Jake Arrieta
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 230LBS | Age: 39
Draft: 2007 | Rd: 5, #159, Baltimore Orioles | Texas Christian
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 8 8 4.64 24 24 0 135.2 110 1.47
2020 4 4 5.08 9 9 0 44.1 32 1.51
2021 5 14 7.39 24 24 0 98.2 83 1.77
12 Seasons 115 93 3.98 285 279 0 1,612.1 1,433 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 24 8-8 4.64 135.2 110 1.47
2020 9 4-4 5.08 44.1 32 1.51
2021 24 5-14 7.39 98.2 83 1.77
12 Seasons 285 115-93 3.98 1,612.1 1,433 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 3438 580 13 2.2 1.5 85.1 111.5 4.4 27.6 .202 .281 .225 .241 .300 24.7 27.1 5.5 1.77 2.37
2016 30 3124 523 25 4.8 3.1 86.7 109.8 6.5 30.8 .225 .350 .261 .291 .336 29.6 23.9 9.6 3.10 3.53
2017 31 2743 479 27 5.6 3.8 87.4 112.3 10.6 31.3 .240 .396 .306 .305 .358 33.3 23.1 7.8 3.53 3.98
2018 32 2760 520 29 5.6 4.0 87.8 111.3 8.6 32.9 .249 .391 .315 .312 .348 31.7 19.1 7.9 3.96 4.12
2019 33 2192 426 29 6.8 4.9 89.3 114.0 6.8 33.8 .266 .446 .339 .336 .378 37.6 18.5 8.6 4.64 5.06
2020 34 729 141 11 7.8 5.8 88.9 111.3 6.7 35.5 .290 .455 .351 .358 .399 38.3 16.8 8.4 5.08 5.63
2021 35 1746 336 31 9.2 6.6 90.9 114.3 9.1 37.2 .285 .508 .400 .372 .420 44.3 17.7 9.4 7.39 6.20
Player 16732 3005 165 5.5 3.8 87.6 114.3 7.5 32.0 .241 .385 .300 .305 .353 32.8 21.9 8.0
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .316 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Arrieta relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(52.7%) ,
Slider
(23.8%) ,
Curveball
(15.4%) ,
Changeup
(8.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2015 57.6 42.4 14.0 24.5 4.0 31.4 41.0 26.9 22.8 24.5 9.7 8.6 16.6 17.2
2016 53.7 46.3 16.1 25.0 5.2 39.2 37.7 23.1 25.4 20.7 7.6 13.8 17.0 15.5
2017 45.5 54.5 24.2 25.5 4.8 34.4 41.3 23.6 19.8 21.3 4.4 14.6 20.0 19.2
2018 51.9 48.1 18.5 24.2 5.4 36.3 40.4 23.3 24.0 22.1 5.8 12.3 18.3 17.5
2019 52.6 47.4 17.4 25.6 4.5 35.2 43.0 21.8 22.1 24.6 5.9 13.1 18.3 16.0
2020 51.8 48.2 17.7 27.0 3.5 30.5 41.8 27.7 19.1 25.5 7.1 11.3 16.3 20.6
2021 45.8 54.2 24.1 27.4 2.7 40.5 33.6 25.9 26.5 13.7 5.7 14.0 19.9 20.2
Player 51.7 48.3 18.5 25.3 4.5 35.6 39.9 24.3 23.1 21.8 6.7 12.5 18.1 17.6
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 3.8 46.9 17.6 22.6 3.6 2.2 1.5
2016 4.0 42.4 18.5 22.9 5.0 4.8 3.1
2017 4.4 34.7 24.6 24.4 5.4 5.6 3.8
2018 1.9 41.7 20.0 25.2 4.8 5.6 4.0
2019 1.6 41.5 17.4 26.3 5.6 6.8 4.9
2020 1.4 41.8 15.6 27.7 3.5 7.8 5.8
2021 4.8 33.6 20.8 24.7 6.8 9.2 6.6
Player 3.3 40.8 19.5 24.4 5.0 5.5 3.8
MLB 3.9 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2021 Sinker SD R 920 91.4 24.0 1.4 15.7ARM 1.3 8.9 -0.1 15.7ARM 0.9
2021 Curveball SD R 269 80.4 52.9 0.6 12.1GLV 4.5 -10.2 0.1 12.1GLV 2.9
2021 Slider SD R 415 88.3 28.1 -4.1 3.4GLV 0.1 6.8 -5.0 3.4GLV -2.2
2021 Changeup SD R 142 87.0 34.4 4.9 16.2ARM 2.0 1.8 4.5 16.2ARM 2.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 3 91.9 18.5 -2.7 6.7ARM 0.3 13.9 -2.1 6.7ARM -0.6
2020 Sinker PHI R 376 92.0 23.7 1.8 16.1ARM 1.7 8.7 0.4 16.1ARM 1.3
2020 Changeup PHI R 123 87.3 37.6 8.3 16.5ARM 2.8 -1.4 7.8 16.5ARM 3.1
2020 Slider PHI R 166 88.8 27.6 -3.9 3.6GLV 0.5 7.0 -5.5 3.6GLV -1.6
2020 Curveball PHI R 53 81.8 50.8 0.8 12.2GLV 4.8 -9.6 -0.1 12.2GLV 3.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -2.8 -26 920 52.7 240 .373 .632 .479 12.1 10.0 13.9 .306 .538 .401 43.3
2021 Slider -1.9 -8 415 23.8 116 .260 .540 .387 21.6 25.0 21.8 .277 .528 .378 44.6
2021 Curveball 0.1 0 269 15.4 57 .189 .396 .257 36.3 40.4 22.5 .199 .400 .265 40.6
2021 Changeup -3.5 -5 142 8.1 53 .354 .500 .376 12.7 13.2 12.5 .304 .456 .349 51.2
2020 Sinker -2.0 -8 380 52.1 93 .402 .634 .491 7.8 9.7 13.6 .382 .607 .456 43.8
2020 Slider 3.1 5 169 23.2 50 .178 .267 .219 25.3 28.0 23.3 .175 .340 .266 33.3
2020 Changeup -0.6 -1 124 17.0 42 .256 .359 .306 30.6 21.4 16.1 .225 .269 .255 33.3
2020 Curveball 1.9 1 53 7.3 5 .000 .000 .000 26.7 0.0 0.0 .305 .425 .315 20.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 0 3 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 135 87.0 91 17.5 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Curveball 268 80.4 78 18.0 7:30 7:30 0
2021 Sinker 909 91.4 85 18.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 413 88.3 43 7.3 12:00 10:45 75
2020 Changeup 112 87.3 91 17.9 2:30 3:15 -45
2020 Curveball 50 81.8 76 17.7 7:45 7:30 15
2020 Sinker 363 92.0 86 18.6 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Slider 159 88.8 44 7.4 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2010 445 1,705 8 0 -11 -7 -10
2011 521 2,087 8 3 -11 -12 -11
2012 492 1,948 6 7 -10 -8 -4
2013 323 1,261 1 6 -7 -6 -5
2014 611 2,409 17 22 -5 -7 27
2015 867 3,427 35 44 -6 -13 60
2016 794 3,120 40 26 -18 -9 38
2017 700 2,727 19 15 -16 -14 3
2018 722 2,759 17 12 -14 -14 1
2019 591 2,192 -5 20 -14 -14 -13
2020 190 729 -2 9 -6 -4 -2
2021 466 1,746 -10 0 -15 -13 -38
Player 6,722 26,110 133 165 -133 133 45
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,438 48.9 62.8 83.1 32.6 56.5 42.5 60.2 47.4 25.4 7.8 72.7
2016 3,124 49.9 62.8 81.9 28.3 57.3 44.0 59.0 45.6 25.2 7.6 76.9
2017 2,743 50.8 62.3 83.8 25.4 64.2 42.8 58.0 44.1 21.3 7.2 70.9
2018 2,760 50.9 63.4 85.5 28.2 66.0 41.2 62.5 46.1 19.5 8.5 67.1
2019 2,192 46.9 62.0 86.5 28.2 69.5 42.5 59.0 44.0 18.3 7.3 73.3
2020 729 45.4 63.1 90.4 23.1 58.7 41.3 60.0 41.3 18.9 6.6 72.9
2021 1,746 49.9 64.3 85.9 22.7 63.3 39.6 58.2 43.5 18.3 7.6 72.9
Player 16,732 49.4 62.9 84.4 27.9 61.8 42.3 59.6 45.2 21.8 7.6 72.3
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 97 92 97 98 95 53 97 98 96 84 81 71 80 84 68 93 59
2016 73 76 79 77 60 29 73 88 84 71 25 66 42 74 69 87 73
2017 58 56 55 51 62 19 56 43 49 61 59 27 26 39 61 81 57
2018 43 35 50 56 44 21 68 65 78 26 55 11 52 50 54 86 48
2019 25 21 30 39 22 23 53 31 41 17 41 5 40 35 37 82 35
2020 15 8 24 46 17 19 40 38 43 13 52 6 15 29 16 65 24
2021 3 6 3 7 7 19 25 8 12 12 34 3 4 19 20 78 15
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.28 19 18.7 0 13 17 6 31.6
2017 22.19 24 22.1 2 14 15 11 45.8
2018 22.87 21 18.1 3 11 18 5 23.8
2019 23.26 21 17.8 3 10 8 12 57.1
2020 20.89 6 4.5 2 1 5 1 16.7
2021 22.78 24 22.5 2 10 16 8 33.3
Player 22.60 115 103.8 11 59 79 43 37.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 19 17 16 20 21 17 20 18 15 15 18 21 19 18 16 21 11 15 18 22 19 15 25 25 21 18 19 27 21 22 12
2017 24 22 20 20 25 22 26 19 16 18 20 33 22 22 22 25 20 20 22 21 23 20 29 23 22 22 21 29 22 23 15
2018 21 26 12 16 17 16 20 15 15 10 17 23 21 16 19 22 15 17 19 23 22 21 25 22 13 15 14 19 24 17 13
2019 21 20 17 19 20 16 19 17 18 14 17 20 19 17 16 16 15 15 17 23 18 18 22 21 15 15 18 20 20 17 15
2020 6 4 5 6 4 5 6 4 3 2 4 5 4 5 6 5 6 5 4 5 5 4 7 4 4 3 3 5 4 5 4
2021 24 25 19 22 24 24 25 23 15 18 21 25 20 20 22 24 21 20 25 25 21 24 28 25 19 19 26 27 22 24 21
Player 115 114 89 103 111 100 116 96 82 77 97 127 105 98 101 113 88 92 105 119 108 102 136 120 94 92 101 127 113 108 80
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 +/-   2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021
Fastball Velocity 95.2 -0.8 ↓ 94.4 -2.2 ↓ 92.2 0.8 ↑ 93.0 -0.6 ↓ 92.4 -0.4 ↓ 92.0 -0.6 ↓ 91.4
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 -0.2 ↓ 89.3 -2.0 ↓ 87.3 0.7 ↑ 88.0 -0.5 ↓ 87.5 -0.2 ↓ 87.3 -0.3 ↓ 87.0
Breaking Velocity 87.5 -1.2 ↓ 86.3 -3.0 ↓ 83.3 3.5 ↑ 86.8 -1.9 ↓ 84.9 2.2 ↑ 87.1 -1.9 ↓ 85.2
Exit Velocity 85.1 1.6 ↑ 86.7 0.7 ↑ 87.4 0.4 ↑ 87.8 1.5 ↑ 89.3 -0.4 ↓ 88.9 2.0 ↑ 90.9
Launch Angle 4.4 2.1 ↑ 6.5 4.1 ↑ 10.6 -2.0 ↓ 8.6 -1.8 ↓ 6.8 -0.1 ↓ 6.7 2.4 ↑ 9.1
Barrel % 2.2 2.6 ↑ 4.8 0.8 ↑ 5.6 0.0 5.6 1.2 ↑ 6.8 1.0 ↑ 7.8 1.4 ↑ 9.2
Hard Hit % 24.7 4.9 ↑ 29.6 3.7 ↑ 33.3 -1.6 ↓ 31.7 5.9 ↑ 37.6 0.7 ↑ 38.3 6.0 ↑ 44.3
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.6 3.2 ↑ 30.8 0.5 ↑ 31.3 1.6 ↑ 32.9 0.9 ↑ 33.8 1.7 ↑ 35.5 1.7 ↑ 37.2
xBA .202 0.023 ↑ .225 0.015 ↑ .240 0.009 ↑ .249 0.017 ↑ .266 0.024 ↑ .290 -0.005 ↓ .285
BA .185 0.009 ↑ .194 0.041 ↑ .235 0.019 ↑ .254 0.029 ↑ .283 0.015 ↑ .298 0.022 ↑ .320
xwOBA .241 0.050 ↑ .291 0.014 ↑ .305 0.007 ↑ .312 0.024 ↑ .336 0.022 ↑ .358 0.014 ↑ .372
wOBA .225 0.036 ↑ .261 0.045 ↑ .306 0.009 ↑ .315 0.024 ↑ .339 0.012 ↑ .351 0.049 ↑ .400
xSLG .281 0.069 ↑ .350 0.046 ↑ .396 -0.005 ↓ .391 0.055 ↑ .446 0.009 ↑ .455 0.053 ↑ .508
SLG .271 0.035 ↑ .306 0.105 ↑ .411 -0.004 ↓ .407 0.041 ↑ .448 0.008 ↑ .456 0.107 ↑ .563
K% 27.1 -3.2 ↓ 23.9 -0.8 ↓ 23.1 -4.0 ↓ 19.1 -0.6 ↓ 18.5 -1.7 ↓ 16.8 0.9 ↑ 17.7
BB% 5.5 4.1 ↑ 9.6 -1.8 ↓ 7.8 0.1 ↑ 7.9 0.7 ↑ 8.6 -0.2 ↓ 8.4 1.0 ↑ 9.4
Swing % 47.4 -1.8 ↓ 45.6 -1.5 ↓ 44.1 2.0 ↑ 46.1 -2.1 ↓ 44.0 -2.7 ↓ 41.3 2.2 ↑ 43.5
Whiff% 25.4 -0.2 ↓ 25.2 -3.9 ↓ 21.3 -1.8 ↓ 19.5 -1.2 ↓ 18.3 0.6 ↑ 18.9 -0.6 ↓ 18.3
In Zone % 48.9 1.0 ↑ 49.9 0.9 ↑ 50.8 0.1 ↑ 50.9 -4.0 ↓ 46.9 -1.5 ↓ 45.4 4.5 ↑ 49.9
Out of Zone % 51.1 -1.0 ↓ 50.1 -0.9 ↓ 49.2 -0.1 ↓ 49.1 4.0 ↑ 53.1 1.5 ↑ 54.6 -4.5 ↓ 50.1
Out of Zone Swing % 32.6 -4.3 ↓ 28.3 -2.9 ↓ 25.4 2.8 ↑ 28.2 0.0 28.2 -5.1 ↓ 23.1 -0.4 ↓ 22.7
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 -0.4 ↓ 28.2 -3.7 ↓ 24.5 5.6 ↑ 30.1 -1.4 ↓ 28.7 -5.5 ↓ 23.2 3.0 ↑ 26.2
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 -1.2 ↓ 59.0 -1.0 ↓ 58.0 4.5 ↑ 62.5 -3.5 ↓ 59.0 1.0 ↑ 60.0 -1.8 ↓ 58.2
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 781 .262 414 3 0.7 367 22 6.0
2017 Shifts 700 .308 377 0 0.0 323 24 7.4
2018 Shifts 722 .315 405 44 10.9 317 99 31.2
2019 Shifts 591 .339 307 19 6.2 284 48 16.9
2020 Shifts 190 .351 100 22 22.0 90 34 37.8
2021 Shifts 466 .400 222 24 10.8 244 144 59.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 485 15.9 39.4% 2.1% 330 23.0 1.8% 10.6%
2011 605 16.0 38.7% 1.5% 362 22.5 0.6% 9.7%
2012 596 15.8 39.4% 1.2% 337 22.6 0.3% 6.5%
2013 407 18.0 15.5% 1.5% 194 24.8 0.0% 13.4%
2014 761 18.6 10.9% 2.1% 305 25.4 0.3% 21.3%
2015 1165 18.1 22.5% 5.3% 414 25.5 2.9% 26.8%
2016 965 18.4 20.9% 4.1% 447 26.0 2.7% 24.8%
2017 863 17.1 23.5% 1.0% 424 23.9 0.0% 8.7%
2018 848 16.5 32.4% 1.5% 428 23.3 0.0% 6.1%
2019 649 16.8 30.2% 1.1% 376 24.7 0.3% 9.6%
2020 223 17.7 20.2% 1.8% 144 25.7 0.0% 18.1%
2021 489 17.8 16.6% 1.8% 346 25.5 0.0% 18.2%

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Pitch Distribution

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