P | Philadelphia Phillies
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230 lbs | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 6 9 3.64 58 0 23 54.1 66 1.16
2025 7 6 2.06 72 0 32 70 80 1.10
2026 1 3 2.08 23 0 16 21.2 33 0.97
5 Seasons 19 28 2.41 269 0 106 276 352 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 58 6-9 3.64 54.1 66 1.16
2025 72 7-6 2.06 70 80 1.10
2026 23 1-3 2.08 21.2 33 0.97
5 Seasons 269 19-28 2.41 276 352 1.08
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1023 157 7 4.5 2.6 88.2 112.2 -1.1 25.5 .187 .275 .251 .234 .317 35.0 33.5 6.0 1.86 2.19
2023 25 1017 142 10 7.0 3.9 89.2 113.7 -3.7 21.1 .182 .289 .271 .251 .324 38.0 32.9 9.8 2.46 2.60
2024 26 881 141 5 3.6 2.2 87.0 109.9 -3.1 28.4 .207 .291 .292 .265 .332 36.2 28.9 6.6 3.64 2.81
2025 27 1073 185 8 4.3 2.8 89.4 113.6 -2.4 22.2 .210 .296 .248 .248 .312 41.6 27.9 6.6 2.06 2.51
2026 28 346 46 3 6.5 3.6 92.0 110.4 -0.2 28.3 .201 .294 .240 .243 .367 47.8 39.3 6.0 2.08 2.34
Player 4340 671 33 4.9 2.9 88.8 113.7 -2.4 24.4 .197 .288 .262 .248 .324 38.6 31.4 7.1
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Duran relies on 5 pitches.
Split Finger
(42.8%) ,
Four Seamer
(28.3%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(11.0%) ,
Sweeper
(9.8%) ,
Changeup
(8.1%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 61.1 38.9 16.6 18.5 3.8 36.9 33.8 29.3 24.2 21.0 15.9 12.7 12.7 13.4
2023 66.2 33.8 15.5 14.8 3.5 33.1 42.3 24.6 27.5 27.5 11.3 5.6 14.8 13.4
2024 61.7 38.3 13.5 19.9 5.0 39.0 31.9 29.1 33.3 21.3 7.1 5.7 10.6 22.0
2025 65.4 34.6 15.1 17.8 1.6 33.0 40.0 27.0 28.1 28.1 9.2 4.9 11.9 17.8
2026 58.7 41.3 15.2 21.7 4.3 45.7 28.3 26.1 26.1 28.3 4.3 19.6 0.0 21.7
Player 63.3 36.7 15.2 18.0 3.4 36.1 36.5 27.4 28.0 24.9 10.4 8.0 11.6 17.0
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.1 49.7 12.7 22.3 5.7 4.5 2.6
2023 7.0 50.0 12.0 20.4 3.5 7.0 3.9
2024 7.1 48.2 13.5 23.4 3.5 3.6 2.2
2025 4.3 48.6 13.5 26.5 2.7 4.3 2.8
2026 0.0 47.8 10.9 23.9 10.9 6.5 3.6
Player 5.4 49.0 12.8 23.4 4.3 4.9 2.9
MLB 4.0 32.3 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Curveball PHI R 38 88.0 44.2 1.2 2.5GLV -1.9 -8.9 -1.4 2.5GLV -6.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 98 100.2 13.7 -1.9 13.1ARM 5.5 13.7 -2.2 13.1ARM 5.3
2026 Changeup PHI R 28 89.3 33.3 3.3 9.8ARM -4.8 1.2 2.8 9.8ARM -4.8
2026 Split-Finger PHI R 148 97.6 24.5 -0.1 15.0ARM 0.0 4.4 -1.4 15.0ARM 3.4
2026 Sweeper PHI R 34 88.6 37.6 -0.4 9.9GLV -0.3 -2.7 3.8 9.9GLV -3.9
2025 Sweeper PHI R 62 87.2 38.5 2.1 12.2GLV 0.4 -2.3 3.2 12.2GLV -1.7
2025 Split-Finger PHI R 428 97.8 27.0 0.0 14.0ARM 0.0 1.7 1.4 14.0ARM 2.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 377 100.6 14.5 -2.7 13.2ARM 4.8 12.6 -3.2 13.2ARM 5.6
2025 Curveball PHI R 206 87.6 46.1 1.3 5.6GLV 0.4 -10.4 0.2 5.6GLV -3.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Split-Finger 1.5 2 148 42.8 38 .297 .405 .317 36.0 23.7 50.0 .268 .420 .307 57.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 2 98 28.3 26 .174 .217 .233 38.9 46.2 29.3 .188 .237 .245 36.4
2026 Curveball -0.7 0 38 11.0 5 .200 .400 .250 56.3 40.0 13.3 .267 .377 .276 66.7
2026 Sweeper 3.4 1 34 9.8 8 .000 .000 .088 75.0 75.0 37.5 .011 .012 .096 0.0
2026 Changeup 3.1 1 28 8.1 7 .000 .000 .000 18.2 57.1 25.0 .026 .036 .028 0.0
2025 Split-Finger 2.9 12 428 39.9 121 .237 .298 .256 23.2 12.4 19.5 .231 .330 .264 43.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 6 377 35.1 90 .225 .300 .274 32.9 32.2 26.1 .230 .317 .282 46.2
2025 Curveball 0.4 1 206 19.2 65 .190 .254 .224 41.8 50.8 31.7 .153 .225 .179 33.3
2025 Sweeper -0.3 0 62 5.8 7 .167 .167 .229 55.0 42.9 20.0 .125 .142 .197 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 19 89.2 82 10.3 2:15 2:45 -30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 98 100.2 99 19.0 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Split-Finger 143 97.6 91 16.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Knuckle Curve 38 88.0 48 11.3 7:30 6:30 60
2026 Sweeper 34 88.6 44 11.7 7:30 8:15 -45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 377 100.6 99 18.4 1:45 1:45 0
2025 Split-Finger 387 97.7 88 14.9 1:45 3:00 -75
2025 Knuckle Curve 206 87.6 60 13.8 7:30 6:45 45
2025 Sweeper 62 87.2 56 13.6 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 263 1,023 4 14 -2 -3 13
2023 249 1,017 2 16 -4 -5 11
2024 226 881 4 7 -4 -4 3
2025 283 1,073 8 17 -3 -3 19
2026 84 346 3 5 0 -1 6
Player 1,105 4,340 22 59 -14 22 51
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,023 50.5 71.6 77.0 37.9 42.7 41.0 64.0 54.9 34.7 9.8 80.0
2023 1,017 49.9 72.8 74.0 30.2 42.2 42.2 59.9 51.4 35.4 7.4 74.7
2024 881 51.2 69.2 74.0 27.9 49.2 44.3 59.5 49.0 32.9 7.0 80.6
2025 1,073 51.1 72.8 80.2 32.8 43.6 44.7 58.1 53.2 30.8 7.6 80.5
2026 346 43.4 74.0 72.1 34.7 39.7 39.0 52.4 51.7 40.2 6.1 81.0
Player 4,340 50.1 71.8 76.2 32.6 43.6 42.7 59.8 52.2 34.0 7.8 79.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 84 82 85 31 98 100 35 75 56 98 94 96 79 90 72 98 38
2023 79 60 55 93 99 100 16 77 43 68 95 96 29 66 58 99 57
2024 57 40 35 89 92 100 8 56 88 39 93 88 70 97 72 99 39
2025 93 76 53 99 98 100 11 63 45 91 87 83 74 95 41 100 28
2026 80 62 58 89 97 100 8 3 86 99 100 85 64 7 96 13
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 22.53 6 4.1 2 2 3 2 33.3
2023 23.60 6 5.6 0 1 5 2 33.3
2024 24.24 4 4.5 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2025 22.62 3 3.2 0 3 2 2 66.7
2026 21.99 1 1.2 0 0 2 0 0.0
Player 23.12 20 18.7 1 7 14 9 45.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 6 4 3 3 4 4 6 3 4 3 3 5 6 4 5 6 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 5 2 3 5 6 5 3 4
2023 6 7 4 6 5 5 7 6 5 4 6 5 7 4 7 8 7 5 7 5 5 6 7 7 5 4 6 5 7 5 2
2024 4 6 3 4 3 5 5 6 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 6 3 6 5 5 4 3 3 5 5 5
2025 3 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 5 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 3 5 4 4 3 2 3 5 5 3 4
2026 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 0
Player 20 21 15 16 16 19 22 19 18 14 17 21 21 18 21 21 20 16 20 20 18 20 23 22 15 13 19 21 23 17 15
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .203 -.018 .221 -.014 .235 +.028 .207 .000 .207
xBA .201 -.009 .210 +.003 .207 +.025 .182 -.005 .187
OBP .250 -.029 .279 -.026 .305 +.007 .298 +.033 .265
xOBP .248 -.021 .269 -.013 .282 +.006 .276 +.027 .249
SLG .278 -.007 .285 -.078 .363 +.039 .324 +.018 .306
xSLG .294 -.002 .296 +.005 .291 +.002 .289 +.014 .275
ISO .076 +.011 .065 -.062 .127 +.010 .117 +.018 .099
xISO .093 +.006 .087 +.003 .084 -.023 .107 +.018 .089
BABIP .333 +.031 .302 -.024 .326 +.025 .301 +.006 .295
wOBA .240 -.008 .248 -.044 .292 +.021 .271 +.020 .251
xwOBA .243 -.005 .248 -.017 .265 +.014 .251 +.017 .234
wOBAcon .362 +.051 .311 -.064 .375 +.014 .361 +.016 .345
xwOBAcon .367 +.055 .312 -.020 .332 +.008 .324 +.007 .317
BACON .348 +.034 .314 -.031 .345 +.014 .331 +.008 .323
xBACON .344 +.045 .299 -.008 .307 +.015 .292 -.003 .295
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 47.8 +6.2 41.6 +5.4 36.2 -1.8 38.0 +3.0 35.0
Avg Exit Velocity 92.0 +2.6 89.4 +2.4 87.0 -2.2 89.2 +1.0 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 28.3 +6.1 22.2 -6.2 28.4 +7.3 21.1 -4.4 25.5
Barrel % 6.5 +2.2 4.3 +0.7 3.6 -3.4 7.0 +2.5 4.5
Avg Launch Angle -0.2 +2.2 -2.4 +0.7 -3.1 +0.6 -3.7 -2.6 -1.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.5 -0.1 71.6 +1.1 70.5 +0.6 69.9 -- --
Attack Angle +2° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 44.1 0.0 44.1 +2.1 42.0 +2.3 39.7 -- --
Attack Direction -3° -3° 10° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +2° 32° 32° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.1 +0.2 6.9 0.0 6.9 +0.1 6.8 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 100.2 -0.4 100.6 +0.1 100.5 -1.3 101.8 +1.0 100.8
Breaking Velocity 88.3 +0.8 87.5 +1.4 86.1 -1.6 87.7 -0.3 88.0
Offspeed Velocity 96.3 -1.5 97.8 +0.8 97.0 -1.3 98.3 +1.9 96.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -5 8 +3 5 -5 10 +3 7
Popup % 4.3 +2.7 1.6 -3.4 5.0 +1.5 3.5 -0.3 3.8
Flyball % 15.2 +0.1 15.1 +1.6 13.5 -2.0 15.5 -1.1 16.6
Line Drive % 21.7 +3.9 17.8 -2.1 19.9 +5.1 14.8 -3.7 18.5
Groundball % 58.7 -6.7 65.4 +3.7 61.7 -4.5 66.2 +5.1 61.1
Pull % 45.7 +12.7 33.0 -6.0 39.0 +5.9 33.1 -3.8 36.9
Straight Away % 28.3 -11.7 40.0 +8.1 31.9 -10.4 42.3 +8.5 33.8
Opposite Field % 26.1 -0.9 27.0 -2.1 29.1 +4.5 24.6 -4.7 29.3
Weak Contact % 0.0 -4.3 4.3 -2.8 7.1 +0.1 7.0 +1.9 5.1
Pull Airball % 19.6 +14.7 4.9 -0.8 5.7 +0.1 5.6 -7.1 12.7
Topped Contact % 47.8 -0.8 48.6 +0.4 48.2 -1.8 50.0 +0.3 49.7
Under Contact % 10.9 -2.6 13.5 0.0 13.5 +1.5 12.0 -0.7 12.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.9 -2.6 26.5 +3.1 23.4 +3.0 20.4 -1.9 22.3
Solid Contact % 10.9 +8.2 2.7 -0.8 3.5 0.0 3.5 -2.2 5.7
HR/FB % 14.3 +3.6 10.7 -10.4 21.1 -6.2 27.3 +4.2 23.1
Popups 2 -1 3 -4 7 +2 5 -1 6
Flyballs 7 -21 28 +9 19 -3 22 -4 26
Line Drives 10 -23 33 +5 28 +7 21 -8 29
Groundballs 27 -94 121 +34 87 -7 94 -2 96
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 43.4 -7.7 51.1 -0.1 51.2 +1.3 49.9 -0.6 50.5
Out of Zone % 56.6 +7.7 48.9 +0.1 48.8 -1.3 50.1 +0.6 49.5
Edge % 39.0 -5.7 44.7 +0.4 44.3 +2.1 42.2 +1.2 41.0
Zone Swing % 74.0 +1.2 72.8 +3.6 69.2 -3.6 72.8 +1.2 71.6
Out of Zone Swing % 34.7 +1.9 32.8 +4.9 27.9 -2.3 30.2 -7.7 37.9
In Zone Contact % 72.1 -8.1 80.2 +6.2 74.0 0.0 74.0 -3.0 77.0
Out of Zone Contact % 39.7 -3.9 43.6 -5.6 49.2 +7.0 42.2 -0.5 42.7
Whiff % 40.2 +9.4 30.8 -2.1 32.9 -2.5 35.4 +0.7 34.7
First Strike % 52.4 -5.7 58.1 -1.4 59.5 -0.4 59.9 -4.1 64.0
First Pitch Swing % 31.0 -4.6 35.6 +3.0 32.6 -1.5 34.1 -3.0 37.1
Swing % 51.7 -1.5 53.2 +4.2 49.0 -2.4 51.4 -3.5 54.9
Meatball Swing % 81.0 +0.5 80.5 -0.1 80.6 +5.9 74.7 -5.3 80.0
Meatball % 6.1 -1.5 7.6 +0.6 7.0 -0.4 7.4 -2.4 9.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 27.9 +8.1 19.8 -6.2 26.0 0.0 26.0 +3.0 23.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 60.3 +3.9 56.4 +5.6 50.8 -7.0 57.8 +0.5 57.3
In Zone 150 -398 548 +97 451 -56 507 -10 517
Out of Zone 196 -329 525 +95 430 -80 510 +4 506
Edge 135 -345 480 +90 390 -39 429 +10 419
In Zone Swings 111 -288 399 +87 312 -57 369 -1 370
Out of Zone Swings 68 -104 172 +52 120 -34 154 -38 192
In Zone Swing & Misses 31 -48 79 -2 81 -15 96 +11 85
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 41 -56 97 +36 61 -28 89 -21 110
Basic
Pitches 346 -727 1,073 +192 881 -136 1,017 -6 1,023
PA 84 -203 287 +59 228 -27 255 -11 266
AB 79 -184 263 +59 204 -18 222 -20 242
Hits 16 -42 58 +10 48 +2 46 -4 50
Singles 12 -35 47 +16 31 -1 32 -7 39
Doubles 3 -5 8 -4 12 +4 8 +4 4
Triples 0 0 0 -1 1 +1 0 -1 1
Home Runs 1 -2 3 -1 4 -2 6 0 6
Walks 5 -14 19 +4 15 -10 25 +9 16
Strikeouts 33 -47 80 +14 66 -18 84 -5 89
K% 39.3 +11.4 27.9 -1.0 28.9 -4.0 32.9 -0.6 33.5
BB% 6.0 -0.6 6.6 0.0 6.6 -3.2 9.8 +3.8 6.0
HBP 0 -3 3 -3 6 +2 4 0 4
Batted Balls 46 -139 185 +44 141 -1 142 -15 157
Fastball Percent 28.3 -6.8 35.1 -5.6 40.7 -4.4 45.1 -4.1 49.2
Offspeed Percent 50.9 +11.0 39.9 +8.5 31.4 +4.3 27.1 +10.7 16.4
Breaking Percent 20.8 -4.2 25.0 -2.8 27.8 +0.1 27.7 -6.7 34.4
Number of Fastballs 98 -279 377 +18 359 -100 459 -44 503
Number of Offspeed 176 -252 428 +151 277 +1 276 +108 168
Number of Breaking 72 -196 268 +23 245 -37 282 -70 352
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 262 .251 141 14 9.9 121 36 29.8
2023 Shades 249 .270 125 17 13.6 124 52 41.9
2024 Shades 226 .292 114 6 5.3 112 52 46.4
2025 Shades 283 .248 133 5 3.8 150 62 41.3
2026 Shades 84 .240 34 0 0.0 50 3 6.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 251 17.0 28.3% 1.2% 130 26.7 0.0% 27.7%
2023 197 15.7 39.1% 1.0% 179 20.6 0.6% 2.8%
2024 232 15.6 36.2% 0.4% 128 20.5 0.0% 3.9%
2025 241 16.3 24.5% 2.5% 152 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2026 80 17.1 17.5% 6.3% 53 21.4 0.0% 7.5%

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Pitch Distribution