P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 234 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 4, No. 131, Washington Nationals | Oklahoma
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 10 14 4.41 33 33 0 187.2 156 1.20
2025 9 13 5.70 33 33 0 180 124 1.43
2026 1 1 8.00 2 2 0 9 11 1.56
4 Seasons 23 35 4.99 92 92 0 497.2 390 1.34
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 33 10-14 4.41 187.2 156 1.20
2025 33 9-13 5.70 180 124 1.43
2026 2 1-1 8.00 9 11 1.56
4 Seasons 92 23-35 4.99 497.2 390 1.34
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 26 2147 369 38 10.3 7.2 90.4 111.7 14.7 33.1 .254 .450 .335 .344 .377 39.6 18.7 10.2 4.61 5.10
2024 27 3046 557 51 9.2 6.6 88.8 115.6 11.4 33.0 .249 .440 .314 .323 .378 39.1 20.3 6.8 4.41 4.28
2025 28 2945 595 71 11.9 9.0 90.4 112.6 12.8 34.8 .273 .506 .355 .360 .397 47.1 15.8 7.9 5.70 5.59
2026 29 178 28 5 17.9 11.9 93.0 107.2 22.2 39.3 .280 .492 .364 .356 .458 57.1 26.2 7.1 8.00 5.25
Player 8316 1549 165 10.7 7.8 89.9 115.6 12.9 33.8 .260 .468 .335 .343 .386 42.6 18.3 8.0
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Irvin relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(30.3%) ,
Sinker
(20.8%) ,
Curveball
(19.1%) ,
Cutter
(14.6%) ,
Slider
(9.0%) ,
Changeup
(6.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 42.5 57.5 30.1 20.6 6.8 36.6 38.5 24.9 19.5 17.9 5.1 17.1 20.6 19.8
2024 44.7 55.3 25.5 23.3 6.5 42.2 33.4 24.4 23.7 15.3 5.7 18.5 18.1 18.7
2025 43.5 56.5 27.9 23.2 5.4 43.2 36.8 20.0 24.4 15.6 3.5 18.8 21.2 16.5
2026 21.4 78.6 42.9 28.6 7.1 50.0 32.1 17.9 10.7 10.7 0.0 39.3 21.4 17.9
Player 43.3 56.7 27.8 22.7 6.1 41.4 35.9 22.7 22.7 15.9 4.6 18.7 19.9 18.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 3.0 30.1 27.4 23.6 5.7 10.3 7.2
2024 5.4 31.8 24.8 21.0 7.4 9.2 6.6
2025 3.9 30.6 23.9 24.0 5.2 11.9 9.0
2026 0.0 14.3 25.0 32.1 10.7 17.9 11.9
Player 4.1 30.6 25.0 23.0 6.2 10.7 7.8
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter WSH R 26 87.6 25.8 1.7 4.3GLV 2.0 9.7 1.7 4.3GLV 2.1
2026 Changeup WSH R 11 86.7 32.2 -0.5 16.5ARM 2.6 4.5 -0.7 16.5ARM 1.8
2026 Slider WSH R 16 81.5 33.7 -6.0 11.4GLV 3.8 7.7 -6.4 11.4GLV 7.3
2026 Curveball WSH R 34 77.7 49.5 -4.3 16.9GLV 3.7 -3.8 -6.6 16.9GLV 7.8
2026 Sinker WSH R 37 92.4 25.8 0.4 15.9ARM -0.1 6.4 1.3 15.9ARM 0.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 54 93.3 17.3 -1.8 7.9ARM 0.0 14.1 -2.1 7.9ARM 0.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 941 92.4 17.4 -1.7 9.4ARM 2.0 14.7 -1.1 9.4ARM 1.8
2025 Cutter WSH R 125 87.4 29.0 -1.0 2.9GLV 0.4 6.6 -1.7 2.9GLV 0.7
2025 Sinker WSH R 653 91.9 25.9 1.9 16.5ARM 1.4 6.6 0.8 16.5ARM 1.4
2025 Curveball WSH R 870 77.8 49.6 -5.5 14.8GLV 5.0 -4.2 -6.0 14.8GLV 5.8
2025 Slider WSH R 128 83.7 38.4 0.9 7.4GLV 2.6 0.5 1.3 7.4GLV 3.1
2025 Changeup WSH R 227 85.6 32.6 -0.4 15.6ARM 1.1 4.7 -0.6 15.6ARM 1.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 1 54 30.3 10 .222 .222 .250 31.0 40.0 16.0 .160 .267 .238 80.0
2026 Sinker -4.0 -1 37 20.8 8 .500 1.000 .675 20.0 0.0 0.0 .552 .842 .573 71.4
2026 Curveball 2.7 1 34 19.1 6 .000 .000 .117 50.0 33.3 15.4 .241 .418 .352 33.3
2026 Cutter -7.9 -2 26 14.6 12 .417 .833 .525 17.6 25.0 50.0 .302 .666 .405 66.7
2026 Slider -3.5 -1 16 9.0 2 .500 .500 .450 16.7 0.0 0.0 .434 .482 .408 0.0
2026 Changeup 6.7 1 11 6.2 4 .000 .000 .000 40.0 50.0 33.3 .045 .052 .043 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -16 941 32.0 248 .261 .514 .377 17.5 16.5 13.3 .295 .597 .411 56.2
2025 Curveball -1.2 -10 870 29.6 212 .269 .543 .391 25.1 22.6 17.6 .251 .487 .339 41.6
2025 Sinker 0.8 5 653 22.2 193 .290 .375 .348 10.4 10.4 16.9 .275 .443 .342 41.0
2025 Changeup -3.7 -8 227 7.7 76 .319 .653 .426 16.4 7.9 10.3 .298 .548 .366 49.3
2025 Slider 0.4 0 128 4.3 33 .188 .375 .252 19.3 15.2 8.6 .195 .302 .226 44.4
2025 Cutter -0.2 0 125 4.2 25 .227 .409 .322 19.7 16.0 9.8 .258 .418 .338 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 11 86.7 79 17.7 1:45 2:45 -60
2026 Curveball 34 77.7 84 18.9 8:00 8:15 -15
2026 Cutter 26 87.6 50 10.0 11:30 11:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 54 93.3 83 15.9 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 37 92.4 77 17.6 1:15 2:30 -75
2026 Slider 16 81.5 54 13.7 9:00 10:00 -60
2025 Changeup 227 85.6 79 16.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Curveball 870 77.8 75 17.1 8:00 8:15 -15
2025 Cutter 125 87.4 44 7.1 11:45 11:00 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 938 92.4 86 17.1 1:30 1:15 15
2025 Sinker 648 91.9 81 18.2 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Slider 128 83.6 42 8.4 9:45 8:45 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 530 2,147 16 2 -16 -9 -8
2024 768 3,046 -3 23 -18 -10 -8
2025 787 2,945 -12 11 -17 -11 -29
2026 42 178 -2 3 -2 0 -2
Player 2,127 8,316 0 39 -54 0 -46
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 2,147 50.9 64.0 87.4 22.7 66.5 44.7 56.8 43.7 17.9 7.6 71.3
2024 3,046 53.7 67.1 84.4 26.8 58.1 43.6 61.5 48.5 22.3 8.6 73.7
2025 2,945 55.1 63.2 88.3 26.6 62.8 45.3 64.9 46.8 18.2 9.1 74.2
2026 178 50.6 65.6 79.7 28.4 52.0 39.3 66.7 47.2 28.6 10.1 88.9
Player 8,316 53.4 64.9 86.4 25.6 61.6 44.4 61.7 46.6 19.9 8.5 73.7
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 20 15 52 50 18 53 70 38 15 3 3 17 23 15 46 49 81
2024 18 16 25 76 36 43 75 51 50 27 23 28 67 21 47 61 93
2025 1 7 4 2 5 18 59 35 19 29 5 6 51 3 7 57 94
2026 21 9 56 80 28 24 75 15 43 62 63 65 11 9 5 96
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.00 20 18.0 2 5 15 6 30.0
2024 23.61 29 25.1 4 7 18 12 41.4
2025 23.75 38 37.5 1 18 24 19 50.0
2026 21.07 2 1.5 1 1 3 0 0.0
Player 23.47 89 82.1 7 31 60 37 41.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 20 14 15 18 19 18 21 19 17 16 19 17 16 18 21 19 19 16 21 22 18 18 24 21 12 16 20 16 18 18 14
2024 29 23 25 26 25 27 29 22 20 20 24 27 25 22 24 20 24 23 27 32 26 22 34 28 23 27 24 26 27 27 24
2025 38 39 28 37 40 39 32 39 37 31 33 37 44 55 37 32 47 35 33 43 35 34 45 44 30 33 32 40 43 35 36
2026 2 4 3 0 0 2 3 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 4 3 2 1 1 2 4 1 2
Player 89 80 71 81 84 86 85 80 76 68 77 82 85 96 83 71 90 74 81 100 79 77 107 96 67 77 77 84 92 81 76
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .289 +.017 .272 +.028 .244 -.011 .255
xBA .280 +.007 .273 +.024 .249 -.005 .254
OBP .333 -.001 .334 +.035 .299 -.041 .340
xOBP .329 -.006 .335 +.031 .304 -.037 .341
SLG .500 +.008 .492 +.064 .428 -.003 .431
xSLG .492 -.014 .506 +.066 .440 -.010 .450
ISO .211 -.009 .220 +.035 .185 +.010 .175
xISO .213 -.020 .233 +.041 .192 -.004 .196
BABIP .346 +.064 .282 +.008 .274 -.007 .281
wOBA .364 +.009 .355 +.041 .314 -.021 .335
xwOBA .356 -.004 .360 +.037 .323 -.021 .344
wOBAcon .470 +.080 .390 +.025 .365 +.002 .363
xwOBAcon .458 +.061 .397 +.019 .378 +.001 .377
BACON .393 +.065 .328 +.016 .312 -.008 .320
xBACON .386 +.057 .329 +.010 .319 -.003 .322
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 57.1 +10.0 47.1 +8.0 39.1 -0.5 39.6
Avg Exit Velocity 93.0 +2.6 90.4 +1.6 88.8 -1.6 90.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 39.3 +4.5 34.8 +1.8 33.0 -0.1 33.1
Barrel % 17.9 +6.0 11.9 +2.7 9.2 -1.1 10.3
Avg Launch Angle 22.2 +9.4 12.8 +1.4 11.4 -3.3 14.7
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.4 -0.6 72.0 +0.2 71.8 -0.3 72.1
Attack Angle 12° +1° 11° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 42.7 -10.7 53.4 +2.8 50.6 -2.0 52.6
Attack Direction -5° -2° -2° -3° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +2° 32° 32° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 +0.1 7.2 +0.1 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.8 0.0 91.8 -1.5 93.3 -0.9 94.2
Breaking Velocity 78.9 +0.4 78.5 -2.6 81.1 +0.2 80.9
Offspeed Velocity 86.7 +1.1 85.6 -2.8 88.4 +0.6 87.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -66 71 +20 51 +13 38
Popup % 7.1 +1.7 5.4 -1.1 6.5 -0.3 6.8
Flyball % 42.9 +15.0 27.9 +2.4 25.5 -4.6 30.1
Line Drive % 28.6 +5.4 23.2 -0.1 23.3 +2.7 20.6
Groundball % 21.4 -22.1 43.5 -1.2 44.7 +2.2 42.5
Pull % 50.0 +6.8 43.2 +1.0 42.2 +5.6 36.6
Straight Away % 32.1 -4.7 36.8 +3.4 33.4 -5.1 38.5
Opposite Field % 17.9 -2.1 20.0 -4.4 24.4 -0.5 24.9
Weak Contact % 0.0 -3.9 3.9 -1.5 5.4 +2.4 3.0
Pull Airball % 39.3 +20.5 18.8 +0.3 18.5 +1.4 17.1
Topped Contact % 14.3 -16.3 30.6 -1.2 31.8 +1.7 30.1
Under Contact % 25.0 +1.1 23.9 -0.9 24.8 -2.6 27.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 32.1 +8.1 24.0 +3.0 21.0 -2.6 23.6
Solid Contact % 10.7 +5.5 5.2 -2.2 7.4 +1.7 5.7
HR/FB % 16.7 -6.2 22.9 +2.5 20.4 +2.4 18.0
Popups 2 -30 32 -4 36 +11 25
Flyballs 12 -154 166 +24 142 +31 111
Line Drives 8 -130 138 +8 130 +54 76
Groundballs 6 -253 259 +10 249 +92 157
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.6 -4.5 55.1 +1.4 53.7 +2.8 50.9
Out of Zone % 49.4 +4.5 44.9 -1.4 46.3 -2.8 49.1
Edge % 39.3 -6.0 45.3 +1.7 43.6 -1.1 44.7
Zone Swing % 65.6 +2.4 63.2 -3.9 67.1 +3.1 64.0
Out of Zone Swing % 28.4 +1.8 26.6 -0.2 26.8 +4.1 22.7
In Zone Contact % 79.7 -8.6 88.3 +3.9 84.4 -3.0 87.4
Out of Zone Contact % 52.0 -10.8 62.8 +4.7 58.1 -8.4 66.5
Whiff % 28.6 +10.4 18.2 -4.1 22.3 +4.4 17.9
First Strike % 66.7 +1.8 64.9 +3.4 61.5 +4.7 56.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.3 +2.8 30.5 +0.6 29.9 +5.9 24.0
Swing % 47.2 +0.4 46.8 -1.7 48.5 +4.8 43.7
Meatball Swing % 88.9 +14.7 74.2 +0.5 73.7 +2.4 71.3
Meatball % 10.1 +1.0 9.1 +0.5 8.6 +1.0 7.6
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.3 +8.6 11.7 -3.9 15.6 +3.0 12.6
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 48.0 +10.8 37.2 -4.7 41.9 +8.4 33.5
In Zone 90 -1,533 1,623 -14 1,637 +544 1,093
Out of Zone 88 -1,234 1,322 -87 1,409 +355 1,054
Edge 70 -1,265 1,335 +7 1,328 +369 959
In Zone Swings 59 -966 1,025 -74 1,099 +400 699
Out of Zone Swings 25 -327 352 -25 377 +138 239
In Zone Swing & Misses 12 -108 120 -51 171 +83 88
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 12 -119 131 -27 158 +78 80
Basic
Pitches 178 -2,767 2,945 -101 3,046 +899 2,147
PA 42 -745 787 +18 769 +239 530
AB 38 -679 717 +7 710 +248 462
Hits 11 -184 195 +22 173 +55 118
Singles 7 -109 116 +13 103 +24 79
Doubles 2 -36 38 0 38 +21 17
Triples 0 -3 3 0 3 +1 2
Home Runs 2 -36 38 +9 29 +9 20
Walks 3 -59 62 +10 52 -2 54
Strikeouts 11 -113 124 -32 156 +57 99
K% 26.2 +10.4 15.8 -4.5 20.3 +1.6 18.7
BB% 7.1 -0.8 7.9 +1.1 6.8 -3.4 10.2
HBP 0 -6 6 +2 4 -4 8
Batted Balls 28 -567 595 +38 557 +188 369
Number of Fastballs 117 -1,602 1,719 -261 1,980 +600 1,380
Number of Offspeed 11 -216 227 +122 105 -6 111
Number of Breaking 50 -948 998 +37 961 +305 656
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 530 .335 244 0 0.0 286 12 4.2
2024 Shades 768 .314 371 1 0.3 397 126 31.7
2025 Shades 787 .355 337 4 1.2 450 179 39.8
2026 Shades 42 .364 18 0 0.0 24 14 58.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 629 14.2 64.9% 0.0% 395 18.6 5.3% 0.3%
2024 927 14.2 66.6% 0.2% 439 18.4 2.5% 0.7%
2025 835 15.1 48.0% 0.1% 497 18.9 2.0% 0.6%
2026 37 16.1 32.4% 2.7% 7 18.6 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution