Javy Guerra
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 1" 215LBS | Age: 37

Draft: 2004 | Rd: 4, #118, Los Angeles Dodgers | Billy Ryan HS (TX)

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 1 16.50 6 0 0 6.0 4 2.50
11 Seasons 11 13 3.98 272 0 33 302.2 245 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 6 0-1 16.50 6.0 4 2.50
11 Seasons 272 11-13 3.98 302.2 245 1.41

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 36 6 0 0.0 0.0 82.8 91.9 24.9 33.3 .322 .359 .350 .352 .296 0.0 0.0 14.3 0.00 5.27
2016 30 134 18 1 5.6 3.3 91.3 108.1 9.2 22.2 .191 .334 .371 .335 .270 33.3 13.3 23.3 5.68 4.81
2017 31 320 69 4 5.8 4.5 87.7 110.9 11.6 23.2 .259 .415 .325 .313 .335 42.0 13.6 8.0 3.00 4.21
2018 32 587 117 5 4.3 3.1 89.3 111.3 10.0 31.6 .272 .415 .355 .327 .371 40.2 18.5 7.4 5.55 4.57
2019 33 1076 212 17 8.0 5.9 89.4 114.1 17.7 34.4 .245 .438 .301 .305 .360 37.7 19.9 5.9 4.66 4.08
2020 34 286 50 4 8.0 5.7 91.8 108.8 22.1 34.0 .257 .416 .356 .329 .363 40.0 18.6 10.0 4.02 4.64
2021 35 148 26 5 19.2 13.5 94.8 109.4 15.4 46.2 .398 .825 .540 .530 .573 50.0 10.8 8.1 16.50 16.15
Player 2587 498 36 7.2 5.3 89.6 114.1 15.2 32.3 .260 .440 .339 .327 .366 39.2 17.6 7.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(45.9%) ,
Slider
(33.8%) ,
Curveball
(8.8%) ,
Sinker
(8.8%) ,
Changeup
(2.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 33.3 0.0 33.3 33.3 33.3 0.0 66.7 0.0 50.0 33.3 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 55.6 27.8 11.1 5.6 16.7 66.7 16.7 0.0 44.4 33.3 16.7 0.0 5.6 3.3
2017 52.2 17.4 20.3 10.1 37.7 44.9 17.4 2.9 36.2 23.2 29.0 2.9 5.8 4.5
2018 45.3 23.9 26.5 4.3 28.2 42.7 29.1 3.4 33.3 22.2 26.5 8.5 4.3 3.1
2019 34.0 29.7 27.4 9.0 28.3 39.2 32.5 2.4 25.0 33.0 24.5 6.1 8.0 5.9
2020 28.0 36.0 28.0 8.0 30.0 42.0 28.0 0.0 22.0 38.0 24.0 6.0 8.0 5.7
2021 34.6 23.1 30.8 11.5 34.6 34.6 30.8 3.8 19.2 26.9 26.9 3.8 19.2 13.5
Player 39.4 26.5 25.9 8.2 29.7 41.4 28.9 2.4 28.9 29.3 25.3 5.8 7.2 5.3
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider WSH R 50 87.9 26.8 -5.5 -17 4.1 0.4 11
2021 4-Seamer WSH R 68 91.7 13.9 0.7 5 1.8 -3.8 -68
2021 Changeup WSH R 4 82.6 26.8 -2.7 -9 7.3 -5.1 -41
2021 Curveball WSH R 13 78.5 51.3 -3.0 -5 6.5 0.8 15
2021 Sinker WSH R 13 90.8 15.2 -3.9 -20 7.5 -4.6 -38
2020 Slider WSH R 48 85.9 30.5 -4.3 -12 5.8 1.2 27
2020 Sinker WSH R 5 90.3 13.1 -6.9 -34 4.8 -7.9 -62
2020 Curveball WSH R 24 78.8 51.7 -4.1 -7 4.5 -0.9 -17
2020 4-Seamer WSH R 187 91.8 12.6 1.9 13 2.8 -3.2 -53
2020 Changeup WSH R 22 84.2 25.7 -2.3 -8 8.1 -3.8 -32
2019 Slider WSH R 269 85.2 35.3 -1.0 -3 4.3 -0.4 -8
2019 Curveball WSH R 77 79.0 54.3 -0.4 -1 5.2 -0.7 -12
2019 4-Seamer WSH R 636 92.7 14.0 1.4 9 4.5 -2.1 -32
2019 Changeup WSH R 94 83.6 27.6 -3.3 -11 9.1 -3.3 -27
2018 Curveball MIA R 94 79.5 53.0 -1.7 -3 4.0 -2.7 -40
2018 4-Seamer MIA R 301 93.3 13.3 1.7 11 4.3 -2.2 -34
2018 Slider MIA R 159 88.0 28.4 -3.9 -12 4.1 0.4 10
2018 Changeup MIA R 32 85.2 24.3 -5.9 -20 9.3 -3.5 -27
2017 Slider MIA R 93 87.1 26.3 -5.1 -16 4.9 1.5 43
2017 Changeup MIA R 19 83.7 24.8 -4.0 -14 5.9 -7.1 -55
2017 4-Seamer MIA R 172 92.2 12.9 1.3 9 3.6 -2.8 -43
2017 Cutter MIA R 5 93.7 7.2 7.4 51 1.6 0.1 7
2017 Curveball MIA R 30 78.7 52.0 -2.1 -4 5.2 -1.8 -25
2016 Changeup LAA R 2 84.2 32.8 3.9 13 12.5 0.2 2
2016 Cutter LAA R 3 91.3 16.4 4.1 20 1.0 -0.9 -47
2016 4-Seamer LAA R 66 93.2 14.8 -1.8 -14 2.7 -4.4 -62
2016 Curveball LAA R 11 77.1 62.5 6.3 11 4.5 -3.0 -40
2016 Slider LAA R 48 86.6 32.6 1.4 5 5.1 -0.4 -8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer 9.3 6 68 45.9 17 .500 1.083 .672 14.3 11.8 10.0 .429 .996 .620 54.5
2021 Slider 6.1 3 50 33.8 11 .444 .778 .636 20.8 18.2 10.5 .360 .693 .490 42.9
2021 Sinker -6.5 -1 13 8.8 4 .000 .000 .175 0.0 0.0 0.0 .301 .614 .458 33.3
2021 Curveball 9.7 1 13 8.8 4 .333 .667 .313 14.3 0.0 0.0 .313 .667 .304 50.0
2021 Changeup 2.0 0 4 2.7 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .900 1.070 .855 100.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.8 -2 187 65.4 48 .238 .381 .321 24.7 20.8 16.1 .183 .299 .267 37.5
2020 Slider 0.8 0 48 16.8 12 .333 .417 .359 28.0 8.3 7.7 .420 .744 .493 36.4
2020 Curveball 2.3 1 24 8.4 3 .667 .667 .600 16.7 0.0 0.0 .638 .790 .620 66.7
2020 Changeup 10.7 2 22 7.7 6 .500 .833 .567 18.2 33.3 20.0 .279 .449 .309 50.0
2020 Sinker 3.8 0 5 1.7 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 -- -- -- .700 --
2019 4-Seamer -1.0 -6 636 59.1 174 .248 .412 .309 14.4 18.4 16.2 .239 .427 .299 36.8
2019 Slider 0.9 2 269 25.0 67 .267 .450 .345 25.7 23.9 21.1 .264 .483 .337 43.5
2019 Changeup 1.2 1 94 8.7 27 .269 .462 .359 36.0 25.9 20.6 .193 .279 .218 26.3
2019 Curveball 2.2 2 77 7.2 16 .188 .438 .277 6.7 12.5 7.7 .317 .646 .394 42.9
2018 4-Seamer 1.1 3 301 51.3 84 .310 .563 .405 20.4 20.2 17.0 .275 .463 .359 45.6
2018 Slider 2.4 4 159 27.1 44 .317 .488 .411 12.2 9.1 17.4 .297 .407 .333 27.0
2018 Curveball 3.5 3 94 16.0 26 .269 .346 .296 22.0 26.9 15.2 .265 .371 .302 52.6
2018 Changeup -4.1 -1 32 5.5 6 .000 .000 .000 46.2 33.3 18.2 .089 .101 .086 25.0
2017 4-Seamer 2.8 5 172 53.8 47 .375 .600 .455 8.2 10.6 9.6 .308 .548 .403 50.0
2017 Slider -2.3 -2 93 29.1 24 .167 .208 .202 18.0 20.8 17.2 .211 .266 .206 36.8
2017 Curveball -4.3 -1 30 9.4 9 .111 .111 .100 7.7 22.2 16.7 .105 .123 .097 0.0
2017 Changeup 5.3 1 19 5.9 6 .333 .333 .300 12.5 0.0 0.0 .312 .529 .351 50.0
2017 Cutter 32.5 2 5 1.6 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .533 .596 .484 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 22 84.2 96 14.5 12:45 1:15 -30
2020 Curveball 24 78.8 51 12.0 7:15 7:00 15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 182 91.8 98 19.4 12:15 12:15 0
2020 Slider 48 85.9 48 8.6 11:15 10:15 60
2021 Curveball 13 78.5 50 11.9 7:00 7:15 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 68 91.7 96 18.0 12:15 12:15 0
2021 Sinker 13 90.8 97 19.0 12:30 12:45 -15
2021 Slider 50 87.9 59 8.9 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 194 811 -10 -8 7 4 -8
2012 191 732 -3 -6 6 3 0
2013 55 233 -1 -1 4 2 4
2014 193 754 -2 -8 4 4 -1
2016 29 130 -2 -1 2 2 1
2017 87 319 -1 1 2 1 4
2018 160 586 7 -2 3 1 9
2019 299 1,118 -12 0 9 2 0
2020 70 286 1 -2 2 1 2
2021 37 148 6 -1 2 3 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 36 44.4 56.3 100.0 35.0 85.7 52.8 57.1 44.4 6.3 5.6 50.0
2016 134 48.5 73.8 87.5 17.4 50.0 37.3 46.7 44.8 20.0 6.7 100.0
2017 320 53.9 71.5 92.7 32.7 79.2 45.8 67.0 53.4 11.1 9.1 75.9
2018 587 53.1 71.7 85.2 27.3 65.3 45.7 65.0 50.8 19.5 10.4 68.9
2019 1,076 55.7 71.1 86.2 31.0 65.5 42.5 63.5 53.3 18.6 10.1 77.1
2020 286 53.1 72.4 80.9 22.4 53.3 45.8 58.6 49.0 25.0 8.0 87.0
2021 148 50.7 74.7 89.3 26.0 68.4 41.2 48.6 50.7 14.7 4.1 66.7
Player 2,587 53.8 71.6 86.5 28.4 66.4 43.8 62.2 51.6 18.2 9.2 76.2
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 56 35 12
2017 44 8 32
2018 61 24 40 29
2019 60 47 34 27 76 47 29 28 39 25 81 6 70 46 15 21 13
2020 35 36 27
2021 25 23 30
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.1 1 0.2 1 1 0 0 0.0
2017 23.7 2 2.4 0 4 3 0 0.0
2018 24.8 4 2.9 1 3 1 2 50.0
2019 23.7 11 10.7 0 8 8 4 36.4
2020 22.3 2 1.8 0 2 1 1 50.0
2021 25.0 3 3.0 0 0 0 3 100.0
Player 23.9 23 21.0 2 18 13 10 43.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
2017 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 5 2 1 1 2 3 2 3 1 2 5 3 1 4 3 1 3 1 1 3 3
2018 4 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 4
2019 11 13 15 10 9 10 10 13 13 10 13 10 6 9 9 11 9 13 7 10 14 8 9 11 10 13 11 9 11 10 14
2020 2 1 3 1 2 2 0 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2
2021 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Player 23 24 29 19 18 22 17 25 22 18 26 20 13 17 18 22 18 24 14 20 29 19 19 22 22 23 23 18 19 21 26
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.7 93.1 0.4 92.3 -0.8 93.3 1 92.7 -0.6 91.8 -0.9 91.5 -0.3
Offspeed Velocity 0 84.2 0 83.7 -0.5 85.2 1.5 83.6 -1.6 84.2 0.6 82.6 -1.6
Breaking Velocity 85.6 84.8 -0.8 85 0.2 84.9 -0.1 83.8 -1.1 83.5 -0.3 86 2.5
Exit Velocity 82.8 91.3 8.5 87.7 -3.6 89.3 1.6 89.4 0.1 91.8 2.4 94.8 3
Launch Angle 24.9 9.2 -15.7 11.6 2.4 10 -1.6 17.7 7.7 22.1 4.4 15.4 -6.7
Barrel % 0 5.6 5.6 5.8 0.2 4.3 -1.5 8 3.7 8 0 19.2 11.2
Hard Hit % 0 33.3 33.3 42 8.7 40.2 -1.8 37.7 -2.5 40 2.3 50 10
Sweet Spot % 33.3 22.2 -11.1 23.2 1 31.6 8.4 34.4 2.8 34 -0.4 46.2 12.2
xBA .322 .191 -0.131 .259 0.068 .272 0.013 .245 -0.027 .257 0.012 .398 0.141
BA .333 .227 -0.106 .287 0.06 .292 0.005 .251 -0.041 .302 0.051 .429 0.127
xwOBA .352 .335 -0.017 .313 -0.022 .327 0.014 .305 -0.022 .329 0.024 .53 0.201
wOBA .35 .371 0.021 .325 -0.046 .355 0.03 .301 -0.054 .356 0.055 .54 0.184
xSLG .359 .334 -0.025 .415 0.081 .415 0 .438 0.023 .416 -0.022 .825 0.409
SLG .333 .409 0.076 .412 0.003 .479 0.067 .427 -0.052 .444 0.017 .821 0.377
K% 0 13.3 13.3 13.6 0.3 18.5 4.9 19.9 1.4 18.6 -1.3 10.8 -7.8
BB% 14.3 23.3 9 8 -15.3 7.4 -0.6 5.9 -1.5 10 4.1 8.1 -1.9
Swing % 44.4 44.8 0.4 53.4 8.6 50.8 -2.6 53.3 2.5 49 -4.3 50.7 1.7
Whiff% 6.3 20 13.7 11.1 -8.9 19.5 8.4 18.6 -0.9 25 6.4 14.7 -10.3
In Zone % 44.4 48.5 4.1 53.9 5.4 53.1 -0.8 55.7 2.6 53.1 -2.6 50.7 -2.4
Out of Zone % 55.6 51.5 -4.1 46.1 -5.4 46.9 0.8 44.3 -2.6 46.9 2.6 49.3 2.4
Out of Zone Swing % 35 17.4 -17.6 32.7 15.3 27.3 -5.4 31 3.7 22.4 -8.6 26 3.6
First Pitch Swing % 14.3 20 5.7 31.8 11.8 28.1 -3.7 29.1 1 32.9 3.8 21.6 -11.3
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 46.7 -10.4 67 20.3 65 -2 63.5 -1.5 58.6 -4.9 48.6 -10
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 29 .371 23 2 8.7 6 5 83.3
2017 87 .325 47 0 0.0 40 1 2.5
2018 160 .355 82 23 28.0 78 19 24.4
2019 284 .301 166 5 3.0 118 48 40.7
2020 70 .356 38 9 23.7 32 26 81.3
2021 37 .540 19 6 31.6 18 9 50.0

Pitch Tempo