Javy Guerra
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 215LBS | Age: 38
Draft: 2004 | Rd: 4, #118, Los Angeles Dodgers | Billy Ryan HS (TX)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 3 1 4.66 51 0 2 67.2 57 1.24
2020 0 0 4.02 14 0 0 15.2 13 1.66
2021 0 1 16.50 6 0 0 6 4 2.50
11 Seasons 11 13 3.98 272 0 33 302.2 245 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 51 3-1 4.66 67.2 57 1.24
2020 14 0-0 4.02 15.2 13 1.66
2021 6 0-1 16.50 6 4 2.50
11 Seasons 272 11-13 3.98 302.2 245 1.41
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 36 6 0 0.0 0.0 82.8 91.9 24.9 33.3 .322 .359 .350 .352 .296 0.0 0.0 14.3 0.00 5.30
2016 30 134 18 1 5.6 3.3 91.3 108.1 9.2 22.2 .191 .334 .371 .335 .270 33.3 13.3 23.3 5.68 4.81
2017 31 320 69 4 5.8 4.5 87.7 110.9 11.6 23.2 .259 .414 .325 .313 .335 42.0 13.6 8.0 3.00 4.21
2018 32 587 117 5 4.3 3.1 89.3 111.3 10.0 31.6 .271 .415 .355 .327 .370 40.2 18.5 7.4 5.55 4.57
2019 33 1076 212 17 8.0 5.9 89.4 114.1 17.7 34.4 .244 .437 .301 .305 .359 37.7 19.9 5.9 4.66 4.08
2020 34 286 50 4 8.0 5.7 91.8 108.8 22.1 34.0 .256 .416 .356 .328 .362 40.0 18.6 10.0 4.02 4.61
2021 35 148 26 5 19.2 13.5 94.8 109.4 15.4 46.2 .398 .825 .540 .530 .573 50.0 10.8 8.1 16.50 16.15
Player 2587 498 36 7.2 5.3 89.6 114.1 15.2 32.3 .260 .440 .339 .327 .366 39.2 17.6 7.9
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(45.9%) ,
Slider
(33.8%) ,
Curveball
(8.8%) ,
Sinker
(8.8%) ,
Changeup
(2.7%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 33.3 0.0 33.3 33.3 33.3 0.0 66.7 0.0 50.0 33.3 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 55.6 27.8 11.1 5.6 16.7 66.7 16.7 0.0 44.4 33.3 16.7 0.0 5.6 3.3
2017 52.2 17.4 20.3 10.1 37.7 44.9 17.4 2.9 36.2 23.2 29.0 2.9 5.8 4.5
2018 45.3 23.9 26.5 4.3 28.2 42.7 29.1 3.4 33.3 22.2 26.5 8.5 4.3 3.1
2019 34.0 29.7 27.4 9.0 28.3 39.2 32.5 2.4 25.0 33.0 24.5 6.1 8.0 5.9
2020 28.0 36.0 28.0 8.0 30.0 42.0 28.0 0.0 22.0 38.0 24.0 6.0 8.0 5.7
2021 34.6 23.1 30.8 11.5 34.6 34.6 30.8 3.8 19.2 26.9 26.9 3.8 19.2 13.5
Player 39.4 26.5 25.9 8.2 29.7 41.4 28.9 2.4 28.9 29.3 25.3 5.8 7.2 5.3
MLB 44.5 23.7 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker WSH R 13 90.8 15.2 -3.9 -20 7.5 -4.6 -38
2021 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 68 91.7 13.9 0.7 5 1.8 -3.8 -68
2021 Changeup WSH R 4 82.6 26.8 -2.7 -9 7.3 -5.1 -41
2021 Curveball WSH R 13 78.5 51.3 -3.0 -6 6.5 0.9 15
2021 Slider WSH R 50 87.9 26.8 -5.7 -18 4.1 0.5 14
2020 Slider WSH R 48 85.9 30.5 -4.4 -13 5.8 1.2 27
2020 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 187 91.8 12.6 1.9 13 2.8 -3.2 -53
2020 Curveball WSH R 24 78.8 51.7 -4.1 -7 4.5 -0.9 -17
2020 Changeup WSH R 22 84.2 25.7 -2.3 -8 8.1 -3.8 -32
2020 Sinker WSH R 5 90.3 13.1 -6.9 -34 4.8 -7.9 -62
2019 Curveball WSH R 77 79.0 54.3 -0.4 -1 5.2 -0.7 -12
2019 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 636 92.7 14.0 1.4 9 4.5 -2.1 -32
2019 Changeup WSH R 94 83.6 27.6 -3.2 -10 9.1 -3.4 -27
2019 Slider WSH R 269 85.2 35.3 -1.0 -3 4.3 -0.3 -7
2018 4-Seam Fastball MIA R 301 93.3 13.3 1.7 11 4.3 -2.2 -34
2018 Slider MIA R 159 88.0 28.4 -3.9 -12 4.1 0.4 10
2018 Curveball MIA R 94 79.5 53.0 -1.7 -3 4.0 -2.6 -40
2018 Changeup MIA R 32 85.2 24.3 -5.9 -19 9.3 -3.6 -28
2017 Cutter MIA R 5 93.7 7.2 7.5 51 1.6 0.1 8
2017 Curveball MIA R 30 78.7 52.0 -2.1 -4 5.2 -1.8 -25
2017 Changeup MIA R 19 83.7 24.8 -3.9 -14 5.9 -7.2 -55
2017 4-Seam Fastball MIA R 172 92.2 12.9 1.3 9 3.6 -2.8 -43
2017 Slider MIA R 93 87.1 26.3 -4.9 -16 4.9 1.5 45
2016 Cutter LAA R 3 91.3 13.2 9.7 42 1.0 -1.2 -53
2016 4-Seam Fastball LAA R 66 93.2 12.7 1.9 13 2.7 -4.4 -62
2016 Changeup LAA R 2 84.2 28.4 -1.6 -5 12.5 0.0 0
2016 Curveball LAA R 11 77.1 59.3 2.3 4 4.5 -2.7 -37
2016 Slider LAA R 48 86.6 31.6 -1.3 -4 5.1 -0.3 -6
2015 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 27 92.8 13.2 2.3 15 5.7 -1.2 -18
2015 Cutter CWS R 1 89.8 16.3 8.0 33 0.8 -2.4 -149
2015 Slider CWS R 6 88.2 27.2 -4.8 -15 0.7 -4.4 -86
2015 Curveball CWS R 2 77.7 60.1 3.8 7 7.2 -0.9 -11
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seam Fastball -9.2 -6 68 45.9 17 .500 1.083 .672 14.3 11.8 10.0 .429 .996 .621 54.5
2021 Slider -6.1 -3 50 33.8 11 .444 .778 .636 20.8 18.2 10.5 .360 .693 .490 42.9
2021 Sinker 6.5 1 13 8.8 4 .000 .000 .175 0.0 0.0 0.0 .301 .614 .459 33.3
2021 Curveball -9.7 -1 13 8.8 4 .333 .667 .313 14.3 0.0 0.0 .313 .667 .303 50.0
2021 Changeup -1.9 0 4 2.7 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .900 1.070 .855 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 2 187 65.4 48 .238 .381 .321 24.7 20.8 16.1 .183 .299 .267 37.5
2020 Slider -0.8 0 48 16.8 12 .333 .417 .359 28.0 8.3 7.7 .420 .744 .493 36.4
2020 Curveball -2.3 -1 24 8.4 3 .667 .667 .600 16.7 0.0 0.0 .638 .790 .620 66.7
2020 Changeup -10.7 -2 22 7.7 6 .500 .833 .567 18.2 33.3 20.0 .279 .449 .309 50.0
2020 Sinker -3.8 0 5 1.7 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 -- -- -- .700 --
2019 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 6 636 59.1 174 .248 .412 .309 14.4 18.4 16.2 .239 .427 .299 36.8
2019 Slider -0.9 -2 269 25.0 67 .267 .450 .345 25.7 23.9 21.1 .263 .483 .336 43.5
2019 Changeup -1.2 -1 94 8.7 27 .269 .462 .359 36.0 25.9 20.6 .193 .279 .218 26.3
2019 Curveball -2.2 -2 77 7.2 16 .188 .438 .277 6.7 12.5 7.7 .317 .646 .394 42.9
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -3 301 51.3 84 .310 .563 .405 20.4 20.2 17.0 .275 .463 .358 45.6
2018 Slider -2.4 -4 159 27.1 44 .317 .488 .411 12.2 9.1 17.4 .296 .406 .332 27.0
2018 Curveball -3.5 -3 94 16.0 26 .269 .346 .296 22.0 26.9 15.2 .265 .371 .302 52.6
2018 Changeup 4.1 1 32 5.5 6 .000 .000 .000 46.2 33.3 18.2 .089 .101 .086 25.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball -2.8 -5 172 53.8 47 .375 .600 .455 8.2 10.6 9.6 .308 .548 .403 50.0
2017 Slider 2.3 2 93 29.1 24 .167 .208 .202 18.0 20.8 17.2 .211 .266 .206 36.8
2017 Curveball 4.3 1 30 9.4 9 .111 .111 .100 7.7 22.2 16.7 .105 .123 .097 0.0
2017 Changeup -5.3 -1 19 5.9 6 .333 .333 .300 12.5 0.0 0.0 .311 .527 .349 50.0
2017 Cutter -32.5 -2 5 1.6 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .533 .596 .484 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Curveball 13 78.5 50 11.9 7:00 7:15 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 68 91.7 96 18.0 12:15 12:15 0
2021 Sinker 13 90.8 97 19.0 12:30 12:45 -15
2021 Slider 50 87.9 59 8.9 12:00 10:45 75
2020 Changeup 22 84.2 96 14.5 12:45 1:15 -30
2020 Curveball 24 78.8 51 12.0 7:15 7:00 15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 182 91.8 98 19.4 12:15 12:15 0
2020 Slider 48 85.9 48 8.6 11:15 10:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 194 811 10 8 -7 -4 8
2012 191 732 3 6 -6 -3 0
2013 55 233 1 1 -4 -2 -4
2014 193 754 2 8 -4 -4 1
2016 29 130 2 1 -2 -2 -1
2017 87 319 1 -1 -2 -1 -4
2018 160 586 -6 2 -3 -1 -9
2019 299 1,118 12 0 -9 -2 0
2020 70 286 -1 2 -2 -1 -2
2021 37 148 -6 1 -2 -3 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 36 44.4 56.3 100.0 35.0 85.7 52.8 57.1 44.4 6.3 5.6 50.0
2016 134 48.5 73.8 87.5 17.4 50.0 37.3 46.7 44.8 20.0 6.7 100.0
2017 320 53.9 71.5 92.7 32.7 79.2 45.8 67.0 53.4 11.1 9.1 75.9
2018 587 53.1 71.7 85.2 27.3 65.3 45.7 65.0 50.8 19.5 10.4 68.9
2019 1,076 55.7 71.1 86.2 31.0 65.5 42.5 63.5 53.3 18.6 10.1 77.1
2020 286 53.1 72.4 80.9 22.4 53.3 45.8 58.6 49.0 25.0 8.0 87.0
2021 148 50.7 74.7 89.3 26.0 68.4 41.2 48.6 50.7 14.7 4.1 66.7
Player 2,587 53.8 71.6 86.5 28.4 66.4 43.8 62.2 51.6 18.2 9.2 76.2
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 54 37 12
2017 39 8 31
2018 56 26 39 29
2019 59 49 34 27 76 47 30 28 40 25 81 6 70 41 16 22 13
2020 27 38 28
2021 20 25 30
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.7 93.1 0.4 92.3 -0.8 93.3 1.0 92.7 -0.6 91.8 -0.9 91.5 -0.3
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 84.2 0.0 83.7 -0.5 85.2 1.5 83.6 -1.6 84.2 0.6 82.6 -1.6
Breaking Velocity 85.6 84.8 -0.8 85.0 0.2 84.9 -0.1 83.8 -1.1 83.5 -0.3 86.0 2.5
Exit Velocity 82.8 91.3 8.5 87.7 -3.6 89.3 1.6 89.4 0.1 91.8 2.4 94.8 3.0
Launch Angle 24.9 9.2 -15.7 11.6 2.4 10.0 -1.6 17.7 7.7 22.1 4.4 15.4 -6.7
Barrel % 0.0 5.6 5.6 5.8 0.2 4.3 -1.5 8.0 3.7 8.0 0.0 19.2 11.2
Hard Hit % 0.0 33.3 33.3 42.0 8.7 40.2 -1.8 37.7 -2.5 40.0 2.3 50.0 10.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.3 22.2 -11.1 23.2 1.0 31.6 8.4 34.4 2.8 34.0 -0.4 46.2 12.2
xBA .322 .191 -0.131 .259 0.068 .271 0.012 .244 -0.027 .256 0.012 .398 0.142
BA .333 .227 -0.106 .287 0.060 .292 0.005 .251 -0.041 .302 0.051 .429 0.127
xwOBA .352 .335 -0.017 .313 -0.022 .327 0.014 .305 -0.022 .328 0.023 .530 0.202
wOBA .350 .371 0.021 .325 -0.046 .355 0.030 .301 -0.054 .356 0.055 .540 0.184
xSLG .359 .334 -0.025 .414 0.080 .415 0.001 .437 0.022 .416 -0.021 .825 0.409
SLG .333 .409 0.076 .412 0.003 .479 0.067 .427 -0.052 .444 0.017 .821 0.377
K% 0.0 13.3 13.3 13.6 0.3 18.5 4.9 19.9 1.4 18.6 -1.3 10.8 -7.8
BB% 14.3 23.3 9.0 8.0 -15.3 7.4 -0.6 5.9 -1.5 10.0 4.1 8.1 -1.9
Swing % 44.4 44.8 0.4 53.4 8.6 50.8 -2.6 53.3 2.5 49.0 -4.3 50.7 1.7
Whiff% 6.3 20.0 13.7 11.1 -8.9 19.5 8.4 18.6 -0.9 25.0 6.4 14.7 -10.3
In Zone % 44.4 48.5 4.1 53.9 5.4 53.1 -0.8 55.7 2.6 53.1 -2.6 50.7 -2.4
Out of Zone % 55.6 51.5 -4.1 46.1 -5.4 46.9 0.8 44.3 -2.6 46.9 2.6 49.3 2.4
Out of Zone Swing % 35.0 17.4 -17.6 32.7 15.3 27.3 -5.4 31.0 3.7 22.4 -8.6 26.0 3.6
First Pitch Swing % 14.3 20.0 5.7 31.8 11.8 28.1 -3.7 29.1 1.0 32.9 3.8 21.6 -11.3
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 46.7 -10.4 67.0 20.3 65.0 -2.0 63.5 -1.5 58.6 -4.9 48.6 -10.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 29 .371 23 2 8.7 6 5 83.3
2017 Shifts 87 .325 47 0 0.0 40 2 5.0
2018 Shifts 160 .355 82 23 28.0 78 20 25.6
2019 Shifts 284 .301 166 6 3.6 118 51 43.2
2020 Shifts 70 .356 38 9 23.7 32 27 84.4
2021 Shifts 37 .540 19 6 31.6 18 10 55.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2011 226 19.0 6.2% 2.2% 152 21.8 0.0% 5.3%
2012 177 19.4 4.0% 2.3% 154 23.9 0.6% 7.1%
2013 49 19.2 16.3% 0.0% 44 22.0 0.0% 9.1%
2014 196 19.4 3.1% 5.6% 136 22.6 0.0% 7.4%
2015 10 23.9 20.0% 20.0% 7 25.8 14.3% 28.6%
2016 30 21.8 6.7% 10.0% 27 21.5 3.7% 7.4%
2017 69 19.4 0.0% 2.9% 60 22.2 0.0% 5.0%
2018 141 17.5 16.3% 0.0% 119 19.5 4.2% 1.7%
2019 270 18.5 11.1% 1.1% 167 21.1 0.6% 3.0%
2020 85 21.5 0.0% 2.4% 44 22.5 0.0% 6.8%
2021 25 21.5 0.0% 4.0% 34 23.7 0.0% 17.6%
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Pitch Distribution