P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 234 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 4, No. 131, Washington Nationals | Oklahoma
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 10 14 4.41 33 33 0 187.2 156 1.20
2025 9 13 5.70 33 33 0 180 124 1.43
2026 1 4 5.91 9 9 0 42.2 45 1.45
4 Seasons 23 38 5.01 99 99 0 531.1 424 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 33 10-14 4.41 187.2 156 1.20
2025 33 9-13 5.70 180 124 1.43
2026 9 1-4 5.91 42.2 45 1.45
4 Seasons 99 23-38 5.01 531.1 424 1.35
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 26 2147 369 38 10.3 7.2 90.4 111.7 14.7 33.1 .254 .450 .335 .344 .377 39.6 18.7 10.2 4.61 5.10
2024 27 3046 557 51 9.2 6.6 88.8 115.6 11.4 33.0 .249 .440 .314 .323 .378 39.1 20.3 6.8 4.41 4.28
2025 28 2945 595 71 12.0 9.0 90.4 112.6 12.8 34.8 .273 .505 .355 .360 .397 47.1 15.8 7.9 5.70 5.59
2026 29 795 123 16 13.0 8.2 89.8 114.9 14.1 35.0 .264 .488 .345 .372 .436 48.0 23.2 10.3 5.91 5.74
Player 8933 1644 176 10.7 7.7 89.8 115.6 12.8 33.8 .259 .469 .336 .345 .389 42.8 18.6 8.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Irvin relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(26.5%) ,
Sinker
(24.5%) ,
Curveball
(23.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.6%) ,
Sweeper
(9.1%) ,
Changeup
(4.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 42.5 57.5 30.1 20.6 6.8 36.6 38.5 24.9 19.5 17.9 5.1 17.1 20.6 19.8
2024 44.7 55.3 25.5 23.3 6.5 42.2 33.4 24.4 23.7 15.3 5.7 18.5 18.1 18.7
2025 43.5 56.5 27.9 23.2 5.4 43.2 36.8 20.0 24.4 15.6 3.5 18.8 21.2 16.5
2026 40.7 59.3 29.3 23.6 6.5 39.8 35.8 24.4 16.3 18.7 5.7 23.6 17.1 18.7
Player 43.5 56.5 27.7 22.7 6.1 41.1 35.9 22.9 22.4 16.2 4.8 18.7 19.7 18.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 3.0 30.1 27.4 23.6 5.7 10.3 7.2
2024 5.4 31.8 24.8 21.0 7.4 9.2 6.6
2025 3.9 30.6 23.9 24.0 5.2 12.0 9.0
2026 4.9 26.8 20.3 24.4 10.6 13.0 8.2
Player 4.3 30.6 24.7 22.9 6.4 10.7 7.7
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker WSH R 195 91.7 24.8 0.3 15.6ARM 0.1 7.8 -0.1 15.6ARM 0.2
2026 Changeup WSH R 38 84.0 33.2 -1.0 16.0ARM 1.5 5.8 -1.8 16.0ARM 1.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 211 92.5 17.4 -1.0 8.3ARM 0.0 14.6 -1.4 8.3ARM 0.5
2026 Cutter WSH R 92 88.1 26.2 1.0 2.9GLV 0.6 8.9 0.6 2.9GLV 0.6
2026 Curveball WSH R 187 77.0 50.0 -4.9 16.5GLV 3.4 -3.5 -6.9 16.5GLV 7.2
2026 Sweeper WSH R 72 81.1 36.0 -3.7 12.8GLV -1.6 5.8 -4.6 12.8GLV -1.1
2025 Cutter WSH R 129 87.3 29.2 -1.1 3.0GLV 0.6 6.5 -1.9 3.0GLV 0.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 941 92.4 17.4 -1.7 9.4ARM 2.0 14.7 -1.1 9.4ARM 1.8
2025 Sinker WSH R 652 91.9 25.9 1.9 16.5ARM 1.4 6.6 0.8 16.5ARM 1.4
2025 Slider WSH R 122 83.6 38.8 1.2 7.4GLV 2.7 0.2 1.6 7.4GLV 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 228 85.6 32.6 -0.4 15.6ARM 1.1 4.7 -0.6 15.6ARM 1.1
2025 Curveball WSH R 872 77.8 49.6 -5.6 14.8GLV 5.0 -4.2 -6.0 14.8GLV 5.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 211 26.5 57 .182 .227 .326 23.8 26.3 16.3 .193 .334 .346 55.2
2026 Sinker -1.0 -2 195 24.5 45 .324 .649 .467 8.8 6.7 9.1 .358 .732 .493 54.3
2026 Curveball 1.3 2 187 23.5 37 .129 .129 .211 45.0 37.8 20.3 .194 .256 .278 23.5
2026 Cutter -3.0 -3 92 11.6 26 .346 .692 .435 16.7 15.4 23.5 .329 .763 .456 63.6
2026 Sweeper -3.6 -3 72 9.1 22 .364 .545 .393 27.8 27.3 18.2 .305 .495 .343 37.5
2026 Changeup 1.4 1 38 4.8 7 .143 .143 .129 26.7 42.9 25.0 .145 .162 .138 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -16 941 32.0 248 .261 .514 .377 17.5 16.5 13.3 .295 .597 .411 56.2
2025 Curveball -1.2 -10 872 29.6 212 .269 .543 .391 25.1 22.6 17.6 .251 .487 .339 41.6
2025 Sinker 0.8 5 652 22.1 192 .291 .377 .349 10.5 10.4 16.9 .276 .444 .343 41.3
2025 Changeup -3.6 -8 228 7.7 77 .315 .644 .421 16.2 7.8 10.3 .296 .543 .362 48.5
2025 Cutter -0.7 -1 129 4.4 26 .261 .435 .344 19.4 15.4 9.5 .257 .410 .333 52.6
2025 Slider 0.9 1 122 4.1 32 .161 .355 .231 20.0 15.6 8.6 .191 .302 .225 42.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 38 84.0 82 17.4 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Curveball 187 77.0 82 18.5 8:00 8:30 -30
2026 Cutter 92 88.1 54 8.7 12:00 11:15 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 211 92.5 84 16.4 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 195 91.7 78 17.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2026 Sweeper 72 81.1 56 14.7 9:00 9:30 -30
2025 Changeup 228 85.6 79 16.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Curveball 872 77.8 75 17.1 8:00 8:15 -15
2025 Cutter 129 87.3 44 7.1 11:45 11:00 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 938 92.4 86 17.1 1:30 1:15 15
2025 Sinker 647 91.9 80 18.2 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Slider 122 83.6 41 8.4 9:45 8:45 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 530 2,147 16 2 -16 -9 -8
2024 768 3,046 -3 23 -18 -10 -8
2025 787 2,945 -12 11 -17 -11 -29
2026 194 795 3 5 -8 -4 -4
Player 2,279 8,933 4 41 -59 4 -49
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 2,147 50.8 64.1 87.4 22.6 66.5 44.7 56.8 43.7 17.9 7.6 71.3
2024 3,046 53.6 67.3 84.4 26.7 58.1 43.6 61.5 48.5 22.3 8.6 73.7
2025 2,945 55.0 63.2 88.3 26.6 62.9 45.3 64.9 46.8 18.2 9.1 74.2
2026 795 50.8 66.1 83.1 23.8 52.7 42.3 62.9 45.3 24.7 8.7 76.8
Player 8,933 53.2 65.1 86.3 25.4 61.1 44.3 61.7 46.5 20.2 8.5 73.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 20 14 52 57 18 53 70 38 15 3 3 17 23 15 46 49 81
2024 18 15 25 76 35 43 75 51 50 25 23 28 67 21 47 61 93
2025 1 6 5 2 5 18 59 35 19 28 5 6 51 3 7 57 94
2026 18 10 43 60 11 17 59 45 35 6 46 55 32 7 10 38 97
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.00 20 18.0 2 5 15 6 30.0
2024 23.61 29 25.1 4 7 18 12 41.4
2025 23.75 38 37.5 1 18 24 19 50.0
2026 23.05 6 6.4 0 6 5 3 50.0
Player 23.50 93 87.0 6 36 62 40 43.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 20 14 15 18 19 18 21 19 17 16 19 17 16 18 21 19 19 16 21 22 18 18 24 21 12 16 20 16 18 18 14
2024 29 23 25 26 25 27 29 22 20 20 24 27 25 22 24 20 24 23 27 32 26 22 34 28 23 27 24 26 27 27 24
2025 38 39 28 37 40 39 32 39 37 31 33 37 44 55 37 32 47 35 33 43 35 34 45 44 30 33 32 40 43 35 36
2026 6 7 4 5 8 9 7 5 7 7 6 7 4 7 7 5 5 5 5 10 4 7 10 10 4 4 7 9 7 5 6
Player 93 83 72 86 92 93 89 85 81 74 82 88 89 102 89 76 95 79 86 107 83 81 113 103 69 80 83 91 95 85 80
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .251 -.021 .272 +.028 .244 -.011 .255
xBA .264 -.009 .273 +.024 .249 -.005 .254
OBP .351 +.017 .334 +.035 .299 -.041 .340
xOBP .362 +.027 .335 +.032 .303 -.038 .341
SLG .413 -.079 .492 +.064 .428 -.003 .431
xSLG .488 -.017 .505 +.065 .440 -.010 .450
ISO .162 -.058 .220 +.035 .185 +.010 .175
xISO .225 -.008 .233 +.042 .191 -.005 .196
BABIP .308 +.026 .282 +.008 .274 -.007 .281
wOBA .345 -.010 .355 +.041 .314 -.021 .335
xwOBA .372 +.012 .360 +.037 .323 -.021 .344
wOBAcon .394 +.004 .390 +.025 .365 +.002 .363
xwOBAcon .436 +.039 .397 +.019 .378 +.001 .377
BACON .341 +.013 .328 +.016 .312 -.008 .320
xBACON .359 +.030 .329 +.011 .318 -.004 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 48.0 +0.9 47.1 +8.0 39.1 -0.5 39.6
Avg Exit Velocity 89.8 -0.6 90.4 +1.6 88.8 -1.6 90.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.0 +0.2 34.8 +1.8 33.0 -0.1 33.1
Barrel % 13.0 +1.0 12.0 +2.8 9.2 -1.1 10.3
Avg Launch Angle 14.1 +1.3 12.8 +1.4 11.4 -3.3 14.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.2 +0.2 72.0 +0.2 71.8 -0.3 72.1
Attack Angle 12° +1° 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 43.2 -10.2 53.4 +2.8 50.6 -2.0 52.6
Attack Direction -4° -2° -2° -3° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32° 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 +0.1 7.2 +0.1 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.4 -0.4 91.8 -1.5 93.3 -0.9 94.2
Breaking Velocity 78.1 -0.4 78.5 -2.6 81.1 +0.2 80.9
Offspeed Velocity 84.0 -1.6 85.6 -2.8 88.4 +0.6 87.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 16 -55 71 +20 51 +13 38
Popup % 6.5 +1.1 5.4 -1.1 6.5 -0.3 6.8
Flyball % 29.3 +1.4 27.9 +2.4 25.5 -4.6 30.1
Line Drive % 23.6 +0.4 23.2 -0.1 23.3 +2.7 20.6
Groundball % 40.7 -2.8 43.5 -1.2 44.7 +2.2 42.5
Pull % 39.8 -3.4 43.2 +1.0 42.2 +5.6 36.6
Straight Away % 35.8 -1.0 36.8 +3.4 33.4 -5.1 38.5
Opposite Field % 24.4 +4.4 20.0 -4.4 24.4 -0.5 24.9
Weak Contact % 4.9 +1.0 3.9 -1.5 5.4 +2.4 3.0
Pull Airball % 23.6 +4.8 18.8 +0.3 18.5 +1.4 17.1
Topped Contact % 26.8 -3.8 30.6 -1.2 31.8 +1.7 30.1
Under Contact % 20.3 -3.6 23.9 -0.9 24.8 -2.6 27.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 24.4 +0.4 24.0 +3.0 21.0 -2.6 23.6
Solid Contact % 10.6 +5.4 5.2 -2.2 7.4 +1.7 5.7
HR/FB % 16.7 -6.2 22.9 +2.5 20.4 +2.4 18.0
Popups 8 -24 32 -4 36 +11 25
Flyballs 36 -130 166 +24 142 +31 111
Line Drives 29 -109 138 +8 130 +54 76
Groundballs 50 -209 259 +10 249 +92 157
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.8 -4.2 55.0 +1.4 53.6 +2.8 50.8
Out of Zone % 49.2 +4.2 45.0 -1.4 46.4 -2.8 49.2
Edge % 42.3 -3.0 45.3 +1.7 43.6 -1.1 44.7
Zone Swing % 66.1 +2.9 63.2 -4.1 67.3 +3.2 64.1
Out of Zone Swing % 23.8 -2.8 26.6 -0.1 26.7 +4.1 22.6
In Zone Contact % 83.1 -5.2 88.3 +3.9 84.4 -3.0 87.4
Out of Zone Contact % 52.7 -10.2 62.9 +4.8 58.1 -8.4 66.5
Whiff % 24.7 +6.5 18.2 -4.1 22.3 +4.4 17.9
First Strike % 62.9 -2.0 64.9 +3.4 61.5 +4.7 56.8
First Pitch Swing % 29.9 -0.6 30.5 +0.6 29.9 +5.9 24.0
Swing % 45.3 -1.5 46.8 -1.7 48.5 +4.8 43.7
Meatball Swing % 76.8 +2.6 74.2 +0.5 73.7 +2.4 71.3
Meatball % 8.7 -0.4 9.1 +0.5 8.6 +1.0 7.6
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.9 +5.2 11.7 -3.9 15.6 +3.0 12.6
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 47.3 +10.2 37.1 -4.8 41.9 +8.4 33.5
In Zone 404 -1,215 1,619 -15 1,634 +543 1,091
Out of Zone 391 -935 1,326 -86 1,412 +356 1,056
Edge 336 -999 1,335 +7 1,328 +369 959
In Zone Swings 267 -757 1,024 -75 1,099 +400 699
Out of Zone Swings 93 -260 353 -24 377 +138 239
In Zone Swing & Misses 45 -75 120 -51 171 +83 88
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 44 -87 131 -27 158 +78 80
Basic
Pitches 795 -2,150 2,945 -101 3,046 +899 2,147
PA 194 -593 787 +18 769 +239 530
AB 167 -550 717 +7 710 +248 462
Hits 42 -153 195 +22 173 +55 118
Singles 27 -89 116 +13 103 +24 79
Doubles 9 -29 38 0 38 +21 17
Triples 0 -3 3 0 3 +1 2
Home Runs 6 -32 38 +9 29 +9 20
Walks 20 -42 62 +10 52 -2 54
Strikeouts 45 -79 124 -32 156 +57 99
K% 23.2 +7.4 15.8 -4.5 20.3 +1.6 18.7
BB% 10.3 +2.4 7.9 +1.1 6.8 -3.4 10.2
HBP 6 0 6 +2 4 -4 8
Batted Balls 123 -472 595 +38 557 +188 369
Number of Fastballs 498 -1,224 1,722 -258 1,980 +601 1,379
Number of Offspeed 38 -190 228 +123 105 -7 112
Number of Breaking 259 -735 994 +33 961 +305 656
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 530 .335 244 0 0.0 286 12 4.2
2024 Shades 768 .314 371 1 0.3 397 126 31.7
2025 Shades 787 .355 337 4 1.2 450 179 39.8
2026 Shades 194 .345 67 0 0.0 127 75 59.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 629 14.2 64.9% 0.0% 395 18.6 5.3% 0.3%
2024 927 14.2 66.6% 0.2% 439 18.4 2.5% 0.7%
2025 835 15.1 48.0% 0.1% 497 18.9 2.0% 0.6%
2026 221 15.8 37.6% 1.8% 121 18.7 4.1% 2.5%

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Pitch Distribution