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Jake Arrieta
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 230LBS | Age: 35

Draft: 2007 | Rd: 5, #159, Baltimore Orioles | Texas Christian
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 5 14 7.39 24 24 0 98.2 83 1.77
12 Seasons 115 93 3.98 285 279 0 1612.1 1433 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 24 5-14 7.39 98.2 83 1.77
12 Seasons 285 115-93 3.98 1612.1 1433 1.25

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 3438 580 13 2.2 85.1 111.5 4.4 27.6 .199 .276 .225 .237 .293 25 27.1 5.5 1.77 2.39
2016 30 3124 523 25 4.8 86.7 109.8 6.5 30.8 .222 .344 .261 .287 .329 30.2 23.9 9.6 3.10 3.55
2017 31 2743 479 28 5.8 87.4 112.3 10.6 31.5 .240 .398 .306 .305 .358 33.1 23.1 7.8 3.53 4.06
2018 32 2760 520 29 5.6 87.8 111.3 8.6 32.9 .248 .390 .315 .311 .346 31.7 19.1 7.9 3.96 4.15
2019 33 2192 426 29 6.8 89.3 114 6.8 33.8 .266 .447 .339 .337 .378 37.6 18.5 8.6 4.64 5.20
2020 34 729 141 11 7.8 88.9 111.3 6.7 35.5 .286 .448 .351 .353 .392 38.3 16.8 8.4 5.08 5.48
2021 35 1746 336 31 9.2 90.9 114.3 9.1 37.2 .282 .497 .400 .369 .415 44.3 17.7 9.4 7.39 6.14
16732 3005 166 5.5 87.6 114.3 7.5 32 .239 .381 .300 .302 .349 32.9 21.9 8
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Arrieta relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(53.3%) ,
Slider
(23.8%) ,
Curveball
(15.4%) ,
Changeup
(7.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 930 509 421 53.3 91.4 242 211 80 50 16 1 13 24 189 .379 .305 .649 .529 .463 .399 90.6 6 2084 5.9 11.5 13.9
2021 Slider 416 180 236 23.8 88.3 116 100 26 12 7 0 7 29 74 .260 .275 .540 .523 .368 .377 89.1 16 2276 5.9 21.1 21.8
2021 Curveball 269 98 171 15.4 80.4 57 53 10 5 2 0 3 23 32 .189 .199 .396 .390 .256 .263 88.0 3 2690 5.8 35.4 22.5
2021 Changeup 131 22 109 7.5 86.9 51 46 15 13 1 0 1 7 41 .326 .283 .413 .420 .329 .328 92.1 10 1763 5.8 13.4 12.5
2020 Sinker 380 229 151 52.1 92.0 93 82 33 22 7 0 4 9 73 .402 .377 .634 .599 .470 .451 91.0 6 2096 6.0 7.8 13.6
2020 Slider 169 83 86 23.2 88.8 50 45 8 6 1 0 1 14 33 .178 .172 .267 .333 .212 .261 86.2 23 2203 6.0 25.3 23.3
2020 Changeup 124 40 84 17.0 87.3 42 39 10 8 1 0 1 9 30 .256 .222 .359 .264 .295 .252 87.8 -6 1694 6.0 30.6 16.1
2020 Curveball 53 17 36 7.3 81.8 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 .000 .305 .000 .425 .000 .315 83.1 -11 2652 5.9 26.7 0.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 3 0 3 0.4 91.9 2249 6.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 57.6 14 24.5 4 31.6 41.6 26.9 3.8 46.9 17.6 22.6 3.6 2.2
2016 53.7 16.1 25 5.2 39.2 37.7 23.1 4 42.4 18.5 22.9 5 4.8
2017 45.5 24.2 25.5 4.8 34.4 41.3 23.6 4.4 34.7 24.6 24.4 5.2 5.8
2018 51.9 18.5 24.2 5.4 36.3 40.4 23.3 1.9 41.7 20 25.2 4.8 5.6
2019 52.6 17.4 25.6 4.5 35.2 43 21.8 1.6 41.5 17.4 26.3 5.6 6.8
2020 51.8 12.8 31.9 3.5 30.5 41.8 27.7 1.4 41.8 15.6 27.7 3.5 7.8
2021 45.8 24.1 27.4 2.7 40.5 33.6 25.9 4.8 33.6 20.8 24.7 6.8 9.2
51.7 18.3 25.5 4.5 35.6 40 24.3 3.3 40.8 19.5 24.4 5 5.5
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider SD R 416 88.3 28.1 -4 -13 3.4 0 0
2021 Curveball SD R 269 80.4 52.9 1.4 3 12.1 4.1 52
2021 Changeup SD R 131 86.9 35.3 5.7 19 16.1 2.1 15
2021 Sinker SD R 926 91.4 24 1.2 5 15.8 1.1 7
2020 Sinker PHI R 376 92 23.7 1.8 8 16.1 1.6 11
2020 Slider PHI R 166 88.8 27.6 -3.9 -12 3.6 0.5 16
2020 Curveball PHI R 53 81.8 50.8 1.1 2 12.2 4.7 62
2020 Changeup PHI R 123 87.3 37.6 8.3 28 16.5 2.9 21
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 3 91.9 18.5 -2.7 -17 6.7 0.3 5
2019 Curveball PHI R 293 80.6 54.7 1.9 4 13.7 6.1 80
2019 Sinker PHI R 1216 92.5 23.2 0.9 4 16.4 1.7 12
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 22 91.9 18.6 -1.9 -12 8 1 14
2019 Changeup PHI R 398 87.5 35.7 6.4 22 17 3.1 22
2019 Slider PHI R 263 89.7 26 -4.9 -16 2.9 -0.2 -7
2018 Curveball PHI R 284 80.7 55.7 2.6 5 13.5 6 79
2018 Sinker PHI R 1483 93 22.2 0.8 4 15.6 1.1 8
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 47 92.4 17.4 -1.2 -8 8.2 1.3 19
2018 Changeup PHI R 293 88 33.1 4.2 15 14.7 0.9 6
2018 Slider PHI R 652 89.4 29.1 -2 -6 5.3 1.7 47
2017 4-Seamer CHC R 57 92.2 15.8 -1.1 -8 5.6 -1.9 -25
2017 Sinker CHC R 1672 92.2 20.6 0.4 2 14.4 0 0
2017 Changeup CHC R 226 87.3 30.9 3.9 14 14.4 0.9 7
2017 Slider CHC R 381 87.9 30.1 -0.9 -3 5.7 2.6 82
2017 Curveball CHC R 390 78.8 56.4 2.8 5 13.7 6.2 82
2016 Changeup CHC R 148 89.3 26.9 1.9 8 17.2 3.6 27
2016 Slider CHC R 556 89.8 27.9 0.6 2 4.1 2.1 111
2016 Sinker CHC R 1378 94.5 16.1 -1.3 -8 15.6 0.9 6
2016 Curveball CHC R 382 81.2 55.7 6.1 12 8.1 2.1 34
2016 4-Seamer CHC R 634 94.2 14.3 -1.4 -11 11.4 3.2 39
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup 3.9 5 131 7.5 51 .326 .413 .334 13.4 13.7 12.5 .283 .42 .328 51.2
2021 Curveball -0.5 -1 269 15.4 57 .189 .396 .257 35.4 40.4 22.5 .199 .39 .262 40.6
2021 Slider 1.3 5 416 23.8 116 .26 .54 .379 21.1 25 21.8 .275 .523 .378 44.6
2021 Sinker 2.5 23 930 53.3 242 .379 .649 .483 11.5 9.9 13.9 .305 .529 .4 43.4
2020 Curveball -0.8 0 53 7.3 5 0 0 0 26.7 0 0 .305 .425 .315 20
2020 Changeup 1.1 1 124 17 42 .256 .359 .299 30.6 21.4 16.1 .222 .264 .251 33.3
2020 Slider -3.5 -6 169 23.2 50 .178 .267 .233 25.3 28 23.3 .172 .333 .261 33.3
2020 Sinker 2.3 9 380 52.1 93 .402 .634 .485 7.8 9.7 13.6 .377 .599 .451 43.8
2020 4-Seamer -1.6 0 3 0.4 0 0
2019 4-Seamer 0.7 0 22 1 6 .4 .4 .36 40 50 33.3 .303 .425 .302 66.7
2019 Curveball 0.2 0 293 13.4 53 .204 .265 .276 20 17 12.9 .225 .301 .262 30
2019 Slider 1.7 4 263 12 81 .296 .662 .42 21.2 21 19.8 .294 .688 .421 44.6
2019 Changeup 0.4 2 398 18.2 121 .248 .327 .277 31 31.4 20.5 .201 .295 .241 31.2
2019 Sinker -0.1 -1 1216 55.5 330 .304 .474 .382 11.1 13 17.7 .291 .472 .365 38.8
2018 4-Seamer -1.8 -1 47 1.7 5 .4 .4 .36 15.4 0 0 .286 .351 .286 0
2018 Curveball 3.9 11 284 10.3 71 .299 .552 .382 31.4 29.6 17.8 .253 .427 .306 42.6
2018 Changeup 1 3 293 10.6 97 .225 .348 .293 18.2 17.5 12.1 .269 .394 .321 22.2
2018 Slider -0.8 -5 652 23.6 180 .216 .327 .28 26.3 23.3 20.1 .208 .304 .256 29.8
2018 Sinker -0.1 -2 1483 53.7 369 .27 .433 .353 13 15.7 19.5 .26 .424 .339 33.8
2017 4-Seamer 2.9 2 57 2.1 11 .444 .556 .486 19.2 27.3 13 .333 .438 .397 50
2017 Changeup -1.7 -4 226 8.2 66 .167 .233 .211 31.8 30.3 17.1 .219 .292 .252 34.1
2017 Curveball -0.7 -3 390 14.2 80 .162 .338 .246 37.7 40 27.1 .162 .285 .227 28.6
2017 Slider 2.7 10 381 13.9 121 .283 .528 .376 28.1 24 23.8 .228 .418 .313 26.6
2017 Sinker -0.5 -8 1672 61 422 .244 .421 .334 14.4 18.5 21.1 .261 .433 .326 35
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 112 87.3 91 17.9 2:30 3:15 -45
2020 Curveball 50 81.8 76 17.7 7:45 7:30 15
2020 Sinker 363 92 86 18.6 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Slider 159 88.8 44 7.4 12:00 10:45 75
2021 Changeup 125 86.9 91 17.3 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Curveball 268 80.4 78 18 7:30 7:30 0
2021 Sinker 918 91.3 85 18.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 414 88.3 43 7.3 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2010 445 1705 -9 -2 10 7 5
2011 521 2087 -4 -7 12 12 13
2012 492 1948 3 -8 11 9 16
2013 323 1261 -2 -5 8 6 7
2014 611 2409 -18 -20 6 7 -25
2015 936 3702 -31 -50 10 15 -57
2016 875 3484 -40 -23 16 10 -37
2017 748 2928 -20 -17 18 14 -5
2018 722 2759 -17 -5 14 13 6
2019 591 2192 -2 -19 14 13 5
2020 190 729 0 -9 8 4 4
2021 466 1746 7 -1 12 15 32
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3438 48.7 62.9 83.1 32.5 56.3 42.6 60.2 47.4 25 7.8 72.7
2016 3124 49.7 62.7 81.8 28.4 57.4 44 59 45.6 25 7.6 76.7
2017 2743 50.9 62.2 83.8 25.5 64.2 42.7 58 44.1 21.1 7.3 71.2
2018 2760 50.9 63.4 85.5 28.2 66 41.2 62.5 46.1 19.1 8.5 67.2
2019 2192 47 62 86.5 28.1 69.3 42.5 58.9 44 18 7.3 73.3
2020 729 45.5 63.3 90.5 22.9 58.2 41.3 60 41.3 18.9 6.6 72.9
2021 1746 50 64.3 85.9 22.7 63.1 39.7 58.2 43.5 17.8 7.6 72.9
16732 49.4 62.9 84.4 27.9 61.7 42.3 59.6 45.2 21.5 7.7 72.3
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 97 91 97 99 96 53 97 98 97 84 81 68 97 85 68 94
2016 73 76 79 76 61 29 73 88 83 71 25 65 73 75 70 89
2017 57 54 51 46 61 17 52 43 50 61 59 26 57 43 60 83
2018 42 33 48 56 43 21 68 67 77 26 55 10 42 55 51 88
2019 22 20 27 39 20 23 53 31 40 17 41 3 22 41 35 85
2020 18 10 27 47 18 19 40 38 43 13 52 6 18 36 15 68
2021 4 6 5 7 7 16 25 8 13 12 35 3 4 23 17 79
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.3 21 19.6 1 11 6 14 66.7
2020 20.9 6 4.5 2 2 5 1 16.7
2021 22.8 24 22.1 2 9 16 10 41.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 21 21 22 19 20 19 19 21 21 20 21 19 16 19 19 21 19 19 19 21 17 18 18 21 19 23 20 19 21 18 20
2020 6 4 6 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 7 5 3 3 5 6 3 4 4 5 2 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 3 7
2021 24 21 27 24 25 20 23 24 23 23 25 22 15 20 21 26 19 20 22 26 16 20 20 24 20 25 24 21 26 18 24
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.3 94.4 -0.9 92.2 -2.2 93 0.8 92.4 -0.6 92 -0.4 91.4 -0.6
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 89.3 -0.2 87.3 -2 88 0.7 87.5 -0.5 87.3 -0.2 86.9 -0.4
Breaking Velocity 87.5 86.3 -1.2 83.3 -3 86.8 3.5 84.9 -1.9 87.1 2.2 85.2 -1.9
Exit Velocity 85.1 86.7 1.6 87.4 0.7 87.8 0.4 89.3 1.5 88.9 -0.4 90.9 2
Launch Angle 4.4 6.5 2.1 10.6 4.1 8.6 -2 6.8 -1.8 6.7 -0.1 9.1 2.4
Barrel % 2.2 4.8 2.6 5.8 1 5.6 -0.2 6.8 1.2 7.8 1 9.2 1.4
Hard Hit % 25 30.2 5.2 33.1 2.9 31.7 -1.4 37.6 5.9 38.3 0.7 44.3 6
Sweet Spot % 27.6 30.8 3.2 31.5 0.7 32.9 1.4 33.8 0.9 35.5 1.7 37.2 1.7
xBA .199 .222 0.023 .24 0.018 .248 0.008 .266 0.018 .286 0.02 .282 -0.004
BA .185 .194 0.009 .235 0.041 .254 0.019 .283 0.029 .298 0.015 .32 0.022
xwOBA .237 .287 0.05 .305 0.018 .311 0.006 .337 0.026 .353 0.016 .369 0.016
wOBA .225 .261 0.036 .306 0.045 .315 0.009 .339 0.024 .351 0.012 .4 0.049
xSLG .276 .344 0.068 .398 0.054 .39 -0.008 .447 0.057 .448 0.001 .497 0.049
SLG .271 .306 0.035 .411 0.105 .407 -0.004 .448 0.041 .456 0.008 .563 0.107
K% 27.1 23.9 -3.2 23.1 -0.8 19.1 -4 18.5 -0.6 16.8 -1.7 17.7 0.9
BB% 5.5 9.6 4.1 7.8 -1.8 7.9 0.1 8.6 0.7 8.4 -0.2 9.4 1
Swing % 47.4 45.6 -1.8 44.1 -1.5 46.1 2 44 -2.1 41.3 -2.7 43.5 2.2
Whiff% 25 25 0 21.1 -3.9 19.1 -2 18 -1.1 18.9 0.9 17.8 -1.1
In Zone % 48.7 49.7 1 50.9 1.2 50.9 0 47 -3.9 45.5 -1.5 50 4.5
Out of Zone % 51.3 50.3 -1 49.1 -1.2 49.1 0 53 3.9 54.5 1.5 50 -4.5
Out of Zone Swing % 32.5 28.4 -4.1 25.5 -2.9 28.2 2.7 28.1 -0.1 22.9 -5.2 22.7 -0.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 28.2 -0.4 24.5 -3.7 30.1 5.6 28.6 -1.5 23.2 -5.4 26.2 3
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 59