOBP .271 -.011 .282 +.003 .279 +.030 .249
SLG .285 -.078 .363 +.039 .324 +.018 .306
xSLG .297 +.011 .286 -.002 .288 +.020 .268
ISO .065 -.062 .127 +.010 .117 +.018 .099
xISO .086 +.008 .078 -.026 .104 +.022 .082
BABIP .302 -.024 .326 +.025 .301 +.006 .295
wOBA .248 -.044 .292 +.021 .271 +.020 .251
xwOBA .249 -.010 .259 +.009 .250 +.018 .232
wOBACON .311 -.064 .375 +.014 .361 +.016 .345
xwOBACON .313 -.009 .322 -.002 .324 +.010 .314
BACON .314 -.031 .345 +.014 .331 +.008 .323
xBACON .301 -.006 .307 +.010 .297 +.002 .295
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.6 +5.4 36.2 -1.8 38.0 +3.0 35.0
Avg Exit Velocity 89.4 +2.4 87.0 -2.2 89.2 +1.0 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 22.2 -6.2 28.4 +7.3 21.1 -4.4 25.5
Barrel % 4.3 +0.8 3.5 -3.5 7.0 +2.5 4.5
Avg Launch Angle -2.4 +0.7 -3.1 +0.6 -3.7 -2.6 -1.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 +1.1 70.5 +0.6 69.9 -- --
Attack Angle +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 44.1 +2.1 42.0 +2.7 39.3 -- --
Attack Direction -3° 10° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 32° 32° -- --
Swing Length 6.9 0.0 6.9 +0.1 6.8 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 100.6 +0.1 100.5 -1.3 101.8 +1.0 100.8
Breaking Velocity 87.5 +1.4 86.1 -1.6 87.7 -0.3 88.0
Offspeed Velocity 97.8 +0.8 97.0 -1.4 98.4 +2.0 96.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 8 +3 5 -5 10 +3 7
Popup % 1.6 -3.4 5.0 +1.5 3.5 -0.3 3.8
Flyball % 15.1 +1.6 13.5 -2.0 15.5 -1.1 16.6
Line Drive % 17.8 -2.1 19.9 +5.1 14.8 -3.7 18.5
Groundball % 65.4 +3.7 61.7 -4.5 66.2 +5.1 61.1
Pull % 33.0 -6.0 39.0 +5.9 33.1 -3.8 36.9
Straight Away % 40.0 +8.1 31.9 -10.4 42.3 +8.5 33.8
Opposite Field % 27.0 -2.1 29.1 +4.5 24.6 -4.7 29.3
Weak Contact % 4.3 -2.8 7.1 +0.1 7.0 +1.9 5.1
Pull Airball % 4.9 -0.8 5.7 +0.1 5.6 -7.1 12.7
Topped Contact % 48.6 +0.4 48.2 -1.8 50.0 +0.3 49.7
Under Contact % 13.5 0.0 13.5 +1.5 12.0 -0.7 12.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.5 +3.1 23.4 +3.0 20.4 -1.9 22.3
Solid Contact % 2.7 -0.8 3.5 0.0 3.5 -2.2 5.7
HR/FB % 10.7 -10.4 21.1 -6.2 27.3 +4.2 23.1
Popups 3 -4 7 +2 5 -1 6
Flyballs 28 +9 19 -3 22 -4 26
Line Drives 33 +5 28 +7 21 -8 29
Groundballs 121 +34 87 -7 94 -2 96
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.2 -0.1 51.3 +1.5 49.8 -0.8 50.6
Out of Zone % 48.8 +0.1 48.7 -1.5 50.2 +0.8 49.4
Edge % 44.7 +0.4 44.3 +2.3 42.0 +1.1 40.9
Zone Swing % 72.7 +3.7 69.0 -3.8 72.8 +1.2 71.6
Out of Zone Swing % 32.8 +4.8 28.0 -2.1 30.1 -7.7 37.8
In Zone Contact % 80.2 +6.2 74.0 0.0 74.0 -2.8 76.8
Out of Zone Contact % 43.6 -5.6 49.2 +7.0 42.2 -0.7 42.9
Whiff % 30.8 -2.1 32.9 -2.5 35.4 +0.7 34.7
First Strike % 58.1 -1.4 59.5 -0.4 59.9 -4.1 64.0
First Pitch Swing % 35.6 +3.0 32.6 -1.5 34.1 -3.0 37.1
Swing % 53.2 +4.2 49.0 -2.4 51.4 -3.5 54.9
Meatball Swing % 80.5 -0.1 80.6 +5.9 74.7 -5.1 79.8
Meatball % 7.6 +0.6 7.0 -0.4 7.4 -2.3 9.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 19.8 -6.2 26.0 0.0 26.0 +2.8 23.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 56.4 +5.6 50.8 -7.0 57.8 +0.7 57.1
In Zone 549 +97 452 -55 507 -11 518
Out of Zone 524 +95 429 -82 511 +6 505
Edge 480 +90 390 -38 428 +10 418
In Zone Swings 399 +87 312 -57 369 -2 371
Out of Zone Swings 172 +52 120 -34 154 -37 191
In Zone Swing & Misses 79 -2 81 -15 96 +10 86
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 97 +36 61 -28 89 -20 109
Basic
Pitches 1,073 +192 881 -136 1,017 -6 1,023
PA 287 +59 228 -27 255 -11 266
AB 263 +59 204 -18 222 -20 242
Hits 58 +10 48 +2 46 -4 50
Singles 47 +16 31 -1 32 -7 39
Doubles 8 -4 12 +4 8 +4 4
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0 -1 1
Home Runs 3 -1 4 -2 6 0 6
Walks 19 +4 15 -10 25 +9 16
Strikeouts 80 +14 66 -18 84 -5 89
K% 27.9 -1.0 28.9 -4.0 32.9 -0.6 33.5
BB% 6.6 0.0 6.6 -3.2 9.8 +3.8 6.0
HBP 3 -3 6 +2 4 0 4
Batted Balls 185 +44 141 -1 142 -15 157
Number of Fastballs 376 +17 359 -98 457 -50 507
Number of Offspeed 429 +152 277 -1 278 +114 164
Number of Breaking 205 -39 244 -38 282 -70 352
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 262 .251 141 14 9.9 121 36 29.8
2023 Shades 249 .270 125 17 13.6 124 52 41.9
2024 Shades 226 .292 114 6 5.3 112 52 46.4
2025 Shades 283 .248 133 5 3.8 150 62 41.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 251 17.0 28.3% 1.2% 130 26.7 0.0% 27.7%
2023 197 15.7 39.1% 1.0% 179 20.6 0.6% 2.8%
2024 232 15.6 36.2% 0.4% 128 20.5 0.0% 3.9%
2025 241 16.3 24.5% 2.5% 152 21.0 0.0% 3.9%

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Pitch Distribution